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KN AGRI RESOURCES LIMITED (KNAGRI)

Process Industries

Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.60 / 100
Profitability 40Growth 41Balance sheet 100
Share Price
₹183.24
P/E
12.8x
ROCE
14.0%
Market Cap
₹459 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹1945 cr
P/S
0.2x
P/B
1.2x
ROE
9.3%
Operating Margin
4.1%
Debt / Equity
0.1x
Promoter Holding
68.9%
12M Momentum
-23.0%
P/E vs its own history50th percentilesince Mar '22
P/E vs Process Industries0.7xthe sector median

52-week range

₹148.30₹242.85
37% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
52.9%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
0.49

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
6.0x
Cash from profit, 3Y
operating cash flow ÷ net profit
0.33x
low
Share count, 1Y
unchanged

Was the rally earned?

-23%share price, 1 yearMultiple-driven

Mostly the multiple.

  • Most of the fall came from investors paying a lower multiple (P/E 16.1x to 12.8x); per-share earnings took off 3 points.
  • The share count barely moved.
1 year Net profit growth: -3 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).-3 ptsP/E change: -20 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-20 ptsShare count change: +0 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. -23% 1 year Net profit growth: -3 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).P/E change: -20 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-20 ptsShare count change: +0 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. -23%
Net profit growth-3 ptsNet profit fell about 4%, which lowers the price.
P/E change-20 ptsThe P/E fell from 16.1x to 12.8x, which lowers the price.
Share count change0 ptsShare count was little changed. More shares would count against the price.
+38%share price, 3 yearsEarnings-driven

Mostly yes.

  • Per-share earnings added 32 points to the rise, while the multiple moved less (P/E 12.3x to 12.8x).
  • The share count barely moved.
3 years Net profit growth: +33 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+33 ptsP/E change: +5 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.+5 ptsShare count change: -1 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. +38% 3 years Net profit growth: +33 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+33 ptsP/E change: +5 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.Share count change: -1 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. +38%
Net profit growth+33 ptsNet profit rose about 32%, which lifts the price.
P/E change+5 ptsThe P/E rose from 12.3x to 12.8x, which lifts the price.
Share count change0 ptsShare count was little changed. More shares would count against the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Not shown for 5 years: earnings were negative at one end, or there is not enough history.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare this with PATANJALI FOODS

Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?

12.8xP/E todayWithin its usual range
Against its own history50th percentileMedian 12.9x; usual range 7.5x to 20.2x since 2022-03.
Against Process Industries12.8x vs 18.0xBelow the Process Industries median.
5.7x14.8x23.8x32.9xMar '22Feb '23Jan '24Dec '24Nov '25Oct '265.7x14.8x23.8x32.9xMar '22Oct '23May '25Oct '26
P/E (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianProcess Industries median

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P/B (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianProcess Industries median

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P/S (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianProcess Industries median
How to read this

Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dashed line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).

Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.

All terms explained in the glossary →

How Process Industries is valued

What is the price implying?

~11%annual earnings growth implied by the price

At a P/E of 13.3x, the price would imply about 10.7%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.

Below the ₹1,000 cr market-cap floor used for the lists.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Process Industries The market-wide Expectations lists

What changed?

  1. Jun '26Year-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
  2. Jun '26Slipped to the 3rd quartile of Process Industries on EPS growth (from the 2nd quartile).
  3. Feb '26Fell 51% from the Dec 2024 peak to the Feb 2026 low.
  4. Jan '26Debt / equity halved over 12 months to 0.15x.
  5. Jun '25Promoter holding fell 4.8 pts to 68.9%.
  6. Jun '25Debt / equity halved over 12 months to 0.15x.
  7. Oct '24Regained the 2024-07 peak, 2 months after the low.
  8. Aug '24Fell 25% from the Jul 2024 peak to the Aug 2024 low.
Show 9 earlier events
  1. Jul '24Regained the 2022-04 peak, 16 months after the low.
  2. Jun '24Year-on-year EPS growth turned positive.
  3. Jun '24P/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (14.3x).
  4. Jun '24Moved into the 2nd quartile of Process Industries on EPS growth (from the 3rd quartile).
  5. Jun '23Year-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
  6. Jun '23Slipped to the 2nd quartile of Process Industries on ROCE (from the top quartile).
  7. Mar '23Fell 60% from the Apr 2022 peak to the Mar 2023 low.
  8. Mar '23Share count is up 38.9% over 12 months.
  9. Dec '22FII + DII holding fell 3.5 pts over 1 quarter to 6.4%.

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Are profits backed by cash?

3 of 7 checks are within range, 2 near a threshold, 2 beyond a threshold.
Tap a check to see how it is measured.

Other income reliance16%Near threshold

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 16.3%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate28%Within range

Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 28.0%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.

Cash conversion0.33xBeyond threshold

Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 0.33x (cash from operations ₹33 cr, net profit ₹100 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.

Free cash flow2 of 5 yrsNear threshold

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 2. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history-7 daysWithin range

Debtor days are below the median of the previous three fiscal years by 7 days (12 vs 19). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.

Capital work in progress69% of fixed assetsBeyond threshold

Capital work-in-progress is 69% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days-2 days / 2 yrsWithin range

Days payable changed by -2 over two years. Bands: rise of up to 30 days; more than 30 days.

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Over 3 years, promoters trimmed 4.8 pts; DIIs trimmed 2.3 pts; FIIs added 0.6 pts.
  • The number of shareholders rose from 1,260 to 1,453 (+15%) between Mar 2022 and Jun 2026.

Holdings, Jun '26

How each group changed

GroupMar '22Jun '26Change
Promoters73.7%68.9%-4.8 pts
FIIs0.0%3.0%+3.0 pts
DIIs9.9%0.3%-9.5 pts
Public and others16.5%27.9%+11.4 pts

Number of shareholders

1,453shareholders+15% since Mar '22
1k1k1k2k Mar '22Mar '23Mar '24Mar '25Dec '25Jun '26
Mar '22: 1,260
Sep '22: 1,312
Mar '23: 1,337
Sep '23: 1,305
Mar '24: 1,441
Sep '24: 1,391
Mar '25: 1,480
Sep '25: 1,463
Dec '25: 1,430
Mar '26: 1,580
Jun '26: 1,453
1k1k1k2k Mar '22Mar '24Dec '25Jun '26
Mar '22: 1,260
Sep '22: 1,312
Mar '23: 1,337
Sep '23: 1,305
Mar '24: 1,441
Sep '24: 1,391
Mar '25: 1,480
Sep '25: 1,463
Dec '25: 1,430
Mar '26: 1,580
Jun '26: 1,453

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-60.0%recovered 2024-07
1-year volatility52.9%annualised

Monthly share price

₹107₹165₹222₹280 Mar '22Feb '23Jan '24Dec '24Nov '25Oct '26
2022-03: ₹152.85
2022-04: ₹233.70
2022-05: ₹158.50
2022-06: ₹139.20
2022-07: ₹160.15
2022-08: ₹168.90
2022-09: ₹161.60
2022-10: ₹171.70
2022-11: ₹149.50
2022-12: ₹145.00
2023-01: ₹135.00
2023-02: ₹118.00
2023-03: ₹107.35
2023-04: ₹131.50
2023-05: ₹112.00
2023-06: ₹121.50
2023-07: ₹117.50
2023-08: ₹155.00
2023-09: ₹130.00
2023-10: ₹133.20
2023-11: ₹137.85
2023-12: ₹134.00
2024-01: ₹147.80
2024-02: ₹137.00
2024-03: ₹136.00
2024-04: ₹131.45
2024-05: ₹131.15
2024-06: ₹177.75
2024-07: ₹250.00
2024-08: ₹245.00
2024-09: ₹264.95
2024-10: ₹278.15
2024-11: ₹280.00
2024-12: ₹265.00
2025-01: ₹266.20
2025-02: ₹209.35
2025-03: ₹210.75
2025-04: ₹213.75
2025-05: ₹252.00
2025-06: ₹223.20
2025-07: ₹259.70
2025-08: ₹228.55
2025-09: ₹203.50
2025-10: ₹237.95
2025-11: ₹197.70
2025-12: ₹204.35
2026-01: ₹160.48
2026-02: ₹179.77
2026-03: ₹171.99
2026-04: ₹180.02
2026-05: ₹191.74
2026-06: ₹211.97
2026-07: ₹208.24
2026-08: ₹217.42
2026-09: ₹198.13
2026-10: ₹183.24
₹107₹165₹222₹280 Mar '22Oct '23May '25Oct '26
2022-03: ₹152.85
2022-04: ₹233.70
2022-05: ₹158.50
2022-06: ₹139.20
2022-07: ₹160.15
2022-08: ₹168.90
2022-09: ₹161.60
2022-10: ₹171.70
2022-11: ₹149.50
2022-12: ₹145.00
2023-01: ₹135.00
2023-02: ₹118.00
2023-03: ₹107.35
2023-04: ₹131.50
2023-05: ₹112.00
2023-06: ₹121.50
2023-07: ₹117.50
2023-08: ₹155.00
2023-09: ₹130.00
2023-10: ₹133.20
2023-11: ₹137.85
2023-12: ₹134.00
2024-01: ₹147.80
2024-02: ₹137.00
2024-03: ₹136.00
2024-04: ₹131.45
2024-05: ₹131.15
2024-06: ₹177.75
2024-07: ₹250.00
2024-08: ₹245.00
2024-09: ₹264.95
2024-10: ₹278.15
2024-11: ₹280.00
2024-12: ₹265.00
2025-01: ₹266.20
2025-02: ₹209.35
2025-03: ₹210.75
2025-04: ₹213.75
2025-05: ₹252.00
2025-06: ₹223.20
2025-07: ₹259.70
2025-08: ₹228.55
2025-09: ₹203.50
2025-10: ₹237.95
2025-11: ₹197.70
2025-12: ₹204.35
2026-01: ₹160.48
2026-02: ₹179.77
2026-03: ₹171.99
2026-04: ₹180.02
2026-05: ₹191.74
2026-06: ₹211.97
2026-07: ₹208.24
2026-08: ₹217.42
2026-09: ₹198.13
2026-10: ₹183.24

Last 90 trading days

₹180₹195₹211₹226 Jun 23Jul 20Aug 13Sep 8Oct 6Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹210.35
2026-06-25: ₹210.98
2026-06-30: ₹211.97
2026-07-02: ₹218.80
2026-07-06: ₹210.82
2026-07-08: ₹206.07
2026-07-10: ₹207.28
2026-07-14: ₹202.70
2026-07-16: ₹198.69
2026-07-20: ₹196.02
2026-07-22: ₹208.76
2026-07-24: ₹213.64
2026-07-28: ₹219.57
2026-07-30: ₹204.88
2026-08-03: ₹207.06
2026-08-05: ₹207.94
2026-08-07: ₹205.47
2026-08-11: ₹204.60
2026-08-13: ₹214.52
2026-08-17: ₹216.19
2026-08-19: ₹214.88
2026-08-21: ₹213.70
2026-08-25: ₹218.01
2026-08-27: ₹214.23
2026-08-31: ₹217.42
2026-09-02: ₹209.46
2026-09-04: ₹199.40
2026-09-08: ₹202.25
2026-09-10: ₹195.02
2026-09-15: ₹192.52
2026-09-17: ₹202.24
2026-09-21: ₹202.63
2026-09-23: ₹211.63
2026-09-25: ₹204.76
2026-09-29: ₹199.92
2026-10-01: ₹200.50
2026-10-06: ₹205.00
2026-10-08: ₹202.60
2026-10-12: ₹198.36
2026-10-14: ₹197.67
2026-10-16: ₹196.95
2026-10-21: ₹195.59
2026-10-23: ₹183.03
2026-10-27: ₹188.99
2026-10-29: ₹185.30
2026-10-30: ₹183.24
₹180₹195₹211₹226 Jun 23Aug 5Sep 17Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹210.35
2026-06-25: ₹210.98
2026-06-30: ₹211.97
2026-07-02: ₹218.80
2026-07-06: ₹210.82
2026-07-08: ₹206.07
2026-07-10: ₹207.28
2026-07-14: ₹202.70
2026-07-16: ₹198.69
2026-07-20: ₹196.02
2026-07-22: ₹208.76
2026-07-24: ₹213.64
2026-07-28: ₹219.57
2026-07-30: ₹204.88
2026-08-03: ₹207.06
2026-08-05: ₹207.94
2026-08-07: ₹205.47
2026-08-11: ₹204.60
2026-08-13: ₹214.52
2026-08-17: ₹216.19
2026-08-19: ₹214.88
2026-08-21: ₹213.70
2026-08-25: ₹218.01
2026-08-27: ₹214.23
2026-08-31: ₹217.42
2026-09-02: ₹209.46
2026-09-04: ₹199.40
2026-09-08: ₹202.25
2026-09-10: ₹195.02
2026-09-15: ₹192.52
2026-09-17: ₹202.24
2026-09-21: ₹202.63
2026-09-23: ₹211.63
2026-09-25: ₹204.76
2026-09-29: ₹199.92
2026-10-01: ₹200.50
2026-10-06: ₹205.00
2026-10-08: ₹202.60
2026-10-12: ₹198.36
2026-10-14: ₹197.67
2026-10-16: ₹196.95
2026-10-21: ₹195.59
2026-10-23: ₹183.03
2026-10-27: ₹188.99
2026-10-29: ₹185.30
2026-10-30: ₹183.24

Drawdown from peak

0% -30% -59% Apr '22Jul '24Oct '26 0% -30% -59% Apr '22Jul '24Oct '26
Largest drawdowns

-60.0% (2022-04 peak to 2023-03 low, recovered 2024-07)

-50.8% (2024-12 peak to 2026-02 low, not yet recovered)

-25.1% (2024-07 peak to 2024-08 low, recovered 2024-10)

Where does it rank among Process Industries peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Process Industries peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

ROCE
Op. margin
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Nov '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Oct '26
Lower rank Higher rank

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Process Industries sector page Watch it move against Process Industries in the Observatory

What happened next to similar setups

+5.8%typical 12-month return vs the marketAbove the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like KN AGRI RESOURCES LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −22% to +47% vs the market, against −5% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The analogs' median sat above that base rate (gap +11.1%, 80% range +1.9% to +16.9%), but the matches cluster in only 6 distinct 12-month windows.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
SHANKARA · Mar 2025: −80.0% vs market
GTPL · Feb 2024: −41.3% vs market
NIRAJ · Sep 2025: −39.8% vs market
SUPERHOUSE · Sep 2023: −37.3% vs market
UDS · Jun 2025: −35.9% vs market
PLASTIBLEN · Sep 2024: −35.0% vs market
VETO · Aug 2024: −29.5% vs market
TRIGYN · Jul 2023: −28.7% vs market
MADRASFERT · Jun 2025: −28.5% vs market
ISFT · Jun 2025: −28.2% vs market
WCIL · Sep 2025: −27.6% vs market
RUCHIRA · May 2023: −24.2% vs market
JOCIL · Dec 2023: −22.4% vs market
PARAGMILK · Feb 2021: −21.9% vs market
ASPINWALL · Nov 2024: −16.4% vs market
KRYSTAL · Jul 2025: −13.3% vs market
TEXMOPIPES · May 2023: −11.7% vs market
SAHYADRI · Apr 2025: −9.5% vs market
JAYAGROGN · Dec 2023: −6.5% vs market
PTL · Jan 2022: −5.7% vs market
SALZERELEC · Jul 2021: −3.6% vs market
WABAG · Jan 2022: +1.9% vs market
PYRAMID · Jul 2025: +2.9% vs market
MANAKSIA · Aug 2021: +3.9% vs market
MANGCHEFER · Jan 2022: +5.4% vs market
APEX · May 2024: +6.3% vs market
POLYPLEX · Aug 2025: +8.7% vs market
PATINTLOG · Jul 2020: +9.2% vs market
NRAIL · Jun 2022: +10.7% vs market
PDMJEPAPER · Sep 2022: +14.4% vs market
SAKUMA · Aug 2023: +14.9% vs market
AARVI · Mar 2025: +21.4% vs market
SHREEPUSHK · Dec 2023: +21.8% vs market
INSECTICID · Jun 2024: +36.8% vs market
ARIES · Jul 2024: +38.4% vs market
EVERESTIND · Jun 2021: +40.9% vs market
AAREYDRUGS · Nov 2024: +41.3% vs market
MODISONLTD · Apr 2023: +49.5% vs market
PASUPTAC · Sep 2025: +58.7% vs market
DLINKINDIA · Sep 2022: +62.2% vs market
LUMAXTECH · Nov 2021: +69.5% vs market
GOKUL · Dec 2020: +73.9% vs market
SUNFLAG · Jan 2022: +74.2% vs market
PRECWIRE · Sep 2021: +85.0% vs market
20MICRONS · Aug 2023: +86.0% vs market
TNPETRO · Mar 2021: +89.5% vs market
SHAKTIPUMP · Mar 2023: +122.0% vs market
MANINDS · Jul 2023: +125.0% vs market
SURYAROSNI · Dec 2022: +149.6% vs market
GALLANTT · Oct 2023: +175.7% vs market
Similar setups +5.8%All companies −5.3%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 4 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
+5.8%
All companies' median
−5.3%
Beat the market
58% vs 44%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 34 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
JAYAGROGN
Process Industries
Dec 2023 15x13% +35%−6% −7%
AARVI
Commercial Services
Mar 2025 15x12% −14%−38% +21%
MANGCHEFER
Process Industries
Jan 2022 18x17% +42%−16% +5%
SHANKARA
Retail Trade
Mar 2025 23x17% −11%−22% −80%
SAKUMA
Distribution Services
Aug 2023 20x9% +8%−11% +15%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
PASUPTAC
Process Industries
Sep 2025 16x12% −12%−21% +59%
MODISONLTD
Producer Manufacturing
Apr 2023 14x14% −13%−16% +50%
PDMJEPAPER
Process Industries
Sep 2022 11x16% −5%−17% +14%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: 12-month momentum, revenue growth and P/E. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to KN AGRI RESOURCES LIMITED. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-10-30. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 97,430 company-months from 2000 companies; financial: 5,632 company-months from 106 companies. 2240 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.
Monthly history (56 months)
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-1012.8x₹1945 cr9.3%14.0%0.1x
2026-0913.9x₹1945 cr9.4%14.0%0.1x
2026-0817.2x₹1814 cr8.3%14.0%0.1x
2026-0716.4x₹1814 cr8.3%14.0%0.1x
2026-0616.7x₹1814 cr8.3%14.0%0.1x
2026-0513.7x₹1829 cr10.0%15.0%0.1x
2026-0412.9x₹1829 cr10.0%15.0%0.1x
2026-0312.3x₹1829 cr10.0%15.0%0.1x
2026-0212.2x₹1791 cr10.5%15.0%0.1x
2026-0110.9x₹1791 cr10.5%15.0%0.1x
2025-1213.9x₹1791 cr10.5%15.0%0.1x
2025-1113.4x₹1711 cr10.5%15.0%0.1x
2025-1016.1x₹1711 cr10.5%15.0%0.1x
2025-0913.8x₹1711 cr10.5%15.0%0.1x
2025-0815.5x₹1711 cr10.5%15.0%0.1x
2025-0717.6x₹1711 cr10.5%15.0%0.1x
2025-0615.1x₹1711 cr10.5%15.0%0.1x
2025-0520.3x₹1691 cr9.9%13.0%0.4x
2025-0417.2x₹1691 cr9.9%13.0%0.4x
2025-0317.0x₹1691 cr9.9%13.0%0.4x
2025-0216.9x₹1691 cr9.9%13.0%0.4x
2025-0121.5x₹1691 cr9.9%13.0%0.4x
2024-1221.4x₹1691 cr9.9%13.0%0.4x
2024-1122.6x₹1691 cr9.9%13.0%0.4x
2024-1022.4x₹1691 cr9.9%13.0%0.4x
2024-0921.3x₹1691 cr9.9%13.0%0.4x
2024-0819.7x₹1691 cr9.9%13.0%0.4x
2024-0720.1x₹1691 cr9.9%13.0%0.4x
2024-0614.3x₹1691 cr9.9%13.0%0.4x
2024-0512.1x₹2224 cr9.6%16.0%0.3x
2024-0412.1x₹2224 cr9.6%16.0%0.3x
2024-0312.6x₹2224 cr9.6%16.0%0.3x
2024-0212.7x₹2224 cr9.6%16.0%0.3x
2024-0113.6x₹2224 cr9.6%16.0%0.3x
2023-1212.4x₹2224 cr9.6%16.0%0.3x
2023-1112.7x₹2224 cr9.6%16.0%0.3x
2023-1012.3x₹2224 cr9.6%16.0%0.3x
2023-0912.0x₹2224 cr9.6%16.0%0.3x
2023-0814.3x₹2224 cr9.6%16.0%0.3x
2023-0710.8x₹2224 cr9.6%16.0%0.3x
2023-0611.2x₹2224 cr9.6%16.0%0.3x
2023-055.9x₹1872 cr18.4%29.0%0.1x
2023-047.0x₹1872 cr18.4%29.0%0.1x
2023-035.7x₹1872 cr18.4%29.0%0.1x
2023-026.3x₹1872 cr18.4%29.0%0.1x
2023-017.2x₹1872 cr18.4%29.0%0.1x
2022-127.7x₹1872 cr18.4%29.0%0.1x
2022-117.9x₹1872 cr18.4%29.0%0.1x
2022-109.1x₹1872 cr18.4%29.0%0.1x
2022-098.6x₹1872 cr18.4%29.0%0.1x
2022-089.0x₹1872 cr18.4%29.0%0.1x
2022-078.5x₹1872 cr18.4%29.0%0.1x
2022-067.4x₹1872 cr18.4%29.0%0.1x
2022-0511.3x₹1284 cr16.5%24.0%0.1x
2022-0416.7x₹1284 cr16.5%24.0%0.1x
2022-0310.9x₹1284 cr16.5%24.0%0.1x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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