अApnaFunda

KRIDHAN INFRA LIMITED (KRIDHANINF)

Non-Energy Minerals

Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.4 / 100
Profitability 2Growth 7
Share Price
₹2.21
P/E
24.6x
Market Cap
₹25 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹3 cr
P/S
9.0x
Operating Margin
-17.1%
Promoter Holding
40.0%
12M Momentum
-41.5%

52-week range

₹1.79₹4.78
14% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
58.9%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
0.63

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
1.7x
Cash from profit, 3Y
operating cash flow ÷ net profit
-0.10x
low
Share count, 1Y
+5.1%

Was the rally earned?

-42%share price, 1 yearEarnings-driven

Mostly earnings.

  • Per-share earnings took off 336 points, while the multiple moved less (P/E 0.6x to 25.7x).
  • The share count barely moved.
1 year Net profit growth: -336 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).-336 ptsP/E change: +294 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.+294 ptsShare count change: +0 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. -42% 1 year Net profit growth: -336 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).-336 ptsP/E change: +294 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.+294 ptsShare count change: +0 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. -42%
Net profit growth-336 ptsNet profit fell about 99%, which lowers the price.
P/E change+294 ptsThe P/E rose from 0.6x to 25.7x, which lifts the price.
Share count change0 ptsShare count was little changed. More shares would count against the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Not shown for 3 years and 5 years: earnings were negative at one end, or there is not enough history.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare this with JSW STEEL

What is the price implying?

~18%annual earnings growth implied by the price

At a P/E of 24.6x, the price would imply about 17.7%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.

Fewer than six years of annual earnings are available, which is too little to measure delivered growth.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Non-Energy Minerals The market-wide Expectations lists

What changed?

  1. Sep '26Promoter holding fell 4.8 pts to 40.0%.
  2. Sep '26Slipped to the bottom quartile of Non-Energy Minerals on operating margin (from the top quartile).
  3. Jun '26Promoter holding fell 2.3 pts to 44.9%.
  4. Jun '26Moved into the top quartile of Non-Energy Minerals on operating margin (from the bottom quartile).
  5. Jun '26Share count is up 5.1% over 12 months.
  6. Mar '26Slipped to the bottom quartile of Non-Energy Minerals on operating margin (from the top quartile).
  7. Dec '25EPS (TTM) turned positive.
  8. Feb '21Debt / equity halved over 12 months to 0.15x.
Show 8 earlier events
  1. Jul '20Debt / equity halved over 12 months to 0.15x.
  2. Jun '20Slipped to the bottom quartile of Non-Energy Minerals on ROCE (from the 3rd quartile).
  3. Jun '20Debt / equity fell below 1.0x (0.15x).
  4. Mar '20Fell 98% from the Jan 2019 peak to the Mar 2020 low.
  5. Jun '19EPS (TTM) turned negative.
  6. Jun '19Slipped to the 3rd quartile of Non-Energy Minerals on ROCE (from the 2nd quartile).
  7. Jun '19Debt / equity rose above 1.0x (1.70x).
  8. Jun '19Dividend payout cut from 5% to 0% of profit.

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Are profits backed by cash?

2 of 5 checks are within range, 1 near a threshold, 2 beyond a threshold.
Tap a check to see how it is measured.

Other income reliance191%Beyond threshold

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 190.6%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate0%Beyond threshold

Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 0.0%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.

Cash conversion—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Free cash flow3 of 5 yrsNear threshold

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 3. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history-191 daysWithin range

Debtor days are below the median of the previous three fiscal years by 191 days (19 vs 210). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.

Capital work in progress0% of fixed assetsWithin range

Capital work-in-progress is 0% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Over 2 years, promoters trimmed 7.1 pts; FIIs trimmed 4.4 pts.
  • The number of shareholders rose from 29,763 to 31,472 (+6%) between Dec 2023 and Jun 2026.

Holdings, Jun '26

How each group changed

GroupDec '23Jun '26Change
Promoters47.1%40.0%-7.1 pts
FIIs4.4%0.0%-4.4 pts
DIIs———
Public and others48.4%60.0%+11.5 pts

Number of shareholders

31,472shareholders+6% since Dec '23
30k31k33k34k Dec '23Dec '24Sep '25Mar '26Jun '26
Dec '23: 29,763
Sep '24: 30,355
Dec '24: 34,055
Jun '25: 33,275
Sep '25: 32,816
Dec '25: 32,255
Mar '26: 31,847
Jun '26: 31,472
30k31k33k34k Dec '23Jun '25Mar '26Jun '26
Dec '23: 29,763
Sep '24: 30,355
Dec '24: 34,055
Jun '25: 33,275
Sep '25: 32,816
Dec '25: 32,255
Mar '26: 31,847
Jun '26: 31,472

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-97.6%not yet recovered
1-year volatility58.9%annualised

Monthly share price

₹1₹14₹27₹40 Jan '19Aug '20Mar '22Oct '23May '25Oct '26
2019-01: ₹37.20
2019-02: ₹34.05
2019-03: ₹40.45
2019-04: ₹34.20
2019-05: ₹24.15
2019-06: ₹9.85
2019-07: ₹9.15
2019-08: ₹8.85
2019-09: ₹8.15
2019-10: ₹4.90
2019-11: ₹3.60
2019-12: ₹2.80
2020-01: ₹2.25
2020-02: ₹1.90
2020-03: ₹1.20
2020-04: ₹1.95
2020-05: ₹2.50
2020-06: ₹5.30
2020-07: ₹3.10
2020-08: ₹3.45
2020-09: ₹2.90
2020-10: ₹2.50
2020-11: ₹2.65
2020-12: ₹4.20
2021-01: ₹3.85
2021-02: ₹3.55
2021-03: ₹3.75
2021-04: ₹3.95
2021-05: ₹5.10
2021-06: ₹6.50
2021-07: ₹5.25
2021-08: ₹4.85
2021-09: ₹4.45
2021-10: ₹4.60
2021-11: ₹5.15
2021-12: ₹7.70
2022-01: ₹6.75
2022-02: ₹5.65
2022-03: ₹4.65
2022-04: ₹5.65
2022-05: ₹4.85
2022-06: ₹4.25
2022-07: ₹4.00
2022-08: ₹4.20
2022-09: ₹3.95
2022-10: ₹3.55
2022-11: ₹4.05
2022-12: ₹3.70
2023-01: ₹3.10
2023-02: ₹2.50
2023-03: ₹1.75
2023-04: ₹2.35
2023-05: ₹2.35
2023-06: ₹2.35
2023-07: ₹2.00
2023-08: ₹2.05
2023-09: ₹3.00
2023-10: ₹2.50
2023-11: ₹2.50
2023-12: ₹3.40
2024-01: ₹4.50
2024-02: ₹6.50
2024-03: ₹4.60
2024-04: ₹4.60
2024-05: ₹4.05
2024-06: ₹4.30
2024-07: ₹4.85
2024-08: ₹4.49
2024-09: ₹4.20
2024-10: ₹4.16
2024-11: ₹3.95
2024-12: ₹5.76
2025-01: ₹4.36
2025-02: ₹3.76
2025-03: ₹3.17
2025-04: ₹4.05
2025-05: ₹4.08
2025-06: ₹4.86
2025-07: ₹4.24
2025-08: ₹3.92
2025-09: ₹3.87
2025-10: ₹3.78
2025-11: ₹3.77
2025-12: ₹4.46
2026-01: ₹4.18
2026-02: ₹3.41
2026-03: ₹1.89
2026-04: ₹2.63
2026-05: ₹3.09
2026-06: ₹2.76
2026-07: ₹2.34
2026-08: ₹2.00
2026-09: ₹1.88
2026-10: ₹2.21
₹1₹14₹27₹40 Jan '19Aug '21Mar '24Oct '26
2019-01: ₹37.20
2019-02: ₹34.05
2019-03: ₹40.45
2019-04: ₹34.20
2019-05: ₹24.15
2019-06: ₹9.85
2019-07: ₹9.15
2019-08: ₹8.85
2019-09: ₹8.15
2019-10: ₹4.90
2019-11: ₹3.60
2019-12: ₹2.80
2020-01: ₹2.25
2020-02: ₹1.90
2020-03: ₹1.20
2020-04: ₹1.95
2020-05: ₹2.50
2020-06: ₹5.30
2020-07: ₹3.10
2020-08: ₹3.45
2020-09: ₹2.90
2020-10: ₹2.50
2020-11: ₹2.65
2020-12: ₹4.20
2021-01: ₹3.85
2021-02: ₹3.55
2021-03: ₹3.75
2021-04: ₹3.95
2021-05: ₹5.10
2021-06: ₹6.50
2021-07: ₹5.25
2021-08: ₹4.85
2021-09: ₹4.45
2021-10: ₹4.60
2021-11: ₹5.15
2021-12: ₹7.70
2022-01: ₹6.75
2022-02: ₹5.65
2022-03: ₹4.65
2022-04: ₹5.65
2022-05: ₹4.85
2022-06: ₹4.25
2022-07: ₹4.00
2022-08: ₹4.20
2022-09: ₹3.95
2022-10: ₹3.55
2022-11: ₹4.05
2022-12: ₹3.70
2023-01: ₹3.10
2023-02: ₹2.50
2023-03: ₹1.75
2023-04: ₹2.35
2023-05: ₹2.35
2023-06: ₹2.35
2023-07: ₹2.00
2023-08: ₹2.05
2023-09: ₹3.00
2023-10: ₹2.50
2023-11: ₹2.50
2023-12: ₹3.40
2024-01: ₹4.50
2024-02: ₹6.50
2024-03: ₹4.60
2024-04: ₹4.60
2024-05: ₹4.05
2024-06: ₹4.30
2024-07: ₹4.85
2024-08: ₹4.49
2024-09: ₹4.20
2024-10: ₹4.16
2024-11: ₹3.95
2024-12: ₹5.76
2025-01: ₹4.36
2025-02: ₹3.76
2025-03: ₹3.17
2025-04: ₹4.05
2025-05: ₹4.08
2025-06: ₹4.86
2025-07: ₹4.24
2025-08: ₹3.92
2025-09: ₹3.87
2025-10: ₹3.78
2025-11: ₹3.77
2025-12: ₹4.46
2026-01: ₹4.18
2026-02: ₹3.41
2026-03: ₹1.89
2026-04: ₹2.63
2026-05: ₹3.09
2026-06: ₹2.76
2026-07: ₹2.34
2026-08: ₹2.00
2026-09: ₹1.88
2026-10: ₹2.21

Last 90 trading days

₹2₹2₹3₹3 Jun 23Jul 20Aug 13Sep 8Oct 6Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹2.98
2026-06-25: ₹2.96
2026-06-30: ₹2.76
2026-07-02: ₹2.80
2026-07-06: ₹2.79
2026-07-08: ₹2.71
2026-07-10: ₹2.71
2026-07-14: ₹2.59
2026-07-16: ₹2.60
2026-07-20: ₹2.52
2026-07-22: ₹2.47
2026-07-24: ₹2.44
2026-07-28: ₹2.32
2026-07-30: ₹2.32
2026-08-03: ₹2.30
2026-08-05: ₹2.34
2026-08-07: ₹2.29
2026-08-11: ₹2.24
2026-08-13: ₹2.24
2026-08-17: ₹2.19
2026-08-19: ₹2.18
2026-08-21: ₹2.08
2026-08-25: ₹2.05
2026-08-27: ₹2.04
2026-08-31: ₹2.00
2026-09-02: ₹2.06
2026-09-04: ₹2.03
2026-09-08: ₹1.97
2026-09-10: ₹1.99
2026-09-15: ₹1.94
2026-09-17: ₹1.82
2026-09-21: ₹1.86
2026-09-23: ₹1.84
2026-09-25: ₹1.86
2026-09-29: ₹1.88
2026-10-01: ₹1.85
2026-10-06: ₹1.88
2026-10-08: ₹1.82
2026-10-12: ₹2.20
2026-10-14: ₹2.54
2026-10-16: ₹2.30
2026-10-21: ₹2.09
2026-10-23: ₹1.93
2026-10-27: ₹1.92
2026-10-29: ₹2.11
2026-10-30: ₹2.21
₹2₹2₹3₹3 Jun 23Aug 5Sep 17Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹2.98
2026-06-25: ₹2.96
2026-06-30: ₹2.76
2026-07-02: ₹2.80
2026-07-06: ₹2.79
2026-07-08: ₹2.71
2026-07-10: ₹2.71
2026-07-14: ₹2.59
2026-07-16: ₹2.60
2026-07-20: ₹2.52
2026-07-22: ₹2.47
2026-07-24: ₹2.44
2026-07-28: ₹2.32
2026-07-30: ₹2.32
2026-08-03: ₹2.30
2026-08-05: ₹2.34
2026-08-07: ₹2.29
2026-08-11: ₹2.24
2026-08-13: ₹2.24
2026-08-17: ₹2.19
2026-08-19: ₹2.18
2026-08-21: ₹2.08
2026-08-25: ₹2.05
2026-08-27: ₹2.04
2026-08-31: ₹2.00
2026-09-02: ₹2.06
2026-09-04: ₹2.03
2026-09-08: ₹1.97
2026-09-10: ₹1.99
2026-09-15: ₹1.94
2026-09-17: ₹1.82
2026-09-21: ₹1.86
2026-09-23: ₹1.84
2026-09-25: ₹1.86
2026-09-29: ₹1.88
2026-10-01: ₹1.85
2026-10-06: ₹1.88
2026-10-08: ₹1.82
2026-10-12: ₹2.20
2026-10-14: ₹2.54
2026-10-16: ₹2.30
2026-10-21: ₹2.09
2026-10-23: ₹1.93
2026-10-27: ₹1.92
2026-10-29: ₹2.11
2026-10-30: ₹2.21

Drawdown from peak

0% -49% -97% Jan '19Dec '22Oct '26 0% -49% -97% Jan '19Dec '22Oct '26
Largest drawdowns

-97.6% (2019-01 peak to 2020-03 low, not yet recovered)

Where does it rank among Non-Energy Minerals peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Non-Energy Minerals peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

ROCE
Op. margin
Revenue growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Nov '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Oct '26
Lower rank Higher rank

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Non-Energy Minerals sector page Watch it move against Non-Energy Minerals in the Observatory

What happened next to similar setups

+5.2%typical 12-month return vs the marketNot meaningfully different from the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like KRIDHAN INFRA LIMITED today on valuation, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −17% to +31% vs the market, against −3% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The gap against the base rate (+7.9%, 80% range −0.9% to +12.9%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
BTML · May 2024: −48.7% vs market
DENORA · May 2024: −47.6% vs market
DIAMINESQ · Oct 2024: −47.1% vs market
HINDCON · Dec 2024: −42.7% vs market
INVENTURE · Sep 2023: −30.8% vs market
CCHHL · Jul 2025: −30.7% vs market
DCMFINSERV · Jan 2023: −29.5% vs market
ACEINTEG · Sep 2023: −29.1% vs market
BIOFILCHEM · Sep 2025: −27.3% vs market
MAHAPEXLTD · Jun 2025: −24.2% vs market
AATMAJ · Nov 2024: −23.8% vs market
ARTNIRMAN · Sep 2025: −21.2% vs market
AUSOMENT · Jun 2022: −17.8% vs market
AMJLAND · Apr 2022: −16.4% vs market
SAMBHAAV · Jan 2023: −13.9% vs market
UMESLTD · Jul 2025: −13.8% vs market
INDOTHAI · May 2023: −13.8% vs market
SREEL · Jul 2021: −6.3% vs market
PNC · Feb 2020: −5.2% vs market
ENERGYDEV · Jun 2023: −3.6% vs market
HCL-INSYS · Dec 2022: −3.2% vs market
TAINWALCHM · Mar 2021: −2.4% vs market
GANGESSECU · Jul 2024: +2.1% vs market
PANSARI · Jul 2023: +3.3% vs market
ORICONENT · Jun 2023: +3.8% vs market
INDBANK · Nov 2023: +6.5% vs market
NILASPACES · Apr 2020: +6.8% vs market
BANKA · Feb 2022: +9.1% vs market
BPL · Oct 2022: +9.2% vs market
LFIC · Feb 2020: +10.4% vs market
ANTELOPUS · Jul 2021: +16.4% vs market
HGM · Dec 2022: +19.1% vs market
COUNCODOS · Nov 2021: +19.3% vs market
CINELINE · May 2020: +20.9% vs market
PRIMESECU · Sep 2021: +21.7% vs market
IVC · Dec 2022: +26.4% vs market
AAATECH · Mar 2023: +27.1% vs market
HYBRIDFIN · Feb 2024: +31.7% vs market
STEL · Mar 2022: +31.7% vs market
ARVEE · Jun 2022: +31.9% vs market
BANARBEADS · Feb 2020: +37.8% vs market
GEECEE · Jun 2020: +39.4% vs market
ARHAM · May 2025: +46.1% vs market
SIL · Sep 2021: +51.0% vs market
BHANDARI · Feb 2023: +55.0% vs market
GUJAPOLLO · Jun 2024: +56.5% vs market
UNIVASTU · Sep 2021: +66.5% vs market
SURANAT&P · Jun 2023: +76.7% vs market
FOCE · Jan 2024: +123.3% vs market
WEALTH · Sep 2023: +179.3% vs market
Similar setups +5.2%All companies −2.7%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 2 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
+5.2%
All companies' median
−2.7%
Beat the market
56% vs 47%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 34 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
NILASPACES
Consumer Durables
Apr 2020 12x5% −56%−63% +7%
HYBRIDFIN
Finance
Feb 2024 55x4% −9%−20% +32%
AMJLAND
Finance
Apr 2022 26x5% +16%−29% −16%
SIL
Process Industries
Sep 2021 30x40% +53%−30% +51%
UMESLTD
Producer Manufacturing
Jul 2025 46x3% −32%−34% −14%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
LFIC
Finance
Feb 2020 25x0% −39%−39% +10%
HGM
Miscellaneous
Dec 2022 28x5% −26%−33% +19%
BHANDARI
Consumer Non-Durables
Feb 2023 —9% −26%−45% +55%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, operating margin, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: P/E, 12-month momentum and drawdown from 12-month high. Not used (unavailable for this company): ROCE and debt/equity. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to KRIDHAN INFRA LIMITED. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-10-30. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 97,430 company-months from 2000 companies; financial: 5,632 company-months from 106 companies. 2240 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.
Monthly history (94 months)
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-1024.6x₹3 cr———
2026-0920.9x₹3 cr———
2026-089.1x₹3 cr———
2026-0710.6x₹3 cr———
2026-0612.5x₹3 cr———
2026-054.5x₹6 cr———
2026-043.9x₹6 cr———
2026-032.8x₹6 cr———
2026-024.9x₹5 cr———
2026-016.1x₹5 cr———
2025-126.5x₹5 cr———
2025-11—₹4 cr———
2025-10—₹4 cr———
2025-09—₹4 cr———
2025-08—₹3 cr———
2025-07—₹3 cr———
2025-06—₹3 cr———
2025-05—₹1 cr———
2025-04—₹1 cr———
2025-03—₹1 cr———
2025-02—₹1 cr———
2025-01—₹1 cr———
2024-12—₹1 cr———
2024-11—₹1 cr———
2024-10—₹1 cr———
2024-09—₹1 cr———
2024-08—₹1 cr———
2024-07—₹1 cr———
2024-06—₹1 cr———
2024-05—₹6 cr———
2024-04—₹6 cr———
2024-03—₹6 cr———
2024-02—₹6 cr———
2024-01—₹6 cr———
2023-12—₹6 cr———
2023-11—₹6 cr———
2023-10—₹6 cr———
2023-09—₹6 cr———
2023-08—₹6 cr———
2023-07—₹6 cr———
2023-06—₹6 cr———
2023-05—₹17 cr———
2023-04—₹17 cr———
2023-03—₹17 cr———
2023-02—₹17 cr———
2023-01—₹17 cr———
2022-12—₹17 cr———
2022-11—₹17 cr———
2022-10—₹17 cr———
2022-09—₹17 cr———
2022-08—₹17 cr———
2022-07—₹17 cr———
2022-06—₹17 cr———
2022-05—₹28 cr-26.1%0.5%0.2x
2022-04—₹28 cr-26.1%0.5%0.2x
2022-03—₹28 cr-26.1%0.5%0.2x
2022-02—₹28 cr-26.1%0.5%0.2x
2022-01—₹28 cr-26.1%0.5%0.2x
2021-12—₹28 cr-26.1%0.5%0.2x
2021-11—₹28 cr-26.1%0.5%0.2x
2021-10—₹28 cr-26.1%0.5%0.2x
2021-09—₹28 cr-26.1%0.5%0.2x
2021-08—₹28 cr-26.1%0.5%0.2x
2021-07—₹28 cr-26.1%0.5%0.2x
2021-06—₹28 cr-26.1%0.5%0.2x
2021-05—₹19 cr-24.0%0.3%0.1x
2021-04—₹19 cr-24.0%0.3%0.1x
2021-03—₹19 cr-24.0%0.3%0.1x
2021-02—₹19 cr-24.0%0.3%0.1x
2021-01—₹19 cr-24.0%0.3%0.1x
2020-12—₹19 cr-24.0%0.3%0.1x
2020-11—₹19 cr-24.0%0.3%0.1x
2020-10—₹19 cr-24.0%0.3%0.1x
2020-09—₹19 cr-24.0%0.3%0.1x
2020-08—₹19 cr-24.0%0.3%0.1x
2020-07—₹19 cr-24.0%0.3%0.1x
2020-06—₹19 cr-24.0%0.3%0.1x
2020-05—₹727 cr-249.3%7.9%1.7x
2020-04—₹727 cr-249.3%7.9%1.7x
2020-03—₹727 cr-249.3%7.9%1.7x
2020-02—₹727 cr-249.3%7.9%1.7x
2020-01—₹727 cr-249.3%7.9%1.7x
2019-12—₹727 cr-249.3%7.9%1.7x
2019-11—₹727 cr-249.3%7.9%1.7x
2019-10—₹727 cr-249.3%7.9%1.7x
2019-09—₹727 cr-249.3%7.9%1.7x
2019-08—₹727 cr-249.3%7.9%1.7x
2019-07—₹727 cr-249.3%7.9%1.7x
2019-06—₹727 cr-249.3%7.9%1.7x
2019-056.2x₹712 cr8.3%10.6%0.5x
2019-048.7x₹712 cr8.3%10.6%0.5x
2019-0310.3x₹712 cr8.3%10.6%0.5x
2019-028.7x₹712 cr8.3%10.6%0.5x
2019-019.5x₹712 cr8.3%10.6%0.5x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

Feedback