अApnaFunda

ASHAPURA LOGISTICS LIMITED (ASHALOG)

Transportation

Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.46 / 100
Profitability 41Balance sheet 51

Passes these screens: Value Pick

Share Price
₹62.00
P/E
9.3x
ROCE
10.0%
Market Cap
₹84 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹319 cr
P/S
0.3x
P/B
0.6x
ROE
6.4%
Debt / Equity
0.6x
Promoter Holding
68.0%
12M Momentum
-12.2%
P/E vs its own history89th percentilesince Aug '24
P/E vs Transportation0.6xthe sector median

52-week range

₹49.60₹92.60
29% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
53.0%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
0.55

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
3.0x
Cash from profit, 3Y
operating cash flow ÷ net profit
0.24x
low
Share count, 1Y
unchanged

Was the rally earned?

-12%share price, 1 yearEarnings-driven

Mostly earnings.

  • Per-share earnings took off 29 points, while the multiple moved less (P/E 7.8x to 9.3x).
  • The share count rose 2%.
1 year Net profit growth: -27 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).-27 ptsP/E change: +17 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.+17 ptsShare count change: -2 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. -12% 1 year Net profit growth: -27 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).-27 ptsP/E change: +17 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.+17 ptsShare count change: -2 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. -12%
Net profit growth-27 ptsNet profit fell about 25%, which lowers the price.
P/E change+17 ptsThe P/E rose from 7.8x to 9.3x, which lifts the price.
Share count change-2 ptsShare count rose 2%, which lowers the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Not shown for 3 years and 5 years: earnings were negative at one end, or there is not enough history.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare this with DELHIVERY

Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?

9.3xP/E todayNear its historic high
Against its own history89th percentileMedian 7.3x; usual range 6.1x to 9.4x since 2024-08.
Against Transportation9.3x vs 16.1xBelow the Transportation median.
5.0x14.3x23.6x32.9xAug '24Feb '25Aug '25Feb '26Aug '26Oct '265.0x14.3x23.6x32.9xAug '24May '25Feb '26Oct '26
P/E (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianTransportation median

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P/B (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianTransportation median

The chart loads when you open this tab.

P/S (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianTransportation median
How to read this

Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dashed line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).

Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.

All terms explained in the glossary →

How Transportation is valued

What is the price implying?

~7%annual earnings growth implied by the price

At a P/E of 9.3x, the price would imply about 6.8%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.

Fewer than six years of annual earnings are available, which is too little to measure delivered growth.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Transportation The market-wide Expectations lists

What changed?

  1. Aug '26P/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (9.8x).
  2. Jul '26Fell 72% from the Aug 2024 peak to the Jul 2026 low.
  3. Jun '26Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹319 cr.
  4. Jun '26Slipped to the bottom quartile of Transportation on EPS growth (from the 3rd quartile).
  5. May '26Slipped to the 3rd quartile of Transportation on ROCE (from the 2nd quartile).
  6. Sep '25Moved into the 3rd quartile of Transportation on EPS growth (from the bottom quartile).
  7. Aug '25Share count is up 40.0% over 12 months.
  8. Jun '25Slipped to the 2nd quartile of Transportation on ROCE (from the top quartile).

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Are profits backed by cash?

2 of 5 checks are within range, 2 near a threshold, 1 beyond a threshold.
Tap a check to see how it is measured.

Other income reliance8%Within range

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 7.7%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Cash conversion0.24xBeyond threshold

Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 0.24x (cash from operations ₹8 cr, net profit ₹33 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.

Free cash flow2 of 5 yrsNear threshold

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 2. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history-27 daysWithin range

Debtor days are below the median of the previous three fiscal years by 27 days (113 vs 140). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.

Capital work in progress42% of fixed assetsNear threshold

Capital work-in-progress is 42% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Over 2 years, FIIs trimmed 3.2 pts; promoters added 0.5 pts.
  • The number of shareholders fell from 1,737 to 1,274 (-27%) between Sep 2024 and Jun 2026.

Holdings, Jun '26

How each group changed

GroupSep '24Jun '26Change
Promoters67.5%68.0%+0.5 pts
FIIs4.3%1.1%-3.2 pts
DIIs0.8%0.8%0.0 pts
Public and others27.4%30.1%+2.7 pts

Number of shareholders

1,274shareholders-27% since Sep '24
1k1k2k2k Sep '24Mar '25Sep '25Mar '26Jun '26
Sep '24: 1,737
Mar '25: 1,558
Sep '25: 1,446
Mar '26: 1,316
Jun '26: 1,274
1k1k2k2k Sep '24Sep '25Jun '26
Sep '24: 1,737
Mar '25: 1,558
Sep '25: 1,446
Mar '26: 1,316
Jun '26: 1,274

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-71.6%not yet recovered
1-year volatility53.0%annualised

Monthly share price

₹53₹86₹120₹153 Aug '24Feb '25Aug '25Feb '26Aug '26Oct '26
2024-08: ₹152.95
2024-09: ₹120.00
2024-10: ₹99.30
2024-11: ₹101.50
2024-12: ₹91.00
2025-01: ₹89.80
2025-02: ₹78.65
2025-03: ₹62.95
2025-04: ₹77.20
2025-05: ₹75.00
2025-06: ₹65.35
2025-07: ₹64.95
2025-08: ₹64.40
2025-09: ₹79.00
2025-10: ₹70.65
2025-11: ₹70.00
2025-12: ₹68.30
2026-01: ₹64.65
2026-02: ₹63.00
2026-03: ₹54.80
2026-04: ₹66.00
2026-05: ₹55.00
2026-06: ₹55.70
2026-07: ₹53.05
2026-08: ₹64.85
2026-09: ₹61.00
2026-10: ₹62.00
₹53₹86₹120₹153 Aug '24May '25Feb '26Oct '26
2024-08: ₹152.95
2024-09: ₹120.00
2024-10: ₹99.30
2024-11: ₹101.50
2024-12: ₹91.00
2025-01: ₹89.80
2025-02: ₹78.65
2025-03: ₹62.95
2025-04: ₹77.20
2025-05: ₹75.00
2025-06: ₹65.35
2025-07: ₹64.95
2025-08: ₹64.40
2025-09: ₹79.00
2025-10: ₹70.65
2025-11: ₹70.00
2025-12: ₹68.30
2026-01: ₹64.65
2026-02: ₹63.00
2026-03: ₹54.80
2026-04: ₹66.00
2026-05: ₹55.00
2026-06: ₹55.70
2026-07: ₹53.05
2026-08: ₹64.85
2026-09: ₹61.00
2026-10: ₹62.00

Last 90 trading days

₹50₹55₹60₹65 May 27Jun 23Jul 22Aug 20Sep 17Oct 29
2026-05-27: ₹55.45
2026-06-01: ₹55.00
2026-06-03: ₹57.65
2026-06-05: ₹54.65
2026-06-09: ₹55.00
2026-06-11: ₹54.45
2026-06-15: ₹56.00
2026-06-17: ₹59.50
2026-06-19: ₹56.80
2026-06-23: ₹54.70
2026-06-30: ₹55.70
2026-07-02: ₹50.00
2026-07-06: ₹50.60
2026-07-08: ₹50.00
2026-07-10: ₹52.90
2026-07-14: ₹54.90
2026-07-16: ₹53.75
2026-07-20: ₹52.50
2026-07-22: ₹55.90
2026-07-29: ₹55.85
2026-07-31: ₹53.05
2026-08-04: ₹56.20
2026-08-06: ₹57.00
2026-08-10: ₹60.95
2026-08-12: ₹61.50
2026-08-14: ₹59.95
2026-08-18: ₹60.50
2026-08-20: ₹62.10
2026-08-24: ₹63.45
2026-08-26: ₹63.00
2026-08-31: ₹64.85
2026-09-02: ₹62.00
2026-09-04: ₹62.50
2026-09-08: ₹60.50
2026-09-10: ₹60.00
2026-09-15: ₹63.85
2026-09-17: ₹60.05
2026-09-23: ₹60.00
2026-09-30: ₹61.00
2026-10-05: ₹60.00
2026-10-07: ₹63.85
2026-10-14: ₹64.00
2026-10-21: ₹63.30
2026-10-26: ₹59.00
2026-10-28: ₹60.10
2026-10-29: ₹62.00
₹50₹55₹60₹65 May 27Jul 14Aug 31Oct 29
2026-05-27: ₹55.45
2026-06-01: ₹55.00
2026-06-03: ₹57.65
2026-06-05: ₹54.65
2026-06-09: ₹55.00
2026-06-11: ₹54.45
2026-06-15: ₹56.00
2026-06-17: ₹59.50
2026-06-19: ₹56.80
2026-06-23: ₹54.70
2026-06-30: ₹55.70
2026-07-02: ₹50.00
2026-07-06: ₹50.60
2026-07-08: ₹50.00
2026-07-10: ₹52.90
2026-07-14: ₹54.90
2026-07-16: ₹53.75
2026-07-20: ₹52.50
2026-07-22: ₹55.90
2026-07-29: ₹55.85
2026-07-31: ₹53.05
2026-08-04: ₹56.20
2026-08-06: ₹57.00
2026-08-10: ₹60.95
2026-08-12: ₹61.50
2026-08-14: ₹59.95
2026-08-18: ₹60.50
2026-08-20: ₹62.10
2026-08-24: ₹63.45
2026-08-26: ₹63.00
2026-08-31: ₹64.85
2026-09-02: ₹62.00
2026-09-04: ₹62.50
2026-09-08: ₹60.50
2026-09-10: ₹60.00
2026-09-15: ₹63.85
2026-09-17: ₹60.05
2026-09-23: ₹60.00
2026-09-30: ₹61.00
2026-10-05: ₹60.00
2026-10-07: ₹63.85
2026-10-14: ₹64.00
2026-10-21: ₹63.30
2026-10-26: ₹59.00
2026-10-28: ₹60.10
2026-10-29: ₹62.00

Drawdown from peak

0% -35% -71% Aug '24Sep '25Oct '26 0% -35% -71% Aug '24Sep '25Oct '26
Largest drawdowns

-71.6% (2024-08 peak to 2026-07 low, not yet recovered)

Where does it rank among Transportation peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Transportation peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

ROCE
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Nov '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Oct '26
Lower rank Higher rank

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Transportation sector page Watch it move against Transportation in the Observatory

What happened next to similar setups

−0.3%typical 12-month return vs the marketNot meaningfully different from the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like ASHAPURA LOGISTICS LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, debt, growth, price momentum and size.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −28% to +42% vs the market, against −4% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The gap against the base rate (+3.6%, 80% range −4.9% to +12.0%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
MANGALAM · Dec 2024: −77.4% vs market
NDL · Mar 2025: −46.2% vs market
RKEC · Oct 2024: −45.0% vs market
PIONEEREMB · Mar 2025: −44.5% vs market
MAHESHWARI · May 2023: −43.3% vs market
GLOBE · Oct 2024: −39.5% vs market
GINNIFILA · Jun 2022: −34.9% vs market
ESPRIT · Aug 2025: −33.9% vs market
MOKSH · Sep 2025: −33.0% vs market
SUPERHOUSE · Jun 2023: −32.9% vs market
JAIPURKURT · Aug 2025: −32.8% vs market
KMSUGAR · Jul 2024: −31.4% vs market
BASML · Jun 2022: −27.9% vs market
RBS · Jun 2025: −26.7% vs market
SCML · Sep 2025: −26.3% vs market
LAXMICOT · Sep 2022: −25.2% vs market
PATINTLOG · Apr 2022: −20.5% vs market
RUCHIRA · Apr 2023: −20.2% vs market
BEARDSELL · Jul 2023: −11.4% vs market
JAYSREETEA · Mar 2022: −10.2% vs market
LAMBODHARA · Oct 2025: −6.5% vs market
ANIKINDS · Mar 2023: −5.8% vs market
SALZERELEC · Jul 2021: −3.6% vs market
ARCHIDPLY · Mar 2024: −2.1% vs market
SPIC · Jan 2020: −0.9% vs market
CORDSCABLE · Apr 2025: +0.4% vs market
NECLIFE · Mar 2020: +5.6% vs market
BVCL · Feb 2021: +8.9% vs market
PRITIKAUTO · Jun 2023: +9.5% vs market
GOKUL · Oct 2021: +9.8% vs market
AARVI · Sep 2025: +13.9% vs market
ARIES · Mar 2022: +14.4% vs market
MANINDS · Jan 2020: +17.2% vs market
BANSWRAS · Aug 2022: +28.6% vs market
MHHL · Dec 2021: +29.4% vs market
IVP · Jan 2023: +31.9% vs market
PGIL · Jul 2022: +36.2% vs market
GPTINFRA · Feb 2021: +44.1% vs market
CENTEXT · Nov 2022: +47.0% vs market
REXPIPES · May 2024: +47.2% vs market
MANAKALUCO · Apr 2020: +48.0% vs market
ARISTO · Apr 2024: +60.3% vs market
RELIABLE · Mar 2025: +61.4% vs market
TBZ · Mar 2024: +70.8% vs market
MWL · Sep 2024: +75.7% vs market
AMDIND · Oct 2021: +102.7% vs market
LOKESHMACH · Aug 2021: +151.9% vs market
TEXMOPIPES · Jul 2020: +181.3% vs market
DPABHUSHAN · Apr 2021: +223.5% vs market
GOKEX · Feb 2021: +243.1% vs market
Similar setups −0.3%All companies −3.9%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 5 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
−0.3%
All companies' median
−3.9%
Beat the market
50% vs 46%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 36 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
ARCHIDPLY
Producer Manufacturing
Mar 2024 13x13% +63%−20% −2%
BVCL
Non-Energy Minerals
Feb 2021 6x6% +46%−12% +9%
MANAKALUCO
Non-Energy Minerals
Apr 2020 4x7% −36%−39% +48%
PRITIKAUTO
Producer Manufacturing
Jun 2023 10x13% +24%−12% +10%
GLOBE
Process Industries
Oct 2024 20x— +41%−24% −40%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
REXPIPES
Producer Manufacturing
May 2024 16x— +60%−22% +47%
CORDSCABLE
Producer Manufacturing
Apr 2025 16x15% −3%−39% 0%
ARIES
Process Industries
Mar 2022 10x14% +79%−27% +14%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high and size. Closest on: 12-month momentum, interest cover and P/E. Not used (unavailable for this company): operating margin and volatility. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to ASHAPURA LOGISTICS LIMITED. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-10-30. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 97,430 company-months from 2000 companies; financial: 5,632 company-months from 106 companies. 2240 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.
Monthly history (27 months)
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-109.3x₹319 cr6.4%10.0%0.6x
2026-099.2x₹319 cr6.4%10.0%0.6x
2026-089.8x₹319 cr6.4%10.0%0.6x
2026-078.0x₹319 cr6.4%10.0%0.6x
2026-068.4x₹319 cr6.4%10.0%0.6x
2026-056.1x₹231 cr9.2%14.0%0.5x
2026-047.3x₹231 cr9.2%14.0%0.5x
2026-036.0x₹231 cr9.2%14.0%0.5x
2026-026.9x₹231 cr9.2%14.0%0.5x
2026-017.1x₹231 cr9.2%14.0%0.5x
2025-127.5x₹231 cr9.2%14.0%0.5x
2025-117.7x₹231 cr9.2%14.0%0.5x
2025-107.8x₹231 cr9.2%14.0%0.5x
2025-098.7x₹231 cr9.2%14.0%0.5x
2025-087.1x₹231 cr9.2%14.0%0.5x
2025-077.2x₹231 cr9.2%14.0%0.5x
2025-067.2x₹231 cr9.2%14.0%0.5x
2025-056.0x₹199 cr18.5%21.0%0.6x
2025-046.2x₹199 cr18.5%21.0%0.6x
2025-035.0x₹199 cr18.5%21.0%0.6x
2025-026.3x₹199 cr18.5%21.0%0.6x
2025-017.2x₹199 cr18.5%21.0%0.6x
2024-127.3x₹199 cr18.5%21.0%0.6x
2024-118.1x₹199 cr18.5%21.0%0.6x
2024-108.0x₹199 cr18.5%21.0%0.6x
2024-099.6x₹199 cr18.5%21.0%0.6x
2024-0812.2x₹199 cr18.5%21.0%0.6x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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