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BAHETI RECYCLING IND LIMITED (BAHETI)

Producer Manufacturing

Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.56 / 100
Profitability 76Growth 90Balance sheet 2
Momentum scoreHow strong the recent trend is: 3-month price change, 12-month improvement in earnings and the rise in FII + DII holding, among companies above ₹500 cr.62 / 100
Price 64Earnings 67FII/DII 56

Passes these screens: Consistent compounders

Share Price
₹696.35
P/E
26.9x
ROCE
22.0%
Market Cap
₹727 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹724 cr
P/S
1.0x
P/B
7.8x
ROE
29.1%
Debt / Equity
2.5x
Promoter Holding
74.1%
12M Momentum
19.7%
P/E vs its own history6th percentilesince Sep '19
P/E vs Producer Manufacturing0.9xthe sector median

52-week range

₹478.00₹881.00
54% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
30.4%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
0.65

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
2.7x
Cash from profit, 3Y
operating cash flow ÷ net profit
-1.35x
low
Share count, 1Y
unchanged

Was the rally earned?

+20%share price, 1 yearLower P/E held it back

Mostly yes, with a catch.

  • Per-share earnings added 44 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 33.5x to 26.9x), which took 24 points back.
  • The share count barely moved.
1 year Net profit growth: +45 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+45 ptsP/E change: -24 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-24 ptsShare count change: -1 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. +20% 1 year Net profit growth: +45 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+45 ptsP/E change: -24 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-24 ptsShare count change: -1 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. +20%
Net profit growth+45 ptsNet profit rose about 50%, which lifts the price.
P/E change-24 ptsThe P/E fell from 33.5x to 26.9x, which lowers the price.
Share count change-1 ptsShare count was little changed. More shares would count against the price.
+214%share price, 3 yearsLower P/E held it back

Mostly yes, with a catch.

  • Per-share earnings added 304 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 43.6x to 26.9x), which took 90 points back.
  • The share count rose 6%.
3 years Net profit growth: +316 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+316 ptsP/E change: -90 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-90 ptsShare count change: -12 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. +214% 3 years Net profit growth: +316 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+316 ptsP/E change: -90 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-90 ptsShare count change: -12 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. +214%
Net profit growth+316 ptsNet profit rose about 441%, which lifts the price.
P/E change-90 ptsThe P/E fell from 43.6x to 26.9x, which lowers the price.
Share count change-11 ptsShare count rose 6%, which lowers the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Not shown for 5 years: earnings were negative at one end, or there is not enough history.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare this with BHARAT FORGE

Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?

26.9xP/E todayNear its historic low
Against its own history6th percentileMedian 38.0x; usual range 28.0x to 1241.3x since 2019-09.
Against Producer Manufacturing26.9x vs 28.5xBelow the Producer Manufacturing median.
10.6x1007.0x2003.5x3000.0xSep '19Feb '21Jul '22Dec '23May '25Oct '2610.6x1007.0x2003.5x3000.0xSep '19Feb '22Jul '24Oct '26
P/E (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianProducer Manufacturing median

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P/B (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianProducer Manufacturing median

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P/S (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianProducer Manufacturing median
How to read this

Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dashed line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).

Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.

All terms explained in the glossary →

How Producer Manufacturing is valued

What is the price implying?

~29%annual earnings growth implied by the price

At a P/E of 60.5x, the price would imply about 28.8%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.

Below the ₹1,000 cr market-cap floor used for the lists.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Producer Manufacturing The market-wide Expectations lists

What changed?

  1. Oct '26P/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (26.9x).
  2. Jun '26Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹724 cr.
  3. Jun '26Moved into the top quartile of Producer Manufacturing on ROCE (from the 2nd quartile).
  4. Apr '26Volume reached 6.2x its 50-day median on 2026-04-29; price -4.0% that day.
  5. Mar '26P/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (28.1x).
  6. Aug '25Slipped to the 2nd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on ROCE (from the top quartile).
  7. Jun '25Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹524 cr.
  8. Jun '25Moved into the top quartile of Producer Manufacturing on ROCE (from the 3rd quartile).
Show 19 earlier events
  1. Jun '25Dividend payout cut from 7% to 0% of profit.
  2. May '25Volume reached 12.7x its 50-day median on 2025-05-06; price -5.5% that day.
  3. Feb '25Volume reached 10.1x its 50-day median on 2025-02-06; price +5.3% that day.
  4. Oct '24Volume reached 9.4x its 50-day median on 2024-10-29; price +8.5% that day.
  5. Aug '24Volume reached 10.0x its 50-day median on 2024-08-23; price +9.6% that day.
  6. Jun '24Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹429 cr.
  7. Jun '24Started paying a dividend (payout 7% of profit).
  8. May '24Volume reached 72.4x its 50-day median on 2024-05-06; price +10.3% that day.
  9. Feb '24Volume reached 13.2x its 50-day median on 2024-02-05; price +8.5% that day.
  10. Dec '23Slipped to the 3rd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on ROCE (from the 2nd quartile).
  11. Dec '23Share count is up 100.0% over 12 months.
  12. Oct '23Volume reached 11.5x its 50-day median on 2023-10-05; price +8.1% that day.
  13. Aug '23Volume reached 14.4x its 50-day median on 2023-08-24; price +0.2% that day.
  14. Jun '23Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹358 cr.
  15. Jun '23Moved into the 2nd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on ROCE (from the 3rd quartile).
  16. Jun '23Volume reached 40.8x its 50-day median on 2023-06-22; price +19.5% that day.
  17. Mar '23Fell 92% from the Feb 2020 peak to the Mar 2023 low.
  18. Jan '23Volume reached 2811.6x its 50-day median on 2023-01-02; price +6.7% that day.
  19. Dec '22Volume reached 30346.2x its 50-day median on 2022-12-08; price -88.5% that day.

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Are profits backed by cash?

4 of 6 checks are within range, 2 beyond a threshold.
Tap a check to see how it is measured.

Other income reliance3%Within range

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 2.7%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Cash conversion-1.35xBeyond threshold

Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: -1.35x (cash from operations ₹-70 cr, net profit ₹52 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.

Free cash flow1 of 5 yrsBeyond threshold

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 1. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history-4 daysWithin range

Debtor days are below the median of the previous three fiscal years by 4 days (46 vs 50). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.

Capital work in progress18% of fixed assetsWithin range

Capital work-in-progress is 18% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days+8 days / 2 yrsWithin range

Days payable changed by +8 over two years. Bands: rise of up to 30 days; more than 30 days.

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Over 3 years, promoters added 0.8 pts.
  • The number of shareholders rose from 445 to 1,035 (+133%) between Mar 2023 and Mar 2026.

Holdings, Mar '26

How each group changed

GroupMar '23Mar '26Change
Promoters73.4%74.1%+0.8 pts
FIIs0.0%0.0%0.0 pts
DIIs0.0%0.0%0.0 pts
Public and others26.6%25.8%-0.8 pts

Number of shareholders

1,035shareholders+133% since Mar '23
4456428381k Mar '23Sep '23Sep '24Mar '25Sep '25Mar '26
Mar '23: 445
Sep '23: 483
Sep '24: 535
Mar '25: 751
Sep '25: 1,013
Mar '26: 1,035
4456428381k Mar '23Sep '24Sep '25Mar '26
Mar '23: 445
Sep '23: 483
Sep '24: 535
Mar '25: 751
Sep '25: 1,013
Mar '26: 1,035

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-92.4%not yet recovered
1-year volatility30.4%annualised
Beta vs sector index0.713-year daily, correlation 0.30
Volume spikes0last 90 sessions, 5x the 50-day median

Monthly share price

₹88₹389₹689₹990 Sep '19Feb '21Jul '22Dec '23May '25Oct '26
2019-09: ₹900.00
2019-10: ₹851.00
2019-11: ₹901.00
2019-12: ₹950.00
2020-01: ₹931.00
2020-02: ₹985.00
2020-03: ₹915.00
2020-04: ₹990.00
2020-05: ₹951.15
2020-06: ₹990.00
2022-12: ₹124.15
2023-01: ₹110.80
2023-02: ₹93.30
2023-03: ₹88.45
2023-04: ₹117.90
2023-05: ₹114.00
2023-06: ₹112.00
2023-07: ₹109.90
2023-08: ₹141.75
2023-09: ₹147.25
2023-10: ₹222.00
2023-11: ₹197.95
2023-12: ₹178.20
2024-01: ₹195.00
2024-02: ₹187.00
2024-03: ₹193.50
2024-04: ₹185.10
2024-05: ₹292.85
2024-06: ₹258.10
2024-07: ₹300.00
2024-08: ₹383.00
2024-09: ₹392.90
2024-10: ₹438.50
2024-11: ₹431.35
2024-12: ₹388.00
2025-01: ₹398.75
2025-02: ₹400.85
2025-03: ₹581.45
2025-04: ₹575.60
2025-05: ₹565.20
2025-06: ₹593.15
2025-07: ₹579.25
2025-08: ₹563.65
2025-09: ₹547.10
2025-10: ₹582.00
2025-11: ₹554.35
2025-12: ₹590.80
2026-01: ₹616.75
2026-02: ₹597.05
2026-03: ₹487.30
2026-04: ₹600.80
2026-05: ₹593.95
2026-06: ₹723.95
2026-07: ₹719.30
2026-08: ₹861.80
2026-09: ₹748.50
2026-10: ₹696.35
₹88₹389₹689₹990 Sep '19Feb '22Jul '24Oct '26
2019-09: ₹900.00
2019-10: ₹851.00
2019-11: ₹901.00
2019-12: ₹950.00
2020-01: ₹931.00
2020-02: ₹985.00
2020-03: ₹915.00
2020-04: ₹990.00
2020-05: ₹951.15
2020-06: ₹990.00
2022-12: ₹124.15
2023-01: ₹110.80
2023-02: ₹93.30
2023-03: ₹88.45
2023-04: ₹117.90
2023-05: ₹114.00
2023-06: ₹112.00
2023-07: ₹109.90
2023-08: ₹141.75
2023-09: ₹147.25
2023-10: ₹222.00
2023-11: ₹197.95
2023-12: ₹178.20
2024-01: ₹195.00
2024-02: ₹187.00
2024-03: ₹193.50
2024-04: ₹185.10
2024-05: ₹292.85
2024-06: ₹258.10
2024-07: ₹300.00
2024-08: ₹383.00
2024-09: ₹392.90
2024-10: ₹438.50
2024-11: ₹431.35
2024-12: ₹388.00
2025-01: ₹398.75
2025-02: ₹400.85
2025-03: ₹581.45
2025-04: ₹575.60
2025-05: ₹565.20
2025-06: ₹593.15
2025-07: ₹579.25
2025-08: ₹563.65
2025-09: ₹547.10
2025-10: ₹582.00
2025-11: ₹554.35
2025-12: ₹590.80
2026-01: ₹616.75
2026-02: ₹597.05
2026-03: ₹487.30
2026-04: ₹600.80
2026-05: ₹593.95
2026-06: ₹723.95
2026-07: ₹719.30
2026-08: ₹861.80
2026-09: ₹748.50
2026-10: ₹696.35

Last 90 trading days

₹693₹750₹806₹862 Jun 23Jul 20Aug 13Sep 8Oct 6Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹719.25
2026-06-25: ₹719.25
2026-06-30: ₹723.95
2026-07-02: ₹731.05
2026-07-06: ₹723.00
2026-07-08: ₹715.20
2026-07-10: ₹706.55
2026-07-14: ₹710.00
2026-07-16: ₹707.65
2026-07-20: ₹711.85
2026-07-22: ₹702.95
2026-07-24: ₹709.90
2026-07-28: ₹708.00
2026-07-30: ₹711.70
2026-08-03: ₹724.20
2026-08-05: ₹762.75
2026-08-07: ₹769.55
2026-08-11: ₹784.00
2026-08-13: ₹783.25
2026-08-17: ₹789.00
2026-08-19: ₹800.60
2026-08-21: ₹815.10
2026-08-25: ₹841.85
2026-08-27: ₹835.40
2026-08-31: ₹861.80
2026-09-02: ₹840.90
2026-09-04: ₹846.00
2026-09-08: ₹829.50
2026-09-10: ₹828.65
2026-09-15: ₹780.75
2026-09-17: ₹743.80
2026-09-21: ₹764.65
2026-09-23: ₹761.25
2026-09-25: ₹761.40
2026-09-29: ₹765.00
2026-10-01: ₹733.10
2026-10-06: ₹725.55
2026-10-08: ₹693.40
2026-10-12: ₹710.00
2026-10-14: ₹724.90
2026-10-16: ₹718.35
2026-10-21: ₹732.80
2026-10-23: ₹704.30
2026-10-27: ₹710.00
2026-10-29: ₹708.40
2026-10-30: ₹696.35
₹693₹750₹806₹862 Jun 23Aug 5Sep 17Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹719.25
2026-06-25: ₹719.25
2026-06-30: ₹723.95
2026-07-02: ₹731.05
2026-07-06: ₹723.00
2026-07-08: ₹715.20
2026-07-10: ₹706.55
2026-07-14: ₹710.00
2026-07-16: ₹707.65
2026-07-20: ₹711.85
2026-07-22: ₹702.95
2026-07-24: ₹709.90
2026-07-28: ₹708.00
2026-07-30: ₹711.70
2026-08-03: ₹724.20
2026-08-05: ₹762.75
2026-08-07: ₹769.55
2026-08-11: ₹784.00
2026-08-13: ₹783.25
2026-08-17: ₹789.00
2026-08-19: ₹800.60
2026-08-21: ₹815.10
2026-08-25: ₹841.85
2026-08-27: ₹835.40
2026-08-31: ₹861.80
2026-09-02: ₹840.90
2026-09-04: ₹846.00
2026-09-08: ₹829.50
2026-09-10: ₹828.65
2026-09-15: ₹780.75
2026-09-17: ₹743.80
2026-09-21: ₹764.65
2026-09-23: ₹761.25
2026-09-25: ₹761.40
2026-09-29: ₹765.00
2026-10-01: ₹733.10
2026-10-06: ₹725.55
2026-10-08: ₹693.40
2026-10-12: ₹710.00
2026-10-14: ₹724.90
2026-10-16: ₹718.35
2026-10-21: ₹732.80
2026-10-23: ₹704.30
2026-10-27: ₹710.00
2026-10-29: ₹708.40
2026-10-30: ₹696.35

Drawdown from peak

0% -46% -92% Sep '19Apr '23Oct '26 0% -46% -92% Sep '19Apr '23Oct '26
Largest drawdowns

-92.4% (2020-02 peak to 2023-03 low, not yet recovered)

-16.6% (2019-09 peak to 2019-09 low, recovered 2020-01)

Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).

Where does it rank among Producer Manufacturing peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Producer Manufacturing peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

ROCE
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Nov '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Oct '26
Lower rank Higher rank

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Producer Manufacturing sector page Watch it move against Producer Manufacturing in the Observatory

What else looks like this?

Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.

CompanySectorSimilarityClosest on
MANGALAM WORLDWIDE (MWL)Non-Energy Minerals66%revenue growth, volatility
BOMBAY SUPER HYBRID SEEDS (BSHSL)Process Industries54%promoter holding, market cap
NGL FINE CHEM (NGLFINE)Health Technology54%revenue growth, P/E
MMP INDUSTRIES (MMP)Non-Energy Minerals47%promoter holding, revenue
ALLDIGI TECH (ALLDIGI)Technology Services46%promoter holding, revenue
AUTOMOTIVE STAMPINGS AND ASSEM (ASAL)Producer Manufacturing45%market cap, debt/equity
NDR AUTO COMPONENTS (NDRAUTO)Producer Manufacturing37%ROCE, revenue growth
SERVOTECH RENEWABLE POWER SYST (SERVOTECH)Producer Manufacturing36%revenue, EPS growth

Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.

What happened next to similar setups

+16.2%typical 12-month return vs the marketAbove the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like BAHETI RECYCLING IND LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −12% to +81% vs the market, against −4% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The analogs' median sat above that base rate (gap +20.5%, 80% range +7.5% to +40.2%), but the matches cluster in only 6 distinct 12-month windows.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
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HARRMALAYA · Feb 2021: −12.3% vs market
UNIVASTU · Jun 2020: −12.0% vs market
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GSPL · Mar 2020: −11.1% vs market
TATACOMM · Apr 2025: −6.9% vs market
SANSERA · Oct 2024: −3.0% vs market
CHAMBLFERT · Apr 2020: +5.1% vs market
VISHNU · Jul 2022: +6.5% vs market
VRLLOG · Aug 2025: +6.7% vs market
GOODLUCK · Sep 2022: +11.0% vs market
SGIL · Oct 2025: +15.2% vs market
PSPPROJECT · Apr 2025: +15.8% vs market
HNDFDS · Aug 2025: +16.6% vs market
LUMAXIND · Jul 2025: +28.8% vs market
PAVNAIND · Apr 2023: +32.1% vs market
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PNBGILTS · May 2020: +38.7% vs market
CRAFTSMAN · Feb 2025: +41.6% vs market
HITECH · Feb 2022: +41.8% vs market
PASHUPATI · Aug 2024: +51.9% vs market
THANGAMAYL · Jun 2023: +54.7% vs market
CANTABIL · Jan 2021: +59.6% vs market
BAJAJELEC · May 2020: +66.3% vs market
BEWLTD · Nov 2022: +86.2% vs market
TI · Jul 2022: +90.8% vs market
PGEL · Jul 2023: +100.5% vs market
PARIN · Jun 2025: +104.0% vs market
SBC · Aug 2025: +105.1% vs market
PDSL · Apr 2021: +105.8% vs market
TEMBO · Feb 2024: +116.2% vs market
RKFORGE · Jun 2022: +128.6% vs market
SILKFLEX · Sep 2025: +191.4% vs market
LUMAXTECH · Feb 2025: +197.6% vs market
GRAVITA · Jan 2021: +219.0% vs market
STEELXIND · Jan 2021: +256.4% vs market
AARTIDRUGS · Jan 2020: +268.2% vs market
Similar setups +16.2%All companies −4.3%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 11 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
+16.2%
All companies' median
−4.3%
Beat the market
62% vs 45%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 34 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
CANTABIL
Consumer Non-Durables
Jan 2021 37x17% +50%−10% +60%
PDSL
Consumer Non-Durables
Apr 2021 39x14% +164%−4% +106%
PAVNAIND
Producer Manufacturing
Apr 2023 43x14% +81%0% +32%
PITTIENG
Producer Manufacturing
Mar 2025 27x19% +37%−28% −33%
THANGAMAYL
Consumer Durables
Jun 2023 29x17% +56%−2% +55%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
SILKFLEX
Process Industries
Sep 2025 16x24% +10%−16% +191%
LUMAXIND
Producer Manufacturing
Jul 2025 26x16% +35%−3% +29%
HNDFDS
Consumer Non-Durables
Aug 2025 55x14% −10%−22% +17%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: drawdown from 12-month high, interest cover and revenue growth. Not used (unavailable for this company): operating margin. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to BAHETI RECYCLING IND LIMITED. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-10-30. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 97,430 company-months from 2000 companies; financial: 5,632 company-months from 106 companies. 2240 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.
Monthly history (86 months)
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-1026.9x₹724 cr29.1%22.0%2.5x
2026-0928.9x₹724 cr29.0%22.0%2.5x
2026-0833.3x₹724 cr29.0%22.0%2.5x
2026-0727.8x₹724 cr29.0%22.0%2.5x
2026-0628.0x₹724 cr29.0%22.0%2.5x
2026-0534.2x₹524 cr30.5%22.0%2.7x
2026-0434.6x₹524 cr30.5%22.0%2.7x
2026-0328.1x₹524 cr30.5%22.0%2.7x
2026-0234.4x₹524 cr30.5%22.0%2.7x
2026-0135.5x₹524 cr30.5%22.0%2.7x
2025-1234.0x₹524 cr30.5%22.0%2.7x
2025-1131.9x₹524 cr30.5%22.0%2.7x
2025-1033.5x₹524 cr30.5%22.0%2.7x
2025-0931.5x₹524 cr30.5%22.0%2.7x
2025-0832.4x₹524 cr30.5%22.0%2.7x
2025-0733.3x₹524 cr30.5%22.0%2.7x
2025-0634.1x₹524 cr30.5%22.0%2.7x
2025-0581.4x₹429 cr17.1%16.0%2.5x
2025-0482.9x₹429 cr17.1%16.0%2.5x
2025-0383.8x₹429 cr17.1%16.0%2.5x
2025-0257.8x₹429 cr17.1%16.0%2.5x
2025-0157.5x₹429 cr17.1%16.0%2.5x
2024-1255.9x₹429 cr17.1%16.0%2.5x
2024-1162.2x₹429 cr17.1%16.0%2.5x
2024-1063.2x₹429 cr17.1%16.0%2.5x
2024-0956.6x₹429 cr17.1%16.0%2.5x
2024-0855.2x₹429 cr17.1%16.0%2.5x
2024-0743.2x₹429 cr17.1%16.0%2.5x
2024-0637.2x₹429 cr17.1%16.0%2.5x
2024-0557.5x₹358 cr14.7%15.0%2.1x
2024-0436.4x₹358 cr14.7%15.0%2.1x
2024-0338.0x₹358 cr14.7%15.0%2.1x
2024-0236.7x₹358 cr14.7%15.0%2.1x
2024-0138.3x₹358 cr14.7%15.0%2.1x
2023-1235.0x₹358 cr14.7%15.0%2.1x
2023-1138.9x₹358 cr14.7%15.0%2.1x
2023-1043.6x₹358 cr14.7%15.0%2.1x
2023-0928.9x₹358 cr14.7%15.0%2.1x
2023-0827.8x₹358 cr14.7%15.0%2.1x
2023-0721.6x₹358 cr14.7%15.0%2.1x
2023-0622.0x₹358 cr14.7%15.0%2.1x
2023-05—₹248 cr11.8%13.0%3.0x
2023-04—₹248 cr11.8%13.0%3.0x
2023-03—₹248 cr11.8%13.0%3.0x
2023-02—₹248 cr11.8%13.0%3.0x
2023-01—₹248 cr11.8%13.0%3.0x
2022-12—₹248 cr11.8%13.0%3.0x
2022-11—————
2022-10—————
2022-09—————
2022-08—————
2022-07—————
2022-06—————
2022-05—————
2022-04—————
2022-03—————
2022-02—————
2022-01—————
2021-12—————
2021-11—————
2021-10—————
2021-09—————
2021-08—————
2021-07—————
2021-06—————
2021-05—————
2021-04—————
2021-03—————
2021-02—————
2021-01—————
2020-12—————
2020-11—————
2020-10—————
2020-09—————
2020-08—————
2020-07—————
2020-063000.0x₹106 cr1.3%8.0%2.8x
2020-051268.2x₹148 cr2.8%9.0%2.5x
2020-041320.0x₹148 cr2.8%9.0%2.5x
2020-031220.0x₹148 cr2.8%9.0%2.5x
2020-021313.3x₹148 cr2.8%9.0%2.5x
2020-011241.3x₹148 cr2.8%9.0%2.5x
2019-121266.7x₹148 cr2.8%9.0%2.5x
2019-111201.3x₹148 cr2.8%9.0%2.5x
2019-101134.7x₹148 cr2.8%9.0%2.5x
2019-091200.0x₹148 cr2.8%9.0%2.5x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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