अApnaFunda

RNFI SERVICES LIMITED (RNFI)

Technology Services

Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.63 / 100
Profitability 47Balance sheet 79
Momentum scoreHow strong the recent trend is: 3-month price change, 12-month improvement in earnings and the rise in FII + DII holding, among companies above ₹500 cr.71 / 100
Price 88Earnings 47FII/DII 78

Passes these screens: Debt-light & profitable

Share Price
₹314.95
P/E
27.8x
ROCE
27.0%
Market Cap
₹800 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹989 cr
P/S
0.8x
P/B
4.7x
ROE
16.9%
Operating Margin
3.9%
Debt / Equity
0.2x
Promoter Holding
64.3%
12M Momentum
-13.0%
P/E vs its own history43rd percentilesince Jul '24
P/E vs Technology Services1.4xthe sector median

52-week range

₹216.00₹388.00
58% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
46.4%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
0.36

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
21.1x
Cash from profit, 3Y
operating cash flow ÷ net profit
0.97x
Share count, 1Y
unchanged

Was the rally earned?

-13%share price, 1 yearLower P/E held it back

Earnings helped, the multiple did not.

  • Per-share earnings added 27 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 42.8x to 27.8x), which took 40 points back.
  • The share count barely moved.
1 year Net profit growth: +27 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+27 ptsP/E change: -40 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-40 ptsShare count change: -0 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. -13% 1 year Net profit growth: +27 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+27 ptsP/E change: -40 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-40 ptsShare count change: -0 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. -13%
Net profit growth+27 ptsNet profit rose about 34%, which lifts the price.
P/E change-40 ptsThe P/E fell from 42.8x to 27.8x, which lowers the price.
Share count change0 ptsShare count was little changed. More shares would count against the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Not shown for 3 years and 5 years: earnings were negative at one end, or there is not enough history.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare this with SAGILITY

Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?

27.8xP/E todayWithin its usual range
Against its own history43rd percentileMedian 30.0x; usual range 23.3x to 42.4x since 2024-07.
Against Technology Services27.8x vs 20.6xAbove the Technology Services median.
19.6x29.3x38.9x48.6xJul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Jul '26Oct '2619.6x29.3x38.9x48.6xJul '24Apr '25Jan '26Oct '26
P/E (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianTechnology Services median

The chart loads when you open this tab.

P/B (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianTechnology Services median

The chart loads when you open this tab.

P/S (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianTechnology Services median
How to read this

Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dashed line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).

Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.

All terms explained in the glossary →

How Technology Services is valued

What is the price implying?

~29%annual earnings growth implied by the price

At a P/E of 60.5x, the price would imply about 28.8%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.

Below the ₹1,000 cr market-cap floor used for the lists.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Technology Services The market-wide Expectations lists

What changed?

  1. Sep '26Slipped to the bottom quartile of Technology Services on operating margin (from the 3rd quartile).
  2. Aug '26Volume reached 5.7x its 50-day median on 2026-08-31; price +2.6% that day.
  3. Jun '26Moved into the 3rd quartile of Technology Services on operating margin (from the bottom quartile).
  4. Jun '26Volume reached 8.3x its 50-day median on 2026-06-09; price +0.1% that day.
  5. Mar '26Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹944 cr.
  6. Mar '26Fell 43% from the Nov 2025 peak to the Mar 2026 low.
  7. Mar '26Volume reached 5.6x its 50-day median on 2026-03-09; price -6.4% that day.
  8. Feb '26Debt / equity halved over 12 months to 0.16x.
Show 12 earlier events
  1. Sep '25Moved into the top quartile of Technology Services on EPS growth (from the 2nd quartile).
  2. Aug '25Regained the 2025-01 peak, 5 months after the low.
  3. Aug '25Volume reached 7.5x its 50-day median on 2025-08-11; price -0.9% that day.
  4. Jul '25Debt / equity halved over 12 months to 0.16x.
  5. Jul '25Share count is up 38.9% over 12 months.
  6. Jun '25Debt / equity fell below 1.0x (0.16x).
  7. Jun '25Volume reached 5.8x its 50-day median on 2025-06-11; price -9.7% that day.
  8. Mar '25Fell 34% from the Jan 2025 peak to the Mar 2025 low.
  9. Jan '25Regained the 2024-07 peak, 3 months after the low.
  10. Jan '25Volume reached 39.0x its 50-day median on 2025-01-01; price +20.0% that day.
  11. Dec '24Volume reached 11.7x its 50-day median on 2024-12-30; price +11.0% that day.
  12. Oct '24Fell 42% from the Jul 2024 peak to the Oct 2024 low.

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Are profits backed by cash?

6 of 7 checks are within range, 1 near a threshold.
Tap a check to see how it is measured.

Other income reliance12%Within range

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 12.1%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate27%Within range

Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 26.7%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.

Cash conversion0.97xWithin range

Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 0.97x (cash from operations ₹60 cr, net profit ₹62 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.

Free cash flow3 of 5 yrsNear threshold

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 3. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history+8 daysWithin range

Debtor days are above the median of the previous three fiscal years by 8 days (20 vs 12). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.

Capital work in progress7% of fixed assetsWithin range

Capital work-in-progress is 7% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days+4 days / 2 yrsWithin range

Days payable changed by +4 over two years. Bands: rise of up to 30 days; more than 30 days.

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Over 2 years, promoters trimmed 1.0 pts; DIIs trimmed 0.9 pts.
  • The number of shareholders fell from 1,743 to 1,570 (-10%) between Sep 2024 and Jun 2026.

Holdings, Jun '26

How each group changed

GroupSep '24Jun '26Change
Promoters65.3%64.3%-1.0 pts
FIIs1.1%1.2%+0.1 pts
DIIs3.3%2.4%-0.9 pts
Public and others30.3%32.1%+1.8 pts

Number of shareholders

1,570shareholders-10% since Sep '24
1k2k2k2k Sep '24Mar '25Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26
Sep '24: 1,743
Mar '25: 1,390
Sep '25: 1,671
Dec '25: 1,659
Mar '26: 1,552
Jun '26: 1,570
1k2k2k2k Sep '24Sep '25Mar '26Jun '26
Sep '24: 1,743
Mar '25: 1,390
Sep '25: 1,671
Dec '25: 1,659
Mar '26: 1,552
Jun '26: 1,570

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-43.3%not yet recovered
1-year volatility46.4%annualised
Beta vs sector index0.343-year daily, correlation 0.13
Volume spikes4last 90 sessions, 5x the 50-day median

Monthly share price

₹133₹209₹286₹362 Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Jul '26Oct '26
2024-07: ₹171.10
2024-08: ₹152.70
2024-09: ₹136.20
2024-10: ₹132.90
2024-11: ₹141.10
2024-12: ₹175.30
2025-01: ₹281.90
2025-02: ₹259.00
2025-03: ₹218.15
2025-04: ₹241.10
2025-05: ₹243.40
2025-06: ₹252.55
2025-07: ₹270.45
2025-08: ₹309.25
2025-09: ₹343.45
2025-10: ₹362.10
2025-11: ₹357.80
2025-12: ₹310.25
2026-01: ₹301.30
2026-02: ₹272.40
2026-03: ₹219.40
2026-04: ₹279.75
2026-05: ₹278.70
2026-06: ₹255.00
2026-07: ₹281.55
2026-08: ₹296.55
2026-09: ₹310.00
2026-10: ₹314.95
₹133₹209₹286₹362 Jul '24Apr '25Jan '26Oct '26
2024-07: ₹171.10
2024-08: ₹152.70
2024-09: ₹136.20
2024-10: ₹132.90
2024-11: ₹141.10
2024-12: ₹175.30
2025-01: ₹281.90
2025-02: ₹259.00
2025-03: ₹218.15
2025-04: ₹241.10
2025-05: ₹243.40
2025-06: ₹252.55
2025-07: ₹270.45
2025-08: ₹309.25
2025-09: ₹343.45
2025-10: ₹362.10
2025-11: ₹357.80
2025-12: ₹310.25
2026-01: ₹301.30
2026-02: ₹272.40
2026-03: ₹219.40
2026-04: ₹279.75
2026-05: ₹278.70
2026-06: ₹255.00
2026-07: ₹281.55
2026-08: ₹296.55
2026-09: ₹310.00
2026-10: ₹314.95

Last 90 trading days

₹245₹277₹308₹340 Jun 23Jul 20Aug 13Sep 8Oct 6Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹260.50
2026-06-25: ₹260.00
2026-06-30: ₹255.00
2026-07-02: ₹253.35
2026-07-06: ₹256.00
2026-07-08: ₹250.00
2026-07-10: ₹247.60
2026-07-14: ₹250.70
2026-07-16: ₹255.95
2026-07-20: ₹247.60
2026-07-22: ₹262.05
2026-07-24: ₹268.75
2026-07-28: ₹274.70
2026-07-30: ₹270.00
2026-08-03: ₹285.05
2026-08-05: ₹275.30
2026-08-07: ₹280.75
2026-08-11: ₹271.10
2026-08-13: ₹273.50
2026-08-17: ₹272.40
2026-08-19: ₹274.80
2026-08-21: ₹275.50
2026-08-25: ₹283.20
2026-08-27: ₹304.75
2026-08-31: ₹296.55
2026-09-02: ₹296.05
2026-09-04: ₹299.15
2026-09-08: ₹322.55
2026-09-10: ₹338.85
2026-09-15: ₹323.50
2026-09-17: ₹317.10
2026-09-21: ₹326.85
2026-09-23: ₹311.00
2026-09-25: ₹317.25
2026-09-29: ₹311.80
2026-10-01: ₹303.35
2026-10-06: ₹331.00
2026-10-08: ₹314.40
2026-10-12: ₹335.30
2026-10-14: ₹332.75
2026-10-16: ₹329.00
2026-10-21: ₹323.00
2026-10-23: ₹318.30
2026-10-27: ₹328.45
2026-10-29: ₹324.95
2026-10-30: ₹314.95
₹245₹277₹308₹340 Jun 23Aug 5Sep 17Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹260.50
2026-06-25: ₹260.00
2026-06-30: ₹255.00
2026-07-02: ₹253.35
2026-07-06: ₹256.00
2026-07-08: ₹250.00
2026-07-10: ₹247.60
2026-07-14: ₹250.70
2026-07-16: ₹255.95
2026-07-20: ₹247.60
2026-07-22: ₹262.05
2026-07-24: ₹268.75
2026-07-28: ₹274.70
2026-07-30: ₹270.00
2026-08-03: ₹285.05
2026-08-05: ₹275.30
2026-08-07: ₹280.75
2026-08-11: ₹271.10
2026-08-13: ₹273.50
2026-08-17: ₹272.40
2026-08-19: ₹274.80
2026-08-21: ₹275.50
2026-08-25: ₹283.20
2026-08-27: ₹304.75
2026-08-31: ₹296.55
2026-09-02: ₹296.05
2026-09-04: ₹299.15
2026-09-08: ₹322.55
2026-09-10: ₹338.85
2026-09-15: ₹323.50
2026-09-17: ₹317.10
2026-09-21: ₹326.85
2026-09-23: ₹311.00
2026-09-25: ₹317.25
2026-09-29: ₹311.80
2026-10-01: ₹303.35
2026-10-06: ₹331.00
2026-10-08: ₹314.40
2026-10-12: ₹335.30
2026-10-14: ₹332.75
2026-10-16: ₹329.00
2026-10-21: ₹323.00
2026-10-23: ₹318.30
2026-10-27: ₹328.45
2026-10-29: ₹324.95
2026-10-30: ₹314.95

Drawdown from peak

0% -21% -42% Aug '24Sep '25Oct '26 0% -21% -42% Aug '24Sep '25Oct '26
Largest drawdowns

-43.3% (2025-11 peak to 2026-03 low, not yet recovered)

-41.7% (2024-07 peak to 2024-10 low, recovered 2025-01)

-34.0% (2025-01 peak to 2025-03 low, recovered 2025-08)

Most recent volume spikes

2026-08-31: 5.7x the 50-day median, price +2.6% that day

2026-08-26: 5.1x the 50-day median, price +3.3% that day

2026-07-28: 5.1x the 50-day median, price +2.5% that day

Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).

Where does it rank among Technology Services peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Technology Services peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

ROCE
Op. margin
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Nov '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Oct '26
Lower rank Higher rank

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Technology Services sector page Watch it move against Technology Services in the Observatory

What else looks like this?

Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.

CompanySectorSimilarityClosest on
LINC (LINC)Consumer Non-Durables60%volatility, promoter holding
VINSYS IT SERVICES (VINSYS)Commercial Services60%promoter holding, market cap
SHRI AHIMSA NATURALS (SHRIAHIMSA)Consumer Non-Durables58%market cap, P/E
EFFWA INFRA AND RESEARCH (EFFWA)Industrial Services55%market cap, P/E
GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCTS LIMIT (GANESHCP)Consumer Non-Durables53%promoter holding, revenue
SAHANA SYSTEM (SAHANA)Technology Services45%market cap, volatility
BLS E-SERVICES (BLSE)Technology Services33%revenue, operating margin
NUCLEUS SOFTWARE EXPORTS (NUCLEUS)Technology Services31%operating margin, revenue

Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.

What happened next to similar setups

−8.1%typical 12-month return vs the marketNot meaningfully different from the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like RNFI SERVICES LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −20% to +35% vs the market, against −2% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The gap against the base rate (−6.2%, 80% range −13.4% to +4.7%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−50%0%+50%+100%
MEGATHERM · Aug 2025: −36.8% vs market
GANESHBE · Aug 2023: −33.9% vs market
INDOCO · Mar 2023: −32.0% vs market
JTLIND · Dec 2023: −31.4% vs market
FAIRCHEMOR · Mar 2024: −29.2% vs market
MMP · Feb 2020: −28.3% vs market
ASTRON · Nov 2020: −27.5% vs market
DLINKINDIA · Aug 2020: −27.3% vs market
KITEX · Jan 2020: −26.7% vs market
PYRAMID · Feb 2025: −26.0% vs market
DICIND · Nov 2020: −25.2% vs market
HERITGFOOD · Oct 2025: −22.1% vs market
ORIENTELEC · Sep 2025: −19.7% vs market
MANGCHEFER · Apr 2022: −19.2% vs market
TVSSRICHAK · May 2020: −18.4% vs market
BUTTERFLY · Oct 2025: −18.3% vs market
STOVEKRAFT · Sep 2024: −17.6% vs market
VRLLOG · Mar 2020: −16.4% vs market
GOPAL · May 2025: −15.5% vs market
TCI · Feb 2023: −14.6% vs market
JTEKTINDIA · Aug 2025: −14.0% vs market
PLASTIBLEN · Sep 2020: −13.6% vs market
NILKAMAL · Jan 2020: −11.9% vs market
BBTC · Jan 2020: −10.6% vs market
MALLCOM · Mar 2023: −8.3% vs market
AHLUCONT · Jan 2024: −7.9% vs market
PUNJABCHEM · May 2024: −3.6% vs market
INDRAMEDCO · Feb 2020: −1.9% vs market
ALLDIGI · Mar 2023: +1.2% vs market
LUMAXIND · May 2020: +5.0% vs market
DPWIRES · Jan 2023: +5.6% vs market
FIEMIND · Mar 2024: +19.9% vs market
RSYSTEMS · Apr 2023: +22.3% vs market
CIGNITITEC · Aug 2022: +27.6% vs market
PSPPROJECT · May 2022: +28.6% vs market
VSSL · Aug 2025: +30.7% vs market
ADOR · Oct 2025: +34.5% vs market
KOTHARIPET · Mar 2020: +35.5% vs market
GENUSPAPER · Jan 2022: +36.6% vs market
DODLA · Jan 2023: +47.3% vs market
LUMAXTECH · May 2022: +59.4% vs market
KEI · Jun 2021: +66.3% vs market
BHAGCHEM · Mar 2024: +66.7% vs market
GABRIEL · Dec 2024: +101.8% vs market
RHIM · Nov 2021: +104.2% vs market
PRECWIRE · Feb 2021: +112.0% vs market
MARKSANS · Dec 2022: +117.6% vs market
SAKSOFT · Aug 2022: +189.7% vs market
THEJO · Apr 2020: +190.8% vs market
SHAKTIPUMP · May 2023: +219.6% vs market
Similar setups −8.1%All companies −1.9%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 7 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
−8.1%
All companies' median
−1.9%
Beat the market
44% vs 48%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 33 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
HERITGFOOD
Consumer Non-Durables
Oct 2025 26x25% −9%−10% −22%
PSPPROJECT
Industrial Services
May 2022 23x22% +28%−18% +29%
JTLIND
Non-Energy Minerals
Dec 2023 45x32% +54%−4% −31%
CIGNITITEC
Technology Services
Aug 2022 18x26% +6%−12% +28%
DICIND
Process Industries
Nov 2020 16x15% +16%−9% −25%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
RSYSTEMS
Technology Services
Apr 2023 21x31% +1%−10% +22%
PYRAMID
Producer Manufacturing
Feb 2025 23x21% −3%−31% −26%
MEGATHERM
Producer Manufacturing
Aug 2025 28x21% −12%−20% −37%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high and debt/equity. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to RNFI SERVICES LIMITED. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-10-30. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 97,430 company-months from 2000 companies; financial: 5,632 company-months from 106 companies. 2240 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.
Monthly history (28 months)
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-1027.8x₹989 cr16.9%27.0%0.2x
2026-0927.4x₹989 cr16.9%27.0%0.2x
2026-0825.6x₹969 cr17.3%27.0%0.2x
2026-0724.3x₹969 cr17.3%27.0%0.2x
2026-0622.0x₹969 cr17.3%27.0%0.2x
2026-0526.8x₹944 cr23.8%29.0%0.2x
2026-0426.9x₹944 cr23.8%29.0%0.2x
2026-0321.1x₹944 cr23.8%29.0%0.2x
2026-0229.8x₹930 cr20.9%29.0%0.2x
2026-0132.9x₹930 cr20.9%29.0%0.2x
2025-1233.9x₹930 cr20.9%29.0%0.2x
2025-1142.3x₹929 cr19.1%29.0%0.2x
2025-1042.8x₹929 cr19.1%29.0%0.2x
2025-0940.6x₹929 cr19.1%29.0%0.2x
2025-0838.4x₹917 cr16.2%29.0%0.2x
2025-0733.6x₹917 cr16.2%29.0%0.2x
2025-0631.3x₹917 cr16.2%29.0%0.2x
2025-0542.0x₹935 cr29.2%30.0%1.0x
2025-0441.6x₹935 cr29.2%30.0%1.0x
2025-0337.6x₹935 cr29.2%30.0%1.0x
2025-0244.7x₹935 cr29.2%30.0%1.0x
2025-0148.6x₹935 cr29.2%30.0%1.0x
2024-1230.2x₹935 cr29.2%30.0%1.0x
2024-1124.3x₹935 cr29.2%30.0%1.0x
2024-1022.9x₹935 cr29.2%30.0%1.0x
2024-0923.5x₹935 cr29.2%30.0%1.0x
2024-0826.3x₹935 cr29.2%30.0%1.0x
2024-0729.5x₹935 cr29.2%30.0%1.0x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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