अApnaFunda

SAFE ENTERPRISES RETAIL LTD (SAFEENTP)

Miscellaneous

Passes these screens: Quality Compounder · Debt-light & profitable

Share Price
₹235.00
P/E
17.3x
ROCE
47.0%
Market Cap
₹1095 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹218 cr
P/S
5.0x
P/B
3.8x
ROE
22.1%
Debt / Equity
0.0x
Promoter Holding
70.1%
12M Momentum
20.0%

52-week range

₹184.15₹319.00
38% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
55.7%

Balance sheet & cash

Debt service
no meaningful debt
Cash from profit, 3Y
operating cash flow ÷ net profit
0.57x
Share count, 1Y
+35.3%

Was the rally earned?

+20%share price, 1 yearLower P/E held it back

Mostly yes, with a catch.

  • Per-share earnings added 48 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 22.4x to 17.3x), which took 28 points back.
  • The share count rose 36%.
1 year Net profit growth: +82 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+82 ptsP/E change: -28 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-28 ptsShare count change: -34 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price.-34 pts +20% 1 year Net profit growth: +82 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+82 ptsP/E change: -28 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-28 ptsShare count change: -34 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price.-34 pts +20%
Net profit growth+82 ptsNet profit rose about 111%, which lifts the price.
P/E change-28 ptsThe P/E fell from 22.4x to 17.3x, which lowers the price.
Share count change-34 ptsShare count rose 36%, which lowers the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Not shown for 3 years and 5 years: earnings were negative at one end, or there is not enough history.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare with other companies

What is the price implying?

~14%annual earnings growth implied by the price

At a P/E of 17.3x, the price would imply about 13.6%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.

Fewer than six years of annual earnings are available, which is too little to measure delivered growth.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

The market-wide Expectations lists

What changed?

  1. Oct '26Volume reached 6.3x its 50-day median on 2026-10-13; price +4.5% that day.
  2. Jul '26Volume reached 9.1x its 50-day median on 2026-07-01; price +3.5% that day.
  3. Jun '26Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹218 cr.
  4. Jun '26Share count is up 35.3% over 12 months.
  5. May '26Volume reached 5.5x its 50-day median on 2026-05-06; price +4.7% that day.
  6. Mar '26Fell 35% from the Nov 2025 peak to the Mar 2026 low.
  7. Feb '26Volume reached 14.6x its 50-day median on 2026-02-12; price -13.1% that day.
  8. Dec '25FII + DII holding fell 7.9 pts over 1 quarter to 7.9%.
Show 1 earlier event
  1. Nov '25Volume reached 14.2x its 50-day median on 2025-11-11; price +8.9% that day.

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Are profits backed by cash?

2 of 4 checks are within range, 2 near a threshold.
Tap a check to see how it is measured.

Other income reliance8%Within range

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 8.3%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Cash conversion0.57xNear threshold

Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 0.57x (cash from operations ₹67 cr, net profit ₹117 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.

Free cash flow2 of 3 yrsNear threshold

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 3: 2. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Capital work in progress393% of fixed assetsWithin range

Capital work-in-progress is 393% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-35.4%not yet recovered
1-year volatility55.7%annualised
Volume spikes4last 90 sessions, 5x the 50-day median

Monthly share price

₹166₹212₹258₹304 Jun '25Oct '25Feb '26Jun '26Oct '26
2025-06: ₹166.45
2025-07: ₹225.25
2025-08: ₹201.40
2025-09: ₹183.90
2025-10: ₹195.80
2025-11: ₹304.40
2025-12: ₹260.00
2026-01: ₹225.30
2026-02: ₹239.50
2026-03: ₹201.35
2026-04: ₹238.00
2026-05: ₹270.15
2026-06: ₹289.65
2026-07: ₹247.50
2026-08: ₹256.70
2026-09: ₹242.60
2026-10: ₹235.00
₹166₹212₹258₹304 Jun '25Dec '25Jun '26Oct '26
2025-06: ₹166.45
2025-07: ₹225.25
2025-08: ₹201.40
2025-09: ₹183.90
2025-10: ₹195.80
2025-11: ₹304.40
2025-12: ₹260.00
2026-01: ₹225.30
2026-02: ₹239.50
2026-03: ₹201.35
2026-04: ₹238.00
2026-05: ₹270.15
2026-06: ₹289.65
2026-07: ₹247.50
2026-08: ₹256.70
2026-09: ₹242.60
2026-10: ₹235.00

Last 90 trading days

₹228₹252₹276₹300 Jun 23Jul 20Aug 13Sep 8Oct 6Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹267.95
2026-06-25: ₹267.75
2026-06-30: ₹289.65
2026-07-02: ₹288.30
2026-07-06: ₹287.15
2026-07-08: ₹282.70
2026-07-10: ₹279.95
2026-07-14: ₹270.60
2026-07-16: ₹270.50
2026-07-20: ₹257.45
2026-07-22: ₹260.85
2026-07-24: ₹252.15
2026-07-28: ₹248.20
2026-07-30: ₹250.90
2026-08-03: ₹261.60
2026-08-05: ₹249.75
2026-08-07: ₹249.50
2026-08-11: ₹240.65
2026-08-13: ₹238.15
2026-08-17: ₹254.75
2026-08-19: ₹255.70
2026-08-21: ₹250.00
2026-08-25: ₹248.35
2026-08-27: ₹250.00
2026-08-31: ₹256.70
2026-09-02: ₹265.30
2026-09-04: ₹273.00
2026-09-08: ₹263.75
2026-09-10: ₹269.70
2026-09-15: ₹259.55
2026-09-17: ₹252.30
2026-09-21: ₹250.00
2026-09-23: ₹250.05
2026-09-25: ₹250.20
2026-09-29: ₹239.25
2026-10-01: ₹247.25
2026-10-06: ₹250.05
2026-10-08: ₹251.45
2026-10-12: ₹243.80
2026-10-14: ₹258.65
2026-10-16: ₹246.85
2026-10-21: ₹228.45
2026-10-23: ₹231.75
2026-10-27: ₹236.65
2026-10-29: ₹241.00
2026-10-30: ₹235.00
₹228₹252₹276₹300 Jun 23Aug 5Sep 17Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹267.95
2026-06-25: ₹267.75
2026-06-30: ₹289.65
2026-07-02: ₹288.30
2026-07-06: ₹287.15
2026-07-08: ₹282.70
2026-07-10: ₹279.95
2026-07-14: ₹270.60
2026-07-16: ₹270.50
2026-07-20: ₹257.45
2026-07-22: ₹260.85
2026-07-24: ₹252.15
2026-07-28: ₹248.20
2026-07-30: ₹250.90
2026-08-03: ₹261.60
2026-08-05: ₹249.75
2026-08-07: ₹249.50
2026-08-11: ₹240.65
2026-08-13: ₹238.15
2026-08-17: ₹254.75
2026-08-19: ₹255.70
2026-08-21: ₹250.00
2026-08-25: ₹248.35
2026-08-27: ₹250.00
2026-08-31: ₹256.70
2026-09-02: ₹265.30
2026-09-04: ₹273.00
2026-09-08: ₹263.75
2026-09-10: ₹269.70
2026-09-15: ₹259.55
2026-09-17: ₹252.30
2026-09-21: ₹250.00
2026-09-23: ₹250.05
2026-09-25: ₹250.20
2026-09-29: ₹239.25
2026-10-01: ₹247.25
2026-10-06: ₹250.05
2026-10-08: ₹251.45
2026-10-12: ₹243.80
2026-10-14: ₹258.65
2026-10-16: ₹246.85
2026-10-21: ₹228.45
2026-10-23: ₹231.75
2026-10-27: ₹236.65
2026-10-29: ₹241.00
2026-10-30: ₹235.00

Drawdown from peak

0% -17% -34% Jun '25Feb '26Oct '26 0% -17% -34% Jun '25Feb '26Oct '26
Largest drawdowns

-35.4% (2025-11 peak to 2026-03 low, not yet recovered)

-23.4% (2025-07 peak to 2025-09 low, recovered 2025-11)

Most recent volume spikes

2026-10-13: 6.3x the 50-day median, price +4.5% that day

2026-09-02: 6.6x the 50-day median, price +5.3% that day

2026-08-21: 7.6x the 50-day median, price -1.7% that day

What else looks like this?

Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.

CompanySectorSimilarityClosest on
DANISH POWER (DANISH)Producer Manufacturing59%debt/equity, promoter holding
SACHEEROME (SACHEEROME)Process Industries56%debt/equity, revenue
INDOSOLAR (WAAREEINDO)Producer Manufacturing56%ROCE, volatility
EURO PRATIK SALES (EUROPRATIK)Producer Manufacturing49%ROCE, P/E
EMKAY TOOLS (ETL)Producer Manufacturing48%debt/equity, market cap

Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.

What happened next to similar setups

−14.4%typical 12-month return vs the marketNot meaningfully different from the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like SAFE ENTERPRISES RETAIL LTD today on valuation, return on capital, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −36% to +8% vs the market, against −6% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The gap against the base rate (−8.0%, 80% range −18.0% to +2.9%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
NIRMAN · Apr 2025: −80.7% vs market
NURECA · Mar 2022: −76.7% vs market
ALLETEC · Jan 2025: −60.2% vs market
UNIDT · Jun 2022: −58.1% vs market
APTECHT · Jul 2023: −52.2% vs market
BASILIC · May 2025: −49.6% vs market
GLOBAL · Dec 2023: −49.4% vs market
MARKSANS · Jun 2021: −49.4% vs market
DRCSYSTEMS · Jan 2025: −44.7% vs market
VOLTAMP · Oct 2024: −37.8% vs market
FOCUS · Dec 2023: −37.4% vs market
SYSTANGO · Mar 2024: −37.3% vs market
QUICKHEAL · Jul 2021: −36.3% vs market
EMKAYTOOLS · Jan 2024: −35.5% vs market
BEPL · Aug 2021: −35.3% vs market
DENTALKART · May 2025: −29.5% vs market
PROPEQUITY · Jun 2024: −27.4% vs market
FACT · Jul 2021: −25.1% vs market
KSOLVES · Mar 2024: −24.7% vs market
GOLDIAM · Jun 2022: −21.9% vs market
SHREDIGCEM · Aug 2021: −21.5% vs market
ADFFOODS · Sep 2021: −17.1% vs market
SIRCA · Sep 2020: −16.5% vs market
ACE · Sep 2024: −16.3% vs market
GANDHITUBE · Aug 2021: −15.7% vs market
ZTECH · Aug 2025: −13.1% vs market
ARROWGREEN · Jul 2025: −12.9% vs market
TANLA · Sep 2021: −10.0% vs market
VSTTILLERS · Oct 2023: −9.4% vs market
BFUTILITIE · Mar 2024: −6.1% vs market
LIKHITHA · Aug 2023: −1.6% vs market
ZENTEC · Jul 2020: +2.4% vs market
MONARCH · Jul 2025: +2.7% vs market
EXPLEOSOL · Jun 2022: +3.5% vs market
FIDEL · Sep 2025: +3.8% vs market
RPGLIFE · Aug 2025: +5.3% vs market
PRIMESECU · Jun 2025: +5.3% vs market
MPSLTD · Jul 2025: +8.6% vs market
KIRLPNU · Aug 2025: +9.0% vs market
BLS · Oct 2023: +9.1% vs market
SUPRIYA · Aug 2025: +13.7% vs market
ANUP · Aug 2020: +14.7% vs market
DOLATALGO · Aug 2020: +18.3% vs market
FOSECOIND · Sep 2025: +20.2% vs market
GMBREW · Jun 2025: +28.8% vs market
BHAGERIA · Jul 2020: +46.1% vs market
NINSYS · Aug 2025: +47.9% vs market
WEALTH · Jun 2024: +54.1% vs market
FCL · Jul 2021: +87.1% vs market
SIGMA · Oct 2022: +98.6% vs market
Similar setups −14.4%All companies −6.4%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months

Similar setups' median
−14.4%
All companies' median
−6.4%
Beat the market
38% vs 43%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 26 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
ANUP
Producer Manufacturing
Aug 2020 13x— +35%−17% +15%
RPGLIFE
Health Technology
Aug 2025 21x— +10%−18% +5%
ARROWGREEN
Process Industries
Jul 2025 19x53% +6%−27% −13%
LIKHITHA
Industrial Services
Aug 2023 20x37% +82%−4% −2%
WEALTH
Finance
Jun 2024 20x57% +127%−15% +54%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
GANDHITUBE
Non-Energy Minerals
Aug 2021 17x30% +109%−14% −16%
MPSLTD
Consumer Services
Jul 2025 27x41% +14%−19% +9%
SIGMA
Technology Services
Oct 2022 27x58% +92%−23% +99%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, debt/equity, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high and P/S. Not used (unavailable for this company): operating margin and interest cover. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 5 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to SAFE ENTERPRISES RETAIL LTD. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-10-30. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 97,430 company-months from 2000 companies; financial: 5,632 company-months from 106 companies. 2240 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.
Monthly history (17 months)
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-1017.3x₹218 cr22.1%47.0%0.0x
2026-0917.9x₹218 cr22.3%47.0%0.0x
2026-0818.9x₹218 cr22.3%47.0%0.0x
2026-0718.2x₹218 cr22.3%47.0%0.0x
2026-0621.3x₹218 cr22.3%47.0%0.0x
2026-0530.9x₹113 cr41.7%72.0%0.0x
2026-0427.2x₹113 cr41.7%72.0%0.0x
2026-0323.0x₹113 cr41.7%72.0%0.0x
2026-0227.4x₹113 cr41.7%72.0%0.0x
2026-0125.7x₹113 cr41.7%72.0%0.0x
2025-1229.7x₹113 cr41.7%72.0%0.0x
2025-1134.8x₹113 cr41.7%72.0%0.0x
2025-1022.4x₹113 cr41.7%72.0%0.0x
2025-0921.0x₹113 cr41.7%72.0%0.0x
2025-0823.0x₹113 cr41.7%72.0%0.0x
2025-0725.7x₹113 cr41.7%72.0%0.0x
2025-0619.0x₹113 cr41.7%72.0%0.0x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

Feedback