अApnaFunda

TERA SOFTWARE LTD (TERASOFT)

Technology Services

Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.66 / 100
Profitability 58Growth 85Balance sheet 55

Passes these screens: Value Pick · Debt-light & profitable · Consistent compounders

Share Price
₹256.10
P/E
12.9x
ROCE
24.0%
Market Cap
₹320 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹255 cr
P/S
1.3x
P/B
2.2x
ROE
17.0%
Operating Margin
14.3%
Debt / Equity
0.3x
Promoter Holding
47.5%
12M Momentum
-49.4%
P/E vs its own history5th percentilesince Jun '23
P/E vs Technology Services0.6xthe sector median

52-week range

₹193.82₹598.00
15% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
56.1%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
0.58

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
5.2x
Cash from profit, 3Y
operating cash flow ÷ net profit
-0.26x
low
Share count, 1Y
unchanged

Was the rally earned?

-49%share price, 1 yearLower P/E held it back

Earnings helped, the multiple did not.

  • Per-share earnings added 59 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 57.3x to 12.9x), which took 108 points back.
  • The share count barely moved.
1 year Net profit growth: +59 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+59 ptsP/E change: -108 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-108 pts -49% 1 year Net profit growth: +59 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+59 ptsP/E change: -108 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-108 pts -49%
Net profit growth+59 ptsNet profit rose about 124%, which lifts the price.
P/E change-108 ptsThe P/E fell from 57.3x to 12.9x, which lowers the price.
Share count change0 ptsShare count was little changed. More shares would count against the price.
+488%share price, 3 yearsLower P/E held it back

Mostly yes, with a catch.

  • Per-share earnings added 542 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 15.7x to 12.9x), which took 54 points back.
  • The share count barely moved.
3 years Net profit growth: +542 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+542 ptsP/E change: -54 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple. +488% 3 years Net profit growth: +542 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+542 ptsP/E change: -54 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple. +488%
Net profit growth+542 ptsNet profit rose about 615%, which lifts the price.
P/E change-54 ptsThe P/E fell from 15.7x to 12.9x, which lowers the price.
Share count change0 ptsShare count was little changed. More shares would count against the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Not shown for 5 years: earnings were negative at one end, or there is not enough history.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare this with TATA CONSULTANCY SERVICES

Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?

12.9xP/E todayNear its historic low
Against its own history5th percentileMedian 22.9x; usual range 15.0x to 46.3x since 2023-06.
Against Technology Services12.9x vs 20.6xBelow the Technology Services median.
10.4x26.3x42.2x58.0xJun '23Feb '24Oct '24Jun '25Feb '26Oct '2610.4x26.3x42.2x58.0xJun '23Aug '24Oct '25Oct '26
P/E (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianTechnology Services median

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P/B (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianTechnology Services median

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P/S (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianTechnology Services median
How to read this

Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dashed line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).

Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.

All terms explained in the glossary →

How Technology Services is valued

What is the price implying?

~10%annual earnings growth implied by the price

At a P/E of 12.9x, the price would imply about 10.3%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.

Fewer than six years of annual earnings are available, which is too little to measure delivered growth.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Technology Services The market-wide Expectations lists

What changed?

  1. Oct '26Fell 64% from the Nov 2025 peak to the Oct 2026 low.
  2. Aug '26P/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (14.5x).
  3. Jun '26Moved into the 2nd quartile of Technology Services on ROCE (from the 3rd quartile).
  4. Mar '26Moved into the 2nd quartile of Technology Services on operating margin (from the 3rd quartile).
  5. Dec '25Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹162 cr.
  6. Dec '25Slipped to the 3rd quartile of Technology Services on operating margin (from the 2nd quartile).
  7. Sep '25Moved into the 2nd quartile of Technology Services on operating margin (from the 3rd quartile).
  8. Jun '25P/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (40.3x).
Show 13 earlier events
  1. May '25Regained the 2025-01 peak, 3 months after the low.
  2. Feb '25Fell 37% from the Jan 2025 peak to the Feb 2025 low.
  3. Nov '24Regained the 2024-06 peak, 4 months after the low.
  4. Sep '24Moved into the top quartile of Technology Services on EPS growth (from the 3rd quartile).
  5. Jul '24Fell 28% from the Jun 2024 peak to the Jul 2024 low.
  6. Jun '24Regained the 2021-07 peak, 15 months after the low.
  7. Mar '23Fell 64% from the Jul 2021 peak to the Mar 2023 low.
  8. Jul '21Regained the 2021-01 peak, 3 months after the low.
  9. Apr '21Fell 51% from the Jan 2021 peak to the Apr 2021 low.
  10. Jan '21Regained the 2019-04 peak, 10 months after the low.
  11. Mar '20Fell 77% from the Apr 2019 peak to the Mar 2020 low.
  12. Apr '19Regained the 2019-01 peak, 2 months after the low.
  13. Feb '19Fell 30% from the Jan 2019 peak to the Feb 2019 low.

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Are profits backed by cash?

4 of 6 checks are within range, 1 near a threshold, 1 beyond a threshold.
Tap a check to see how it is measured.

Other income reliance13%Within range

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 13.0%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate24%Within range

Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 24.2%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.

Cash conversion-0.26xBeyond threshold

Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: -0.26x (cash from operations ₹-10 cr, net profit ₹38 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.

Free cash flow2 of 4 yrsNear threshold

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 4: 2. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history-219 daysWithin range

Debtor days are below the median of the previous three fiscal years by 219 days (243 vs 462). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.

Capital work in progress0% of fixed assetsWithin range

Capital work-in-progress is 0% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Over 2 years, institutional and promoter holdings were broadly unchanged.
  • The number of shareholders fell from 17,492 to 14,787 (-15%) between Dec 2023 and Jun 2026.

Holdings, Jun '26

How each group changed

GroupDec '23Jun '26Change
Promoters47.5%47.5%0.0 pts
FIIs0.0%0.0%0.0 pts
DIIs———
Public and others52.5%52.5%0.0 pts

Number of shareholders

14,787shareholders-15% since Dec '23
15k16k17k17k Dec '23Sep '24Mar '25Sep '25Mar '26Jun '26
Dec '23: 17,492
Jun '24: 17,405
Sep '24: 15,992
Dec '24: 16,827
Mar '25: 15,757
Jun '25: 15,279
Sep '25: 15,502
Dec '25: 15,857
Mar '26: 15,286
Jun '26: 14,787
15k16k17k17k Dec '23Dec '24Sep '25Jun '26
Dec '23: 17,492
Jun '24: 17,405
Sep '24: 15,992
Dec '24: 16,827
Mar '25: 15,757
Jun '25: 15,279
Sep '25: 15,502
Dec '25: 15,857
Mar '26: 15,286
Jun '26: 14,787

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-77.2%recovered 2021-01
1-year volatility56.1%annualised

Monthly share price

₹41₹198₹355₹513 Jun '23Feb '24Oct '24Jun '25Feb '26Oct '26
2023-06: ₹48.75
2023-07: ₹48.25
2023-08: ₹40.90
2023-09: ₹41.45
2023-10: ₹43.55
2023-11: ₹45.90
2023-12: ₹62.10
2024-01: ₹63.40
2024-02: ₹57.10
2024-03: ₹45.50
2024-04: ₹50.45
2024-05: ₹61.55
2024-06: ₹83.77
2024-07: ₹76.36
2024-08: ₹72.82
2024-09: ₹89.76
2024-10: ₹80.79
2024-11: ₹205.41
2024-12: ₹188.65
2025-01: ₹265.27
2025-02: ₹167.25
2025-03: ₹184.98
2025-04: ₹216.17
2025-05: ₹260.00
2025-06: ₹293.85
2025-07: ₹309.20
2025-08: ₹306.00
2025-09: ₹469.35
2025-10: ₹505.65
2025-11: ₹512.60
2025-12: ₹399.40
2026-01: ₹409.55
2026-02: ₹357.80
2026-03: ₹297.80
2026-04: ₹339.60
2026-05: ₹394.45
2026-06: ₹413.60
2026-07: ₹376.60
2026-08: ₹287.20
2026-09: ₹207.20
2026-10: ₹256.10
₹41₹198₹355₹513 Jun '23Aug '24Oct '25Oct '26
2023-06: ₹48.75
2023-07: ₹48.25
2023-08: ₹40.90
2023-09: ₹41.45
2023-10: ₹43.55
2023-11: ₹45.90
2023-12: ₹62.10
2024-01: ₹63.40
2024-02: ₹57.10
2024-03: ₹45.50
2024-04: ₹50.45
2024-05: ₹61.55
2024-06: ₹83.77
2024-07: ₹76.36
2024-08: ₹72.82
2024-09: ₹89.76
2024-10: ₹80.79
2024-11: ₹205.41
2024-12: ₹188.65
2025-01: ₹265.27
2025-02: ₹167.25
2025-03: ₹184.98
2025-04: ₹216.17
2025-05: ₹260.00
2025-06: ₹293.85
2025-07: ₹309.20
2025-08: ₹306.00
2025-09: ₹469.35
2025-10: ₹505.65
2025-11: ₹512.60
2025-12: ₹399.40
2026-01: ₹409.55
2026-02: ₹357.80
2026-03: ₹297.80
2026-04: ₹339.60
2026-05: ₹394.45
2026-06: ₹413.60
2026-07: ₹376.60
2026-08: ₹287.20
2026-09: ₹207.20
2026-10: ₹256.10

Last 90 trading days

₹207₹281₹355₹429 Jun 23Jul 20Aug 13Sep 8Oct 6Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹407.20
2026-06-25: ₹408.55
2026-06-30: ₹413.60
2026-07-02: ₹400.05
2026-07-06: ₹400.90
2026-07-08: ₹383.50
2026-07-10: ₹398.75
2026-07-14: ₹398.15
2026-07-16: ₹400.55
2026-07-20: ₹399.80
2026-07-22: ₹387.70
2026-07-24: ₹393.70
2026-07-28: ₹387.70
2026-07-30: ₹380.05
2026-08-03: ₹389.10
2026-08-05: ₹428.95
2026-08-07: ₹407.70
2026-08-11: ₹415.95
2026-08-13: ₹352.90
2026-08-17: ₹336.70
2026-08-19: ₹329.45
2026-08-21: ₹321.75
2026-08-25: ₹301.50
2026-08-27: ₹301.35
2026-08-31: ₹287.20
2026-09-02: ₹290.55
2026-09-04: ₹283.40
2026-09-08: ₹272.35
2026-09-10: ₹253.55
2026-09-15: ₹238.35
2026-09-17: ₹225.45
2026-09-21: ₹248.65
2026-09-23: ₹230.80
2026-09-25: ₹218.90
2026-09-29: ₹209.25
2026-10-01: ₹207.91
2026-10-06: ₹237.77
2026-10-08: ₹217.16
2026-10-12: ₹226.93
2026-10-14: ₹228.38
2026-10-16: ₹227.66
2026-10-21: ₹209.32
2026-10-23: ₹209.44
2026-10-27: ₹235.71
2026-10-29: ₹273.83
2026-10-30: ₹256.10
₹207₹281₹355₹429 Jun 23Aug 5Sep 17Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹407.20
2026-06-25: ₹408.55
2026-06-30: ₹413.60
2026-07-02: ₹400.05
2026-07-06: ₹400.90
2026-07-08: ₹383.50
2026-07-10: ₹398.75
2026-07-14: ₹398.15
2026-07-16: ₹400.55
2026-07-20: ₹399.80
2026-07-22: ₹387.70
2026-07-24: ₹393.70
2026-07-28: ₹387.70
2026-07-30: ₹380.05
2026-08-03: ₹389.10
2026-08-05: ₹428.95
2026-08-07: ₹407.70
2026-08-11: ₹415.95
2026-08-13: ₹352.90
2026-08-17: ₹336.70
2026-08-19: ₹329.45
2026-08-21: ₹321.75
2026-08-25: ₹301.50
2026-08-27: ₹301.35
2026-08-31: ₹287.20
2026-09-02: ₹290.55
2026-09-04: ₹283.40
2026-09-08: ₹272.35
2026-09-10: ₹253.55
2026-09-15: ₹238.35
2026-09-17: ₹225.45
2026-09-21: ₹248.65
2026-09-23: ₹230.80
2026-09-25: ₹218.90
2026-09-29: ₹209.25
2026-10-01: ₹207.91
2026-10-06: ₹237.77
2026-10-08: ₹217.16
2026-10-12: ₹226.93
2026-10-14: ₹228.38
2026-10-16: ₹227.66
2026-10-21: ₹209.32
2026-10-23: ₹209.44
2026-10-27: ₹235.71
2026-10-29: ₹273.83
2026-10-30: ₹256.10

Drawdown from peak

0% -38% -77% Jan '19Dec '22Oct '26 0% -38% -77% Jan '19Dec '22Oct '26
Largest drawdowns

-77.2% (2019-04 peak to 2020-03 low, recovered 2021-01)

-64.3% (2025-11 peak to 2026-10 low, not yet recovered)

-63.8% (2021-07 peak to 2023-03 low, recovered 2024-06)

Where does it rank among Technology Services peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Technology Services peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

ROCE
Op. margin
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Nov '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Oct '26
Lower rank Higher rank

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Technology Services sector page Watch it move against Technology Services in the Observatory

What happened next to similar setups

−10.4%typical 12-month return vs the marketBelow the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like TERA SOFTWARE LTD today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −28% to +16% vs the market, against −6% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The analogs' median sat below that base rate (gap −4.1%, 80% range −8.4% to −0.4%), but the matches cluster in only 6 distinct 12-month windows.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
SIGACHI · Jan 2025: −58.9% vs market
ZEAL · Mar 2025: −51.1% vs market
RBMINFRA · Sep 2025: −47.7% vs market
ZEELEARN · Feb 2020: −44.7% vs market
ANNAPURNA · Aug 2025: −44.6% vs market
WINSOL · Oct 2025: −42.3% vs market
PIGL · Oct 2025: −37.3% vs market
KHAICHEM · Apr 2023: −35.7% vs market
SMSPHARMA · Mar 2022: −34.4% vs market
RUSHIL · Jul 2025: −33.5% vs market
VITAL · Mar 2024: −31.9% vs market
ALANKIT · Feb 2021: −30.8% vs market
STOVEKRAFT · May 2022: −28.2% vs market
WTICAB · Apr 2025: −26.1% vs market
WSI · Feb 2025: −21.3% vs market
PRATHAM · Aug 2025: −20.7% vs market
VISHNUINFR · Aug 2025: −16.7% vs market
HARIOMPIPE · Apr 2025: −15.5% vs market
GLOBUSSPR · Dec 2023: −15.5% vs market
CEMPRO · Jan 2020: −13.6% vs market
SHAKTIPUMP · Feb 2022: −12.5% vs market
ASTRON · Mar 2020: −12.4% vs market
FAIRCHEMOR · Mar 2023: −12.2% vs market
LINC · Apr 2025: −11.6% vs market
KOPRAN · Oct 2021: −11.5% vs market
DBSTOCKBRO · Mar 2025: −9.2% vs market
SJLOGISTIC · Oct 2025: −8.8% vs market
POWERMECH · Apr 2020: −5.9% vs market
APOLSINHOT · Sep 2020: −5.7% vs market
SHRITECH · Nov 2024: −4.6% vs market
TIRUMALCHM · Oct 2022: −3.3% vs market
DEVIT · Jun 2024: −1.6% vs market
POKARNA · May 2023: +1.8% vs market
VENUSPIPES · Apr 2025: +6.0% vs market
KRISHCA · Sep 2025: +8.0% vs market
ORBTEXP · Dec 2023: +8.6% vs market
VIKASLIFE · Apr 2023: +11.7% vs market
DYNAMIC · Jun 2025: +17.1% vs market
PARACABLES · May 2025: +18.5% vs market
KRYSTAL · Mar 2025: +20.3% vs market
TAJGVK · Nov 2023: +21.2% vs market
WELENT · Apr 2020: +23.0% vs market
VADILALIND · Dec 2023: +34.1% vs market
CAPACITE · Apr 2020: +36.5% vs market
CARYSIL · Jan 2023: +41.7% vs market
SDBL · Jul 2024: +42.8% vs market
MMP · Mar 2023: +52.2% vs market
NGLFINE · Feb 2025: +84.1% vs market
ROSSELLIND · Nov 2021: +154.5% vs market
BIRLANU · Apr 2020: +184.7% vs market
Similar setups −10.4%All companies −6.3%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 2 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
−10.4%
All companies' median
−6.3%
Beat the market
36% vs 43%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 32 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
ASTRON
Process Industries
Mar 2020 4x23% −74%−78% −12%
ROSSELLIND
Electronic Technology
Nov 2021 14x— −1%−38% +155%
VISHNUINFR
Industrial Services
Aug 2025 15x— −49%−54% −17%
SHAKTIPUMP
Producer Manufacturing
Feb 2022 12x29% −7%−44% −13%
PRATHAM
Industrial Services
Aug 2025 18x26% −47%−51% −21%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
WSI
Producer Manufacturing
Feb 2025 10x25% −49%−58% −21%
VIKASLIFE
Distribution Services
Apr 2023 12x19% −41%−53% +12%
PIGL
Utilities
Oct 2025 21x20% −29%−63% −37%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: 12-month momentum, P/E and P/S. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to TERA SOFTWARE LTD. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-10-30. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 97,430 company-months from 2000 companies; financial: 5,632 company-months from 106 companies. 2240 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.
Monthly history (41 months)
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-1012.9x₹255 cr17.0%24.0%0.3x
2026-0910.5x₹255 cr17.0%24.0%0.3x
2026-0814.5x₹238 cr17.0%24.0%0.3x
2026-0719.0x₹238 cr17.0%24.0%0.3x
2026-0620.9x₹238 cr17.0%24.0%0.3x
2026-0524.0x₹197 cr16.7%11.0%0.2x
2026-0420.7x₹197 cr16.7%11.0%0.2x
2026-0318.1x₹197 cr16.7%11.0%0.2x
2026-0227.4x₹162 cr13.3%11.0%0.2x
2026-0131.4x₹162 cr13.3%11.0%0.2x
2025-1230.6x₹162 cr13.3%11.0%0.2x
2025-1158.1x₹116 cr9.0%11.0%0.2x
2025-1057.3x₹116 cr9.0%11.0%0.2x
2025-0953.2x₹116 cr9.0%11.0%0.2x
2025-0841.9x₹108 cr7.4%11.0%0.2x
2025-0742.4x₹108 cr7.4%11.0%0.2x
2025-0640.3x₹108 cr7.4%11.0%0.2x
2025-0540.4x₹97 cr7.1%8.0%0.3x
2025-0433.6x₹97 cr7.1%8.0%0.3x
2025-0328.7x₹97 cr7.1%8.0%0.3x
2025-0229.9x₹94 cr6.2%8.0%0.3x
2025-0147.5x₹94 cr6.2%8.0%0.3x
2024-1233.7x₹94 cr6.2%8.0%0.3x
2024-1146.3x₹90 cr4.9%8.0%0.3x
2024-1018.2x₹90 cr4.9%8.0%0.3x
2024-0920.2x₹90 cr4.9%8.0%0.3x
2024-0825.3x₹84 cr3.2%8.0%0.3x
2024-0726.5x₹84 cr3.2%8.0%0.3x
2024-0629.1x₹84 cr3.2%8.0%0.3x
2024-0522.2x₹131 cr3.2%—0.2x
2024-0418.2x₹131 cr3.2%—0.2x
2024-0316.4x₹131 cr3.2%—0.2x
2024-0220.6x₹131 cr3.2%—0.2x
2024-0122.9x₹131 cr3.2%—0.2x
2023-1222.4x₹131 cr3.2%—0.2x
2023-1116.6x₹131 cr3.2%—0.2x
2023-1015.7x₹131 cr3.2%—0.2x
2023-0915.0x₹131 cr3.2%—0.2x
2023-0814.8x₹131 cr3.2%—0.2x
2023-0717.4x₹131 cr3.2%—0.2x
2023-0617.6x₹131 cr3.2%—0.2x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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