अApnaFunda

THOMAS SCOTT INDIA LIMITED (THOMASCOTT)

Consumer Non-Durables

Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.73 / 100
Profitability 65Growth 95Balance sheet 58

Passes these screens: Debt-light & profitable · Consistent compounders

Share Price
₹285.05
P/E
19.8x
ROCE
20.0%
Market Cap
₹423 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹267 cr
P/S
1.6x
P/B
3.1x
ROE
15.5%
Operating Margin
13.0%
Debt / Equity
0.3x
Promoter Holding
52.3%
12M Momentum
-29.4%
P/E vs its own history15th percentilesince Feb '19
P/E vs Consumer Non-Durables0.8xthe sector median

52-week range

₹221.80₹459.80
27% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
60.4%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
1.00

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
9.6x
Cash from profit, 3Y
operating cash flow ÷ net profit
-1.76x
low
Share count, 1Y
+15.4%

Was the rally earned?

-29%share price, 1 yearLower P/E held it back

Earnings helped, the multiple did not.

  • Per-share earnings added 24 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 37.3x to 19.8x), which took 54 points back.
  • The share count rose 19%.
1 year Net profit growth: +39 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+39 ptsP/E change: -54 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-54 ptsShare count change: -15 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price.-15 pts -29% 1 year Net profit growth: +39 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+39 ptsP/E change: -54 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-54 ptsShare count change: -15 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. -29%
Net profit growth+39 ptsNet profit rose about 59%, which lifts the price.
P/E change-54 ptsThe P/E fell from 37.3x to 19.8x, which lowers the price.
Share count change-15 ptsShare count rose 19%, which lowers the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Not shown for 3 years and 5 years: earnings were negative at one end, or there is not enough history.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare this with PAGE INDUSTRIES

Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?

19.8xP/E todayNear its historic low
Against its own history15th percentileMedian 32.0x; usual range 19.2x to 44.3x since 2019-02.
Against Consumer Non-Durables19.8x vs 25.4xBelow the Consumer Non-Durables median.
14.2x34.1x54.1x74.0xFeb '19Sep '20Apr '22Nov '23Jun '25Oct '2614.2x34.1x54.1x74.0xFeb '19Sep '21Apr '24Oct '26
P/E (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianConsumer Non-Durables median

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P/B (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianConsumer Non-Durables median

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P/S (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianConsumer Non-Durables median
How to read this

Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dashed line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).

Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.

All terms explained in the glossary →

How Consumer Non-Durables is valued

What is the price implying?

~25%annual earnings growth implied by the price

At a P/E of 45.4x, the price would imply about 25.1%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.

Fewer than six years of annual earnings are available, which is too little to measure delivered growth.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Consumer Non-Durables The market-wide Expectations lists

What changed?

  1. Sep '26Fell 53% from the Dec 2024 peak to the Sep 2026 low.
  2. Sep '26P/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (18.5x).
  3. Aug '26Moved into the top quartile of Consumer Non-Durables on ROCE (from the 2nd quartile).
  4. Aug '26Share count is up 15.4% over 12 months.
  5. Jun '26Moved into the top quartile of Consumer Non-Durables on EPS growth (from the 2nd quartile).
  6. Mar '26P/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (19.2x).
  7. Dec '25Year-on-year EPS growth turned positive.
  8. Dec '25Slipped to the 2nd quartile of Consumer Non-Durables on ROCE (from the top quartile).
Show 22 earlier events
  1. Sep '25Promoter holding fell 3.4 pts to 52.1% (largest drop since 2024-06).
  2. Sep '25Slipped to the 3rd quartile of Consumer Non-Durables on operating margin (from the 2nd quartile).
  3. Jul '25Share count is up 30.0% over 12 months.
  4. Jun '25Promoter holding fell 2.3 pts to 55.5% (largest drop since 2024-06).
  5. Jun '25Year-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
  6. Jun '25Slipped to the bottom quartile of Consumer Non-Durables on EPS growth (from the top quartile).
  7. Mar '25Moved into the 2nd quartile of Consumer Non-Durables on operating margin (from the 3rd quartile).
  8. Jan '25Debt / equity halved over 12 months to 0.12x.
  9. Dec '24Regained the 2024-03 peak, 1 month after the low.
  10. Nov '24Fell 47% from the Mar 2024 peak to the Nov 2024 low.
  11. Oct '24P/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (18.4x).
  12. Sep '24Slipped to the 3rd quartile of Consumer Non-Durables on operating margin (from the 2nd quartile).
  13. Jun '24Promoter holding fell 4.4 pts to 60.1%.
  14. Jun '24Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹89 cr.
  15. Jun '24Debt / equity halved over 12 months to 0.12x.
  16. Jun '24Share count is up 66.7% over 12 months.
  17. Jul '23Regained the 2022-04 peak, 4 months after the low.
  18. Jun '23Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹62 cr.
  19. Jun '23Moved into the top quartile of Consumer Non-Durables on ROCE (from the 3rd quartile).
  20. Mar '23Fell 50% from the Apr 2022 peak to the Mar 2023 low.
  21. Feb '23Debt / equity halved over 12 months to 0.00x.
  22. Jul '22Debt / equity halved over 12 months to 0.00x.

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Are profits backed by cash?

4 of 7 checks are within range, 1 near a threshold, 2 beyond a threshold.
Tap a check to see how it is measured.

Other income reliance-4%Within range

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): -4.1%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate27%Within range

Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 26.7%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.

Cash conversion-1.76xBeyond threshold

Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: -1.76x (cash from operations ₹-74 cr, net profit ₹42 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.

Free cash flow1 of 5 yrsBeyond threshold

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 1. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history+12 daysWithin range

Debtor days are above the median of the previous three fiscal years by 12 days (158 vs 146). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.

Capital work in progress31% of fixed assetsWithin range

Capital work-in-progress is 31% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days+66 days / 2 yrsNear threshold

Days payable changed by +66 over two years. Bands: rise of up to 30 days; more than 30 days.

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Over 2 years, promoters trimmed 12.2 pts; DIIs added 2.5 pts; FIIs trimmed 1.0 pts.
  • The number of shareholders rose from 5,007 to 10,486 (+109%) between Dec 2023 and Jun 2026.

Holdings, Jun '26

How each group changed

GroupDec '23Jun '26Change
Promoters64.5%52.3%-12.2 pts
FIIs1.1%0.0%-1.0 pts
DIIs0.0%2.5%+2.5 pts
Public and others34.4%45.2%+10.8 pts

Number of shareholders

10,486shareholders+109% since Dec '23
5k7k9k10k Dec '23Jun '24Dec '24Jun '25Dec '25Jun '26
Dec '23: 5,007
Mar '24: 5,137
Jun '24: 5,482
Sep '24: 6,045
Dec '24: 8,076
Mar '25: 8,011
Jun '25: 9,502
Sep '25: 9,685
Dec '25: 10,201
Mar '26: 10,191
Jun '26: 10,486
5k7k9k10k Dec '23Dec '24Dec '25Jun '26
Dec '23: 5,007
Mar '24: 5,137
Jun '24: 5,482
Sep '24: 6,045
Dec '24: 8,076
Mar '25: 8,011
Jun '25: 9,502
Sep '25: 9,685
Dec '25: 10,201
Mar '26: 10,191
Jun '26: 10,486

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-66.3%recovered 2021-06
1-year volatility60.4%annualised

Monthly share price

₹4₹156₹309₹461 Feb '19Sep '20Apr '22Nov '23Jun '25Oct '26
2019-02: ₹6.50
2019-03: ₹8.60
2019-04: ₹10.00
2019-05: ₹9.20
2019-06: ₹9.00
2019-07: ₹8.00
2019-08: ₹8.15
2019-09: ₹5.75
2019-10: ₹4.75
2019-11: ₹4.50
2019-12: ₹4.20
2020-01: ₹4.00
2020-02: ₹4.10
2020-03: ₹3.70
2020-04: ₹5.50
2020-05: ₹4.10
2020-06: ₹5.55
2020-07: ₹5.45
2020-08: ₹5.30
2020-09: ₹4.50
2020-10: ₹5.25
2020-11: ₹5.30
2020-12: ₹7.00
2021-01: ₹6.80
2021-02: ₹6.90
2021-03: ₹8.15
2021-04: ₹7.10
2021-05: ₹8.70
2021-06: ₹16.95
2021-07: ₹17.60
2021-08: ₹17.20
2021-09: ₹19.20
2021-10: ₹18.00
2021-11: ₹37.45
2021-12: ₹50.95
2022-01: ₹43.20
2022-02: ₹35.50
2022-03: ₹47.75
2022-04: ₹64.50
2022-05: ₹48.40
2022-06: ₹42.30
2022-07: ₹37.70
2022-08: ₹38.70
2022-09: ₹37.25
2022-10: ₹36.90
2022-11: ₹40.45
2022-12: ₹45.40
2023-01: ₹45.50
2023-02: ₹45.55
2023-03: ₹36.90
2023-04: ₹45.50
2023-05: ₹46.65
2023-06: ₹64.80
2023-07: ₹75.10
2023-08: ₹77.30
2023-09: ₹113.60
2023-10: ₹119.55
2023-11: ₹169.85
2023-12: ₹201.85
2024-01: ₹299.25
2024-02: ₹335.40
2024-03: ₹290.00
2024-04: ₹257.00
2024-05: ₹252.00
2024-06: ₹280.60
2024-07: ₹266.70
2024-08: ₹241.40
2024-09: ₹238.54
2024-10: ₹209.21
2024-11: ₹219.33
2024-12: ₹461.30
2025-01: ₹387.15
2025-02: ₹364.95
2025-03: ₹312.90
2025-04: ₹323.40
2025-05: ₹313.05
2025-06: ₹383.15
2025-07: ₹338.10
2025-08: ₹344.60
2025-09: ₹329.85
2025-10: ₹403.90
2025-11: ₹347.10
2025-12: ₹321.10
2026-01: ₹317.60
2026-02: ₹309.60
2026-03: ₹235.50
2026-04: ₹263.23
2026-05: ₹309.30
2026-06: ₹333.55
2026-07: ₹298.45
2026-08: ₹271.40
2026-09: ₹267.35
2026-10: ₹285.05
₹4₹156₹309₹461 Feb '19Sep '21Apr '24Oct '26
2019-02: ₹6.50
2019-03: ₹8.60
2019-04: ₹10.00
2019-05: ₹9.20
2019-06: ₹9.00
2019-07: ₹8.00
2019-08: ₹8.15
2019-09: ₹5.75
2019-10: ₹4.75
2019-11: ₹4.50
2019-12: ₹4.20
2020-01: ₹4.00
2020-02: ₹4.10
2020-03: ₹3.70
2020-04: ₹5.50
2020-05: ₹4.10
2020-06: ₹5.55
2020-07: ₹5.45
2020-08: ₹5.30
2020-09: ₹4.50
2020-10: ₹5.25
2020-11: ₹5.30
2020-12: ₹7.00
2021-01: ₹6.80
2021-02: ₹6.90
2021-03: ₹8.15
2021-04: ₹7.10
2021-05: ₹8.70
2021-06: ₹16.95
2021-07: ₹17.60
2021-08: ₹17.20
2021-09: ₹19.20
2021-10: ₹18.00
2021-11: ₹37.45
2021-12: ₹50.95
2022-01: ₹43.20
2022-02: ₹35.50
2022-03: ₹47.75
2022-04: ₹64.50
2022-05: ₹48.40
2022-06: ₹42.30
2022-07: ₹37.70
2022-08: ₹38.70
2022-09: ₹37.25
2022-10: ₹36.90
2022-11: ₹40.45
2022-12: ₹45.40
2023-01: ₹45.50
2023-02: ₹45.55
2023-03: ₹36.90
2023-04: ₹45.50
2023-05: ₹46.65
2023-06: ₹64.80
2023-07: ₹75.10
2023-08: ₹77.30
2023-09: ₹113.60
2023-10: ₹119.55
2023-11: ₹169.85
2023-12: ₹201.85
2024-01: ₹299.25
2024-02: ₹335.40
2024-03: ₹290.00
2024-04: ₹257.00
2024-05: ₹252.00
2024-06: ₹280.60
2024-07: ₹266.70
2024-08: ₹241.40
2024-09: ₹238.54
2024-10: ₹209.21
2024-11: ₹219.33
2024-12: ₹461.30
2025-01: ₹387.15
2025-02: ₹364.95
2025-03: ₹312.90
2025-04: ₹323.40
2025-05: ₹313.05
2025-06: ₹383.15
2025-07: ₹338.10
2025-08: ₹344.60
2025-09: ₹329.85
2025-10: ₹403.90
2025-11: ₹347.10
2025-12: ₹321.10
2026-01: ₹317.60
2026-02: ₹309.60
2026-03: ₹235.50
2026-04: ₹263.23
2026-05: ₹309.30
2026-06: ₹333.55
2026-07: ₹298.45
2026-08: ₹271.40
2026-09: ₹267.35
2026-10: ₹285.05

Last 90 trading days

₹234₹272₹311₹349 Jun 23Jul 20Aug 13Sep 8Oct 6Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹306.50
2026-06-25: ₹320.80
2026-06-30: ₹333.55
2026-07-02: ₹329.25
2026-07-06: ₹326.95
2026-07-08: ₹316.10
2026-07-10: ₹323.80
2026-07-14: ₹320.85
2026-07-16: ₹318.70
2026-07-20: ₹307.10
2026-07-22: ₹291.20
2026-07-24: ₹307.05
2026-07-28: ₹298.35
2026-07-30: ₹298.10
2026-08-03: ₹311.25
2026-08-05: ₹302.40
2026-08-07: ₹315.15
2026-08-11: ₹347.90
2026-08-13: ₹326.30
2026-08-17: ₹301.10
2026-08-19: ₹288.80
2026-08-21: ₹286.35
2026-08-25: ₹279.10
2026-08-27: ₹279.60
2026-08-31: ₹271.40
2026-09-02: ₹267.05
2026-09-04: ₹262.75
2026-09-08: ₹255.30
2026-09-10: ₹243.90
2026-09-15: ₹237.90
2026-09-17: ₹234.90
2026-09-21: ₹236.70
2026-09-23: ₹235.15
2026-09-25: ₹248.65
2026-09-29: ₹250.35
2026-10-01: ₹300.20
2026-10-06: ₹280.80
2026-10-08: ₹266.40
2026-10-12: ₹272.35
2026-10-14: ₹274.80
2026-10-16: ₹273.15
2026-10-21: ₹276.25
2026-10-23: ₹274.95
2026-10-27: ₹288.45
2026-10-29: ₹282.60
2026-10-30: ₹285.05
₹234₹272₹311₹349 Jun 23Aug 5Sep 17Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹306.50
2026-06-25: ₹320.80
2026-06-30: ₹333.55
2026-07-02: ₹329.25
2026-07-06: ₹326.95
2026-07-08: ₹316.10
2026-07-10: ₹323.80
2026-07-14: ₹320.85
2026-07-16: ₹318.70
2026-07-20: ₹307.10
2026-07-22: ₹291.20
2026-07-24: ₹307.05
2026-07-28: ₹298.35
2026-07-30: ₹298.10
2026-08-03: ₹311.25
2026-08-05: ₹302.40
2026-08-07: ₹315.15
2026-08-11: ₹347.90
2026-08-13: ₹326.30
2026-08-17: ₹301.10
2026-08-19: ₹288.80
2026-08-21: ₹286.35
2026-08-25: ₹279.10
2026-08-27: ₹279.60
2026-08-31: ₹271.40
2026-09-02: ₹267.05
2026-09-04: ₹262.75
2026-09-08: ₹255.30
2026-09-10: ₹243.90
2026-09-15: ₹237.90
2026-09-17: ₹234.90
2026-09-21: ₹236.70
2026-09-23: ₹235.15
2026-09-25: ₹248.65
2026-09-29: ₹250.35
2026-10-01: ₹300.20
2026-10-06: ₹280.80
2026-10-08: ₹266.40
2026-10-12: ₹272.35
2026-10-14: ₹274.80
2026-10-16: ₹273.15
2026-10-21: ₹276.25
2026-10-23: ₹274.95
2026-10-27: ₹288.45
2026-10-29: ₹282.60
2026-10-30: ₹285.05

Drawdown from peak

0% -33% -66% Feb '19Dec '22Oct '26 0% -33% -66% Feb '19Dec '22Oct '26
Largest drawdowns

-66.3% (2019-04 peak to 2020-03 low, recovered 2021-06)

-53.3% (2024-12 peak to 2026-09 low, not yet recovered)

-50.5% (2022-04 peak to 2023-03 low, recovered 2023-07)

Where does it rank among Consumer Non-Durables peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Consumer Non-Durables peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

ROCE
Op. margin
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Nov '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Oct '26
Lower rank Higher rank

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Consumer Non-Durables sector page Watch it move against Consumer Non-Durables in the Observatory

What happened next to similar setups

−3.7%typical 12-month return vs the marketNot meaningfully different from the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like THOMAS SCOTT INDIA LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −26% to +40% vs the market, against −3% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The gap against the base rate (−0.3%, 80% range −9.3% to +6.8%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
PARACABLES · Dec 2024: −54.6% vs market
VALIANTORG · May 2023: −54.2% vs market
ANNAPURNA · May 2025: −51.3% vs market
EKC · Apr 2022: −50.1% vs market
NOVAAGRI · Feb 2025: −49.9% vs market
MAHEPC · Feb 2021: −44.7% vs market
ICIL · Oct 2021: −44.0% vs market
PRATHAM · Oct 2025: −41.6% vs market
KRISHCA · Jul 2025: −36.9% vs market
REFEX · Oct 2025: −36.0% vs market
ATMASTCO · Jul 2025: −35.4% vs market
LIBAS · Feb 2020: −33.9% vs market
NGLFINE · Oct 2024: −25.9% vs market
ORBTEXP · Nov 2023: −24.3% vs market
ALANKIT · Jan 2021: −23.1% vs market
SHREEPUSHK · Sep 2022: −22.4% vs market
NILAINFRA · Jun 2020: −20.6% vs market
STERTOOLS · Jul 2023: −20.2% vs market
APOLSINHOT · Oct 2020: −16.4% vs market
DEVIT · Aug 2024: −14.3% vs market
GPTINFRA · Jul 2025: −12.4% vs market
AEROENTER · Jan 2024: −8.8% vs market
CAPACITE · Feb 2020: −6.1% vs market
KDDL · Oct 2024: −6.0% vs market
DMCC · Dec 2022: −3.9% vs market
LGBBROSLTD · Apr 2020: −3.5% vs market
CARYSIL · May 2023: −1.0% vs market
INSECTICID · Jun 2020: +0.9% vs market
VADILALIND · Aug 2023: +4.6% vs market
THEMISMED · Jun 2021: +7.3% vs market
NACLIND · Aug 2021: +8.0% vs market
SIGNPOST · Apr 2025: +10.2% vs market
ICEMAKE · Mar 2020: +11.7% vs market
VIMTALABS · Apr 2022: +11.9% vs market
GNA · Jan 2020: +21.7% vs market
CONFIPET · Aug 2022: +26.1% vs market
SDBL · Jun 2024: +38.9% vs market
TPLPLASTEH · Jan 2024: +39.7% vs market
BETA · Feb 2020: +48.9% vs market
EFFWA · Jul 2025: +50.2% vs market
DYCL · Jul 2024: +51.4% vs market
SAKAR · Mar 2022: +56.3% vs market
SALASAR · Apr 2022: +58.9% vs market
PREMIERPOL · Apr 2023: +61.3% vs market
AVTNPL · Feb 2021: +73.3% vs market
ARVSMART · Jan 2021: +82.0% vs market
SHAKTIPUMP · Feb 2020: +88.7% vs market
ACE · Apr 2020: +93.9% vs market
TI · Jul 2024: +107.5% vs market
SAREGAMA · Feb 2020: +126.9% vs market
Similar setups −3.7%All companies −3.4%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 2 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
−3.7%
All companies' median
−3.4%
Beat the market
46% vs 46%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 32 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
KRISHCA
Producer Manufacturing
Jul 2025 30x20% −31%−42% −37%
DEVIT
Technology Services
Aug 2024 33x23% +8%−18% −14%
AEROENTER
Producer Manufacturing
Jan 2024 31x17% +46%−17% −9%
SAKAR
Health Technology
Mar 2022 20x13% +20%−33% +56%
APOLSINHOT
Consumer Services
Oct 2020 10x23% −21%−26% −16%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
AVTNPL
Consumer Non-Durables
Feb 2021 20x15% +24%−16% +73%
NILAINFRA
Industrial Services
Jun 2020 11x16% −33%−35% −21%
NACLIND
Process Industries
Aug 2021 27x17% +55%−23% +8%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: 12-month momentum, P/S and drawdown from 12-month high. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to THOMAS SCOTT INDIA LIMITED. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-10-30. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 97,430 company-months from 2000 companies; financial: 5,632 company-months from 106 companies. 2240 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.
Monthly history (93 months)
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-1019.8x₹267 cr15.5%20.0%0.3x
2026-0918.5x₹267 cr15.3%20.0%0.3x
2026-0820.7x₹255 cr13.9%20.0%0.3x
2026-0722.8x₹255 cr13.9%20.0%0.3x
2026-0625.5x₹255 cr13.9%20.0%0.3x
2026-0525.2x₹225 cr16.3%20.0%0.1x
2026-0421.5x₹225 cr16.3%20.0%0.1x
2026-0319.2x₹225 cr16.3%20.0%0.1x
2026-0226.8x₹204 cr14.5%20.0%0.1x
2026-0127.5x₹204 cr14.5%20.0%0.1x
2025-1227.8x₹204 cr14.5%20.0%0.1x
2025-1132.0x₹188 cr12.7%20.0%0.1x
2025-1037.3x₹188 cr12.7%20.0%0.1x
2025-0930.5x₹188 cr12.7%20.0%0.1x
2025-0835.3x₹161 cr10.7%20.0%0.1x
2025-0734.7x₹161 cr10.7%20.0%0.1x
2025-0639.3x₹161 cr10.7%20.0%0.1x
2025-0529.7x₹139 cr22.0%31.0%0.1x
2025-0430.7x₹139 cr22.0%31.0%0.1x
2025-0329.7x₹139 cr22.0%31.0%0.1x
2025-0234.0x₹115 cr20.8%31.0%0.1x
2025-0136.1x₹115 cr20.8%31.0%0.1x
2024-1243.0x₹115 cr20.8%31.0%0.1x
2024-1119.3x₹98 cr20.1%31.0%0.1x
2024-1018.4x₹98 cr20.1%31.0%0.1x
2024-0921.0x₹98 cr20.1%31.0%0.1x
2024-0820.9x₹89 cr19.7%31.0%0.1x
2024-0723.1x₹89 cr19.7%31.0%0.1x
2024-0624.3x₹89 cr19.7%31.0%0.1x
2024-0555.6x₹62 cr19.2%28.0%0.4x
2024-0456.7x₹62 cr19.2%28.0%0.4x
2024-0364.0x₹62 cr19.2%28.0%0.4x
2024-0274.0x₹62 cr19.2%28.0%0.4x
2024-0166.1x₹62 cr19.2%28.0%0.4x
2023-1244.6x₹62 cr19.2%28.0%0.4x
2023-1137.5x₹62 cr19.2%28.0%0.4x
2023-1026.4x₹62 cr19.2%28.0%0.4x
2023-0925.1x₹62 cr19.2%28.0%0.4x
2023-0817.1x₹62 cr19.2%28.0%0.4x
2023-0716.6x₹62 cr19.2%28.0%0.4x
2023-0614.3x₹62 cr19.2%28.0%0.4x
2023-0540.9x₹32 cr6.2%12.0%0.0x
2023-0439.9x₹32 cr6.2%12.0%0.0x
2023-0332.4x₹32 cr6.2%12.0%0.0x
2023-0240.0x₹32 cr6.2%12.0%0.0x
2023-0139.9x₹32 cr6.2%12.0%0.0x
2022-1239.8x₹32 cr6.2%12.0%0.0x
2022-1135.5x₹32 cr6.2%12.0%0.0x
2022-1032.4x₹32 cr6.2%12.0%0.0x
2022-0932.7x₹32 cr6.2%12.0%0.0x
2022-0833.9x₹32 cr6.2%12.0%0.0x
2022-0733.1x₹32 cr6.2%12.0%0.0x
2022-0637.1x₹32 cr6.2%12.0%0.0x
2022-05—₹21 cr-2.4%7.0%1.0x
2022-04—₹21 cr-2.4%7.0%1.0x
2022-03—₹21 cr-2.4%7.0%1.0x
2022-02—₹21 cr-2.4%7.0%1.0x
2022-01—₹21 cr-2.4%7.0%1.0x
2021-12—₹21 cr-2.4%7.0%1.0x
2021-11—₹21 cr-2.4%7.0%1.0x
2021-10—₹21 cr-2.4%7.0%1.0x
2021-09—₹21 cr-2.4%7.0%1.0x
2021-08—₹21 cr-2.4%7.0%1.0x
2021-07—₹21 cr-2.4%7.0%1.0x
2021-06—₹21 cr-2.4%7.0%1.0x
2021-05—₹22 cr-42.2%-10.0%1.5x
2021-04—₹22 cr-42.2%-10.0%1.5x
2021-03—₹22 cr-42.2%-10.0%1.5x
2021-02—₹22 cr-42.2%-10.0%1.5x
2021-01—₹22 cr-42.2%-10.0%1.5x
2020-12—₹22 cr-42.2%-10.0%1.5x
2020-11—₹22 cr-42.2%-10.0%1.5x
2020-10—₹22 cr-42.2%-10.0%1.5x
2020-09—₹22 cr-42.2%-10.0%1.5x
2020-08—₹22 cr-42.2%-10.0%1.5x
2020-07—₹22 cr-42.2%-10.0%1.5x
2020-06—₹22 cr-42.2%-10.0%1.5x
2020-05—₹21 cr-17.8%-5.0%0.8x
2020-04—₹21 cr-17.8%-5.0%0.8x
2020-03—₹21 cr-17.8%-5.0%0.8x
2020-02—₹21 cr-17.8%-5.0%0.8x
2020-01—₹21 cr-17.8%-5.0%0.8x
2019-12—₹21 cr-17.8%-5.0%0.8x
2019-11—₹21 cr-17.8%-5.0%0.8x
2019-10—₹21 cr-17.8%-5.0%0.8x
2019-09—₹21 cr-17.8%-5.0%0.8x
2019-08—₹21 cr-17.8%-5.0%0.8x
2019-07—₹21 cr-17.8%-5.0%0.8x
2019-06—₹21 cr-17.8%-5.0%0.8x
2019-05—₹20 cr-9.2%-2.0%0.6x
2019-04—₹20 cr-9.2%-2.0%0.6x
2019-03—₹20 cr-9.2%-2.0%0.6x
2019-02—₹20 cr-9.2%-2.0%0.6x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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