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LE MERITE EXPORTS LIMITED (LEMERITE)

Process Industries

Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.28 / 100
Profitability 23Growth 23Balance sheet 37

Passes these screens: Cash Rich

Share Price
₹20.79
P/E
90.4x
ROCE
10.0%
Market Cap
₹260 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹337 cr
P/S
0.8x
P/B
1.9x
ROE
2.1%
Operating Margin
-10.7%
Debt / Equity
0.7x
Promoter Holding
59.6%
12M Momentum
-78.7%
P/E vs its own history61st percentilesince May '22
P/E vs Process Industries5.0xthe sector median

52-week range

₹17.73₹107.55
3% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
54.0%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
0.41

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
1.6x
Cash from profit, 3Y
operating cash flow ÷ net profit
1.60x
Share count, 1Y
+4.2%

Was the rally earned?

-79%share price, 1 yearEarnings and multiple

Both mattered.

  • Per-share earnings took off 34 points and the multiple took off 45 points (P/E 217.1x to 90.4x).
  • The share count fell 3%.
1 year Net profit growth: -36 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).-36 ptsP/E change: -45 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-45 ptsShare count change: +2 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. -79% 1 year Net profit growth: -36 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).-36 ptsP/E change: -45 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-45 ptsShare count change: +2 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. -79%
Net profit growth-36 ptsNet profit fell about 51%, which lowers the price.
P/E change-45 ptsThe P/E fell from 217.1x to 90.4x, which lowers the price.
Share count change+2 ptsShare count fell 3%, which lifts the price.
+126%share price, 3 yearsMultiple-driven

Partly.

  • Most of the rise came from investors paying a higher multiple (P/E 24.9x to 90.4x); per-share earnings took off 73 points.
  • The share count rose 9%.
3 years Net profit growth: -61 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).-61 ptsP/E change: +199 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.+199 ptsShare count change: -13 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. +126% 3 years Net profit growth: -61 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).-61 ptsP/E change: +199 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.+199 ptsShare count change: -13 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. +126%
Net profit growth-61 ptsNet profit fell about 32%, which lowers the price.
P/E change+199 ptsThe P/E rose from 24.9x to 90.4x, which lifts the price.
Share count change-13 ptsShare count rose 9%, which lowers the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Not shown for 5 years: earnings were negative at one end, or there is not enough history.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare this with VARDHMAN TEXTILES LIMTED

Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?

90.4xP/E todayWithin its usual range
Against its own history61st percentileMedian 38.1x; usual range 5.0x to 351.1x since 2022-05.
Against Process Industries90.4x vs 18.0xAbove the Process Industries median.
3.4x141.5x279.6x417.7xMay '22Apr '23Mar '24Feb '25Jan '26Oct '263.4x141.5x279.6x417.7xMay '22Nov '23May '25Oct '26
P/E (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianProcess Industries median

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P/B (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianProcess Industries median

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P/S (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianProcess Industries median
How to read this

Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dashed line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).

Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.

All terms explained in the glossary →

How Process Industries is valued

What is the price implying?

~19%annual earnings growth implied by the price

At a P/E of 28.4x, the price would imply about 18.9%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.

Below the ₹1,000 cr market-cap floor used for the lists.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Process Industries The market-wide Expectations lists

What changed?

  1. Sep '26Year-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
  2. Sep '26Fell 82% from the Dec 2025 peak to the Sep 2026 low.
  3. Sep '26Slipped to the bottom quartile of Process Industries on EPS growth (from the top quartile).
  4. Mar '26Slipped to the bottom quartile of Process Industries on operating margin (from the 3rd quartile).
  5. Jun '25Promoter holding fell 10.8 pts to 62.2%.
  6. Jun '25Year-on-year EPS growth turned positive.
  7. Jun '25Moved into the 3rd quartile of Process Industries on ROCE (from the bottom quartile).
  8. Jun '25Dividend payout cut from 27% to 0% of profit.
Show 10 earlier events
  1. Jun '24Regained the 2022-05 peak, 15 months after the low.
  2. May '24P/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (45.7x).
  3. Feb '24Debt / equity halved over 12 months to 0.92x.
  4. Jul '23Debt / equity halved over 12 months to 0.92x.
  5. Jun '23Year-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
  6. Jun '23Slipped to the bottom quartile of Process Industries on ROCE (from the top quartile).
  7. Jun '23Debt / equity fell below 1.0x (0.92x).
  8. May '23Share count is up 200.0% over 12 months.
  9. Mar '23Fell 54% from the May 2022 peak to the Mar 2023 low.
  10. Jun '22Started paying a dividend (payout 8% of profit).

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Are profits backed by cash?

5 of 7 checks are within range, 1 near a threshold, 1 beyond a threshold.
Tap a check to see how it is measured.

Other income reliance300%Beyond threshold

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 300.0%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate22%Within range

Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 21.5%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.

Cash conversion1.60xWithin range

Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 1.60x (cash from operations ₹32 cr, net profit ₹20 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.

Free cash flow2 of 5 yrsNear threshold

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 2. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history+5 daysWithin range

Debtor days are above the median of the previous three fiscal years by 5 days (85 vs 80). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.

Capital work in progress69% of fixed assetsWithin range

Capital work-in-progress is 69% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days+3 days / 2 yrsWithin range

Days payable changed by +3 over two years. Bands: rise of up to 30 days; more than 30 days.

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Over 3 years, promoters trimmed 13.1 pts.
  • The number of shareholders rose from 1,646 to 4,441 (+170%) between Jun 2022 and Jun 2026.

Holdings, Jun '26

How each group changed

GroupJun '22Jun '26Change
Promoters72.7%59.6%-13.1 pts
FIIs0.0%0.0%0.0 pts
DIIs0.2%0.0%-0.2 pts
Public and others27.1%40.3%+13.3 pts

Number of shareholders

4,441shareholders+170% since Jun '22
1k2k3k4k Jun '22Sep '23Sep '24Sep '25Mar '26Jun '26
Jun '22: 1,646
Sep '22: 1,657
Sep '23: 1,700
Mar '24: 1,484
Sep '24: 1,027
Mar '25: 1,225
Sep '25: 1,465
Dec '25: 1,715
Mar '26: 1,700
Jun '26: 4,441
1k2k3k4k Jun '22Mar '24Sep '25Jun '26
Jun '22: 1,646
Sep '22: 1,657
Sep '23: 1,700
Mar '24: 1,484
Sep '24: 1,027
Mar '25: 1,225
Sep '25: 1,465
Dec '25: 1,715
Mar '26: 1,700
Jun '26: 4,441

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-82.2%not yet recovered
1-year volatility54.0%annualised

Monthly share price

₹8₹39₹69₹99 May '22Apr '23Mar '24Feb '25Jan '26Oct '26
2022-05: ₹14.60
2022-06: ₹13.80
2022-07: ₹14.25
2022-08: ₹13.60
2022-09: ₹14.45
2022-10: ₹13.10
2022-11: ₹12.95
2022-12: ₹11.80
2023-01: ₹12.05
2023-02: ₹10.70
2023-03: ₹8.35
2023-04: ₹11.75
2023-05: ₹9.65
2023-06: ₹9.00
2023-07: ₹9.45
2023-08: ₹11.05
2023-09: ₹9.45
2023-10: ₹9.20
2023-11: ₹9.60
2023-12: ₹8.40
2024-01: ₹10.20
2024-02: ₹11.30
2024-03: ₹12.30
2024-04: ₹15.00
2024-05: ₹16.90
2024-06: ₹28.05
2024-07: ₹37.10
2024-08: ₹39.65
2024-09: ₹37.65
2024-10: ₹43.75
2024-11: ₹46.75
2024-12: ₹55.20
2025-01: ₹61.90
2025-02: ₹59.70
2025-03: ₹59.00
2025-04: ₹61.95
2025-05: ₹62.65
2025-06: ₹61.30
2025-07: ₹64.95
2025-08: ₹72.75
2025-09: ₹87.40
2025-10: ₹97.70
2025-11: ₹99.20
2025-12: ₹94.25
2026-01: ₹91.00
2026-02: ₹90.90
2026-03: ₹88.05
2026-04: ₹88.00
2026-05: ₹38.05
2026-06: ₹23.25
2026-07: ₹23.27
2026-08: ₹21.24
2026-09: ₹19.93
2026-10: ₹20.79
₹8₹39₹69₹99 May '22Nov '23May '25Oct '26
2022-05: ₹14.60
2022-06: ₹13.80
2022-07: ₹14.25
2022-08: ₹13.60
2022-09: ₹14.45
2022-10: ₹13.10
2022-11: ₹12.95
2022-12: ₹11.80
2023-01: ₹12.05
2023-02: ₹10.70
2023-03: ₹8.35
2023-04: ₹11.75
2023-05: ₹9.65
2023-06: ₹9.00
2023-07: ₹9.45
2023-08: ₹11.05
2023-09: ₹9.45
2023-10: ₹9.20
2023-11: ₹9.60
2023-12: ₹8.40
2024-01: ₹10.20
2024-02: ₹11.30
2024-03: ₹12.30
2024-04: ₹15.00
2024-05: ₹16.90
2024-06: ₹28.05
2024-07: ₹37.10
2024-08: ₹39.65
2024-09: ₹37.65
2024-10: ₹43.75
2024-11: ₹46.75
2024-12: ₹55.20
2025-01: ₹61.90
2025-02: ₹59.70
2025-03: ₹59.00
2025-04: ₹61.95
2025-05: ₹62.65
2025-06: ₹61.30
2025-07: ₹64.95
2025-08: ₹72.75
2025-09: ₹87.40
2025-10: ₹97.70
2025-11: ₹99.20
2025-12: ₹94.25
2026-01: ₹91.00
2026-02: ₹90.90
2026-03: ₹88.05
2026-04: ₹88.00
2026-05: ₹38.05
2026-06: ₹23.25
2026-07: ₹23.27
2026-08: ₹21.24
2026-09: ₹19.93
2026-10: ₹20.79

Last 90 trading days

₹18₹21₹24₹26 Jun 23Jul 20Aug 13Sep 8Oct 6Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹26.38
2026-06-25: ₹24.28
2026-06-30: ₹23.25
2026-07-02: ₹20.99
2026-07-06: ₹23.11
2026-07-08: ₹22.29
2026-07-10: ₹22.69
2026-07-14: ₹22.90
2026-07-16: ₹20.99
2026-07-20: ₹20.96
2026-07-22: ₹20.34
2026-07-24: ₹20.50
2026-07-28: ₹22.35
2026-07-30: ₹23.36
2026-08-03: ₹23.26
2026-08-05: ₹23.38
2026-08-07: ₹23.41
2026-08-11: ₹23.35
2026-08-13: ₹23.24
2026-08-17: ₹23.25
2026-08-19: ₹23.54
2026-08-21: ₹22.78
2026-08-25: ₹22.90
2026-08-27: ₹21.81
2026-08-31: ₹21.24
2026-09-02: ₹20.38
2026-09-04: ₹20.93
2026-09-08: ₹20.67
2026-09-10: ₹20.71
2026-09-15: ₹20.06
2026-09-17: ₹18.74
2026-09-21: ₹18.35
2026-09-23: ₹19.88
2026-09-25: ₹21.06
2026-09-29: ₹19.95
2026-10-01: ₹19.28
2026-10-06: ₹19.80
2026-10-08: ₹18.77
2026-10-12: ₹18.79
2026-10-14: ₹21.58
2026-10-16: ₹20.60
2026-10-21: ₹19.23
2026-10-23: ₹18.88
2026-10-27: ₹19.46
2026-10-29: ₹19.63
2026-10-30: ₹20.79
₹18₹21₹24₹26 Jun 23Aug 5Sep 17Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹26.38
2026-06-25: ₹24.28
2026-06-30: ₹23.25
2026-07-02: ₹20.99
2026-07-06: ₹23.11
2026-07-08: ₹22.29
2026-07-10: ₹22.69
2026-07-14: ₹22.90
2026-07-16: ₹20.99
2026-07-20: ₹20.96
2026-07-22: ₹20.34
2026-07-24: ₹20.50
2026-07-28: ₹22.35
2026-07-30: ₹23.36
2026-08-03: ₹23.26
2026-08-05: ₹23.38
2026-08-07: ₹23.41
2026-08-11: ₹23.35
2026-08-13: ₹23.24
2026-08-17: ₹23.25
2026-08-19: ₹23.54
2026-08-21: ₹22.78
2026-08-25: ₹22.90
2026-08-27: ₹21.81
2026-08-31: ₹21.24
2026-09-02: ₹20.38
2026-09-04: ₹20.93
2026-09-08: ₹20.67
2026-09-10: ₹20.71
2026-09-15: ₹20.06
2026-09-17: ₹18.74
2026-09-21: ₹18.35
2026-09-23: ₹19.88
2026-09-25: ₹21.06
2026-09-29: ₹19.95
2026-10-01: ₹19.28
2026-10-06: ₹19.80
2026-10-08: ₹18.77
2026-10-12: ₹18.79
2026-10-14: ₹21.58
2026-10-16: ₹20.60
2026-10-21: ₹19.23
2026-10-23: ₹18.88
2026-10-27: ₹19.46
2026-10-29: ₹19.63
2026-10-30: ₹20.79

Drawdown from peak

0% -41% -82% May '22Aug '24Oct '26 0% -41% -82% May '22Aug '24Oct '26
Largest drawdowns

-82.2% (2025-12 peak to 2026-09 low, not yet recovered)

-53.9% (2022-05 peak to 2023-03 low, recovered 2024-06)

Where does it rank among Process Industries peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Process Industries peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

ROCE
Op. margin
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Nov '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Oct '26
Lower rank Higher rank

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Process Industries sector page Watch it move against Process Industries in the Observatory

What happened next to similar setups

−15.6%typical 12-month return vs the marketBelow the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like LE MERITE EXPORTS LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −34% to +13% vs the market, against −6% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The analogs' median sat below that base rate (gap −9.8%, 80% range −18.0% to −1.9%), but the matches cluster in only 5 distinct 12-month windows.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
GSTL · Jul 2024: −73.9% vs market
QUICKTOUCH · Sep 2025: −67.3% vs market
VINNY · Feb 2024: −62.8% vs market
OSWALSEEDS · Mar 2024: −61.4% vs market
RILINFRA · Jul 2023: −60.6% vs market
KAMOPAINTS · Aug 2025: −59.2% vs market
ISHAN · Feb 2025: −59.2% vs market
PENINLAND · May 2025: −43.5% vs market
PLAZACABLE · Oct 2024: −40.3% vs market
LOYALTEX · Aug 2023: −37.8% vs market
EVERESTIND · Dec 2024: −36.5% vs market
KSHITIJPOL · Apr 2024: −36.4% vs market
NGIL · Jul 2023: −34.5% vs market
COASTCORP · Aug 2023: −32.3% vs market
ARVINDFASN · May 2020: −32.0% vs market
ACLGATI · Jul 2024: −31.3% vs market
BIRLACABLE · Oct 2024: −30.4% vs market
ALANKIT · Jun 2022: −29.0% vs market
SHRENIK · Jun 2023: −23.8% vs market
AATMAJ · Aug 2024: −23.7% vs market
OAL · Jun 2023: −23.5% vs market
INCREDIBLE · Aug 2020: −22.7% vs market
TOTAL · Aug 2024: −17.8% vs market
DUCON · Jun 2023: −16.1% vs market
THEINVEST · Dec 2021: −16.1% vs market
GREENCHEF · Aug 2024: −15.1% vs market
GOYALALUM · Apr 2024: −10.1% vs market
HTMEDIA · Jan 2020: −8.5% vs market
STLTECH · Jul 2022: −7.3% vs market
ASTEC · Jan 2024: −6.3% vs market
AKASH · Jul 2023: −4.4% vs market
KHADIM · Jun 2022: −1.8% vs market
SADHNANIQ · Sep 2025: +0.8% vs market
KECL · Jul 2025: +1.6% vs market
EXXARO · Aug 2024: +2.1% vs market
MEGASTAR · Nov 2024: +7.5% vs market
AHLADA · Jul 2022: +11.9% vs market
RAMASTEEL · Jul 2024: +13.0% vs market
CAPACITE · Mar 2022: +14.4% vs market
HINDWAREAP · Sep 2024: +15.7% vs market
STYRENIX · Jun 2022: +16.7% vs market
ISFT · Jun 2020: +34.1% vs market
DPSCLTD · Nov 2022: +38.6% vs market
LOKESHMACH · Apr 2025: +38.9% vs market
DBOL · Feb 2025: +39.5% vs market
PCJEWELLER · May 2020: +43.6% vs market
DCAL · Sep 2022: +45.2% vs market
HIMATSEIDE · Jun 2020: +82.1% vs market
RKFORGE · Jun 2020: +149.0% vs market
SOMANYCERA · Aug 2020: +173.5% vs market
Similar setups −15.6%All companies −5.8%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 2 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
−15.6%
All companies' median
−5.8%
Beat the market
36% vs 44%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 29 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
RKFORGE
Producer Manufacturing
Jun 2020 55x5% −63%−67% +149%
CAPACITE
Industrial Services
Mar 2022 476x6% −46%−55% +14%
NGIL
Consumer Non-Durables
Jul 2023 102x9% −68%−69% −35%
KSHITIJPOL
Miscellaneous
Apr 2024 176x6% −65%−73% −36%
VINNY
Process Industries
Feb 2024 72x10% −69%−69% −63%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
INCREDIBLE
Non-Energy Minerals
Aug 2020 101x4% −74%−82% −23%
EXXARO
Producer Manufacturing
Aug 2024 165x5% −37%−44% +2%
ASTEC
Process Industries
Jan 2024 84x8% −30%−43% −6%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: interest cover, ROCE and P/S. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 5 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to LE MERITE EXPORTS LIMITED. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-10-30. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 97,430 company-months from 2000 companies; financial: 5,632 company-months from 106 companies. 2240 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.
Monthly history (54 months)
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-1090.4x₹337 cr2.1%10.0%0.7x
2026-0986.7x₹337 cr2.1%10.0%0.7x
2026-0822.6x₹357 cr8.2%10.0%0.7x
2026-0724.8x₹357 cr8.2%10.0%0.7x
2026-0624.7x₹357 cr8.2%10.0%0.7x
2026-0535.6x₹408 cr11.4%8.0%0.9x
2026-0482.2x₹408 cr11.4%8.0%0.9x
2026-0382.3x₹408 cr11.4%8.0%0.9x
2026-0298.8x₹430 cr9.8%8.0%0.9x
2026-0198.9x₹430 cr9.8%8.0%0.9x
2025-12102.4x₹430 cr9.8%8.0%0.9x
2025-11220.4x₹518 cr5.2%8.0%0.9x
2025-10217.1x₹518 cr5.2%8.0%0.9x
2025-09194.2x₹518 cr5.2%8.0%0.9x
2025-08161.7x₹518 cr5.2%8.0%0.9x
2025-07144.3x₹518 cr5.2%8.0%0.9x
2025-06136.2x₹518 cr5.2%8.0%0.9x
2025-05417.7x₹468 cr1.8%5.0%1.0x
2025-04413.0x₹468 cr1.8%5.0%1.0x
2025-03393.3x₹468 cr1.8%5.0%1.0x
2025-02398.0x₹468 cr1.8%5.0%1.0x
2025-01412.7x₹468 cr1.8%5.0%1.0x
2024-12368.0x₹468 cr1.8%5.0%1.0x
2024-11311.7x₹468 cr1.8%5.0%1.0x
2024-10291.7x₹468 cr1.8%5.0%1.0x
2024-09251.0x₹468 cr1.8%5.0%1.0x
2024-08264.3x₹468 cr1.8%5.0%1.0x
2024-07247.3x₹468 cr1.8%5.0%1.0x
2024-06187.0x₹468 cr1.8%5.0%1.0x
2024-0545.7x₹377 cr4.6%5.0%0.9x
2024-0440.5x₹377 cr4.6%5.0%0.9x
2024-0333.2x₹377 cr4.6%5.0%0.9x
2024-0230.5x₹377 cr4.6%5.0%0.9x
2024-0127.6x₹377 cr4.6%5.0%0.9x
2023-1222.7x₹377 cr4.6%5.0%0.9x
2023-1125.9x₹377 cr4.6%5.0%0.9x
2023-1024.9x₹377 cr4.6%5.0%0.9x
2023-0925.5x₹377 cr4.6%5.0%0.9x
2023-0829.9x₹377 cr4.6%5.0%0.9x
2023-0725.5x₹377 cr4.6%5.0%0.9x
2023-0624.3x₹377 cr4.6%5.0%0.9x
2023-053.9x₹525 cr45.2%28.0%2.2x
2023-044.8x₹525 cr45.2%28.0%2.2x
2023-033.4x₹525 cr45.2%28.0%2.2x
2023-024.3x₹525 cr45.2%28.0%2.2x
2023-014.9x₹525 cr45.2%28.0%2.2x
2022-124.8x₹525 cr45.2%28.0%2.2x
2022-115.2x₹525 cr45.2%28.0%2.2x
2022-105.3x₹525 cr45.2%28.0%2.2x
2022-095.9x₹525 cr45.2%28.0%2.2x
2022-085.5x₹525 cr45.2%28.0%2.2x
2022-075.8x₹525 cr45.2%28.0%2.2x
2022-065.6x₹525 cr45.2%28.0%2.2x
2022-0517.8x₹268 cr27.1%—2.2x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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