Share price
₹610.4 latest close · −6.4% over the last 90 sessions
₹610.4 month-end · −13.2% over 12 months
₹610.4 month-end · +15.8% over 3 years
₹610.4 month-end · +288.9% since Jan '19
52-week range ₹483.10 to ₹821.15 · 1-year volatility 39.5%
Was the rally earned?
Earnings helped, the multiple did not.
- Per-share earnings added 41 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 39.7x to 22.2x), which took 54 points back.
- The share count barely moved.
Mostly yes, with a catch.
- Per-share earnings added 218 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 144.4x to 22.2x), which took 202 points back.
- The share count fell 3%.
Both mattered.
- Per-share earnings added 80 points and the multiple added 90 points (P/E 13.1x to 22.2x).
- The share count rose 6%.
What do "pts" mean?
"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.
Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.
Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.
How rough has the ride been?
Drawdown from peak
Largest drawdowns
-68.9% (2019-07 peak to 2020-03 low, recovered 2020-12)
-67.8% (2024-04 peak to 2025-03 low, not yet recovered)
-40.1% (2022-04 peak to 2023-03 low, recovered 2023-07)
Most recent volume spikes
2026-10-09: 8.5x the 50-day median, price +6.3% that day
2026-09-07: 6.4x the 50-day median, price 0.0% that day
Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).
Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?
Usual range 14.0x to 145.8x since 2019-01.
25% below the Producer Manufacturing median.
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How to read this
Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dotted line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).
Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.
Where does it rank among Producer Manufacturing peers?
Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Producer Manufacturing peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).
Where it ranks today
- ROCE20th▲ 7 pts vs a year ago
- Op. margin90th▼ 3 pts vs a year ago
- Revenue growth8th▼ 91 pts vs a year ago
- EPS growth80th▲ 65 pts vs a year ago
- Debt/equity ↓14th▼ 7 pts vs a year ago
- Cash cycle ↓70th▲ 15 pts vs a year ago
- P/E ↓64th▲ 23 pts vs a year ago
- 12M momentum40th▲ 15 pts vs a year ago
Rank history
Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.
The Producer Manufacturing sector page Watch it move against Producer Manufacturing in the Observatory
What is the price implying?
At a P/E of 28.3x, the price would imply about 18.5%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.
Below the ₹1,000 cr market-cap floor used for the lists.
“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.
What prices imply across Producer Manufacturing The market-wide Expectations lists
Key figures
- Share Priceclose 9 Nov
- ₹610.40
- P/E
- 22.2x
- ROCE
- 8.0%
- Market Cap
- ₹925 cr
- Revenue (TTM)
- ₹611 cr
- P/S
- 1.5x
- P/B
- 1.0x
- ROE
- 4.5%
- Operating Margin
- 21.7%
- Debt / Equity
- 0.9x
- Promoter Holding
- 56.4%
- 12M Momentum
- -13.2%
52-week range
Price risk
Balance sheet & cash
Are profits backed by cash?
Other income reliance56%Beyond threshold
Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 55.9%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.
Tax rate27%Within range
Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 27.0%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.
Cash conversion2.33xWithin range
Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 2.33x (cash from operations ₹315 cr, net profit ₹135 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.
Free cash flow1 of 5 yrsBeyond threshold
Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 1. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.
Receivable days vs history-44 daysWithin range
Debtor days are below the median of the previous three fiscal years by 44 days (34 vs 78). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.
Capital work in progress19% of fixed assetsWithin range
Capital work-in-progress is 19% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.
Payable days-261 days / 2 yrsWithin range
Days payable changed by -261 over two years. Bands: rise of up to 30 days; more than 30 days.
Tap a check to see how it is measured
How to read this
Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.
Who has been buying and selling?
- Over 3 years, FIIs added 0.5 pts.
- The number of shareholders rose from 16,531 to 27,232 (+65%) between Sep 2023 and Jun 2026.
Holdings, Jun '26
How each group changed
Number of shareholders
Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.
What happened next to similar setups
- We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like SWELECT ENERGY SYSTEMS LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
- Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −22% to +48% vs the market, against −2% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
- The gap against the base rate (+8.2%, 80% range −9.2% to +20.0%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.
Where the 50 outcomes landed
Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 8 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge
50 past situations · 50 companies · 37 months · 2020–2025
The closest matches
| Company | When | P/E | ROCE | 12M mom. | Drawdown | Next 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIBERTSHOE Consumer Non-Durables |
Aug 2022 | 19x | 9% | −1% | −21% | +36% |
| WELENT Industrial Services |
Sep 2022 | 15x | 5% | +19% | −11% | +92% |
| AJMERA Finance |
Aug 2023 | 18x | 8% | +39% | −7% | +27% |
| BAJAJHCARE Health Technology |
Oct 2023 | 27x | 14% | +14% | −17% | −38% |
| MMFL Producer Manufacturing |
Nov 2020 | 22x | 9% | +4% | −20% | +46% |
Show the other 3 matches
| Company | When | P/E | ROCE | 12M mom. | Drawdown | Next 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NRBBEARING Producer Manufacturing |
Apr 2021 | 33x | 9% | +52% | −11% | −9% |
| ALICON Producer Manufacturing |
Sep 2020 | 27x | 10% | −13% | −25% | +42% |
| EVEREADY Producer Manufacturing |
May 2023 | 52x | 14% | +6% | −14% | −32% |
How reliable is this?
Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: drawdown from 12-month high, 12-month momentum and ROCE. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.
Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.
What else looks like this?
Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.
Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.
What changed?
30 events since Jul '23
- OctPriceVolume reached 8.5x its 50-day median on 2026-10-09; price +6.3% that day.
- SepPriceVolume reached 6.4x its 50-day median on 2026-09-07; price -0.0% that day.
- JunDividendDividend payout cut from 36% to 10% of profit.
- JunPriceVolume reached 6.3x its 50-day median on 2026-06-01; price -3.7% that day.
- MarResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned positive.
- MarPeer rankMoved into the top quartile of Producer Manufacturing on EPS growth (from the bottom quartile).
- JanPriceVolume reached 5.6x its 50-day median on 2026-01-08; price +0.6% that day.
- OctPriceVolume reached 10.7x its 50-day median on 2025-10-10; price +5.1% that day.
Show 22 earlier events
- SepPeer rankMoved into the top quartile of Producer Manufacturing on operating margin (from the 2nd quartile).
- AugPriceVolume reached 160.5x its 50-day median on 2025-08-14; price +11.2% that day.
- JunResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
- JunPeer rankSlipped to the 2nd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on operating margin (from the top quartile).
- MarPriceFell 68% from the Apr 2024 peak to the Mar 2025 low.
- MarPeer rankMoved into the top quartile of Producer Manufacturing on operating margin (from the 2nd quartile).
- FebValuationP/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (13.2x).
- FebPriceVolume reached 26.1x its 50-day median on 2025-02-27; price -18.9% that day.
- DecResultsRevenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹451 cr.
- DecPeer rankSlipped to the 2nd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on operating margin (from the top quartile).
- SepPriceVolume reached 27.2x its 50-day median on 2024-09-05; price +11.7% that day.
- JunResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned positive.
- JunPeer rankMoved into the top quartile of Producer Manufacturing on EPS growth (from the bottom quartile).
- JunDividendDividend payout cut from 33% to 10% of profit.
- AprPriceRegained the 2024-03 peak, 1 month after the low.
- MarPriceFell 31% from the Mar 2024 peak to the Mar 2024 low.
- JanPriceRegained the 2023-11 peak, 1 month after the low.
- JanPriceVolume reached 53.4x its 50-day median on 2024-01-24; price +4.7% that day.
- DecPriceFell 28% from the Nov 2023 peak to the Dec 2023 low.
- NovPriceVolume reached 8.0x its 50-day median on 2023-11-09; price -13.1% that day.
- JulPriceRegained the 2022-04 peak, 4 months after the low.
- JulPriceVolume reached 46.5x its 50-day median on 2023-07-04; price +17.0% that day.
Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.
Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month
Monthly history95 months · 2019-01 to 2026-11
| Month | P/E | Revenue (TTM) | ROE | ROCE | Debt / Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 22.2x | ₹611 cr | 4.5% | 8.0% | 0.9x |
| 2026-10 | 21.2x | ₹611 cr | 4.5% | 8.0% | 0.9x |
| 2026-09 | 21.7x | ₹611 cr | 4.5% | 8.0% | 0.9x |
| 2026-08 | 16.2x | ₹657 cr | 5.9% | 8.0% | 0.9x |
| 2026-07 | 16.3x | ₹657 cr | 5.9% | 8.0% | 0.9x |
| 2026-06 | 17.8x | ₹657 cr | 5.9% | 8.0% | 0.9x |
| 2026-05 | 18.6x | ₹674 cr | 6.1% | 5.0% | 0.7x |
| 2026-04 | 18.6x | ₹674 cr | 6.1% | 5.0% | 0.7x |
| 2026-03 | 14.1x | ₹674 cr | 6.1% | 5.0% | 0.7x |
| 2026-02 | 23.2x | ₹626 cr | 3.9% | 5.0% | 0.7x |
| 2026-01 | 23.0x | ₹626 cr | 3.9% | 5.0% | 0.7x |
| 2025-12 | 27.8x | ₹626 cr | 3.9% | 5.0% | 0.7x |
| 2025-11 | 39.7x | ₹685 cr | 3.1% | 5.0% | 0.7x |
| 2025-10 | 45.4x | ₹685 cr | 3.1% | 5.0% | 0.7x |
| 2025-09 | 49.3x | ₹685 cr | 3.1% | 5.0% | 0.7x |
| 2025-08 | 85.2x | ₹622 cr | 1.5% | 5.0% | 0.7x |
| 2025-07 | 78.2x | ₹622 cr | 1.5% | 5.0% | 0.7x |
| 2025-06 | 70.3x | ₹622 cr | 1.5% | 5.0% | 0.7x |
| 2025-05 | 21.2x | ₹478 cr | 4.6% | 5.0% | 0.7x |
| 2025-04 | 22.5x | ₹478 cr | 4.6% | 5.0% | 0.7x |
| 2025-03 | 20.5x | ₹478 cr | 4.6% | 5.0% | 0.7x |
| 2025-02 | 13.2x | ₹451 cr | 6.7% | 5.0% | 0.7x |
| 2025-01 | 22.3x | ₹451 cr | 6.7% | 5.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-12 | 26.1x | ₹451 cr | 6.7% | 5.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-11 | 27.7x | ₹301 cr | 6.6% | 5.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-10 | 30.3x | ₹301 cr | 6.6% | 5.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-09 | 32.6x | ₹301 cr | 6.6% | 5.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-08 | 24.8x | ₹272 cr | 7.1% | 5.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-07 | 29.2x | ₹272 cr | 7.1% | 5.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-06 | 30.7x | ₹272 cr | 7.1% | 5.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-05 | 336.3x | ₹246 cr | 0.7% | 4.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-04 | 361.5x | ₹246 cr | 0.7% | 4.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-03 | 261.5x | ₹246 cr | 0.7% | 4.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-02 | 300.1x | ₹246 cr | 0.7% | 4.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-01 | 209.7x | ₹246 cr | 0.7% | 4.0% | 0.7x |
| 2023-12 | 144.9x | ₹246 cr | 0.7% | 4.0% | 0.7x |
| 2023-11 | 144.4x | ₹246 cr | 0.7% | 4.0% | 0.7x |
| 2023-10 | 166.8x | ₹246 cr | 0.7% | 4.0% | 0.7x |
| 2023-09 | 170.4x | ₹246 cr | 0.7% | 4.0% | 0.7x |
| 2023-08 | 146.0x | ₹246 cr | 0.7% | 4.0% | 0.7x |
| 2023-07 | 154.6x | ₹246 cr | 0.7% | 4.0% | 0.7x |
| 2023-06 | 87.7x | ₹246 cr | 0.7% | 4.0% | 0.7x |
| 2023-05 | 15.7x | ₹391 cr | 3.9% | 5.0% | 0.6x |
| 2023-04 | 17.0x | ₹391 cr | 3.9% | 5.0% | 0.6x |
| 2023-03 | 13.3x | ₹391 cr | 3.9% | 5.0% | 0.6x |
| 2023-02 | 13.2x | ₹391 cr | 3.9% | 5.0% | 0.6x |
| 2023-01 | 15.7x | ₹391 cr | 3.9% | 5.0% | 0.6x |
| 2022-12 | 15.7x | ₹391 cr | 3.9% | 5.0% | 0.6x |
| 2022-11 | 16.2x | ₹391 cr | 3.9% | 5.0% | 0.6x |
| 2022-10 | 14.6x | ₹391 cr | 3.9% | 5.0% | 0.6x |
| 2022-09 | 15.0x | ₹391 cr | 3.9% | 5.0% | 0.6x |
| 2022-08 | 14.6x | ₹391 cr | 3.9% | 5.0% | 0.6x |
| 2022-07 | 14.9x | ₹391 cr | 3.9% | 5.0% | 0.6x |
| 2022-06 | 14.0x | ₹391 cr | 3.9% | 5.0% | 0.6x |
| 2022-05 | 22.0x | ₹253 cr | 3.3% | 4.0% | 0.5x |
| 2022-04 | 23.6x | ₹253 cr | 3.3% | 4.0% | 0.5x |
| 2022-03 | 22.0x | ₹253 cr | 3.3% | 4.0% | 0.5x |
| 2022-02 | 17.1x | ₹253 cr | 3.3% | 4.0% | 0.5x |
| 2022-01 | 16.7x | ₹253 cr | 3.3% | 4.0% | 0.5x |
| 2021-12 | 16.8x | ₹253 cr | 3.3% | 4.0% | 0.5x |
| 2021-11 | 13.1x | ₹253 cr | 3.3% | 4.0% | 0.5x |
| 2021-10 | 14.1x | ₹253 cr | 3.3% | 4.0% | 0.5x |
| 2021-09 | 12.7x | ₹253 cr | 3.3% | 4.0% | 0.5x |
| 2021-08 | 12.5x | ₹253 cr | 3.3% | 4.0% | 0.5x |
| 2021-07 | 14.6x | ₹253 cr | 3.3% | 4.0% | 0.5x |
| 2021-06 | 13.3x | ₹253 cr | 3.3% | 4.0% | 0.5x |
| 2021-05 | — | ₹252 cr | -1.3% | 2.0% | 0.3x |
| 2021-04 | — | ₹252 cr | -1.3% | 2.0% | 0.3x |
| 2021-03 | — | ₹252 cr | -1.3% | 2.0% | 0.3x |
| 2021-02 | — | ₹252 cr | -1.3% | 2.0% | 0.3x |
| 2021-01 | — | ₹252 cr | -1.3% | 2.0% | 0.3x |
| 2020-12 | — | ₹252 cr | -1.3% | 2.0% | 0.3x |
| 2020-11 | — | ₹252 cr | -1.3% | 2.0% | 0.3x |
| 2020-10 | — | ₹252 cr | -1.3% | 2.0% | 0.3x |
| 2020-09 | — | ₹252 cr | -1.3% | 2.0% | 0.3x |
| 2020-08 | — | ₹252 cr | -1.3% | 2.0% | 0.3x |
| 2020-07 | — | ₹252 cr | -1.3% | 2.0% | 0.3x |
| 2020-06 | — | ₹252 cr | -1.3% | 2.0% | 0.3x |
| 2020-05 | 17.0x | ₹228 cr | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3x |
| 2020-04 | 19.0x | ₹228 cr | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3x |
| 2020-03 | 18.6x | ₹228 cr | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3x |
| 2020-02 | 24.5x | ₹228 cr | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3x |
| 2020-01 | 31.8x | ₹228 cr | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3x |
| 2019-12 | 26.1x | ₹228 cr | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3x |
| 2019-11 | 25.8x | ₹228 cr | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3x |
| 2019-10 | 26.6x | ₹228 cr | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3x |
| 2019-09 | 27.6x | ₹228 cr | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3x |
| 2019-08 | 29.2x | ₹228 cr | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3x |
| 2019-07 | 28.5x | ₹228 cr | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3x |
| 2019-06 | 31.2x | ₹228 cr | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3x |
| 2019-05 | 14.6x | ₹294 cr | 2.1% | 4.0% | 0.3x |
| 2019-04 | 15.9x | ₹294 cr | 2.1% | 4.0% | 0.3x |
| 2019-03 | 15.3x | ₹294 cr | 2.1% | 4.0% | 0.3x |
| 2019-02 | 13.4x | ₹294 cr | 2.1% | 4.0% | 0.3x |
| 2019-01 | 15.0x | ₹294 cr | 2.1% | 4.0% | 0.3x |