अApnaFunda

DAVANGERE SUGAR COMPANY LTD (DAVANGERE)

Process Industries · Agricultural Commodities/Milling · figures to Nov '26

Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.55 / 100
Profitability 62Balance sheet 48

Share price

Closing priceAdjusted for splits and bonus issues.

₹2 latest close · −44.1% over the last 90 sessions

₹2₹3Jul 3Jul 29Aug 24Sep 17Oct 14Nov 9 ₹2₹3Jul 3Sep 4Nov 9

₹2 month-end · −50.9% over 12 months

₹2₹3₹4Nov '25Jan '26Apr '26Jun '26Sep '26Nov '26 ₹2₹3₹4Nov '25May '26Nov '26

₹2 month-end · −78.6% since Jan '24

₹3₹5₹8₹10Jan '24Aug '24Mar '25Sep '25Apr '26Nov '26 ₹3₹5₹8₹10Jan '24Jun '25Nov '26

52-week range ₹1.62 to ₹5.50 · 1-year volatility 57.0%

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-83.5%not yet recovered
1-year volatility57.0%annualised

Drawdown from peak

0%−25%−50%−75%20252026−81.7% 0%−25%−50%−75%20252026−81.7%
Largest drawdowns

-83.5% (2024-03 peak to 2026-09 low, not yet recovered)

-25.4% (2024-02 peak to 2024-02 low, recovered 2024-02)

Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?

33.3xP/E todayNear its historic low
Against its own history6th percentile
CheapestMedian 53.2xDearest

Usual range 35.9x to 96.9x since 2024-01.

Against Process Industries33.3x vs 18.1x
This company
33.3x
Sector median
18.1x

84% above the Process Industries median.

16.0x48.7x81.5x114.2xJan '24Aug '24Mar '25Oct '25May '26Nov '2616.0x48.7x81.5x114.2xJan '24Jan '25Jan '26Nov '26
P/E (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianProcess Industries median

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P/B (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianProcess Industries median

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P/S (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianProcess Industries median
How to read this

Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dotted line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).

Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.

All terms explained in the glossary →

How Process Industries is valued

Where does it rank among Process Industries peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Process Industries peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

Where it ranks today

  • ROCE26th▼ 3 pts vs a year ago
  • Op. margin98thflat vs a year ago
  • Revenue growth86th▲ 75 pts vs a year ago
  • EPS growth22nd▼ 13 pts vs a year ago
  • Debt/equity ↓41st▲ 14 pts vs a year ago
  • Cash cycle ↓2ndflat vs a year ago
  • P/E ↓24th▲ 7 pts vs a year ago
  • 12M momentum4th▼ 29 pts vs a year ago

Rank history

ROCE
Op. margin
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Dec '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Jul '26Nov '26
Lower rank Higher rank Not enough data

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Process Industries sector page Watch it move against Process Industries in the Observatory

What is the price implying?

~19%annual earnings growth implied by the price

At a P/E of 26.6x, the price would imply about 18.6%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.

Fewer than six years of annual earnings are available, which is too little to measure delivered growth.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Process Industries The market-wide Expectations lists

Key figures

Share Priceclose 9 Nov
₹2.00
P/E
33.3x
ROCE
6.0%
Market Cap
₹339 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹249 cr
P/S
1.4x
P/B
0.7x
ROE
2.0%
Operating Margin
32.1%
Debt / Equity
0.5x
Promoter Holding
41.6%
12M Momentum
-50.9%

52-week range

₹1.62₹5.50
10% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
57.0%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
0.39

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
1.4x
Cash from profit, 3Y
operating cash flow ÷ net profit
-1.56x
low
Share count, 1Y
+1.4%

Are profits backed by cash?

4 of 7checks within range2 beyond a threshold
Other income reliance22%Near threshold

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 22.4%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate23%Within range

Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 22.7%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.

Cash conversion-1.56xBeyond threshold

Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: -1.56x (cash from operations ₹-50 cr, net profit ₹32 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.

Free cash flow1 of 5 yrsBeyond threshold

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 1. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history+14 daysWithin range

Debtor days are above the median of the previous three fiscal years by 14 days (54 vs 40). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.

Capital work in progress0% of fixed assetsWithin range

Capital work-in-progress is 0% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days-21 days / 2 yrsWithin range

Days payable changed by -21 over two years. Bands: rise of up to 30 days; more than 30 days.

Tap a check to see how it is measured

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Over 2 years, promoters trimmed 32.7 pts.
  • The number of shareholders rose from 10,407 to 1.8 lakh (+1590%) between Dec 2023 and Jun 2026.

Holdings, Jun '26

How each group changed

GroupDec '23Jun '26Change
Promoters74.4%41.6%-32.7 pts
FIIs0.0%0.0%0.0 pts
DIIs0.0%0.0%0.0 pts
Public and others25.6%58.4%+32.7 pts

Number of shareholders

1.8 lakhshareholders+1590% since Dec '23
10k66k1.2L1.8L Dec '23Jun '24Mar '25Sep '25Mar '26Jun '26
Dec '23: 10,407
Mar '24: 12,897
Jun '24: 48,959
Sep '24: 1.5 lakh
Mar '25: 1.6 lakh
Jun '25: 1.6 lakh
Sep '25: 1.8 lakh
Dec '25: 1.8 lakh
Mar '26: 1.7 lakh
Jun '26: 1.8 lakh
10k66k1.2L1.8L Dec '23Sep '24Sep '25Jun '26
Dec '23: 10,407
Mar '24: 12,897
Jun '24: 48,959
Sep '24: 1.5 lakh
Mar '25: 1.6 lakh
Jun '25: 1.6 lakh
Sep '25: 1.8 lakh
Dec '25: 1.8 lakh
Mar '26: 1.7 lakh
Jun '26: 1.8 lakh

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

What happened next to similar setups

−7.3%typical 12-month return vs the marketNot meaningfully different from the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like DAVANGERE SUGAR COMPANY LTD today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −26% to +37% vs the market, against −2% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The gap against the base rate (−5.6%, 80% range −11.6% to +3.7%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
SADHNANIQ · Jan 2025: −82.4% vs market
MCON · Jun 2025: −59.0% vs market
HILTON · Apr 2024: −46.9% vs market
RILINFRA · Jun 2024: −44.4% vs market
GSLSU · Oct 2024: −44.2% vs market
ASIANTILES · Apr 2021: −40.8% vs market
HATHWAY · May 2021: −34.7% vs market
AGNI · Jun 2025: −33.8% vs market
INCREDIBLE · Apr 2020: −31.9% vs market
FMNL · Jan 2020: −30.6% vs market
INDTERRAIN · Oct 2023: −30.5% vs market
KOKUYOCMLN · Dec 2020: −30.2% vs market
VISHWARAJ · Feb 2022: −26.3% vs market
SHEMAROO · May 2024: −26.3% vs market
VIKASECO · Oct 2023: −25.2% vs market
WIPL · Sep 2020: −22.5% vs market
REPRO · Jun 2024: −18.2% vs market
DPSCLTD · May 2022: −16.7% vs market
TEXRAIL · May 2020: −15.8% vs market
HTMEDIA · Jun 2022: −13.5% vs market
DYNPRO · Sep 2022: −11.7% vs market
MURUDCERA · May 2024: −11.1% vs market
PILITA · Dec 2021: −10.1% vs market
PANSARI · Dec 2022: −7.6% vs market
ROHLTD · Jun 2020: −7.4% vs market
RICOAUTO · Oct 2020: −7.2% vs market
LOKESHMACH · Feb 2025: −2.9% vs market
SDBL · Feb 2021: +0.2% vs market
MITCON · Apr 2025: +2.4% vs market
SWELECTES · Apr 2025: +4.0% vs market
SEPC · May 2020: +4.3% vs market
LANCORHOL · Jun 2025: +9.9% vs market
VIPCLOTHNG · May 2024: +15.8% vs market
SINDHUTRAD · Sep 2024: +23.3% vs market
TEMBO · Jan 2023: +28.2% vs market
EIFFL · Jul 2021: +28.4% vs market
SOUTHWEST · Jul 2024: +36.2% vs market
BYKE · Oct 2023: +37.2% vs market
SHILPAMED · May 2023: +41.6% vs market
BAGFILMS · Apr 2023: +42.8% vs market
MARINE · Jun 2022: +46.9% vs market
AJMERA · Jan 2023: +49.7% vs market
CAPACITE · Jun 2022: +49.9% vs market
SAMBHAAV · Nov 2020: +52.7% vs market
PATELENG · Oct 2020: +59.2% vs market
ORIENTCEM · Apr 2020: +61.3% vs market
SEAMECLTD · Aug 2023: +69.2% vs market
SANGHIIND · Jul 2022: +116.1% vs market
SOMANYCERA · Aug 2020: +173.4% vs market
AXISCADES · Nov 2024: +208.1% vs market
Similar setups −7.3%All companies −1.7%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 3 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
−7.3%
All companies' median
−1.7%
Beat the market
46% vs 48%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 36 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
SEPC
Industrial Services
May 2020 11x7% −68%−79% +4%
SADHNANIQ
Process Industries
Jan 2025 —7% −51%−55% −82%
VISHWARAJ
Process Industries
Feb 2022 48x8% −21%−52% −26%
SHEMAROO
Consumer Services
May 2024 41x5% +2%−39% −26%
PANSARI
Technology Services
Dec 2022 37x4% −42%−52% −8%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
ROHLTD
Consumer Services
Jun 2020 30x8% −50%−51% −7%
SWELECTES
Producer Manufacturing
Apr 2025 23x5% −55%−59% +4%
MCON
Non-Energy Minerals
Jun 2025 35x11% −47%−54% −59%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: ROCE, drawdown from 12-month high and 12-month momentum. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to DAVANGERE SUGAR COMPANY LTD. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-11-09. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 98,395 company-months from 2019 companies; financial: 5,659 company-months from 108 companies. 2349 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

What changed?

18 events since Feb '24

  1. SepPriceFell 84% from the Mar 2024 peak to the Sep 2026 low.
  2. SepPeer rankMoved into the top quartile of Process Industries on operating margin (from the 2nd quartile).
  3. AugValuationP/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (34.7x).
  4. JunPeer rankSlipped to the 2nd quartile of Process Industries on operating margin (from the top quartile).
  5. MarResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
  6. MarInstitutionsFII + DII holding rose 7.0 pts over 1 quarter to 7.0%.
  7. MarPeer rankSlipped to the bottom quartile of Process Industries on EPS growth (from the 2nd quartile).
  8. DecPromoterPromoter holding fell 6.2 pts to 41.6% (largest drop since 2024-12).
Show 10 earlier events
  1. DecResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned positive.
  2. DecPeer rankMoved into the 2nd quartile of Process Industries on EPS growth (from the 3rd quartile).
  3. SepPromoterPromoter holding fell 4.5 pts to 47.9% (largest drop since 2024-12).
  4. JunResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
  5. JunPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Process Industries on EPS growth (from the 2nd quartile).
  6. DecPromoterPromoter holding fell 6.6 pts to 54.3% (largest drop since 2024-09).
  7. SepPromoterPromoter holding fell 9.8 pts to 60.9%.
  8. JunPromoterPromoter holding fell 3.7 pts to 70.7%.
  9. FebPriceRegained the 2024-02 peak, 0 months after the low.
  10. FebPriceFell 25% from the Feb 2024 peak to the Feb 2024 low.

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Monthly history35 months · 2024-01 to 2026-11
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-1133.3x₹249 cr2.0%6.0%0.5x
2026-1032.5x₹249 cr2.0%6.0%0.5x
2026-0938.5x₹249 cr2.0%6.0%0.5x
2026-0834.7x₹239 cr2.0%6.0%0.5x
2026-0753.2x₹239 cr2.0%6.0%0.5x
2026-0659.5x₹239 cr2.0%6.0%0.5x
2026-0567.0x₹212 cr1.9%7.0%0.8x
2026-0460.7x₹212 cr1.9%7.0%0.8x
2026-0362.0x₹212 cr1.9%7.0%0.8x
2026-0245.2x₹202 cr2.9%7.0%0.8x
2026-0147.7x₹202 cr2.9%7.0%0.8x
2025-1241.2x₹202 cr2.9%7.0%0.8x
2025-1150.9x₹193 cr2.6%7.0%0.8x
2025-1048.1x₹193 cr2.6%7.0%0.8x
2025-0947.1x₹193 cr2.6%7.0%0.8x
2025-0843.5x₹215 cr2.6%7.0%0.8x
2025-0739.9x₹215 cr2.6%7.0%0.8x
2025-0642.0x₹215 cr2.6%7.0%0.8x
2025-0535.5x₹222 cr5.0%7.0%0.8x
2025-0436.5x₹222 cr5.0%7.0%0.8x
2025-0336.8x₹222 cr5.0%7.0%0.8x
2025-0252.2x₹227 cr3.0%7.0%0.8x
2025-0165.7x₹227 cr3.0%7.0%0.8x
2024-1257.0x₹227 cr3.0%7.0%0.8x
2024-1165.0x₹214 cr3.0%7.0%0.8x
2024-1069.6x₹214 cr3.0%7.0%0.8x
2024-0975.3x₹214 cr3.0%7.0%0.8x
2024-0880.4x₹217 cr3.0%7.0%0.8x
2024-0780.8x₹217 cr3.0%7.0%0.8x
2024-0690.3x₹217 cr3.0%7.0%0.8x
2024-05114.2x₹280 cr3.2%8.0%0.8x
2024-04101.2x₹280 cr3.2%8.0%0.8x
2024-0382.9x₹280 cr3.2%8.0%0.8x
2024-02112.0x₹280 cr3.2%8.0%0.8x
2024-01103.9x₹280 cr3.2%8.0%0.8x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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