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PANSARI DEVELOPERS LIMITED (PANSARI)

Technology Services

Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.59 / 100
Profitability 54Growth 96Balance sheet 25
Share Price
₹261.00
P/E
23.1x
ROCE
7.0%
Market Cap
₹455 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹93 cr
P/S
4.9x
P/B
3.0x
ROE
12.8%
Operating Margin
25.9%
Debt / Equity
0.6x
Promoter Holding
73.9%
12M Momentum
1.6%
P/E vs its own history20th percentilesince Feb '19
P/E vs Technology Services1.1xthe sector median

52-week range

₹233.30₹388.90
18% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
48.8%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
0.12

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
7.2x
Cash from profit, 3Y
operating cash flow ÷ net profit
-0.45x
low
Share count, 1Y
unchanged

Was the rally earned?

+2%share price, 1 yearRoughly flat
  • The share price was roughly flat over 1 year (+2%).
  • The share count barely moved.
1 year Net profit growth: +45 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+45 ptsP/E change: -44 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-44 ptsShare count change: +0 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. +2% 1 year Net profit growth: +45 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+45 ptsP/E change: -44 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-44 ptsShare count change: +0 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. +2%
Net profit growth+45 ptsNet profit rose about 57%, which lifts the price.
P/E change-44 ptsThe P/E fell from 35.6x to 23.1x, which lowers the price.
Share count change0 ptsShare count was little changed. More shares would count against the price.
+251%share price, 3 yearsLower P/E held it back

Mostly yes, with a catch.

  • Per-share earnings added 457 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 64.6x to 23.1x), which took 206 points back.
  • The share count barely moved.
3 years Net profit growth: +457 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+457 ptsP/E change: -206 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-206 pts +251% 3 years Net profit growth: +457 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+457 ptsP/E change: -206 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-206 pts +251%
Net profit growth+457 ptsNet profit rose about 883%, which lifts the price.
P/E change-206 ptsThe P/E fell from 64.6x to 23.1x, which lowers the price.
Share count change0 ptsShare count was little changed. More shares would count against the price.
+255%share price, 5 yearsLower P/E held it back

Mostly yes, with a catch.

  • Per-share earnings added 333 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 34.1x to 23.1x), which took 78 points back.
  • The share count barely moved.
5 years Net profit growth: +333 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+333 ptsP/E change: -78 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-78 pts +255% 5 years Net profit growth: +333 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+333 ptsP/E change: -78 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple. +255%
Net profit growth+333 ptsNet profit rose about 423%, which lifts the price.
P/E change-78 ptsThe P/E fell from 34.1x to 23.1x, which lowers the price.
Share count change0 ptsShare count was little changed. More shares would count against the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare this with ONE 97 COMMUNICATIONS PAYTM

Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?

23.1xP/E todayNear its historic low
Against its own history20th percentileMedian 38.6x; usual range 14.4x to 68.5x since 2019-02.
Against Technology Services23.1x vs 20.6xAbove the Technology Services median.
7.4x39.6x71.8x104.0xFeb '19Sep '20Apr '22Nov '23Jun '25Oct '267.4x39.6x71.8x104.0xFeb '19Sep '21Apr '24Oct '26
P/E (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianTechnology Services median

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P/B (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianTechnology Services median

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P/S (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianTechnology Services median
How to read this

Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dashed line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).

Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.

All terms explained in the glossary →

How Technology Services is valued

What is the price implying?

~29%annual earnings growth implied by the price

At a P/E of 61.5x, the price would imply about 29.0%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.

Below the ₹1,000 cr market-cap floor used for the lists.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Technology Services The market-wide Expectations lists

What changed?

  1. Oct '26Fell 34% from the Jul 2026 peak to the Oct 2026 low.
  2. Sep '26Moved into the top quartile of Technology Services on operating margin (from the bottom quartile).
  3. Jul '26Regained the 2025-11 peak, 4 months after the low.
  4. Jun '26Slipped to the bottom quartile of Technology Services on operating margin (from the 3rd quartile).
  5. Mar '26Fell 26% from the Nov 2025 peak to the Mar 2026 low.
  6. Dec '25Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹85 cr.
  7. Dec '25Slipped to the 3rd quartile of Technology Services on operating margin (from the top quartile).
  8. Jun '25Regained the 2025-02 peak, 4 months after the low.
Show 22 earlier events
  1. Jun '25Moved into the 3rd quartile of Technology Services on ROCE (from the bottom quartile).
  2. Mar '25Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹71 cr.
  3. Mar '25Slipped to the 2nd quartile of Technology Services on EPS growth (from the top quartile).
  4. Feb '25Regained the 2021-12 peak, 24 months after the low.
  5. Feb '25Fell 42% from the Feb 2025 peak to the Feb 2025 low.
  6. Sep '24Moved into the top quartile of Technology Services on operating margin (from the bottom quartile).
  7. Jun '24Slipped to the bottom quartile of Technology Services on operating margin (from the 3rd quartile).
  8. Mar '24Year-on-year EPS growth turned positive.
  9. Mar '24Moved into the 2nd quartile of Technology Services on EPS growth (from the bottom quartile).
  10. Dec '23P/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (78.3x).
  11. Jun '23P/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (75.6x).
  12. Jun '23Slipped to the bottom quartile of Technology Services on EPS growth (from the 3rd quartile).
  13. Feb '23Fell 70% from the Dec 2021 peak to the Feb 2023 low.
  14. Feb '23Slipped to the bottom quartile of Technology Services on ROCE (from the 3rd quartile).
  15. Oct '22Moved into the 3rd quartile of Technology Services on ROCE (from the bottom quartile).
  16. Jun '22Year-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
  17. Jun '22Slipped to the bottom quartile of Technology Services on ROCE (from the 3rd quartile).
  18. Mar '22P/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (60.6x).
  19. Nov '21Debt / equity halved over 12 months to 0.56x.
  20. Oct '21Slipped to the 2nd quartile of Technology Services on EPS growth (from the top quartile).
  21. Jun '21Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹36 cr.
  22. Jun '21Debt / equity fell below 1.0x (0.56x).

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Are profits backed by cash?

3 of 6 checks are within range, 3 beyond a threshold.
Tap a check to see how it is measured.

Other income reliance75%Beyond threshold

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 75.0%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate21%Within range

Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 21.4%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.

Cash conversion-0.45xBeyond threshold

Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: -0.45x (cash from operations ₹-14 cr, net profit ₹31 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.

Free cash flow1 of 5 yrsBeyond threshold

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 1. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history-47 daysWithin range

Debtor days are below the median of the previous three fiscal years by 47 days (18 vs 65). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.

Capital work in progress0% of fixed assetsWithin range

Capital work-in-progress is 0% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-69.8%recovered 2025-02
1-year volatility48.8%annualised

Monthly share price

₹21₹122₹223₹324 Feb '19Sep '20Apr '22Nov '23Jun '25Oct '26
2019-02: ₹26.75
2019-03: ₹30.10
2019-04: ₹26.50
2019-05: ₹23.95
2019-06: ₹22.80
2019-08: ₹21.00
2019-12: ₹21.00
2020-01: ₹22.95
2020-06: ₹22.40
2020-08: ₹22.00
2020-10: ₹22.00
2020-11: ₹22.00
2020-12: ₹22.25
2021-01: ₹22.45
2021-02: ₹28.25
2021-03: ₹52.00
2021-04: ₹48.00
2021-05: ₹53.50
2021-06: ₹55.00
2021-10: ₹73.55
2021-11: ₹168.05
2021-12: ₹132.35
2022-01: ₹121.00
2022-02: ₹138.20
2022-03: ₹131.00
2022-04: ₹116.30
2022-05: ₹106.45
2022-06: ₹92.20
2022-07: ₹92.65
2022-08: ₹91.10
2022-09: ₹105.55
2022-10: ₹92.90
2022-11: ₹90.30
2022-12: ₹76.75
2023-01: ₹71.00
2023-02: ₹94.55
2023-03: ₹80.65
2023-04: ₹92.60
2023-05: ₹92.00
2023-06: ₹86.90
2023-07: ₹87.35
2023-08: ₹119.60
2023-09: ₹85.65
2023-10: ₹74.30
2023-11: ₹78.05
2023-12: ₹90.10
2024-01: ₹103.80
2024-02: ₹96.40
2024-03: ₹79.80
2024-04: ₹93.20
2024-05: ₹86.10
2024-06: ₹99.50
2024-07: ₹133.12
2024-08: ₹132.81
2024-09: ₹129.50
2024-10: ₹144.86
2024-11: ₹168.00
2024-12: ₹190.90
2025-01: ₹197.62
2025-02: ₹149.09
2025-03: ₹160.15
2025-04: ₹190.50
2025-05: ₹248.95
2025-06: ₹218.07
2025-07: ₹235.50
2025-08: ₹275.95
2025-09: ₹272.15
2025-10: ₹256.90
2025-11: ₹299.80
2025-12: ₹300.00
2026-01: ₹289.45
2026-02: ₹303.00
2026-03: ₹252.80
2026-04: ₹299.30
2026-05: ₹299.50
2026-06: ₹289.85
2026-07: ₹323.90
2026-08: ₹302.85
2026-09: ₹274.00
2026-10: ₹261.00
₹21₹122₹223₹324 Feb '19Sep '21Apr '24Oct '26
2019-02: ₹26.75
2019-03: ₹30.10
2019-04: ₹26.50
2019-05: ₹23.95
2019-06: ₹22.80
2019-08: ₹21.00
2019-12: ₹21.00
2020-01: ₹22.95
2020-06: ₹22.40
2020-08: ₹22.00
2020-10: ₹22.00
2020-11: ₹22.00
2020-12: ₹22.25
2021-01: ₹22.45
2021-02: ₹28.25
2021-03: ₹52.00
2021-04: ₹48.00
2021-05: ₹53.50
2021-06: ₹55.00
2021-10: ₹73.55
2021-11: ₹168.05
2021-12: ₹132.35
2022-01: ₹121.00
2022-02: ₹138.20
2022-03: ₹131.00
2022-04: ₹116.30
2022-05: ₹106.45
2022-06: ₹92.20
2022-07: ₹92.65
2022-08: ₹91.10
2022-09: ₹105.55
2022-10: ₹92.90
2022-11: ₹90.30
2022-12: ₹76.75
2023-01: ₹71.00
2023-02: ₹94.55
2023-03: ₹80.65
2023-04: ₹92.60
2023-05: ₹92.00
2023-06: ₹86.90
2023-07: ₹87.35
2023-08: ₹119.60
2023-09: ₹85.65
2023-10: ₹74.30
2023-11: ₹78.05
2023-12: ₹90.10
2024-01: ₹103.80
2024-02: ₹96.40
2024-03: ₹79.80
2024-04: ₹93.20
2024-05: ₹86.10
2024-06: ₹99.50
2024-07: ₹133.12
2024-08: ₹132.81
2024-09: ₹129.50
2024-10: ₹144.86
2024-11: ₹168.00
2024-12: ₹190.90
2025-01: ₹197.62
2025-02: ₹149.09
2025-03: ₹160.15
2025-04: ₹190.50
2025-05: ₹248.95
2025-06: ₹218.07
2025-07: ₹235.50
2025-08: ₹275.95
2025-09: ₹272.15
2025-10: ₹256.90
2025-11: ₹299.80
2025-12: ₹300.00
2026-01: ₹289.45
2026-02: ₹303.00
2026-03: ₹252.80
2026-04: ₹299.30
2026-05: ₹299.50
2026-06: ₹289.85
2026-07: ₹323.90
2026-08: ₹302.85
2026-09: ₹274.00
2026-10: ₹261.00

Last 90 trading days

₹240₹282₹323₹365 Jun 22Jul 17Aug 12Sep 7Oct 5Oct 30
2026-06-22: ₹295.75
2026-06-24: ₹294.15
2026-06-29: ₹282.05
2026-07-01: ₹308.20
2026-07-03: ₹313.50
2026-07-07: ₹355.05
2026-07-09: ₹359.95
2026-07-13: ₹358.85
2026-07-15: ₹362.65
2026-07-17: ₹360.65
2026-07-21: ₹365.30
2026-07-23: ₹357.60
2026-07-27: ₹340.25
2026-07-29: ₹327.50
2026-07-31: ₹323.90
2026-08-04: ₹335.95
2026-08-06: ₹329.25
2026-08-10: ₹321.75
2026-08-12: ₹322.50
2026-08-14: ₹311.70
2026-08-18: ₹314.85
2026-08-20: ₹318.20
2026-08-24: ₹327.95
2026-08-26: ₹324.00
2026-08-28: ₹306.55
2026-09-01: ₹303.80
2026-09-03: ₹300.00
2026-09-07: ₹300.45
2026-09-09: ₹281.20
2026-09-11: ₹281.50
2026-09-16: ₹291.70
2026-09-18: ₹284.95
2026-09-22: ₹278.10
2026-09-24: ₹286.90
2026-09-28: ₹289.00
2026-09-30: ₹274.00
2026-10-05: ₹254.30
2026-10-07: ₹271.00
2026-10-09: ₹257.15
2026-10-13: ₹271.90
2026-10-15: ₹264.40
2026-10-19: ₹258.00
2026-10-22: ₹252.00
2026-10-26: ₹239.65
2026-10-29: ₹265.00
2026-10-30: ₹261.00
₹240₹282₹323₹365 Jun 22Aug 4Sep 16Oct 30
2026-06-22: ₹295.75
2026-06-24: ₹294.15
2026-06-29: ₹282.05
2026-07-01: ₹308.20
2026-07-03: ₹313.50
2026-07-07: ₹355.05
2026-07-09: ₹359.95
2026-07-13: ₹358.85
2026-07-15: ₹362.65
2026-07-17: ₹360.65
2026-07-21: ₹365.30
2026-07-23: ₹357.60
2026-07-27: ₹340.25
2026-07-29: ₹327.50
2026-07-31: ₹323.90
2026-08-04: ₹335.95
2026-08-06: ₹329.25
2026-08-10: ₹321.75
2026-08-12: ₹322.50
2026-08-14: ₹311.70
2026-08-18: ₹314.85
2026-08-20: ₹318.20
2026-08-24: ₹327.95
2026-08-26: ₹324.00
2026-08-28: ₹306.55
2026-09-01: ₹303.80
2026-09-03: ₹300.00
2026-09-07: ₹300.45
2026-09-09: ₹281.20
2026-09-11: ₹281.50
2026-09-16: ₹291.70
2026-09-18: ₹284.95
2026-09-22: ₹278.10
2026-09-24: ₹286.90
2026-09-28: ₹289.00
2026-09-30: ₹274.00
2026-10-05: ₹254.30
2026-10-07: ₹271.00
2026-10-09: ₹257.15
2026-10-13: ₹271.90
2026-10-15: ₹264.40
2026-10-19: ₹258.00
2026-10-22: ₹252.00
2026-10-26: ₹239.65
2026-10-29: ₹265.00
2026-10-30: ₹261.00

Drawdown from peak

0% -34% -68% Feb '19Dec '22Oct '26 0% -34% -68% Feb '19Dec '22Oct '26
Largest drawdowns

-69.8% (2021-12 peak to 2023-02 low, recovered 2025-02)

-41.7% (2025-02 peak to 2025-02 low, recovered 2025-06)

-39.3% (2019-03 peak to 2019-12 low, recovered 2021-03)

Where does it rank among Technology Services peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Technology Services peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

ROCE
Op. margin
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Nov '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Oct '26
Lower rank Higher rank

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Technology Services sector page Watch it move against Technology Services in the Observatory

What happened next to similar setups

−0.6%typical 12-month return vs the marketNot meaningfully different from the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like PANSARI DEVELOPERS LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −29% to +25% vs the market, against −6% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The gap against the base rate (+5.1%, 80% range −3.6% to +8.9%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
WSI · May 2024: −52.5% vs market
LOKESHMACH · Jul 2024: −50.3% vs market
REPRO · Feb 2020: −45.3% vs market
HIGREEN · Sep 2025: −43.4% vs market
THEINVEST · Jul 2025: −43.0% vs market
DYNPRO · Oct 2021: −42.5% vs market
GANECOS · Jun 2025: −39.6% vs market
HESTERBIO · Dec 2024: −36.9% vs market
SHRIRAMPPS · Jan 2024: −36.3% vs market
HUBTOWN · Oct 2025: −34.8% vs market
AJMERA · May 2025: −31.3% vs market
SHREEKARNI · Jun 2025: −31.3% vs market
PARKHOTELS · Oct 2025: −29.2% vs market
GUFICBIO · Feb 2025: −27.5% vs market
ORBTEXP · May 2023: −24.8% vs market
KRSNAA · Apr 2025: −24.6% vs market
ARVSMART · Mar 2020: −20.2% vs market
SANGHIIND · Oct 2021: −19.3% vs market
LIBERTSHOE · Jun 2020: −15.4% vs market
MMFL · Jan 2020: −10.1% vs market
AIRAN · Feb 2021: −8.6% vs market
UNIDT · Jun 2025: −5.4% vs market
KILITCH · Aug 2025: −4.3% vs market
DJML · Jul 2025: −3.2% vs market
ELDEHSG · Jul 2025: −1.1% vs market
GREENPLY · Feb 2020: −0.1% vs market
SNOWMAN · Oct 2023: +0.5% vs market
FELIX · Oct 2025: +2.9% vs market
BANARISUG · Sep 2020: +3.3% vs market
ROSSELLIND · Jul 2021: +5.2% vs market
ORIENTHOT · Jun 2023: +5.7% vs market
DREDGECORP · Feb 2020: +7.1% vs market
NINSYS · Apr 2025: +10.5% vs market
ZENTEC · Feb 2020: +12.6% vs market
TI · Apr 2024: +19.0% vs market
ARIHANTSUP · May 2022: +20.9% vs market
STERTOOLS · Oct 2022: +23.3% vs market
SOFTTECH · Dec 2022: +25.3% vs market
SHALBY · May 2023: +31.5% vs market
YUKEN · May 2023: +36.2% vs market
SMSPHARMA · May 2025: +36.5% vs market
KOLTEPATIL · Jul 2022: +41.4% vs market
ARTEMISMED · Feb 2024: +41.9% vs market
SEAMECLTD · Apr 2025: +53.1% vs market
THEMISMED · Sep 2020: +71.6% vs market
ORCHPHARMA · Sep 2023: +77.2% vs market
MANINFRA · Aug 2021: +90.9% vs market
ANANTRAJ · Jul 2022: +137.8% vs market
SAKAR · Aug 2025: +143.7% vs market
SANGHVIMOV · Sep 2022: +160.7% vs market
Similar setups −0.6%All companies −5.7%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 3 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
−0.6%
All companies' median
−5.7%
Beat the market
48% vs 44%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 32 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
REPRO
Commercial Services
Feb 2020 24x8% −11%−30% −45%
ORIENTHOT
Consumer Services
Jun 2023 29x13% +59%−8% +6%
GUFICBIO
Health Technology
Feb 2025 39x— +5%−32% −28%
HIGREEN
Industrial Services
Sep 2025 49x12% −8%−36% −43%
KRSNAA
Health Services
Apr 2025 31x10% +27%−28% −25%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
SEAMECLTD
Industrial Services
Apr 2025 25x12% −10%−39% +53%
AJMERA
Finance
May 2025 24x12% +27%−28% −31%
ORBTEXP
Process Industries
May 2023 24x12% +38%−19% −25%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: drawdown from 12-month high, 12-month momentum and P/E. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to PANSARI DEVELOPERS LIMITED. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-10-30. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 97,430 company-months from 2000 companies; financial: 5,632 company-months from 106 companies. 2240 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.
Monthly history (93 months)
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-1023.1x₹93 cr12.8%7.0%0.6x
2026-0924.2x₹93 cr12.8%7.0%0.6x
2026-0826.6x₹96 cr12.9%7.0%0.6x
2026-0728.4x₹96 cr12.9%7.0%0.6x
2026-0625.4x₹96 cr12.9%7.0%0.6x
2026-0530.7x₹101 cr12.7%6.0%0.8x
2026-0430.7x₹101 cr12.7%6.0%0.8x
2026-0325.9x₹101 cr12.7%6.0%0.8x
2026-0235.5x₹85 cr11.1%6.0%0.8x
2026-0133.9x₹85 cr11.1%6.0%0.8x
2025-1235.1x₹85 cr11.1%6.0%0.8x
2025-1141.6x₹65 cr9.4%6.0%0.8x
2025-1035.6x₹65 cr9.4%6.0%0.8x
2025-0937.7x₹65 cr9.4%6.0%0.8x
2025-0848.5x₹60 cr7.4%6.0%0.8x
2025-0741.4x₹60 cr7.4%6.0%0.8x
2025-0638.3x₹60 cr7.4%6.0%0.8x
2025-0565.7x₹71 cr5.2%5.0%0.7x
2025-0450.3x₹71 cr5.2%5.0%0.7x
2025-0342.3x₹71 cr5.2%5.0%0.7x
2025-0248.9x₹56 cr4.2%5.0%0.7x
2025-0164.8x₹56 cr4.2%5.0%0.7x
2024-1262.6x₹56 cr4.2%5.0%0.7x
2024-1155.1x₹56 cr4.2%5.0%0.7x
2024-1047.5x₹56 cr4.2%5.0%0.7x
2024-0942.5x₹56 cr4.2%5.0%0.7x
2024-0844.4x₹56 cr4.1%5.0%0.7x
2024-0744.5x₹56 cr4.1%5.0%0.7x
2024-0633.3x₹56 cr4.1%5.0%0.7x
2024-0535.6x₹49 cr3.5%2.0%0.7x
2024-0438.5x₹49 cr3.5%2.0%0.7x
2024-0333.0x₹49 cr3.5%2.0%0.7x
2024-0283.8x₹23 cr1.7%2.0%0.7x
2024-0190.3x₹23 cr1.7%2.0%0.7x
2023-1278.3x₹23 cr1.7%2.0%0.7x
2023-1167.9x₹23 cr1.7%2.0%0.7x
2023-1064.6x₹23 cr1.7%2.0%0.7x
2023-0974.5x₹23 cr1.7%2.0%0.7x
2023-08104.0x₹23 cr1.7%2.0%0.7x
2023-0776.0x₹23 cr1.7%2.0%0.7x
2023-0675.6x₹23 cr1.7%2.0%0.7x
2023-0544.0x₹60 cr3.1%4.0%0.5x
2023-0444.3x₹60 cr3.1%4.0%0.5x
2023-0338.6x₹60 cr3.1%4.0%0.5x
2023-0245.2x₹60 cr3.1%4.0%0.5x
2023-0134.0x₹60 cr3.1%4.0%0.5x
2022-1236.7x₹60 cr3.1%4.0%0.5x
2022-1143.2x₹60 cr3.1%4.0%0.5x
2022-1044.4x₹60 cr3.1%4.0%0.5x
2022-0950.5x₹60 cr3.1%4.0%0.5x
2022-0843.6x₹60 cr3.1%4.0%0.5x
2022-0744.3x₹60 cr3.1%4.0%0.5x
2022-0644.1x₹60 cr3.1%4.0%0.5x
2022-0549.3x₹36 cr3.4%6.0%0.6x
2022-0453.8x₹36 cr3.4%6.0%0.6x
2022-0360.6x₹36 cr3.4%6.0%0.6x
2022-0264.0x₹36 cr3.4%6.0%0.6x
2022-0156.0x₹36 cr3.4%6.0%0.6x
2021-1261.3x₹36 cr3.4%6.0%0.6x
2021-1177.8x₹36 cr3.4%6.0%0.6x
2021-1034.1x₹36 cr3.4%6.0%0.6x
2021-09—————
2021-08—————
2021-07—————
2021-0625.5x₹36 cr3.4%6.0%0.6x
2021-0533.9x₹35 cr4.7%5.0%1.3x
2021-0430.4x₹35 cr4.7%5.0%1.3x
2021-0332.9x₹35 cr4.7%5.0%1.3x
2021-0217.9x₹35 cr4.7%5.0%1.3x
2021-0114.2x₹35 cr4.7%5.0%1.3x
2020-1214.1x₹35 cr4.7%5.0%1.3x
2020-1113.9x₹35 cr4.7%5.0%1.3x
2020-1013.9x₹35 cr4.7%5.0%1.3x
2020-09—————
2020-0813.9x₹35 cr4.7%5.0%1.3x
2020-07—————
2020-0614.2x₹35 cr4.7%5.0%1.3x
2020-05—————
2020-04—————
2020-03—————
2020-02—————
2020-0120.5x₹10 cr3.4%4.0%1.2x
2019-1218.8x₹10 cr3.4%4.0%1.2x
2019-11—————
2019-10—————
2019-09—————
2019-0818.8x₹10 cr3.4%4.0%1.2x
2019-07—————
2019-0620.4x₹10 cr3.4%4.0%1.2x
2019-0512.9x₹6 cr5.9%5.0%1.2x
2019-0414.3x₹6 cr5.9%5.0%1.2x
2019-0316.3x₹6 cr5.9%5.0%1.2x
2019-0214.5x₹6 cr5.9%5.0%1.2x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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