52-week range
Price risk
Balance sheet & cash
Was the rally earned?
Mostly earnings.
- Per-share earnings took off 26 points, while the multiple moved less (P/E 61.7x to 68.2x).
- The share count barely moved.
Mostly earnings.
- Per-share earnings took off 41 points, while the multiple moved less (P/E 79.5x to 68.2x).
- The share count rose 2%.
Mostly earnings.
- Per-share earnings took off 107 points, while the multiple moved less (P/E 32.8x to 68.2x).
- The share count rose 34%.
What do "pts" mean?
"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.
Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.
Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.
Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?
The chart loads when you open this tab.
The chart loads when you open this tab.
How to read this
Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dashed line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).
Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.
What is the price implying?
At a P/E of 46.6x, the price would imply about 25.4%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.
Below the ₹1,000 cr market-cap floor used for the lists.
“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.
What prices imply across Producer Manufacturing The market-wide Expectations lists
What changed?
- Sep '26Year-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
- Sep '26Moved into the 3rd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on operating margin (from the bottom quartile).
- Jun '26Year-on-year EPS growth turned positive.
- Jun '26Slipped to the bottom quartile of Producer Manufacturing on operating margin (from the 3rd quartile).
- Jun '25EPS (TTM) turned positive.
- Jun '25P/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (883.0x).
- Mar '25Fell 65% from the Oct 2021 peak to the Mar 2025 low.
- Dec '24Moved into the 3rd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on operating margin (from the bottom quartile).
Show 8 earlier events
- Sep '24EPS (TTM) turned negative.
- Jun '24P/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (184.6x).
- Aug '23P/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (81.5x).
- Jun '23Slipped to the bottom quartile of Producer Manufacturing on ROCE (from the 3rd quartile).
- Mar '23Debt / equity halved over 12 months to 0.21x.
- Aug '22Debt / equity halved over 12 months to 0.21x.
- Aug '22Share count is up 32.4% over 12 months.
- Jun '22Debt / equity fell below 1.0x (0.21x).
Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.
Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month
Are profits backed by cash?
5 of 7 checks are within range, 2 near a threshold.
Tap a check to see how it is measured.
Other income reliance26%Near threshold
Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 26.1%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.
Tax rate26%Within range
Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 26.4%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.
Cash conversion12.20xWithin range
Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 12.20x (cash from operations ₹61 cr, net profit ₹5 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.
Free cash flow3 of 5 yrsNear threshold
Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 3. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.
Receivable days vs history-16 daysWithin range
Debtor days are below the median of the previous three fiscal years by 16 days (123 vs 139). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.
Capital work in progress0% of fixed assetsWithin range
Capital work-in-progress is 0% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.
Payable days-41 days / 2 yrsWithin range
Days payable changed by -41 over two years. Bands: rise of up to 30 days; more than 30 days.
How to read this
Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.
Who has been buying and selling?
- Over 3 years, institutional and promoter holdings were broadly unchanged.
- The number of shareholders rose from 30,677 to 56,209 (+83%) between Dec 2023 and Jun 2026.
Holdings, Jun '26
How each group changed
Number of shareholders
Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.
How rough has the ride been?
Monthly share price
Last 90 trading days
Drawdown from peak
Largest drawdowns
-65.4% (2021-10 peak to 2025-03 low, not yet recovered)
Where does it rank among Producer Manufacturing peers?
Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Producer Manufacturing peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).
Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.
The Producer Manufacturing sector page Watch it move against Producer Manufacturing in the Observatory
What happened next to similar setups
- We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like EXXARO TILES LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
- Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −23% to +20% vs the market, against −7% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
- The gap against the base rate (+5.7%, 80% range −1.3% to +8.2%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.
Where the 50 outcomes landed
Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 5 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge
50 past situations · 50 companies · 33 months · 2020–2025
The closest matches
| Company | When | P/E | ROCE | 12M mom. | Drawdown | Next 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MANORG Process Industries |
Oct 2024 | 75x | 4% | +35% | −29% | +2% |
| SHEMAROO Consumer Services |
Jul 2022 | 60x | 4% | −9% | −32% | +9% |
| ENIL Consumer Services |
Sep 2025 | 65x | 3% | −31% | −31% | −40% |
| ARTEMISMED Health Services |
Oct 2021 | 70x | 4% | +108% | −17% | +102% |
| VIPCLOTHNG Consumer Non-Durables |
Oct 2023 | 63x | 5% | +36% | −14% | −41% |
Show the other 3 matches
How reliable is this?
Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: ROCE, P/E and P/S. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.
Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.
Monthly history (63 months)
| Month | P/E | Revenue (TTM) | ROE | ROCE | Debt / Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10 | 68.2x | ₹325 cr | 1.4% | 4.0% | 0.3x |
| 2026-09 | 67.4x | ₹325 cr | 1.4% | 4.0% | 0.3x |
| 2026-08 | 118.8x | ₹305 cr | 1.0% | 4.0% | 0.3x |
| 2026-07 | 101.0x | ₹305 cr | 1.0% | 4.0% | 0.3x |
| 2026-06 | 111.5x | ₹305 cr | 1.0% | 4.0% | 0.3x |
| 2026-05 | 47.7x | ₹300 cr | 2.2% | 4.0% | 0.3x |
| 2026-04 | 49.8x | ₹300 cr | 2.2% | 4.0% | 0.3x |
| 2026-03 | 44.3x | ₹300 cr | 2.2% | 4.0% | 0.3x |
| 2026-02 | 51.4x | ₹308 cr | 2.4% | 4.0% | 0.3x |
| 2026-01 | 44.8x | ₹308 cr | 2.4% | 4.0% | 0.3x |
| 2025-12 | 51.4x | ₹308 cr | 2.4% | 4.0% | 0.3x |
| 2025-11 | 67.1x | ₹309 cr | 1.9% | 4.0% | 0.3x |
| 2025-10 | 61.7x | ₹309 cr | 1.9% | 4.0% | 0.3x |
| 2025-09 | 67.8x | ₹309 cr | 1.9% | 4.0% | 0.3x |
| 2025-08 | 777.0x | ₹304 cr | 0.2% | 4.0% | 0.3x |
| 2025-07 | 829.0x | ₹304 cr | 0.2% | 4.0% | 0.3x |
| 2025-06 | 883.0x | ₹304 cr | 0.2% | 4.0% | 0.3x |
| 2025-05 | — | ₹289 cr | -0.6% | 5.0% | 0.4x |
| 2025-04 | — | ₹289 cr | -0.6% | 5.0% | 0.4x |
| 2025-03 | — | ₹289 cr | -0.6% | 5.0% | 0.4x |
| 2025-02 | — | ₹275 cr | -1.0% | 5.0% | 0.4x |
| 2025-01 | — | ₹275 cr | -1.0% | 5.0% | 0.4x |
| 2024-12 | — | ₹275 cr | -1.0% | 5.0% | 0.4x |
| 2024-11 | — | ₹287 cr | -0.8% | 5.0% | 0.4x |
| 2024-10 | — | ₹287 cr | -0.8% | 5.0% | 0.4x |
| 2024-09 | — | ₹287 cr | -0.8% | 5.0% | 0.4x |
| 2024-08 | 165.0x | ₹301 cr | 0.8% | 5.0% | 0.4x |
| 2024-07 | 183.0x | ₹301 cr | 0.8% | 5.0% | 0.4x |
| 2024-06 | 184.6x | ₹301 cr | 0.8% | 5.0% | 0.4x |
| 2024-05 | 59.6x | ₹317 cr | 2.6% | 6.0% | 0.3x |
| 2024-04 | 62.6x | ₹317 cr | 2.6% | 6.0% | 0.3x |
| 2024-03 | 52.5x | ₹317 cr | 2.6% | 6.0% | 0.3x |
| 2024-02 | 69.6x | ₹317 cr | 2.6% | 6.0% | 0.3x |
| 2024-01 | 74.0x | ₹317 cr | 2.6% | 6.0% | 0.3x |
| 2023-12 | 72.2x | ₹317 cr | 2.6% | 6.0% | 0.3x |
| 2023-11 | 72.8x | ₹317 cr | 2.6% | 6.0% | 0.3x |
| 2023-10 | 79.5x | ₹317 cr | 2.6% | 6.0% | 0.3x |
| 2023-09 | 82.9x | ₹317 cr | 2.6% | 6.0% | 0.3x |
| 2023-08 | 81.5x | ₹317 cr | 2.6% | 6.0% | 0.3x |
| 2023-07 | 72.4x | ₹317 cr | 2.6% | 6.0% | 0.3x |
| 2023-06 | 71.8x | ₹317 cr | 2.6% | 6.0% | 0.3x |
| 2023-05 | 28.5x | ₹325 cr | 6.7% | 12.0% | 0.2x |
| 2023-04 | 29.1x | ₹325 cr | 6.7% | 12.0% | 0.2x |
| 2023-03 | 25.2x | ₹325 cr | 6.7% | 12.0% | 0.2x |
| 2023-02 | 29.6x | ₹325 cr | 6.7% | 12.0% | 0.2x |
| 2023-01 | 31.6x | ₹325 cr | 6.7% | 12.0% | 0.2x |
| 2022-12 | 29.7x | ₹325 cr | 6.7% | 12.0% | 0.2x |
| 2022-11 | 29.8x | ₹325 cr | 6.7% | 12.0% | 0.2x |
| 2022-10 | 31.3x | ₹325 cr | 6.7% | 12.0% | 0.2x |
| 2022-09 | 25.9x | ₹325 cr | 6.7% | 12.0% | 0.2x |
| 2022-08 | 28.7x | ₹325 cr | 6.7% | 12.0% | 0.2x |
| 2022-07 | 26.0x | ₹325 cr | 6.7% | 12.0% | 0.2x |
| 2022-06 | 26.6x | ₹325 cr | 6.7% | 12.0% | 0.2x |
| 2022-05 | 25.2x | ₹254 cr | 11.0% | — | 1.2x |
| 2022-04 | 23.6x | ₹254 cr | 11.0% | — | 1.2x |
| 2022-03 | 25.8x | ₹254 cr | 11.0% | — | 1.2x |
| 2022-02 | 26.0x | ₹254 cr | 11.0% | — | 1.2x |
| 2022-01 | 29.3x | ₹254 cr | 11.0% | — | 1.2x |
| 2021-12 | 32.1x | ₹254 cr | 11.0% | — | 1.2x |
| 2021-11 | 31.4x | ₹254 cr | 11.0% | — | 1.2x |
| 2021-10 | 32.8x | ₹254 cr | 11.0% | — | 1.2x |
| 2021-09 | 34.6x | ₹254 cr | 11.0% | — | 1.2x |
| 2021-08 | 30.3x | ₹254 cr | 11.0% | — | 1.2x |