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NOVA AGRITECH LIMITED (NOVAAGRI)

Process Industries · Chemicals: Agricultural · figures to Nov '26

Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.58 / 100
Profitability 41Balance sheet 75

Share price

Closing priceAdjusted for splits and bonus issues.

₹23.4 latest close · −9.5% over the last 90 sessions

₹22₹24₹26Jul 3Jul 29Aug 24Sep 17Oct 14Nov 9 ₹22₹24₹26Jul 3Sep 4Nov 9

₹23.4 month-end · −45.6% over 12 months

₹20₹30₹40Nov '25Jan '26Apr '26Jun '26Sep '26Nov '26 ₹20₹30₹40Nov '25May '26Nov '26

₹23.4 month-end · −59.5% since Jan '24

₹20₹40₹60₹80Jan '24Aug '24Mar '25Sep '25Apr '26Nov '26 ₹20₹40₹60₹80Jan '24Jun '25Nov '26

52-week range ₹18.12 to ₹51.99 · 1-year volatility 48.4%

Was the rally earned?

-46%share price, 1 yearEarnings-driven

Mostly earnings.

  • Per-share earnings took off 54 points, while the multiple moved less (P/E 15.1x to 17.0x).
  • The share count barely moved.
Net profit growth: −54 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).−54 ptsNet profit growthP/E change: +9 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.+9 ptsP/E changeShare count change: 0 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price.0 ptsShare count changeShare price: −46%−46%Share priceNet profit growth: −54 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).−54ProfitP/E change: +9 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.+9P/EShare count change: 0 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price.0SharesShare price: −46%−46%Share price
Net profit growth-54 ptsNet profit fell about 52%, which lowers the price.
P/E change+9 ptsThe P/E rose from 15.1x to 17.0x, which lifts the price.
Share count change0 ptsShare count was little changed. More shares would count against the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Not shown for 3 years and 5 years: earnings were negative at one end, or there is not enough history.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare this with FERTILIZERS AND CHEMICALS TRAV

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-79.6%not yet recovered
1-year volatility48.4%annualised

Drawdown from peak

0%−25%−50%−75%20252026−77.2% 0%−25%−50%−75%20252026−77.2%
Largest drawdowns

-79.6% (2024-07 peak to 2026-03 low, not yet recovered)

-36.1% (2024-02 peak to 2024-06 low, recovered 2024-07)

Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?

17.0xP/E todayWithin its usual range
Against its own history66th percentile
CheapestMedian 16.4xDearest

Usual range 13.4x to 18.4x since 2024-01.

Against Process Industries17.0x vs 18.1x
This company
17.0x
Sector median
18.1x

6% below the Process Industries median.

9.3x17.1x24.9x32.7xJan '24Aug '24Mar '25Oct '25May '26Nov '269.3x17.1x24.9x32.7xJan '24Jan '25Jan '26Nov '26
P/E (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianProcess Industries median

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P/B (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianProcess Industries median

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P/S (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianProcess Industries median
How to read this

Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dotted line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).

Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.

All terms explained in the glossary →

How Process Industries is valued

Where does it rank among Process Industries peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Process Industries peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

Where it ranks today

  • ROCE37th▼ 33 pts vs a year ago
  • Op. margin45th▼ 15 pts vs a year ago
  • Revenue growth10th▼ 60 pts vs a year ago
  • EPS growth14th▼ 13 pts vs a year ago
  • Debt/equity ↓63rdflat vs a year ago
  • Cash cycle ↓7th▼ 3 pts vs a year ago
  • P/E ↓55th▼ 12 pts vs a year ago
  • 12M momentum6th▼ 22 pts vs a year ago

Rank history

ROCE
Op. margin
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Dec '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Jul '26Nov '26
Lower rank Higher rank Not enough data

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Process Industries sector page Watch it move against Process Industries in the Observatory

What is the price implying?

~8%annual earnings growth implied by the price

At a P/E of 10.7x, the price would imply about 8.3%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.

Below the ₹1,000 cr market-cap floor used for the lists.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Process Industries The market-wide Expectations lists

Key figures

Share Priceclose 9 Nov
₹23.40
P/E
17.0x
ROCE
8.0%
Market Cap
₹217 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹275 cr
P/S
0.8x
P/B
0.9x
ROE
5.5%
Operating Margin
10.4%
Debt / Equity
0.2x
Promoter Holding
59.4%
12M Momentum
-45.6%

52-week range

₹18.12₹51.99
16% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
48.4%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
1.37

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
4.6x
Cash from profit, 3Y
operating cash flow ÷ net profit
-0.22x
low
Share count, 1Y
unchanged

Are profits backed by cash?

3 of 7checks within range3 beyond a threshold
Other income reliance1%Within range

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 1.2%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate24%Within range

Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 24.1%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.

Cash conversion-0.22xBeyond threshold

Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: -0.22x (cash from operations ₹-15 cr, net profit ₹68 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.

Free cash flow1 of 5 yrsBeyond threshold

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 1. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history+58 daysBeyond threshold

Debtor days are above the median of the previous three fiscal years by 58 days (259 vs 201). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.

Capital work in progress0% of fixed assetsWithin range

Capital work-in-progress is 0% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days+42 days / 2 yrsNear threshold

Days payable changed by +42 over two years. Bands: rise of up to 30 days; more than 30 days.

Tap a check to see how it is measured

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Over 2 years, FIIs trimmed 4.7 pts; DIIs trimmed 2.2 pts.
  • The number of shareholders fell from 82,101 to 74,113 (-10%) between Mar 2024 and Jun 2026.

Holdings, Jun '26

How each group changed

GroupMar '24Jun '26Change
Promoters59.4%59.4%0.0 pts
FIIs4.7%0.0%-4.7 pts
DIIs3.3%1.1%-2.2 pts
Public and others29.9%36.8%+6.9 pts

Number of shareholders

74,113shareholders-10% since Mar '24
74k79k84k90k Mar '24Sep '24Mar '25Sep '25Mar '26Jun '26
Mar '24: 82,101
Jun '24: 81,807
Sep '24: 89,527
Dec '24: 87,354
Mar '25: 86,998
Jun '25: 85,107
Sep '25: 81,002
Dec '25: 78,026
Mar '26: 75,898
Jun '26: 74,113
74k79k84k90k Mar '24Dec '24Sep '25Jun '26
Mar '24: 82,101
Jun '24: 81,807
Sep '24: 89,527
Dec '24: 87,354
Mar '25: 86,998
Jun '25: 85,107
Sep '25: 81,002
Dec '25: 78,026
Mar '26: 75,898
Jun '26: 74,113

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

What happened next to similar setups

−2.5%typical 12-month return vs the marketNot meaningfully different from the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like NOVA AGRITECH LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −21% to +31% vs the market, against −5% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The gap against the base rate (+2.3%, 80% range −7.1% to +10.8%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
PAKKA · Sep 2025: −52.6% vs market
VIKASECO · Jan 2025: −51.3% vs market
ALANKIT · May 2025: −41.0% vs market
BIRLACABLE · Aug 2024: −37.2% vs market
MIRZAINT · May 2024: −30.3% vs market
STERTOOLS · Sep 2025: −30.2% vs market
SHIGAN · Aug 2024: −28.5% vs market
3IINFOLTD · Jun 2025: −27.7% vs market
IRMENERGY · Jan 2025: −27.1% vs market
AKSHOPTFBR · Apr 2020: −26.2% vs market
HERANBA · Feb 2025: −25.6% vs market
ALKALI · Feb 2024: −23.1% vs market
VASCONEQ · Jan 2025: −21.2% vs market
KABRAEXTRU · May 2025: −20.7% vs market
COASTCORP · Apr 2023: −16.6% vs market
UFO · Jul 2025: −15.6% vs market
PPAP · May 2021: −14.3% vs market
AHLADA · Sep 2022: −13.1% vs market
LAMBODHARA · Jun 2024: −12.2% vs market
ISFT · Feb 2023: −12.0% vs market
OAL · Mar 2024: −10.6% vs market
ELIN · Jan 2024: −7.2% vs market
PATINTLOG · Apr 2020: −3.6% vs market
ORIENTCER · Feb 2025: −2.9% vs market
EKC · Jul 2023: −2.8% vs market
PRECAM · Jul 2024: −2.2% vs market
MANALIPETC · Nov 2024: +0.4% vs market
ZIMLAB · Jul 2024: +0.9% vs market
APOLLO · Jun 2021: +3.9% vs market
MEDICAMEQ · Sep 2025: +8.3% vs market
TARMAT · Jul 2022: +8.5% vs market
SMSPHARMA · Jan 2023: +16.2% vs market
BYKE · Apr 2020: +18.1% vs market
KRITI · Nov 2022: +18.2% vs market
PREMEXPLN · Apr 2020: +22.7% vs market
OMINFRAL · Nov 2020: +24.8% vs market
SARLAPOLY · Aug 2023: +30.6% vs market
EVERESTIND · Sep 2020: +31.3% vs market
HPL · Jun 2020: +36.7% vs market
SKMEGGPROD · Jan 2020: +37.9% vs market
PASUPTAC · Jun 2024: +41.9% vs market
SHREYANIND · Dec 2021: +50.4% vs market
KOPRAN · Oct 2025: +52.8% vs market
THEINVEST · Aug 2023: +66.7% vs market
WABAG · Mar 2020: +69.4% vs market
VETO · Jan 2020: +81.6% vs market
APOLSINHOT · May 2022: +97.8% vs market
ORIENTBELL · Mar 2020: +109.2% vs market
IGPL · Jun 2020: +181.8% vs market
PANAMAPET · Sep 2020: +198.5% vs market
Similar setups −2.5%All companies −4.8%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 3 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
−2.5%
All companies' median
−4.8%
Beat the market
48% vs 45%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 33 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
PREMEXPLN
Process Industries
Apr 2020 7x9% −67%−68% +23%
VASCONEQ
Industrial Services
Jan 2025 20x7% −42%−45% −21%
KOPRAN
Health Technology
Oct 2025 23x10% −42%−48% +53%
AHLADA
Producer Manufacturing
Sep 2022 24x7% −29%−42% −13%
ORIENTBELL
Producer Manufacturing
Mar 2020 8x7% −69%−69% +109%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
BYKE
Consumer Services
Apr 2020 8x5% −67%−69% +18%
KABRAEXTRU
Producer Manufacturing
May 2025 23x11% −32%−54% −21%
ALANKIT
Technology Services
May 2025 18x11% −34%−50% −41%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high and ROCE. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to NOVA AGRITECH LIMITED. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-11-09. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 98,395 company-months from 2019 companies; financial: 5,659 company-months from 108 companies. 2349 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

What changed?

15 events since Jun '24

  1. JunPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Process Industries on ROCE (from the 2nd quartile).
  2. MarPriceFell 80% from the Jul 2024 peak to the Mar 2026 low.
  3. MarPeer rankSlipped to the bottom quartile of Process Industries on EPS growth (from the 3rd quartile).
  4. JanValuationP/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (11.9x).
  5. SepPeer rankMoved into the 3rd quartile of Process Industries on EPS growth (from the bottom quartile).
  6. JunResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
  7. JunPeer rankSlipped to the 2nd quartile of Process Industries on ROCE (from the top quartile).
  8. JanDebtDebt / equity halved over 12 months to 0.32x.
Show 7 earlier events
  1. JanSharesShare count is up 38.5% over 12 months.
  2. DecPeer rankMoved into the top quartile of Process Industries on operating margin (from the 2nd quartile).
  3. SepInstitutionsFII + DII holding fell 3.0 pts over 1 quarter to 5.0%.
  4. SepPeer rankSlipped to the 2nd quartile of Process Industries on operating margin (from the top quartile).
  5. JulPriceRegained the 2024-02 peak, 1 month after the low.
  6. JunPriceFell 36% from the Feb 2024 peak to the Jun 2024 low.
  7. JunDebtDebt / equity fell below 1.0x (0.32x).

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Monthly history35 months · 2024-01 to 2026-11
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-1117.0x₹275 cr5.5%8.0%0.2x
2026-1015.1x₹275 cr5.5%8.0%0.2x
2026-0916.3x₹275 cr5.5%8.0%0.2x
2026-0818.4x₹262 cr5.5%8.0%0.2x
2026-0716.8x₹262 cr5.5%8.0%0.2x
2026-0617.6x₹262 cr5.5%8.0%0.2x
2026-0514.1x₹287 cr8.4%16.0%0.3x
2026-0414.4x₹287 cr8.4%16.0%0.3x
2026-039.3x₹287 cr8.4%16.0%0.3x
2026-0210.4x₹309 cr12.0%16.0%0.3x
2026-0111.9x₹309 cr12.0%16.0%0.3x
2025-1213.5x₹309 cr12.0%16.0%0.3x
2025-1115.1x₹299 cr12.1%16.0%0.3x
2025-1016.7x₹299 cr12.1%16.0%0.3x
2025-0916.7x₹299 cr12.1%16.0%0.3x
2025-0817.2x₹294 cr12.5%16.0%0.3x
2025-0718.5x₹294 cr12.5%16.0%0.3x
2025-0617.0x₹294 cr12.5%16.0%0.3x
2025-0515.0x₹284 cr15.5%22.0%0.3x
2025-0414.5x₹284 cr15.5%22.0%0.3x
2025-0313.3x₹284 cr15.5%22.0%0.3x
2025-0214.1x₹274 cr15.0%22.0%0.3x
2025-0118.4x₹274 cr15.0%22.0%0.3x
2024-1217.2x₹274 cr15.0%22.0%0.3x
2024-1116.6x₹259 cr15.1%22.0%0.3x
2024-1015.9x₹259 cr15.1%22.0%0.3x
2024-0917.4x₹259 cr15.1%22.0%0.3x
2024-0819.0x₹252 cr14.7%22.0%0.3x
2024-0721.1x₹252 cr14.7%22.0%0.3x
2024-0616.2x₹252 cr14.7%22.0%0.3x
2024-0515.6x₹211 cr31.3%31.0%1.1x
2024-0416.4x₹211 cr31.3%31.0%1.1x
2024-0316.1x₹211 cr31.3%31.0%1.1x
2024-0220.9x₹211 cr31.3%31.0%1.1x
2024-0118.4x₹211 cr31.3%31.0%1.1x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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