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MARVEL DECOR LIMITED (MDL)

Consumer Durables

Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.45 / 100
Profitability 18Growth 54Balance sheet 62
Compare withASAHI INDIA GLASS LIMITEDCELLO WORLD LTDTTK PRESTIGE LTD
Share Price
₹49.75
P/E
20.3x
ROCE
7.9%
Market Cap
₹88 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹68 cr
P/S
1.3x
P/B
1.3x
ROE
6.6%
Debt / Equity
0.3x
Promoter Holding
67.4%
12M Momentum
-50.2%
P/E vs its own history18th percentilesince Mar '19
P/E vs Consumer Durables0.8xthe sector median

52-week range

₹42.80₹105.00
11% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
87.1%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
0.61

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
4.3x
Cash from profit, 3Y
operating cash flow ÷ net profit
-0.50x
low
Share count, 1Y
unchanged

Was the rally earned?

-50%share price, 1 yearLower P/E held it back

Earnings helped, the multiple did not.

  • Per-share earnings added 9 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 46.5x to 20.3x), which took 60 points back.
  • The share count barely moved.
1 year Net profit growth: +9 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+9 ptsP/E change: -60 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-60 pts -50% 1 year Net profit growth: +9 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).P/E change: -60 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-60 pts -50%
Net profit growth+9 ptsNet profit rose about 14%, which lifts the price.
P/E change-60 ptsThe P/E fell from 46.5x to 20.3x, which lowers the price.
Share count change0 ptsShare count was little changed. More shares would count against the price.
+6%share price, 3 yearsLower P/E held it back

Mostly yes, with a catch.

  • Per-share earnings added 74 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 39.5x to 20.3x), which took 68 points back.
  • The share count rose 4%.
3 years Net profit growth: +78 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+78 ptsP/E change: -69 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-69 ptsShare count change: -4 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. +6% 3 years Net profit growth: +78 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+78 ptsP/E change: -69 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-69 ptsShare count change: -4 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. +6%
Net profit growth+78 ptsNet profit rose about 114%, which lifts the price.
P/E change-68 ptsThe P/E fell from 39.5x to 20.3x, which lowers the price.
Share count change-4 ptsShare count rose 4%, which lowers the price.
+115%share price, 5 yearsLower P/E held it back

Mostly yes, with a catch.

  • Per-share earnings added 723 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 1155.0x to 20.3x), which took 608 points back.
  • The share count rose 4%.
5 years Net profit growth: +729 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+729 ptsP/E change: -608 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-608 ptsShare count change: -6 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. +115% 5 years Net profit growth: +729 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+729 ptsP/E change: -608 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-608 ptsShare count change: -6 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. +115%
Net profit growth+729 ptsNet profit rose about 12648%, which lifts the price.
P/E change-608 ptsThe P/E fell from 1155.0x to 20.3x, which lowers the price.
Share count change-6 ptsShare count rose 4%, which lowers the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare this with ASAHI INDIA GLASS

Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?

20.3xP/E todayNear its historic low
Against its own history18th percentileMedian 48.5x; usual range 11.5x to 1155.0x since 2019-03.
Against Consumer Durables20.3x vs 24.7xBelow the Consumer Durables median.
6.8x537.9x1068.9x1600.0xMar '19Oct '20May '22Dec '23Jul '25Oct '266.8x537.9x1068.9x1600.0xMar '19Oct '21May '24Oct '26
P/E (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianConsumer Durables median

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P/B (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianConsumer Durables median

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P/S (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianConsumer Durables median
How to read this

Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dashed line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).

Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.

All terms explained in the glossary →

How Consumer Durables is valued

What is the price implying?

~20%annual earnings growth implied by the price

At a P/E of 29.0x, the price would imply about 19.6%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.

Below the ₹1,000 cr market-cap floor used for the lists.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Consumer Durables The market-wide Expectations lists

What changed?

  1. Jun '26Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹68 cr.
  2. Jun '26Slipped to the 3rd quartile of Consumer Durables on EPS growth (from the 2nd quartile).
  3. Feb '26Fell 68% from the Dec 2024 peak to the Feb 2026 low.
  4. Dec '25Promoter holding fell 2.6 pts to 67.4% (largest drop since 2024-12).
  5. Jun '25Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹63 cr.
  6. Jun '25Slipped to the bottom quartile of Consumer Durables on ROCE (from the 3rd quartile).
  7. Mar '25Slipped to the 2nd quartile of Consumer Durables on EPS growth (from the top quartile).
  8. Dec '24Promoter holding fell 2.9 pts to 70.0%.
Show 15 earlier events
  1. Dec '24Regained the 2024-07 peak, 2 months after the low.
  2. Oct '24Fell 29% from the Jul 2024 peak to the Oct 2024 low.
  3. Jun '24Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹53 cr.
  4. Jun '24Moved into the 3rd quartile of Consumer Durables on ROCE (from the bottom quartile).
  5. Aug '23Regained the 2023-02 peak, 1 month after the low.
  6. Jul '23Fell 33% from the Feb 2023 peak to the Jul 2023 low.
  7. Jul '23Slipped to the 2nd quartile of Consumer Durables on EPS growth (from the top quartile).
  8. Jun '23Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹49 cr.
  9. Sep '22Regained the 2019-03 peak, 36 months after the low.
  10. Jul '22Year-on-year EPS growth turned positive.
  11. Jul '22Moved into the top quartile of Consumer Durables on EPS growth (from the bottom quartile).
  12. May '21P/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (174.7x).
  13. Jun '20Year-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
  14. Jun '20Slipped to the bottom quartile of Consumer Durables on ROCE (from the 3rd quartile).
  15. Sep '19Fell 64% from the Mar 2019 peak to the Sep 2019 low.

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Are profits backed by cash?

2 of 6 checks are within range, 1 near a threshold, 3 beyond a threshold.
Tap a check to see how it is measured.

Other income reliance73%Beyond threshold

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 72.7%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Cash conversion-0.50xBeyond threshold

Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: -0.50x (cash from operations ₹-5.7 cr, net profit ₹11.4 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.

Free cash flow0 of 5 yrsBeyond threshold

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 0. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history+22 daysNear threshold

Debtor days are above the median of the previous three fiscal years by 22 days (92 vs 70). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.

Capital work in progress0% of fixed assetsWithin range

Capital work-in-progress is 0% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days+30 days / 2 yrsWithin range

Days payable changed by +30 over two years. Bands: rise of up to 30 days; more than 30 days.

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Over 2 years, promoters trimmed 2.6 pts.
  • The number of shareholders rose from 358 to 442 (+23%) between Mar 2021 and Mar 2026.

Holdings, Mar '26

How each group changed

GroupMar '21Mar '26Change
Promoters72.9%67.4%-5.5 pts
FIIs———
DIIs———
Public and others27.1%32.6%+5.5 pts

Number of shareholders

442shareholders+23% since Mar '21
344381419456 Mar '21Sep '21Mar '22Sep '24Sep '25Mar '26
Mar '21: 358
Sep '21: 345
Mar '22: 344
Sep '24: 425
Sep '25: 456
Mar '26: 442
 344381419456 Mar '21Mar '22Sep '25Mar '26
Mar '21: 358
Sep '21: 345
Mar '22: 344
Sep '24: 425
Sep '25: 456
Mar '26: 442

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-68.1%not yet recovered
1-year volatility87.1%annualised

Monthly share price

₹14₹51₹87₹124 Mar '19Oct '20May '22Dec '23Jul '25Oct '26
2019-03: ₹29.50
2019-04: ₹28.00
2019-05: ₹27.95
2019-06: ₹24.00
2019-07: ₹22.00
2019-08: ₹19.40
2019-09: ₹14.00
2019-10: ₹26.00
2019-11: ₹23.80
2019-12: ₹23.10
2020-01: ₹21.70
2020-02: ₹22.30
2020-03: ₹20.00
2020-04: ₹21.25
2020-05: ₹23.00
2020-06: ₹21.00
2020-07: ₹17.50
2020-08: ₹17.45
2020-09: ₹19.75
2020-10: ₹21.00
2020-11: ₹22.80
2020-12: ₹23.50
2021-01: ₹26.00
2021-02: ₹22.75
2021-03: ₹22.00
2021-05: ₹27.95
2021-06: ₹28.50
2021-07: ₹23.15
2021-08: ₹23.10
2021-09: ₹22.00
2021-10: ₹23.10
2021-11: ₹27.30
2021-12: ₹27.00
2022-01: ₹31.10
2022-02: ₹31.10
2022-03: ₹30.50
2022-04: ₹32.00
2022-07: ₹32.00
2022-08: ₹35.00
2022-09: ₹38.00
2022-10: ₹36.25
2022-12: ₹38.00
2023-01: ₹40.60
2023-02: ₹45.00
2023-03: ₹40.00
2023-04: ₹38.00
2023-05: ₹39.00
2023-06: ₹32.55
2023-07: ₹44.95
2023-08: ₹44.10
2023-09: ₹45.70
2023-10: ₹47.00
2023-11: ₹66.20
2023-12: ₹69.65
2024-01: ₹88.30
2024-02: ₹90.00
2024-03: ₹90.00
2024-04: ₹111.00
2024-05: ₹109.45
2024-06: ₹106.00
2024-07: ₹111.40
2024-08: ₹105.05
2024-09: ₹101.00
2024-10: ₹98.00
2024-11: ₹106.95
2024-12: ₹124.05
2025-01: ₹97.00
2025-02: ₹89.95
2025-03: ₹92.45
2025-04: ₹98.95
2025-05: ₹105.00
2025-06: ₹98.00
2025-07: ₹91.00
2025-08: ₹81.75
2025-09: ₹93.00
2025-10: ₹99.90
2025-11: ₹90.00
2025-12: ₹71.00
2026-01: ₹50.50
2026-02: ₹45.00
2026-03: ₹57.00
2026-04: ₹47.00
2026-05: ₹55.50
2026-06: ₹79.90
2026-07: ₹64.35
2026-08: ₹61.95
2026-09: ₹64.90
2026-10: ₹49.75
 ₹14₹51₹87₹124 Mar '19Oct '21May '24Oct '26
2019-03: ₹29.50
2019-04: ₹28.00
2019-05: ₹27.95
2019-06: ₹24.00
2019-07: ₹22.00
2019-08: ₹19.40
2019-09: ₹14.00
2019-10: ₹26.00
2019-11: ₹23.80
2019-12: ₹23.10
2020-01: ₹21.70
2020-02: ₹22.30
2020-03: ₹20.00
2020-04: ₹21.25
2020-05: ₹23.00
2020-06: ₹21.00
2020-07: ₹17.50
2020-08: ₹17.45
2020-09: ₹19.75
2020-10: ₹21.00
2020-11: ₹22.80
2020-12: ₹23.50
2021-01: ₹26.00
2021-02: ₹22.75
2021-03: ₹22.00
2021-05: ₹27.95
2021-06: ₹28.50
2021-07: ₹23.15
2021-08: ₹23.10
2021-09: ₹22.00
2021-10: ₹23.10
2021-11: ₹27.30
2021-12: ₹27.00
2022-01: ₹31.10
2022-02: ₹31.10
2022-03: ₹30.50
2022-04: ₹32.00
2022-07: ₹32.00
2022-08: ₹35.00
2022-09: ₹38.00
2022-10: ₹36.25
2022-12: ₹38.00
2023-01: ₹40.60
2023-02: ₹45.00
2023-03: ₹40.00
2023-04: ₹38.00
2023-05: ₹39.00
2023-06: ₹32.55
2023-07: ₹44.95
2023-08: ₹44.10
2023-09: ₹45.70
2023-10: ₹47.00
2023-11: ₹66.20
2023-12: ₹69.65
2024-01: ₹88.30
2024-02: ₹90.00
2024-03: ₹90.00
2024-04: ₹111.00
2024-05: ₹109.45
2024-06: ₹106.00
2024-07: ₹111.40
2024-08: ₹105.05
2024-09: ₹101.00
2024-10: ₹98.00
2024-11: ₹106.95
2024-12: ₹124.05
2025-01: ₹97.00
2025-02: ₹89.95
2025-03: ₹92.45
2025-04: ₹98.95
2025-05: ₹105.00
2025-06: ₹98.00
2025-07: ₹91.00
2025-08: ₹81.75
2025-09: ₹93.00
2025-10: ₹99.90
2025-11: ₹90.00
2025-12: ₹71.00
2026-01: ₹50.50
2026-02: ₹45.00
2026-03: ₹57.00
2026-04: ₹47.00
2026-05: ₹55.50
2026-06: ₹79.90
2026-07: ₹64.35
2026-08: ₹61.95
2026-09: ₹64.90
2026-10: ₹49.75

Last 90 trading days

₹46₹57₹69₹80 Apr 30Jun 3Jul 1Aug 4Sep 21Oct 30
2026-04-30: ₹47.00
2026-05-05: ₹46.70
2026-05-07: ₹46.70
2026-05-11: ₹49.00
2026-05-13: ₹55.95
2026-05-15: ₹53.10
2026-05-20: ₹50.00
2026-05-22: ₹50.00
2026-05-29: ₹55.50
2026-06-03: ₹57.45
2026-06-05: ₹68.00
2026-06-09: ₹73.95
2026-06-11: ₹72.20
2026-06-15: ₹70.00
2026-06-17: ₹74.00
2026-06-19: ₹73.30
2026-06-24: ₹73.00
2026-06-29: ₹76.60
2026-07-01: ₹78.10
2026-07-07: ₹75.10
2026-07-09: ₹71.35
2026-07-13: ₹69.85
2026-07-16: ₹70.10
2026-07-20: ₹70.00
2026-07-24: ₹69.00
2026-07-28: ₹67.80
2026-07-30: ₹61.30
2026-08-04: ₹61.15
2026-08-06: ₹63.75
2026-08-13: ₹60.85
2026-08-17: ₹56.00
2026-08-20: ₹53.70
2026-08-24: ₹51.00
2026-08-26: ₹56.20
2026-08-28: ₹61.95
2026-09-15: ₹60.00
2026-09-21: ₹60.00
2026-09-24: ₹64.95
2026-09-30: ₹64.90
2026-10-08: ₹59.00
2026-10-12: ₹52.30
2026-10-16: ₹47.25
2026-10-22: ₹53.95
2026-10-27: ₹51.95
2026-10-29: ₹48.00
2026-10-30: ₹49.75
 ₹46₹57₹69₹80 Apr 30Jun 19Aug 17Oct 30
2026-04-30: ₹47.00
2026-05-05: ₹46.70
2026-05-07: ₹46.70
2026-05-11: ₹49.00
2026-05-13: ₹55.95
2026-05-15: ₹53.10
2026-05-20: ₹50.00
2026-05-22: ₹50.00
2026-05-29: ₹55.50
2026-06-03: ₹57.45
2026-06-05: ₹68.00
2026-06-09: ₹73.95
2026-06-11: ₹72.20
2026-06-15: ₹70.00
2026-06-17: ₹74.00
2026-06-19: ₹73.30
2026-06-24: ₹73.00
2026-06-29: ₹76.60
2026-07-01: ₹78.10
2026-07-07: ₹75.10
2026-07-09: ₹71.35
2026-07-13: ₹69.85
2026-07-16: ₹70.10
2026-07-20: ₹70.00
2026-07-24: ₹69.00
2026-07-28: ₹67.80
2026-07-30: ₹61.30
2026-08-04: ₹61.15
2026-08-06: ₹63.75
2026-08-13: ₹60.85
2026-08-17: ₹56.00
2026-08-20: ₹53.70
2026-08-24: ₹51.00
2026-08-26: ₹56.20
2026-08-28: ₹61.95
2026-09-15: ₹60.00
2026-09-21: ₹60.00
2026-09-24: ₹64.95
2026-09-30: ₹64.90
2026-10-08: ₹59.00
2026-10-12: ₹52.30
2026-10-16: ₹47.25
2026-10-22: ₹53.95
2026-10-27: ₹51.95
2026-10-29: ₹48.00
2026-10-30: ₹49.75

Drawdown from peak

0% -34% -68% Mar '19Jan '23Oct '26 0% -34% -68% Mar '19Jan '23Oct '26
Largest drawdowns

-68.1% (2024-12 peak to 2026-02 low, not yet recovered)

-64.1% (2019-03 peak to 2019-09 low, recovered 2022-09)

-33.3% (2023-02 peak to 2023-07 low, recovered 2023-08)

Where does it rank among Consumer Durables peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Consumer Durables peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

ROCE
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Nov '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Oct '26
Lower rank Higher rank

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Consumer Durables sector page Watch it move against Consumer Durables in the Observatory

What happened next to similar setups

+3.2%typical 12-month return vs the marketNot meaningfully different from the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like MARVEL DECOR LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −22% to +32% vs the market, against −1% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The gap against the base rate (+4.5%, 80% range −9.1% to +7.0%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
BEWLTD · Aug 2025: −70.7% vs market
SHUBHLAXMI · Mar 2020: −68.0% vs market
SONAMAC · Aug 2025: −59.2% vs market
HILTON · Sep 2025: −56.8% vs market
NIDAN · Nov 2022: −45.5% vs market
DYNPRO · May 2023: −43.7% vs market
COMPUSOFT · Nov 2024: −41.2% vs market
ISFT · Jun 2023: −36.1% vs market
LAMBODHARA · Jan 2025: −28.2% vs market
GSS · Jan 2020: −27.1% vs market
RPPINFRA · Apr 2020: −24.7% vs market
WIPL · Sep 2020: −22.4% vs market
ALKALI · Oct 2023: −22.3% vs market
TCL · Feb 2025: −19.0% vs market
INCREDIBLE · Aug 2021: −17.1% vs market
THEMISMED · Jun 2025: −15.8% vs market
THEINVEST · Oct 2021: −13.9% vs market
COASTCORP · Dec 2022: −13.8% vs market
SUMIT · May 2021: −13.6% vs market
SAMBHAAV · Mar 2020: −11.0% vs market
RILINFRA · Jun 2025: −10.3% vs market
WEWIN · Oct 2025: −7.2% vs market
SHIGAN · Jun 2023: −3.7% vs market
KOTYARK · Aug 2023: +0.2% vs market
ALMONDZ · Jan 2020: +1.7% vs market
AKASH · Apr 2023: +4.8% vs market
BANKA · Jul 2021: +5.2% vs market
HPIL · Nov 2023: +6.1% vs market
SONAMLTD · Jun 2023: +6.3% vs market
SHIVATEX · Jan 2020: +6.4% vs market
ROHLTD · May 2020: +6.5% vs market
RPPL · Nov 2022: +9.2% vs market
ARVEE · Apr 2022: +12.3% vs market
APOLLO · May 2021: +12.5% vs market
PARTYCRUS · Nov 2023: +19.7% vs market
OMINFRAL · Nov 2020: +24.9% vs market
ICEMAKE · Jul 2020: +27.2% vs market
LIBERTSHOE · Sep 2023: +33.7% vs market
V2RETAIL · May 2020: +36.6% vs market
WEIZMANIND · Jun 2020: +41.1% vs market
BYKE · Sep 2020: +46.4% vs market
BALAJITELE · Aug 2024: +47.1% vs market
SURANAT&P · Jun 2021: +47.8% vs market
MMP · Jul 2020: +53.2% vs market
SOMICONVEY · Jan 2020: +75.0% vs market
KANDARP · Sep 2023: +86.2% vs market
OMFURN · Sep 2024: +99.6% vs market
BHANDARI · Feb 2020: +101.1% vs market
KRITIKA · Aug 2023: +101.4% vs market
PIGL · Jan 2024: +295.6% vs market
Similar setups +3.2%All companies −1.3%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 3 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
+3.2%
All companies' median
−1.3%
Beat the market
54% vs 49%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 34 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
SAMBHAAV
Consumer Services		 Mar 2020 10x6% −71%−75% −11%
WIPL
Producer Manufacturing		 Sep 2020 33x6% −45%−52% −22%
SHIGAN
Electronic Technology		 Jun 2023 34x— −24%−43% −4%
RPPL
Process Industries		 Nov 2022 20x— −12%−38% +9%
SONAMLTD
Miscellaneous		 Jun 2023 25x9% −42%−43% +6%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
TCL
Producer Manufacturing		 Feb 2025 22x— −48%−59% −19%
BYKE
Consumer Services		 Sep 2020 13x4% −42%−42% +46%
BHANDARI
Consumer Non-Durables		 Feb 2020 —9% −48%−52% +101%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: interest cover, ROCE and P/E. Not used (unavailable for this company): operating margin. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 5 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to MARVEL DECOR LIMITED. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-10-30. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 97,430 company-months from 2000 companies; financial: 5,632 company-months from 106 companies. 2240 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.
Monthly history (92 months)
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-1020.3x₹68 cr6.6%7.9%0.3x
2026-0926.5x₹68 cr6.6%7.9%0.3x
2026-0825.3x₹68 cr6.6%7.9%0.3x
2026-0726.3x₹68 cr6.6%7.9%0.3x
2026-0632.6x₹68 cr6.6%7.9%0.3x
2026-0525.8x₹63 cr6.1%8.2%0.3x
2026-0421.9x₹63 cr6.1%8.2%0.3x
2026-0326.5x₹63 cr6.1%8.2%0.3x
2026-0220.9x₹63 cr6.1%8.2%0.3x
2026-0123.5x₹63 cr6.1%8.2%0.3x
2025-1233.0x₹63 cr6.1%8.2%0.3x
2025-1141.9x₹63 cr6.1%8.2%0.3x
2025-1046.5x₹63 cr6.1%8.2%0.3x
2025-0943.3x₹63 cr6.1%8.2%0.3x
2025-0838.0x₹63 cr6.1%8.2%0.3x
2025-0742.3x₹63 cr6.1%8.2%0.3x
2025-0645.6x₹63 cr6.1%8.2%0.3x
2025-0555.6x₹53 cr6.3%8.2%0.3x
2025-0452.4x₹53 cr6.3%8.2%0.3x
2025-0348.9x₹53 cr6.3%8.2%0.3x
2025-0247.6x₹53 cr6.3%8.2%0.3x
2025-0151.3x₹53 cr6.3%8.2%0.3x
2024-1265.6x₹53 cr6.3%8.2%0.3x
2024-1156.6x₹53 cr6.3%8.2%0.3x
2024-1051.9x₹53 cr6.3%8.2%0.3x
2024-0953.4x₹53 cr6.3%8.2%0.3x
2024-0855.6x₹53 cr6.3%8.2%0.3x
2024-0758.9x₹53 cr6.3%8.2%0.3x
2024-0656.1x₹53 cr6.3%8.2%0.3x
2024-0592.0x₹49 cr4.3%6.9%0.3x
2024-0493.3x₹49 cr4.3%6.9%0.3x
2024-0375.6x₹49 cr4.3%6.9%0.3x
2024-0275.6x₹49 cr4.3%6.9%0.3x
2024-0174.2x₹49 cr4.3%6.9%0.3x
2023-1258.5x₹49 cr4.3%6.9%0.3x
2023-1155.6x₹49 cr4.3%6.9%0.3x
2023-1039.5x₹49 cr4.3%6.9%0.3x
2023-0938.4x₹49 cr4.3%6.9%0.3x
2023-0837.1x₹49 cr4.3%6.9%0.3x
2023-0737.8x₹49 cr4.3%6.9%0.3x
2023-0627.4x₹49 cr4.3%6.9%0.3x
2023-0549.4x₹41 cr3.0%6.0%0.2x
2023-0448.1x₹41 cr3.0%6.0%0.2x
2023-0350.6x₹41 cr3.0%6.0%0.2x
2023-0257.0x₹41 cr3.0%6.0%0.2x
2023-0151.4x₹41 cr3.0%6.0%0.2x
2022-1248.1x₹41 cr3.0%6.0%0.2x
2022-11—————
2022-1045.9x₹41 cr3.0%6.0%0.2x
2022-0948.1x₹41 cr3.0%6.0%0.2x
2022-0844.3x₹41 cr3.0%6.0%0.2x
2022-0740.5x₹41 cr3.0%6.0%0.2x
2022-06—————
2022-05—————
2022-041600.0x₹28 cr0.1%2.8%0.3x
2022-031525.0x₹28 cr0.1%2.8%0.3x
2022-021555.0x₹28 cr0.1%2.8%0.3x
2022-011555.0x₹28 cr0.1%2.8%0.3x
2021-121350.0x₹28 cr0.1%2.8%0.3x
2021-111365.0x₹28 cr0.1%2.8%0.3x
2021-101155.0x₹28 cr0.1%2.8%0.3x
2021-091100.0x₹28 cr0.1%2.8%0.3x
2021-081155.0x₹28 cr0.1%2.8%0.3x
2021-071157.5x₹28 cr0.1%2.8%0.3x
2021-061425.0x₹28 cr0.1%2.8%0.3x
2021-05174.7x₹29 cr0.6%5.7%0.3x
2021-04—————
2021-03137.5x₹29 cr0.6%5.7%0.3x
2021-02142.2x₹29 cr0.6%5.7%0.3x
2021-01162.5x₹29 cr0.6%5.7%0.3x
2020-12146.9x₹29 cr0.6%5.7%0.3x
2020-11142.5x₹29 cr0.6%5.7%0.3x
2020-10131.3x₹29 cr0.6%5.7%0.3x
2020-09123.4x₹29 cr0.6%5.7%0.3x
2020-08109.1x₹29 cr0.6%5.7%0.3x
2020-07109.4x₹29 cr0.6%5.7%0.3x
2020-06131.3x₹29 cr0.6%5.7%0.3x
2020-0511.2x₹26 cr8.2%11.9%0.1x
2020-0410.4x₹26 cr8.2%11.9%0.1x
2020-039.8x₹26 cr8.2%11.9%0.1x
2020-0210.9x₹26 cr8.2%11.9%0.1x
2020-0110.6x₹26 cr8.2%11.9%0.1x
2019-1211.3x₹26 cr8.2%11.9%0.1x
2019-1111.6x₹26 cr8.2%11.9%0.1x
2019-1012.7x₹26 cr8.2%11.9%0.1x
2019-096.8x₹26 cr8.2%11.9%0.1x
2019-089.5x₹26 cr8.2%11.9%0.1x
2019-0710.7x₹26 cr8.2%11.9%0.1x
2019-0611.7x₹26 cr8.2%11.9%0.1x
2019-0515.3x₹32 cr7.9%—0.1x
2019-0415.3x₹32 cr7.9%—0.1x
2019-0316.1x₹32 cr7.9%—0.1x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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