अApnaFunda

ASPIRE AND INNOVATIVE ADV LTD (ASPIRE)

Commercial Services

Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.33 / 100
Profitability 19Balance sheet 48

Passes these screens: Value Pick

Share Price
₹15.45
P/E
9.1x
ROCE
7.0%
Market Cap
₹23 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹176 cr
P/S
0.1x
P/B
0.5x
ROE
4.9%
Debt / Equity
0.3x
Promoter Holding
72.3%
12M Momentum
-16.5%
P/E vs its own history74th percentilesince Apr '24
P/E vs Commercial Services0.5xthe sector median

52-week range

₹10.20₹27.00
31% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
59.0%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
0.42

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
5.0x
Cash from profit, 3Y
operating cash flow ÷ net profit
-1.81x
low
Share count, 1Y
unchanged

Was the rally earned?

-17%share price, 1 yearEarnings-driven

Mostly earnings.

  • Per-share earnings took off 38 points, while the multiple moved less (P/E 7.2x to 9.1x).
  • The share count barely moved.
1 year Net profit growth: -38 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).-38 ptsP/E change: +22 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.+22 pts -17% 1 year Net profit growth: -38 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).-38 ptsP/E change: +22 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.+22 pts -17%
Net profit growth-38 ptsNet profit fell about 34%, which lowers the price.
P/E change+22 ptsThe P/E rose from 7.2x to 9.1x, which lifts the price.
Share count change0 ptsShare count was little changed. More shares would count against the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Not shown for 3 years and 5 years: earnings were negative at one end, or there is not enough history.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare this with SIGNPOST INDIA

Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?

9.1xP/E todayWithin its usual range
Against its own history74th percentileMedian 8.0x; usual range 4.1x to 12.3x since 2024-04.
Against Commercial Services9.1x vs 19.9xBelow the Commercial Services median.
3.2x14.2x25.1x36.0xApr '24Oct '24Apr '25Oct '25Apr '26Oct '263.2x14.2x25.1x36.0xApr '24Feb '25Dec '25Oct '26
P/E (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianCommercial Services median

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P/B (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianCommercial Services median

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P/S (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianCommercial Services median
How to read this

Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dashed line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).

Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.

All terms explained in the glossary →

How Commercial Services is valued

What is the price implying?

~1%annual earnings growth implied by the price

At a P/E of 5.5x, the price would imply about 1.3%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.

Below the ₹1,000 cr market-cap floor used for the lists.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Commercial Services The market-wide Expectations lists

What changed?

  1. Jun '26Slipped to the bottom quartile of Commercial Services on ROCE (from the 3rd quartile).
  2. May '26Share count is up 36.4% over 12 months.
  3. Mar '26Fell 92% from the Jul 2024 peak to the Mar 2026 low.
  4. Jun '25Year-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
  5. Jun '25Slipped to the 3rd quartile of Commercial Services on ROCE (from the top quartile).
  6. Apr '25Share count is up 200.0% over 12 months.
  7. May '24Regained the 2024-04 peak, 0 months after the low.
  8. May '24Fell 33% from the Apr 2024 peak to the May 2024 low.

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Are profits backed by cash?

2 of 6 checks are within range, 1 near a threshold, 3 beyond a threshold.
Tap a check to see how it is measured.

Other income reliance100%Beyond threshold

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 100.0%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Cash conversion-1.81xBeyond threshold

Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: -1.81x (cash from operations ₹-29 cr, net profit ₹16 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.

Free cash flow1 of 5 yrsBeyond threshold

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 1. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history+17 daysNear threshold

Debtor days are above the median of the previous three fiscal years by 17 days (79 vs 62). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.

Capital work in progress0% of fixed assetsWithin range

Capital work-in-progress is 0% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days-29 days / 2 yrsWithin range

Days payable changed by -29 over two years. Bands: rise of up to 30 days; more than 30 days.

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-91.9%not yet recovered
1-year volatility59.0%annualised

Monthly share price

₹10₹41₹73₹104 Apr '24Oct '24Apr '25Oct '25Apr '26Oct '26
2024-04: ₹89.55
2024-05: ₹97.35
2024-06: ₹102.90
2024-07: ₹104.00
2024-08: ₹88.90
2024-09: ₹73.00
2024-10: ₹70.00
2024-11: ₹45.65
2024-12: ₹41.00
2025-01: ₹34.00
2025-02: ₹27.10
2025-03: ₹27.80
2025-04: ₹39.40
2025-05: ₹38.55
2025-06: ₹29.90
2025-07: ₹26.40
2025-08: ₹23.60
2025-09: ₹20.95
2025-10: ₹18.50
2025-11: ₹18.80
2025-12: ₹15.55
2026-01: ₹16.70
2026-02: ₹12.75
2026-03: ₹10.20
2026-04: ₹16.50
2026-05: ₹15.95
2026-06: ₹15.00
2026-07: ₹14.50
2026-08: ₹13.50
2026-09: ₹14.25
2026-10: ₹15.45
₹10₹41₹73₹104 Apr '24Feb '25Dec '25Oct '26
2024-04: ₹89.55
2024-05: ₹97.35
2024-06: ₹102.90
2024-07: ₹104.00
2024-08: ₹88.90
2024-09: ₹73.00
2024-10: ₹70.00
2024-11: ₹45.65
2024-12: ₹41.00
2025-01: ₹34.00
2025-02: ₹27.10
2025-03: ₹27.80
2025-04: ₹39.40
2025-05: ₹38.55
2025-06: ₹29.90
2025-07: ₹26.40
2025-08: ₹23.60
2025-09: ₹20.95
2025-10: ₹18.50
2025-11: ₹18.80
2025-12: ₹15.55
2026-01: ₹16.70
2026-02: ₹12.75
2026-03: ₹10.20
2026-04: ₹16.50
2026-05: ₹15.95
2026-06: ₹15.00
2026-07: ₹14.50
2026-08: ₹13.50
2026-09: ₹14.25
2026-10: ₹15.45

Last 90 trading days

₹12₹14₹15₹17 May 13Jun 16Jul 21Aug 19Sep 25Oct 30
2026-05-13: ₹16.50
2026-05-15: ₹15.50
2026-05-19: ₹15.50
2026-05-25: ₹14.30
2026-05-27: ₹15.60
2026-06-02: ₹15.20
2026-06-04: ₹15.35
2026-06-09: ₹15.00
2026-06-12: ₹13.80
2026-06-16: ₹14.10
2026-06-22: ₹14.40
2026-06-25: ₹14.55
2026-06-30: ₹15.00
2026-07-03: ₹13.60
2026-07-08: ₹13.75
2026-07-10: ₹13.95
2026-07-15: ₹13.50
2026-07-17: ₹13.50
2026-07-21: ₹13.50
2026-07-24: ₹14.65
2026-07-29: ₹15.85
2026-07-31: ₹14.50
2026-08-04: ₹14.25
2026-08-06: ₹14.75
2026-08-11: ₹14.45
2026-08-13: ₹14.45
2026-08-17: ₹14.35
2026-08-19: ₹13.90
2026-08-24: ₹13.90
2026-08-26: ₹13.15
2026-09-01: ₹13.45
2026-09-04: ₹13.25
2026-09-08: ₹13.15
2026-09-11: ₹13.10
2026-09-18: ₹12.45
2026-09-22: ₹13.25
2026-09-25: ₹13.80
2026-09-29: ₹14.95
2026-10-01: ₹14.95
2026-10-07: ₹15.60
2026-10-12: ₹15.10
2026-10-14: ₹14.10
2026-10-19: ₹14.75
2026-10-23: ₹14.70
2026-10-29: ₹14.75
2026-10-30: ₹15.45
₹12₹14₹15₹17 May 13Jul 10Sep 1Oct 30
2026-05-13: ₹16.50
2026-05-15: ₹15.50
2026-05-19: ₹15.50
2026-05-25: ₹14.30
2026-05-27: ₹15.60
2026-06-02: ₹15.20
2026-06-04: ₹15.35
2026-06-09: ₹15.00
2026-06-12: ₹13.80
2026-06-16: ₹14.10
2026-06-22: ₹14.40
2026-06-25: ₹14.55
2026-06-30: ₹15.00
2026-07-03: ₹13.60
2026-07-08: ₹13.75
2026-07-10: ₹13.95
2026-07-15: ₹13.50
2026-07-17: ₹13.50
2026-07-21: ₹13.50
2026-07-24: ₹14.65
2026-07-29: ₹15.85
2026-07-31: ₹14.50
2026-08-04: ₹14.25
2026-08-06: ₹14.75
2026-08-11: ₹14.45
2026-08-13: ₹14.45
2026-08-17: ₹14.35
2026-08-19: ₹13.90
2026-08-24: ₹13.90
2026-08-26: ₹13.15
2026-09-01: ₹13.45
2026-09-04: ₹13.25
2026-09-08: ₹13.15
2026-09-11: ₹13.10
2026-09-18: ₹12.45
2026-09-22: ₹13.25
2026-09-25: ₹13.80
2026-09-29: ₹14.95
2026-10-01: ₹14.95
2026-10-07: ₹15.60
2026-10-12: ₹15.10
2026-10-14: ₹14.10
2026-10-19: ₹14.75
2026-10-23: ₹14.70
2026-10-29: ₹14.75
2026-10-30: ₹15.45

Drawdown from peak

0% -46% -92% Apr '24Jul '25Oct '26 0% -46% -92% Apr '24Jul '25Oct '26
Largest drawdowns

-91.9% (2024-07 peak to 2026-03 low, not yet recovered)

-33.3% (2024-04 peak to 2024-05 low, recovered 2024-05)

-18.4% (2024-05 peak to 2024-06 low, recovered 2024-06)

Where does it rank among Commercial Services peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Commercial Services peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

ROCE
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Nov '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Oct '26
Lower rank Higher rank Not enough data

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Commercial Services sector page Watch it move against Commercial Services in the Observatory

What happened next to similar setups

−1.8%typical 12-month return vs the marketNot meaningfully different from the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like ASPIRE AND INNOVATIVE ADV LTD today on valuation, return on capital, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −22% to +30% vs the market, against −5% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The gap against the base rate (+2.9%, 80% range −4.9% to +5.7%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
MANGALAM · Apr 2025: −64.6% vs market
UMAEXPORTS · Jun 2024: −41.2% vs market
ACCURACY · Apr 2025: −40.2% vs market
UMA · Dec 2024: −38.3% vs market
SGL · Nov 2022: −38.3% vs market
ISFT · Mar 2025: −37.3% vs market
LIBAS · Aug 2024: −33.1% vs market
ARCHIES · May 2025: −30.6% vs market
SHANTI · Sep 2022: −30.5% vs market
ELECTHERM · Sep 2020: −28.4% vs market
GLOBE · Nov 2024: −27.2% vs market
KMSUGAR · Jan 2025: −24.5% vs market
AROGRANITE · Apr 2022: −23.7% vs market
MANAKALUCO · Nov 2023: −17.1% vs market
MAHESHWARI · Feb 2024: −17.1% vs market
BEARDSELL · Aug 2025: −16.2% vs market
MOKSH · Nov 2024: −14.9% vs market
INCREDIBLE · Apr 2025: −13.3% vs market
GOKUL · Mar 2023: −11.5% vs market
PATINTLOG · Mar 2022: −10.2% vs market
MHHL · Feb 2021: −7.9% vs market
PIONEEREMB · Feb 2024: −7.3% vs market
GILLANDERS · Jun 2023: −5.4% vs market
REXPIPES · Mar 2024: −5.2% vs market
GUJRAFFIA · Oct 2023: −2.0% vs market
MUNJALAU · May 2024: −1.6% vs market
LAXMICOT · Mar 2023: +1.0% vs market
CELEBRITY · May 2020: +1.2% vs market
LAMBODHARA · Jan 2020: +3.2% vs market
RCDL · Oct 2025: +4.1% vs market
TEXMOPIPES · Nov 2022: +5.0% vs market
OBCL · Sep 2024: +5.8% vs market
KOTHARIPRO · Feb 2021: +6.2% vs market
ARIES · Oct 2023: +7.7% vs market
SHIVAMILLS · Mar 2020: +7.9% vs market
IVP · Aug 2025: +13.0% vs market
NECCLTD · Mar 2020: +25.8% vs market
CORDSCABLE · Mar 2022: +31.3% vs market
BVCL · Jul 2023: +39.7% vs market
AAREYDRUGS · Jun 2024: +41.7% vs market
SHREYANIND · Jan 2022: +48.1% vs market
AMDIND · Nov 2021: +49.3% vs market
PRITIKAUTO · Mar 2023: +52.0% vs market
JETFREIGHT · Mar 2025: +52.1% vs market
SUPERHOUSE · Mar 2022: +52.1% vs market
KANANIIND · Nov 2020: +78.5% vs market
MANAKCOAT · Sep 2020: +116.7% vs market
NAGREEKEXP · Jul 2020: +122.7% vs market
AISL · Oct 2023: +159.7% vs market
TERASOFT · Apr 2024: +321.5% vs market
Similar setups −1.8%All companies −4.7%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 4 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
−1.8%
All companies' median
−4.7%
Beat the market
48% vs 45%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 33 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
LAXMICOT
Process Industries
Mar 2023 6x— −5%−45% +1%
PATINTLOG
Transportation
Mar 2022 11x10% +34%−34% −10%
JETFREIGHT
Transportation
Mar 2025 9x5% −8%−50% +52%
SHANTI
Process Industries
Sep 2022 8x9% +6%−44% −31%
UMA
Process Industries
Dec 2024 15x9% +6%−31% −38%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
AAREYDRUGS
Health Technology
Jun 2024 24x6% +37%−29% +42%
ACCURACY
Transportation
Apr 2025 9x5% −15%−42% −40%
PIONEEREMB
Consumer Non-Durables
Feb 2024 16x3% +46%−22% −7%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: drawdown from 12-month high, 12-month momentum and P/E. Not used (unavailable for this company): operating margin. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to ASPIRE AND INNOVATIVE ADV LTD. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-10-30. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 97,430 company-months from 2000 companies; financial: 5,632 company-months from 106 companies. 2240 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.
Monthly history (31 months)
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-109.1x₹176 cr4.9%7.0%0.3x
2026-098.4x₹176 cr4.9%7.0%0.3x
2026-088.0x₹176 cr4.9%7.0%0.3x
2026-078.6x₹176 cr4.9%7.0%0.3x
2026-068.9x₹176 cr4.9%7.0%0.3x
2026-056.2x₹167 cr7.9%11.0%0.2x
2026-046.4x₹167 cr7.9%11.0%0.2x
2026-034.0x₹167 cr7.9%11.0%0.2x
2026-025.0x₹167 cr7.9%11.0%0.2x
2026-016.5x₹167 cr7.9%11.0%0.2x
2025-126.1x₹167 cr7.9%11.0%0.2x
2025-117.3x₹167 cr7.9%11.0%0.2x
2025-107.2x₹167 cr7.9%11.0%0.2x
2025-098.2x₹167 cr7.9%11.0%0.2x
2025-089.2x₹167 cr7.9%11.0%0.2x
2025-0710.3x₹167 cr7.9%11.0%0.2x
2025-0611.7x₹167 cr7.9%11.0%0.2x
2025-054.6x₹384 cr34.4%37.0%0.4x
2025-044.7x₹384 cr34.4%37.0%0.4x
2025-033.3x₹384 cr34.4%37.0%0.4x
2025-023.2x₹384 cr34.4%37.0%0.4x
2025-014.1x₹384 cr34.4%37.0%0.4x
2024-124.9x₹384 cr34.4%37.0%0.4x
2024-115.4x₹384 cr34.4%37.0%0.4x
2024-108.4x₹384 cr34.4%37.0%0.4x
2024-098.7x₹384 cr34.4%37.0%0.4x
2024-0810.6x₹384 cr34.4%37.0%0.4x
2024-0712.4x₹384 cr34.4%37.0%0.4x
2024-0612.3x₹384 cr34.4%37.0%0.4x
2024-0520.4x₹346 cr47.2%42.0%0.6x
2024-0418.7x₹346 cr47.2%42.0%0.6x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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