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BALAJI TELEFILMS LIMITED (BALAJITELE)

Consumer Services

Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.43 / 100
Profitability 22Growth 7Balance sheet 100
Momentum scoreHow strong the recent trend is: 3-month price change, 12-month improvement in earnings and the rise in FII + DII holding, among companies above ₹500 cr.48 / 100
Price 79Earnings 36FII/DII 29
Share Price
₹87.45
ROCE
-10.0%
Market Cap
₹1067 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹379 cr
P/S
2.8x
P/B
1.7x
ROE
-3.4%
Operating Margin
11.0%
Debt / Equity
0.0x
Promoter Holding
31.3%
12M Momentum
-20.6%

52-week range

₹69.52₹132.00
29% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
52.4%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
1.00

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
-10.0x
Cash from profit, 3Y
operating cash flow ÷ net profit
0.83x
Share count, 1Y
unchanged

What is the price implying?

Trailing earnings per share are negative, so a P/E-based figure does not exist. See the loss-makers list on the Expectations Gap page for a revenue-based version.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Consumer Services The market-wide Expectations lists

What changed?

  1. Oct '26Volume reached 6.8x its 50-day median on 2026-10-21; price +1.1% that day.
  2. Sep '26Moved into the 3rd quartile of Consumer Services on operating margin (from the bottom quartile).
  3. Aug '26Volume reached 15.9x its 50-day median on 2026-08-21; price +6.9% that day.
  4. Jun '26EPS (TTM) turned negative.
  5. Jun '26Slipped to the bottom quartile of Consumer Services on EPS growth (from the top quartile).
  6. Jun '26Volume reached 27.6x its 50-day median on 2026-06-18; price +3.6% that day.
  7. Mar '26Volume reached 12.6x its 50-day median on 2026-03-05; price +10.9% that day.
  8. Dec '25Volume reached 12.6x its 50-day median on 2025-12-22; price +5.5% that day.
Show 22 earlier events
  1. Sep '25Volume reached 8.8x its 50-day median on 2025-09-22; price +6.6% that day.
  2. Jun '25Promoter holding fell 2.2 pts to 31.9%.
  3. Jun '25EPS (TTM) turned positive.
  4. Jun '25FII + DII holding rose 6.6 pts over 2 quarters to 25.1%.
  5. Jun '25Slipped to the bottom quartile of Consumer Services on ROCE (from the 3rd quartile).
  6. Jun '25Share count is up 20.0% over 12 months.
  7. Apr '25Volume reached 8.7x its 50-day median on 2025-04-21; price +3.8% that day.
  8. Mar '25EPS (TTM) turned negative.
  9. Mar '25Fell 63% from the Feb 2024 peak to the Mar 2025 low.
  10. Mar '25Slipped to the 3rd quartile of Consumer Services on ROCE (from the 2nd quartile).
  11. Mar '25Volume reached 7.4x its 50-day median on 2025-03-26; price +0.1% that day.
  12. Dec '24Moved into the 3rd quartile of Consumer Services on operating margin (from the bottom quartile).
  13. Dec '24Volume reached 63.8x its 50-day median on 2024-12-16; price +13.5% that day.
  14. Jul '24Volume reached 5.1x its 50-day median on 2024-07-02; price +3.5% that day.
  15. Jun '24EPS (TTM) turned positive.
  16. Jun '24Moved into the 2nd quartile of Consumer Services on ROCE (from the bottom quartile).
  17. Jun '24Volume reached 6.4x its 50-day median on 2024-06-20; price +7.8% that day.
  18. Feb '24Regained the 2019-01 peak, 47 months after the low.
  19. Jan '24Volume reached 16.6x its 50-day median on 2024-01-08; price +10.3% that day.
  20. Dec '23Volume reached 14.8x its 50-day median on 2023-12-06; price +9.1% that day.
  21. Aug '23Volume reached 23.2x its 50-day median on 2023-08-16; price +10.2% that day.
  22. Jun '23Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹593 cr.

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Are profits backed by cash?

2 of 4 checks are within range, 2 near a threshold.
Tap a check to see how it is measured.

Other income reliance—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Tax rate—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Cash conversion0.83xWithin range

Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 0.83x (cash from operations ₹45 cr, net profit ₹54 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.

Free cash flow2 of 5 yrsNear threshold

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 2. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history+25 daysNear threshold

Debtor days are above the median of the previous three fiscal years by 25 days (103 vs 78). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.

Capital work in progress0% of fixed assetsWithin range

Capital work-in-progress is 0% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Over 2 years, FIIs added 6.0 pts; promoters trimmed 3.0 pts.
  • The number of shareholders fell from 35,657 to 29,571 (-17%) between Dec 2023 and Jun 2026.

Holdings, Jun '26

How each group changed

GroupDec '23Jun '26Change
Promoters34.3%31.3%-3.0 pts
FIIs18.6%24.5%+6.0 pts
DIIs0.3%0.0%-0.2 pts
Public and others46.8%44.1%-2.8 pts

Number of shareholders

29,571shareholders-17% since Dec '23
29k32k35k37k Dec '23Jun '24Dec '24Jun '25Dec '25Jun '26
Dec '23: 35,657
Mar '24: 35,353
Jun '24: 36,724
Sep '24: 37,383
Dec '24: 37,149
Mar '25: 36,509
Jun '25: 32,867
Sep '25: 30,383
Dec '25: 29,359
Mar '26: 29,529
Jun '26: 29,571
29k32k35k37k Dec '23Dec '24Dec '25Jun '26
Dec '23: 35,657
Mar '24: 35,353
Jun '24: 36,724
Sep '24: 37,383
Dec '24: 37,149
Mar '25: 36,509
Jun '25: 32,867
Sep '25: 30,383
Dec '25: 29,359
Mar '26: 29,529
Jun '26: 29,571

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-69.1%recovered 2024-02
1-year volatility52.4%annualised
Beta vs sector index1.123-year daily, correlation 0.42
Volume spikes7last 90 sessions, 5x the 50-day median

Monthly share price

₹37₹66₹95₹124 Jan '19Aug '20Mar '22Oct '23May '25Oct '26
2019-01: ₹90.85
2019-02: ₹80.70
2019-03: ₹82.00
2019-04: ₹75.35
2019-05: ₹71.60
2019-06: ₹58.55
2019-07: ₹54.55
2019-08: ₹57.35
2019-09: ₹53.80
2019-10: ₹54.10
2019-11: ₹57.20
2019-12: ₹51.65
2020-01: ₹54.45
2020-02: ₹50.10
2020-03: ₹37.75
2020-04: ₹61.50
2020-05: ₹58.60
2020-06: ₹74.75
2020-07: ₹87.60
2020-08: ₹80.85
2020-09: ₹67.85
2020-10: ₹62.60
2020-11: ₹59.75
2020-12: ₹68.20
2021-01: ₹60.70
2021-02: ₹59.45
2021-03: ₹57.30
2021-04: ₹56.95
2021-05: ₹68.40
2021-06: ₹64.20
2021-07: ₹70.20
2021-08: ₹61.10
2021-09: ₹65.20
2021-10: ₹62.35
2021-11: ₹56.50
2021-12: ₹61.75
2022-01: ₹62.50
2022-02: ₹75.55
2022-03: ₹70.95
2022-04: ₹60.40
2022-05: ₹56.35
2022-06: ₹40.95
2022-07: ₹46.60
2022-08: ₹54.15
2022-09: ₹49.60
2022-10: ₹47.80
2022-11: ₹47.15
2022-12: ₹45.30
2023-01: ₹42.00
2023-02: ₹42.40
2023-03: ₹37.10
2023-04: ₹41.45
2023-05: ₹43.95
2023-06: ₹42.70
2023-07: ₹45.95
2023-08: ₹70.40
2023-09: ₹62.35
2023-10: ₹65.00
2023-11: ₹69.55
2023-12: ₹74.40
2024-01: ₹88.45
2024-02: ₹124.20
2024-03: ₹73.85
2024-04: ₹81.70
2024-05: ₹64.65
2024-06: ₹70.11
2024-07: ₹73.51
2024-08: ₹70.06
2024-09: ₹63.29
2024-10: ₹62.57
2024-11: ₹71.09
2024-12: ₹75.27
2025-01: ₹69.98
2025-02: ₹53.41
2025-03: ₹60.42
2025-04: ₹71.78
2025-05: ₹80.62
2025-06: ₹87.42
2025-07: ₹91.19
2025-08: ₹95.07
2025-09: ₹121.12
2025-10: ₹110.09
2025-11: ₹115.52
2025-12: ₹104.99
2026-01: ₹83.72
2026-02: ₹108.14
2026-03: ₹71.11
2026-04: ₹98.49
2026-05: ₹90.35
2026-06: ₹88.26
2026-07: ₹83.61
2026-08: ₹91.90
2026-09: ₹91.26
2026-10: ₹87.45
₹37₹66₹95₹124 Jan '19Aug '21Mar '24Oct '26
2019-01: ₹90.85
2019-02: ₹80.70
2019-03: ₹82.00
2019-04: ₹75.35
2019-05: ₹71.60
2019-06: ₹58.55
2019-07: ₹54.55
2019-08: ₹57.35
2019-09: ₹53.80
2019-10: ₹54.10
2019-11: ₹57.20
2019-12: ₹51.65
2020-01: ₹54.45
2020-02: ₹50.10
2020-03: ₹37.75
2020-04: ₹61.50
2020-05: ₹58.60
2020-06: ₹74.75
2020-07: ₹87.60
2020-08: ₹80.85
2020-09: ₹67.85
2020-10: ₹62.60
2020-11: ₹59.75
2020-12: ₹68.20
2021-01: ₹60.70
2021-02: ₹59.45
2021-03: ₹57.30
2021-04: ₹56.95
2021-05: ₹68.40
2021-06: ₹64.20
2021-07: ₹70.20
2021-08: ₹61.10
2021-09: ₹65.20
2021-10: ₹62.35
2021-11: ₹56.50
2021-12: ₹61.75
2022-01: ₹62.50
2022-02: ₹75.55
2022-03: ₹70.95
2022-04: ₹60.40
2022-05: ₹56.35
2022-06: ₹40.95
2022-07: ₹46.60
2022-08: ₹54.15
2022-09: ₹49.60
2022-10: ₹47.80
2022-11: ₹47.15
2022-12: ₹45.30
2023-01: ₹42.00
2023-02: ₹42.40
2023-03: ₹37.10
2023-04: ₹41.45
2023-05: ₹43.95
2023-06: ₹42.70
2023-07: ₹45.95
2023-08: ₹70.40
2023-09: ₹62.35
2023-10: ₹65.00
2023-11: ₹69.55
2023-12: ₹74.40
2024-01: ₹88.45
2024-02: ₹124.20
2024-03: ₹73.85
2024-04: ₹81.70
2024-05: ₹64.65
2024-06: ₹70.11
2024-07: ₹73.51
2024-08: ₹70.06
2024-09: ₹63.29
2024-10: ₹62.57
2024-11: ₹71.09
2024-12: ₹75.27
2025-01: ₹69.98
2025-02: ₹53.41
2025-03: ₹60.42
2025-04: ₹71.78
2025-05: ₹80.62
2025-06: ₹87.42
2025-07: ₹91.19
2025-08: ₹95.07
2025-09: ₹121.12
2025-10: ₹110.09
2025-11: ₹115.52
2025-12: ₹104.99
2026-01: ₹83.72
2026-02: ₹108.14
2026-03: ₹71.11
2026-04: ₹98.49
2026-05: ₹90.35
2026-06: ₹88.26
2026-07: ₹83.61
2026-08: ₹91.90
2026-09: ₹91.26
2026-10: ₹87.45

Last 90 trading days

₹82₹87₹93₹98 Jun 23Jul 20Aug 13Sep 8Oct 6Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹87.12
2026-06-25: ₹88.26
2026-06-30: ₹88.26
2026-07-02: ₹90.00
2026-07-06: ₹91.40
2026-07-08: ₹90.04
2026-07-10: ₹92.29
2026-07-14: ₹91.64
2026-07-16: ₹89.81
2026-07-20: ₹87.65
2026-07-22: ₹85.07
2026-07-24: ₹84.04
2026-07-28: ₹82.60
2026-07-30: ₹82.23
2026-08-03: ₹84.54
2026-08-05: ₹84.66
2026-08-07: ₹85.72
2026-08-11: ₹90.76
2026-08-13: ₹92.52
2026-08-17: ₹92.72
2026-08-19: ₹91.46
2026-08-21: ₹97.80
2026-08-25: ₹95.09
2026-08-27: ₹93.54
2026-08-31: ₹91.90
2026-09-02: ₹91.09
2026-09-04: ₹93.17
2026-09-08: ₹93.42
2026-09-10: ₹91.81
2026-09-15: ₹95.48
2026-09-17: ₹95.97
2026-09-21: ₹93.55
2026-09-23: ₹94.18
2026-09-25: ₹93.85
2026-09-29: ₹91.74
2026-10-01: ₹90.04
2026-10-06: ₹90.56
2026-10-08: ₹86.08
2026-10-12: ₹91.43
2026-10-14: ₹91.18
2026-10-16: ₹90.83
2026-10-21: ₹93.65
2026-10-23: ₹86.40
2026-10-27: ₹84.88
2026-10-29: ₹87.35
2026-10-30: ₹87.45
₹82₹87₹93₹98 Jun 23Aug 5Sep 17Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹87.12
2026-06-25: ₹88.26
2026-06-30: ₹88.26
2026-07-02: ₹90.00
2026-07-06: ₹91.40
2026-07-08: ₹90.04
2026-07-10: ₹92.29
2026-07-14: ₹91.64
2026-07-16: ₹89.81
2026-07-20: ₹87.65
2026-07-22: ₹85.07
2026-07-24: ₹84.04
2026-07-28: ₹82.60
2026-07-30: ₹82.23
2026-08-03: ₹84.54
2026-08-05: ₹84.66
2026-08-07: ₹85.72
2026-08-11: ₹90.76
2026-08-13: ₹92.52
2026-08-17: ₹92.72
2026-08-19: ₹91.46
2026-08-21: ₹97.80
2026-08-25: ₹95.09
2026-08-27: ₹93.54
2026-08-31: ₹91.90
2026-09-02: ₹91.09
2026-09-04: ₹93.17
2026-09-08: ₹93.42
2026-09-10: ₹91.81
2026-09-15: ₹95.48
2026-09-17: ₹95.97
2026-09-21: ₹93.55
2026-09-23: ₹94.18
2026-09-25: ₹93.85
2026-09-29: ₹91.74
2026-10-01: ₹90.04
2026-10-06: ₹90.56
2026-10-08: ₹86.08
2026-10-12: ₹91.43
2026-10-14: ₹91.18
2026-10-16: ₹90.83
2026-10-21: ₹93.65
2026-10-23: ₹86.40
2026-10-27: ₹84.88
2026-10-29: ₹87.35
2026-10-30: ₹87.45

Drawdown from peak

0% -33% -67% Jan '19Dec '22Oct '26 0% -33% -67% Jan '19Dec '22Oct '26
Largest drawdowns

-69.1% (2019-01 peak to 2020-03 low, recovered 2024-02)

-63.2% (2024-02 peak to 2025-03 low, not yet recovered)

Most recent volume spikes

2026-10-21: 6.8x the 50-day median, price +1.1% that day

2026-09-15: 13.8x the 50-day median, price +5.4% that day

2026-09-04: 13.4x the 50-day median, price +2.0% that day

Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).

Where does it rank among Consumer Services peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Consumer Services peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

ROCE
Op. margin
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Nov '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Oct '26
Lower rank Higher rank

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Consumer Services sector page Watch it move against Consumer Services in the Observatory

What else looks like this?

Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.

CompanySectorSimilarityClosest on
NOCIL (NOCIL)Process Industries54%operating margin, promoter holding
IND-SWIFT LABORATORIES (INDSWFTLAB)Health Technology50%revenue growth, debt/equity
HARDWYN INDIA (HARDWYN)Distribution Services49%debt/equity, revenue
RELIANCE INDUSTRIAL INFRASTRUC (RIIL)Industrial Services49%revenue growth, market cap
EXCELL INDUSTRIES (EXCELINDUS)Process Industries47%market cap, debt/equity
DELTA CORP (DELTACORP)Consumer Services55%revenue growth, promoter holding
EASY TRIP PLANNERS (EASEMYTRIP)Consumer Services32%debt/equity, ROCE
TVTODAY NETWORK (TVTODAY)Consumer Services28%debt/equity, revenue growth

Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.

What happened next to similar setups

−1.6%typical 12-month return vs the marketNot meaningfully different from the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like BALAJI TELEFILMS LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −21% to +30% vs the market, against 0% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The gap against the base rate (−1.4%, 80% range −8.1% to +3.0%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
CHEMFAB · Jul 2025: −54.6% vs market
ZODIACLOTH · Feb 2020: −50.6% vs market
SUBEXLTD · Sep 2023: −42.7% vs market
LLOYDS · Jan 2025: −39.3% vs market
SPECIALITY · Jan 2020: −39.2% vs market
JHS · Jun 2023: −35.8% vs market
FORCEMOT · Jul 2021: −35.5% vs market
DREDGECORP · Jun 2021: −34.3% vs market
DELHIVERY · Nov 2023: −33.6% vs market
PRAXIS · Dec 2021: −32.1% vs market
ASIANTILES · Nov 2023: −28.0% vs market
LOVABLE · Jul 2023: −22.6% vs market
SUNDROP · Jul 2025: −21.7% vs market
INDOTECH · Apr 2020: −20.7% vs market
SWSOLAR · Jun 2022: −18.8% vs market
ENIL · Sep 2022: −17.9% vs market
KREBSBIO · Jul 2024: −11.0% vs market
AHLEAST · Aug 2022: −10.4% vs market
TRF · Jun 2021: −10.3% vs market
DEN · Mar 2020: −9.6% vs market
HMVL · May 2024: −8.1% vs market
BHEL · Sep 2021: −7.5% vs market
ALOKINDS · Aug 2023: −6.6% vs market
MAHEPC · Mar 2024: −4.4% vs market
INDIANCARD · Feb 2020: −2.9% vs market
SCHAND · Sep 2020: −0.2% vs market
PALASHSECU · Jul 2022: +1.6% vs market
SMARTLINK · Sep 2020: +2.0% vs market
GUJALKALI · Mar 2025: +3.5% vs market
RAMCOSYS · Apr 2024: +3.8% vs market
BROOKS · Dec 2022: +4.4% vs market
RSSOFTWARE · Apr 2020: +5.9% vs market
AURIONPRO · Apr 2022: +7.0% vs market
RENUKA · Mar 2020: +9.5% vs market
CARTRADE · Feb 2023: +12.9% vs market
ARROWGREEN · Mar 2021: +25.7% vs market
SHALPAINTS · May 2020: +26.7% vs market
MTNL · Nov 2023: +30.8% vs market
ASHIANA · Nov 2020: +31.2% vs market
ATULAUTO · Nov 2021: +38.5% vs market
SAFARI · Jul 2021: +39.5% vs market
MAXIND · Dec 2023: +41.5% vs market
63MOONS · Feb 2023: +55.4% vs market
UNICHEMLAB · Dec 2023: +55.8% vs market
ASIANENE · Jul 2023: +81.0% vs market
NITIRAJ · May 2023: +106.6% vs market
JINDRILL · Mar 2021: +115.4% vs market
GMDCLTD · Aug 2021: +121.4% vs market
TEJASNET · Dec 2020: +126.5% vs market
GENESYS · Jun 2021: +310.4% vs market
Similar setups −1.6%All companies −0.2%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 5 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
−1.6%
All companies' median
−0.2%
Beat the market
48% vs 50%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 36 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
UNICHEMLAB
Health Technology
Dec 2023 —-5% +29%−8% +56%
CARTRADE
Technology Services
Feb 2023 —-6% −13%−35% +13%
ZODIACLOTH
Consumer Non-Durables
Feb 2020 —-4% −15%−44% −51%
RAMCOSYS
Technology Services
Apr 2024 —-33% +58%−16% +4%
JHS
Consumer Non-Durables
Jun 2023 36x-2% +9%−12% −36%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
SUBEXLTD
Technology Services
Sep 2023 —-6% +3%−14% −43%
MAHEPC
Producer Manufacturing
Mar 2024 —-7% +39%−22% −4%
KREBSBIO
Health Technology
Jul 2024 —-19% +29%−16% −11%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: drawdown from 12-month high, 12-month momentum and volatility. Not used (unavailable for this company): P/E. This company is loss-making, so it was only compared with loss-making companies. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to BALAJI TELEFILMS LIMITED. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-10-30. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 97,430 company-months from 2000 companies; financial: 5,632 company-months from 106 companies. 2240 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.
Monthly history (94 months)
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-10—₹379 cr-3.4%-10.0%0.0x
2026-09—₹379 cr-3.5%-10.0%0.0x
2026-08—₹212 cr-8.0%-10.0%0.0x
2026-07—₹212 cr-8.0%-10.0%0.0x
2026-06—₹212 cr-8.0%-10.0%0.0x
2026-0518.3x₹230 cr8.8%-1.0%0.0x
2026-0420.0x₹230 cr8.8%-1.0%0.0x
2026-0314.4x₹230 cr8.8%-1.0%0.0x
2026-0218.6x₹281 cr10.8%-1.0%0.0x
2026-0114.4x₹281 cr10.8%-1.0%0.0x
2025-1218.1x₹281 cr10.8%-1.0%0.0x
2025-1117.1x₹376 cr12.3%-1.0%0.0x
2025-1016.3x₹376 cr12.3%-1.0%0.0x
2025-0917.9x₹376 cr12.3%-1.0%0.0x
2025-0813.2x₹452 cr12.9%-1.0%0.0x
2025-0712.7x₹452 cr12.9%-1.0%0.0x
2025-0612.2x₹452 cr12.9%-1.0%0.0x
2025-05—₹521 cr-2.8%8.0%0.2x
2025-04—₹521 cr-2.8%8.0%0.2x
2025-03—₹521 cr-2.8%8.0%0.2x
2025-02232.2x₹566 cr0.5%8.0%0.2x
2025-01304.3x₹566 cr0.5%8.0%0.2x
2024-12327.3x₹566 cr0.5%8.0%0.2x
2024-1184.6x₹622 cr1.6%8.0%0.2x
2024-1074.5x₹622 cr1.6%8.0%0.2x
2024-0975.3x₹622 cr1.6%8.0%0.2x
2024-0835.9x₹625 cr4.6%8.0%0.2x
2024-0737.7x₹625 cr4.6%8.0%0.2x
2024-0636.0x₹625 cr4.6%8.0%0.2x
2024-05—₹593 cr-9.4%-5.0%0.3x
2024-04—₹593 cr-9.4%-5.0%0.3x
2024-03—₹593 cr-9.4%-5.0%0.3x
2024-02—₹593 cr-9.4%-5.0%0.3x
2024-01—₹593 cr-9.4%-5.0%0.3x
2023-12—₹593 cr-9.4%-5.0%0.3x
2023-11—₹593 cr-9.4%-5.0%0.3x
2023-10—₹593 cr-9.4%-5.0%0.3x
2023-09—₹593 cr-9.4%-5.0%0.3x
2023-08—₹593 cr-9.4%-5.0%0.3x
2023-07—₹593 cr-9.4%-5.0%0.3x
2023-06—₹593 cr-9.4%-5.0%0.3x
2023-05—₹337 cr-30.0%-24.0%0.1x
2023-04—₹337 cr-30.0%-24.0%0.1x
2023-03—₹337 cr-30.0%-24.0%0.1x
2023-02—₹337 cr-30.0%-24.0%0.1x
2023-01—₹337 cr-30.0%-24.0%0.1x
2022-12—₹337 cr-30.0%-24.0%0.1x
2022-11—₹337 cr-30.0%-24.0%0.1x
2022-10—₹337 cr-30.0%-24.0%0.1x
2022-09—₹337 cr-30.0%-24.0%0.1x
2022-08—₹337 cr-30.0%-24.0%0.1x
2022-07—₹337 cr-30.0%-24.0%0.1x
2022-06—₹337 cr-30.0%-24.0%0.1x
2022-05—₹294 cr-20.8%-18.0%0.0x
2022-04—₹294 cr-20.8%-18.0%0.0x
2022-03—₹294 cr-20.8%-18.0%0.0x
2022-02—₹294 cr-20.8%-18.0%0.0x
2022-01—₹294 cr-20.8%-18.0%0.0x
2021-12—₹294 cr-20.8%-18.0%0.0x
2021-11—₹294 cr-20.8%-18.0%0.0x
2021-10—₹294 cr-20.8%-18.0%0.0x
2021-09—₹294 cr-20.8%-18.0%0.0x
2021-08—₹294 cr-20.8%-18.0%0.0x
2021-07—₹294 cr-20.8%-18.0%0.0x
2021-06—₹294 cr-20.8%-18.0%0.0x
2021-05—₹574 cr-8.5%-3.0%0.0x
2021-04—₹574 cr-8.5%-3.0%0.0x
2021-03—₹574 cr-8.5%-3.0%0.0x
2021-02—₹574 cr-8.5%-3.0%0.0x
2021-01—₹574 cr-8.5%-3.0%0.0x
2020-12—₹574 cr-8.5%-3.0%0.0x
2020-11—₹574 cr-8.5%-3.0%0.0x
2020-10—₹574 cr-8.5%-3.0%0.0x
2020-09—₹574 cr-8.5%-3.0%0.0x
2020-08—₹574 cr-8.5%-3.0%0.0x
2020-07—₹574 cr-8.5%-3.0%0.0x
2020-06—₹574 cr-8.5%-3.0%0.0x
2020-05—₹428 cr-12.9%-11.0%0.0x
2020-04—₹428 cr-12.9%-11.0%0.0x
2020-03—₹428 cr-12.9%-11.0%0.0x
2020-02—₹428 cr-12.9%-11.0%0.0x
2020-01—₹428 cr-12.9%-11.0%0.0x
2019-12—₹428 cr-12.9%-11.0%0.0x
2019-11—₹428 cr-12.9%-11.0%0.0x
2019-10—₹428 cr-12.9%-11.0%0.0x
2019-09—₹428 cr-12.9%-11.0%0.0x
2019-08—₹428 cr-12.9%-11.0%0.0x
2019-07—₹428 cr-12.9%-11.0%0.0x
2019-06—₹428 cr-12.9%-11.0%0.0x
2019-05—₹413 cr-5.4%-7.0%0.0x
2019-04—₹413 cr-5.4%-7.0%0.0x
2019-03—₹413 cr-5.4%-7.0%0.0x
2019-02—₹413 cr-5.4%-7.0%0.0x
2019-01—₹413 cr-5.4%-7.0%0.0x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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