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SUBEX LTD (SUBEXLTD)

Technology Services

Earnings #13
Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.58 / 100
Profitability 53Growth 22Balance sheet 100
Momentum scoreHow strong the recent trend is: 3-month price change, 12-month improvement in earnings and the rise in FII + DII holding, among companies above ₹500 cr.79 / 100
Price 97Earnings 97FII/DII 44

Passes these screens: Cash Rich · High Momentum

Share Price
₹16.33
P/E
30.8x
ROCE
13.0%
Market Cap
₹922 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹292 cr
P/S
3.2x
P/B
2.7x
ROE
8.7%
Operating Margin
19.0%
Debt / Equity
0.1x
12M Momentum
26.8%
P/E vs its own history41st percentilesince Jan '19
P/E vs Technology Services1.5xthe sector median

52-week range

₹6.61₹22.80
60% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
55.7%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
0.79

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
10.5x
Cash from profit, 3Y
operating cash flow ÷ net profit
4.18x
Share count, 1Y
unchanged

Was the rally earned?

-62%share price, 5 yearsEarnings and multiple

Both mattered.

  • Per-share earnings took off 35 points and the multiple took off 26 points (P/E 46.1x to 30.8x).
  • The share count barely moved.
5 years Net profit growth: -36 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).-36 ptsP/E change: -26 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-26 ptsShare count change: +0 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. -62% 5 years Net profit growth: -36 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).-36 ptsP/E change: -26 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-26 ptsShare count change: +0 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. -62%
Net profit growth-36 ptsNet profit fell about 42%, which lowers the price.
P/E change-26 ptsThe P/E fell from 46.1x to 30.8x, which lowers the price.
Share count change0 ptsShare count was little changed. More shares would count against the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Not shown for 1 year and 3 years: earnings were negative at one end, or there is not enough history.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare this with ONE 97 COMMUNICATIONS PAYTM

Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?

30.8xP/E todayWithin its usual range
Against its own history41st percentileMedian 38.5x; usual range 11.9x to 91.9x since 2019-01.
Against Technology Services30.8x vs 20.6xAbove the Technology Services median.
6.9x183.3x359.6x536.0xJan '19Aug '20Mar '22Oct '23May '25Oct '266.9x183.3x359.6x536.0xJan '19Aug '21Mar '24Oct '26
P/E (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianTechnology Services median

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P/B (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianTechnology Services median

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P/S (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianTechnology Services median
How to read this

Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dashed line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).

Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.

All terms explained in the glossary →

How Technology Services is valued

What is the price implying?

~20%annual earnings growth implied by the price

At a P/E of 30.8x, the price would imply about 20.4%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.

Fewer than six years of annual earnings are available, which is too little to measure delivered growth.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Technology Services The market-wide Expectations lists

What changed?

  1. Sep '26Moved into the 2nd quartile of Technology Services on operating margin (from the 3rd quartile).
  2. Aug '26Volume reached 52.9x its 50-day median on 2026-08-18; price +16.9% that day.
  3. Jun '26Moved into the 3rd quartile of Technology Services on ROCE (from the bottom quartile).
  4. May '26Volume reached 12.1x its 50-day median on 2026-05-08; price +9.7% that day.
  5. Mar '26EPS (TTM) turned positive.
  6. Mar '26Fell 91% from the Jul 2021 peak to the Mar 2026 low.
  7. Mar '26P/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (334.0x).
  8. Dec '25Moved into the 3rd quartile of Technology Services on operating margin (from the bottom quartile).
Show 22 earlier events
  1. Oct '25Volume reached 14.9x its 50-day median on 2025-10-13; price +6.8% that day.
  2. Mar '25Volume reached 5.5x its 50-day median on 2025-03-27; price +8.4% that day.
  3. Nov '24Volume reached 6.0x its 50-day median on 2024-11-08; price +3.9% that day.
  4. Jul '24Volume reached 8.1x its 50-day median on 2024-07-19; price -0.4% that day.
  5. Jun '24Volume reached 5.5x its 50-day median on 2024-06-14; price +6.5% that day.
  6. Jan '24Volume reached 15.7x its 50-day median on 2024-01-05; price +14.7% that day.
  7. Dec '23Volume reached 14.1x its 50-day median on 2023-12-18; price +8.6% that day.
  8. Jul '23Volume reached 37.9x its 50-day median on 2023-07-17; price +5.2% that day.
  9. Jun '23EPS (TTM) turned negative.
  10. Jun '23Slipped to the bottom quartile of Technology Services on ROCE (from the 3rd quartile).
  11. May '23Volume reached 8.7x its 50-day median on 2023-05-15; price -13.9% that day.
  12. Apr '23P/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (87.2x).
  13. Dec '22Volume reached 7.7x its 50-day median on 2022-12-01; price +7.1% that day.
  14. Aug '22Volume reached 24.0x its 50-day median on 2022-08-08; price -7.1% that day.
  15. Jun '22Year-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
  16. Jun '22P/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (69.1x).
  17. Jun '22Slipped to the 3rd quartile of Technology Services on ROCE (from the 2nd quartile).
  18. Jun '22Dividend payout cut from 82% to 0% of profit.
  19. Feb '22Moved into the 2nd quartile of Technology Services on ROCE (from the 3rd quartile).
  20. Oct '21Volume reached 5.7x its 50-day median on 2021-10-29; price -16.5% that day.
  21. Jul '21Volume reached 6.6x its 50-day median on 2021-07-05; price +18.9% that day.
  22. Jun '21EPS (TTM) turned positive.

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Are profits backed by cash?

3 of 5 checks are within range, 1 near a threshold, 1 beyond a threshold.
Tap a check to see how it is measured.

Other income reliance36%Beyond threshold

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 35.9%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate29%Within range

Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 28.5%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.

Cash conversion—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Free cash flow3 of 5 yrsNear threshold

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 3. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history+4 daysWithin range

Debtor days are above the median of the previous three fiscal years by 4 days (122 vs 118). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.

Capital work in progress0% of fixed assetsWithin range

Capital work-in-progress is 0% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Over 2 years, FIIs trimmed 0.7 pts.

Holdings, Jun '26

How each group changed

GroupDec '23Jun '26Change
Promoters———
FIIs1.3%0.6%-0.7 pts
DIIs0.1%0.0%-0.1 pts
Public and others97.0%98.1%+1.1 pts

Number of shareholders

3.3 lakhshareholders-1% since Dec '23
3.3L3.5L3.7L3.8L Dec '23Jun '24Dec '24Jun '25Dec '25Jun '26
Dec '23: 3.4 lakh
Mar '24: 3.8 lakh
Jun '24: 3.8 lakh
Sep '24: 3.7 lakh
Dec '24: 3.7 lakh
Mar '25: 3.6 lakh
Jun '25: 3.6 lakh
Sep '25: 3.5 lakh
Dec '25: 3.5 lakh
Mar '26: 3.4 lakh
Jun '26: 3.3 lakh
3.3L3.5L3.7L3.8L Dec '23Dec '24Dec '25Jun '26
Dec '23: 3.4 lakh
Mar '24: 3.8 lakh
Jun '24: 3.8 lakh
Sep '24: 3.7 lakh
Dec '24: 3.7 lakh
Mar '25: 3.6 lakh
Jun '25: 3.6 lakh
Sep '25: 3.5 lakh
Dec '25: 3.5 lakh
Mar '26: 3.4 lakh
Jun '26: 3.3 lakh

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-90.8%not yet recovered
1-year volatility55.7%annualised
Beta vs sector index0.813-year daily, correlation 0.30
Volume spikes15last 90 sessions, 5x the 50-day median

Monthly share price

₹3₹23₹43₹62 Jan '19Aug '20Mar '22Oct '23May '25Oct '26
2019-01: ₹6.55
2019-02: ₹5.45
2019-03: ₹5.75
2019-04: ₹6.75
2019-05: ₹6.90
2019-06: ₹5.80
2019-07: ₹5.30
2019-08: ₹5.35
2019-09: ₹5.35
2019-10: ₹5.15
2019-11: ₹5.75
2019-12: ₹5.95
2020-01: ₹6.10
2020-02: ₹6.00
2020-03: ₹3.10
2020-04: ₹3.90
2020-05: ₹7.00
2020-06: ₹8.05
2020-08: ₹10.70
2020-09: ₹11.85
2020-10: ₹16.95
2020-11: ₹22.75
2020-12: ₹28.45
2021-01: ₹26.55
2021-02: ₹27.65
2021-03: ₹35.55
2021-04: ₹52.80
2021-05: ₹59.05
2021-06: ₹56.70
2021-07: ₹62.20
2021-08: ₹51.85
2021-09: ₹51.25
2021-10: ₹42.45
2021-11: ₹50.40
2021-12: ₹54.15
2022-01: ₹47.15
2022-02: ₹36.70
2022-03: ₹32.15
2022-04: ₹35.45
2022-05: ₹28.60
2022-06: ₹25.55
2022-07: ₹26.30
2022-08: ₹37.40
2022-09: ₹31.75
2022-10: ₹30.20
2022-11: ₹31.90
2022-12: ₹33.90
2023-01: ₹34.40
2023-02: ₹28.45
2023-03: ₹28.40
2023-04: ₹32.25
2023-05: ₹27.10
2023-06: ₹29.05
2023-07: ₹32.40
2023-08: ₹36.15
2023-09: ₹32.55
2023-10: ₹29.85
2023-11: ₹31.45
2023-12: ₹33.95
2024-01: ₹37.55
2024-02: ₹36.15
2024-03: ₹30.05
2024-04: ₹30.85
2024-05: ₹28.05
2024-06: ₹29.61
2024-07: ₹34.25
2024-08: ₹30.16
2024-09: ₹27.07
2024-10: ₹24.12
2024-11: ₹24.26
2024-12: ₹21.98
2025-01: ₹18.42
2025-02: ₹13.66
2025-03: ₹12.20
2025-04: ₹12.07
2025-05: ₹14.44
2025-06: ₹14.15
2025-07: ₹13.08
2025-08: ₹12.51
2025-09: ₹11.95
2025-10: ₹12.88
2025-11: ₹12.05
2025-12: ₹11.31
2026-01: ₹9.28
2026-02: ₹9.16
2026-03: ₹6.68
2026-04: ₹9.34
2026-05: ₹10.72
2026-06: ₹11.62
2026-07: ₹12.33
2026-08: ₹18.48
2026-09: ₹19.73
2026-10: ₹16.33
₹3₹23₹43₹62 Jan '19Aug '21Mar '24Oct '26
2019-01: ₹6.55
2019-02: ₹5.45
2019-03: ₹5.75
2019-04: ₹6.75
2019-05: ₹6.90
2019-06: ₹5.80
2019-07: ₹5.30
2019-08: ₹5.35
2019-09: ₹5.35
2019-10: ₹5.15
2019-11: ₹5.75
2019-12: ₹5.95
2020-01: ₹6.10
2020-02: ₹6.00
2020-03: ₹3.10
2020-04: ₹3.90
2020-05: ₹7.00
2020-06: ₹8.05
2020-08: ₹10.70
2020-09: ₹11.85
2020-10: ₹16.95
2020-11: ₹22.75
2020-12: ₹28.45
2021-01: ₹26.55
2021-02: ₹27.65
2021-03: ₹35.55
2021-04: ₹52.80
2021-05: ₹59.05
2021-06: ₹56.70
2021-07: ₹62.20
2021-08: ₹51.85
2021-09: ₹51.25
2021-10: ₹42.45
2021-11: ₹50.40
2021-12: ₹54.15
2022-01: ₹47.15
2022-02: ₹36.70
2022-03: ₹32.15
2022-04: ₹35.45
2022-05: ₹28.60
2022-06: ₹25.55
2022-07: ₹26.30
2022-08: ₹37.40
2022-09: ₹31.75
2022-10: ₹30.20
2022-11: ₹31.90
2022-12: ₹33.90
2023-01: ₹34.40
2023-02: ₹28.45
2023-03: ₹28.40
2023-04: ₹32.25
2023-05: ₹27.10
2023-06: ₹29.05
2023-07: ₹32.40
2023-08: ₹36.15
2023-09: ₹32.55
2023-10: ₹29.85
2023-11: ₹31.45
2023-12: ₹33.95
2024-01: ₹37.55
2024-02: ₹36.15
2024-03: ₹30.05
2024-04: ₹30.85
2024-05: ₹28.05
2024-06: ₹29.61
2024-07: ₹34.25
2024-08: ₹30.16
2024-09: ₹27.07
2024-10: ₹24.12
2024-11: ₹24.26
2024-12: ₹21.98
2025-01: ₹18.42
2025-02: ₹13.66
2025-03: ₹12.20
2025-04: ₹12.07
2025-05: ₹14.44
2025-06: ₹14.15
2025-07: ₹13.08
2025-08: ₹12.51
2025-09: ₹11.95
2025-10: ₹12.88
2025-11: ₹12.05
2025-12: ₹11.31
2026-01: ₹9.28
2026-02: ₹9.16
2026-03: ₹6.68
2026-04: ₹9.34
2026-05: ₹10.72
2026-06: ₹11.62
2026-07: ₹12.33
2026-08: ₹18.48
2026-09: ₹19.73
2026-10: ₹16.33

Last 90 trading days

₹11₹15₹18₹22 Jun 23Jul 20Aug 13Sep 8Oct 6Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹11.67
2026-06-25: ₹11.72
2026-06-30: ₹11.62
2026-07-02: ₹11.36
2026-07-06: ₹11.55
2026-07-08: ₹12.00
2026-07-10: ₹13.23
2026-07-14: ₹13.36
2026-07-16: ₹13.33
2026-07-20: ₹12.93
2026-07-22: ₹12.69
2026-07-24: ₹12.58
2026-07-28: ₹12.15
2026-07-30: ₹11.75
2026-08-03: ₹12.85
2026-08-05: ₹13.77
2026-08-07: ₹13.74
2026-08-11: ₹13.97
2026-08-13: ₹13.73
2026-08-17: ₹14.11
2026-08-19: ₹15.92
2026-08-21: ₹18.66
2026-08-25: ₹17.82
2026-08-27: ₹17.95
2026-08-31: ₹18.48
2026-09-02: ₹17.57
2026-09-04: ₹17.28
2026-09-08: ₹19.23
2026-09-10: ₹19.76
2026-09-15: ₹20.44
2026-09-17: ₹19.90
2026-09-21: ₹19.61
2026-09-23: ₹22.08
2026-09-25: ₹21.41
2026-09-29: ₹20.35
2026-10-01: ₹19.34
2026-10-06: ₹19.59
2026-10-08: ₹18.41
2026-10-12: ₹18.75
2026-10-14: ₹19.12
2026-10-16: ₹19.00
2026-10-21: ₹17.73
2026-10-23: ₹16.57
2026-10-27: ₹16.89
2026-10-29: ₹17.74
2026-10-30: ₹16.33
₹11₹15₹18₹22 Jun 23Aug 5Sep 17Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹11.67
2026-06-25: ₹11.72
2026-06-30: ₹11.62
2026-07-02: ₹11.36
2026-07-06: ₹11.55
2026-07-08: ₹12.00
2026-07-10: ₹13.23
2026-07-14: ₹13.36
2026-07-16: ₹13.33
2026-07-20: ₹12.93
2026-07-22: ₹12.69
2026-07-24: ₹12.58
2026-07-28: ₹12.15
2026-07-30: ₹11.75
2026-08-03: ₹12.85
2026-08-05: ₹13.77
2026-08-07: ₹13.74
2026-08-11: ₹13.97
2026-08-13: ₹13.73
2026-08-17: ₹14.11
2026-08-19: ₹15.92
2026-08-21: ₹18.66
2026-08-25: ₹17.82
2026-08-27: ₹17.95
2026-08-31: ₹18.48
2026-09-02: ₹17.57
2026-09-04: ₹17.28
2026-09-08: ₹19.23
2026-09-10: ₹19.76
2026-09-15: ₹20.44
2026-09-17: ₹19.90
2026-09-21: ₹19.61
2026-09-23: ₹22.08
2026-09-25: ₹21.41
2026-09-29: ₹20.35
2026-10-01: ₹19.34
2026-10-06: ₹19.59
2026-10-08: ₹18.41
2026-10-12: ₹18.75
2026-10-14: ₹19.12
2026-10-16: ₹19.00
2026-10-21: ₹17.73
2026-10-23: ₹16.57
2026-10-27: ₹16.89
2026-10-29: ₹17.74
2026-10-30: ₹16.33

Drawdown from peak

0% -45% -90% Jan '19Dec '22Oct '26 0% -45% -90% Jan '19Dec '22Oct '26
Largest drawdowns

-90.8% (2021-07 peak to 2026-03 low, not yet recovered)

-61.0% (2019-01 peak to 2020-03 low, recovered 2020-06)

-23.8% (2020-12 peak to 2021-01 low, recovered 2021-03)

Most recent volume spikes

2026-09-25: 5.8x the 50-day median, price +3.4% that day

2026-09-24: 8.5x the 50-day median, price -6.2% that day

2026-09-23: 33.6x the 50-day median, price +14.0% that day

Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).

Where does it rank among Technology Services peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Technology Services peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

ROCE
Op. margin
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Nov '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Oct '26
Lower rank Higher rank

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Technology Services sector page Watch it move against Technology Services in the Observatory

What else looks like this?

Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.

CompanySectorSimilarityClosest on
EMS (EMSLIMITED)Industrial Services62%ROCE, operating margin
ROTO PUMPS (ROTO)Producer Manufacturing61%revenue, operating margin
VIDHI SPECIALTY FOOD ING (VIDHIING)Consumer Non-Durables59%P/E, operating margin
EIMCO ELECON INDIA (EIMCOELECO)Producer Manufacturing57%ROCE, P/E
CHEMCON SPECIALITY CHEMICALS (CHEMCON)Process Industries56%revenue, debt/equity
MATRIMONY.COM (MATRIMONY)Technology Services63%revenue growth, operating margin
EXCELSOFT TECHNOLOGIES (EXCELSOFT)Technology Services59%revenue, market cap
RAMCO SYSTEMS (RAMCOSYS)Technology Services36%debt/equity, revenue

Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.

What happened next to similar setups

−1.5%typical 12-month return vs the marketNot meaningfully different from the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like SUBEX LTD today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −20% to +30% vs the market, against −1% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The gap against the base rate (−0.9%, 80% range −7.7% to +2.7%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
ORIENTCER · Nov 2023: −39.9% vs market
PPAP · Nov 2020: −39.0% vs market
SHALBY · Dec 2023: −35.5% vs market
VETO · Apr 2021: −35.2% vs market
MOTISONS · Jun 2025: −33.4% vs market
ADFFOODS · Jul 2023: −27.9% vs market
STERTOOLS · Aug 2020: −26.7% vs market
GUJALKALI · May 2022: −26.1% vs market
JAGSNPHARM · Dec 2024: −25.3% vs market
CHEMFAB · Aug 2024: −21.1% vs market
DBCORP · May 2024: −21.1% vs market
SPAL · Feb 2022: −20.5% vs market
ASAHISONG · May 2021: −20.0% vs market
TTKHLTCARE · May 2023: −18.8% vs market
JTEKTINDIA · Jan 2023: −14.9% vs market
TALBROAUTO · Dec 2023: −14.8% vs market
ADOR · Jun 2023: −12.1% vs market
BBL · Apr 2024: −11.4% vs market
BLISSGVS · Nov 2023: −11.2% vs market
PLASTIBLEN · May 2020: −9.4% vs market
XPROINDIA · May 2025: −8.4% vs market
BOROLTD · Feb 2022: −6.2% vs market
CLEDUCATE · Oct 2022: −5.2% vs market
CONFIPET · Nov 2021: −3.2% vs market
INFOBEAN · Aug 2025: −2.1% vs market
SHREERAMA · May 2025: −0.9% vs market
GENUSPOWER · Jul 2021: +1.2% vs market
APOLSINHOT · Nov 2022: +1.2% vs market
AIRAN · Sep 2023: +2.2% vs market
GEOJITFSL · Feb 2021: +3.8% vs market
ARTEMISMED · Jun 2025: +4.0% vs market
AVTNPL · Mar 2020: +5.9% vs market
KRSNAA · Dec 2023: +6.6% vs market
BHAGCHEM · Jun 2023: +11.4% vs market
RUPA · Mar 2021: +15.5% vs market
GODFRYPHLP · Apr 2023: +27.9% vs market
SMSPHARMA · Aug 2020: +28.3% vs market
KOTHARIPET · Sep 2023: +30.9% vs market
ACE · Apr 2021: +33.5% vs market
THEJO · Jul 2023: +38.5% vs market
ASTRAMICRO · Feb 2023: +58.9% vs market
TDPOWERSYS · Jan 2023: +65.5% vs market
BORORENEW · Aug 2021: +79.9% vs market
KPITTECH · Jul 2021: +80.9% vs market
ELECON · Dec 2022: +100.1% vs market
GRWRHITECH · Feb 2024: +106.4% vs market
RAILTEL · Mar 2023: +142.2% vs market
BLS · Mar 2022: +196.8% vs market
NEULANDLAB · Feb 2023: +197.3% vs market
HBLENGINE · Mar 2023: +220.9% vs market
Similar setups −1.5%All companies −0.6%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 6 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
−1.5%
All companies' median
−0.6%
Beat the market
48% vs 49%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 35 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
AVTNPL
Consumer Non-Durables
Mar 2020 17x11% −11%−44% +6%
CONFIPET
Retail Trade
Nov 2021 42x12% +165%−20% −3%
SHALBY
Health Services
Dec 2023 48x10% +101%−6% −36%
JAGSNPHARM
Health Technology
Dec 2024 66x17% +57%−20% −25%
SMSPHARMA
Health Technology
Aug 2020 23x13% +81%−14% +28%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
ACE
Producer Manufacturing
Apr 2021 31x16% +210%−16% +34%
GEOJITFSL
Finance
Feb 2021 28x13% +107%−12% +4%
SHREERAMA
Process Industries
May 2025 31x9% +76%−21% −1%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: 12-month momentum, P/S and interest cover. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to SUBEX LTD. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-10-30. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 97,430 company-months from 2000 companies; financial: 5,632 company-months from 106 companies. 2240 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.
Monthly history (94 months)
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-1030.8x₹292 cr8.7%13.0%0.1x
2026-0937.2x₹292 cr8.7%13.0%0.1x
2026-0836.2x₹279 cr8.5%13.0%0.1x
2026-0724.2x₹279 cr8.5%13.0%0.1x
2026-0622.8x₹279 cr8.5%13.0%0.1x
2026-05536.0x₹277 cr0.4%-6.0%0.1x
2026-04467.0x₹277 cr0.4%-6.0%0.1x
2026-03334.0x₹277 cr0.4%-6.0%0.1x
2026-02—₹279 cr-1.7%-6.0%0.1x
2026-01—₹279 cr-1.7%-6.0%0.1x
2025-12—₹279 cr-1.7%-6.0%0.1x
2025-11—₹284 cr-2.3%-6.0%0.1x
2025-10—₹284 cr-2.3%-6.0%0.1x
2025-09—₹284 cr-2.3%-6.0%0.1x
2025-08—₹286 cr-10.2%-6.0%0.1x
2025-07—₹286 cr-10.2%-6.0%0.1x
2025-06—₹286 cr-10.2%-6.0%0.1x
2025-05—₹299 cr-50.9%-5.0%0.1x
2025-04—₹299 cr-50.9%-5.0%0.1x
2025-03—₹299 cr-50.9%-5.0%0.1x
2025-02—₹308 cr-51.5%-5.0%0.1x
2025-01—₹308 cr-51.5%-5.0%0.1x
2024-12—₹308 cr-51.5%-5.0%0.1x
2024-11—₹311 cr-55.1%-5.0%0.1x
2024-10—₹311 cr-55.1%-5.0%0.1x
2024-09—₹311 cr-55.1%-5.0%0.1x
2024-08—₹310 cr-57.5%-5.0%0.1x
2024-07—₹310 cr-57.5%-5.0%0.1x
2024-06—₹310 cr-57.5%-5.0%0.1x
2024-05—₹279 cr-9.8%-6.0%0.1x
2024-04—₹279 cr-9.8%-6.0%0.1x
2024-03—₹279 cr-9.8%-6.0%0.1x
2024-02—₹279 cr-9.8%-6.0%0.1x
2024-01—₹279 cr-9.8%-6.0%0.1x
2023-12—₹279 cr-9.8%-6.0%0.1x
2023-11—₹279 cr-9.8%-6.0%0.1x
2023-10—₹279 cr-9.8%-6.0%0.1x
2023-09—₹279 cr-9.8%-6.0%0.1x
2023-08—₹279 cr-9.8%-6.0%0.1x
2023-07—₹279 cr-9.8%-6.0%0.1x
2023-06—₹279 cr-9.8%-6.0%0.1x
2023-0573.2x₹333 cr3.7%6.0%0.0x
2023-0487.2x₹333 cr3.7%6.0%0.0x
2023-0376.8x₹333 cr3.7%6.0%0.0x
2023-0276.9x₹333 cr3.7%6.0%0.0x
2023-0193.0x₹333 cr3.7%6.0%0.0x
2022-1291.6x₹333 cr3.7%6.0%0.0x
2022-1186.2x₹333 cr3.7%6.0%0.0x
2022-1081.6x₹333 cr3.7%6.0%0.0x
2022-0985.8x₹333 cr3.7%6.0%0.0x
2022-08101.1x₹333 cr3.7%6.0%0.0x
2022-0771.1x₹333 cr3.7%6.0%0.0x
2022-0669.1x₹333 cr3.7%6.0%0.0x
2022-0531.1x₹372 cr9.5%16.0%0.0x
2022-0438.5x₹372 cr9.5%16.0%0.0x
2022-0334.9x₹372 cr9.5%16.0%0.0x
2022-0239.9x₹372 cr9.5%16.0%0.0x
2022-0151.3x₹372 cr9.5%16.0%0.0x
2021-1258.9x₹372 cr9.5%16.0%0.0x
2021-1154.8x₹372 cr9.5%16.0%0.0x
2021-1046.1x₹372 cr9.5%16.0%0.0x
2021-0955.7x₹372 cr9.5%16.0%0.0x
2021-0856.4x₹372 cr9.5%16.0%0.0x
2021-0767.6x₹372 cr9.5%16.0%0.0x
2021-0661.6x₹372 cr9.5%16.0%0.0x
2021-05—₹365 cr-52.2%13.0%0.1x
2021-04—₹365 cr-52.2%13.0%0.1x
2021-03—₹365 cr-52.2%13.0%0.1x
2021-02—₹365 cr-52.2%13.0%0.1x
2021-01—₹365 cr-52.2%13.0%0.1x
2020-12—₹365 cr-52.2%13.0%0.1x
2020-11—₹365 cr-52.2%13.0%0.1x
2020-10—₹365 cr-52.2%13.0%0.1x
2020-09—₹365 cr-52.2%13.0%0.1x
2020-08—₹365 cr-52.2%13.0%0.1x
2020-07—————
2020-06—₹365 cr-52.2%13.0%0.1x
2020-0515.6x₹348 cr3.1%6.0%0.0x
2020-048.7x₹348 cr3.1%6.0%0.0x
2020-036.9x₹348 cr3.1%6.0%0.0x
2020-0213.3x₹348 cr3.1%6.0%0.0x
2020-0113.6x₹348 cr3.1%6.0%0.0x
2019-1213.2x₹348 cr3.1%6.0%0.0x
2019-1112.8x₹348 cr3.1%6.0%0.0x
2019-1011.4x₹348 cr3.1%6.0%0.0x
2019-0911.9x₹348 cr3.1%6.0%0.0x
2019-0811.9x₹348 cr3.1%6.0%0.0x
2019-0711.8x₹348 cr3.1%6.0%0.0x
2019-0612.9x₹348 cr3.1%6.0%0.0x
2019-0518.6x₹324 cr2.7%4.0%0.0x
2019-0418.2x₹324 cr2.7%4.0%0.0x
2019-0315.5x₹324 cr2.7%4.0%0.0x
2019-0214.7x₹324 cr2.7%4.0%0.0x
2019-0117.7x₹324 cr2.7%4.0%0.0x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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