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SHAH METACORP LIMITED (SHAH)

Non-Energy Minerals

Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.52 / 100
Profitability 32Growth 94Balance sheet 30
Share Price
₹2.57
P/E
18.4x
ROCE
5.0%
Market Cap
₹255 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹236 cr
P/S
1.1x
P/B
0.8x
ROE
4.5%
Operating Margin
8.3%
Debt / Equity
0.8x
Promoter Holding
29.5%
12M Momentum
-44.5%
P/E vs its own history32nd percentilesince Jan '19
P/E vs Non-Energy Minerals0.9xthe sector median

52-week range

₹2.20₹5.84
10% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
63.5%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
0.57

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
7.2x
Cash from profit, 3Y
operating cash flow ÷ net profit
-2.00x
low
Share count, 1Y
+50.8%

Was the rally earned?

-45%share price, 1 yearEarnings and multiple

Both mattered.

  • Per-share earnings took off 19 points and the multiple took off 25 points (P/E 25.7x to 18.4x).
  • The share count rose 44%.
1 year Net profit growth: +9 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+9 ptsP/E change: -26 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-26 ptsShare count change: -28 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price.-28 pts -45% 1 year Net profit growth: +9 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).P/E change: -26 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-26 ptsShare count change: -28 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price.-28 pts -45%
Net profit growth+9 ptsNet profit rose about 12%, which lifts the price.
P/E change-25 ptsThe P/E fell from 25.7x to 18.4x, which lowers the price.
Share count change-28 ptsShare count rose 44%, which lowers the price.
-2%share price, 3 yearsRoughly flat
  • The share price was roughly flat over 3 years (-2%).
  • The share count rose 170%.
3 years Net profit growth: +222 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+222 ptsP/E change: -126 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-126 ptsShare count change: -98 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price.-98 pts -2% 3 years Net profit growth: +222 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+222 ptsP/E change: -126 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-126 ptsShare count change: -98 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price.-98 pts -2%
Net profit growth+222 ptsNet profit rose about 844%, which lifts the price.
P/E change-126 ptsThe P/E fell from 65.8x to 18.4x, which lowers the price.
Share count change-98 ptsShare count rose 170%, which lowers the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Not shown for 5 years: earnings were negative at one end, or there is not enough history.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare this with JSW STEEL

Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?

18.4xP/E todayWithin its usual range
Against its own history32nd percentileMedian 31.9x; usual range 5.6x to 95.5x since 2019-01.
Against Non-Energy Minerals18.4x vs 21.3xBelow the Non-Energy Minerals median.
4.6x39.5x74.4x109.3xJan '19Aug '20Mar '22Oct '23May '25Oct '264.6x39.5x74.4x109.3xJan '19Aug '21Mar '24Oct '26
P/E (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianNon-Energy Minerals median

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P/B (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianNon-Energy Minerals median

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P/S (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianNon-Energy Minerals median
How to read this

Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dashed line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).

Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.

All terms explained in the glossary →

How Non-Energy Minerals is valued

What is the price implying?

~19%annual earnings growth implied by the price

At a P/E of 26.9x, the price would imply about 18.7%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.

Fewer than six years of annual earnings are available, which is too little to measure delivered growth.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Non-Energy Minerals The market-wide Expectations lists

What changed?

  1. Oct '26Fell 63% from the Aug 2024 peak to the Oct 2026 low.
  2. Sep '26Moved into the 3rd quartile of Non-Energy Minerals on operating margin (from the bottom quartile).
  3. Sep '26Share count is up 50.8% over 12 months.
  4. Jun '26Slipped to the bottom quartile of Non-Energy Minerals on ROCE (from the 3rd quartile).
  5. Apr '26Debt / equity halved over 12 months to 0.11x.
  6. Mar '26Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹187 cr.
  7. Dec '25Promoter holding fell 4.0 pts to 29.1% (largest drop since 2024-12).
  8. Dec '25Slipped to the bottom quartile of Non-Energy Minerals on operating margin (from the 3rd quartile).
Show 20 earlier events
  1. Sep '25Promoter holding rose 2.3 pts to 33.2% (largest rise in the history since 2019-01).
  2. Sep '25Year-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
  3. Sep '25Slipped to the bottom quartile of Non-Energy Minerals on EPS growth (from the top quartile).
  4. Sep '25Debt / equity halved over 12 months to 0.11x.
  5. Aug '25P/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (5.1x).
  6. Aug '25Share count is up 40.5% over 12 months.
  7. Jun '25Moved into the 3rd quartile of Non-Energy Minerals on ROCE (from the bottom quartile).
  8. Feb '25Debt / equity halved over 12 months to 0.65x.
  9. Dec '24Promoter holding fell 6.4 pts to 29.8%.
  10. Dec '24Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹154 cr.
  11. Sep '24Moved into the 3rd quartile of Non-Energy Minerals on operating margin (from the bottom quartile).
  12. Aug '24Regained the 2022-01 peak, 21 months after the low.
  13. Jul '24Debt / equity halved over 12 months to 0.65x.
  14. Jul '24Share count is up 27.3% over 12 months.
  15. Jun '24Debt / equity fell below 1.0x (0.65x).
  16. Jun '23EPS (TTM) turned positive.
  17. Jun '23Share count is up 106.2% over 12 months.
  18. Nov '22Fell 69% from the Jan 2022 peak to the Nov 2022 low.
  19. Jan '22Regained the 2019-01 peak, 21 months after the low.
  20. Apr '20Fell 83% from the Jan 2019 peak to the Apr 2020 low.

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Are profits backed by cash?

3 of 7 checks are within range, 1 near a threshold, 3 beyond a threshold.
Tap a check to see how it is measured.

Other income reliance120%Beyond threshold

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 120.5%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate12%Near threshold

Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 11.6%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.

Cash conversion-2.80xBeyond threshold

Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: -2.80x (cash from operations ₹-137 cr, net profit ₹49 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.

Free cash flow0 of 5 yrsBeyond threshold

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 0. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history-24 daysWithin range

Debtor days are below the median of the previous three fiscal years by 24 days (208 vs 232). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.

Capital work in progress0% of fixed assetsWithin range

Capital work-in-progress is 0% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days-70 days / 2 yrsWithin range

Days payable changed by -70 over two years. Bands: rise of up to 30 days; more than 30 days.

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Over 2 years, promoters trimmed 6.7 pts; FIIs added 1.1 pts; DIIs added 1.0 pts.
  • The number of shareholders rose from 54,368 to 1.1 lakh (+102%) between Dec 2023 and Jun 2026.

Holdings, Jun '26

How each group changed

GroupDec '23Jun '26Change
Promoters36.2%29.5%-6.7 pts
FIIs0.0%1.1%+1.1 pts
DIIs0.0%1.0%+1.0 pts
Public and others63.8%68.4%+4.6 pts

Number of shareholders

1.1 lakhshareholders+102% since Dec '23
54k77k1.0L1.2L Dec '23Jun '24Dec '24Sep '25Mar '26Jun '26
Dec '23: 54,368
Mar '24: 66,903
Jun '24: 82,357
Sep '24: 1.1 lakh
Dec '24: 1.1 lakh
Jun '25: 1.2 lakh
Sep '25: 1.2 lakh
Dec '25: 1.2 lakh
Mar '26: 1.1 lakh
Jun '26: 1.1 lakh
54k77k1.0L1.2L Dec '23Sep '24Sep '25Jun '26
Dec '23: 54,368
Mar '24: 66,903
Jun '24: 82,357
Sep '24: 1.1 lakh
Dec '24: 1.1 lakh
Jun '25: 1.2 lakh
Sep '25: 1.2 lakh
Dec '25: 1.2 lakh
Mar '26: 1.1 lakh
Jun '26: 1.1 lakh

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-83.2%recovered 2022-01
1-year volatility63.5%annualised

Monthly share price

₹1₹3₹4₹6 Jan '19Aug '20Mar '22Oct '23May '25Oct '26
2019-01: ₹4.22
2019-02: ₹4.77
2019-03: ₹3.97
2019-04: ₹3.48
2019-05: ₹3.23
2019-06: ₹3.23
2019-07: ₹2.98
2019-08: ₹2.43
2019-09: ₹2.04
2019-10: ₹1.49
2019-11: ₹1.59
2019-12: ₹1.59
2020-01: ₹1.89
2020-02: ₹1.54
2020-03: ₹1.04
2020-04: ₹1.14
2020-05: ₹1.44
2020-06: ₹3.13
2020-07: ₹2.38
2020-08: ₹2.28
2020-09: ₹2.48
2020-10: ₹2.58
2020-11: ₹2.73
2020-12: ₹2.68
2021-01: ₹2.43
2021-02: ₹1.99
2021-03: ₹1.54
2021-04: ₹1.79
2021-05: ₹1.94
2021-06: ₹2.28
2021-07: ₹2.28
2021-08: ₹2.28
2021-09: ₹1.84
2021-10: ₹1.84
2021-11: ₹1.84
2021-12: ₹4.72
2022-01: ₹3.92
2022-02: ₹3.53
2022-03: ₹2.88
2022-04: ₹4.12
2022-05: ₹2.88
2022-06: ₹2.73
2022-07: ₹2.48
2022-08: ₹2.33
2022-09: ₹2.33
2022-10: ₹2.09
2022-11: ₹2.14
2022-12: ₹3.43
2023-01: ₹3.18
2023-02: ₹2.68
2023-03: ₹2.43
2023-04: ₹2.68
2023-05: ₹3.08
2023-06: ₹2.93
2023-07: ₹3.13
2023-08: ₹2.58
2023-09: ₹2.68
2023-10: ₹2.63
2023-11: ₹3.23
2023-12: ₹4.32
2024-01: ₹4.07
2024-02: ₹3.82
2024-03: ₹2.93
2024-04: ₹3.97
2024-05: ₹4.37
2024-06: ₹3.95
2024-07: ₹5.03
2024-08: ₹6.16
2024-09: ₹5.11
2024-10: ₹5.12
2024-11: ₹4.39
2024-12: ₹4.40
2025-01: ₹3.81
2025-02: ₹3.31
2025-03: ₹2.85
2025-04: ₹3.03
2025-05: ₹3.08
2025-06: ₹3.98
2025-07: ₹3.80
2025-08: ₹3.31
2025-09: ₹3.63
2025-10: ₹4.63
2025-11: ₹4.02
2025-12: ₹4.98
2026-01: ₹4.79
2026-02: ₹4.88
2026-03: ₹4.60
2026-04: ₹5.42
2026-05: ₹5.04
2026-06: ₹4.13
2026-07: ₹3.84
2026-08: ₹3.61
2026-09: ₹3.14
2026-10: ₹2.57
₹1₹3₹4₹6 Jan '19Aug '21Mar '24Oct '26
2019-01: ₹4.22
2019-02: ₹4.77
2019-03: ₹3.97
2019-04: ₹3.48
2019-05: ₹3.23
2019-06: ₹3.23
2019-07: ₹2.98
2019-08: ₹2.43
2019-09: ₹2.04
2019-10: ₹1.49
2019-11: ₹1.59
2019-12: ₹1.59
2020-01: ₹1.89
2020-02: ₹1.54
2020-03: ₹1.04
2020-04: ₹1.14
2020-05: ₹1.44
2020-06: ₹3.13
2020-07: ₹2.38
2020-08: ₹2.28
2020-09: ₹2.48
2020-10: ₹2.58
2020-11: ₹2.73
2020-12: ₹2.68
2021-01: ₹2.43
2021-02: ₹1.99
2021-03: ₹1.54
2021-04: ₹1.79
2021-05: ₹1.94
2021-06: ₹2.28
2021-07: ₹2.28
2021-08: ₹2.28
2021-09: ₹1.84
2021-10: ₹1.84
2021-11: ₹1.84
2021-12: ₹4.72
2022-01: ₹3.92
2022-02: ₹3.53
2022-03: ₹2.88
2022-04: ₹4.12
2022-05: ₹2.88
2022-06: ₹2.73
2022-07: ₹2.48
2022-08: ₹2.33
2022-09: ₹2.33
2022-10: ₹2.09
2022-11: ₹2.14
2022-12: ₹3.43
2023-01: ₹3.18
2023-02: ₹2.68
2023-03: ₹2.43
2023-04: ₹2.68
2023-05: ₹3.08
2023-06: ₹2.93
2023-07: ₹3.13
2023-08: ₹2.58
2023-09: ₹2.68
2023-10: ₹2.63
2023-11: ₹3.23
2023-12: ₹4.32
2024-01: ₹4.07
2024-02: ₹3.82
2024-03: ₹2.93
2024-04: ₹3.97
2024-05: ₹4.37
2024-06: ₹3.95
2024-07: ₹5.03
2024-08: ₹6.16
2024-09: ₹5.11
2024-10: ₹5.12
2024-11: ₹4.39
2024-12: ₹4.40
2025-01: ₹3.81
2025-02: ₹3.31
2025-03: ₹2.85
2025-04: ₹3.03
2025-05: ₹3.08
2025-06: ₹3.98
2025-07: ₹3.80
2025-08: ₹3.31
2025-09: ₹3.63
2025-10: ₹4.63
2025-11: ₹4.02
2025-12: ₹4.98
2026-01: ₹4.79
2026-02: ₹4.88
2026-03: ₹4.60
2026-04: ₹5.42
2026-05: ₹5.04
2026-06: ₹4.13
2026-07: ₹3.84
2026-08: ₹3.61
2026-09: ₹3.14
2026-10: ₹2.57

Last 90 trading days

₹3₹3₹4₹5 Jun 23Jul 20Aug 13Sep 8Oct 6Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹4.57
2026-06-25: ₹4.08
2026-06-30: ₹4.13
2026-07-02: ₹4.74
2026-07-06: ₹5.11
2026-07-08: ₹4.61
2026-07-10: ₹4.65
2026-07-14: ₹4.66
2026-07-16: ₹4.59
2026-07-20: ₹4.43
2026-07-22: ₹4.33
2026-07-24: ₹4.37
2026-07-28: ₹4.10
2026-07-30: ₹3.91
2026-08-03: ₹4.01
2026-08-05: ₹3.92
2026-08-07: ₹3.91
2026-08-11: ₹4.05
2026-08-13: ₹4.16
2026-08-17: ₹4.03
2026-08-19: ₹3.91
2026-08-21: ₹3.33
2026-08-25: ₹3.20
2026-08-27: ₹3.78
2026-08-31: ₹3.61
2026-09-02: ₹3.57
2026-09-04: ₹3.51
2026-09-08: ₹3.36
2026-09-10: ₹3.54
2026-09-15: ₹3.35
2026-09-17: ₹3.30
2026-09-21: ₹3.29
2026-09-23: ₹3.25
2026-09-25: ₹3.22
2026-09-29: ₹3.15
2026-10-01: ₹3.03
2026-10-06: ₹3.09
2026-10-08: ₹2.95
2026-10-12: ₹2.92
2026-10-14: ₹3.15
2026-10-16: ₹2.99
2026-10-21: ₹2.77
2026-10-23: ₹2.70
2026-10-27: ₹2.78
2026-10-29: ₹2.74
2026-10-30: ₹2.57
₹3₹3₹4₹5 Jun 23Aug 5Sep 17Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹4.57
2026-06-25: ₹4.08
2026-06-30: ₹4.13
2026-07-02: ₹4.74
2026-07-06: ₹5.11
2026-07-08: ₹4.61
2026-07-10: ₹4.65
2026-07-14: ₹4.66
2026-07-16: ₹4.59
2026-07-20: ₹4.43
2026-07-22: ₹4.33
2026-07-24: ₹4.37
2026-07-28: ₹4.10
2026-07-30: ₹3.91
2026-08-03: ₹4.01
2026-08-05: ₹3.92
2026-08-07: ₹3.91
2026-08-11: ₹4.05
2026-08-13: ₹4.16
2026-08-17: ₹4.03
2026-08-19: ₹3.91
2026-08-21: ₹3.33
2026-08-25: ₹3.20
2026-08-27: ₹3.78
2026-08-31: ₹3.61
2026-09-02: ₹3.57
2026-09-04: ₹3.51
2026-09-08: ₹3.36
2026-09-10: ₹3.54
2026-09-15: ₹3.35
2026-09-17: ₹3.30
2026-09-21: ₹3.29
2026-09-23: ₹3.25
2026-09-25: ₹3.22
2026-09-29: ₹3.15
2026-10-01: ₹3.03
2026-10-06: ₹3.09
2026-10-08: ₹2.95
2026-10-12: ₹2.92
2026-10-14: ₹3.15
2026-10-16: ₹2.99
2026-10-21: ₹2.77
2026-10-23: ₹2.70
2026-10-27: ₹2.78
2026-10-29: ₹2.74
2026-10-30: ₹2.57

Drawdown from peak

0% -42% -83% Jan '19Dec '22Oct '26 0% -42% -83% Jan '19Dec '22Oct '26
Largest drawdowns

-83.2% (2019-01 peak to 2020-04 low, recovered 2022-01)

-68.7% (2022-01 peak to 2022-11 low, recovered 2024-08)

-63.1% (2024-08 peak to 2026-10 low, not yet recovered)

Where does it rank among Non-Energy Minerals peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Non-Energy Minerals peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

ROCE
Op. margin
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Nov '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Oct '26
Lower rank Higher rank

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Non-Energy Minerals sector page Watch it move against Non-Energy Minerals in the Observatory

What happened next to similar setups

−11.5%typical 12-month return vs the marketBelow the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like SHAH METACORP LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −26% to +15% vs the market, against −6% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The analogs' median sat below that base rate (gap −5.6%, 80% range −12.6% to −0.2%), but the matches cluster in only 6 distinct 12-month windows.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
HILTON · Aug 2025: −58.3% vs market
DEVIT · Oct 2025: −51.1% vs market
ANNAPURNA · Oct 2025: −48.1% vs market
ZODIAC · Jul 2025: −46.8% vs market
SALZERELEC · Aug 2025: −36.6% vs market
ALMONDZ · Jul 2025: −35.1% vs market
FMNL · Feb 2020: −34.2% vs market
NAHARPOLY · Jun 2023: −32.9% vs market
GSLSU · Nov 2024: −32.6% vs market
TRANSWORLD · Oct 2025: −31.6% vs market
AFSL · Dec 2024: −27.2% vs market
SHEMAROO · May 2024: −26.3% vs market
WEWIN · Aug 2024: −26.3% vs market
VISHWARAJ · Feb 2022: −26.3% vs market
VIKASECO · Oct 2023: −25.2% vs market
DYNAMIC · Apr 2025: −22.4% vs market
ORIENTCER · Oct 2024: −22.1% vs market
KRISHCA · Apr 2025: −21.2% vs market
APOLSINHOT · May 2024: −21.1% vs market
VITAL · Jun 2025: −17.5% vs market
VISHNUINFR · Aug 2025: −16.7% vs market
TEXRAIL · May 2020: −15.8% vs market
HARIOMPIPE · Apr 2025: −15.5% vs market
APCL · Feb 2023: −14.5% vs market
PROZONER · Jul 2023: −11.9% vs market
MURUDCERA · May 2024: −11.2% vs market
RPPL · Jun 2023: −6.8% vs market
REMSONSIND · Sep 2025: −4.7% vs market
SEPC · Mar 2020: −4.4% vs market
ASAL · Jan 2023: −4.0% vs market
LOKESHMACH · Feb 2025: −2.9% vs market
GENUSPAPER · Apr 2023: −2.2% vs market
CENTUM · May 2020: −0.5% vs market
USASEEDS · Aug 2024: +2.2% vs market
RICOAUTO · May 2020: +2.7% vs market
LAMBODHARA · Aug 2025: +6.4% vs market
ABSMARINE · Jun 2025: +13.0% vs market
SOUTHWEST · Sep 2024: +15.1% vs market
STERTOOLS · Jan 2024: +19.9% vs market
MARATHON · Sep 2020: +22.7% vs market
OAL · Aug 2025: +31.6% vs market
AJMERA · Jan 2023: +49.7% vs market
CAPACITE · Jun 2022: +49.9% vs market
SDBL · Mar 2021: +57.3% vs market
SANGHIIND · May 2022: +61.8% vs market
PRECAM · Jun 2020: +71.7% vs market
SHIVATEX · Oct 2020: +74.9% vs market
ROSSELLIND · Jan 2022: +111.9% vs market
PANSARI · Jun 2024: +114.5% vs market
SWELECTES · Mar 2023: +125.3% vs market
Similar setups −11.5%All companies −5.9%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 3 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
−11.5%
All companies' median
−5.9%
Beat the market
34% vs 43%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 33 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
ZODIAC
Producer Manufacturing
Jul 2025 34x— −39%−45% −47%
ROSSELLIND
Electronic Technology
Jan 2022 16x— +15%−31% +112%
FMNL
Transportation
Feb 2020 11x8% −48%−66% −34%
GENUSPAPER
Process Industries
Apr 2023 14x6% −33%−46% −2%
VISHNUINFR
Industrial Services
Aug 2025 15x— −49%−54% −17%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
APOLSINHOT
Consumer Services
May 2024 25x12% +16%−37% −21%
ASAL
Producer Manufacturing
Jan 2023 11x12% −26%−51% −4%
PANSARI
Technology Services
Jun 2024 33x5% +15%−31% +115%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: size, 12-month momentum and drawdown from 12-month high. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to SHAH METACORP LIMITED. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-10-30. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 97,430 company-months from 2000 companies; financial: 5,632 company-months from 106 companies. 2240 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.
Monthly history (94 months)
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-1018.4x₹236 cr4.5%5.0%0.8x
2026-0922.4x₹236 cr4.5%5.0%0.8x
2026-0827.8x₹208 cr4.2%5.0%0.8x
2026-0729.5x₹208 cr4.2%5.0%0.8x
2026-0631.8x₹208 cr4.2%5.0%0.8x
2026-0545.8x₹187 cr5.0%8.0%0.1x
2026-0449.3x₹187 cr5.0%8.0%0.1x
2026-0341.8x₹187 cr5.0%8.0%0.1x
2026-0232.5x₹177 cr6.4%8.0%0.1x
2026-0131.9x₹177 cr6.4%8.0%0.1x
2025-1233.2x₹177 cr6.4%8.0%0.1x
2025-1122.3x₹159 cr7.5%8.0%0.1x
2025-1025.7x₹159 cr7.5%8.0%0.1x
2025-0920.2x₹159 cr7.5%8.0%0.1x
2025-085.1x₹176 cr20.8%8.0%0.1x
2025-075.8x₹176 cr20.8%8.0%0.1x
2025-066.1x₹176 cr20.8%8.0%0.1x
2025-055.0x₹181 cr56.0%5.0%0.6x
2025-044.9x₹181 cr56.0%5.0%0.6x
2025-034.6x₹181 cr56.0%5.0%0.6x
2025-025.6x₹154 cr51.9%5.0%0.6x
2025-016.5x₹154 cr51.9%5.0%0.6x
2024-127.5x₹154 cr51.9%5.0%0.6x
2024-117.7x₹127 cr48.7%5.0%0.6x
2024-109.0x₹127 cr48.7%5.0%0.6x
2024-099.0x₹127 cr48.7%5.0%0.6x
2024-0861.6x₹97 cr8.2%5.0%0.6x
2024-0750.3x₹97 cr8.2%5.0%0.6x
2024-0639.5x₹97 cr8.2%5.0%0.6x
2024-05109.3x₹40 cr8.7%0.0%3.9x
2024-0499.3x₹40 cr8.7%0.0%3.9x
2024-0373.3x₹40 cr8.7%0.0%3.9x
2024-0295.5x₹40 cr8.7%0.0%3.9x
2024-01101.8x₹40 cr8.7%0.0%3.9x
2023-12108.0x₹40 cr8.7%0.0%3.9x
2023-1180.8x₹40 cr8.7%0.0%3.9x
2023-1065.8x₹40 cr8.7%0.0%3.9x
2023-0967.0x₹40 cr8.7%0.0%3.9x
2023-0864.5x₹40 cr8.7%0.0%3.9x
2023-0778.3x₹40 cr8.7%0.0%3.9x
2023-0673.3x₹40 cr8.7%0.0%3.9x
2023-05—₹20 cr—-23.0%—
2023-04—₹20 cr—-23.0%—
2023-03—₹20 cr—-23.0%—
2023-02—₹20 cr—-23.0%—
2023-01—₹20 cr—-23.0%—
2022-12—₹20 cr—-23.0%—
2022-11—₹20 cr—-23.0%—
2022-10—₹20 cr—-23.0%—
2022-09—₹20 cr—-23.0%—
2022-08—₹20 cr—-23.0%—
2022-07—₹20 cr—-23.0%—
2022-06—₹20 cr—-23.0%—
2022-05—₹13 cr—-121.0%—
2022-04—₹13 cr—-121.0%—
2022-03—₹13 cr—-121.0%—
2022-02—₹13 cr—-121.0%—
2022-01—₹13 cr—-121.0%—
2021-12—₹13 cr—-121.0%—
2021-11—₹13 cr—-121.0%—
2021-10—₹13 cr—-121.0%—
2021-09—₹13 cr—-121.0%—
2021-08—₹13 cr—-121.0%—
2021-07—₹13 cr—-121.0%—
2021-06—₹13 cr—-121.0%—
2021-05—₹65 cr-61.5%-9.0%3.2x
2021-04—₹65 cr-61.5%-9.0%3.2x
2021-03—₹65 cr-61.5%-9.0%3.2x
2021-02—₹65 cr-61.5%-9.0%3.2x
2021-01—₹65 cr-61.5%-9.0%3.2x
2020-12—₹65 cr-61.5%-9.0%3.2x
2020-11—₹65 cr-61.5%-9.0%3.2x
2020-10—₹65 cr-61.5%-9.0%3.2x
2020-09—₹65 cr-61.5%-9.0%3.2x
2020-08—₹65 cr-61.5%-9.0%3.2x
2020-07—₹65 cr-61.5%-9.0%3.2x
2020-06—₹65 cr-61.5%-9.0%3.2x
2020-05—₹148 cr-55.5%-7.0%1.9x
2020-04—₹148 cr-55.5%-7.0%1.9x
2020-03—₹148 cr-55.5%-7.0%1.9x
2020-02—₹148 cr-55.5%-7.0%1.9x
2020-01—₹148 cr-55.5%-7.0%1.9x
2019-12—₹148 cr-55.5%-7.0%1.9x
2019-11—₹148 cr-55.5%-7.0%1.9x
2019-10—₹148 cr-55.5%-7.0%1.9x
2019-09—₹148 cr-55.5%-7.0%1.9x
2019-08—₹148 cr-55.5%-7.0%1.9x
2019-07—₹148 cr-55.5%-7.0%1.9x
2019-06—₹148 cr-55.5%-7.0%1.9x
2019-05—₹95 cr-32.7%-7.0%1.4x
2019-04—₹95 cr-32.7%-7.0%1.4x
2019-03—₹95 cr-32.7%-7.0%1.4x
2019-02—₹95 cr-32.7%-7.0%1.4x
2019-01—₹95 cr-32.7%-7.0%1.4x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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