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SHYAM CENTURY FERROUS LIMITED (SHYAMCENT)

Non-Energy Minerals

Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.56 / 100
Profitability 35Growth 31Balance sheet 100
Compare withJSW STEEL LIMITEDTATA STEEL LIMITEDJINDAL STEEL LIMITED
Share Price
₹4.65
P/E
7.0x
Market Cap
₹99 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹121 cr
P/S
0.8x
P/B
0.6x
ROE
8.9%
Operating Margin
7.7%
Debt / Equity
0.0x
Promoter Holding
49.7%
12M Momentum
-32.8%
P/E vs its own history11th percentilesince Jan '19
P/E vs Non-Energy Minerals0.3xthe sector median

52-week range

₹3.68₹7.15
28% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
49.1%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
0.23

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
17.3x
Cash from profit, 3Y
operating cash flow ÷ net profit
1.00x
Share count, 1Y
unchanged

Was the rally earned?

-33%share price, 1 yearMultiple-driven

Mostly the multiple.

  • Most of the fall came from investors paying a lower multiple (P/E 10.5x to 7.0x); per-share earnings added 0 points.
  • The share count barely moved.
1 year P/E change: -33 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-33 pts -33% 1 year P/E change: -33 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-33 pts -33%
Net profit growth0 ptsNet profit was little changed.
P/E change-33 ptsThe P/E fell from 10.5x to 7.0x, which lowers the price.
Share count change0 ptsShare count was little changed. More shares would count against the price.
-76%share price, 3 yearsMultiple-driven

Mostly the multiple.

  • Most of the fall came from investors paying a lower multiple (P/E 29.7x to 7.0x); per-share earnings added 0 points.
  • The share count barely moved.
3 years P/E change: -76 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-76 pts -76% 3 years P/E change: -76 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-76 pts -76%
Net profit growth0 ptsNet profit was little changed.
P/E change-76 ptsThe P/E fell from 29.7x to 7.0x, which lowers the price.
Share count change0 ptsShare count was little changed. More shares would count against the price.
-62%share price, 5 yearsMultiple-driven

Mostly the multiple.

  • Most of the fall came from investors paying a lower multiple (P/E 18.5x to 7.0x); per-share earnings added 0 points.
  • The share count barely moved.
5 years P/E change: -62 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-62 pts -62% 5 years P/E change: -62 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-62 pts -62%
Net profit growth0 ptsNet profit was little changed.
P/E change-62 ptsThe P/E fell from 18.5x to 7.0x, which lowers the price.
Share count change0 ptsShare count was little changed. More shares would count against the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare this with JSW STEEL

Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?

7.0xP/E todayNear its historic low
Against its own history11th percentileMedian 17.7x; usual range 7.0x to 33.5x since 2019-01.
Against Non-Energy Minerals7.0x vs 21.3xBelow the Non-Energy Minerals median.
3.8x21.1x38.4x55.7xJan '19Aug '20Mar '22Oct '23May '25Oct '263.8x21.1x38.4x55.7xJan '19Aug '21Mar '24Oct '26
P/E (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianNon-Energy Minerals median

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P/B (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianNon-Energy Minerals median

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P/S (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianNon-Energy Minerals median
How to read this

Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dashed line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).

Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.

All terms explained in the glossary →

How Non-Energy Minerals is valued

What is the price implying?

~6%annual earnings growth implied by the price

At a P/E of 8.8x, the price would imply about 6.2%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.

Earnings figures have not updated recently, so the company is left out of the lists.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Non-Energy Minerals The market-wide Expectations lists

What changed?

  1. Oct '26P/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (7.0x).
  2. Mar '26Fell 90% from the Apr 2022 peak to the Mar 2026 low.
  3. Mar '26P/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (5.6x).
  4. Dec '25Slipped to the 3rd quartile of Non-Energy Minerals on EPS growth (from the 2nd quartile).
  5. Jun '25Moved into the 2nd quartile of Non-Energy Minerals on EPS growth (from the 3rd quartile).
  6. Jun '24Slipped to the 3rd quartile of Non-Energy Minerals on EPS growth (from the 2nd quartile).
  7. Jan '24P/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (39.7x).
  8. Jun '23Moved into the 2nd quartile of Non-Energy Minerals on EPS growth (from the 3rd quartile).
Show 15 earlier events
  1. Mar '22Slipped to the 3rd quartile of Non-Energy Minerals on EPS growth (from the 2nd quartile).
  2. Jan '22Regained the 2021-07 peak, 4 months after the low.
  3. Dec '21P/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (26.4x).
  4. Dec '21Slipped to the 2nd quartile of Non-Energy Minerals on EPS growth (from the top quartile).
  5. Sep '21Fell 46% from the Jul 2021 peak to the Sep 2021 low.
  6. May '21Regained the 2019-03 peak, 14 months after the low.
  7. Dec '20Year-on-year EPS growth turned positive.
  8. Dec '20Moved into the top quartile of Non-Energy Minerals on EPS growth (from the 3rd quartile).
  9. Sep '20Moved into the 3rd quartile of Non-Energy Minerals on EPS growth (from the bottom quartile).
  10. Jun '20EPS (TTM) turned positive.
  11. Jun '20Slipped to the bottom quartile of Non-Energy Minerals on ROCE (from the 2nd quartile).
  12. Mar '20EPS (TTM) turned negative.
  13. Mar '20Fell 76% from the Mar 2019 peak to the Mar 2020 low.
  14. Mar '19Regained the 2019-01 peak, 1 month after the low.
  15. Feb '19Fell 27% from the Jan 2019 peak to the Feb 2019 low.

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Are profits backed by cash?

4 of 5 checks are within range, 1 near a threshold.
Tap a check to see how it is measured.

Other income reliance11%Within range

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 10.8%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate26%Within range

Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 26.4%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.

Cash conversion1.00xWithin range

Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 1.00x (cash from operations ₹35 cr, net profit ₹35 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.

Free cash flow3 of 5 yrsNear threshold

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 3. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Capital work in progress0% of fixed assetsWithin range

Capital work-in-progress is 0% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Over 2 years, promoters trimmed 2.0 pts.

Holdings, Jun '26

How each group changed

GroupDec '23Jun '26Change
Promoters51.7%49.7%-2.0 pts
FIIs0.2%0.0%-0.2 pts
DIIs———
Public and others48.1%50.3%+2.2 pts

Number of shareholders

66,560shareholders-3% since Dec '23
67k68k70k72k Dec '23Jun '24Dec '24Jun '25Dec '25Jun '26
Dec '23: 68,412
Mar '24: 70,768
Jun '24: 69,237
Sep '24: 70,706
Dec '24: 71,780
Mar '25: 71,030
Jun '25: 70,232
Sep '25: 69,627
Dec '25: 69,514
Jun '26: 66,560
 67k68k70k72k Dec '23Sep '24Jun '25Jun '26
Dec '23: 68,412
Mar '24: 70,768
Jun '24: 69,237
Sep '24: 70,706
Dec '24: 71,780
Mar '25: 71,030
Jun '25: 70,232
Sep '25: 69,627
Dec '25: 69,514
Jun '26: 66,560

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-89.8%not yet recovered
1-year volatility49.1%annualised

Monthly share price

₹2₹11₹20₹30 Jan '19Aug '20Mar '22Oct '23May '25Oct '26
2019-01: ₹5.25
2019-02: ₹5.80
2019-03: ₹6.55
2019-04: ₹6.30
2019-05: ₹5.40
2019-06: ₹4.75
2019-07: ₹3.30
2019-08: ₹2.85
2019-09: ₹2.75
2019-10: ₹2.80
2019-11: ₹2.90
2019-12: ₹3.05
2020-01: ₹3.30
2020-02: ₹2.55
2020-03: ₹1.95
2020-04: ₹2.50
2020-05: ₹3.30
2020-06: ₹3.90
2020-07: ₹3.05
2020-08: ₹3.90
2020-09: ₹4.05
2020-10: ₹3.80
2020-11: ₹3.90
2020-12: ₹6.55
2021-01: ₹6.05
2021-02: ₹5.60
2021-03: ₹5.20
2021-04: ₹5.60
2021-05: ₹8.00
2021-06: ₹9.90
2021-07: ₹15.85
2021-08: ₹11.70
2021-09: ₹14.40
2021-10: ₹12.20
2021-11: ₹11.25
2021-12: ₹17.40
2022-01: ₹20.35
2022-02: ₹18.90
2022-03: ₹24.80
2022-04: ₹29.75
2022-05: ₹24.90
2022-06: ₹19.65
2022-07: ₹22.60
2022-08: ₹21.65
2022-09: ₹22.85
2022-10: ₹22.10
2022-11: ₹21.75
2022-12: ₹22.05
2023-01: ₹20.30
2023-02: ₹17.45
2023-03: ₹16.50
2023-04: ₹18.15
2023-05: ₹17.40
2023-06: ₹19.60
2023-07: ₹19.70
2023-08: ₹18.95
2023-09: ₹20.90
2023-10: ₹19.60
2023-11: ₹20.25
2023-12: ₹20.60
2024-01: ₹26.20
2024-02: ₹21.40
2024-03: ₹16.70
2024-04: ₹19.50
2024-05: ₹17.15
2024-06: ₹17.34
2024-07: ₹17.70
2024-08: ₹17.24
2024-09: ₹16.98
2024-10: ₹16.46
2024-11: ₹14.94
2024-12: ₹13.32
2025-01: ₹10.99
2025-02: ₹7.96
2025-03: ₹6.74
2025-04: ₹8.40
2025-05: ₹8.46
2025-06: ₹7.37
2025-07: ₹7.67
2025-08: ₹7.00
2025-09: ₹7.01
2025-10: ₹6.92
2025-11: ₹6.01
2025-12: ₹6.14
2026-01: ₹5.73
2026-02: ₹5.12
2026-03: ₹3.68
2026-04: ₹5.81
2026-05: ₹5.01
2026-06: ₹5.94
2026-07: ₹5.19
2026-08: ₹4.92
2026-09: ₹4.97
2026-10: ₹4.65
 ₹2₹11₹20₹30 Jan '19Aug '21Mar '24Oct '26
2019-01: ₹5.25
2019-02: ₹5.80
2019-03: ₹6.55
2019-04: ₹6.30
2019-05: ₹5.40
2019-06: ₹4.75
2019-07: ₹3.30
2019-08: ₹2.85
2019-09: ₹2.75
2019-10: ₹2.80
2019-11: ₹2.90
2019-12: ₹3.05
2020-01: ₹3.30
2020-02: ₹2.55
2020-03: ₹1.95
2020-04: ₹2.50
2020-05: ₹3.30
2020-06: ₹3.90
2020-07: ₹3.05
2020-08: ₹3.90
2020-09: ₹4.05
2020-10: ₹3.80
2020-11: ₹3.90
2020-12: ₹6.55
2021-01: ₹6.05
2021-02: ₹5.60
2021-03: ₹5.20
2021-04: ₹5.60
2021-05: ₹8.00
2021-06: ₹9.90
2021-07: ₹15.85
2021-08: ₹11.70
2021-09: ₹14.40
2021-10: ₹12.20
2021-11: ₹11.25
2021-12: ₹17.40
2022-01: ₹20.35
2022-02: ₹18.90
2022-03: ₹24.80
2022-04: ₹29.75
2022-05: ₹24.90
2022-06: ₹19.65
2022-07: ₹22.60
2022-08: ₹21.65
2022-09: ₹22.85
2022-10: ₹22.10
2022-11: ₹21.75
2022-12: ₹22.05
2023-01: ₹20.30
2023-02: ₹17.45
2023-03: ₹16.50
2023-04: ₹18.15
2023-05: ₹17.40
2023-06: ₹19.60
2023-07: ₹19.70
2023-08: ₹18.95
2023-09: ₹20.90
2023-10: ₹19.60
2023-11: ₹20.25
2023-12: ₹20.60
2024-01: ₹26.20
2024-02: ₹21.40
2024-03: ₹16.70
2024-04: ₹19.50
2024-05: ₹17.15
2024-06: ₹17.34
2024-07: ₹17.70
2024-08: ₹17.24
2024-09: ₹16.98
2024-10: ₹16.46
2024-11: ₹14.94
2024-12: ₹13.32
2025-01: ₹10.99
2025-02: ₹7.96
2025-03: ₹6.74
2025-04: ₹8.40
2025-05: ₹8.46
2025-06: ₹7.37
2025-07: ₹7.67
2025-08: ₹7.00
2025-09: ₹7.01
2025-10: ₹6.92
2025-11: ₹6.01
2025-12: ₹6.14
2026-01: ₹5.73
2026-02: ₹5.12
2026-03: ₹3.68
2026-04: ₹5.81
2026-05: ₹5.01
2026-06: ₹5.94
2026-07: ₹5.19
2026-08: ₹4.92
2026-09: ₹4.97
2026-10: ₹4.65

Last 90 trading days

₹5₹5₹5₹6 Jun 23Jul 20Aug 13Sep 8Oct 6Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹5.50
2026-06-25: ₹5.48
2026-06-30: ₹5.94
2026-07-02: ₹5.91
2026-07-06: ₹5.73
2026-07-08: ₹5.72
2026-07-10: ₹5.77
2026-07-14: ₹5.71
2026-07-16: ₹5.41
2026-07-20: ₹5.21
2026-07-22: ₹5.21
2026-07-24: ₹5.34
2026-07-28: ₹5.07
2026-07-30: ₹5.11
2026-08-03: ₹5.06
2026-08-05: ₹5.41
2026-08-07: ₹5.03
2026-08-11: ₹5.09
2026-08-13: ₹5.04
2026-08-17: ₹4.83
2026-08-19: ₹4.98
2026-08-21: ₹4.92
2026-08-25: ₹4.89
2026-08-27: ₹4.94
2026-08-31: ₹4.92
2026-09-02: ₹5.02
2026-09-04: ₹5.03
2026-09-08: ₹4.94
2026-09-10: ₹4.97
2026-09-15: ₹4.90
2026-09-17: ₹4.97
2026-09-21: ₹5.09
2026-09-23: ₹5.02
2026-09-25: ₹5.00
2026-09-29: ₹4.99
2026-10-01: ₹5.00
2026-10-06: ₹5.03
2026-10-08: ₹4.92
2026-10-12: ₹4.87
2026-10-14: ₹4.86
2026-10-16: ₹4.92
2026-10-21: ₹4.68
2026-10-23: ₹4.59
2026-10-27: ₹4.70
2026-10-29: ₹4.64
2026-10-30: ₹4.65
 ₹5₹5₹5₹6 Jun 23Aug 5Sep 17Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹5.50
2026-06-25: ₹5.48
2026-06-30: ₹5.94
2026-07-02: ₹5.91
2026-07-06: ₹5.73
2026-07-08: ₹5.72
2026-07-10: ₹5.77
2026-07-14: ₹5.71
2026-07-16: ₹5.41
2026-07-20: ₹5.21
2026-07-22: ₹5.21
2026-07-24: ₹5.34
2026-07-28: ₹5.07
2026-07-30: ₹5.11
2026-08-03: ₹5.06
2026-08-05: ₹5.41
2026-08-07: ₹5.03
2026-08-11: ₹5.09
2026-08-13: ₹5.04
2026-08-17: ₹4.83
2026-08-19: ₹4.98
2026-08-21: ₹4.92
2026-08-25: ₹4.89
2026-08-27: ₹4.94
2026-08-31: ₹4.92
2026-09-02: ₹5.02
2026-09-04: ₹5.03
2026-09-08: ₹4.94
2026-09-10: ₹4.97
2026-09-15: ₹4.90
2026-09-17: ₹4.97
2026-09-21: ₹5.09
2026-09-23: ₹5.02
2026-09-25: ₹5.00
2026-09-29: ₹4.99
2026-10-01: ₹5.00
2026-10-06: ₹5.03
2026-10-08: ₹4.92
2026-10-12: ₹4.87
2026-10-14: ₹4.86
2026-10-16: ₹4.92
2026-10-21: ₹4.68
2026-10-23: ₹4.59
2026-10-27: ₹4.70
2026-10-29: ₹4.64
2026-10-30: ₹4.65

Drawdown from peak

0% -45% -89% Jan '19Dec '22Oct '26 0% -45% -89% Jan '19Dec '22Oct '26
Largest drawdowns

-89.8% (2022-04 peak to 2026-03 low, not yet recovered)

-75.7% (2019-03 peak to 2020-03 low, recovered 2021-05)

-46.3% (2021-07 peak to 2021-09 low, recovered 2022-01)

Where does it rank among Non-Energy Minerals peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Non-Energy Minerals peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

Op. margin
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Debt/equity ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Nov '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Oct '26
Lower rank Higher rank

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Non-Energy Minerals sector page Watch it move against Non-Energy Minerals in the Observatory

What happened next to similar setups

+10.4%typical 12-month return vs the marketAbove the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like SHYAM CENTURY FERROUS LIMITED today on valuation, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −12% to +61% vs the market, against −2% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The analogs' median sat above that base rate (gap +12.3%, 80% range +6.5% to +16.8%), but the matches cluster in only 6 distinct 12-month windows.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−50%0%+50%+100%
ALBERTDAVD · Jan 2025: −44.8% vs market
AMBIKCO · Jun 2023: −33.3% vs market
HMVL · Apr 2022: −31.3% vs market
KAKATCEM · May 2023: −28.9% vs market
TVTODAY · May 2024: −23.5% vs market
TRIGYN · May 2023: −19.8% vs market
NATHBIOGEN · Mar 2024: −19.2% vs market
IFBAGRO · Dec 2021: −17.3% vs market
PODDARMENT · Jul 2025: −16.8% vs market
ASPINWALL · Oct 2023: −14.9% vs market
VINNY · Oct 2025: −14.5% vs market
VETO · Mar 2025: −14.4% vs market
ARCHIES · May 2020: −13.7% vs market
PASUPTAC · Aug 2023: −8.7% vs market
PTL · Mar 2024: −7.0% vs market
PLASTIBLEN · Oct 2025: −3.2% vs market
CUPID · May 2022: −2.7% vs market
IMPAL · Apr 2024: −2.1% vs market
RUCHIRA · Jun 2024: +0.9% vs market
BLISSGVS · Oct 2023: +5.2% vs market
ALPHAGEO · Apr 2023: +5.8% vs market
ORBTEXP · Aug 2024: +6.9% vs market
MUNJALSHOW · Apr 2020: +8.3% vs market
STEELCITY · Aug 2023: +8.7% vs market
ANDHRAPAP · Mar 2021: +9.0% vs market
MANAKSIA · Feb 2021: +11.8% vs market
PALASHSECU · Jan 2020: +13.6% vs market
SEMAC · May 2021: +15.2% vs market
DTIL · Jan 2020: +15.4% vs market
ALPA · May 2024: +16.1% vs market
JMA · Jan 2020: +16.1% vs market
VARDHACRLC · May 2021: +17.3% vs market
SANDESH · Apr 2022: +21.9% vs market
MAZDA · Apr 2022: +30.3% vs market
INTENTECH · Apr 2023: +30.6% vs market
PONNIERODE · Jul 2022: +44.9% vs market
MINDTECK · May 2023: +47.2% vs market
LINCOLN · Aug 2022: +64.9% vs market
SHARDAMOTR · Jan 2020: +65.1% vs market
PPL · Apr 2023: +69.9% vs market
GHCLTEXTIL · Oct 2025: +71.3% vs market
TREJHARA · Feb 2023: +81.9% vs market
SESHAPAPER · Oct 2021: +81.9% vs market
EVERESTIND · Nov 2021: +82.8% vs market
DPWIRES · Jun 2020: +91.5% vs market
TNPETRO · Jan 2021: +92.6% vs market
ASHIMASYN · Jul 2023: +124.0% vs market
IZMO · Dec 2022: +166.4% vs market
GOLDIAM · Jun 2020: +167.7% vs market
MANALIPETC · Feb 2020: +192.8% vs market
Similar setups +10.4%All companies −1.9%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 4 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
+10.4%
All companies' median
−1.9%
Beat the market
64% vs 48%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 33 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
IZMO
Technology Services		 Dec 2022 6x7% −16%−27% +166%
VARDHACRLC
Consumer Non-Durables		 May 2021 7x14% +55%−9% +17%
MANAKSIA
Non-Energy Minerals		 Feb 2021 6x9% +24%−14% +12%
STEELCITY
Finance		 Aug 2023 8x14% +1%−13% +9%
MAZDA
Producer Manufacturing		 Apr 2022 13x16% +15%−30% +30%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
DPWIRES
Producer Manufacturing		 Jun 2020 5x23% −19%— +92%
INTENTECH
Technology Services		 Apr 2023 8x28% −22%−25% +31%
VETO
Producer Manufacturing		 Mar 2025 12x12% −18%−48% −14%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high and P/E. Not used (unavailable for this company): ROCE. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to SHYAM CENTURY FERROUS LIMITED. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-10-30. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 97,430 company-months from 2000 companies; financial: 5,632 company-months from 106 companies. 2240 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.
Monthly history (94 months)
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-107.0x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2026-097.5x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2026-087.5x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2026-077.9x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2026-069.0x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2026-057.6x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2026-048.8x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2026-035.6x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2026-027.8x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2026-018.7x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2025-129.3x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2025-119.1x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2025-1010.5x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2025-0910.6x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2025-0810.6x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2025-0711.6x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2025-0611.2x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2025-0512.8x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2025-0412.7x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2025-0310.2x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2025-0212.1x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2025-0116.7x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2024-1220.2x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2024-1122.6x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2024-1024.9x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2024-0925.7x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2024-0826.1x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2024-0726.8x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2024-0626.3x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2024-0526.0x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2024-0429.5x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2024-0325.3x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2024-0232.4x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2024-0139.7x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2023-1231.2x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2023-1130.7x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2023-1029.7x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2023-0931.7x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2023-0828.7x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2023-0729.8x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2023-0629.7x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2023-0526.4x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2023-0427.5x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2023-0325.0x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2023-0226.4x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2023-0130.8x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2022-1233.4x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2022-1133.0x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2022-1033.5x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2022-0934.6x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2022-0832.8x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2022-0734.2x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2022-0629.8x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2022-0537.7x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2022-0445.1x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2022-0337.6x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2022-0228.6x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2022-0130.8x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2021-1226.4x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2021-1117.0x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2021-1018.5x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2021-0921.8x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2021-0817.7x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2021-0724.0x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2021-0615.0x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2021-0512.1x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2021-048.5x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2021-037.9x₹121 cr8.9%—0.0x
2021-0211.9x₹102 cr6.3%—0.0x
2021-0112.9x₹102 cr6.3%—0.0x
2020-1213.9x₹102 cr6.3%—0.0x
2020-1113.0x₹92 cr4.3%0.0%0.0x
2020-1012.7x₹92 cr4.3%0.0%0.0x
2020-0913.5x₹92 cr4.3%0.0%0.0x
2020-0855.7x₹87 cr1.0%0.0%0.0x
2020-0743.6x₹87 cr1.0%0.0%0.0x
2020-0655.7x₹87 cr1.0%0.0%0.0x
2020-05—₹82 cr-1.6%11.0%0.0x
2020-04—₹82 cr-1.6%11.0%0.0x
2020-03—₹82 cr-1.6%11.0%0.0x
2020-0215.0x₹105 cr2.4%11.0%0.0x
2020-0119.4x₹105 cr2.4%11.0%0.0x
2019-1217.9x₹105 cr2.4%11.0%0.0x
2019-118.1x₹108 cr5.1%11.0%0.0x
2019-107.8x₹108 cr5.1%11.0%0.0x
2019-097.6x₹108 cr5.1%11.0%0.0x
2019-083.8x₹133 cr10.6%11.0%0.0x
2019-074.4x₹133 cr10.6%11.0%0.0x
2019-066.3x₹133 cr10.6%11.0%0.0x
2019-055.3x₹146 cr16.1%12.0%0.1x
2019-046.2x₹146 cr16.1%12.0%0.1x
2019-036.5x₹146 cr16.1%12.0%0.1x
2019-026.3x₹137 cr14.7%12.0%0.1x
2019-015.7x₹137 cr14.7%12.0%0.1x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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