अApnaFunda

MAHANAGAR TELEPHONE NIGAM LTD (MTNL)

Communications · Major Telecommunications · figures to Nov '26

Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.24 / 100
Profitability 15Growth 33
Momentum scoreHow strong the recent trend is: 3-month price change, 12-month improvement in earnings and the rise in FII + DII holding, among companies above ₹500 cr.57 / 100
Price 61Earnings 66FII/DII 44

Share price

Closing priceAdjusted for splits and bonus issues.

₹26.97 latest close · −10.1% over the last 90 sessions

₹23₹25₹28₹30Jul 3Jul 29Aug 24Sep 17Oct 14Nov 9 ₹23₹25₹28₹30Jul 3Sep 4Nov 9

₹26.97 month-end · −29.6% over 12 months

₹20₹30₹40Nov '25Jan '26Apr '26Jun '26Sep '26Nov '26 ₹20₹30₹40Nov '25May '26Nov '26

₹26.97 month-end · −6.0% over 3 years

₹20₹40₹60₹80Nov '23Jun '24Jan '25Sep '25Apr '26Nov '26 ₹20₹40₹60₹80Nov '23May '25Nov '26

₹26.97 month-end · +95.4% since Jan '19

₹0₹25₹50₹75Jan '19Aug '20Mar '22Sep '23Apr '25Nov '26 ₹0₹25₹50₹75Jan '19Dec '22Nov '26

52-week range ₹21.26 to ₹42.80 · 1-year volatility 45.4%

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-77.9%not yet recovered
1-year volatility45.4%annualised
Beta vs sector index0.813-year daily, correlation 0.28
Volume spikes11last 90 sessions, 5x the 50-day median

Drawdown from peak

0%−25%−50%−75%2020202120222023202420252026−77.1% 0%−25%−50%−75%2020202220242026−77.1%
Largest drawdowns

-77.9% (2024-07 peak to 2026-03 low, not yet recovered)

-74.7% (2019-01 peak to 2019-08 low, recovered 2021-03)

-56.1% (2021-12 peak to 2023-03 low, recovered 2024-01)

Most recent volume spikes

2026-11-09: 5.7x the 50-day median, price -1.7% that day

2026-11-06: 103.6x the 50-day median, price +11.1% that day

2026-11-03: 41.8x the 50-day median, price +4.6% that day

Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).

Where does it rank among Communications peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Communications peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

Where it ranks today

  • ROCE15thflat vs a year ago
  • Op. margin15th▲ 7 pts vs a year ago
  • Revenue growth43rd▼ 50 pts vs a year ago
  • Cash cycle ↓14th▲ 6 pts vs a year ago
  • 12M momentum43rd▼ 14 pts vs a year ago

Rank history

ROCE
Op. margin
Revenue growth
Cash cycle ↓
12M momentum
Dec '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Jul '26Nov '26
Lower rank Higher rank Not enough data

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Communications sector page Watch it move against Communications in the Observatory

What is the price implying?

Trailing earnings per share are negative, so a P/E-based figure does not exist. See the loss-makers list on the Expectations Gap page for a revenue-based version.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

The market-wide Expectations lists

Key figures

Share Priceclose 9 Nov
₹26.97
ROCE
-9.0%
Market Cap
₹1701 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹989 cr
P/S
1.7x
Operating Margin
-15.0%
Promoter Holding
56.3%
12M Momentum
-29.6%

52-week range

₹21.26₹42.80
27% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
45.4%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
0.69

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
-0.0x
Share count, 1Y
unchanged

Are profits backed by cash?

3 of 3checks within rangeAll clear
Other income reliance—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Tax rate—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Cash conversion—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Free cash flow5 of 5 yrsWithin range

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 5. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history-103 daysWithin range

Debtor days are below the median of the previous three fiscal years by 103 days (126 vs 229). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.

Capital work in progress0% of fixed assetsWithin range

Capital work-in-progress is 0% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Tap a check to see how it is measured

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Over 2 years, institutional and promoter holdings were broadly unchanged.
  • The number of shareholders rose from 1.8 lakh to 3.7 lakh (+106%) between Dec 2023 and Jun 2026.

Holdings, Jun '26

How each group changed

GroupDec '23Jun '26Change
Promoters56.3%56.3%0.0 pts
FIIs0.5%0.4%-0.1 pts
DIIs13.8%13.4%-0.3 pts
Public and others29.5%29.9%+0.4 pts

Number of shareholders

3.7 lakhshareholders+106% since Dec '23
1.8L2.7L3.7L4.7L Dec '23Jun '24Dec '24Jun '25Dec '25Jun '26
Dec '23: 1.8 lakh
Mar '24: 1.9 lakh
Jun '24: 1.9 lakh
Sep '24: 4.7 lakh
Dec '24: 4.4 lakh
Mar '25: 4.4 lakh
Jun '25: 4.1 lakh
Sep '25: 4.0 lakh
Dec '25: 3.9 lakh
Mar '26: 3.7 lakh
Jun '26: 3.7 lakh
1.8L2.7L3.7L4.7L Dec '23Dec '24Dec '25Jun '26
Dec '23: 1.8 lakh
Mar '24: 1.9 lakh
Jun '24: 1.9 lakh
Sep '24: 4.7 lakh
Dec '24: 4.4 lakh
Mar '25: 4.4 lakh
Jun '25: 4.1 lakh
Sep '25: 4.0 lakh
Dec '25: 3.9 lakh
Mar '26: 3.7 lakh
Jun '26: 3.7 lakh

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

What happened next to similar setups

−9.8%typical 12-month return vs the marketBelow the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like MAHANAGAR TELEPHONE NIGAM LTD today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −26% to +14% vs the market, against −4% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The analogs' median sat below that base rate (gap −5.5%, 80% range −11.2% to −3.2%), but the matches cluster in only 6 distinct 12-month windows.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−50%0%+50%+100%
SHALPAINTS · Feb 2025: −56.5% vs market
SPECIALITY · Feb 2020: −38.2% vs market
FORCEMOT · Jul 2021: −35.6% vs market
ZODIACLOTH · Jan 2025: −34.0% vs market
DCW · Sep 2025: −33.2% vs market
ACL · Jun 2024: −32.8% vs market
ACLGATI · Dec 2022: −32.8% vs market
NURECA · Sep 2024: −31.4% vs market
NDTV · Jun 2024: −30.0% vs market
ASIANTILES · Apr 2024: −29.6% vs market
NITCO · Apr 2020: −29.1% vs market
GTLINFRA · Oct 2025: −27.8% vs market
VIPIND · Jun 2025: −27.6% vs market
RAMANEWS · Aug 2021: −19.9% vs market
TIRUMALCHM · May 2025: −19.6% vs market
DREDGECORP · Sep 2021: −18.4% vs market
KREBSBIO · Oct 2024: −17.8% vs market
OMAXE · Jul 2025: −16.2% vs market
INDOCO · Aug 2025: −15.3% vs market
DCAL · Apr 2022: −14.9% vs market
SHIVAMAUTO · Jun 2020: −13.4% vs market
BALAJITELE · Feb 2020: −12.8% vs market
RAMCOSYS · Jun 2023: −12.7% vs market
ASTEC · Sep 2025: −10.7% vs market
NSLNISP · Sep 2024: −9.9% vs market
VIPCLOTHNG · Jul 2024: −9.7% vs market
DEN · Mar 2020: −9.6% vs market
MAHEPC · Feb 2024: −9.1% vs market
DHANI · Apr 2023: −7.9% vs market
IFBIND · Nov 2022: −4.1% vs market
ALOKINDS · Sep 2023: −3.6% vs market
SWSOLAR · Mar 2022: −3.4% vs market
ENIL · Oct 2022: −2.5% vs market
INOXWIND · Apr 2022: −0.5% vs market
DWARKESH · Oct 2025: 0% vs market
INDIACEM · Aug 2023: +4.2% vs market
UNICHEMLAB · Sep 2023: +8.5% vs market
KOLTEPATIL · Aug 2024: +15.3% vs market
INDORAMA · Sep 2020: +30.7% vs market
HATHWAY · Jan 2020: +32.0% vs market
WOCKPHARMA · Mar 2020: +33.4% vs market
BHEL · Feb 2022: +41.4% vs market
ASHIANA · Sep 2020: +64.0% vs market
63MOONS · Apr 2023: +71.1% vs market
SCHAND · Jul 2020: +75.4% vs market
PRICOLLTD · Dec 2020: +76.6% vs market
JAYNECOIND · Jan 2025: +81.4% vs market
ATULAUTO · Jul 2022: +87.1% vs market
SHOPERSTOP · Jun 2021: +104.4% vs market
SHILPAMED · Dec 2023: +110.0% vs market
Similar setups −9.8%All companies −4.3%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 3 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
−9.8%
All companies' median
−4.3%
Beat the market
30% vs 45%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 39 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
BALAJITELE
Consumer Services
Feb 2020 —-11% −38%−44% −13%
DWARKESH
Process Industries
Oct 2025 —— −31%−35% 0%
ACL
Non-Energy Minerals
Jun 2024 —-6% +14%−26% −33%
NSLNISP
Non-Energy Minerals
Sep 2024 —-9% +5%−24% −10%
ASTEC
Process Industries
Sep 2025 —-13% −32%−35% −11%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
SWSOLAR
Industrial Services
Mar 2022 —-14% +23%−32% −3%
IFBIND
Consumer Durables
Nov 2022 —-4% −18%−26% −4%
DCW
Process Industries
Sep 2025 —1% −28%−38% −33%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/S, ROCE, operating margin, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high and volatility. Not used (unavailable for this company): P/E and debt/equity. This company is loss-making, so it was only compared with loss-making companies. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to MAHANAGAR TELEPHONE NIGAM LTD. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-11-09. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 98,395 company-months from 2019 companies; financial: 5,659 company-months from 108 companies. 2349 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

What else looks like this?

Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.

DCX SYSTEMSDCXINDIA
Producer Manufacturing
68%similar
operating marginmarket cap
Process Industries
67%similar
promoter holdingROCE
Process Industries
59%similar
operating marginROCE
Health Technology
59%similar
market capROCE
MAX INDIAMAXIND
Health Services
57%similar
ROCEvolatility
Communications
49%similar
ROCEoperating margin
Communications
0%similar
ROCEvolatility
Communications
0%similar
market caprevenue growth

Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.

What changed?

30 events since Jun '21

  1. NovPriceVolume reached 103.6x its 50-day median on 2026-11-06; price +11.1% that day.
  2. SepPeer rankSlipped to the bottom quartile of Communications on operating margin (from the 3rd quartile).
  3. AugPriceVolume reached 6.5x its 50-day median on 2026-08-17; price +2.8% that day.
  4. JunPeer rankMoved into the 3rd quartile of Communications on operating margin (from the bottom quartile).
  5. JunPriceVolume reached 5.2x its 50-day median on 2026-06-12; price +8.0% that day.
  6. MarPriceFell 78% from the Jul 2024 peak to the Mar 2026 low.
  7. JanPriceVolume reached 16.9x its 50-day median on 2026-01-30; price +10.1% that day.
  8. DecPriceVolume reached 13.4x its 50-day median on 2025-12-16; price +1.4% that day.
Show 22 earlier events
  1. JunPriceVolume reached 22.5x its 50-day median on 2025-06-25; price +9.5% that day.
  2. MarPriceVolume reached 22.5x its 50-day median on 2025-03-13; price +13.0% that day.
  3. DecPriceVolume reached 18.9x its 50-day median on 2024-12-12; price +7.6% that day.
  4. JulPriceRegained the 2024-02 peak, 4 months after the low.
  5. JulPriceVolume reached 32.9x its 50-day median on 2024-07-18; price +20.0% that day.
  6. JunPriceVolume reached 8.3x its 50-day median on 2024-06-11; price +11.4% that day.
  7. MarPriceFell 38% from the Feb 2024 peak to the Mar 2024 low.
  8. JanPriceRegained the 2021-12 peak, 10 months after the low.
  9. JanPriceVolume reached 9.5x its 50-day median on 2024-01-25; price +4.7% that day.
  10. DecPriceVolume reached 6.3x its 50-day median on 2023-12-15; price +6.6% that day.
  11. SepPriceVolume reached 19.8x its 50-day median on 2023-09-25; price +5.9% that day.
  12. JunPeer rankSlipped to the bottom quartile of Communications on ROCE (from the 3rd quartile).
  13. JunPriceVolume reached 19.4x its 50-day median on 2023-06-07; price +10.5% that day.
  14. MarPriceFell 56% from the Dec 2021 peak to the Mar 2023 low.
  15. JanPriceVolume reached 5.3x its 50-day median on 2023-01-18; price +7.9% that day.
  16. DecPriceVolume reached 33.0x its 50-day median on 2022-12-15; price +8.4% that day.
  17. JulPriceVolume reached 39.7x its 50-day median on 2022-07-12; price +8.0% that day.
  18. AprPriceVolume reached 7.4x its 50-day median on 2022-04-07; price +11.9% that day.
  19. JanPriceVolume reached 6.3x its 50-day median on 2022-01-03; price -1.5% that day.
  20. DecPriceRegained the 2021-03 peak, 8 months after the low.
  21. DecPriceVolume reached 31.2x its 50-day median on 2021-12-09; price +16.9% that day.
  22. JunPeer rankMoved into the 3rd quartile of Communications on ROCE (from the bottom quartile).

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Monthly history95 months · 2019-01 to 2026-11
MonthRevenue (TTM)ROCE
2026-11₹989 cr-9.0%
2026-10₹989 cr-9.0%
2026-09₹989 cr-9.0%
2026-08₹944 cr-9.0%
2026-07₹944 cr-9.0%
2026-06₹944 cr-9.0%
2026-05₹848 cr-7.0%
2026-04₹848 cr-7.0%
2026-03₹848 cr-7.0%
2026-02₹898 cr-7.0%
2026-01₹898 cr-7.0%
2025-12₹898 cr-7.0%
2025-11₹975 cr-7.0%
2025-10₹975 cr-7.0%
2025-09₹975 cr-7.0%
2025-08₹987 cr-7.0%
2025-07₹987 cr-7.0%
2025-06₹987 cr-7.0%
2025-05₹921 cr-8.0%
2025-04₹921 cr-8.0%
2025-03₹921 cr-8.0%
2025-02₹852 cr-8.0%
2025-01₹852 cr-8.0%
2024-12₹852 cr-8.0%
2024-11₹783 cr-8.0%
2024-10₹783 cr-8.0%
2024-09₹783 cr-8.0%
2024-08₹798 cr-8.0%
2024-07₹798 cr-8.0%
2024-06₹798 cr-8.0%
2024-05₹935 cr-7.0%
2024-04₹935 cr-7.0%
2024-03₹935 cr-7.0%
2024-02₹935 cr-7.0%
2024-01₹935 cr-7.0%
2023-12₹935 cr-7.0%
2023-11₹935 cr-7.0%
2023-10₹935 cr-7.0%
2023-09₹935 cr-7.0%
2023-08₹935 cr-7.0%
2023-07₹935 cr-7.0%
2023-06₹935 cr-7.0%
2023-05₹1149 cr-5.0%
2023-04₹1149 cr-5.0%
2023-03₹1149 cr-5.0%
2023-02₹1149 cr-5.0%
2023-01₹1149 cr-5.0%
2022-12₹1149 cr-5.0%
2022-11₹1149 cr-5.0%
2022-10₹1149 cr-5.0%
2022-09₹1149 cr-5.0%
2022-08₹1149 cr-5.0%
2022-07₹1149 cr-5.0%
2022-06₹1149 cr-5.0%
2022-05₹1388 cr-3.0%
2022-04₹1388 cr-3.0%
2022-03₹1388 cr-3.0%
2022-02₹1388 cr-3.0%
2022-01₹1388 cr-3.0%
2021-12₹1388 cr-3.0%
2021-11₹1388 cr-3.0%
2021-10₹1388 cr-3.0%
2021-09₹1388 cr-3.0%
2021-08₹1388 cr-3.0%
2021-07₹1388 cr-3.0%
2021-06₹1388 cr-3.0%
2021-05₹1624 cr-18.0%
2021-04₹1624 cr-18.0%
2021-03₹1624 cr-18.0%
2021-02₹1624 cr-18.0%
2021-01₹1624 cr-18.0%
2020-12₹1624 cr-18.0%
2020-11₹1624 cr-18.0%
2020-10₹1624 cr-18.0%
2020-09₹1624 cr-18.0%
2020-08₹1624 cr-18.0%
2020-07₹1624 cr-18.0%
2020-06₹1624 cr-18.0%
2020-05₹2085 cr-16.0%
2020-04₹2085 cr-16.0%
2020-03₹2085 cr-16.0%
2020-02₹2085 cr-16.0%
2020-01₹2085 cr-16.0%
2019-12₹2085 cr-16.0%
2019-11₹2085 cr-16.0%
2019-10₹2085 cr-16.0%
2019-09₹2085 cr-16.0%
2019-08₹2085 cr-16.0%
2019-07₹2085 cr-16.0%
2019-06₹2085 cr-16.0%
2019-05₹2472 cr-13.0%
2019-04₹2472 cr-13.0%
2019-03₹2472 cr-13.0%
2019-02₹2472 cr-13.0%
2019-01₹2472 cr-13.0%

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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