अApnaFunda

AMBICA AGARBATHIES & AROMA IND (AMBICAAGAR)

Process Industries · Chemicals: Major Diversified · figures to Nov '26

Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.23 / 100
Growth 40Balance sheet 7

Share price

Closing priceAdjusted for splits and bonus issues.

₹23 latest close · −8.2% over the last 90 sessions

₹22₹24₹26Jul 3Jul 29Aug 24Sep 17Oct 14Nov 9 ₹22₹24₹26Jul 3Sep 4Nov 9

₹23 month-end · −11.1% over 12 months

₹22₹24₹26Nov '25Jan '26Apr '26Jun '26Sep '26Nov '26 ₹22₹24₹26Nov '25May '26Nov '26

₹23 month-end · −24.0% over 3 years

₹20₹25₹30₹35Nov '23Jun '24Jan '25Sep '25Apr '26Nov '26 ₹20₹25₹30₹35Nov '23May '25Nov '26

₹23 month-end · +31.8% since Apr '21

₹20₹30₹40Apr '21May '22Jul '23Aug '24Oct '25Nov '26 ₹20₹30₹40Apr '21Feb '24Nov '26

52-week range ₹20.00 to ₹29.68 · 1-year volatility 33.9%

Was the rally earned?

-11%share price, 1 yearMultiple-driven

Mostly the multiple.

  • Most of the fall came from investors paying a lower multiple (P/E 35.0x to 31.1x); per-share earnings added 0 points.
  • The share count barely moved.
P/E change: −11 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.−11 ptsP/E changeShare price: −11%−11%Share priceP/E change: −11 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.−11P/EShare price: −11%−11%Share price
Net profit growth0 ptsNet profit was little changed.
P/E change-11 ptsThe P/E fell from 35.0x to 31.1x, which lowers the price.
Share count change0 ptsShare count was little changed. More shares would count against the price.
-24%share price, 3 yearsMultiple-driven

Mostly the multiple.

  • Most of the fall came from investors paying a lower multiple (P/E 40.9x to 31.1x); per-share earnings added 0 points.
  • The share count barely moved.
P/E change: −24 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.−24 ptsP/E changeShare price: −24%−24%Share priceP/E change: −24 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.−24P/EShare price: −24%−24%Share price
Net profit growth0 ptsNet profit was little changed.
P/E change-24 ptsThe P/E fell from 40.9x to 31.1x, which lowers the price.
Share count change0 ptsShare count was little changed. More shares would count against the price.
+36%share price, 5 yearsMultiple-driven

Partly.

  • Most of the rise came from investors paying a higher multiple (P/E 22.8x to 31.1x); per-share earnings added 0 points.
  • The share count barely moved.
P/E change: +36 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.+36 ptsP/E changeShare price: +36%+36%Share priceP/E change: +36 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.+36P/EShare price: +36%+36%Share price
Net profit growth0 ptsNet profit was little changed.
P/E change+36 ptsThe P/E rose from 22.8x to 31.1x, which lifts the price.
Share count change0 ptsShare count was little changed. More shares would count against the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare this with AETHER INDUSTRIES

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-59.9%recovered 2022-01
1-year volatility33.9%annualised

Drawdown from peak

0%−20%−40%−60%20222023202420252026−58.7% 0%−20%−40%−60%202220242026−58.7%
Largest drawdowns

-59.9% (2021-05 peak to 2021-08 low, recovered 2022-01)

-51.4% (2023-08 peak to 2026-03 low, not yet recovered)

-50.7% (2022-01 peak to 2023-04 low, recovered 2023-07)

Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?

31.1xP/E todayWithin its usual range
Against its own history21st percentile
CheapestMedian 35.0xDearest

Usual range 27.7x to 43.6x since 2021-04.

Against Process Industries31.1x vs 18.1x
This company
31.1x
Sector median
18.1x

72% above the Process Industries median.

13.7x27.0x40.3x53.6xApr '21Jun '22Aug '23Oct '24Dec '25Nov '2613.7x27.0x40.3x53.6xApr '21Mar '23Feb '25Nov '26
P/E (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianProcess Industries median

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P/B (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianProcess Industries median

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P/S (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianProcess Industries median
How to read this

Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dotted line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).

Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.

All terms explained in the glossary →

How Process Industries is valued

Where does it rank among Process Industries peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Process Industries peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

Where it ranks today

  • Revenue growth27th▼ 4 pts vs a year ago
  • EPS growth39th▼ 9 pts vs a year ago
  • Debt/equity ↓6thflat vs a year ago
  • Cash cycle ↓40th▲ 4 pts vs a year ago
  • P/E ↓26th▼ 3 pts vs a year ago
  • 12M momentum46th▼ 20 pts vs a year ago

Rank history

Revenue growth
EPS growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Dec '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Jul '26Nov '26
Lower rank Higher rank Not enough data

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Process Industries sector page Watch it move against Process Industries in the Observatory

What is the price implying?

~19%annual earnings growth implied by the price

At a P/E of 28.5x, the price would imply about 19.4%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.

Earnings figures have not updated recently, so the company is left out of the lists.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Process Industries The market-wide Expectations lists

Key figures

Share Priceclose 9 Nov
₹23.00
P/E
31.1x
Market Cap
₹40 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹98 cr
P/S
0.4x
P/B
1.1x
ROE
3.5%
Debt / Equity
1.7x
Promoter Holding
43.4%
12M Momentum
-11.1%

52-week range

₹20.00₹29.68
31% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
33.9%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
0.66

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
1.2x
Share count, 1Y
unchanged

Are profits backed by cash?

3 of 4checks within range1 beyond a threshold
Other income reliance75%Beyond threshold

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 74.7%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Cash conversion—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Free cash flow—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Receivable days vs history0 daysWithin range

Debtor days are below the median of the previous three fiscal years by 0 days (28 vs 28). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.

Capital work in progress26% of fixed assetsWithin range

Capital work-in-progress is 26% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days0 days / 2 yrsWithin range

Days payable changed by 0 over two years. Bands: rise of up to 30 days; more than 30 days.

Tap a check to see how it is measured

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Over 2 years, promoters trimmed 1.5 pts.

Holdings, Jun '26

How each group changed

GroupDec '23Jun '26Change
Promoters44.9%43.4%-1.5 pts
FIIs0.0%0.0%0.0 pts
DIIs———
Public and others55.1%56.6%+1.4 pts

Number of shareholders

8,245shareholders+4% since Dec '23
8k8k9k9k Dec '23Mar '24Jun '24Dec '24Jun '26
Dec '23: 7,917
Mar '24: 8,680
Jun '24: 8,885
Dec '24: 8,856
Jun '26: 8,245
8k8k9k9k Dec '23Jun '24Jun '26
Dec '23: 7,917
Mar '24: 8,680
Jun '24: 8,885
Dec '24: 8,856
Jun '26: 8,245

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

What happened next to similar setups

−5.9%typical 12-month return vs the marketNot meaningfully different from the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like AMBICA AGARBATHIES & AROMA IND today on valuation, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −21% to +39% vs the market, against −6% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The gap against the base rate (+0.5%, 80% range −5.8% to +28.7%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
VISHWARAJ · Oct 2024: −54.5% vs market
RELCHEMQ · May 2025: −38.3% vs market
AROGRANITE · Jul 2024: −36.1% vs market
DANGEE · Apr 2022: −31.8% vs market
DAMODARIND · Aug 2025: −30.5% vs market
ROML · Feb 2023: −29.5% vs market
DCMNVL · Jul 2025: −28.2% vs market
CELEBRITY · Jun 2024: −27.5% vs market
GEEKAYWIRE · Nov 2021: −25.3% vs market
SALSTEEL · Jan 2024: −25.2% vs market
AIROLAM · Jul 2025: −24.4% vs market
ZENITHSTL · Sep 2025: −23.8% vs market
HISARMETAL · Jun 2025: −21.3% vs market
HITECHCORP · Oct 2023: −18.6% vs market
BANSWRAS · Jul 2025: −18.1% vs market
KHADIM · Apr 2024: −18.1% vs market
NAHARINDUS · Jun 2025: −13.8% vs market
BALPHARMA · Nov 2023: −11.0% vs market
AKASH · Aug 2025: −11.0% vs market
MAWANASUG · Aug 2023: −11.0% vs market
KHFM · May 2024: −10.7% vs market
JAYSREETEA · Jul 2024: −10.5% vs market
SALONA · Jul 2025: −10.1% vs market
MANOMAY · Jun 2024: −10.1% vs market
KANPRPLA · Jan 2024: −6.0% vs market
UGARSUGAR · Feb 2020: −5.8% vs market
KALYANIFRG · Nov 2024: −1.6% vs market
PPAP · Jun 2025: −0.2% vs market
BHARATGEAR · Aug 2025: +5.8% vs market
OBCL · Oct 2025: +10.4% vs market
ELGIRUBCO · Jun 2023: +26.8% vs market
SCML · Apr 2025: +27.5% vs market
EMAMIPAP · Sep 2025: +28.9% vs market
SAKHTISUG · Jul 2022: +30.9% vs market
BEARDSELL · Feb 2021: +32.4% vs market
JAYBARMARU · Aug 2025: +34.8% vs market
HPL · May 2022: +37.1% vs market
BVCL · May 2022: +40.1% vs market
MANAKALUCO · Jan 2025: +42.4% vs market
GUJRAFFIA · Dec 2023: +46.1% vs market
GOKUL · May 2020: +52.1% vs market
BSL · Sep 2020: +53.1% vs market
REMSONSIND · Aug 2022: +75.7% vs market
IRISDOREME · Mar 2021: +78.3% vs market
CENTUM · May 2022: +108.9% vs market
PGIL · Jan 2021: +112.1% vs market
SHIVAMILLS · Feb 2021: +131.0% vs market
MANAKCOAT · Nov 2020: +162.9% vs market
SANGAMIND · Dec 2020: +235.3% vs market
UNITEDPOLY · Oct 2024: +238.0% vs market
Similar setups −5.9%All companies −6.4%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 6 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
−5.9%
All companies' median
−6.4%
Beat the market
44% vs 43%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 34 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
HISARMETAL
Non-Energy Minerals
Jun 2025 33x9% 0%−12% −21%
RELCHEMQ
Process Industries
May 2025 57x7% −5%−21% −38%
BALPHARMA
Health Technology
Nov 2023 66x10% +23%−4% −11%
REMSONSIND
Producer Manufacturing
Aug 2022 23x12% +7%−14% +76%
BVCL
Non-Energy Minerals
May 2022 23x6% +4%−21% +40%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
AROGRANITE
Non-Energy Minerals
Jul 2024 44x5% +43%−5% −36%
SALONA
Process Industries
Jul 2025 44x7% −15%−20% −10%
ROML
Process Industries
Feb 2023 52x15% −1%−33% −30%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: 12-month momentum, P/S and drawdown from 12-month high. Not used (unavailable for this company): ROCE and operating margin. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to AMBICA AGARBATHIES & AROMA IND. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-11-09. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 98,395 company-months from 2019 companies; financial: 5,659 company-months from 108 companies. 2349 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

What changed?

9 events since Aug '21

  1. MarPriceFell 51% from the Aug 2023 peak to the Mar 2026 low.
  2. JunPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Process Industries on EPS growth (from the 2nd quartile).
  3. JanValuationP/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (47.9x).
  4. JulPriceRegained the 2022-01 peak, 3 months after the low.
  5. JunValuationP/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (50.9x).
  6. JunPeer rankMoved into the 2nd quartile of Process Industries on EPS growth (from the 3rd quartile).
  7. AprPriceFell 51% from the Jan 2022 peak to the Apr 2023 low.
  8. JanPriceRegained the 2021-05 peak, 5 months after the low.
Show 1 earlier event
  1. AugPriceFell 60% from the May 2021 peak to the Aug 2021 low.

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Monthly history68 months · 2021-04 to 2026-11
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEDebt / Equity
2026-1131.1x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2026-1031.0x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2026-0933.0x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2026-0832.8x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2026-0733.8x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2026-0634.2x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2026-0532.8x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2026-0432.1x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2026-0327.8x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2026-0234.3x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2026-0131.9x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2025-1234.6x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2025-1135.0x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2025-1034.2x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2025-0934.6x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2025-0835.8x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2025-0736.5x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2025-0639.3x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2025-0541.5x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2025-0436.2x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2025-0336.3x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2025-0235.0x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2025-0139.5x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2024-1243.6x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2024-1140.1x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2024-1036.1x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2024-0939.9x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2024-0843.7x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2024-0736.4x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2024-0634.8x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2024-0536.5x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2024-0440.8x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2024-0335.5x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2024-0243.0x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2024-0147.9x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2023-1240.5x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2023-1140.9x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2023-1043.4x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2023-0944.0x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2023-0853.6x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2023-0747.4x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2023-0650.9x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2023-0533.9x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2023-0430.3x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2023-0327.4x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2023-0231.1x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2023-0132.9x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2022-1233.2x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2022-1138.7x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2022-1041.7x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2022-0942.9x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2022-0843.0x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2022-0734.9x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2022-0630.4x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2022-0531.4x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2022-0436.9x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2022-0335.7x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2022-0238.1x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2022-0148.6x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2021-1228.9x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2021-1122.8x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2021-1024.4x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2021-0923.3x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2021-0822.0x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2021-0724.3x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2021-0630.3x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2021-0533.9x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x
2021-0423.6x₹98 cr3.5%1.7x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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