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GRAND CONTINENT HOTELS LIMITED (GCHOTELS)

Consumer Services · Hotels/Resorts/Cruise lines · figures to Nov '26

Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.59 / 100
Profitability 61Balance sheet 58
Compare withINDIAN HOTELS COITC HOTELSLEELA PALACES HOTELS & RESORTS

Share price

Closing priceAdjusted for splits and bonus issues.

₹104 latest close · −9.8% over the last 90 sessions

₹100₹120Jul 3Jul 29Aug 24Sep 17Oct 14Nov 9 ₹100₹120Jul 3Sep 4Nov 9

₹104 month-end · −37.0% over 12 months

₹100₹150Nov '25Jan '26Apr '26Jun '26Sep '26Nov '26 ₹100₹150Nov '25May '26Nov '26

₹104 month-end · −7.6% since Mar '25

₹100₹150₹200Mar '25Jul '25Nov '25Mar '26Jul '26Nov '26 ₹100₹150₹200Mar '25Jan '26Nov '26

52-week range ₹76.50 to ₹204.00 · 1-year volatility 59.6%

Was the rally earned?

-37%share price, 1 yearLower P/E held it back

Earnings helped, the multiple did not.

  • Per-share earnings added 12 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 38.6x to 20.9x), which took 49 points back.
  • The share count fell 7%.
Net profit growth: +7 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+7 ptsNet profit growthP/E change: −49 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.−49 ptsP/E changeShare count change: +5 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price.+5 ptsShare count changeShare price: −37%−37%Share priceNet profit growth: +7 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+7ProfitP/E change: −49 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.−49P/EShare count change: +5 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price.+5SharesShare price: −37%−37%Share price
Net profit growth+7 ptsNet profit rose about 9%, which lifts the price.
P/E change-49 ptsThe P/E fell from 38.6x to 20.9x, which lowers the price.
Share count change+5 ptsShare count fell 7%, which lifts the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Not shown for 3 years and 5 years: earnings were negative at one end, or there is not enough history.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare this with INDIAN HOTELS CO

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-67.3%not yet recovered
1-year volatility59.6%annualised

Drawdown from peak

0%−20%−40%−60%2026−64.9% 0%−20%−40%−60%2026−64.9%
Largest drawdowns

-67.3% (2025-08 peak to 2026-03 low, not yet recovered)

-15.1% (2025-05 peak to 2025-06 low, recovered 2025-06)

Where does it rank among Consumer Services peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Consumer Services peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

Where it ranks today

  • ROCE61st▼ 15 pts vs a year ago
  • Revenue growth98th
  • EPS growth70th
  • Debt/equity ↓42nd▼ 23 pts vs a year ago
  • Cash cycle ↓88th▲ 7 pts vs a year ago
  • P/E ↓54th▲ 16 pts vs a year ago
  • 12M momentum29th

Rank history

ROCE
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Dec '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Jul '26Nov '26
Lower rank Higher rank Not enough data

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Consumer Services sector page Watch it move against Consumer Services in the Observatory

What is the price implying?

~25%annual earnings growth implied by the price

At a P/E of 46.4x, the price would imply about 25.4%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.

Fewer than six years of annual earnings are available, which is too little to measure delivered growth.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Consumer Services The market-wide Expectations lists

Key figures

Share Priceclose 9 Nov
₹104.00
P/E
20.9x
ROCE
12.0%
Market Cap
₹259 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹141 cr
P/S
1.8x
P/B
2.2x
ROE
10.4%
Debt / Equity
0.3x
Promoter Holding
54.9%
12M Momentum
-37.0%

52-week range

₹76.50₹204.00
22% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
59.6%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
0.91

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
5.7x
Cash from profit, 3Y
operating cash flow ÷ net profit
-0.48x
low
Share count, 1Y
unchanged

Are profits backed by cash?

2 of 4checks within range2 beyond a threshold
Other income reliance14%Within range

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 14.3%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Cash conversion-0.48xBeyond threshold

Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: -0.48x (cash from operations ₹-13 cr, net profit ₹27 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.

Free cash flow1 of 5 yrsBeyond threshold

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 1. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Capital work in progress6% of fixed assetsWithin range

Capital work-in-progress is 6% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Tap a check to see how it is measured

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

What happened next to similar setups

−4.7%typical 12-month return vs the marketNot meaningfully different from the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like GRAND CONTINENT HOTELS LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −28% to +23% vs the market, against −5% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The gap against the base rate (+0.5%, 80% range −13.3% to +11.9%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
NEWJAISA · Feb 2025: −78.9% vs market
GIRIRAJ · Oct 2025: −76.7% vs market
ANNAPURNA · Aug 2025: −44.6% vs market
ZEELEARN · Jan 2020: −44.0% vs market
INVENTURE · May 2025: −42.0% vs market
TEXRAIL · Apr 2020: −37.1% vs market
KRISHCA · Aug 2025: −35.7% vs market
ALMONDZ · Jul 2025: −34.4% vs market
FMNL · Feb 2020: −34.2% vs market
GSLSU · Nov 2024: −32.6% vs market
SIGACHI · Nov 2024: −31.8% vs market
VITAL · Apr 2024: −31.5% vs market
BTML · Mar 2025: −28.3% vs market
KABRAEXTRU · Oct 2023: −27.5% vs market
NILAINFRA · Feb 2025: −25.7% vs market
VIKASECO · Oct 2023: −25.2% vs market
SEPC · Apr 2020: −23.8% vs market
BBTCL · May 2023: −23.2% vs market
MARATHON · Jun 2020: −22.5% vs market
DYNAMIC · Apr 2025: −22.4% vs market
DMCC · Feb 2023: −17.3% vs market
VISHNUINFR · Aug 2025: −16.8% vs market
NEULANDLAB · Oct 2021: −14.1% vs market
TCL · Mar 2025: −10.2% vs market
SWELECTES · Mar 2025: −5.4% vs market
ASAL · Jan 2023: −4.0% vs market
KOTYARK · Aug 2023: +0.2% vs market
WEIZMANIND · Dec 2023: +1.9% vs market
SKP · Jul 2024: +8.1% vs market
RPPL · Nov 2022: +11.4% vs market
APOLLO · May 2021: +12.4% vs market
ABSMARINE · Jun 2025: +12.9% vs market
VIKASLIFE · Jan 2023: +16.8% vs market
ONEPOINT · Aug 2025: +18.4% vs market
AIRAN · Aug 2020: +18.7% vs market
STERTOOLS · Jan 2024: +19.9% vs market
OMINFRAL · Sep 2021: +22.1% vs market
WELENT · Apr 2020: +22.9% vs market
ASAHISONG · Jan 2020: +52.9% vs market
SONAMLTD · Sep 2025: +53.2% vs market
OPTIEMUS · Jul 2023: +54.9% vs market
SAKAR · Apr 2022: +59.3% vs market
ARHAM · Apr 2025: +61.5% vs market
ZENTEC · Mar 2020: +89.2% vs market
VIMTALABS · Jun 2020: +91.5% vs market
SHAKTIPUMP · Apr 2020: +102.4% vs market
ROSSELLIND · Jan 2022: +111.8% vs market
PANSARI · Jun 2024: +114.6% vs market
BETA · Apr 2020: +117.0% vs market
ARROWGREEN · May 2022: +254.3% vs market
Similar setups −4.7%All companies −5.2%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 5 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
−4.7%
All companies' median
−5.2%
Beat the market
48% vs 44%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 34 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
APOLLO
Electronic Technology		 May 2021 16x— +30%−26% +12%
RPPL
Process Industries		 Nov 2022 19x— −15%−40% +11%
VITAL
Process Industries		 Apr 2024 28x15% −2%−25% −32%
KOTYARK
Process Industries		 Aug 2023 36x— −25%−29% 0%
DYNAMIC
Commercial Services		 Apr 2025 28x15% −32%−55% −22%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
SONAMLTD
Consumer Durables		 Sep 2025 28x13% −42%−54% +53%
FMNL
Transportation		 Feb 2020 11x8% −48%−66% −34%
ARHAM
Consumer Durables		 Apr 2025 29x— −43%−53% +62%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: drawdown from 12-month high, 12-month momentum and interest cover. Not used (unavailable for this company): operating margin. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to GRAND CONTINENT HOTELS LIMITED. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-11-09. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 98,395 company-months from 2019 companies; financial: 5,659 company-months from 108 companies. 2349 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

What changed?

7 events since Jun '25

  1. JunResultsRevenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹141 cr.
  2. JunPeer rankSlipped to the 2nd quartile of Consumer Services on ROCE (from the top quartile).
  3. MarPriceFell 67% from the Aug 2025 peak to the Mar 2026 low.
  4. MarDebtDebt / equity halved over 12 months to 0.10x.
  5. MarSharesShare count is up 200.0% over 12 months.
  6. DecInstitutionsFII + DII holding fell 3.3 pts over 1 quarter to 14.2%.
  7. JunDebtDebt / equity fell below 1.0x (0.10x).

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Monthly history21 months · 2025-03 to 2026-11
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-1120.9x₹141 cr10.4%12.0%0.3x
2026-1020.3x₹141 cr10.4%12.0%0.3x
2026-0924.0x₹141 cr10.4%12.0%0.3x
2026-0818.7x₹141 cr10.4%12.0%0.3x
2026-0721.9x₹141 cr10.4%12.0%0.3x
2026-0625.0x₹141 cr10.4%12.0%0.3x
2026-0526.3x₹73 cr10.6%19.0%0.1x
2026-0422.4x₹73 cr10.6%19.0%0.1x
2026-0318.3x₹73 cr10.6%19.0%0.1x
2026-0226.0x₹73 cr10.6%19.0%0.1x
2026-0131.6x₹73 cr10.6%19.0%0.1x
2025-1239.1x₹73 cr10.6%19.0%0.1x
2025-1138.6x₹73 cr10.6%19.0%0.1x
2025-1045.9x₹73 cr10.6%19.0%0.1x
2025-0943.9x₹73 cr10.6%19.0%0.1x
2025-0853.6x₹73 cr10.6%19.0%0.1x
2025-0739.4x₹73 cr10.6%19.0%0.1x
2025-0635.0x₹73 cr10.6%19.0%0.1x
2025-0570.6x₹31 cr3.0%18.0%1.1x
2025-0468.3x₹31 cr3.0%18.0%1.1x
2025-0349.6x₹31 cr3.0%18.0%1.1x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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