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THE GROB TEA COMPANY LIMITED (GROBTEA)

Consumer Non-Durables

Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.53 / 100
Profitability 49Growth 70Balance sheet 40
Compare withNESTLE INDIA LIMITEDZYDUS WELLNESS LIMITEDTHE BOMBAY BURMAH TRADING CORP

Passes these screens: Value Pick

Share Price
₹840.55
P/E
12.7x
ROCE
7.0%
Market Cap
₹98 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹119 cr
P/S
0.8x
P/B
1.1x
ROE
8.2%
Operating Margin
18.1%
Debt / Equity
0.6x
Promoter Holding
75.0%
12M Momentum
-30.2%
P/E vs its own history23rd percentilesince Jan '19
P/E vs Consumer Non-Durables0.5xthe sector median

52-week range

₹805.00₹1225.00
8% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
36.8%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
0.29

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
4.3x
Cash from profit, 3Y
operating cash flow ÷ net profit
1.31x
Share count, 1Y
unchanged

Was the rally earned?

-30%share price, 1 yearLower P/E held it back

Earnings helped, the multiple did not.

  • Per-share earnings added 17 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 22.3x to 12.7x), which took 47 points back.
  • The share count barely moved.
1 year Net profit growth: +17 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+17 ptsP/E change: -47 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-47 ptsShare count change: +0 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. -30% 1 year Net profit growth: +17 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+17 ptsP/E change: -47 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-47 ptsShare count change: +0 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. -30%
Net profit growth+17 ptsNet profit rose about 22%, which lifts the price.
P/E change-47 ptsThe P/E fell from 22.3x to 12.7x, which lowers the price.
Share count change0 ptsShare count was little changed. More shares would count against the price.
-3%share price, 3 yearsRoughly flat
  • The share price was roughly flat over 3 years (-3%).
  • The share count barely moved.
3 years Net profit growth: +251 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+251 ptsP/E change: -254 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-254 pts -3% 3 years Net profit growth: +251 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+251 ptsP/E change: -254 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-254 pts -3%
Net profit growth+251 ptsNet profit rose about 1178%, which lifts the price.
P/E change-254 ptsThe P/E fell from 167.8x to 12.7x, which lowers the price.
Share count change0 ptsShare count was little changed. More shares would count against the price.
-19%share price, 5 yearsEarnings-driven

Mostly earnings.

  • Per-share earnings took off 117 points, while the multiple moved less (P/E 4.3x to 12.7x).
  • The share count barely moved.
5 years Net profit growth: -117 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).-117 ptsP/E change: +98 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.+98 pts -19% 5 years Net profit growth: -117 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).-117 ptsP/E change: +98 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.+98 pts -19%
Net profit growth-117 ptsNet profit fell about 73%, which lowers the price.
P/E change+98 ptsThe P/E rose from 4.3x to 12.7x, which lifts the price.
Share count change0 ptsShare count was little changed. More shares would count against the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare this with NESTLE INDIA

Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?

12.7xP/E todayWithin its usual range
Against its own history23rd percentileMedian 24.0x; usual range 4.7x to 170.6x since 2019-01.
Against Consumer Non-Durables12.7x vs 25.4xBelow the Consumer Non-Durables median.
3.7x69.2x134.7x200.3xJan '19Aug '20Mar '22Oct '23May '25Oct '263.7x69.2x134.7x200.3xJan '19Aug '21Mar '24Oct '26
P/E (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianConsumer Non-Durables median

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P/B (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianConsumer Non-Durables median

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P/S (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianConsumer Non-Durables median
How to read this

Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dashed line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).

Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.

All terms explained in the glossary →

How Consumer Non-Durables is valued

What is the price implying?

~17%annual earnings growth implied by the price

At a P/E of 23.3x, the price would imply about 16.8%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.

Below the ₹1,000 cr market-cap floor used for the lists.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Consumer Non-Durables The market-wide Expectations lists

What changed?

  1. Sep '26Year-on-year EPS growth turned positive.
  2. Sep '26Moved into the top quartile of Consumer Non-Durables on operating margin (from the bottom quartile).
  3. Jun '26Slipped to the bottom quartile of Consumer Non-Durables on ROCE (from the 3rd quartile).
  4. Apr '26Year-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
  5. Mar '26EPS (TTM) turned positive.
  6. Mar '26Slipped to the 2nd quartile of Consumer Non-Durables on operating margin (from the top quartile).
  7. Dec '25EPS (TTM) turned negative.
  8. Dec '25Moved into the top quartile of Consumer Non-Durables on operating margin (from the bottom quartile).
Show 22 earlier events
  1. Jun '25Moved into the 3rd quartile of Consumer Non-Durables on ROCE (from the bottom quartile).
  2. Jun '25Started paying a dividend (payout 3% of profit).
  3. Mar '25Fell 47% from the Oct 2024 peak to the Mar 2025 low.
  4. Mar '25Slipped to the bottom quartile of Consumer Non-Durables on operating margin (from the top quartile).
  5. Dec '24Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹125 cr.
  6. Oct '24Year-on-year EPS growth turned positive.
  7. Oct '24Regained the 2021-07 peak, 28 months after the low.
  8. Sep '24EPS (TTM) turned positive.
  9. Sep '24Moved into the top quartile of Consumer Non-Durables on operating margin (from the bottom quartile).
  10. Jun '24EPS (TTM) turned negative.
  11. Jun '24Dividend payout cut from 39% to -2320% of profit.
  12. Apr '24P/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (200.3x).
  13. Jun '23P/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (177.2x).
  14. Jun '22Year-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
  15. Jun '22Fell 48% from the Jul 2021 peak to the Jun 2022 low.
  16. Jun '22Slipped to the bottom quartile of Consumer Non-Durables on ROCE (from the top quartile).
  17. Feb '22P/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (4.0x).
  18. Jun '21Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹110 cr.
  19. Jun '21Regained the 2021-02 peak, 2 months after the low.
  20. Jun '21Moved into the top quartile of Consumer Non-Durables on ROCE (from the 3rd quartile).
  21. Jun '21Dividend payout cut from 14% to 1% of profit.
  22. May '21P/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (66.9x).

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Are profits backed by cash?

2 of 6 checks are within range, 2 near a threshold, 2 beyond a threshold.
Tap a check to see how it is measured.

Other income reliance61%Beyond threshold

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 61.4%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate0%Beyond threshold

Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 0.0%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.

Cash conversion1.31xWithin range

Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 1.31x (cash from operations ₹21 cr, net profit ₹16 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.

Free cash flow2 of 5 yrsNear threshold

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 2. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history-2 daysWithin range

Debtor days are below the median of the previous three fiscal years by 2 days (4 vs 6). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.

Capital work in progress38% of fixed assetsNear threshold

Capital work-in-progress is 38% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-63.3%recovered 2020-08
1-year volatility36.8%annualised

Monthly share price

₹259₹629₹998₹1,367 Jan '19Aug '20Mar '22Oct '23May '25Oct '26
2019-01: ₹444.65
2019-02: ₹447.10
2019-03: ₹400.10
2019-04: ₹385.00
2019-05: ₹370.55
2019-06: ₹338.40
2019-07: ₹266.50
2019-08: ₹271.60
2019-09: ₹317.20
2019-10: ₹298.75
2019-11: ₹559.10
2019-12: ₹491.00
2020-01: ₹451.00
2020-02: ₹341.00
2020-03: ₹259.25
2020-04: ₹359.35
2020-05: ₹309.30
2020-06: ₹411.70
2020-07: ₹448.15
2020-08: ₹770.80
2020-09: ₹535.60
2020-10: ₹481.10
2020-11: ₹596.00
2020-12: ₹868.50
2021-01: ₹797.60
2021-02: ₹980.05
2021-03: ₹803.35
2021-04: ₹791.95
2021-05: ₹950.45
2021-06: ₹1349.25
2021-07: ₹1367.40
2021-08: ₹1074.45
2021-09: ₹978.75
2021-10: ₹1039.90
2021-11: ₹986.75
2021-12: ₹936.00
2022-01: ₹1171.50
2022-02: ₹968.75
2022-03: ₹1001.85
2022-04: ₹1010.10
2022-05: ₹886.40
2022-06: ₹839.50
2022-07: ₹811.15
2022-08: ₹851.95
2022-09: ₹947.70
2022-10: ₹898.95
2022-11: ₹914.65
2022-12: ₹880.40
2023-01: ₹838.35
2023-02: ₹801.80
2023-03: ₹726.45
2023-04: ₹752.45
2023-05: ₹775.85
2023-06: ₹914.40
2023-07: ₹882.10
2023-08: ₹903.00
2023-09: ₹879.05
2023-10: ₹865.85
2023-11: ₹897.20
2023-12: ₹912.55
2024-01: ₹996.90
2024-02: ₹952.55
2024-03: ₹879.80
2024-04: ₹1033.40
2024-05: ₹909.95
2024-06: ₹918.75
2024-07: ₹941.10
2024-08: ₹1021.05
2024-09: ₹998.80
2024-10: ₹1064.65
2024-11: ₹1145.00
2024-12: ₹1270.00
2025-01: ₹1110.05
2025-02: ₹855.00
2025-03: ₹877.35
2025-04: ₹900.10
2025-05: ₹990.95
2025-06: ₹1140.20
2025-07: ₹1115.00
2025-08: ₹1046.50
2025-09: ₹1064.60
2025-10: ₹1204.00
2025-11: ₹1006.50
2025-12: ₹998.10
2026-01: ₹900.65
2026-02: ₹947.50
2026-03: ₹806.40
2026-04: ₹920.90
2026-05: ₹896.45
2026-06: ₹905.95
2026-07: ₹920.00
2026-08: ₹996.65
2026-09: ₹909.10
2026-10: ₹840.55
 ₹259₹629₹998₹1,367 Jan '19Aug '21Mar '24Oct '26
2019-01: ₹444.65
2019-02: ₹447.10
2019-03: ₹400.10
2019-04: ₹385.00
2019-05: ₹370.55
2019-06: ₹338.40
2019-07: ₹266.50
2019-08: ₹271.60
2019-09: ₹317.20
2019-10: ₹298.75
2019-11: ₹559.10
2019-12: ₹491.00
2020-01: ₹451.00
2020-02: ₹341.00
2020-03: ₹259.25
2020-04: ₹359.35
2020-05: ₹309.30
2020-06: ₹411.70
2020-07: ₹448.15
2020-08: ₹770.80
2020-09: ₹535.60
2020-10: ₹481.10
2020-11: ₹596.00
2020-12: ₹868.50
2021-01: ₹797.60
2021-02: ₹980.05
2021-03: ₹803.35
2021-04: ₹791.95
2021-05: ₹950.45
2021-06: ₹1349.25
2021-07: ₹1367.40
2021-08: ₹1074.45
2021-09: ₹978.75
2021-10: ₹1039.90
2021-11: ₹986.75
2021-12: ₹936.00
2022-01: ₹1171.50
2022-02: ₹968.75
2022-03: ₹1001.85
2022-04: ₹1010.10
2022-05: ₹886.40
2022-06: ₹839.50
2022-07: ₹811.15
2022-08: ₹851.95
2022-09: ₹947.70
2022-10: ₹898.95
2022-11: ₹914.65
2022-12: ₹880.40
2023-01: ₹838.35
2023-02: ₹801.80
2023-03: ₹726.45
2023-04: ₹752.45
2023-05: ₹775.85
2023-06: ₹914.40
2023-07: ₹882.10
2023-08: ₹903.00
2023-09: ₹879.05
2023-10: ₹865.85
2023-11: ₹897.20
2023-12: ₹912.55
2024-01: ₹996.90
2024-02: ₹952.55
2024-03: ₹879.80
2024-04: ₹1033.40
2024-05: ₹909.95
2024-06: ₹918.75
2024-07: ₹941.10
2024-08: ₹1021.05
2024-09: ₹998.80
2024-10: ₹1064.65
2024-11: ₹1145.00
2024-12: ₹1270.00
2025-01: ₹1110.05
2025-02: ₹855.00
2025-03: ₹877.35
2025-04: ₹900.10
2025-05: ₹990.95
2025-06: ₹1140.20
2025-07: ₹1115.00
2025-08: ₹1046.50
2025-09: ₹1064.60
2025-10: ₹1204.00
2025-11: ₹1006.50
2025-12: ₹998.10
2026-01: ₹900.65
2026-02: ₹947.50
2026-03: ₹806.40
2026-04: ₹920.90
2026-05: ₹896.45
2026-06: ₹905.95
2026-07: ₹920.00
2026-08: ₹996.65
2026-09: ₹909.10
2026-10: ₹840.55

Last 90 trading days

₹831₹893₹955₹1,017 Jun 23Jul 20Aug 13Sep 8Oct 6Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹922.35
2026-06-25: ₹912.10
2026-06-30: ₹905.95
2026-07-02: ₹902.60
2026-07-06: ₹907.80
2026-07-08: ₹924.20
2026-07-10: ₹904.45
2026-07-14: ₹909.35
2026-07-16: ₹955.55
2026-07-20: ₹909.40
2026-07-22: ₹901.30
2026-07-24: ₹899.80
2026-07-28: ₹905.00
2026-07-30: ₹900.00
2026-08-03: ₹918.05
2026-08-05: ₹898.80
2026-08-07: ₹900.00
2026-08-11: ₹895.00
2026-08-13: ₹927.00
2026-08-17: ₹953.80
2026-08-19: ₹915.00
2026-08-21: ₹927.00
2026-08-25: ₹967.15
2026-08-27: ₹995.90
2026-08-31: ₹996.65
2026-09-02: ₹965.50
2026-09-04: ₹977.65
2026-09-08: ₹966.00
2026-09-10: ₹960.00
2026-09-15: ₹941.70
2026-09-17: ₹930.00
2026-09-21: ₹910.00
2026-09-23: ₹919.35
2026-09-25: ₹894.35
2026-09-29: ₹899.00
2026-10-01: ₹878.50
2026-10-06: ₹873.95
2026-10-08: ₹890.70
2026-10-12: ₹867.55
2026-10-14: ₹859.45
2026-10-16: ₹874.10
2026-10-21: ₹864.00
2026-10-23: ₹831.05
2026-10-27: ₹844.35
2026-10-29: ₹850.00
2026-10-30: ₹840.55
 ₹831₹893₹955₹1,017 Jun 23Aug 5Sep 17Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹922.35
2026-06-25: ₹912.10
2026-06-30: ₹905.95
2026-07-02: ₹902.60
2026-07-06: ₹907.80
2026-07-08: ₹924.20
2026-07-10: ₹904.45
2026-07-14: ₹909.35
2026-07-16: ₹955.55
2026-07-20: ₹909.40
2026-07-22: ₹901.30
2026-07-24: ₹899.80
2026-07-28: ₹905.00
2026-07-30: ₹900.00
2026-08-03: ₹918.05
2026-08-05: ₹898.80
2026-08-07: ₹900.00
2026-08-11: ₹895.00
2026-08-13: ₹927.00
2026-08-17: ₹953.80
2026-08-19: ₹915.00
2026-08-21: ₹927.00
2026-08-25: ₹967.15
2026-08-27: ₹995.90
2026-08-31: ₹996.65
2026-09-02: ₹965.50
2026-09-04: ₹977.65
2026-09-08: ₹966.00
2026-09-10: ₹960.00
2026-09-15: ₹941.70
2026-09-17: ₹930.00
2026-09-21: ₹910.00
2026-09-23: ₹919.35
2026-09-25: ₹894.35
2026-09-29: ₹899.00
2026-10-01: ₹878.50
2026-10-06: ₹873.95
2026-10-08: ₹890.70
2026-10-12: ₹867.55
2026-10-14: ₹859.45
2026-10-16: ₹874.10
2026-10-21: ₹864.00
2026-10-23: ₹831.05
2026-10-27: ₹844.35
2026-10-29: ₹850.00
2026-10-30: ₹840.55

Drawdown from peak

0% -30% -60% Jan '19Dec '22Oct '26 0% -30% -60% Jan '19Dec '22Oct '26
Largest drawdowns

-63.3% (2019-01 peak to 2020-03 low, recovered 2020-08)

-47.9% (2021-07 peak to 2022-06 low, recovered 2024-10)

-47.8% (2020-08 peak to 2020-11 low, recovered 2021-01)

Where does it rank among Consumer Non-Durables peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Consumer Non-Durables peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

ROCE
Op. margin
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Nov '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Oct '26
Lower rank Higher rank

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Consumer Non-Durables sector page Watch it move against Consumer Non-Durables in the Observatory

What happened next to similar setups

−6.1%typical 12-month return vs the marketNot meaningfully different from the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like THE GROB TEA COMPANY LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −17% to +32% vs the market, against −3% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The gap against the base rate (−2.8%, 80% range −7.4% to +1.8%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
THEINVEST · Jan 2025: −44.3% vs market
VISHWARAJ · Jul 2024: −43.8% vs market
BIRLANU · Feb 2024: −35.0% vs market
UMA · Sep 2024: −33.7% vs market
APEX · Feb 2023: −31.0% vs market
MURUDCERA · Sep 2025: −29.7% vs market
RUPA · May 2025: −28.8% vs market
PIONEEREMB · Sep 2023: −26.9% vs market
SAHYADRI · Jan 2025: −24.3% vs market
MWL · Jul 2023: −23.5% vs market
NATHBIOGEN · Dec 2023: −23.5% vs market
SCML · May 2025: −19.2% vs market
NCLIND · Jul 2023: −17.0% vs market
SUNDRMBRAK · Dec 2021: −15.6% vs market
AMBIKCO · Oct 2024: −15.0% vs market
KALYANIFRG · May 2020: −14.7% vs market
SDBL · May 2020: −12.1% vs market
KCP · Jan 2020: −9.0% vs market
BVCL · Jun 2021: −8.6% vs market
KCPSUGIND · Feb 2020: −8.5% vs market
DOLLEX · Jan 2025: −8.0% vs market
MHHL · Feb 2021: −7.9% vs market
UCAL · May 2023: −7.9% vs market
WIPL · Feb 2021: −6.3% vs market
ASAHISONG · Dec 2022: −6.3% vs market
MONTECARLO · Mar 2025: −5.9% vs market
JAGRAN · May 2025: −3.8% vs market
HARRMALAYA · Jun 2023: −1.9% vs market
SHIGAN · Apr 2025: +0.8% vs market
PRITIKAUTO · Sep 2025: +1.3% vs market
LOKESHMACH · Jan 2020: +1.6% vs market
AVTNPL · Jun 2025: +7.4% vs market
ZIMLAB · May 2025: +11.8% vs market
SHK · Feb 2023: +16.4% vs market
ORIENTCER · Jun 2023: +17.9% vs market
GNA · Feb 2025: +18.4% vs market
DICIND · Nov 2023: +24.3% vs market
HUHTAMAKI · Nov 2022: +34.9% vs market
BBL · Oct 2020: +36.5% vs market
LIBERTSHOE · Mar 2022: +40.0% vs market
SUTLEJTEX · May 2020: +42.9% vs market
INDIANHUME · Aug 2022: +43.6% vs market
SARLAPOLY · May 2020: +50.7% vs market
BIL · Feb 2021: +51.1% vs market
SANDHAR · Apr 2023: +62.1% vs market
MANGLMCEM · May 2023: +92.6% vs market
ALMONDZ · May 2020: +125.0% vs market
SALONA · Sep 2020: +125.2% vs market
KITEX · Jul 2024: +209.1% vs market
SKMEGGPROD · Jul 2022: +246.4% vs market
Similar setups −6.1%All companies −3.3%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 4 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
−6.1%
All companies' median
−3.3%
Beat the market
44% vs 46%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 32 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
HARRMALAYA
Process Industries		 Jun 2023 15x12% +1%−17% −2%
MWL
Non-Energy Minerals		 Jul 2023 17x10% +10%−19% −24%
KALYANIFRG
Producer Manufacturing		 May 2020 7x10% −52%−53% −15%
ALMONDZ
Finance		 May 2020 4x7% −47%−58% +125%
SUNDRMBRAK
Producer Manufacturing		 Dec 2021 24x3% +21%−20% −16%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
LIBERTSHOE
Consumer Non-Durables		 Mar 2022 17x9% +15%−32% +40%
SANDHAR
Consumer Durables		 Apr 2023 23x8% −17%−19% +62%
SHIGAN
Electronic Technology		 Apr 2025 27x11% −32%−47% +1%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high and interest cover. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to THE GROB TEA COMPANY LIMITED. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-10-30. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 97,430 company-months from 2000 companies; financial: 5,632 company-months from 106 companies. 2240 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.
Monthly history (94 months)
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-1012.7x₹119 cr8.2%7.0%0.6x
2026-0913.8x₹119 cr8.2%7.0%0.6x
2026-0820.2x₹114 cr6.2%7.0%0.6x
2026-0718.6x₹114 cr6.2%7.0%0.6x
2026-0618.3x₹114 cr6.2%7.0%0.6x
2026-0518.6x₹121 cr6.4%13.0%0.2x
2026-0419.1x₹121 cr6.4%13.0%0.2x
2026-0316.7x₹121 cr6.4%13.0%0.2x
2026-02—₹100 cr-0.9%13.0%0.2x
2026-01—₹100 cr-0.9%13.0%0.2x
2025-12—₹100 cr-0.9%13.0%0.2x
2025-1118.6x₹112 cr7.1%13.0%0.2x
2025-1022.3x₹112 cr7.1%13.0%0.2x
2025-0919.7x₹112 cr7.1%13.0%0.2x
2025-0812.1x₹119 cr11.4%13.0%0.2x
2025-0712.9x₹119 cr11.4%13.0%0.2x
2025-0613.2x₹119 cr11.4%13.0%0.2x
2025-057.6x₹118 cr19.3%1.0%0.1x
2025-046.9x₹118 cr19.3%1.0%0.1x
2025-036.7x₹118 cr19.3%1.0%0.1x
2025-025.8x₹125 cr21.6%1.0%0.1x
2025-017.6x₹125 cr21.6%1.0%0.1x
2024-128.6x₹125 cr21.6%1.0%0.1x
2024-1147.7x₹103 cr3.5%1.0%0.1x
2024-1044.4x₹103 cr3.5%1.0%0.1x
2024-0941.6x₹103 cr3.5%1.0%0.1x
2024-08—₹100 cr-0.0%1.0%0.1x
2024-07—₹100 cr-0.0%1.0%0.1x
2024-06—₹100 cr-0.0%1.0%0.1x
2024-05176.3x₹102 cr0.8%5.0%0.2x
2024-04200.3x₹102 cr0.8%5.0%0.2x
2024-03170.5x₹102 cr0.8%5.0%0.2x
2024-02184.6x₹102 cr0.8%5.0%0.2x
2024-01193.2x₹102 cr0.8%5.0%0.2x
2023-12176.9x₹102 cr0.8%5.0%0.2x
2023-11173.9x₹102 cr0.8%5.0%0.2x
2023-10167.8x₹102 cr0.8%5.0%0.2x
2023-09170.4x₹102 cr0.8%5.0%0.2x
2023-08175.0x₹102 cr0.8%5.0%0.2x
2023-07170.9x₹102 cr0.8%5.0%0.2x
2023-06177.2x₹102 cr0.8%5.0%0.2x
2023-0521.7x₹93 cr5.3%7.0%0.0x
2023-0421.1x₹93 cr5.3%7.0%0.0x
2023-0320.3x₹93 cr5.3%7.0%0.0x
2023-0222.5x₹93 cr5.3%7.0%0.0x
2023-0123.5x₹93 cr5.3%7.0%0.0x
2022-1224.7x₹93 cr5.3%7.0%0.0x
2022-1125.6x₹93 cr5.3%7.0%0.0x
2022-1025.2x₹93 cr5.3%7.0%0.0x
2022-0926.5x₹93 cr5.3%7.0%0.0x
2022-0823.9x₹93 cr5.3%7.0%0.0x
2022-0722.7x₹93 cr5.3%7.0%0.0x
2022-0623.5x₹93 cr5.3%7.0%0.0x
2022-053.7x₹110 cr37.3%42.0%0.0x
2022-044.2x₹110 cr37.3%42.0%0.0x
2022-034.2x₹110 cr37.3%42.0%0.0x
2022-024.0x₹110 cr37.3%42.0%0.0x
2022-014.9x₹110 cr37.3%42.0%0.0x
2021-123.9x₹110 cr37.3%42.0%0.0x
2021-114.1x₹110 cr37.3%42.0%0.0x
2021-104.3x₹110 cr37.3%42.0%0.0x
2021-094.1x₹110 cr37.3%42.0%0.0x
2021-084.5x₹110 cr37.3%42.0%0.0x
2021-075.7x₹110 cr37.3%42.0%0.0x
2021-065.6x₹110 cr37.3%42.0%0.0x
2021-0566.9x₹82 cr3.5%8.0%0.2x
2021-0455.8x₹82 cr3.5%8.0%0.2x
2021-0356.6x₹82 cr3.5%8.0%0.2x
2021-0269.0x₹82 cr3.5%8.0%0.2x
2021-0156.2x₹82 cr3.5%8.0%0.2x
2020-1261.2x₹82 cr3.5%8.0%0.2x
2020-1142.0x₹82 cr3.5%8.0%0.2x
2020-1033.9x₹82 cr3.5%8.0%0.2x
2020-0937.7x₹82 cr3.5%8.0%0.2x
2020-0854.3x₹82 cr3.5%8.0%0.2x
2020-0731.6x₹82 cr3.5%8.0%0.2x
2020-0629.0x₹82 cr3.5%8.0%0.2x
2020-0525.7x₹80 cr3.2%5.0%0.1x
2020-0429.8x₹80 cr3.2%5.0%0.1x
2020-0321.5x₹80 cr3.2%5.0%0.1x
2020-0228.3x₹80 cr3.2%5.0%0.1x
2020-0137.4x₹80 cr3.2%5.0%0.1x
2019-1240.7x₹80 cr3.2%5.0%0.1x
2019-1146.4x₹80 cr3.2%5.0%0.1x
2019-1024.8x₹80 cr3.2%5.0%0.1x
2019-0926.3x₹80 cr3.2%5.0%0.1x
2019-0822.5x₹80 cr3.2%5.0%0.1x
2019-0722.1x₹80 cr3.2%5.0%0.1x
2019-0628.1x₹80 cr3.2%5.0%0.1x
2019-0523.3x₹77 cr4.5%7.0%0.1x
2019-0424.2x₹77 cr4.5%7.0%0.1x
2019-0325.1x₹77 cr4.5%7.0%0.1x
2019-0228.1x₹77 cr4.5%7.0%0.1x
2019-0127.9x₹77 cr4.5%7.0%0.1x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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