Share price
₹496.1 latest close · +11.6% over the last 90 sessions
₹496.1 month-end · +4.7% over 12 months
₹496.1 month-end · +0.7% over 3 years
₹496.1 month-end · +307.3% since Jan '19
52-week range ₹384.00 to ₹743.00 · 1-year volatility 41.8%
Was the rally earned?
- The share price was roughly flat over 1 year (+5%).
- The share count barely moved.
- The share price was roughly flat over 3 years (+1%).
- The share count barely moved.
Mostly yes.
- Per-share earnings added 224 points to the rise, while the multiple moved less (P/E 56.1x to 59.7x).
- The share count barely moved.
What do "pts" mean?
"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.
Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.
Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.
How rough has the ride been?
Drawdown from peak
Largest drawdowns
-57.6% (2019-01 peak to 2020-03 low, recovered 2021-02)
-43.6% (2024-07 peak to 2026-08 low, recovered 2026-09)
-35.3% (2026-09 peak to 2026-10 low, not yet recovered)
Most recent volume spikes
2026-09-16: 10.5x the 50-day median, price +1.8% that day
2026-09-15: 5.2x the 50-day median, price -5.0% that day
2026-09-11: 7.5x the 50-day median, price -1.4% that day
Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).
Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?
Usual range 25.2x to 68.1x since 2019-01.
102% above the Producer Manufacturing median.
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How to read this
Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dotted line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).
Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.
Where does it rank among Producer Manufacturing peers?
Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Producer Manufacturing peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).
Where it ranks today
- ROCE85th▼ 7 pts vs a year ago
- Op. margin59th▼ 32 pts vs a year ago
- Revenue growth6th▼ 43 pts vs a year ago
- EPS growth16th▼ 47 pts vs a year ago
- Debt/equity ↓98thflat vs a year ago
- Cash cycle ↓39th▼ 11 pts vs a year ago
- P/E ↓18th▼ 25 pts vs a year ago
- 12M momentum59thflat vs a year ago
Rank history
Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.
The Producer Manufacturing sector page Watch it move against Producer Manufacturing in the Observatory
What is the price implying?
At normalised P/E (five-year average earnings) of 52.5x, a holder earning 12%/yr needs earnings to grow about 24.6%/yr for 10 years, then trade at 15x.
Over time
Implied growth by month (solid) and delivered growth (dashed).
Change the assumptions
| Exit P/E / return | 11% | 12% | 13% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12x | 25.9% | 27.1% | 28.2% |
| 15x | 23.5% | 24.6% | 25.7% |
| 20x | 20.4% | 21.4% | 22.5% |
Drag a slider to test other assumptions
Implied: 24.6%/yrLooking back
- Jan 2020Price implied 20%/yr; EPS has since grown 13%/yr (7.0 yrs)
- Jan 2021Price implied 20%/yr; EPS has since grown 21%/yr (6.0 yrs)
- Jan 2022Price implied 22%/yr; EPS has since grown 31%/yr (5.0 yrs)
Past comparisons cover only companies listed today (survivorship bias) and say nothing about future outcomes.
“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect. How this is calculated and the market-wide lists.
What prices imply across Producer Manufacturing The market-wide Expectations lists
Key figures
- Share Priceclose 9 Nov
- ₹496.10
- P/E
- 59.7x
- ROCE
- 26.0%
- Market Cap
- ₹3807 cr
- Revenue (TTM)
- ₹499 cr
- P/S
- 7.6x
- P/B
- 8.7x
- ROE
- 14.5%
- Operating Margin
- 13.0%
- Debt / Equity
- 0.0x
- Promoter Holding
- 70.5%
- 12M Momentum
- 4.7%
52-week range
Price risk
Balance sheet & cash
Are profits backed by cash?
Other income reliance18%Near threshold
Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 18.4%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.
Tax rate25%Within range
Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 25.0%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.
Cash conversion0.77xNear threshold
Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 0.77x (cash from operations ₹197 cr, net profit ₹255 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.
Free cash flow5 of 5 yrsWithin range
Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 5. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.
Receivable days vs history+1 daysWithin range
Debtor days are above the median of the previous three fiscal years by 1 days (81 vs 80). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.
Capital work in progress25% of fixed assetsWithin range
Capital work-in-progress is 25% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.
Payable days+29 days / 2 yrsWithin range
Days payable changed by +29 over two years. Bands: rise of up to 30 days; more than 30 days.
Tap a check to see how it is measured
How to read this
Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.
Who has been buying and selling?
- Over 3 years, institutional and promoter holdings were broadly unchanged.
Holdings, Jun '26
How each group changed
Number of shareholders
Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.
What happened next to similar setups
- We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like SHANTHI GEARS LTD today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
- Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −20% to +37% vs the market, against −5% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
- The gap against the base rate (+4.2%, 80% range −7.7% to +10.7%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.
Where the 50 outcomes landed
Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 2 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge
50 past situations · 50 companies · 36 months · 2020–2025
The closest matches
| Company | When | P/E | ROCE | 12M mom. | Drawdown | Next 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BASF Process Industries |
Feb 2020 | 44x | 25% | −22% | −31% | +38% |
| VSTIND Consumer Non-Durables |
Jan 2025 | 84x | 34% | −5% | −33% | −31% |
| TRITURBINE Producer Manufacturing |
Dec 2021 | 60x | 25% | +133% | −14% | +33% |
| SAREGAMA Consumer Services |
Apr 2022 | 61x | 34% | +131% | −21% | −21% |
| BDL Electronic Technology |
Aug 2023 | 59x | 16% | +38% | −9% | +57% |
Show the other 3 matches
| Company | When | P/E | ROCE | 12M mom. | Drawdown | Next 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DIACABS Producer Manufacturing |
May 2025 | 145x | — | +18% | −39% | +68% |
| DENTALKART Retail Trade |
May 2025 | 51x | — | +13% | −25% | −30% |
| PRIMESECU Finance |
Nov 2021 | 34x | 21% | +110% | −18% | −13% |
How reliable is this?
Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: 12-month momentum, P/S and size. Not used (unavailable for this company): interest cover. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.
Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.
What else looks like this?
Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.
Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.
What changed?
30 events since Aug '22
- OctPriceFell 35% from the Sep 2026 peak to the Oct 2026 low.
- SepPriceRegained the 2024-07 peak, 1 month after the low.
- SepValuationP/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (69.8x).
- SepPeer rankSlipped to the 2nd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on operating margin (from the top quartile).
- AugPriceFell 44% from the Jul 2024 peak to the Aug 2026 low.
- AugPriceVolume reached 773.6x its 50-day median on 2026-08-24; price +18.3% that day.
- JunPeer rankSlipped to the bottom quartile of Producer Manufacturing on EPS growth (from the 3rd quartile).
- MayPriceVolume reached 10.3x its 50-day median on 2026-05-05; price -4.5% that day.
Show 22 earlier events
- MarResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
- MarPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on EPS growth (from the 2nd quartile).
- JanPriceVolume reached 34.5x its 50-day median on 2026-01-22; price +14.2% that day.
- OctPriceVolume reached 21.2x its 50-day median on 2025-10-20; price +2.9% that day.
- JulPriceVolume reached 13.9x its 50-day median on 2025-07-24; price +3.9% that day.
- AprPriceVolume reached 10.8x its 50-day median on 2025-04-24; price -4.2% that day.
- JanPriceVolume reached 19.4x its 50-day median on 2025-01-30; price +17.1% that day.
- OctPriceVolume reached 8.0x its 50-day median on 2024-10-22; price -0.4% that day.
- JulPriceVolume reached 13.0x its 50-day median on 2024-07-01; price +3.1% that day.
- JunResultsRevenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹536 cr.
- JunPeer rankSlipped to the 2nd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on EPS growth (from the top quartile).
- MayPriceVolume reached 13.1x its 50-day median on 2024-05-09; price -1.7% that day.
- JanPriceVolume reached 14.9x its 50-day median on 2024-01-04; price -7.7% that day.
- NovPriceVolume reached 43.0x its 50-day median on 2023-11-22; price +17.8% that day.
- SepPriceVolume reached 10.1x its 50-day median on 2023-09-01; price +8.0% that day.
- JunResultsRevenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹446 cr.
- MayValuationP/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (78.1x).
- MayPriceVolume reached 27.6x its 50-day median on 2023-05-15; price +10.5% that day.
- MarPriceVolume reached 6.9x its 50-day median on 2023-03-21; price +4.2% that day.
- OctValuationP/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (70.2x).
- AugPriceRegained the 2022-05 peak, 2 months after the low.
- AugPriceVolume reached 22.7x its 50-day median on 2022-08-23; price +18.0% that day.
Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.
Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month
Monthly history60 months · 2021-12 to 2026-11
| Month | P/E | Revenue (TTM) | ROE | ROCE | Debt / Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 59.7x | ₹499 cr | 14.5% | 26.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-10 | 56.5x | ₹499 cr | 14.5% | 26.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-09 | 69.8x | ₹499 cr | 14.5% | 26.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-08 | 52.6x | ₹519 cr | 17.5% | 26.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-07 | 41.3x | ₹519 cr | 17.5% | 26.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-06 | 44.4x | ₹519 cr | 17.5% | 26.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-05 | 40.8x | ₹537 cr | 20.6% | 35.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-04 | 44.5x | ₹537 cr | 20.6% | 35.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-03 | 39.9x | ₹537 cr | 20.6% | 35.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-02 | 37.1x | ₹578 cr | 23.1% | 35.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-01 | 37.3x | ₹578 cr | 23.1% | 35.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-12 | 38.8x | ₹578 cr | 23.1% | 35.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-11 | 37.4x | ₹601 cr | 24.1% | 35.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-10 | 38.8x | ₹601 cr | 24.1% | 35.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-09 | 41.0x | ₹601 cr | 24.1% | 35.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-08 | 44.7x | ₹605 cr | 23.8% | 35.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-07 | 44.3x | ₹605 cr | 23.8% | 35.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-06 | 39.3x | ₹605 cr | 23.8% | 35.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-05 | 38.3x | ₹606 cr | 28.9% | 33.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-04 | 36.7x | ₹606 cr | 28.9% | 33.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-03 | 36.4x | ₹606 cr | 28.9% | 33.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-02 | 36.0x | ₹574 cr | 26.3% | 33.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-01 | 42.4x | ₹574 cr | 26.3% | 33.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-12 | 43.0x | ₹574 cr | 26.3% | 33.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-11 | 46.8x | ₹554 cr | 24.9% | 33.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-10 | 49.9x | ₹554 cr | 24.9% | 33.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-09 | 56.4x | ₹554 cr | 24.9% | 33.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-08 | 56.1x | ₹536 cr | 23.7% | 33.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-07 | 59.8x | ₹536 cr | 23.7% | 33.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-06 | 55.1x | ₹536 cr | 23.7% | 33.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-05 | 59.7x | ₹446 cr | 22.1% | 32.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-04 | 64.6x | ₹446 cr | 22.1% | 32.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-03 | 63.4x | ₹446 cr | 22.1% | 32.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-02 | 59.5x | ₹446 cr | 22.1% | 32.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-01 | 62.5x | ₹446 cr | 22.1% | 32.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-12 | 68.7x | ₹446 cr | 22.1% | 32.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-11 | 56.4x | ₹446 cr | 22.1% | 32.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-10 | 52.0x | ₹446 cr | 22.1% | 32.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-09 | 52.3x | ₹446 cr | 22.1% | 32.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-08 | 52.1x | ₹446 cr | 22.1% | 32.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-07 | 52.5x | ₹446 cr | 22.1% | 32.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-06 | 53.9x | ₹446 cr | 22.1% | 32.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-05 | 78.1x | ₹337 cr | 16.2% | 24.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-04 | 64.7x | ₹337 cr | 16.2% | 24.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-03 | 66.3x | ₹337 cr | 16.2% | 24.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-02 | 61.9x | ₹337 cr | 16.2% | 24.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-01 | 62.5x | ₹337 cr | 16.2% | 24.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-12 | 62.3x | ₹337 cr | 16.2% | 24.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-11 | 68.4x | ₹337 cr | 16.2% | 24.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-10 | 70.2x | ₹337 cr | 16.2% | 24.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-09 | 59.8x | ₹337 cr | 16.2% | 24.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-08 | 51.4x | ₹337 cr | 16.2% | 24.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-07 | 42.6x | ₹337 cr | 16.2% | 24.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-06 | 39.2x | ₹337 cr | 16.2% | 24.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-05 | 96.6x | ₹216 cr | 8.4% | 11.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-04 | 89.4x | ₹216 cr | 8.4% | 11.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-03 | 68.5x | ₹216 cr | 8.4% | 11.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-02 | 71.0x | ₹216 cr | 8.4% | 11.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-01 | 59.0x | ₹216 cr | 8.4% | 11.0% | 0.0x |
| 2021-12 | 56.2x | ₹216 cr | 8.4% | 11.0% | 0.0x |
Older months are in the live observatory.