अApnaFunda

KRISHNA DEFENCE AND ALLIED LTD (KRISHNADEF)

Electronic Technology

Balance sheet #14Overall #8
Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.92 / 100
Profitability 86Growth 91Balance sheet 100
Momentum scoreHow strong the recent trend is: 3-month price change, 12-month improvement in earnings and the rise in FII + DII holding, among companies above ₹500 cr.85 / 100
Price 72Earnings 91FII/DII 92

Passes these screens: Cash Rich · Quality Compounder · Debt-light & profitable · Consistent compounders

Share Price
₹1213.60
P/E
41.9x
ROCE
31.0%
Market Cap
₹1813 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹235 cr
P/S
7.7x
P/B
9.3x
ROE
22.3%
Operating Margin
26.0%
Debt / Equity
0.0x
Promoter Holding
59.9%
12M Momentum
53.4%
P/E vs its own history17th percentilesince Jun '23
P/E vs Electronic Technology0.8xthe sector median

52-week range

₹665.00₹1400.00
75% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
56.3%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
1.22

Balance sheet & cash

Debt service
no meaningful debt
Cash from profit, 3Y
operating cash flow ÷ net profit
0.99x
Share count, 1Y
+7.1%

Was the rally earned?

+53%share price, 1 yearLower P/E held it back

Mostly yes, with a catch.

  • Per-share earnings added 76 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 50.0x to 41.9x), which took 22 points back.
  • The share count rose 8%.
1 year Net profit growth: +85 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+85 ptsP/E change: -22 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-22 ptsShare count change: -9 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. +53% 1 year Net profit growth: +85 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+85 ptsP/E change: -22 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-22 ptsShare count change: -9 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. +53%
Net profit growth+85 ptsNet profit rose about 97%, which lifts the price.
P/E change-22 ptsThe P/E fell from 50.0x to 41.9x, which lowers the price.
Share count change-9 ptsShare count rose 8%, which lowers the price.
+305%share price, 3 yearsLower P/E held it back

Mostly yes, with a catch.

  • Per-share earnings added 400 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 64.8x to 41.9x), which took 95 points back.
  • The share count rose 38%.
3 years Net profit growth: +471 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+471 ptsP/E change: -95 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-95 ptsShare count change: -71 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price.-71 pts +305% 3 years Net profit growth: +471 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+471 ptsP/E change: -95 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.Share count change: -71 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. +305%
Net profit growth+471 ptsNet profit rose about 767%, which lifts the price.
P/E change-95 ptsThe P/E fell from 64.8x to 41.9x, which lowers the price.
Share count change-71 ptsShare count rose 38%, which lowers the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Not shown for 5 years: earnings were negative at one end, or there is not enough history.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare this with HINDUSTAN AERONAUTICS

Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?

41.9xP/E todayNear its historic low
Against its own history17th percentileMedian 62.2x; usual range 38.9x to 109.0x since 2023-06.
Against Electronic Technology41.9x vs 55.3xBelow the Electronic Technology median.
32.9x72.9x113.0x153.0xJun '23Feb '24Oct '24Jun '25Feb '26Oct '2632.9x72.9x113.0x153.0xJun '23Aug '24Oct '25Oct '26
P/E (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianElectronic Technology median

The chart loads when you open this tab.

P/B (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianElectronic Technology median

The chart loads when you open this tab.

P/S (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianElectronic Technology median
How to read this

Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dashed line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).

Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.

All terms explained in the glossary →

How Electronic Technology is valued

What is the price implying?

~24%annual earnings growth implied by the price

At a P/E of 41.9x, the price would imply about 24.0%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.

Fewer than six years of annual earnings are available, which is too little to measure delivered growth.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Electronic Technology The market-wide Expectations lists

What changed?

  1. Oct '26Volume reached 23.3x its 50-day median on 2026-10-06; price +9.3% that day.
  2. Sep '26Fell 27% from the Jun 2026 peak to the Sep 2026 low.
  3. Aug '26P/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (36.1x).
  4. Jun '26Moved into the top quartile of Electronic Technology on ROCE (from the 2nd quartile).
  5. Jun '26Share count is up 7.1% over 12 months.
  6. Jun '26Volume reached 11.3x its 50-day median on 2026-06-30; price -3.2% that day.
  7. May '26Regained the 2026-03 peak, 2 months after the low.
  8. Mar '26Fell 31% from the Mar 2026 peak to the Mar 2026 low.
Show 22 earlier events
  1. Feb '26Regained the 2024-06 peak, 11 months after the low.
  2. Jan '26Volume reached 34.5x its 50-day median on 2026-01-09; price +5.1% that day.
  3. Dec '25Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹214 cr.
  4. Dec '25P/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (38.7x).
  5. Nov '25Volume reached 6.5x its 50-day median on 2025-11-14; price +6.9% that day.
  6. Sep '25Promoter holding fell 2.3 pts to 60.0% (largest drop since 2024-09).
  7. Sep '25Slipped to the 2nd quartile of Electronic Technology on ROCE (from the top quartile).
  8. Jul '25Moved into the top quartile of Electronic Technology on ROCE (from the 2nd quartile).
  9. Jun '25Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹190 cr.
  10. Jun '25P/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (56.6x).
  11. Jun '25Moved into the top quartile of Electronic Technology on EPS growth (from the 2nd quartile).
  12. Jun '25Started paying a dividend (payout 3% of profit).
  13. May '25Volume reached 8.5x its 50-day median on 2025-05-21; price -11.1% that day.
  14. Mar '25Fell 51% from the Jun 2024 peak to the Mar 2025 low.
  15. Jan '25Debt / equity halved over 12 months to 0.08x.
  16. Sep '24Promoter holding fell 6.1 pts to 62.3%.
  17. Sep '24Slipped to the 2nd quartile of Electronic Technology on EPS growth (from the top quartile).
  18. Jul '24Volume reached 10.5x its 50-day median on 2024-07-04; price +0.9% that day.
  19. Jun '24Promoter holding fell 5.0 pts to 68.3%.
  20. Jun '24Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹106 cr.
  21. Jun '24Debt / equity halved over 12 months to 0.08x.
  22. Jun '24Share count is up 27.3% over 12 months.

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Are profits backed by cash?

6 of 7 checks are within range, 1 beyond a threshold.
Tap a check to see how it is measured.

Other income reliance9%Within range

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 9.3%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate25%Within range

Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 24.5%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.

Cash conversion0.99xWithin range

Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 0.99x (cash from operations ₹72 cr, net profit ₹73 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.

Free cash flow1 of 4 yrsBeyond threshold

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 4: 1. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history-38 daysWithin range

Debtor days are below the median of the previous three fiscal years by 38 days (52 vs 90). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.

Capital work in progress9% of fixed assetsWithin range

Capital work-in-progress is 9% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days-67 days / 2 yrsWithin range

Days payable changed by -67 over two years. Bands: rise of up to 30 days; more than 30 days.

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Over 3 years, promoters trimmed 13.5 pts; FIIs added 1.4 pts; DIIs added 1.1 pts.
  • The number of shareholders rose from 556 to 18,720 (+3267%) between Mar 2023 and Jun 2026.

Holdings, Jun '26

How each group changed

GroupMar '23Jun '26Change
Promoters73.4%59.9%-13.5 pts
FIIs0.0%1.4%+1.4 pts
DIIs0.0%1.3%+1.3 pts
Public and others26.6%37.4%+10.8 pts

Number of shareholders

18,720shareholders+3267% since Mar '23
5567k13k19k Mar '23Mar '24Sep '24Jun '25Dec '25Jun '26
Mar '23: 556
Sep '23: 831
Mar '24: 1,303
Jun '24: 1,712
Sep '24: 2,929
Mar '25: 4,131
Jun '25: 4,137
Sep '25: 4,656
Dec '25: 5,409
Mar '26: 12,910
Jun '26: 18,720
5567k13k19k Mar '23Sep '24Dec '25Jun '26
Mar '23: 556
Sep '23: 831
Mar '24: 1,303
Jun '24: 1,712
Sep '24: 2,929
Mar '25: 4,131
Jun '25: 4,137
Sep '25: 4,656
Dec '25: 5,409
Mar '26: 12,910
Jun '26: 18,720

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-51.4%recovered 2026-02
1-year volatility56.3%annualised
Beta vs sector index0.983-year daily, correlation 0.44
Volume spikes4last 90 sessions, 5x the 50-day median

Monthly share price

₹180₹525₹869₹1,214 Jun '23Feb '24Oct '24Jun '25Feb '26Oct '26
2023-06: ₹180.00
2023-07: ₹185.05
2023-08: ₹288.00
2023-09: ₹282.45
2023-10: ₹300.00
2023-11: ₹307.65
2023-12: ₹378.00
2024-01: ₹384.75
2024-02: ₹385.00
2024-03: ₹353.05
2024-04: ₹425.50
2024-05: ₹676.85
2024-06: ₹1095.60
2024-07: ₹771.55
2024-08: ₹718.90
2024-09: ₹715.50
2024-10: ₹714.45
2024-11: ₹630.00
2024-12: ₹780.65
2025-01: ₹701.25
2025-02: ₹560.30
2025-03: ₹678.65
2025-04: ₹782.15
2025-05: ₹787.20
2025-06: ₹896.60
2025-07: ₹817.45
2025-08: ₹773.10
2025-09: ₹780.90
2025-10: ₹791.25
2025-11: ₹786.60
2025-12: ₹796.25
2026-01: ₹1069.25
2026-02: ₹1084.40
2026-03: ₹805.40
2026-04: ₹1077.55
2026-05: ₹1101.50
2026-06: ₹1207.40
2026-07: ₹1198.50
2026-08: ₹1004.80
2026-09: ₹1032.80
2026-10: ₹1213.60
₹180₹525₹869₹1,214 Jun '23Aug '24Oct '25Oct '26
2023-06: ₹180.00
2023-07: ₹185.05
2023-08: ₹288.00
2023-09: ₹282.45
2023-10: ₹300.00
2023-11: ₹307.65
2023-12: ₹378.00
2024-01: ₹384.75
2024-02: ₹385.00
2024-03: ₹353.05
2024-04: ₹425.50
2024-05: ₹676.85
2024-06: ₹1095.60
2024-07: ₹771.55
2024-08: ₹718.90
2024-09: ₹715.50
2024-10: ₹714.45
2024-11: ₹630.00
2024-12: ₹780.65
2025-01: ₹701.25
2025-02: ₹560.30
2025-03: ₹678.65
2025-04: ₹782.15
2025-05: ₹787.20
2025-06: ₹896.60
2025-07: ₹817.45
2025-08: ₹773.10
2025-09: ₹780.90
2025-10: ₹791.25
2025-11: ₹786.60
2025-12: ₹796.25
2026-01: ₹1069.25
2026-02: ₹1084.40
2026-03: ₹805.40
2026-04: ₹1077.55
2026-05: ₹1101.50
2026-06: ₹1207.40
2026-07: ₹1198.50
2026-08: ₹1004.80
2026-09: ₹1032.80
2026-10: ₹1213.60

Last 90 trading days

₹996₹1,109₹1,222₹1,335 Jun 23Jul 20Aug 13Sep 8Oct 6Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹1314.30
2026-06-25: ₹1275.00
2026-06-30: ₹1207.40
2026-07-02: ₹1213.70
2026-07-06: ₹1321.80
2026-07-08: ₹1282.70
2026-07-10: ₹1315.20
2026-07-14: ₹1278.80
2026-07-16: ₹1297.90
2026-07-20: ₹1302.50
2026-07-22: ₹1306.80
2026-07-24: ₹1316.80
2026-07-28: ₹1207.30
2026-07-30: ₹1191.10
2026-08-03: ₹1218.30
2026-08-05: ₹1140.10
2026-08-07: ₹1181.40
2026-08-11: ₹1161.20
2026-08-13: ₹1073.50
2026-08-17: ₹1062.50
2026-08-19: ₹1077.80
2026-08-21: ₹1026.80
2026-08-25: ₹1030.60
2026-08-27: ₹1031.00
2026-08-31: ₹1004.80
2026-09-02: ₹1007.40
2026-09-04: ₹1013.20
2026-09-08: ₹1111.60
2026-09-10: ₹1070.00
2026-09-15: ₹1027.80
2026-09-17: ₹1010.30
2026-09-21: ₹1037.60
2026-09-23: ₹1032.90
2026-09-25: ₹1006.80
2026-09-29: ₹1013.00
2026-10-01: ₹1000.90
2026-10-06: ₹1312.30
2026-10-08: ₹1240.80
2026-10-12: ₹1222.00
2026-10-14: ₹1242.00
2026-10-16: ₹1187.20
2026-10-21: ₹1103.20
2026-10-23: ₹1121.80
2026-10-27: ₹1172.50
2026-10-29: ₹1150.30
2026-10-30: ₹1213.60
₹996₹1,109₹1,222₹1,335 Jun 23Aug 5Sep 17Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹1314.30
2026-06-25: ₹1275.00
2026-06-30: ₹1207.40
2026-07-02: ₹1213.70
2026-07-06: ₹1321.80
2026-07-08: ₹1282.70
2026-07-10: ₹1315.20
2026-07-14: ₹1278.80
2026-07-16: ₹1297.90
2026-07-20: ₹1302.50
2026-07-22: ₹1306.80
2026-07-24: ₹1316.80
2026-07-28: ₹1207.30
2026-07-30: ₹1191.10
2026-08-03: ₹1218.30
2026-08-05: ₹1140.10
2026-08-07: ₹1181.40
2026-08-11: ₹1161.20
2026-08-13: ₹1073.50
2026-08-17: ₹1062.50
2026-08-19: ₹1077.80
2026-08-21: ₹1026.80
2026-08-25: ₹1030.60
2026-08-27: ₹1031.00
2026-08-31: ₹1004.80
2026-09-02: ₹1007.40
2026-09-04: ₹1013.20
2026-09-08: ₹1111.60
2026-09-10: ₹1070.00
2026-09-15: ₹1027.80
2026-09-17: ₹1010.30
2026-09-21: ₹1037.60
2026-09-23: ₹1032.90
2026-09-25: ₹1006.80
2026-09-29: ₹1013.00
2026-10-01: ₹1000.90
2026-10-06: ₹1312.30
2026-10-08: ₹1240.80
2026-10-12: ₹1222.00
2026-10-14: ₹1242.00
2026-10-16: ₹1187.20
2026-10-21: ₹1103.20
2026-10-23: ₹1121.80
2026-10-27: ₹1172.50
2026-10-29: ₹1150.30
2026-10-30: ₹1213.60

Drawdown from peak

0% -26% -51% Apr '22Jul '24Oct '26 0% -26% -51% Apr '22Jul '24Oct '26
Largest drawdowns

-51.4% (2024-06 peak to 2025-03 low, recovered 2026-02)

-51.3% (2022-04 peak to 2022-07 low, recovered 2022-09)

-30.7% (2026-03 peak to 2026-03 low, recovered 2026-05)

Most recent volume spikes

2026-10-30: 13.2x the 50-day median, price +5.5% that day

2026-10-06: 23.3x the 50-day median, price +9.3% that day

2026-10-05: 19.4x the 50-day median, price +20.0% that day

Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).

Where does it rank among Electronic Technology peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Electronic Technology peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

ROCE
Op. margin
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Nov '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Oct '26
Lower rank Higher rank

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Electronic Technology sector page Watch it move against Electronic Technology in the Observatory

What else looks like this?

Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.

CompanySectorSimilarityClosest on
NETWORK PEOPLE SERVICES TECH (NPST)Technology Services72%EPS growth, revenue
NINtec SYSTEMS (NINSYS)Technology Services65%operating margin, market cap
ANTELOPUS SELAN ENERGY (ANTELOPUS)Energy Minerals58%revenue growth, debt/equity
TIPS MUSIC (TIPSMUSIC)Consumer Services58%debt/equity, P/E
SHILCHAR TECHNOLOGIES (SHILCTECH)Producer Manufacturing57%promoter holding, volatility
PARAS DEFENCE AND SPACE TECH (PARAS)Electronic Technology46%operating margin, revenue growth
DATA PATTERNS INDIA (DATAPATTNS)Electronic Technology34%operating margin, debt/equity
AIMTRON ELECTRONICS (AIMTRON)Electronic Technology26%revenue, ROCE

Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.

What happened next to similar setups

−13.3%typical 12-month return vs the marketBelow the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like KRISHNA DEFENCE AND ALLIED LTD today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −32% to +27% vs the market, against −5% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The analogs' median sat below that base rate (gap −8.1%, 80% range −19.0% to −1.9%), but the matches cluster in only 6 distinct 12-month windows.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
FOCUS · Nov 2023: −50.7% vs market
NUCLEUS · Sep 2020: −46.8% vs market
SAKSOFT · Oct 2023: −45.5% vs market
NEWGEN · Jun 2021: −43.9% vs market
INFOBEAN · Jul 2022: −43.9% vs market
MIDHANI · Jun 2020: −42.5% vs market
VOLTAMP · Aug 2024: −40.0% vs market
MARKSANS · Apr 2021: −39.1% vs market
BETA · Mar 2025: −35.9% vs market
ADVENZYMES · Nov 2020: −34.2% vs market
NILASPACES · Oct 2025: −34.0% vs market
RHIM · Jan 2023: −33.1% vs market
WENDT · Sep 2023: −31.9% vs market
MPSLTD · May 2025: −31.1% vs market
TRITURBINE · Jan 2025: −29.4% vs market
ZTECH · Sep 2025: −28.1% vs market
AURIONPRO · Aug 2024: −25.7% vs market
ADFFOODS · Feb 2021: −25.6% vs market
RSYSTEMS · Dec 2021: −24.5% vs market
EXPLEOSOL · Mar 2022: −22.9% vs market
GARFIBRES · Jul 2025: −22.5% vs market
DHANUKA · Jun 2020: −16.9% vs market
LIKHITHA · Apr 2023: −16.8% vs market
VIDHIING · Apr 2022: −15.0% vs market
SHANTIGEAR · Jun 2023: −14.4% vs market
INM · Mar 2025: −12.2% vs market
CAPLIPOINT · Apr 2020: −12.1% vs market
VIMTALABS · Feb 2025: −11.5% vs market
ELECON · Jan 2024: −10.6% vs market
BDL · Oct 2022: −7.4% vs market
RAILTEL · Dec 2023: +1.6% vs market
CARERATING · Sep 2025: +5.6% vs market
KFINTECH · Oct 2024: +7.0% vs market
DENORA · Apr 2023: +16.5% vs market
NEULANDLAB · Aug 2024: +16.7% vs market
ACE · Jan 2024: +21.9% vs market
FCL · Jul 2022: +23.6% vs market
DATAPATTNS · Feb 2023: +27.4% vs market
SUPRIYA · Sep 2025: +29.8% vs market
COFORGE · May 2020: +39.6% vs market
EMUDHRA · Feb 2024: +49.6% vs market
BLS · Sep 2022: +52.2% vs market
INGERRAND · Jul 2022: +54.0% vs market
THYROCARE · Jun 2025: +66.2% vs market
STEELCAS · Oct 2025: +70.2% vs market
SJS · Aug 2025: +78.7% vs market
AEROFLEX · Jun 2025: +121.4% vs market
RPEL · Oct 2025: +133.3% vs market
TDPOWERSYS · Jun 2025: +147.6% vs market
ACUTAAS · Jun 2025: +207.8% vs market
Similar setups −13.3%All companies −5.2%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 4 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
−13.3%
All companies' median
−5.2%
Beat the market
40% vs 44%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 35 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
FCL
Process Industries
Jul 2022 42x30% +101%−6% +24%
SHANTIGEAR
Producer Manufacturing
Jun 2023 54x32% +117%−1% −14%
BETA
Health Technology
Mar 2025 53x33% +62%−11% −36%
SUPRIYA
Health Technology
Sep 2025 33x27% +30%−10% +30%
MPSLTD
Consumer Services
May 2025 34x36% +54%−10% −31%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
TDPOWERSYS
Producer Manufacturing
Jun 2025 45x30% +41%−8% +148%
NEWGEN
Technology Services
Jun 2021 35x28% +327%0% −44%
THYROCARE
Health Services
Jun 2025 57x25% +56%−6% +66%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: drawdown from 12-month high, 12-month momentum and revenue growth. Not used (unavailable for this company): interest cover. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to KRISHNA DEFENCE AND ALLIED LTD. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-10-30. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 97,430 company-months from 2000 companies; financial: 5,632 company-months from 106 companies. 2240 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.
Monthly history (41 months)
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-1041.9x₹235 cr22.3%31.0%0.0x
2026-0935.6x₹235 cr22.2%31.0%0.0x
2026-0836.1x₹245 cr21.1%31.0%0.0x
2026-0743.1x₹245 cr21.1%31.0%0.0x
2026-0643.4x₹245 cr21.1%31.0%0.0x
2026-0544.9x₹226 cr26.7%24.0%0.1x
2026-0443.9x₹226 cr26.7%24.0%0.1x
2026-0332.8x₹226 cr26.7%24.0%0.1x
2026-0252.7x₹214 cr22.1%24.0%0.1x
2026-0151.9x₹214 cr22.1%24.0%0.1x
2025-1238.7x₹214 cr22.1%24.0%0.1x
2025-1149.7x₹190 cr16.8%24.0%0.1x
2025-1050.0x₹190 cr16.8%24.0%0.1x
2025-0949.3x₹190 cr16.8%24.0%0.1x
2025-0848.8x₹190 cr16.8%24.0%0.1x
2025-0751.6x₹190 cr16.8%24.0%0.1x
2025-0656.6x₹190 cr16.8%24.0%0.1x
2025-05109.9x₹106 cr9.3%17.0%0.1x
2025-04109.2x₹106 cr9.3%17.0%0.1x
2025-0394.8x₹106 cr9.3%17.0%0.1x
2025-0278.3x₹106 cr9.3%17.0%0.1x
2025-0197.9x₹106 cr9.3%17.0%0.1x
2024-12109.0x₹106 cr9.3%17.0%0.1x
2024-1188.0x₹106 cr9.3%17.0%0.1x
2024-1099.8x₹106 cr9.3%17.0%0.1x
2024-0999.9x₹106 cr9.3%17.0%0.1x
2024-08100.4x₹106 cr9.3%17.0%0.1x
2024-07107.8x₹106 cr9.3%17.0%0.1x
2024-06153.0x₹106 cr9.3%17.0%0.1x
2024-05146.2x₹64 cr12.5%—0.5x
2024-0491.9x₹64 cr12.5%—0.5x
2024-0376.3x₹64 cr12.5%—0.5x
2024-0283.2x₹64 cr12.5%—0.5x
2024-0183.1x₹64 cr12.5%—0.5x
2023-1281.6x₹64 cr12.5%—0.5x
2023-1166.4x₹64 cr12.5%—0.5x
2023-1064.8x₹64 cr12.5%—0.5x
2023-0961.0x₹64 cr12.5%—0.5x
2023-0862.2x₹64 cr12.5%—0.5x
2023-0740.0x₹64 cr12.5%—0.5x
2023-0638.9x₹64 cr12.5%—0.5x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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