अApnaFunda

INDIABULLS LIMITED (IBULLSLTD)

Finance

Momentum #3Earnings #8FII/DII #2
Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.47 / 100
Profitability 55Growth 1Balance sheet 84
Momentum scoreHow strong the recent trend is: 3-month price change, 12-month improvement in earnings and the rise in FII + DII holding, among companies above ₹500 cr.95 / 100
Price 86Earnings 98FII/DII 100

Passes these screens: High Momentum

Share Price
₹30.17
P/E
16.2x
ROCE
8.0%
Market Cap
₹7029 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹1101 cr
P/S
6.4x
P/B
2.3x
ROE
14.1%
Operating Margin
43.0%
Debt / Equity
0.1x
Promoter Holding
32.9%
12M Momentum
42.1%
P/E vs its own history73rd percentilesince Jan '19
P/E vs Finance0.9xthe sector median

52-week range

₹8.90₹38.89
71% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
62.7%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
0.92

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
8.4x
Cash from profit, 3Y
operating cash flow ÷ net profit
5.00x
Share count, 1Y
+6.7%

Was the rally earned?

+203%share price, 3 yearsMultiple-driven

Partly.

  • Most of the rise came from investors paying a higher multiple (P/E 1.1x to 16.2x); per-share earnings took off 298 points.
  • The share count rose 2510%.
3 years Net profit growth: +300 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+300 ptsP/E change: +501 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.+501 ptsShare count change: -598 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price.-598 pts +203% 3 years Net profit growth: +300 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+300 ptsP/E change: +501 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.+501 ptsShare count change: -598 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price.-598 pts +203%
Net profit growth+300 ptsNet profit rose about 414%, which lifts the price.
P/E change+501 ptsThe P/E rose from 1.1x to 16.2x, which lifts the price.
Share count change-598 ptsShare count rose 2510%, which lowers the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Not shown for 1 year and 5 years: earnings were negative at one end, or there is not enough history.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare this with BAJAJ FINANCE

Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?

16.2xP/E todayWithin its usual range
Against its own history73rd percentileMedian 9.9x; usual range 1.1x to 445.3x since 2019-01.
Against Finance16.2x vs 17.7xBelow the Finance median.
1.0x163.2x325.4x487.6xJan '19Aug '20Mar '22Oct '23May '25Oct '261.0x163.2x325.4x487.6xJan '19Aug '21Mar '24Oct '26
P/E (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianFinance median

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P/B (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianFinance median

The chart loads when you open this tab.

P/S (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianFinance median
How to read this

Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dashed line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).

Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.

All terms explained in the glossary →

How Finance is valued

What is the price implying?

~13%annual earnings growth implied by the price

At a P/E of 16.2x, the price would imply about 12.9%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.

Fewer than six years of annual earnings are available, which is too little to measure delivered growth.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Finance The market-wide Expectations lists

What changed?

  1. Oct '26Volume reached 8.6x its 50-day median on 2026-10-08; price +7.4% that day.
  2. Sep '26Volume reached 7.6x its 50-day median on 2026-09-16; price +4.9% that day.
  3. Jul '26Share count is up 6.7% over 12 months.
  4. Jun '26EPS (TTM) turned positive.
  5. Jun '26Moved into the 3rd quartile of Finance on ROCE (from the bottom quartile).
  6. Jun '26Debt / equity halved over 12 months to 0.15x.
  7. Apr '26Volume reached 6.2x its 50-day median on 2026-04-13; price +12.3% that day.
  8. Mar '26Promoter holding rose 5.4 pts to 32.9%.
Show 22 earlier events
  1. Mar '26FII + DII holding rose 17.4 pts over 2 quarters to 18.0%.
  2. Mar '26Slipped to the bottom quartile of Finance on operating margin (from the 2nd quartile).
  3. Jan '26Volume reached 47.3x its 50-day median on 2026-01-06; price -5.0% that day.
  4. Dec '25Moved into the 2nd quartile of Finance on operating margin (from the 3rd quartile).
  5. Dec '25Volume reached 118.3x its 50-day median on 2025-12-26; price +3.8% that day.
  6. Sep '25Moved into the 3rd quartile of Finance on operating margin (from the bottom quartile).
  7. Aug '25Volume reached 15.1x its 50-day median on 2025-08-07; price +5.0% that day.
  8. Jun '25Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹323 cr.
  9. Jun '25Slipped to the bottom quartile of Finance on operating margin (from the 3rd quartile).
  10. Jun '25Share count is up 200.0% over 12 months.
  11. Jun '25Volume reached 8.7x its 50-day median on 2025-06-13; price +4.6% that day.
  12. Mar '25Moved into the 3rd quartile of Finance on operating margin (from the bottom quartile).
  13. Mar '25Volume reached 10.2x its 50-day median on 2025-03-18; price -3.5% that day.
  14. Dec '24FII + DII holding fell 9.1 pts over 2 quarters to 0.0%.
  15. Oct '24Volume reached 20.8x its 50-day median on 2024-10-16; price -4.9% that day.
  16. Aug '24Volume reached 16.6x its 50-day median on 2024-08-30; price +4.4% that day.
  17. Jun '24EPS (TTM) turned negative.
  18. Jun '24Slipped to the bottom quartile of Finance on ROCE (from the top quartile).
  19. Mar '24Fell 98% from the Jan 2019 peak to the Mar 2024 low.
  20. Feb '24P/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (1.0x).
  21. Jan '24Volume reached 7.7x its 50-day median on 2024-01-09; price -5.0% that day.
  22. Jun '23EPS (TTM) turned positive.

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Are profits backed by cash?

3 of 5 checks are within range, 2 near a threshold.
Tap a check to see how it is measured.

Other income reliance-1%Within range

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): -1.2%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate8%Near threshold

Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 8.0%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.

Cash conversion5.73xWithin range

Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 5.73x (cash from operations ₹292 cr, net profit ₹51 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.

Free cash flow2 of 5 yrsNear threshold

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 2. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history-20 daysWithin range

Debtor days are below the median of the previous three fiscal years by 20 days (33 vs 53). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.

Capital work in progress—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Payable days—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Over 2 years, FIIs added 7.9 pts; promoters added 5.4 pts.
  • The number of shareholders rose from 66,649 to 2.5 lakh (+275%) between Dec 2023 and Jun 2026.

Holdings, Jun '26

How each group changed

GroupDec '23Jun '26Change
Promoters27.5%32.9%+5.4 pts
FIIs9.2%17.1%+7.9 pts
DIIs0.0%0.1%+0.1 pts
Public and others61.6%46.0%-15.6 pts

Number of shareholders

2.5 lakhshareholders+275% since Dec '23
57k1.2L1.9L2.5L Dec '23Jun '24Dec '24Jun '25Dec '25Jun '26
Dec '23: 66,649
Mar '24: 66,493
Jun '24: 65,369
Sep '24: 64,678
Dec '24: 63,447
Mar '25: 61,705
Jun '25: 60,247
Sep '25: 56,661
Dec '25: 2.5 lakh
Mar '26: 2.5 lakh
Jun '26: 2.5 lakh
57k1.2L1.9L2.5L Dec '23Dec '24Dec '25Jun '26
Dec '23: 66,649
Mar '24: 66,493
Jun '24: 65,369
Sep '24: 64,678
Dec '24: 63,447
Mar '25: 61,705
Jun '25: 60,247
Sep '25: 56,661
Dec '25: 2.5 lakh
Mar '26: 2.5 lakh
Jun '26: 2.5 lakh

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-98.1%not yet recovered
1-year volatility62.7%annualised
Beta vs sector index0.683-year daily, correlation 0.23
Volume spikes3last 90 sessions, 5x the 50-day median

Monthly share price

₹9₹108₹208₹307 Jan '19Aug '20Mar '22Oct '23May '25Oct '26
2019-01: ₹299.45
2019-02: ₹272.55
2019-03: ₹307.20
2019-04: ₹299.35
2019-05: ₹282.50
2019-06: ₹189.45
2019-07: ₹110.65
2019-08: ₹81.45
2019-09: ₹129.40
2019-10: ₹63.45
2019-11: ₹71.75
2019-12: ₹86.35
2020-01: ₹121.55
2020-02: ₹93.30
2020-03: ₹42.70
2020-04: ₹43.80
2020-05: ₹32.25
2020-06: ₹60.45
2020-07: ₹40.15
2020-08: ₹50.05
2020-09: ₹41.10
2020-10: ₹51.80
2020-11: ₹53.80
2020-12: ₹91.50
2021-01: ₹98.20
2021-02: ₹164.05
2021-03: ₹119.05
2021-04: ₹93.00
2021-05: ₹114.95
2021-06: ₹104.15
2021-07: ₹104.85
2021-08: ₹96.70
2021-09: ₹98.45
2021-10: ₹94.45
2021-11: ₹88.15
2021-12: ₹90.55
2022-01: ₹78.25
2022-02: ₹66.80
2022-03: ₹55.35
2022-04: ₹39.55
2022-05: ₹36.15
2022-06: ₹36.45
2022-07: ₹42.05
2022-08: ₹55.50
2022-09: ₹37.55
2022-10: ₹36.75
2022-11: ₹25.30
2022-12: ₹19.95
2023-01: ₹17.05
2023-02: ₹12.40
2023-03: ₹10.00
2023-04: ₹14.75
2023-05: ₹10.70
2023-06: ₹13.20
2023-07: ₹10.85
2023-08: ₹11.40
2023-09: ₹10.95
2023-10: ₹9.95
2023-11: ₹10.10
2023-12: ₹10.65
2024-01: ₹12.35
2024-02: ₹9.85
2024-03: ₹9.25
2024-04: ₹11.40
2024-05: ₹10.50
2024-06: ₹10.49
2024-07: ₹9.79
2024-08: ₹13.50
2024-09: ₹11.36
2024-10: ₹12.33
2024-11: ₹17.48
2024-12: ₹16.00
2025-01: ₹15.51
2025-02: ₹13.35
2025-03: ₹14.43
2025-04: ₹13.89
2025-05: ₹16.04
2025-06: ₹17.25
2025-07: ₹15.18
2025-08: ₹16.31
2025-09: ₹17.81
2025-10: ₹21.23
2025-11: ₹19.96
2025-12: ₹17.27
2026-01: ₹10.64
2026-02: ₹10.45
2026-03: ₹9.14
2026-04: ₹19.73
2026-05: ₹21.03
2026-06: ₹27.81
2026-07: ₹27.38
2026-08: ₹26.25
2026-09: ₹29.61
2026-10: ₹30.17
₹9₹108₹208₹307 Jan '19Aug '21Mar '24Oct '26
2019-01: ₹299.45
2019-02: ₹272.55
2019-03: ₹307.20
2019-04: ₹299.35
2019-05: ₹282.50
2019-06: ₹189.45
2019-07: ₹110.65
2019-08: ₹81.45
2019-09: ₹129.40
2019-10: ₹63.45
2019-11: ₹71.75
2019-12: ₹86.35
2020-01: ₹121.55
2020-02: ₹93.30
2020-03: ₹42.70
2020-04: ₹43.80
2020-05: ₹32.25
2020-06: ₹60.45
2020-07: ₹40.15
2020-08: ₹50.05
2020-09: ₹41.10
2020-10: ₹51.80
2020-11: ₹53.80
2020-12: ₹91.50
2021-01: ₹98.20
2021-02: ₹164.05
2021-03: ₹119.05
2021-04: ₹93.00
2021-05: ₹114.95
2021-06: ₹104.15
2021-07: ₹104.85
2021-08: ₹96.70
2021-09: ₹98.45
2021-10: ₹94.45
2021-11: ₹88.15
2021-12: ₹90.55
2022-01: ₹78.25
2022-02: ₹66.80
2022-03: ₹55.35
2022-04: ₹39.55
2022-05: ₹36.15
2022-06: ₹36.45
2022-07: ₹42.05
2022-08: ₹55.50
2022-09: ₹37.55
2022-10: ₹36.75
2022-11: ₹25.30
2022-12: ₹19.95
2023-01: ₹17.05
2023-02: ₹12.40
2023-03: ₹10.00
2023-04: ₹14.75
2023-05: ₹10.70
2023-06: ₹13.20
2023-07: ₹10.85
2023-08: ₹11.40
2023-09: ₹10.95
2023-10: ₹9.95
2023-11: ₹10.10
2023-12: ₹10.65
2024-01: ₹12.35
2024-02: ₹9.85
2024-03: ₹9.25
2024-04: ₹11.40
2024-05: ₹10.50
2024-06: ₹10.49
2024-07: ₹9.79
2024-08: ₹13.50
2024-09: ₹11.36
2024-10: ₹12.33
2024-11: ₹17.48
2024-12: ₹16.00
2025-01: ₹15.51
2025-02: ₹13.35
2025-03: ₹14.43
2025-04: ₹13.89
2025-05: ₹16.04
2025-06: ₹17.25
2025-07: ₹15.18
2025-08: ₹16.31
2025-09: ₹17.81
2025-10: ₹21.23
2025-11: ₹19.96
2025-12: ₹17.27
2026-01: ₹10.64
2026-02: ₹10.45
2026-03: ₹9.14
2026-04: ₹19.73
2026-05: ₹21.03
2026-06: ₹27.81
2026-07: ₹27.38
2026-08: ₹26.25
2026-09: ₹29.61
2026-10: ₹30.17

Last 90 trading days

₹25₹29₹34₹38 Jun 23Jul 20Aug 13Sep 8Oct 6Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹26.89
2026-06-25: ₹25.75
2026-06-30: ₹27.81
2026-07-02: ₹27.93
2026-07-06: ₹30.16
2026-07-08: ₹28.19
2026-07-10: ₹29.63
2026-07-14: ₹30.90
2026-07-16: ₹30.09
2026-07-20: ₹29.39
2026-07-22: ₹29.59
2026-07-24: ₹30.53
2026-07-28: ₹29.61
2026-07-30: ₹26.73
2026-08-03: ₹27.09
2026-08-05: ₹29.05
2026-08-07: ₹29.43
2026-08-11: ₹28.11
2026-08-13: ₹27.01
2026-08-17: ₹27.83
2026-08-19: ₹26.47
2026-08-21: ₹25.58
2026-08-25: ₹27.09
2026-08-27: ₹26.11
2026-08-31: ₹26.25
2026-09-02: ₹25.96
2026-09-04: ₹25.67
2026-09-08: ₹25.95
2026-09-10: ₹24.90
2026-09-15: ₹27.44
2026-09-17: ₹29.65
2026-09-21: ₹29.09
2026-09-23: ₹29.12
2026-09-25: ₹29.83
2026-09-29: ₹29.93
2026-10-01: ₹29.43
2026-10-06: ₹30.95
2026-10-08: ₹34.88
2026-10-12: ₹38.03
2026-10-14: ₹37.64
2026-10-16: ₹35.42
2026-10-21: ₹34.57
2026-10-23: ₹31.88
2026-10-27: ₹32.27
2026-10-29: ₹31.64
2026-10-30: ₹30.17
₹25₹29₹34₹38 Jun 23Aug 5Sep 17Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹26.89
2026-06-25: ₹25.75
2026-06-30: ₹27.81
2026-07-02: ₹27.93
2026-07-06: ₹30.16
2026-07-08: ₹28.19
2026-07-10: ₹29.63
2026-07-14: ₹30.90
2026-07-16: ₹30.09
2026-07-20: ₹29.39
2026-07-22: ₹29.59
2026-07-24: ₹30.53
2026-07-28: ₹29.61
2026-07-30: ₹26.73
2026-08-03: ₹27.09
2026-08-05: ₹29.05
2026-08-07: ₹29.43
2026-08-11: ₹28.11
2026-08-13: ₹27.01
2026-08-17: ₹27.83
2026-08-19: ₹26.47
2026-08-21: ₹25.58
2026-08-25: ₹27.09
2026-08-27: ₹26.11
2026-08-31: ₹26.25
2026-09-02: ₹25.96
2026-09-04: ₹25.67
2026-09-08: ₹25.95
2026-09-10: ₹24.90
2026-09-15: ₹27.44
2026-09-17: ₹29.65
2026-09-21: ₹29.09
2026-09-23: ₹29.12
2026-09-25: ₹29.83
2026-09-29: ₹29.93
2026-10-01: ₹29.43
2026-10-06: ₹30.95
2026-10-08: ₹34.88
2026-10-12: ₹38.03
2026-10-14: ₹37.64
2026-10-16: ₹35.42
2026-10-21: ₹34.57
2026-10-23: ₹31.88
2026-10-27: ₹32.27
2026-10-29: ₹31.64
2026-10-30: ₹30.17

Drawdown from peak

0% -49% -98% Jan '19Dec '22Oct '26 0% -49% -98% Jan '19Dec '22Oct '26
Largest drawdowns

-98.1% (2019-01 peak to 2024-03 low, not yet recovered)

Most recent volume spikes

2026-10-08: 8.6x the 50-day median, price +7.4% that day

2026-09-16: 7.6x the 50-day median, price +4.9% that day

2026-09-09: 5.2x the 50-day median, price -3.5% that day

Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).

Where does it rank among Finance peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Finance peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

ROCE
Op. margin
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Nov '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Oct '26
Lower rank Higher rank

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Finance sector page Watch it move against Finance in the Observatory

What else looks like this?

Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.

CompanySectorSimilarityClosest on
PC JEWELLER (PCJEWELLER)Consumer Durables54%debt/equity, P/E
BALAJI AMINES (BALAMINES)Process Industries48%market cap, revenue
NAVA (NAVA)Utilities47%operating margin, P/E
VALIANT ORGANICS (VALIANTORG)Process Industries45%promoter holding, EPS growth
VERANDA LEARNING SOLUTIONS (VERANDA)Consumer Services44%promoter holding, operating margin
GEOJIT FINANCIAL SERVICES (GEOJITFSL)Finance49%ROCE, promoter holding
SHARE INDIA SECURITIES (SHAREINDIA)Finance43%operating margin, revenue
MEDI ASSIST HEALTHCARE SER (MEDIASSIST)Finance41%revenue, promoter holding

Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.

What happened next to similar setups

−21.8%typical 12-month return vs the marketBelow the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like INDIABULLS LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −39% to +10% vs the market, against −7% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The analogs' median sat below that base rate (gap −14.7%, 80% range −24.1% to −3.7%), but the matches cluster in only 6 distinct 12-month windows.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
GENESYS · May 2025: −65.4% vs market
SANGHVIMOV · Apr 2024: −60.7% vs market
EKC · Mar 2022: −58.1% vs market
VIKASLIFE · Jun 2022: −52.6% vs market
VASCONEQ · Oct 2023: −48.5% vs market
SARTELE · Jun 2025: −46.8% vs market
MICEL · Oct 2024: −44.2% vs market
PCJEWELLER · Jul 2025: −43.8% vs market
JINDRILL · Mar 2025: −43.1% vs market
KPIGREEN · Oct 2025: −42.5% vs market
TREJHARA · May 2025: −41.9% vs market
GREENPANEL · May 2022: −39.1% vs market
GEOJITFSL · Sep 2024: −38.9% vs market
ANTELOPUS · Oct 2024: −37.9% vs market
NIITLTD · Apr 2022: −36.3% vs market
ARVSMART · Dec 2024: −35.5% vs market
HUBTOWN · Oct 2025: −34.8% vs market
INVENTURE · Jun 2021: −34.8% vs market
AMJLAND · Feb 2025: −31.6% vs market
SHILPAMED · Jun 2020: −30.6% vs market
SEAMECLTD · Sep 2024: −29.9% vs market
MENONBE · Jun 2023: −29.8% vs market
SWANCORP · Nov 2024: −29.3% vs market
SUNTECK · Mar 2025: −27.5% vs market
AJMERA · Jan 2025: −24.7% vs market
OBEROIRLTY · Jan 2020: −18.9% vs market
ANUP · Jun 2025: −15.9% vs market
GAEL · Oct 2020: −10.7% vs market
ORBTEXP · Sep 2022: −10.6% vs market
SARDAEN · Sep 2025: −8.2% vs market
KKCL · May 2023: −4.1% vs market
ASIANENE · Aug 2024: −2.1% vs market
GEECEE · Jun 2024: −0.4% vs market
DEEPINDS · Apr 2025: +2.7% vs market
ORIENTHOT · Jun 2023: +5.7% vs market
KRISHANA · Mar 2020: +6.2% vs market
CARTRADE · May 2025: +9.4% vs market
ARROWGREEN · Nov 2021: +10.5% vs market
TI · Nov 2023: +19.0% vs market
AVTNPL · Oct 2020: +19.6% vs market
ASTRAMICRO · Oct 2020: +28.4% vs market
EIHOTEL · Jun 2023: +38.3% vs market
JSLL · Jun 2025: +38.9% vs market
KABRAEXTRU · Oct 2021: +62.7% vs market
GANESHHOU · Feb 2023: +70.5% vs market
MANINFRA · Jul 2021: +82.1% vs market
GRANULES · Jan 2020: +93.9% vs market
SOLARA · May 2020: +95.3% vs market
ANANTRAJ · Sep 2023: +121.0% vs market
EIMCOELECO · Jul 2023: +185.6% vs market
Similar setups −21.8%All companies −7.1%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 2 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
−21.8%
All companies' median
−7.1%
Beat the market
34% vs 42%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 37 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
DEEPINDS
Industrial Services
Apr 2025 18x10% +57%−28% +3%
ANANTRAJ
Consumer Durables
Sep 2023 46x6% +126%−5% +121%
GANESHHOU
Finance
Feb 2023 39x13% +61%−18% +71%
MICEL
Health Technology
Oct 2024 33x12% +145%−15% −44%
PCJEWELLER
Consumer Durables
Jul 2025 14x7% +67%−18% −44%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
ANTELOPUS
Energy Minerals
Oct 2024 30x12% +102%−12% −38%
MENONBE
Producer Manufacturing
Jun 2023 23x— +82%−7% −30%
SANGHVIMOV
Industrial Services
Apr 2024 33x15% +240%−4% −61%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high and interest cover. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to INDIABULLS LIMITED. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-10-30. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 97,430 company-months from 2000 companies; financial: 5,632 company-months from 106 companies. 2240 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.
Monthly history (94 months)
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-1016.2x₹1101 cr14.1%8.0%0.1x
2026-0915.9x₹1101 cr14.1%8.0%0.1x
2026-0820.3x₹834 cr9.9%8.0%0.1x
2026-0721.2x₹834 cr9.9%8.0%0.1x
2026-0621.6x₹834 cr9.9%8.0%0.1x
2026-05—₹527 cr-0.5%-8.0%0.4x
2026-04—₹527 cr-0.5%-8.0%0.4x
2026-03—₹527 cr-0.5%-8.0%0.4x
2026-02—₹536 cr-3.4%-8.0%0.4x
2026-01—₹536 cr-3.4%-8.0%0.4x
2025-12—₹536 cr-3.4%-8.0%0.4x
2025-11—₹415 cr-6.5%-8.0%0.4x
2025-10—₹415 cr-6.5%-8.0%0.4x
2025-09—₹415 cr-6.5%-8.0%0.4x
2025-08—₹323 cr-6.6%-8.0%0.4x
2025-07—₹323 cr-6.6%-8.0%0.4x
2025-06—₹323 cr-6.6%-8.0%0.4x
2025-05—₹221 cr—-338.0%—
2025-04—₹221 cr—-338.0%—
2025-03—₹221 cr—-338.0%—
2025-02—₹115 cr—-338.0%—
2025-01—₹115 cr—-338.0%—
2024-12—₹115 cr—-338.0%—
2024-11—₹0 cr—-338.0%—
2024-10—₹0 cr—-338.0%—
2024-09—₹0 cr—-338.0%—
2024-08—₹0 cr—-338.0%—
2024-07—₹0 cr—-338.0%—
2024-06—₹0 cr—-338.0%—
2024-051.1x₹0 cr—174.0%—
2024-041.2x₹0 cr—174.0%—
2024-03—₹0 cr—174.0%—
2024-021.0x₹0 cr—174.0%—
2024-011.3x₹0 cr—174.0%—
2023-121.1x₹0 cr—174.0%—
2023-111.1x₹0 cr—174.0%—
2023-101.1x₹0 cr—174.0%—
2023-091.2x₹0 cr—174.0%—
2023-081.2x₹0 cr—174.0%—
2023-071.1x₹0 cr—174.0%—
2023-061.4x₹0 cr—174.0%—
2023-05—₹1 cr—-14.0%—
2023-04—₹1 cr—-14.0%—
2023-03—₹1 cr—-14.0%—
2023-02—₹1 cr—-14.0%—
2023-01—₹1 cr—-14.0%—
2022-12—₹1 cr—-14.0%—
2022-11—₹1 cr—-14.0%—
2022-10—₹1 cr—-14.0%—
2022-09—₹1 cr—-14.0%—
2022-08—₹1 cr—-14.0%—
2022-07—₹1 cr—-14.0%—
2022-06—₹1 cr—-14.0%—
2022-05—₹168 cr-19.0%2.0%0.8x
2022-04—₹168 cr-19.0%2.0%0.8x
2022-03—₹168 cr-19.0%2.0%0.8x
2022-02—₹168 cr-19.0%2.0%0.8x
2022-01—₹168 cr-19.0%2.0%0.8x
2021-12—₹168 cr-19.0%2.0%0.8x
2021-11—₹168 cr-19.0%2.0%0.8x
2021-10—₹168 cr-19.0%2.0%0.8x
2021-09—₹168 cr-19.0%2.0%0.8x
2021-08—₹168 cr-19.0%2.0%0.8x
2021-07—₹168 cr-19.0%2.0%0.8x
2021-06—₹168 cr-19.0%2.0%0.8x
2021-05—₹225 cr-84.5%1.0%3.7x
2021-04—₹225 cr-84.5%1.0%3.7x
2021-03—₹225 cr-84.5%1.0%3.7x
2021-02—₹225 cr-84.5%1.0%3.7x
2021-01—₹225 cr-84.5%1.0%3.7x
2020-12—₹225 cr-84.5%1.0%3.7x
2020-11—₹225 cr-84.5%1.0%3.7x
2020-10—₹225 cr-84.5%1.0%3.7x
2020-09—₹225 cr-84.5%1.0%3.7x
2020-08—₹225 cr-84.5%1.0%3.7x
2020-07—₹225 cr-84.5%1.0%3.7x
2020-06—₹225 cr-84.5%1.0%3.7x
2020-053.9x₹171 cr4.8%1.0%0.2x
2020-045.3x₹171 cr4.8%1.0%0.2x
2020-035.2x₹171 cr4.8%1.0%0.2x
2020-0211.4x₹171 cr4.8%1.0%0.2x
2020-0114.8x₹171 cr4.8%1.0%0.2x
2019-1210.5x₹171 cr4.8%1.0%0.2x
2019-118.7x₹171 cr4.8%1.0%0.2x
2019-107.7x₹171 cr4.8%1.0%0.2x
2019-0915.8x₹171 cr4.8%1.0%0.2x
2019-089.9x₹171 cr4.8%1.0%0.2x
2019-0713.5x₹171 cr4.8%1.0%0.2x
2019-0623.1x₹171 cr4.8%1.0%0.2x
2019-05448.4x₹233 cr1.5%3.0%1.4x
2019-04475.2x₹233 cr1.5%3.0%1.4x
2019-03487.6x₹233 cr1.5%3.0%1.4x
2019-02432.6x₹233 cr1.5%3.0%1.4x
2019-01475.3x₹233 cr1.5%3.0%1.4x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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