अApnaFunda

AVATAR INDUSTRIES LIMITED (AVATAR)

Miscellaneous · figures to Nov '26

Passes these screensHigh Momentum

Share price

Closing priceAdjusted for splits and bonus issues.

₹192.95 latest close · +137.5% over the last 90 sessions

₹100₹200Mar 25May 5Jun 30Aug 19Oct 5Nov 6 ₹100₹200Mar 25Aug 7Nov 6

₹192.95 month-end · +131.2% over 12 months

₹100₹150₹200₹250Oct '25Dec '25Apr '26Jun '26Sep '26Nov '26 ₹100₹150₹200₹250Oct '25May '26Nov '26

₹192.95 month-end · +360.0% since Jun '25

₹100₹200Jun '25Sep '25Dec '25May '26Aug '26Nov '26 ₹100₹200Jun '25Mar '26Nov '26

52-week range ₹29.00 to ₹258.00 · 1-year volatility 57.9%

Was the rally earned?

+102%share price, 1 yearLower P/E held it back

Mostly yes, with a catch.

  • Per-share earnings added 201 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 1062.2x to 536.0x), which took 99 points back.
  • The share count barely moved.
Net profit growth: +201 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+201 ptsNet profit growthP/E change: −99 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.−99 ptsP/E changeShare price: +102%+102%Share priceNet profit growth: +201 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+201ProfitP/E change: −99 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.−99P/EShare price: +102%+102%Share price
Net profit growth+201 ptsNet profit rose about 300%, which lifts the price.
P/E change-99 ptsThe P/E fell from 1062.2x to 536.0x, which lowers the price.
Share count change0 ptsShare count was little changed. More shares would count against the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Not shown for 3 years and 5 years: earnings were negative at one end, or there is not enough history.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare with other companies

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-84.0%recovered 2021-12
1-year volatility57.9%annualised

Drawdown from peak

0%−25%−50%−75%2020202120222023202420252026−84.0% 0%−25%−50%−75%2020202220242026−84.0%
Largest drawdowns

-84.0% (2019-02 peak to 2020-08 low, recovered 2021-12)

-63.9% (2021-12 peak to 2023-08 low, recovered 2024-01)

-62.6% (2024-02 peak to 2025-02 low, recovered 2025-10)

What is the price implying?

~60%annual earnings growth implied by the price

At a P/E of 536.0x, the price would imply about 60.1%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.

Fewer than six years of annual earnings are available, which is too little to measure delivered growth.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

The market-wide Expectations lists

Key figures

Share Priceclose 6 Nov
₹192.95
P/E
536.0x
ROCE
1.0%
Market Cap
₹201 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹103 cr
P/S
2.0x
P/B
5.8x
ROE
1.1%
Debt / Equity
0.0x
Promoter Holding
66.3%
12M Momentum
131.2%

52-week range

₹29.00₹258.00
72% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
57.9%

Balance sheet & cash

Debt service
no meaningful debt
Share count, 1Y
unchanged

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Over 2 years, promoters added 40.1 pts.
  • The number of shareholders rose from 63 to 160 (+154%) between Mar 2021 and Mar 2026.

Holdings, Mar '26

How each group changed

GroupMar '21Mar '26Change
Promoters70.9%66.3%-4.6 pts
FIIs———
DIIs———
Public and others29.1%33.7%+4.6 pts

Number of shareholders

160shareholders+154% since Mar '21
63101139177 Mar '21Mar '22Sep '24Mar '26
Mar '21: 63
Sep '21: 68
Mar '22: 94
Mar '24: 105
Sep '24: 104
Mar '25: 177
Mar '26: 160
63101139177 Mar '21Mar '22Sep '24Mar '26
Mar '21: 63
Sep '21: 68
Mar '22: 94
Mar '24: 105
Sep '24: 104
Mar '25: 177
Mar '26: 160

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

What happened next to similar setups

−8.7%typical 12-month return vs the marketNot meaningfully different from the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like AVATAR INDUSTRIES LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, debt, price momentum and size.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −36% to +29% vs the market, against −2% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The gap against the base rate (−6.4%, 80% range −23.2% to +0.6%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
PRAXIS · Mar 2022: −63.3% vs market
BROOKS · Jun 2025: −53.9% vs market
PEARLPOLY · Jul 2025: −53.6% vs market
BALAJITELE · Aug 2020: −52.5% vs market
GOLDTECH · Dec 2021: −52.4% vs market
ANIKINDS · Jan 2025: −49.7% vs market
VISACHROME · Oct 2025: −47.7% vs market
ASAL · Mar 2022: −47.2% vs market
SOMATEX · Nov 2021: −46.7% vs market
WILLAMAGOR · Aug 2020: −41.7% vs market
LLOYDS · Nov 2023: −39.9% vs market
EMAMIREAL · Jul 2025: −37.5% vs market
INDOTECH · Feb 2020: −35.8% vs market
TRF · Jan 2020: −35.2% vs market
ASHIMASYN · Jul 2021: −34.6% vs market
MUKTAARTS · Jun 2025: −34.5% vs market
DCM · Jan 2022: −32.1% vs market
63MOONS · Mar 2022: −31.8% vs market
ZENITHEXPO · Feb 2025: −31.8% vs market
PALASHSECU · Jan 2023: −25.7% vs market
BAFNAPH · Mar 2021: −25.4% vs market
BOMDYEING · Mar 2024: −20.9% vs market
ATLANTAA · Mar 2022: −17.1% vs market
NITIRAJ · Sep 2024: −16.4% vs market
SAMBHAAV · Jun 2025: −11.0% vs market
RAMANEWS · Aug 2025: −6.5% vs market
ZOTA · May 2022: −5.9% vs market
NIBL · Apr 2021: −5.8% vs market
PANACEABIO · Feb 2025: −5.7% vs market
GMDCLTD · May 2022: −0.9% vs market
WINDMACHIN · Sep 2025: +1.7% vs market
PVP · Sep 2022: +5.0% vs market
SUPREMEINF · Apr 2024: +10.3% vs market
CROWN · Aug 2022: +12.3% vs market
UNITECH · Dec 2023: +16.9% vs market
CLEDUCATE · Dec 2021: +22.9% vs market
TI · Nov 2021: +24.1% vs market
IMAGICAA · Sep 2022: +31.2% vs market
IVC · Jan 2021: +37.0% vs market
MTNL · Jul 2020: +46.3% vs market
GTLINFRA · Jan 2021: +47.0% vs market
LYKALABS · May 2021: +66.8% vs market
NITCO · Jun 2024: +82.8% vs market
FCSSOFT · Oct 2020: +87.9% vs market
TEJASNET · Apr 2021: +102.5% vs market
KAMATHOTEL · Dec 2022: +115.1% vs market
ASHAPURMIN · Feb 2020: +157.0% vs market
CGPOWER · Dec 2020: +221.3% vs market
GENESYS · Apr 2021: +294.7% vs market
FOCUS · Feb 2022: +323.1% vs market
Similar setups −8.7%All companies −2.3%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 6 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
−8.7%
All companies' median
−2.3%
Beat the market
40% vs 48%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 34 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
SUPREMEINF
Industrial Services
Apr 2024 —-8% +258%−12% +10%
GOLDTECH
Technology Services
Dec 2021 —0% +800%−16% −52%
LYKALABS
Health Technology
May 2021 —-6% +324%−9% +67%
63MOONS
Technology Services
Mar 2022 —0% +289%−24% −32%
ATLANTAA
Miscellaneous
Mar 2022 —1% +196%−31% −17%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
NITCO
Producer Manufacturing
Jun 2024 —-14% +339%−10% +83%
ANIKINDS
Distribution Services
Jan 2025 —3% +84%−29% −50%
KAMATHOTEL
Consumer Services
Dec 2022 —7% +105%−13% +115%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, debt/equity, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high and size. Closest on: drawdown from 12-month high, ROCE and P/S. Not used (unavailable for this company): operating margin, interest cover, revenue growth and volatility. This company is loss-making, so it was only compared with loss-making companies. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to AVATAR INDUSTRIES LIMITED. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-11-09. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 98,395 company-months from 2019 companies; financial: 5,659 company-months from 108 companies. 2349 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

What changed?

12 events since Aug '20

  1. OctPriceFell 40% from the Aug 2026 peak to the Oct 2026 low.
  2. MayPriceRegained the 2025-12 peak, 1 month after the low.
  3. AprPriceFell 44% from the Dec 2025 peak to the Apr 2026 low.
  4. OctPriceRegained the 2024-02 peak, 8 months after the low.
  5. JunPromoterPromoter holding rose 66.3 pts to 66.3%.
  6. FebPriceFell 63% from the Feb 2024 peak to the Feb 2025 low.
  7. DecPromoterPromoter holding fell 26.2 pts to 0.0% (largest drop since 2022-06).
  8. JanPriceRegained the 2021-12 peak, 5 months after the low.
Show 4 earlier events
  1. AugPriceFell 64% from the Dec 2021 peak to the Aug 2023 low.
  2. JunPromoterPromoter holding fell 44.8 pts to 26.2%.
  3. DecPriceRegained the 2019-02 peak, 16 months after the low.
  4. AugPriceFell 84% from the Feb 2019 peak to the Aug 2020 low.

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Monthly history18 months · 2025-06 to 2026-11
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-11536.0x₹103 cr1.1%1.0%0.0x
2026-10511.9x₹103 cr1.1%1.0%0.0x
2026-09446.5x₹103 cr1.1%1.0%0.0x
2026-08673.3x₹103 cr1.1%1.0%0.0x
2026-07497.8x₹103 cr1.1%1.0%0.0x
2026-06492.6x₹103 cr1.1%1.0%0.0x
2026-051636.7x₹0 cr0.3%—0.0x
2026-041222.2x₹0 cr0.3%—0.0x
2026-03857.8x₹0 cr0.3%—0.0x
2026-02—————
2026-011290.0x₹0 cr0.3%—0.0x
2025-121290.6x₹0 cr0.3%—0.0x
2025-111062.2x₹0 cr0.3%—0.0x
2025-10927.2x₹0 cr0.3%—0.0x
2025-09708.3x₹0 cr0.3%—0.0x
2025-08544.4x₹0 cr0.3%—0.0x
2025-07588.9x₹0 cr0.3%—0.0x
2025-06466.1x₹0 cr0.3%—0.0x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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