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TOURISM FINANCE CORPN OF INDI (TFCILTD)

Finance · Finance/Rental/Leasing · figures to Nov '26

Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.29 / 100
Profitability 38Growth 21
Momentum scoreHow strong the recent trend is: 3-month price change, 12-month improvement in earnings and the rise in FII + DII holding, among companies above ₹500 cr.64 / 100
Price 98Earnings 32FII/DII 62
Compare withBAJAJ FINANCESHRIRAM FINANCECHOLAMANDALAM INVESTMENT AND F

Share price

Closing priceAdjusted for splits and bonus issues.

₹168.42 latest close · +112.5% over the last 90 sessions

₹100₹150Jul 3Jul 29Aug 24Sep 17Oct 14Nov 9 ₹100₹150Jul 3Sep 4Nov 9

₹168.42 month-end · +130.8% over 12 months

₹100₹150Nov '25Jan '26Apr '26Jun '26Sep '26Nov '26 ₹100₹150Nov '25May '26Nov '26

₹168.42 month-end · +665.5% over 3 years

₹50₹100₹150Nov '23Jun '24Jan '25Sep '25Apr '26Nov '26 ₹50₹100₹150Nov '23May '25Nov '26

₹168.42 month-end · +2059.2% since Jun '20

₹0₹50₹100₹150Jun '20Sep '21Jan '23Apr '24Aug '25Nov '26 ₹0₹50₹100₹150Jun '20Sep '23Nov '26

52-week range ₹51.00 to ₹172.00 · 1-year volatility 51.0%

Was the rally earned?

+131%share price, 1 yearMultiple-driven

Partly.

  • Most of the rise came from investors paying a higher multiple (P/E 38.4x to 88.6x); per-share earnings added 0 points.
  • The share count barely moved.
P/E change: +131 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.+131 ptsP/E changeShare price: +131%+131%Share priceP/E change: +131 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.+131P/EShare price: +131%+131%Share price
Net profit growth0 ptsNet profit was little changed.
P/E change+131 ptsThe P/E rose from 38.4x to 88.6x, which lifts the price.
Share count change0 ptsShare count was little changed. More shares would count against the price.
+666%share price, 3 yearsMultiple-driven

Partly.

  • Most of the rise came from investors paying a higher multiple (P/E 11.6x to 88.6x); per-share earnings added 0 points.
  • The share count barely moved.
P/E change: +666 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.+666 ptsP/E changeShare price: +666%+666%Share priceP/E change: +666 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.+666P/EShare price: +666%+666%Share price
Net profit growth0 ptsNet profit was little changed.
P/E change+666 ptsThe P/E rose from 11.6x to 88.6x, which lifts the price.
Share count change0 ptsShare count was little changed. More shares would count against the price.
+1390%share price, 5 yearsMultiple-driven

Partly.

  • Most of the rise came from investors paying a higher multiple (P/E 5.7x to 88.6x); per-share earnings took off 26 points.
  • The share count rose 11%.
Net profit growth: +25 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+25 ptsNet profit growthP/E change: +1417 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.+1417 ptsP/E changeShare count change: −51 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price.−51 ptsShare count changeShare price: +1390%+1390%Share priceNet profit growth: +25 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+25ProfitP/E change: +1417 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.+1417P/EShare count change: −51 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price.−51SharesShare price: +1390%+1390%Share price
Net profit growth+25 ptsNet profit rose about 5%, which lifts the price.
P/E change+1417 ptsThe P/E rose from 5.7x to 88.6x, which lifts the price.
Share count change-51 ptsShare count rose 11%, which lowers the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare this with BAJAJ FINANCE

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-80.1%recovered 2024-01
1-year volatility51.0%annualised
Beta vs sector index0.903-year daily, correlation 0.31
Volume spikes3last 90 sessions, 5x the 50-day median

Drawdown from peak

0%−25%−50%−75%2020202120222023202420252026−79.2% 0%−25%−50%−75%2020202220242026−79.2%
Largest drawdowns

-80.1% (2019-02 peak to 2020-05 low, recovered 2024-01)

-50.4% (2024-02 peak to 2025-02 low, recovered 2025-07)

-27.1% (2025-10 peak to 2026-01 low, recovered 2026-02)

Most recent volume spikes

2026-07-29: 6.6x the 50-day median, price +3.6% that day

2026-07-28: 5.3x the 50-day median, price +2.4% that day

2026-07-27: 6.9x the 50-day median, price +8.6% that day

Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).

Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?

8.0xP/B todayNear its historic high
Against its own history100th percentile
CheapestMedian 1.0xDearest

Usual range 0.5x to 3.5x since 2020-06.

Against Finance8.0x vs 1.5x
This company
8.0x
Sector median
1.5x

427% above the Finance median.

0.4x2.9x5.5x8.0xJun '20Oct '21Feb '23Jun '24Oct '25Nov '260.4x2.9x5.5x8.0xJun '20Aug '22Oct '24Nov '26
P/B (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianFinance median

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P/E (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianFinance median

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P/S (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianFinance median
How to read this

Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/B history; dotted line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).

Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.

All terms explained in the glossary →

How Finance is valued

Where does it rank among Finance peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Finance peers (banks and financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

Where it ranks today

  • ROE (approx.)38thflat vs a year ago
  • EPS growth21st▼ 16 pts vs a year ago
  • P/B ↓3rd▼ 21 pts vs a year ago
  • 12M momentum100thflat vs a year ago
  • FII + DII22ndflat vs a year ago

Rank history

ROE (approx.)
EPS growth
P/B ↓
12M momentum
FII + DII
Dec '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Jul '26Nov '26
Lower rank Higher rank Not enough data

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Finance sector page Watch it move against Finance in the Observatory

What is the price implying?

~33%annual earnings growth implied by the price

At a P/E of 88.6x, the price would imply about 33.4%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.

Earnings figures have not updated recently, so the company is left out of the lists.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Finance The market-wide Expectations lists

Key figures

Share Priceclose 9 Nov
₹168.42
P/E
88.6x
Market Cap
₹7793 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹233 cr
P/S
33.4x
P/B
8.0x
ROE
9.0%
Debt / Equity
0.9x
Promoter Holding
3.9%
12M Momentum
130.8%

52-week range

₹51.00₹172.00
97% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
51.0%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
0.85

Balance sheet & cash

Share count, 1Y
unchanged

Are profits backed by cash?

1 of 1checks within rangeAll clear
Tax rate25%Within range

Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 25.0%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.

Tap a check to see how it is measured

Cash conversion and receivable days are not meaningful for banks and NBFCs, so only the other-income and tax-rate checks are shown.

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Over 2 years, promoters trimmed 13.8 pts; FIIs trimmed 8.4 pts.
  • The number of shareholders rose from 58,817 to 74,382 (+26%) between Dec 2023 and Jun 2026.

Holdings, Jun '26

How each group changed

GroupDec '23Jun '26Change
Promoters17.7%3.9%-13.8 pts
FIIs13.9%5.5%-8.4 pts
DIIs0.0%0.0%0.0 pts
Public and others68.4%90.7%+22.3 pts

Number of shareholders

74,382shareholders+26% since Dec '23
59k71k83k95k Dec '23Jun '24Dec '24Jun '25Dec '25Jun '26
Dec '23: 58,817
Mar '24: 89,502
Jun '24: 93,488
Sep '24: 94,982
Dec '24: 91,846
Mar '25: 89,254
Jun '25: 72,945
Sep '25: 71,558
Dec '25: 71,446
Mar '26: 76,029
Jun '26: 74,382
 59k71k83k95k Dec '23Dec '24Dec '25Jun '26
Dec '23: 58,817
Mar '24: 89,502
Jun '24: 93,488
Sep '24: 94,982
Dec '24: 91,846
Mar '25: 89,254
Jun '25: 72,945
Sep '25: 71,558
Dec '25: 71,446
Mar '26: 76,029
Jun '26: 74,382

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

What happened next to similar setups

Not enough comparable history to show analogs for this company yet.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-11-09. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 98,395 company-months from 2019 companies; financial: 5,659 company-months from 108 companies. 2349 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

What else looks like this?

Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.

ARMAN FINANCIAL SERVICES LIMITARMANFIN
Finance
49%similar
EPS growthpromoter holding
RELIGARE ENTERPRISESRELIGARE
Finance
49%similar
market cappromoter holding
UJJIVAN SMALL FINANCE BANKUJJIVANSFB
Finance
48%similar
promoter holdingEPS growth

Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.

What changed?

30 events since Jun '22

  1. JulPriceVolume reached 6.9x its 50-day median on 2026-07-27; price +8.6% that day.
  2. JunPeer rankSlipped to the bottom quartile of Finance on EPS growth (from the 3rd quartile).
  3. FebPriceRegained the 2025-10 peak, 1 month after the low.
  4. JanPriceFell 27% from the Oct 2025 peak to the Jan 2026 low.
  5. JanPriceVolume reached 18.2x its 50-day median on 2026-01-05; price +20.0% that day.
  6. JulPriceRegained the 2024-02 peak, 5 months after the low.
  7. AprValuationP/B crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (1.9x).
  8. MarPromoterPromoter holding fell 4.0 pts to 3.9% (largest drop since 2024-06).
Show 22 earlier events
  1. MarPriceVolume reached 16.3x its 50-day median on 2025-03-26; price +19.1% that day.
  2. FebPriceFell 50% from the Feb 2024 peak to the Feb 2025 low.
  3. DecPeer rankMoved into the 3rd quartile of Finance on EPS growth (from the bottom quartile).
  4. NovValuationP/B crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (1.7x).
  5. NovPriceVolume reached 10.8x its 50-day median on 2024-11-22; price +6.1% that day.
  6. JulPriceVolume reached 6.9x its 50-day median on 2024-07-05; price +4.5% that day.
  7. JunPromoterPromoter holding fell 9.6 pts to 8.0%.
  8. JunInstitutionsFII + DII holding fell 10.4 pts over 1 quarter to 3.4%.
  9. JunPriceVolume reached 8.2x its 50-day median on 2024-06-21; price +9.9% that day.
  10. JanPriceRegained the 2019-02 peak, 44 months after the low.
  11. JanPriceVolume reached 41.7x its 50-day median on 2024-01-15; price +20.0% that day.
  12. DecPriceVolume reached 23.0x its 50-day median on 2023-12-13; price +18.7% that day.
  13. JulValuationP/B crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (0.8x).
  14. JulPriceVolume reached 39.4x its 50-day median on 2023-07-17; price +8.8% that day.
  15. JunPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Finance on ROE (from the 2nd quartile).
  16. JanPriceVolume reached 8.7x its 50-day median on 2023-01-09; price +8.5% that day.
  17. DecResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
  18. DecDebtDebt / equity fell below 1.0x (0.95x).
  19. OctValuationP/B crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (0.8x).
  20. OctPriceVolume reached 34.3x its 50-day median on 2022-10-28; price +14.0% that day.
  21. SepPriceVolume reached 194.5x its 50-day median on 2022-09-21; price +19.5% that day.
  22. JunResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned positive.

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Monthly history78 months · 2020-06 to 2026-11
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEDebt / Equity
2026-1188.6x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2026-1083.1x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2026-0974.7x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2026-0873.6x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2026-0753.6x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2026-0640.6x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2026-0538.4x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2026-0437.9x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2026-0333.5x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2026-0237.3x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2026-0134.5x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2025-1234.3x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2025-1138.4x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2025-1036.3x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2025-0938.6x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2025-0831.7x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2025-0731.0x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2025-0624.9x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2025-0523.9x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2025-0421.3x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2025-0317.9x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2025-0215.6x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2025-0114.9x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2024-1217.4x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2024-1118.9x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2024-1016.3x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2024-0917.4x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2024-0818.8x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2024-0720.1x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2024-0620.9x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2024-0516.9x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2024-0418.8x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2024-0318.0x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2024-0225.2x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2024-0119.3x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2023-1213.4x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2023-1111.6x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2023-1010.8x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2023-0910.5x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2023-0812.0x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2023-079.3x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2023-067.8x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2023-057.5x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2023-047.8x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2023-037.5x₹233 cr9.0%0.9x
2023-027.1x₹244 cr9.2%0.9x
2023-018.2x₹244 cr9.2%0.9x
2022-128.5x₹244 cr9.2%0.9x
2022-117.8x₹252 cr10.0%1.4x
2022-108.5x₹252 cr10.0%1.4x
2022-096.6x₹252 cr10.0%1.4x
2022-086.0x₹255 cr10.0%1.4x
2022-075.4x₹255 cr10.0%1.4x
2022-065.1x₹255 cr10.0%1.4x
2022-055.6x₹254 cr10.0%1.7x
2022-046.4x₹254 cr10.0%1.7x
2022-036.1x₹254 cr10.0%1.7x
2022-025.8x₹258 cr10.0%1.7x
2022-017.3x₹258 cr10.0%1.7x
2021-126.0x₹258 cr10.0%1.7x
2021-115.7x₹258 cr10.0%1.7x
2021-106.6x₹258 cr10.0%1.7x
2021-097.4x₹258 cr10.0%1.7x
2021-086.5x₹258 cr10.0%1.7x
2021-077.3x₹258 cr10.0%1.7x
2021-067.5x₹258 cr10.0%1.7x
2021-056.7x₹266 cr11.0%1.9x
2021-045.6x₹266 cr11.0%1.9x
2021-036.1x₹266 cr11.0%1.9x
2021-025.6x₹266 cr11.0%1.9x
2021-015.1x₹266 cr11.0%1.9x
2020-124.8x₹266 cr11.0%1.9x
2020-114.2x₹266 cr11.0%1.9x
2020-103.4x₹266 cr11.0%1.9x
2020-093.6x₹266 cr11.0%1.9x
2020-083.9x₹266 cr11.0%1.9x
2020-073.5x₹266 cr11.0%1.9x
2020-063.9x₹266 cr11.0%1.9x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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