अApnaFunda

MOS UTILITY LIMITED (MOS)

Technology Services

Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.49 / 100
Profitability 39Growth 86Balance sheet 23

Passes these screens: Value Pick · Promoters buying · Consistent compounders

Share Price
₹7.95
P/E
11.4x
ROCE
19.0%
Market Cap
₹205 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹626 cr
P/S
0.3x
P/B
1.9x
ROE
17.0%
Operating Margin
4.3%
Debt / Equity
0.7x
Promoter Holding
55.7%
12M Momentum
-68.0%
P/E vs its own history5th percentilesince Jun '23
P/E vs Technology Services0.6xthe sector median

52-week range

₹5.10₹26.90
13% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
61.2%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
0.36

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
5.7x
Cash from profit, 3Y
operating cash flow ÷ net profit
0.18x
low
Share count, 1Y
+104.0%

Was the rally earned?

-68%share price, 1 yearLower P/E held it back

Earnings helped, the multiple did not.

  • Per-share earnings added 20 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 49.7x to 11.4x), which took 88 points back.
  • The share count rose 3%.
1 year Net profit growth: +22 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+22 ptsP/E change: -88 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-88 ptsShare count change: -2 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. -68% 1 year Net profit growth: +22 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+22 ptsP/E change: -88 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-88 ptsShare count change: -2 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. -68%
Net profit growth+22 ptsNet profit rose about 45%, which lifts the price.
P/E change-88 ptsThe P/E fell from 49.7x to 11.4x, which lowers the price.
Share count change-2 ptsShare count rose 3%, which lowers the price.
-18%share price, 3 yearsLower P/E held it back

Earnings helped, the multiple did not.

  • Per-share earnings added 77 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 32.3x to 11.4x), which took 95 points back.
  • The share count rose 34%.
3 years Net profit growth: +104 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+104 ptsP/E change: -95 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-95 ptsShare count change: -27 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price.-27 pts -18% 3 years Net profit growth: +104 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+104 ptsP/E change: -95 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-95 ptsShare count change: -27 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. -18%
Net profit growth+104 ptsNet profit rose about 213%, which lifts the price.
P/E change-95 ptsThe P/E fell from 32.3x to 11.4x, which lowers the price.
Share count change-27 ptsShare count rose 34%, which lowers the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Not shown for 5 years: earnings were negative at one end, or there is not enough history.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare this with INFO EDGE (INDIA)

Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?

11.4xP/E todayNear its historic low
Against its own history5th percentileMedian 42.5x; usual range 15.7x to 62.0x since 2023-06.
Against Technology Services11.4x vs 20.6xBelow the Technology Services median.
9.9x31.9x54.0x76.0xJun '23Feb '24Oct '24Jun '25Feb '26Oct '269.9x31.9x54.0x76.0xJun '23Aug '24Oct '25Oct '26
P/E (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianTechnology Services median

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P/B (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianTechnology Services median

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P/S (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianTechnology Services median
How to read this

Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dashed line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).

Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.

All terms explained in the glossary →

How Technology Services is valued

What is the price implying?

~9%annual earnings growth implied by the price

At a P/E of 11.4x, the price would imply about 8.9%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.

Fewer than six years of annual earnings are available, which is too little to measure delivered growth.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Technology Services The market-wide Expectations lists

What changed?

  1. Sep '26Promoter holding rose 4.6 pts to 55.7% (largest rise in the history since 2019-01).
  2. Sep '26FII + DII holding fell 4.0 pts over 1 quarter to 9.9%.
  3. Sep '26Fell 86% from the Sep 2024 peak to the Sep 2026 low.
  4. Jun '26Promoter holding rose 3.1 pts to 51.1%.
  5. Jun '26Share count is up 104.0% over 12 months.
  6. Mar '26P/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (14.1x).
  7. Dec '25Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹624 cr.
  8. Dec '25Moved into the top quartile of Technology Services on EPS growth (from the 2nd quartile).
Show 12 earlier events
  1. Jun '25Promoter holding fell 3.5 pts to 49.5% (largest drop since 2024-12).
  2. Jun '25Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹616 cr.
  3. Jun '25FII + DII holding rose 15.0 pts over 2 quarters to 16.0%.
  4. Jan '25Debt / equity halved over 12 months to 0.07x.
  5. Dec '24Promoter holding fell 11.6 pts to 53.1%.
  6. Sep '24Slipped to the 2nd quartile of Technology Services on EPS growth (from the top quartile).
  7. Jun '24Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹187 cr.
  8. Jun '24Debt / equity halved over 12 months to 0.07x.
  9. Jun '24Share count is up 31.6% over 12 months.
  10. Jan '24Regained the 2023-04 peak, 5 months after the low.
  11. Dec '23FII + DII holding fell 3.4 pts over 1 quarter to 6.1%.
  12. Aug '23Fell 30% from the Apr 2023 peak to the Aug 2023 low.

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Are profits backed by cash?

3 of 6 checks are within range, 2 near a threshold, 1 beyond a threshold.
Tap a check to see how it is measured.

Other income reliance25%Near threshold

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 25.4%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate25%Within range

Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 25.4%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.

Cash conversion0.18xBeyond threshold

Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 0.18x (cash from operations ₹8 cr, net profit ₹44 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.

Free cash flow2 of 4 yrsNear threshold

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 4: 2. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history-12 daysWithin range

Debtor days are below the median of the previous three fiscal years by 12 days (2 vs 14). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.

Capital work in progress26% of fixed assetsWithin range

Capital work-in-progress is 26% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Over 3 years, promoters trimmed 9.0 pts; FIIs added 3.4 pts.
  • The number of shareholders rose from 1,758 to 2,142 (+22%) between Mar 2023 and Jun 2026.

Holdings, Jun '26

How each group changed

GroupMar '23Jun '26Change
Promoters64.7%55.7%-9.0 pts
FIIs8.1%8.1%0.0 pts
DIIs1.3%1.8%+0.4 pts
Public and others25.9%34.5%+8.6 pts

Number of shareholders

2,142shareholders+22% since Mar '23
1k2k2k2k Mar '23Mar '24Mar '25Dec '25Jun '26
Mar '23: 1,758
Sep '23: 1,301
Mar '24: 1,279
Sep '24: 1,560
Mar '25: 1,922
Sep '25: 2,179
Dec '25: 2,125
Mar '26: 2,166
Jun '26: 2,142
1k2k2k2k Mar '23Sep '24Dec '25Jun '26
Mar '23: 1,758
Sep '23: 1,301
Mar '24: 1,279
Sep '24: 1,560
Mar '25: 1,922
Sep '25: 2,179
Dec '25: 2,125
Mar '26: 2,166
Jun '26: 2,142

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-85.5%not yet recovered
1-year volatility61.2%annualised

Monthly share price

₹7₹16₹25₹34 Jun '23Feb '24Oct '24Jun '25Feb '26Oct '26
2023-06: ₹9.60
2023-07: ₹8.55
2023-08: ₹10.85
2023-09: ₹9.00
2023-10: ₹9.70
2023-11: ₹9.25
2023-12: ₹8.80
2024-01: ₹14.60
2024-02: ₹13.75
2024-03: ₹12.75
2024-04: ₹17.90
2024-05: ₹18.10
2024-06: ₹16.40
2024-07: ₹20.20
2024-08: ₹21.20
2024-09: ₹34.20
2024-10: ₹28.00
2024-11: ₹28.00
2024-12: ₹27.50
2025-01: ₹27.90
2025-02: ₹26.90
2025-03: ₹26.15
2025-04: ₹27.40
2025-05: ₹29.10
2025-06: ₹25.05
2025-07: ₹25.05
2025-08: ₹24.00
2025-09: ₹20.90
2025-10: ₹24.85
2025-11: ₹23.25
2025-12: ₹22.15
2026-01: ₹20.85
2026-02: ₹20.90
2026-03: ₹9.70
2026-04: ₹13.00
2026-05: ₹14.20
2026-06: ₹13.00
2026-07: ₹11.00
2026-08: ₹9.15
2026-09: ₹6.90
2026-10: ₹7.95
₹7₹16₹25₹34 Jun '23Aug '24Oct '25Oct '26
2023-06: ₹9.60
2023-07: ₹8.55
2023-08: ₹10.85
2023-09: ₹9.00
2023-10: ₹9.70
2023-11: ₹9.25
2023-12: ₹8.80
2024-01: ₹14.60
2024-02: ₹13.75
2024-03: ₹12.75
2024-04: ₹17.90
2024-05: ₹18.10
2024-06: ₹16.40
2024-07: ₹20.20
2024-08: ₹21.20
2024-09: ₹34.20
2024-10: ₹28.00
2024-11: ₹28.00
2024-12: ₹27.50
2025-01: ₹27.90
2025-02: ₹26.90
2025-03: ₹26.15
2025-04: ₹27.40
2025-05: ₹29.10
2025-06: ₹25.05
2025-07: ₹25.05
2025-08: ₹24.00
2025-09: ₹20.90
2025-10: ₹24.85
2025-11: ₹23.25
2025-12: ₹22.15
2026-01: ₹20.85
2026-02: ₹20.90
2026-03: ₹9.70
2026-04: ₹13.00
2026-05: ₹14.20
2026-06: ₹13.00
2026-07: ₹11.00
2026-08: ₹9.15
2026-09: ₹6.90
2026-10: ₹7.95

Last 90 trading days

₹5₹9₹12₹15 Jun 22Jul 17Aug 12Sep 8Oct 6Oct 30
2026-06-22: ₹13.75
2026-06-24: ₹12.45
2026-06-29: ₹12.40
2026-07-01: ₹13.55
2026-07-03: ₹14.70
2026-07-07: ₹13.90
2026-07-09: ₹14.60
2026-07-13: ₹15.15
2026-07-15: ₹13.85
2026-07-17: ₹12.60
2026-07-21: ₹11.40
2026-07-23: ₹12.05
2026-07-27: ₹11.85
2026-07-29: ₹11.45
2026-07-31: ₹11.00
2026-08-04: ₹10.20
2026-08-06: ₹10.05
2026-08-10: ₹10.60
2026-08-12: ₹10.65
2026-08-17: ₹10.65
2026-08-19: ₹11.70
2026-08-21: ₹11.85
2026-08-25: ₹10.90
2026-08-27: ₹9.90
2026-08-31: ₹9.15
2026-09-02: ₹8.30
2026-09-04: ₹7.55
2026-09-08: ₹6.90
2026-09-10: ₹6.30
2026-09-15: ₹5.70
2026-09-17: ₹5.35
2026-09-21: ₹6.05
2026-09-23: ₹7.30
2026-09-25: ₹8.00
2026-09-29: ₹7.25
2026-10-01: ₹6.60
2026-10-06: ₹6.00
2026-10-08: ₹6.05
2026-10-12: ₹5.80
2026-10-14: ₹5.70
2026-10-16: ₹5.70
2026-10-21: ₹5.80
2026-10-23: ₹6.35
2026-10-27: ₹6.95
2026-10-29: ₹7.60
2026-10-30: ₹7.95
₹5₹9₹12₹15 Jun 22Aug 4Sep 17Oct 30
2026-06-22: ₹13.75
2026-06-24: ₹12.45
2026-06-29: ₹12.40
2026-07-01: ₹13.55
2026-07-03: ₹14.70
2026-07-07: ₹13.90
2026-07-09: ₹14.60
2026-07-13: ₹15.15
2026-07-15: ₹13.85
2026-07-17: ₹12.60
2026-07-21: ₹11.40
2026-07-23: ₹12.05
2026-07-27: ₹11.85
2026-07-29: ₹11.45
2026-07-31: ₹11.00
2026-08-04: ₹10.20
2026-08-06: ₹10.05
2026-08-10: ₹10.60
2026-08-12: ₹10.65
2026-08-17: ₹10.65
2026-08-19: ₹11.70
2026-08-21: ₹11.85
2026-08-25: ₹10.90
2026-08-27: ₹9.90
2026-08-31: ₹9.15
2026-09-02: ₹8.30
2026-09-04: ₹7.55
2026-09-08: ₹6.90
2026-09-10: ₹6.30
2026-09-15: ₹5.70
2026-09-17: ₹5.35
2026-09-21: ₹6.05
2026-09-23: ₹7.30
2026-09-25: ₹8.00
2026-09-29: ₹7.25
2026-10-01: ₹6.60
2026-10-06: ₹6.00
2026-10-08: ₹6.05
2026-10-12: ₹5.80
2026-10-14: ₹5.70
2026-10-16: ₹5.70
2026-10-21: ₹5.80
2026-10-23: ₹6.35
2026-10-27: ₹6.95
2026-10-29: ₹7.60
2026-10-30: ₹7.95

Drawdown from peak

0% -43% -85% Apr '23Jan '25Oct '26 0% -43% -85% Apr '23Jan '25Oct '26
Largest drawdowns

-85.5% (2024-09 peak to 2026-09 low, not yet recovered)

-30.3% (2023-04 peak to 2023-08 low, recovered 2024-01)

-24.6% (2024-05 peak to 2024-07 low, recovered 2024-07)

Where does it rank among Technology Services peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Technology Services peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

ROCE
Op. margin
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Nov '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Oct '26
Lower rank Higher rank

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Technology Services sector page Watch it move against Technology Services in the Observatory

What happened next to similar setups

−2.9%typical 12-month return vs the marketNot meaningfully different from the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like MOS UTILITY LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −27% to +30% vs the market, against −1% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The gap against the base rate (−2.3%, 80% range −15.8% to +4.9%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
BEWLTD · May 2025: −61.6% vs market
BALAXI · May 2025: −48.7% vs market
DEEM · Feb 2025: −46.8% vs market
INDTERRAIN · Apr 2020: −44.2% vs market
MANORG · Jan 2023: −39.1% vs market
UGARSUGAR · May 2024: −37.8% vs market
BESTAGRO · Jun 2025: −35.0% vs market
VLINFRA · Aug 2025: −34.4% vs market
TOTAL · Mar 2024: −29.4% vs market
FOODSIN · Aug 2024: −29.2% vs market
RAJMET · Dec 2023: −29.1% vs market
VINNY · May 2025: −27.6% vs market
KHAICHEM · Jun 2023: −27.0% vs market
UTTAMSUGAR · Nov 2024: −25.2% vs market
RAMAPHO · Dec 2023: −23.6% vs market
ACCURACY · Jul 2023: −22.1% vs market
MVGJL · Nov 2024: −21.2% vs market
SCPL · Dec 2023: −19.5% vs market
LAMBODHARA · Apr 2024: −18.3% vs market
RGL · Dec 2022: −17.3% vs market
PSFL · Oct 2025: −12.4% vs market
BHARATGEAR · Jan 2020: −10.7% vs market
SHIVATEX · Dec 2022: −6.8% vs market
RANEHOLDIN · Apr 2020: −5.7% vs market
ZEELEARN · Mar 2021: −3.0% vs market
VISHWARAJ · Aug 2022: −2.8% vs market
MHHL · Aug 2024: +0.9% vs market
RPPINFRA · Nov 2020: +4.1% vs market
PARAGMILK · Jul 2020: +4.4% vs market
RUCHIRA · Sep 2020: +8.3% vs market
PENIND · Nov 2020: +8.6% vs market
RKEC · May 2022: +9.6% vs market
MAHESHWARI · Mar 2021: +13.1% vs market
RAYMOND · Jul 2020: +17.6% vs market
JAYAGROGN · Feb 2020: +23.5% vs market
SHEMAROO · Dec 2020: +25.3% vs market
CENTEXT · Jan 2020: +28.5% vs market
KELLTONTEC · Oct 2021: +29.9% vs market
HCC · Nov 2020: +30.8% vs market
ICIL · Sep 2022: +41.5% vs market
KOTYARK · Jul 2025: +54.0% vs market
PATINTLOG · Feb 2020: +55.2% vs market
POWERMECH · Jan 2021: +55.8% vs market
SPAL · Aug 2020: +94.8% vs market
WABAG · Jun 2020: +98.6% vs market
GRMOVER · Mar 2024: +116.3% vs market
HITECH · Jun 2020: +136.6% vs market
PANAMAPET · Apr 2020: +185.1% vs market
EVEREADY · Jan 2020: +192.9% vs market
DPABHUSHAN · Jun 2023: +235.1% vs market
Similar setups −2.9%All companies −0.6%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 5 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
−2.9%
All companies' median
−0.6%
Beat the market
48% vs 49%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 31 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
EVEREADY
Producer Manufacturing
Jan 2020 9x19% −74%−75% +193%
SCPL
Consumer Non-Durables
Dec 2023 17x23% −47%−52% −20%
HITECH
Non-Energy Minerals
Jun 2020 6x12% −63%−64% +137%
ZEELEARN
Consumer Services
Mar 2021 8x14% −15%−45% −3%
RKEC
Industrial Services
May 2022 9x15% −38%−60% +10%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
WABAG
Industrial Services
Jun 2020 7x14% −65%−69% +99%
RAJMET
Non-Energy Minerals
Dec 2023 22x29% −60%−60% −29%
UGARSUGAR
Process Industries
May 2024 12x— −35%−46% −38%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: interest cover, 12-month momentum and P/S. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to MOS UTILITY LIMITED. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-10-30. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 97,430 company-months from 2000 companies; financial: 5,632 company-months from 106 companies. 2240 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.
Monthly history (41 months)
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-1011.4x₹626 cr17.0%19.0%0.7x
2026-099.9x₹626 cr17.0%19.0%0.7x
2026-0813.1x₹635 cr16.8%19.0%0.7x
2026-0715.7x₹635 cr16.8%19.0%0.7x
2026-0618.6x₹635 cr16.8%19.0%0.7x
2026-0520.6x₹657 cr20.5%19.0%0.2x
2026-0418.8x₹657 cr20.5%19.0%0.2x
2026-0314.1x₹657 cr20.5%19.0%0.2x
2026-0234.3x₹624 cr19.1%19.0%0.2x
2026-0134.2x₹624 cr19.1%19.0%0.2x
2025-1236.3x₹624 cr19.1%19.0%0.2x
2025-1146.5x₹616 cr14.7%19.0%0.2x
2025-1049.7x₹616 cr14.7%19.0%0.2x
2025-0941.8x₹616 cr14.7%19.0%0.2x
2025-0848.0x₹616 cr14.7%19.0%0.2x
2025-0750.1x₹616 cr14.7%19.0%0.2x
2025-0650.1x₹616 cr14.7%19.0%0.2x
2025-0564.7x₹187 cr15.4%17.0%0.1x
2025-0460.9x₹187 cr15.4%17.0%0.1x
2025-0358.1x₹187 cr15.4%17.0%0.1x
2025-0259.8x₹187 cr15.4%17.0%0.1x
2025-0162.0x₹187 cr15.4%17.0%0.1x
2024-1261.1x₹187 cr15.4%17.0%0.1x
2024-1162.2x₹187 cr15.4%17.0%0.1x
2024-1062.2x₹187 cr15.4%17.0%0.1x
2024-0976.0x₹187 cr15.4%17.0%0.1x
2024-0847.1x₹187 cr15.4%17.0%0.1x
2024-0744.9x₹187 cr15.4%17.0%0.1x
2024-0636.4x₹187 cr15.4%17.0%0.1x
2024-0560.3x₹106 cr22.2%—0.3x
2024-0459.7x₹106 cr22.2%—0.3x
2024-0342.5x₹106 cr22.2%—0.3x
2024-0245.8x₹106 cr22.2%—0.3x
2024-0148.7x₹106 cr22.2%—0.3x
2023-1229.3x₹106 cr22.2%—0.3x
2023-1130.8x₹106 cr22.2%—0.3x
2023-1032.3x₹106 cr22.2%—0.3x
2023-0930.0x₹106 cr22.2%—0.3x
2023-0836.2x₹106 cr22.2%—0.3x
2023-0728.5x₹106 cr22.2%—0.3x
2023-0632.0x₹106 cr22.2%—0.3x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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