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NEWMALAYALAM STEEL LIMITED (NMSTEEL)

Non-Energy Minerals · Steel · figures to Nov '26

Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.58 / 100
Profitability 39Balance sheet 77

Passes these screensValue Pick

Share price

Closing priceAdjusted for splits and bonus issues.

₹23 latest close · −1.9% over the last 90 sessions

₹20₹22₹24₹26Apr 27Jun 5Jul 27Aug 31Sep 30Nov 8 ₹20₹22₹24₹26Apr 27Aug 18Nov 8

₹23 month-end · −31.5% over 12 months

₹20₹25₹30₹35Nov '25Jan '26Apr '26Jun '26Sep '26Nov '26 ₹20₹25₹30₹35Nov '25May '26Nov '26

₹23 month-end · −18.1% since Jun '25

₹20₹25₹30₹35Jun '25Sep '25Jan '26Apr '26Aug '26Nov '26 ₹20₹25₹30₹35Jun '25Mar '26Nov '26

52-week range ₹17.40 to ₹39.15 · 1-year volatility 67.3%

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-78.2%not yet recovered
1-year volatility67.3%annualised

Drawdown from peak

0%−25%−50%−75%2026−77.5% 0%−25%−50%−75%2026−77.5%
Largest drawdowns

-78.2% (2024-12 peak to 2026-03 low, not yet recovered)

Where does it rank among Non-Energy Minerals peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Non-Energy Minerals peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

Where it ranks today

  • ROCE39th
  • Revenue growth39th
  • Debt/equity ↓66th▲ 5 pts vs a year ago
  • Cash cycle ↓69th▲ 4 pts vs a year ago
  • P/E ↓95th
  • 12M momentum19th

Rank history

ROCE
Revenue growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Dec '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Jul '26Nov '26
Lower rank Higher rank Not enough data

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Non-Energy Minerals sector page Watch it move against Non-Energy Minerals in the Observatory

What is the price implying?

~4%annual earnings growth implied by the price

At a P/E of 7.3x, the price would imply about 4.2%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.

Fewer than six years of annual earnings are available, which is too little to measure delivered growth.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Non-Energy Minerals The market-wide Expectations lists

Key figures

Share Priceclose 8 Nov
₹23.00
P/E
7.3x
ROCE
8.0%
Market Cap
₹40 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹320 cr
P/S
0.1x
P/B
0.5x
ROE
6.4%
Debt / Equity
0.2x
Promoter Holding
73.0%
12M Momentum
-31.6%

52-week range

₹17.40₹39.15
26% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
67.3%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
0.40

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
3.0x
Share count, 1Y
unchanged

Are profits backed by cash?

0 of 1checks within range1 beyond a threshold
Other income reliance60%Beyond threshold

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 60.0%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Cash conversion—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Free cash flow—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Receivable days vs history—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Capital work in progress—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Payable days—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Tap a check to see how it is measured

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Since Dec 2024, DIIs added 6.0 pts; FIIs trimmed 2.5 pts.
  • The number of shareholders fell from 2,226 to 1,495 (-33%) between Dec 2024 and Mar 2026.

Holdings, Mar '26

How each group changed

GroupDec '24Mar '26Change
Promoters73.0%73.0%0.0 pts
FIIs2.5%0.0%-2.5 pts
DIIs0.0%6.0%+6.0 pts
Public and others24.4%21.0%-3.4 pts

Number of shareholders

1,495shareholders-33% since Dec '24
1k2k2k2k Dec '24Mar '25Sep '25Mar '26
Dec '24: 2,226
Mar '25: 1,694
Sep '25: 1,601
Mar '26: 1,495
1k2k2k2k Dec '24Mar '25Sep '25Mar '26
Dec '24: 2,226
Mar '25: 1,694
Sep '25: 1,601
Mar '26: 1,495

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

What happened next to similar setups

−6.5%typical 12-month return vs the marketNot meaningfully different from the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like NEWMALAYALAM STEEL LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, debt, growth, price momentum and size.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −23% to +23% vs the market, against −7% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The gap against the base rate (+0.7%, 80% range −3.9% to +11.7%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
PRECISION · Jan 2025: −77.7% vs market
SWASTIK · Mar 2025: −67.9% vs market
UMAEXPORTS · Apr 2025: −66.6% vs market
ACCURACY · Mar 2025: −52.2% vs market
ELECTHERM · Jun 2021: −48.7% vs market
DEEM · Apr 2025: −48.4% vs market
SHANTI · Mar 2023: −46.7% vs market
DANGEE · Mar 2025: −43.6% vs market
PATINTLOG · Mar 2025: −36.5% vs market
SADBHIN · Sep 2025: −34.0% vs market
UMA · Oct 2024: −28.8% vs market
MHHL · Dec 2024: −27.9% vs market
SHIVAMILLS · Jan 2020: −23.0% vs market
RANASUG · May 2025: −21.9% vs market
SGL · Jan 2024: −21.7% vs market
JOCIL · May 2024: −15.8% vs market
CELLPOINT · Aug 2025: −14.0% vs market
ISFT · Aug 2025: −12.4% vs market
GILLANDERS · Aug 2023: −12.3% vs market
VINNY · Oct 2025: −10.5% vs market
AROGRANITE · May 2023: −9.5% vs market
PIONEEREMB · Mar 2023: −9.2% vs market
LIBAS · May 2025: −9.1% vs market
UCAL · Sep 2022: −8.9% vs market
AARVI · Sep 2024: −7.0% vs market
RPPINFRA · Apr 2022: −6.1% vs market
INCREDIBLE · Feb 2025: −3.3% vs market
SAHYADRI · Mar 2025: −3.0% vs market
CORDSCABLE · Feb 2021: +6.2% vs market
BEARDSELL · Jun 2025: +7.7% vs market
JAYAGROGN · Sep 2023: +8.2% vs market
NAHARINDUS · May 2024: +8.3% vs market
AAREYDRUGS · May 2023: +8.4% vs market
CELEBRITY · Feb 2020: +9.0% vs market
LAXMICOT · May 2023: +9.1% vs market
JETFREIGHT · Jan 2025: +13.9% vs market
TEXMOPIPES · Mar 2023: +17.0% vs market
SHAHALLOYS · Apr 2020: +25.2% vs market
SUPERHOUSE · Nov 2021: +30.7% vs market
GOKUL · Sep 2020: +45.9% vs market
KNAGRI · Feb 2024: +59.3% vs market
NAHARSPING · Apr 2020: +72.9% vs market
MUNJALAU · Oct 2023: +75.2% vs market
MANAKALUCO · Mar 2020: +85.1% vs market
MHLXMIRU · Jan 2024: +90.0% vs market
LAMBODHARA · Nov 2020: +111.4% vs market
AISL · Oct 2023: +159.7% vs market
UNIVCABLES · Mar 2022: +173.2% vs market
AMDIND · Sep 2021: +187.3% vs market
TERASOFT · Nov 2023: +246.1% vs market
Similar setups −6.5%All companies −7.2%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 5 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
−6.5%
All companies' median
−7.2%
Beat the market
44% vs 42%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 34 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
PATINTLOG
Transportation
Mar 2025 12x10% −32%−51% −37%
SGL
Process Industries
Jan 2024 4x— +10%−11% −22%
LIBAS
Consumer Non-Durables
May 2025 7x7% −27%−37% −9%
ELECTHERM
Non-Energy Minerals
Jun 2021 4x9% +48%−13% −49%
LAXMICOT
Process Industries
May 2023 6x— −20%−31% +9%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
ISFT
Retail Trade
Aug 2025 13x6% −35%−45% −12%
ACCURACY
Transportation
Mar 2025 9x5% −25%−46% −52%
MHHL
Health Technology
Dec 2024 9x14% −24%−29% −28%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high and size. Closest on: 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high and interest cover. Not used (unavailable for this company): operating margin and volatility. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to NEWMALAYALAM STEEL LIMITED. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-11-09. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 98,395 company-months from 2019 companies; financial: 5,659 company-months from 108 companies. 2349 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

What changed?

3 events since Dec '25

  1. JunResultsEPS (TTM) turned positive.
  2. MarPriceFell 78% from the Dec 2024 peak to the Mar 2026 low.
  3. DecInstitutionsFII + DII holding rose 3.5 pts over 2 quarters to 6.0%.

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Monthly history18 months · 2025-06 to 2026-11
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-117.3x₹320 cr6.4%8.0%0.2x
2026-106.4x₹320 cr6.4%8.0%0.2x
2026-097.5x₹320 cr6.4%8.0%0.2x
2026-087.3x₹320 cr6.4%8.0%0.2x
2026-077.9x₹320 cr6.4%8.0%0.2x
2026-067.4x₹320 cr6.4%8.0%0.2x
2026-05—₹304 cr-1.2%—0.2x
2026-04—₹304 cr-1.2%—0.2x
2026-03—₹304 cr-1.2%—0.2x
2026-02—₹304 cr-1.2%—0.2x
2026-01—₹304 cr-1.2%—0.2x
2025-12—₹304 cr-1.2%—0.2x
2025-11—₹304 cr-1.2%—0.2x
2025-10—₹304 cr-1.2%—0.2x
2025-09—₹304 cr-1.2%—0.2x
2025-08—₹304 cr-1.2%—0.2x
2025-07—₹304 cr-1.2%—0.2x
2025-06—₹304 cr-1.2%—0.2x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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