Share price
₹1,056.5 latest close · −6.1% over the last 90 sessions
₹1,056.5 month-end · −17.7% over 12 months
₹1,056.5 month-end · +29.6% over 3 years
₹1,056.5 month-end · +138.9% since Jan '19
52-week range ₹933.40 to ₹1369.10 · 1-year volatility 31.2%
Was the rally earned?
Earnings helped, the multiple did not.
- Per-share earnings added 3 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 22.5x to 17.9x), which took 21 points back.
- The share count barely moved.
Mostly yes, with a catch.
- Per-share earnings added 41 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 19.8x to 17.9x), which took 11 points back.
- The share count barely moved.
Mostly yes, with a catch.
- Per-share earnings added 120 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 24.1x to 17.9x), which took 41 points back.
- The share count barely moved.
What do "pts" mean?
"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.
Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.
Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.
How rough has the ride been?
Drawdown from peak
Largest drawdowns
-49.9% (2020-02 peak to 2020-05 low, recovered 2023-11)
-39.7% (2025-09 peak to 2026-10 low, not yet recovered)
-18.3% (2024-12 peak to 2025-02 low, recovered 2025-06)
Most recent volume spikes
2026-09-29: 5.3x the 50-day median, price -4.2% that day
2026-09-08: 6.6x the 50-day median, price +3.8% that day
2026-08-28: 6.8x the 50-day median, price +3.1% that day
Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).
Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?
Usual range 16.4x to 24.1x since 2019-01.
40% below the Producer Manufacturing median.
The chart loads when you open this tab.
The chart loads when you open this tab.
How to read this
Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dotted line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).
Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.
Where does it rank among Producer Manufacturing peers?
Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Producer Manufacturing peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).
Where it ranks today
- ROCE66th▼ 3 pts vs a year ago
- Op. margin100thflat vs a year ago
- Revenue growth67thflat vs a year ago
- EPS growth44th▼ 18 pts vs a year ago
- Debt/equity ↓71st▼ 25 pts vs a year ago
- Cash cycle ↓93rdflat vs a year ago
- P/E ↓76th▲ 7 pts vs a year ago
- 12M momentum33rd▼ 54 pts vs a year ago
Rank history
Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.
The Producer Manufacturing sector page Watch it move against Producer Manufacturing in the Observatory
What is the price implying?
At normalised P/E (five-year average earnings) of 22.8x, a holder earning 12%/yr needs earnings to grow about 16.0%/yr for 10 years, then trade at 15x.
Over time
Implied growth by month (solid) and delivered growth (dashed).
Change the assumptions
| Exit P/E / return | 11% | 12% | 13% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12x | 17.5% | 18.5% | 19.6% |
| 15x | 15.0% | 16.0% | 17.1% |
| 20x | 11.9% | 12.9% | 13.9% |
Drag a slider to test other assumptions
Implied: 16.0%/yrLooking back
- Jan 2020Price implied 19%/yr; EPS has since grown 13%/yr (7.0 yrs)
- Jan 2021Price implied 13%/yr; EPS has since grown 10%/yr (6.0 yrs)
- Jan 2022Price implied 16%/yr; EPS has since grown 19%/yr (5.0 yrs)
Past comparisons cover only companies listed today (survivorship bias) and say nothing about future outcomes.
“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect. How this is calculated and the market-wide lists.
What prices imply across Producer Manufacturing The market-wide Expectations lists
Key figures
- Share Priceclose 9 Nov
- ₹1056.50
- P/E
- 17.9x
- ROCE
- 19.0%
- Market Cap
- ₹7447 cr
- Revenue (TTM)
- ₹951 cr
- P/S
- 7.8x
- P/B
- 2.5x
- ROE
- 13.9%
- Operating Margin
- 48.0%
- Debt / Equity
- 0.1x
- Promoter Holding
- 68.5%
- 12M Momentum
- -17.7%
52-week range
Price risk
Balance sheet & cash
Are profits backed by cash?
Other income reliance22%Near threshold
Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 22.4%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.
Tax rate21%Within range
Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 21.0%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.
Cash conversion0.97xWithin range
Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 0.97x (cash from operations ₹1,114 cr, net profit ₹1,151 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.
Free cash flow4 of 5 yrsWithin range
Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 4. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.
Receivable days vs history0 daysWithin range
Debtor days are below the median of the previous three fiscal years by 0 days (8 vs 8). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.
Capital work in progress65% of fixed assetsWithin range
Capital work-in-progress is 65% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.
Payable days-50 days / 2 yrsWithin range
Days payable changed by -50 over two years. Bands: rise of up to 30 days; more than 30 days.
Tap a check to see how it is measured
How to read this
Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.
Who has been buying and selling?
- Over 3 years, FIIs added 1.5 pts.
- The number of shareholders rose from 36,251 to 46,381 (+28%) between Sep 2023 and Jun 2026.
Holdings, Jun '26
How each group changed
Number of shareholders
Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.
What happened next to similar setups
- We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like NESCO LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
- Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −17% to +24% vs the market, against −4% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
- The gap against the base rate (+7.1%, 80% range −6.1% to +12.2%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.
Where the 50 outcomes landed
Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 1 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge
50 past situations · 50 companies · 31 months · 2020–2025
The closest matches
| Company | When | P/E | ROCE | 12M mom. | Drawdown | Next 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPPL Transportation |
Aug 2020 | 11x | 17% | +2% | −17% | −20% |
| NATCOPHARM Health Technology |
Jun 2023 | 19x | 18% | +7% | −8% | +15% |
| INDIAMART Retail Trade |
May 2025 | 30x | 24% | −4% | −26% | −16% |
| ADVENZYMES Consumer Non-Durables |
Jun 2024 | 32x | 15% | +37% | −8% | −18% |
| CARERATING Commercial Services |
Jun 2024 | 32x | 21% | +51% | −12% | +65% |
Show the other 3 matches
| Company | When | P/E | ROCE | 12M mom. | Drawdown | Next 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EIHOTEL Consumer Services |
Jun 2025 | 31x | 23% | −14% | −16% | −13% |
| STARCEMENT Producer Manufacturing |
May 2020 | 10x | 18% | −39% | −43% | −14% |
| AIAENG Producer Manufacturing |
Apr 2024 | 34x | 25% | +40% | −15% | −17% |
How reliable is this?
Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: drawdown from 12-month high, 12-month momentum and revenue growth. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.
Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.
What else looks like this?
Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.
Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.
What changed?
30 events since Sep '22
- OctPriceFell 40% from the Sep 2025 peak to the Oct 2026 low.
- SepPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on EPS growth (from the 2nd quartile).
- AugPriceVolume reached 6.8x its 50-day median on 2026-08-28; price +3.1% that day.
- JunPeer rankMoved into the 2nd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on EPS growth (from the 3rd quartile).
- MarPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on EPS growth (from the 2nd quartile).
- NovPriceVolume reached 11.6x its 50-day median on 2025-11-07; price +8.9% that day.
- SepPeer rankMoved into the 2nd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on EPS growth (from the 3rd quartile).
- JulValuationP/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (25.9x).
Show 22 earlier events
- JulPriceVolume reached 13.1x its 50-day median on 2025-07-30; price +4.5% that day.
- JunPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on EPS growth (from the 2nd quartile).
- JunPriceVolume reached 8.6x its 50-day median on 2025-06-10; price +7.0% that day.
- FebPriceVolume reached 5.6x its 50-day median on 2025-02-18; price -2.7% that day.
- DecPeer rankMoved into the 2nd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on EPS growth (from the 3rd quartile).
- NovPriceVolume reached 5.9x its 50-day median on 2024-11-25; price +5.2% that day.
- SepPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on EPS growth (from the 2nd quartile).
- SepPriceVolume reached 12.2x its 50-day median on 2024-09-06; price +4.0% that day.
- JunResultsRevenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹678 cr.
- JunPriceVolume reached 14.7x its 50-day median on 2024-06-13; price +4.6% that day.
- MarPeer rankSlipped to the 2nd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on ROCE (from the top quartile).
- FebPriceVolume reached 5.1x its 50-day median on 2024-02-16; price +1.5% that day.
- NovPriceRegained the 2020-02 peak, 42 months after the low.
- NovPriceVolume reached 71.5x its 50-day median on 2023-11-10; price +11.9% that day.
- OctValuationP/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (15.7x).
- JulPriceVolume reached 8.4x its 50-day median on 2023-07-28; price +3.7% that day.
- JunResultsRevenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹546 cr.
- JunValuationP/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (15.3x).
- JunPeer rankMoved into the top quartile of Producer Manufacturing on ROCE (from the 2nd quartile).
- JunPriceVolume reached 5.9x its 50-day median on 2023-06-06; price +4.1% that day.
- NovPriceVolume reached 18.9x its 50-day median on 2022-11-10; price +5.9% that day.
- SepPriceVolume reached 114.5x its 50-day median on 2022-09-09; price +7.7% that day.
Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.
Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month
Monthly history60 months · 2021-12 to 2026-11
| Month | P/E | Revenue (TTM) | ROE | ROCE | Debt / Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 17.9x | ₹951 cr | 13.9% | 19.0% | 0.1x |
| 2026-10 | 16.8x | ₹951 cr | 13.9% | 19.0% | 0.1x |
| 2026-09 | 17.7x | ₹951 cr | 13.9% | 19.0% | 0.1x |
| 2026-08 | 17.8x | ₹932 cr | 13.8% | 19.0% | 0.1x |
| 2026-07 | 18.2x | ₹932 cr | 13.8% | 19.0% | 0.1x |
| 2026-06 | 18.4x | ₹932 cr | 13.8% | 19.0% | 0.1x |
| 2026-05 | 20.3x | ₹872 cr | 15.6% | 21.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-04 | 21.2x | ₹872 cr | 15.6% | 21.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-03 | 17.5x | ₹872 cr | 15.6% | 21.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-02 | 19.1x | ₹831 cr | 15.7% | 21.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-01 | 19.4x | ₹831 cr | 15.7% | 21.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-12 | 20.9x | ₹831 cr | 15.7% | 21.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-11 | 22.5x | ₹784 cr | 15.3% | 21.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-10 | 24.0x | ₹784 cr | 15.3% | 21.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-09 | 23.0x | ₹784 cr | 15.3% | 21.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-08 | 26.4x | ₹732 cr | 14.3% | 21.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-07 | 25.9x | ₹732 cr | 14.3% | 21.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-06 | 21.9x | ₹732 cr | 14.3% | 21.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-05 | 16.7x | ₹729 cr | 17.1% | 22.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-04 | 17.0x | ₹729 cr | 17.1% | 22.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-03 | 16.4x | ₹729 cr | 17.1% | 22.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-02 | 16.3x | ₹700 cr | 16.4% | 22.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-01 | 18.0x | ₹700 cr | 16.4% | 22.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-12 | 18.1x | ₹700 cr | 16.4% | 22.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-11 | 20.9x | ₹683 cr | 15.5% | 22.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-10 | 19.6x | ₹683 cr | 15.5% | 22.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-09 | 18.6x | ₹683 cr | 15.5% | 22.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-08 | 18.4x | ₹678 cr | 15.8% | 22.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-07 | 18.0x | ₹678 cr | 15.8% | 22.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-06 | 17.9x | ₹678 cr | 15.8% | 22.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-05 | 20.6x | ₹546 cr | 14.8% | 22.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-04 | 21.0x | ₹546 cr | 14.8% | 22.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-03 | 20.1x | ₹546 cr | 14.8% | 22.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-02 | 20.5x | ₹546 cr | 14.8% | 22.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-01 | 20.8x | ₹546 cr | 14.8% | 22.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-12 | 21.4x | ₹546 cr | 14.8% | 22.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-11 | 19.8x | ₹546 cr | 14.8% | 22.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-10 | 15.7x | ₹546 cr | 14.8% | 22.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-09 | 16.6x | ₹546 cr | 14.8% | 22.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-08 | 17.5x | ₹546 cr | 14.8% | 22.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-07 | 17.0x | ₹546 cr | 14.8% | 22.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-06 | 15.3x | ₹546 cr | 14.8% | 22.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-05 | 22.5x | ₹337 cr | 11.1% | 15.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-04 | 20.6x | ₹337 cr | 11.1% | 15.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-03 | 19.3x | ₹337 cr | 11.1% | 15.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-02 | 19.3x | ₹337 cr | 11.1% | 15.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-01 | 21.6x | ₹337 cr | 11.1% | 15.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-12 | 22.7x | ₹337 cr | 11.1% | 15.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-11 | 23.8x | ₹337 cr | 11.1% | 15.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-10 | 21.5x | ₹337 cr | 11.1% | 15.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-09 | 21.1x | ₹337 cr | 11.1% | 15.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-08 | 21.4x | ₹337 cr | 11.1% | 15.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-07 | 22.1x | ₹337 cr | 11.1% | 15.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-06 | 20.5x | ₹337 cr | 11.1% | 15.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-05 | 22.1x | ₹291 cr | 11.2% | 16.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-04 | 23.5x | ₹291 cr | 11.2% | 16.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-03 | 22.6x | ₹291 cr | 11.2% | 16.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-02 | 22.8x | ₹291 cr | 11.2% | 16.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-01 | 23.7x | ₹291 cr | 11.2% | 16.0% | 0.0x |
| 2021-12 | 23.8x | ₹291 cr | 11.2% | 16.0% | 0.0x |
Older months are in the live observatory.