अApnaFunda

AADHAR HOUSING FINANCE LIMITED (AADHARHFC)

Finance · Finance/Rental/Leasing · figures to Nov '26

Momentum scoreHow strong the recent trend is: 3-month price change, 12-month improvement in earnings and the rise in FII + DII holding, among companies above ₹500 cr.43 / 100
Price 28Earnings 58

Share price

Closing priceAdjusted for splits and bonus issues.

₹433.35 latest close · −22.0% over the last 90 sessions

₹450₹500₹550Jul 3Jul 29Aug 24Sep 17Oct 14Nov 9 ₹450₹500₹550Jul 3Sep 4Nov 9

₹433.35 month-end · −9.9% over 12 months

₹450₹500Nov '25Jan '26Apr '26Jun '26Sep '26Nov '26 ₹450₹500Nov '25May '26Nov '26

₹433.35 month-end · +26.2% since May '24

₹400₹500May '24Nov '24May '25Nov '25May '26Nov '26 ₹400₹500May '24Aug '25Nov '26

52-week range ₹416.05 to ₹563.00 · 1-year volatility 27.4%

Was the rally earned?

-10%share price, 1 yearLower P/E held it back

Earnings helped, the multiple did not.

  • Per-share earnings added 17 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 21.9x to 16.5x), which took 26 points back.
  • The share count barely moved.
Net profit growth: +18 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+18 ptsNet profit growthP/E change: −26 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.−26 ptsP/E changeShare count change: −2 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price.−2 ptsShare count changeShare price: −10%−10%Share priceNet profit growth: +18 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+18ProfitP/E change: −26 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.−26P/EShare count change: −2 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price.−2SharesShare price: −10%−10%Share price
Net profit growth+18 ptsNet profit rose about 21%, which lifts the price.
P/E change-26 ptsThe P/E fell from 21.9x to 16.5x, which lowers the price.
Share count change-2 ptsShare count was little changed. More shares would count against the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Not shown for 3 years and 5 years: earnings were negative at one end, or there is not enough history.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare this with BAJAJ FINANCE

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-28.7%recovered 2025-07
1-year volatility27.4%annualised
Beta vs sector index0.653-year daily, correlation 0.37
Volume spikes1last 90 sessions, 5x the 50-day median

Drawdown from peak

0%−10%−20%20252026−25.6% 0%−10%−20%20252026−25.6%
Largest drawdowns

-28.7% (2024-09 peak to 2025-01 low, recovered 2025-07)

-24.5% (2026-07 peak to 2026-10 low, not yet recovered)

-19.5% (2024-07 peak to 2024-08 low, recovered 2024-09)

Most recent volume spikes

2026-09-18: 9.1x the 50-day median, price -1.6% that day

Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).

Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?

2.5xP/B todayNear its historic low
Against its own history10th percentile
CheapestMedian 3.4xDearest

Usual range 2.7x to 4.0x since 2024-05.

Against Finance2.5x vs 1.5x
This company
2.5x
Sector median
1.5x

66% above the Finance median.

1.5x2.4x3.4x4.4xMay '24Nov '24May '25Nov '25May '26Nov '261.5x2.4x3.4x4.4xMay '24Mar '25Jan '26Nov '26
P/B (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianFinance median

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P/E (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianFinance median

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P/S (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianFinance median
How to read this

Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/B history; dotted line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).

Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.

All terms explained in the glossary →

How Finance is valued

Where does it rank among Finance peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Finance peers (banks and financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

Where it ranks today

  • ROE (approx.)85thflat vs a year ago
  • EPS growth59th▲ 6 pts vs a year ago
  • P/B ↓29th▲ 3 pts vs a year ago
  • 12M momentum48th▼ 13 pts vs a year ago
  • FII + DII38thflat vs a year ago

Rank history

ROE (approx.)
EPS growth
P/B ↓
12M momentum
FII + DII
Dec '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Jul '26Nov '26
Lower rank Higher rank Not enough data

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Finance sector page Watch it move against Finance in the Observatory

What is the price implying?

~18%annual earnings growth implied by the priceBelow delivered growth

At normalised P/E (five-year average earnings) of 25.1x, a holder earning 12%/yr needs earnings to grow about 17.9%/yr for 10 years, then trade at 15x.

Delivered26.9%/yrEPS, last 8 fiscal years · 3-yr avg to 3-yr avg
Gap−8.9 ptsimplied minus delivered
Rank35thmost demanding of 63 financials

Over time

Implied growth by month (solid) and delivered growth (dashed).

0%15%30% May 2024Nov 2026 0%15%30% May 2024Nov 2026

Change the assumptions

Exit P/E / return11%12%13%
12x19.5%20.6%21.7%
15x16.9%17.9%19.0%
20x13.6%14.6%15.6%

Drag a slider to test other assumptions

Implied: 17.9%/yr

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect. How this is calculated and the market-wide lists.

What prices imply across Finance The market-wide Expectations lists

Key figures

Share Priceclose 9 Nov
₹433.35
P/E
16.5x
Market Cap
₹19002 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹3818 cr
P/S
5.0x
P/B
2.5x
ROE
16.0%
Debt / Equity
2.5x
Promoter Holding
64.7%
12M Momentum
-9.9%

52-week range

₹416.05₹563.00
12% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
27.4%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
0.56

Balance sheet & cash

Share count, 1Y
+1.2%

Are profits backed by cash?

1 of 1checks within rangeAll clear
Tax rate22%Within range

Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 22.0%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.

Tap a check to see how it is measured

Cash conversion and receivable days are not meaningful for banks and NBFCs, so only the other-income and tax-rate checks are shown.

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Over 2 years, promoters trimmed 11.8 pts; FIIs added 1.6 pts; DIIs added 1.4 pts.
  • The number of shareholders fell from 2.4 lakh to 1.6 lakh (-32%) between Jun 2024 and Jun 2026.

Holdings, Jun '26

How each group changed

GroupJun '24Jun '26Change
Promoters76.5%64.7%-11.8 pts
FIIs4.2%5.8%+1.6 pts
DIIs8.5%9.9%+1.4 pts
Public and others10.9%19.6%+8.8 pts

Number of shareholders

1.6 lakhshareholders-32% since Jun '24
1.6L1.9L2.1L2.4L Jun '24Dec '24Jun '25Dec '25Jun '26
Jun '24: 2.4 lakh
Sep '24: 2.2 lakh
Dec '24: 2.2 lakh
Mar '25: 2.1 lakh
Jun '25: 2.0 lakh
Sep '25: 2.0 lakh
Dec '25: 1.9 lakh
Mar '26: 1.8 lakh
Jun '26: 1.6 lakh
1.6L1.9L2.1L2.4L Jun '24Mar '25Dec '25Jun '26
Jun '24: 2.4 lakh
Sep '24: 2.2 lakh
Dec '24: 2.2 lakh
Mar '25: 2.1 lakh
Jun '25: 2.0 lakh
Sep '25: 2.0 lakh
Dec '25: 1.9 lakh
Mar '26: 1.8 lakh
Jun '26: 1.6 lakh

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

What happened next to similar setups

−18.1%typical 12-month return vs the marketBelow the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a bank, NBFC or insurer looked like AADHAR HOUSING FINANCE LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −34% to +19% vs the market, against −5% for all financial companies in the same months.
  • The analogs' median sat below that base rate (gap −13.3%, 80% range −16.5% to −0.8%), but the matches cluster in only 6 distinct 12-month windows.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
FUSION · Jan 2024: −74.8% vs market
SATIN · Jan 2020: −74.0% vs market
UJJIVANSFB · Dec 2020: −64.9% vs market
UTKARSHBNK · Aug 2024: −53.9% vs market
MASFIN · Mar 2021: −49.1% vs market
INDUSINDBK · Jan 2020: −43.5% vs market
M&MFIN · Jan 2020: −43.0% vs market
DCBBANK · Mar 2020: −39.8% vs market
IDFCFIRSTB · Dec 2023: −39.6% vs market
SPANDANA · Apr 2021: −37.5% vs market
APTUS · Oct 2025: −36.4% vs market
HUDCO · Oct 2025: −36.2% vs market
CSBBANK · Aug 2021: −34.0% vs market
LTF · Jan 2020: −33.7% vs market
CREDITACC · Apr 2024: −29.0% vs market
IIFL · Jun 2023: −28.1% vs market
INDIASHLTR · Oct 2025: −26.4% vs market
BAJAJHFL · Oct 2025: −25.8% vs market
LICHSGFIN · Jan 2020: −24.2% vs market
BANDHANBNK · Jan 2022: −22.1% vs market
MANAPPURAM · Feb 2020: −20.5% vs market
HOMEFIRST · Feb 2023: −19.8% vs market
SBFC · Sep 2025: −19.8% vs market
MUTHOOTCAP · Jul 2020: −19.7% vs market
CANFINHOME · May 2021: −18.4% vs market
KOTAKBANK · Sep 2022: −17.8% vs market
CUB · Jun 2020: −16.0% vs market
PNBHOUSING · Oct 2020: −14.3% vs market
ARMANFIN · Apr 2023: −6.5% vs market
FEDERALBNK · Jun 2023: −4.1% vs market
RECLTD · Jul 2020: −3.7% vs market
SUNDARMFIN · Jan 2022: +1.2% vs market
SHRIRAMFIN · May 2022: +9.0% vs market
AAVAS · May 2024: +9.8% vs market
CHOLAHLDNG · Jun 2023: +10.4% vs market
ICICIBANK · Jun 2021: +12.0% vs market
AXISBANK · Aug 2022: +18.3% vs market
FEDFINA · Feb 2025: +18.5% vs market
SBICARD · Oct 2024: +24.4% vs market
BAJFINANCE · Aug 2024: +32.2% vs market
CHOLAFIN · Feb 2024: +34.1% vs market
MAHABANK · Feb 2025: +36.5% vs market
POONAWALLA · Sep 2024: +36.7% vs market
EQUITASBNK · Mar 2022: +38.3% vs market
CGCL · Sep 2021: +42.0% vs market
MUTHOOTFIN · Jun 2024: +43.1% vs market
KARURVYSYA · Oct 2025: +54.8% vs market
IOB · Nov 2022: +55.7% vs market
PSB · Jun 2022: +88.7% vs market
PAISALO · May 2020: +131.6% vs market
Similar setups −18.1%All companies −4.8%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 1 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
−18.1%
All companies' median
−4.8%
Beat the market
38% vs 45%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 36 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EP/B12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
SUNDARMFIN
Finance
Jan 2022 22x3.4x +33%−20% +1%
CANFINHOME
Finance
May 2021 19x3.4x +98%−11% −18%
CHOLAHLDNG
Finance
Jun 2023 13x2.1x +52%−4% +10%
CREDITACC
Finance
Apr 2024 29x4.6x +56%−15% −29%
APTUS
Finance
Oct 2025 20x3.7x −11%−12% −36%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EP/B12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
MASFIN
Finance
Mar 2021 28x4.7x +63%−21% −49%
IIFL
Finance
Jun 2023 14x2.3x +56%−3% −28%
AAVAS
Finance
May 2024 27x3.9x +14%−11% +10%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/B, ROE, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high and revenue growth. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to AADHAR HOUSING FINANCE LIMITED. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-11-09. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 98,395 company-months from 2019 companies; financial: 5,659 company-months from 108 companies. 2349 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

What else looks like this?

Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.

Finance
71%similar
ROEP/B
Finance
66%similar
P/Bvolatility
Finance
66%similar
promoter holdingvolatility

Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.

What changed?

14 events since Jun '24

  1. SepPriceVolume reached 9.1x its 50-day median on 2026-09-18; price -1.6% that day.
  2. JunPromoterPromoter holding fell 10.3 pts to 64.9% (largest drop in the history since 2019-01).
  3. JunValuationP/B fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (3.0x).
  4. JunPriceVolume reached 9.5x its 50-day median on 2026-06-19; price +5.9% that day.
  5. FebPriceVolume reached 7.5x its 50-day median on 2026-02-25; price +1.1% that day.
  6. JulPriceRegained the 2024-09 peak, 6 months after the low.
  7. JulPriceVolume reached 17.7x its 50-day median on 2025-07-28; price +4.1% that day.
  8. JunPeer rankSlipped to the 2nd quartile of Finance on EPS growth (from the top quartile).
Show 6 earlier events
  1. JunSharesShare count is up 9.1% over 12 months.
  2. MarPriceVolume reached 13.5x its 50-day median on 2025-03-21; price -2.9% that day.
  3. JanPriceFell 29% from the Sep 2024 peak to the Jan 2025 low.
  4. NovPriceVolume reached 5.0x its 50-day median on 2024-11-25; price -4.0% that day.
  5. SepPriceVolume reached 5.7x its 50-day median on 2024-09-03; price +7.5% that day.
  6. JunPeer rankMoved into the top quartile of Finance on ROE (from the 2nd quartile).

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Monthly history31 months · 2024-05 to 2026-11
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEDebt / Equity
2026-1116.5x₹3818 cr16.0%2.5x
2026-1016.0x₹3818 cr16.0%2.5x
2026-0916.6x₹3818 cr16.0%2.5x
2026-0818.5x₹3673 cr16.0%2.5x
2026-0719.7x₹3673 cr16.0%2.5x
2026-0620.4x₹3673 cr16.0%2.5x
2026-0520.1x₹3521 cr17.0%2.6x
2026-0420.5x₹3521 cr17.0%2.6x
2026-0318.9x₹3521 cr17.0%2.6x
2026-0220.1x₹3376 cr17.0%2.6x
2026-0121.5x₹3376 cr17.0%2.6x
2025-1221.2x₹3376 cr17.0%2.6x
2025-1121.9x₹3243 cr17.0%2.6x
2025-1023.2x₹3243 cr17.0%2.6x
2025-0923.2x₹3243 cr17.0%2.6x
2025-0823.7x₹3108 cr17.0%2.6x
2025-0723.9x₹3108 cr17.0%2.6x
2025-0621.4x₹3108 cr17.0%2.6x
2025-0521.5x₹2967 cr18.0%3.1x
2025-0422.6x₹2967 cr18.0%3.1x
2025-0320.6x₹2967 cr18.0%3.1x
2025-0218.8x₹2842 cr18.0%3.1x
2025-0119.7x₹2842 cr18.0%3.1x
2024-1220.9x₹2842 cr18.0%3.1x
2024-1121.7x₹2707 cr18.0%3.1x
2024-1022.0x₹2707 cr18.0%3.1x
2024-0923.5x₹2707 cr18.0%3.1x
2024-0820.2x₹2587 cr18.0%3.1x
2024-0723.5x₹2587 cr18.0%3.1x
2024-0621.5x₹2587 cr18.0%3.1x
2024-0524.9x₹2043 cr16.0%3.3x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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