अApnaFunda

PATEL RETAIL LIMITED (PATELRMART)

Retail Trade

Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.53 / 100
Profitability 51Balance sheet 56
Momentum scoreHow strong the recent trend is: 3-month price change, 12-month improvement in earnings and the rise in FII + DII holding, among companies above ₹500 cr.60 / 100
Price 80Earnings 40

Passes these screens: Debt-light & profitable

Share Price
₹239.19
P/E
19.2x
ROCE
16.0%
Market Cap
₹800 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹1175 cr
P/S
0.7x
P/B
2.2x
ROE
11.5%
Operating Margin
6.1%
Debt / Equity
0.4x
Promoter Holding
70.0%
12M Momentum
7.2%

52-week range

₹150.25₹266.00
77% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
46.6%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
0.77

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
6.1x
Cash from profit, 3Y
operating cash flow ÷ net profit
-0.34x
low
Share count, 1Y
+32.0%

Was the rally earned?

+7%share price, 1 yearLower P/E held it back

Mostly yes, with a catch.

  • Per-share earnings added 18 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 21.2x to 19.2x), which took 10 points back.
  • The share count rose 35%.
1 year Net profit growth: +49 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+49 ptsP/E change: -10 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-10 ptsShare count change: -31 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price.-31 pts +7% 1 year Net profit growth: +49 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+49 ptsP/E change: -10 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.Share count change: -31 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price.-31 pts +7%
Net profit growth+49 ptsNet profit rose about 60%, which lifts the price.
P/E change-10 ptsThe P/E fell from 21.2x to 19.2x, which lowers the price.
Share count change-31 ptsShare count rose 35%, which lowers the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Not shown for 3 years and 5 years: earnings were negative at one end, or there is not enough history.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare this with MAGSON RETAIL DISTRIBUTION

What is the price implying?

~15%annual earnings growth implied by the price

At a P/E of 19.2x, the price would imply about 14.8%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.

Below the ₹1,000 cr market-cap floor used for the lists.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Retail Trade The market-wide Expectations lists

What changed?

  1. Aug '26Debt / equity halved over 12 months to 0.45x.
  2. Aug '26Share count is up 32.0% over 12 months.
  3. Jul '26Volume reached 28.2x its 50-day median on 2026-07-03; price +9.9% that day.
  4. Jun '26Debt / equity fell below 1.0x (0.45x).
  5. Jun '26Volume reached 27.4x its 50-day median on 2026-06-09; price +13.4% that day.
  6. Mar '26Fell 47% from the Aug 2025 peak to the Mar 2026 low.
  7. Jan '26Volume reached 39.5x its 50-day median on 2026-01-20; price +18.7% that day.
  8. Dec '25Slipped to the 3rd quartile of Retail Trade on operating margin (from the 2nd quartile).
Show 2 earlier events
  1. Nov '25Volume reached 9.6x its 50-day median on 2025-11-21; price +5.9% that day.
  2. Sep '25Moved into the 2nd quartile of Retail Trade on operating margin (from the 3rd quartile).

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Are profits backed by cash?

2 of 5 checks are within range, 2 near a threshold, 1 beyond a threshold.
Tap a check to see how it is measured.

Other income reliance20%Near threshold

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 19.5%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate25%Within range

Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 25.4%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.

Cash conversion-0.34xBeyond threshold

Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: -0.34x (cash from operations ₹-30 cr, net profit ₹87 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.

Free cash flow3 of 5 yrsNear threshold

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 3. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Capital work in progress1% of fixed assetsWithin range

Capital work-in-progress is 1% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Since Sep 2025, FIIs trimmed 2.4 pts; DIIs added 1.2 pts.
  • The number of shareholders fell from 52,871 to 37,293 (-29%) between Sep 2025 and Jun 2026.

Holdings, Jun '26

How each group changed

GroupSep '25Jun '26Change
Promoters70.0%70.0%0.0 pts
FIIs3.8%1.5%-2.4 pts
DIIs1.8%3.0%+1.2 pts
Public and others24.4%25.5%+1.1 pts

Number of shareholders

37,293shareholders-29% since Sep '25
37k42k48k53k Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26
Sep '25: 52,871
Dec '25: 42,197
Mar '26: 40,102
Jun '26: 37,293
37k42k48k53k Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26
Sep '25: 52,871
Dec '25: 42,197
Mar '26: 40,102
Jun '26: 37,293

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-47.4%not yet recovered
1-year volatility46.6%annualised
Volume spikes2last 90 sessions, 5x the 50-day median

Monthly share price

₹151₹188₹225₹262 Aug '25Nov '25Feb '26May '26Aug '26Oct '26
2025-08: ₹262.10
2025-09: ₹237.60
2025-10: ₹223.14
2025-11: ₹259.81
2025-12: ₹198.35
2026-01: ₹196.37
2026-02: ₹178.32
2026-03: ₹151.22
2026-04: ₹212.39
2026-05: ₹181.61
2026-06: ₹216.05
2026-07: ₹225.65
2026-08: ₹226.72
2026-09: ₹211.52
2026-10: ₹239.19
₹151₹188₹225₹262 Aug '25Jan '26Jun '26Oct '26
2025-08: ₹262.10
2025-09: ₹237.60
2025-10: ₹223.14
2025-11: ₹259.81
2025-12: ₹198.35
2026-01: ₹196.37
2026-02: ₹178.32
2026-03: ₹151.22
2026-04: ₹212.39
2026-05: ₹181.61
2026-06: ₹216.05
2026-07: ₹225.65
2026-08: ₹226.72
2026-09: ₹211.52
2026-10: ₹239.19

Last 90 trading days

₹203₹217₹231₹245 Jun 23Jul 20Aug 13Sep 8Oct 6Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹217.33
2026-06-25: ₹212.55
2026-06-30: ₹216.05
2026-07-02: ₹214.94
2026-07-06: ₹239.26
2026-07-08: ₹215.88
2026-07-10: ₹225.44
2026-07-14: ₹225.27
2026-07-16: ₹223.61
2026-07-20: ₹215.26
2026-07-22: ₹214.89
2026-07-24: ₹223.44
2026-07-28: ₹221.63
2026-07-30: ₹223.82
2026-08-03: ₹226.78
2026-08-05: ₹224.53
2026-08-07: ₹220.35
2026-08-11: ₹225.96
2026-08-13: ₹215.51
2026-08-17: ₹229.10
2026-08-19: ₹238.23
2026-08-21: ₹234.11
2026-08-25: ₹232.54
2026-08-27: ₹234.25
2026-08-31: ₹226.72
2026-09-02: ₹216.42
2026-09-04: ₹218.32
2026-09-08: ₹215.20
2026-09-10: ₹211.90
2026-09-15: ₹207.44
2026-09-17: ₹202.84
2026-09-21: ₹203.41
2026-09-23: ₹210.33
2026-09-25: ₹206.28
2026-09-29: ₹213.59
2026-10-01: ₹211.00
2026-10-06: ₹227.01
2026-10-08: ₹229.61
2026-10-12: ₹245.46
2026-10-14: ₹241.61
2026-10-16: ₹236.45
2026-10-21: ₹234.50
2026-10-23: ₹224.72
2026-10-27: ₹236.89
2026-10-29: ₹239.93
2026-10-30: ₹239.19
₹203₹217₹231₹245 Jun 23Aug 5Sep 17Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹217.33
2026-06-25: ₹212.55
2026-06-30: ₹216.05
2026-07-02: ₹214.94
2026-07-06: ₹239.26
2026-07-08: ₹215.88
2026-07-10: ₹225.44
2026-07-14: ₹225.27
2026-07-16: ₹223.61
2026-07-20: ₹215.26
2026-07-22: ₹214.89
2026-07-24: ₹223.44
2026-07-28: ₹221.63
2026-07-30: ₹223.82
2026-08-03: ₹226.78
2026-08-05: ₹224.53
2026-08-07: ₹220.35
2026-08-11: ₹225.96
2026-08-13: ₹215.51
2026-08-17: ₹229.10
2026-08-19: ₹238.23
2026-08-21: ₹234.11
2026-08-25: ₹232.54
2026-08-27: ₹234.25
2026-08-31: ₹226.72
2026-09-02: ₹216.42
2026-09-04: ₹218.32
2026-09-08: ₹215.20
2026-09-10: ₹211.90
2026-09-15: ₹207.44
2026-09-17: ₹202.84
2026-09-21: ₹203.41
2026-09-23: ₹210.33
2026-09-25: ₹206.28
2026-09-29: ₹213.59
2026-10-01: ₹211.00
2026-10-06: ₹227.01
2026-10-08: ₹229.61
2026-10-12: ₹245.46
2026-10-14: ₹241.61
2026-10-16: ₹236.45
2026-10-21: ₹234.50
2026-10-23: ₹224.72
2026-10-27: ₹236.89
2026-10-29: ₹239.93
2026-10-30: ₹239.19

Drawdown from peak

0% -23% -46% Aug '25Mar '26Oct '26 0% -23% -46% Aug '25Mar '26Oct '26
Largest drawdowns

-47.4% (2025-08 peak to 2026-03 low, not yet recovered)

Most recent volume spikes

2026-07-06: 13.7x the 50-day median, price +1.2% that day

2026-07-03: 28.2x the 50-day median, price +9.9% that day

Where does it rank among Retail Trade peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Retail Trade peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

ROCE
Op. margin
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Nov '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Oct '26
Lower rank Higher rank

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Retail Trade sector page Watch it move against Retail Trade in the Observatory

What else looks like this?

Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.

CompanySectorSimilarityClosest on
MMP INDUSTRIES (MMP)Non-Energy Minerals66%debt/equity, revenue
PROSTARM INFO SYSTEMS (PROSTARM)Electronic Technology65%P/E, market cap
KRYSTAL INTEGRATED SERVICE (KRYSTAL)Commercial Services63%ROCE, promoter holding
MONTE CARLO FASHIONS (MONTECARLO)Consumer Non-Durables61%revenue, market cap
SCODA TUBES (SCODATUBES)Non-Energy Minerals60%debt/equity, P/E
MANOJ VAIBHAV GEMS JEW (MVGJL)Retail Trade51%ROCE, market cap
CONFIDENCE PETROLEUM INDIA LIM (CONFIPET)Retail Trade20%operating margin, debt/equity
MOTISONS JEWELLERS (MOTISONS)Retail Trade19%P/E, ROCE

Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.

What happened next to similar setups

+13.1%typical 12-month return vs the marketAbove the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like PATEL RETAIL LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −20% to +54% vs the market, against −2% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The analogs' median sat above that base rate (gap +15.0%, 80% range +2.9% to +33.7%), but the matches cluster in only 6 distinct 12-month windows.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
UDS · Nov 2024: −57.6% vs market
CONFIPET · Feb 2024: −49.2% vs market
GNA · Jul 2023: −44.1% vs market
RGL · Feb 2020: −42.9% vs market
SPIC · Aug 2025: −41.6% vs market
SDBL · Feb 2025: −38.5% vs market
KCP · Jul 2021: −36.6% vs market
RITCO · Nov 2024: −31.9% vs market
DHARMAJ · Aug 2025: −31.6% vs market
MIRZAINT · Feb 2020: −31.1% vs market
LUMAXIND · Sep 2023: −25.3% vs market
SATIA · Jun 2022: −23.1% vs market
NRAIL · Sep 2022: −20.2% vs market
SANDHAR · Jul 2024: −20.0% vs market
ALICON · May 2024: −19.6% vs market
DEEPAKFERT · Apr 2022: −10.0% vs market
FIEMIND · Feb 2020: −8.8% vs market
HGS · Mar 2021: −3.9% vs market
PSPPROJECT · Feb 2025: −1.0% vs market
CAPACITE · May 2024: +1.4% vs market
AWHCL · Jan 2024: +1.4% vs market
NACLIND · Oct 2021: +2.7% vs market
RAMRAT · Sep 2024: +4.2% vs market
SPAL · Nov 2023: +10.4% vs market
GOODLUCK · Aug 2024: +10.9% vs market
RANEHOLDIN · Sep 2023: +15.2% vs market
MINDACORP · Aug 2023: +17.9% vs market
SURYAROSNI · Feb 2023: +20.5% vs market
TALBROAUTO · Nov 2021: +24.2% vs market
ALLCARGO · Sep 2020: +32.2% vs market
BBL · Nov 2022: +38.3% vs market
BIRLANU · Jan 2021: +38.4% vs market
LTFOODS · Nov 2023: +41.2% vs market
KAMDHENU · Mar 2022: +42.7% vs market
JASH · Dec 2020: +45.4% vs market
KDDL · Jul 2023: +48.1% vs market
KIRLOSIND · Jan 2023: +52.8% vs market
THANGAMAYL · Jun 2023: +54.7% vs market
MWL · Mar 2025: +58.3% vs market
LUMAXTECH · Jun 2022: +63.0% vs market
CEMPRO · Sep 2022: +63.7% vs market
PCBL · Nov 2022: +67.2% vs market
HARRMALAYA · Jun 2020: +78.7% vs market
PRICOLLTD · Sep 2021: +91.0% vs market
COSMOFIRST · May 2021: +98.4% vs market
ARVIND · May 2023: +105.6% vs market
ARTEMISMED · Jun 2022: +150.3% vs market
POWERMECH · Aug 2022: +173.7% vs market
GALLANTT · Aug 2023: +175.0% vs market
GRAVITA · Dec 2020: +182.0% vs market
Similar setups +13.1%All companies −1.9%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 5 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
+13.1%
All companies' median
−1.9%
Beat the market
62% vs 48%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 35 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
POWERMECH
Industrial Services
Aug 2022 15x18% +74%−1% +174%
LUMAXIND
Producer Manufacturing
Sep 2023 22x19% +47%−2% −25%
GRAVITA
Non-Energy Minerals
Dec 2020 16x19% +59%0% +182%
KAMDHENU
Non-Energy Minerals
Mar 2022 25x15% +66%−11% +43%
RGL
Consumer Durables
Feb 2020 9x10% +26%−7% −43%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
LUMAXTECH
Producer Manufacturing
Jun 2022 18x17% +18%−11% +63%
PRICOLLTD
Producer Manufacturing
Sep 2021 29x16% +138%−4% +91%
GOODLUCK
Non-Energy Minerals
Aug 2024 25x17% +103%0% +11%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: ROCE, 12-month momentum and debt/equity. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to PATEL RETAIL LIMITED. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-10-30. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 97,430 company-months from 2000 companies; financial: 5,632 company-months from 106 companies. 2240 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.
Monthly history (15 months)
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-1019.2x₹1175 cr11.5%16.0%0.4x
2026-0917.0x₹1175 cr11.5%16.0%0.4x
2026-0818.3x₹1048 cr10.8%16.0%0.4x
2026-0718.2x₹1048 cr10.8%16.0%0.4x
2026-0617.4x₹1048 cr10.8%16.0%0.4x
2026-0514.8x₹934 cr26.8%17.0%1.4x
2026-0417.3x₹934 cr26.8%17.0%1.4x
2026-0312.3x₹934 cr26.8%17.0%1.4x
2026-0216.0x₹853 cr22.5%17.0%1.4x
2026-0117.6x₹853 cr22.5%17.0%1.4x
2025-1217.8x₹853 cr22.5%17.0%1.4x
2025-1124.7x₹826 cr19.3%17.0%1.4x
2025-1021.2x₹826 cr19.3%17.0%1.4x
2025-0922.6x₹826 cr19.3%17.0%1.4x
2025-0825.5x₹821 cr18.7%17.0%1.4x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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