अApnaFunda

MADHUCON PROJECTS LIMITED (MADHUCON)

Industrial Services · Engineering & Construction · figures to Nov '26

Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.19 / 100
Profitability 37Growth 1

Share price

Closing priceAdjusted for splits and bonus issues.

₹4.26 latest close · −30.3% over the last 90 sessions

₹4₹5₹6Jul 3Jul 29Aug 24Sep 17Oct 14Nov 9 ₹4₹5₹6Jul 3Sep 4Nov 9

₹4.26 month-end · −29.7% over 12 months

₹4₹5₹6Nov '25Jan '26Apr '26Jun '26Sep '26Nov '26 ₹4₹5₹6Nov '25May '26Nov '26

₹4.26 month-end · −48.0% over 3 years

₹5₹10₹15Nov '23Jun '24Jan '25Sep '25Apr '26Nov '26 ₹5₹10₹15Nov '23May '25Nov '26

₹4.26 month-end · −28.4% since Jan '19

₹5₹10₹15Jan '19Aug '20Mar '22Sep '23Apr '25Nov '26 ₹5₹10₹15Jan '19Dec '22Nov '26

52-week range ₹3.55 to ₹7.51 · 1-year volatility 47.7%

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-85.1%recovered 2021-12
1-year volatility47.7%annualised

Drawdown from peak

0%−25%−50%−75%2020202120222023202420252026−84.6% 0%−25%−50%−75%2020202220242026−84.6%
Largest drawdowns

-85.1% (2019-05 peak to 2020-04 low, recovered 2021-12)

-81.0% (2024-07 peak to 2026-03 low, not yet recovered)

-72.5% (2022-01 peak to 2023-03 low, recovered 2024-07)

Where does it rank among Industrial Services peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Industrial Services peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

Where it ranks today

  • ROCE1stflat vs a year ago
  • Op. margin74th▲ 69 pts vs a year ago
  • Revenue growth8th▲ 7 pts vs a year ago
  • Cash cycle ↓90th▲ 7 pts vs a year ago
  • 12M momentum41st▲ 21 pts vs a year ago

Rank history

ROCE
Op. margin
Revenue growth
Cash cycle ↓
12M momentum
Dec '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Jul '26Nov '26
Lower rank Higher rank Not enough data

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Industrial Services sector page Watch it move against Industrial Services in the Observatory

What is the price implying?

Trailing earnings per share are negative, so a P/E-based figure does not exist. See the loss-makers list on the Expectations Gap page for a revenue-based version.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Industrial Services The market-wide Expectations lists

Key figures

Share Priceclose 9 Nov
₹4.26
ROCE
-34.0%
Market Cap
₹31 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹444 cr
P/S
0.1x
Operating Margin
21.0%
Promoter Holding
59.1%
12M Momentum
-29.7%

52-week range

₹3.55₹7.51
18% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
47.7%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
0.70

Balance sheet & cash

Debt service
no meaningful debt
Share count, 1Y
unchanged

Are profits backed by cash?

2 of 4checks within range2 beyond a threshold
Other income reliance—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Tax rate—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Cash conversion—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Free cash flow1 of 5 yrsBeyond threshold

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 1. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history+1 daysWithin range

Debtor days are above the median of the previous three fiscal years by 1 days (4 vs 3). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.

Capital work in progress105% of fixed assetsBeyond threshold

Capital work-in-progress is 105% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days+27 days / 2 yrsWithin range

Days payable changed by +27 over two years. Bands: rise of up to 30 days; more than 30 days.

Tap a check to see how it is measured

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Over 2 years, institutional and promoter holdings were broadly unchanged.

Holdings, Jun '26

How each group changed

GroupDec '23Jun '26Change
Promoters59.1%59.1%0.0 pts
FIIs0.0%0.0%0.0 pts
DIIs———
Public and others40.9%40.9%0.0 pts

Number of shareholders

19,924shareholders+1% since Dec '23
20k20k20k21k Dec '23Jun '24Dec '24Dec '25Jun '26
Dec '23: 19,688
Mar '24: 19,714
Jun '24: 19,615
Sep '24: 20,606
Dec '24: 20,510
Mar '25: 20,643
Dec '25: 20,219
Mar '26: 20,067
Jun '26: 19,924
20k20k20k21k Dec '23Sep '24Dec '25Jun '26
Dec '23: 19,688
Mar '24: 19,714
Jun '24: 19,615
Sep '24: 20,606
Dec '24: 20,510
Mar '25: 20,643
Dec '25: 20,219
Mar '26: 20,067
Jun '26: 19,924

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

What happened next to similar setups

+30.6%typical 12-month return vs the marketAbove the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like MADHUCON PROJECTS LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, margins, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −4% to +66% vs the market, against +2% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The analogs' median sat above that base rate (gap +28.6%, 80% range +12.3% to +29.2%), but the matches cluster in only 6 distinct 12-month windows.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
SETCO · Apr 2022: −56.5% vs market
ASTRON · Feb 2024: −53.7% vs market
LEXUS · May 2025: −45.2% vs market
ATLASCYCLE · Feb 2020: −44.3% vs market
AROGRANITE · Oct 2025: −36.5% vs market
SHANTI · Sep 2023: −32.1% vs market
SHYAMTEL · Dec 2022: −30.2% vs market
BASML · Mar 2024: −24.9% vs market
NAGAFERT · Jan 2020: −22.8% vs market
TAKE · May 2023: −18.9% vs market
VGL · May 2023: −17.1% vs market
SHIVAMILLS · Feb 2024: −15.7% vs market
S&SPOWER · Mar 2021: −5.4% vs market
AGROPHOS · Apr 2025: +0.4% vs market
INFOMEDIA · Jun 2022: +6.8% vs market
GLOBALVECT · Feb 2022: +9.0% vs market
ESSARSHPNG · May 2022: +9.9% vs market
BLBLIMITED · May 2025: +11.4% vs market
AURUS · May 2021: +11.9% vs market
MALUPAPER · Jul 2023: +12.8% vs market
NKIND · Dec 2020: +12.9% vs market
MCLEODRUSS · Feb 2023: +18.3% vs market
LAXMICOT · Sep 2023: +20.7% vs market
ANIKINDS · Jan 2020: +21.7% vs market
SUPERSPIN · May 2024: +30.3% vs market
PEARLPOLY · May 2021: +30.8% vs market
SHAHALLOYS · Jul 2020: +31.4% vs market
SUPREMEINF · Feb 2022: +31.5% vs market
TVVISION · Mar 2020: +32.4% vs market
SIMPLEXINF · Oct 2021: +32.7% vs market
PRAKASHSTL · Feb 2023: +33.1% vs market
VISACHROME · Mar 2020: +33.9% vs market
SHIVATEX · Oct 2023: +34.1% vs market
KOTHARIPRO · Dec 2021: +42.0% vs market
STCINDIA · May 2020: +45.5% vs market
A2ZINFRA · Feb 2023: +54.0% vs market
NAGREEKCAP · Jan 2021: +60.4% vs market
HCL-INSYS · Apr 2021: +67.2% vs market
JISLDVREQS · Nov 2022: +68.4% vs market
BHARATGEAR · Sep 2020: +80.1% vs market
FLEXITUFF · Jul 2023: +86.4% vs market
ASAL · Jul 2020: +98.0% vs market
IMAGICAA · Apr 2021: +106.3% vs market
DCM · May 2021: +117.7% vs market
MOHITIND · Dec 2023: +118.1% vs market
BAJAJHIND · Nov 2022: +147.8% vs market
GTL · Apr 2020: +152.7% vs market
NITCO · Aug 2023: +168.1% vs market
BEDMUTHA · Mar 2021: +178.1% vs market
SOMATEX · Feb 2020: +182.8% vs market
Similar setups +30.6%All companies +2.0%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 8 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
+30.6%
All companies' median
+2.0%
Beat the market
74% vs 52%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 33 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
SHAHALLOYS
Non-Energy Minerals
Jul 2020 —-51% −25%−44% +31%
ATLASCYCLE
Consumer Durables
Feb 2020 —-33% −34%−52% −44%
FLEXITUFF
Process Industries
Jul 2023 —-15% +6%−25% +86%
SHYAMTEL
Electronic Technology
Dec 2022 —-23% −34%−41% −30%
NAGREEKCAP
Finance
Jan 2021 —-35% −15%−18% +60%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
TVVISION
Consumer Services
Mar 2020 —-54% −67%−77% +32%
SHANTI
Process Industries
Sep 2023 —-31% −19%−26% −32%
PRAKASHSTL
Non-Energy Minerals
Feb 2023 —-11% −23%−38% +33%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/S, ROCE, operating margin, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high and volatility. Not used (unavailable for this company): P/E, debt/equity and interest cover. This company is loss-making, so it was only compared with loss-making companies. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to MADHUCON PROJECTS LIMITED. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-11-09. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 98,395 company-months from 2019 companies; financial: 5,659 company-months from 108 companies. 2349 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

What changed?

12 events since Feb '19

  1. SepPeer rankMoved into the 2nd quartile of Industrial Services on operating margin (from the bottom quartile).
  2. MarPriceFell 81% from the Jul 2024 peak to the Mar 2026 low.
  3. JulPriceRegained the 2022-01 peak, 16 months after the low.
  4. JunResultsRevenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹1,165 cr.
  5. JunResultsRevenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹1,162 cr.
  6. MarPriceFell 72% from the Jan 2022 peak to the Mar 2023 low.
  7. DecPriceRegained the 2019-05 peak, 20 months after the low.
  8. AprPriceFell 85% from the May 2019 peak to the Apr 2020 low.
Show 4 earlier events
  1. MayPriceRegained the 2019-04 peak, 0 months after the low.
  2. MayPriceFell 31% from the Apr 2019 peak to the May 2019 low.
  3. MarPriceRegained the 2019-01 peak, 1 month after the low.
  4. FebPriceFell 35% from the Jan 2019 peak to the Feb 2019 low.

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Monthly history95 months · 2019-01 to 2026-11
MonthRevenue (TTM)ROCE
2026-11₹444 cr-34.0%
2026-10₹444 cr-34.0%
2026-09₹444 cr-34.0%
2026-08₹551 cr-34.0%
2026-07₹551 cr-34.0%
2026-06₹551 cr-34.0%
2026-05₹564 cr-28.0%
2026-04₹564 cr-28.0%
2026-03₹564 cr-28.0%
2026-02₹536 cr-28.0%
2026-01₹536 cr-28.0%
2025-12₹536 cr-28.0%
2025-11₹597 cr-28.0%
2025-10₹597 cr-28.0%
2025-09₹597 cr-28.0%
2025-08₹676 cr-28.0%
2025-07₹676 cr-28.0%
2025-06₹676 cr-28.0%
2025-05₹958 cr-2.0%
2025-04₹958 cr-2.0%
2025-03₹958 cr-2.0%
2025-02₹1123 cr-2.0%
2025-01₹1123 cr-2.0%
2024-12₹1123 cr-2.0%
2024-11₹1190 cr-2.0%
2024-10₹1190 cr-2.0%
2024-09₹1190 cr-2.0%
2024-08₹1165 cr-2.0%
2024-07₹1165 cr-2.0%
2024-06₹1165 cr-2.0%
2024-05₹1162 cr-8.0%
2024-04₹1162 cr-8.0%
2024-03₹1162 cr-8.0%
2024-02₹1162 cr-8.0%
2024-01₹1162 cr-8.0%
2023-12₹1162 cr-8.0%
2023-11₹1162 cr-8.0%
2023-10₹1162 cr-8.0%
2023-09₹1162 cr-8.0%
2023-08₹1162 cr-8.0%
2023-07₹1162 cr-8.0%
2023-06₹1162 cr-8.0%
2023-05₹948 cr-4.0%
2023-04₹948 cr-4.0%
2023-03₹948 cr-4.0%
2023-02₹948 cr-4.0%
2023-01₹948 cr-4.0%
2022-12₹948 cr-4.0%
2022-11₹948 cr-4.0%
2022-10₹948 cr-4.0%
2022-09₹948 cr-4.0%
2022-08₹948 cr-4.0%
2022-07₹948 cr-4.0%
2022-06₹948 cr-4.0%
2022-05₹909 cr-1.0%
2022-04₹909 cr-1.0%
2022-03₹909 cr-1.0%
2022-02₹909 cr-1.0%
2022-01₹909 cr-1.0%
2021-12₹909 cr-1.0%
2021-11₹909 cr-1.0%
2021-10₹909 cr-1.0%
2021-09₹909 cr-1.0%
2021-08₹909 cr-1.0%
2021-07₹909 cr-1.0%
2021-06₹909 cr-1.0%
2021-05₹734 cr1.0%
2021-04₹734 cr1.0%
2021-03₹734 cr1.0%
2021-02₹734 cr1.0%
2021-01₹734 cr1.0%
2020-12₹734 cr1.0%
2020-11₹734 cr1.0%
2020-10₹734 cr1.0%
2020-09₹734 cr1.0%
2020-08₹734 cr1.0%
2020-07₹734 cr1.0%
2020-06₹734 cr1.0%
2020-05₹942 cr-2.0%
2020-04₹942 cr-2.0%
2020-03₹942 cr-2.0%
2020-02₹942 cr-2.0%
2020-01₹942 cr-2.0%
2019-12₹942 cr-2.0%
2019-11₹942 cr-2.0%
2019-10₹942 cr-2.0%
2019-09₹942 cr-2.0%
2019-08₹942 cr-2.0%
2019-07₹942 cr-2.0%
2019-06₹942 cr-2.0%
2019-05₹1035 cr-3.0%
2019-04₹1035 cr-3.0%
2019-03₹1035 cr-3.0%
2019-02₹1035 cr-3.0%
2019-01₹1035 cr-3.0%

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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