अApnaFunda

AVIO SMART MARKET STACK LTD (ASMS)

Miscellaneous · figures to Nov '26

Passes these screensDebt-light & profitable

Share price

Closing priceAdjusted for splits and bonus issues.

₹5.62 latest close · −21.2% over the last 90 sessions

₹6₹7Jul 3Jul 29Aug 24Sep 17Oct 14Nov 9 ₹6₹7Jul 3Sep 4Nov 9

₹5.62 month-end · −53.1% over 12 months

₹6₹8₹10₹12Nov '25Jan '26Apr '26Jun '26Sep '26Nov '26 ₹6₹8₹10₹12Nov '25May '26Nov '26

₹5.62 month-end · −68.6% over 3 years

₹10₹20Nov '23Jun '24Jan '25Sep '25Apr '26Nov '26 ₹10₹20Nov '23May '25Nov '26

₹5.62 month-end · −19.1% since Feb '23

₹10₹20Feb '23Nov '23Aug '24May '25Feb '26Nov '26 ₹10₹20Feb '23Jan '25Nov '26

52-week range ₹4.68 to ₹16.70 · 1-year volatility 50.3%

Was the rally earned?

-53%share price, 1 yearEarnings-driven

Mostly earnings.

  • Per-share earnings took off 246 points, while the multiple moved less (P/E 1.9x to 29.6x).
  • The share count fell 53%.
Net profit growth: −299 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).−299 ptsNet profit growthP/E change: +193 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.+193 ptsP/E changeShare count change: +53 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price.+53 ptsShare count changeShare price: −53%−53%Share priceNet profit growth: −299 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).−299ProfitP/E change: +193 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.+193P/EShare count change: +53 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price.+53SharesShare price: −53%−53%Share price
Net profit growth-299 ptsNet profit fell about 99%, which lowers the price.
P/E change+193 ptsThe P/E rose from 1.9x to 29.6x, which lifts the price.
Share count change+53 ptsShare count fell 53%, which lifts the price.
-69%share price, 3 yearsEarnings-driven

Mostly earnings.

  • Per-share earnings took off 208 points, while the multiple moved less (P/E 2.8x to 29.6x).
  • The share count fell 53%.
Net profit growth: −252 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).−252 ptsNet profit growthP/E change: +139 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.+139 ptsP/E changeShare count change: +45 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price.+45 ptsShare count changeShare price: −69%−69%Share priceNet profit growth: −252 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).−252ProfitP/E change: +139 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.+139P/EShare count change: +45 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price.+45SharesShare price: −69%−69%Share price
Net profit growth-252 ptsNet profit fell about 99%, which lowers the price.
P/E change+139 ptsThe P/E rose from 2.8x to 29.6x, which lifts the price.
Share count change+45 ptsShare count fell 53%, which lifts the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Not shown for 5 years: earnings were negative at one end, or there is not enough history.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare with other companies

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-81.6%not yet recovered
1-year volatility50.3%annualised

Drawdown from peak

0%−25%−50%−75%202420252026−81.6% 0%−25%−50%−75%202420252026−81.6%
Largest drawdowns

-81.6% (2024-02 peak to 2026-10 low, not yet recovered)

-64.4% (2023-02 peak to 2023-03 low, recovered 2023-10)

-15.0% (2023-11 peak to 2023-12 low, recovered 2024-01)

Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?

29.6xP/E todayNear its historic high
Against its own history88th percentile
CheapestMedian 2.6xDearest

Usual range 1.7x to 30.0x since 2023-02.

1.1x13.2x25.3x37.5xFeb '23Nov '23Aug '24May '25Feb '26Nov '261.1x13.2x25.3x37.5xFeb '23May '24Aug '25Nov '26
P/E (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts median

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P/B (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts median

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P/S (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts median
How to read this

Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dotted line: its median.

Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.

All terms explained in the glossary →

How Miscellaneous is valued

What is the price implying?

~-6%annual earnings growth implied by the price

At a P/E of 2.7x, the price would imply about −5.6%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.

Fewer than six years of annual earnings are available, which is too little to measure delivered growth.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

The market-wide Expectations lists

Key figures

Share Priceclose 9 Nov
₹5.62
P/E
29.6x
ROCE
16.0%
Market Cap
₹172 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹104 cr
P/S
1.7x
P/B
5.0x
ROE
17.1%
Operating Margin
1.1%
Debt / Equity
0.3x
Promoter Holding
65.8%
12M Momentum
-53.1%

52-week range

₹4.68₹16.70
8% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
50.3%

Balance sheet & cash

Debt service
no meaningful debt
Cash from profit, 3Y
operating cash flow ÷ net profit
-0.01x
low
Share count, 1Y
unchanged

Are profits backed by cash?

2 of 6checks within range2 beyond a threshold
Other income reliance29%Near threshold

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 28.5%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate4%Beyond threshold

Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 4.2%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.

Cash conversion-0.01xBeyond threshold

Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: -0.01x (cash from operations ₹-5 cr, net profit ₹420 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.

Free cash flow3 of 5 yrsNear threshold

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 3. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history-2272 daysWithin range

Debtor days are below the median of the previous three fiscal years by 2272 days (91 vs 2363). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.

Capital work in progress—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Payable days-23263 days / 2 yrsWithin range

Days payable changed by -23263 over two years. Bands: rise of up to 30 days; more than 30 days.

Tap a check to see how it is measured

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Over 3 years, promoters trimmed 24.2 pts; FIIs added 1.5 pts.
  • The number of shareholders rose from 35,948 to 71,131 (+98%) between Sep 2023 and Jun 2026.

Holdings, Jun '26

How each group changed

GroupSep '23Jun '26Change
Promoters90.0%65.8%-24.2 pts
FIIs0.0%1.5%+1.5 pts
DIIs0.2%0.2%0.0 pts
Public and others9.8%32.5%+22.7 pts

Number of shareholders

71,131shareholders+98% since Sep '23
36k48k60k72k Sep '23Mar '24Sep '24Mar '25Sep '25Jun '26
Sep '23: 35,948
Dec '23: 35,688
Mar '24: 38,594
Jun '24: 39,610
Sep '24: 48,054
Dec '24: 50,472
Mar '25: 59,477
Jun '25: 60,221
Sep '25: 61,747
Mar '26: 72,319
Jun '26: 71,131
36k48k60k72k Sep '23Sep '24Sep '25Jun '26
Sep '23: 35,948
Dec '23: 35,688
Mar '24: 38,594
Jun '24: 39,610
Sep '24: 48,054
Dec '24: 50,472
Mar '25: 59,477
Jun '25: 60,221
Sep '25: 61,747
Mar '26: 72,319
Jun '26: 71,131

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

What happened next to similar setups

−11.5%typical 12-month return vs the marketNot meaningfully different from the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like AVIO SMART MARKET STACK LTD today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −37% to +10% vs the market, against −6% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The gap against the base rate (−5.2%, 80% range −16.3% to +3.5%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
GIRIRAJ · Oct 2025: −76.7% vs market
MCL · Jun 2021: −71.2% vs market
KOTYARK · Jan 2025: −71.0% vs market
DIL · May 2023: −67.5% vs market
GVPIL · Jun 2021: −63.2% vs market
MCON · Jun 2025: −59.0% vs market
NEWJAISA · May 2025: −58.6% vs market
HILTON · Nov 2024: −51.9% vs market
RAMCOSYS · Dec 2021: −48.3% vs market
FALCONTECH · Jun 2025: −45.6% vs market
ANNAPURNA · Aug 2025: −44.6% vs market
USASEEDS · Jun 2024: −42.5% vs market
VISDEM · Dec 2024: −36.9% vs market
INFOBEAN · Jul 2023: −35.6% vs market
VITAL · Dec 2023: −31.9% vs market
DUGLOBAL · Oct 2025: −31.2% vs market
FMNL · Jan 2020: −30.6% vs market
BTML · Aug 2024: −27.9% vs market
LAL · Jul 2025: −27.8% vs market
PRATHAM · Jun 2025: −25.4% vs market
VIKASECO · Oct 2023: −25.2% vs market
ALANKIT · Apr 2021: −19.7% vs market
TEXRAIL · May 2020: −15.8% vs market
ASTRON · Apr 2020: −14.2% vs market
CEMPRO · Jan 2020: −13.6% vs market
DMCC · May 2023: −9.4% vs market
POKARNA · Jan 2023: −9.0% vs market
APOLSINHOT · Aug 2024: −6.8% vs market
TCL · Jun 2025: −6.7% vs market
WSI · May 2025: −1.0% vs market
SDBL · Feb 2021: +0.2% vs market
DYNAMIC · Sep 2025: +0.9% vs market
SEPC · May 2020: +4.3% vs market
LATTEYS · Sep 2025: +4.9% vs market
WEIZMANIND · Jan 2024: +4.9% vs market
KRISHCA · Sep 2025: +7.8% vs market
FELIX · Jan 2025: +9.8% vs market
KABRAEXTRU · Dec 2023: +10.1% vs market
VIKASLIFE · Apr 2023: +11.7% vs market
REMUS · Oct 2025: +23.8% vs market
PILITA · Aug 2021: +24.4% vs market
AIRAN · Jun 2020: +43.8% vs market
MARINE · Jun 2022: +46.9% vs market
OPTIEMUS · Jul 2023: +54.9% vs market
SONAMLTD · Oct 2025: +88.0% vs market
ZENTEC · Mar 2020: +89.2% vs market
NGLFINE · Apr 2025: +89.8% vs market
TOUCHWOOD · Aug 2022: +90.3% vs market
NEULANDLAB · May 2022: +134.3% vs market
ROSSELLIND · Nov 2021: +154.2% vs market
Similar setups −11.5%All companies −6.3%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 2 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
−11.5%
All companies' median
−6.3%
Beat the market
40% vs 43%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 33 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
VITAL
Process Industries
Dec 2023 28x15% −27%−27% −32%
KABRAEXTRU
Producer Manufacturing
Dec 2023 38x15% −13%−33% +10%
DMCC
Process Industries
May 2023 29x15% −36%−44% −9%
OPTIEMUS
Distribution Services
Jul 2023 42x14% −24%−43% +55%
BTML
Consumer Services
Aug 2024 65x19% −8%−41% −28%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
KRISHCA
Producer Manufacturing
Sep 2025 25x20% −47%−48% +8%
ANNAPURNA
Consumer Non-Durables
Aug 2025 25x13% −48%−49% −45%
DYNAMIC
Commercial Services
Sep 2025 18x16% −55%−67% +1%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: drawdown from 12-month high, 12-month momentum and P/S. Not used (unavailable for this company): interest cover. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to AVIO SMART MARKET STACK LTD. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-11-09. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 98,395 company-months from 2019 companies; financial: 5,659 company-months from 108 companies. 2349 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

What changed?

14 events since Mar '23

  1. OctPriceFell 82% from the Feb 2024 peak to the Oct 2026 low.
  2. JunResultsRevenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹100 cr.
  3. JunValuationP/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (37.5x).
  4. DecPromoterPromoter holding fell 5.6 pts to 69.4% (largest drop since 2025-06).
  5. NovValuationP/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (1.9x).
  6. JunPromoterPromoter holding fell 6.3 pts to 75.0%.
  7. MarPromoterPromoter holding fell 4.3 pts to 81.3%.
  8. MarInstitutionsFII + DII holding rose 3.2 pts over 1 quarter to 3.4%.
Show 6 earlier events
  1. DecPromoterPromoter holding fell 4.2 pts to 85.6%.
  2. FebDebtDebt / equity halved over 12 months to 0.00x.
  3. OctPriceRegained the 2023-02 peak, 7 months after the low.
  4. JunResultsEPS (TTM) turned positive.
  5. JunDebtDebt / equity fell below 1.0x (0.00x).
  6. MarPriceFell 64% from the Feb 2023 peak to the Mar 2023 low.

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Monthly history46 months · 2023-02 to 2026-11
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-1129.6x₹104 cr17.1%16.0%0.3x
2026-1030.0x₹104 cr17.4%16.0%0.3x
2026-0931.9x₹104 cr17.4%16.0%0.3x
2026-0837.0x₹100 cr17.4%16.0%0.3x
2026-0736.9x₹100 cr17.4%16.0%0.3x
2026-0637.5x₹100 cr17.4%16.0%0.3x
2026-051.2x₹53 cr——0.0x
2026-041.2x₹53 cr——0.0x
2026-031.1x₹53 cr——0.0x
2026-021.6x₹53 cr——0.0x
2026-011.7x₹53 cr——0.0x
2025-121.9x₹53 cr——0.0x
2025-111.9x₹53 cr——0.0x
2025-102.1x₹53 cr——0.0x
2025-092.2x₹53 cr——0.0x
2025-081.9x₹53 cr——0.0x
2025-072.1x₹53 cr——0.0x
2025-062.1x₹53 cr——0.0x
2025-052.4x₹53 cr78.1%0.0%0.0x
2025-042.5x₹53 cr78.1%0.0%0.0x
2025-032.1x₹53 cr78.1%0.0%0.0x
2025-022.3x₹53 cr78.1%0.0%0.0x
2025-013.0x₹53 cr78.1%0.0%0.0x
2024-122.9x₹53 cr78.1%0.0%0.0x
2024-113.1x₹53 cr78.1%0.0%0.0x
2024-103.2x₹53 cr78.1%0.0%0.0x
2024-093.1x₹53 cr78.1%0.0%0.0x
2024-082.8x₹53 cr78.1%0.0%0.0x
2024-073.5x₹53 cr78.1%0.0%0.0x
2024-063.2x₹53 cr78.1%0.0%0.0x
2024-053.2x₹53 cr78.1%0.0%0.0x
2024-043.8x₹53 cr78.1%0.0%0.0x
2024-032.8x₹53 cr78.1%0.0%0.0x
2024-023.7x₹53 cr78.1%0.0%0.0x
2024-014.0x₹53 cr78.1%0.0%0.0x
2023-122.7x₹53 cr78.1%0.0%0.0x
2023-112.8x₹53 cr78.1%0.0%0.0x
2023-102.4x₹53 cr78.1%0.0%0.0x
2023-091.7x₹53 cr78.1%0.0%0.0x
2023-081.7x₹53 cr78.1%0.0%0.0x
2023-072.0x₹53 cr78.1%0.0%0.0x
2023-061.8x₹53 cr78.1%0.0%0.0x
2023-05—₹59 cr-60.1%0.0%17.5x
2023-04—₹59 cr-60.1%0.0%17.5x
2023-03—₹59 cr-60.1%0.0%17.5x
2023-02—₹64 cr-77.4%0.0%17.5x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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