अApnaFunda

SAHANA SYSTEM LIMITED (SAHANA)

Technology Services

Quality #16Balance sheet #4Overall #14
Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.97 / 100
Profitability 92Growth 97Balance sheet 100
Momentum scoreHow strong the recent trend is: 3-month price change, 12-month improvement in earnings and the rise in FII + DII holding, among companies above ₹500 cr.75 / 100
Price 89Earnings 61FII/DII 75

Passes these screens: Quality Compounder · Debt-light & profitable · Consistent compounders

Share Price
₹924.90
P/E
14.4x
ROCE
40.0%
Market Cap
₹981 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹331 cr
P/S
3.0x
P/B
3.9x
ROE
26.9%
Debt / Equity
0.1x
Promoter Holding
57.3%
12M Momentum
5.7%
P/E vs its own history12th percentilesince Jun '23
P/E vs Technology Services0.7xthe sector median

52-week range

₹570.85₹1015.85
80% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
48.3%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
0.49

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
50.0x
Cash from profit, 3Y
operating cash flow ÷ net profit
0.20x
low
Share count, 1Y
unchanged

Was the rally earned?

+6%share price, 1 yearLower P/E held it back

Mostly yes, with a catch.

  • Per-share earnings added 67 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 26.2x to 14.4x), which took 61 points back.
  • The share count barely moved.
1 year Net profit growth: +67 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+67 ptsP/E change: -61 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-61 ptsShare count change: -1 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. +6% 1 year Net profit growth: +67 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+67 ptsP/E change: -61 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-61 ptsShare count change: -1 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. +6%
Net profit growth+67 ptsNet profit rose about 92%, which lifts the price.
P/E change-61 ptsThe P/E fell from 26.2x to 14.4x, which lowers the price.
Share count change0 ptsShare count was little changed. More shares would count against the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Not shown for 3 years and 5 years: earnings were negative at one end, or there is not enough history.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare this with TATA CONSULTANCY SERVICES

Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?

14.4xP/E todayNear its historic low
Against its own history12th percentileMedian 35.6x; usual range 14.4x to 81.3x since 2023-06.
Against Technology Services14.4x vs 20.6xBelow the Technology Services median.
11.6x46.7x81.7x116.8xJun '23Feb '24Oct '24Jun '25Feb '26Oct '2611.6x46.7x81.7x116.8xJun '23Aug '24Oct '25Oct '26
P/E (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianTechnology Services median

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P/B (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianTechnology Services median

The chart loads when you open this tab.

P/S (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianTechnology Services median
How to read this

Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dashed line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).

Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.

All terms explained in the glossary →

How Technology Services is valued

What is the price implying?

~12%annual earnings growth implied by the price

At a P/E of 14.4x, the price would imply about 11.6%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.

Fewer than six years of annual earnings are available, which is too little to measure delivered growth.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Technology Services The market-wide Expectations lists

What changed?

  1. Jul '26Volume reached 26.1x its 50-day median on 2026-07-27; price +2.9% that day.
  2. Jun '26Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹331 cr.
  3. Jun '26Started paying a dividend (payout 3% of profit).
  4. Jun '26Volume reached 9.2x its 50-day median on 2026-06-17; price +8.4% that day.
  5. Mar '26P/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (19.2x).
  6. Feb '26Volume reached 7.3x its 50-day median on 2026-02-11; price +2.1% that day.
  7. Jan '26Fell 66% from the Dec 2024 peak to the Jan 2026 low.
  8. Nov '25P/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (24.0x).
Show 14 earlier events
  1. Jul '25Share count is up 12.5% over 12 months.
  2. Jun '25Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹167 cr.
  3. Mar '25Promoter holding fell 3.0 pts to 58.0%.
  4. Mar '25Volume reached 5.0x its 50-day median on 2025-03-18; price +3.7% that day.
  5. Dec '24Regained the 2024-07 peak, 2 months after the low.
  6. Nov '24Volume reached 12.0x its 50-day median on 2024-11-19; price +13.9% that day.
  7. Oct '24Fell 34% from the Jul 2024 peak to the Oct 2024 low.
  8. Jun '24Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹69 cr.
  9. Jun '24Share count is up 33.3% over 12 months.
  10. May '24Regained the 2024-01 peak, 2 months after the low.
  11. May '24Volume reached 9.3x its 50-day median on 2024-05-23; price +4.5% that day.
  12. Mar '24Fell 39% from the Jan 2024 peak to the Mar 2024 low.
  13. Nov '23Volume reached 29.9x its 50-day median on 2023-11-07; price +2.0% that day.
  14. Aug '23Volume reached 16.9x its 50-day median on 2023-08-11; price +7.6% that day.

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Are profits backed by cash?

3 of 5 checks are within range, 1 near a threshold, 1 beyond a threshold.
Tap a check to see how it is measured.

Other income reliance7%Within range

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 7.1%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Cash conversion0.20xBeyond threshold

Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 0.20x (cash from operations ₹27 cr, net profit ₹132 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.

Free cash flow2 of 4 yrsNear threshold

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 4: 2. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history-2 daysWithin range

Debtor days are below the median of the previous three fiscal years by 2 days (107 vs 109). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.

Capital work in progress62% of fixed assetsWithin range

Capital work-in-progress is 62% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Over 2 years, promoters trimmed 5.6 pts; FIIs added 1.0 pts.
  • The number of shareholders rose from 890 to 3,382 (+280%) between Dec 2023 and Jun 2026.

Holdings, Jun '26

How each group changed

GroupDec '23Jun '26Change
Promoters62.9%57.3%-5.6 pts
FIIs0.0%1.0%+1.0 pts
DIIs0.6%0.6%0.0 pts
Public and others36.5%41.1%+4.6 pts

Number of shareholders

3,382shareholders+280% since Dec '23
8902k3k3k Dec '23Sep '24Mar '25Sep '25Mar '26Jun '26
Dec '23: 890
Jun '24: 1,478
Sep '24: 1,777
Dec '24: 2,857
Mar '25: 3,209
Jun '25: 3,116
Sep '25: 3,280
Dec '25: 3,381
Mar '26: 3,154
Jun '26: 3,382
8902k3k3k Dec '23Dec '24Sep '25Jun '26
Dec '23: 890
Jun '24: 1,478
Sep '24: 1,777
Dec '24: 2,857
Mar '25: 3,209
Jun '25: 3,116
Sep '25: 3,280
Dec '25: 3,381
Mar '26: 3,154
Jun '26: 3,382

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-66.5%not yet recovered
1-year volatility48.3%annualised
Beta vs sector index0.573-year daily, correlation 0.21
Volume spikes1last 90 sessions, 5x the 50-day median

Monthly share price

₹119₹563₹1,007₹1,452 Jun '23Feb '24Oct '24Jun '25Feb '26Oct '26
2023-06: ₹118.80
2023-07: ₹135.85
2023-08: ₹216.15
2023-09: ₹213.10
2023-10: ₹313.50
2023-11: ₹471.65
2023-12: ₹533.60
2024-01: ₹765.25
2024-02: ₹739.25
2024-03: ₹690.90
2024-04: ₹770.10
2024-05: ₹1021.85
2024-06: ₹1246.75
2024-07: ₹1230.90
2024-08: ₹1127.55
2024-09: ₹1094.15
2024-10: ₹1095.90
2024-11: ₹1209.60
2024-12: ₹1451.65
2025-01: ₹1410.70
2025-02: ₹1060.50
2025-03: ₹1003.60
2025-04: ₹1102.60
2025-05: ₹1335.80
2025-06: ₹1190.55
2025-07: ₹1050.90
2025-08: ₹1013.60
2025-09: ₹896.60
2025-10: ₹875.05
2025-11: ₹802.85
2025-12: ₹701.00
2026-01: ₹759.00
2026-02: ₹840.70
2026-03: ₹641.15
2026-04: ₹707.30
2026-05: ₹686.60
2026-06: ₹742.25
2026-07: ₹844.50
2026-08: ₹928.15
2026-09: ₹810.10
2026-10: ₹924.90
₹119₹563₹1,007₹1,452 Jun '23Aug '24Oct '25Oct '26
2023-06: ₹118.80
2023-07: ₹135.85
2023-08: ₹216.15
2023-09: ₹213.10
2023-10: ₹313.50
2023-11: ₹471.65
2023-12: ₹533.60
2024-01: ₹765.25
2024-02: ₹739.25
2024-03: ₹690.90
2024-04: ₹770.10
2024-05: ₹1021.85
2024-06: ₹1246.75
2024-07: ₹1230.90
2024-08: ₹1127.55
2024-09: ₹1094.15
2024-10: ₹1095.90
2024-11: ₹1209.60
2024-12: ₹1451.65
2025-01: ₹1410.70
2025-02: ₹1060.50
2025-03: ₹1003.60
2025-04: ₹1102.60
2025-05: ₹1335.80
2025-06: ₹1190.55
2025-07: ₹1050.90
2025-08: ₹1013.60
2025-09: ₹896.60
2025-10: ₹875.05
2025-11: ₹802.85
2025-12: ₹701.00
2026-01: ₹759.00
2026-02: ₹840.70
2026-03: ₹641.15
2026-04: ₹707.30
2026-05: ₹686.60
2026-06: ₹742.25
2026-07: ₹844.50
2026-08: ₹928.15
2026-09: ₹810.10
2026-10: ₹924.90

Last 90 trading days

₹697₹788₹879₹970 Jun 23Jul 20Aug 13Sep 8Oct 6Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹783.30
2026-06-25: ₹767.70
2026-06-30: ₹742.25
2026-07-02: ₹753.05
2026-07-06: ₹736.10
2026-07-08: ₹697.15
2026-07-10: ₹710.10
2026-07-14: ₹777.40
2026-07-16: ₹770.40
2026-07-20: ₹773.25
2026-07-22: ₹738.35
2026-07-24: ₹744.85
2026-07-28: ₹786.20
2026-07-30: ₹783.70
2026-08-03: ₹831.60
2026-08-05: ₹809.65
2026-08-07: ₹812.05
2026-08-11: ₹801.25
2026-08-13: ₹785.30
2026-08-17: ₹785.85
2026-08-19: ₹839.65
2026-08-21: ₹853.05
2026-08-25: ₹920.35
2026-08-27: ₹924.50
2026-08-31: ₹928.15
2026-09-02: ₹916.90
2026-09-04: ₹920.30
2026-09-08: ₹887.85
2026-09-10: ₹905.35
2026-09-15: ₹899.00
2026-09-17: ₹849.10
2026-09-21: ₹841.10
2026-09-23: ₹863.05
2026-09-25: ₹861.30
2026-09-29: ₹806.00
2026-10-01: ₹794.55
2026-10-06: ₹926.60
2026-10-08: ₹884.65
2026-10-12: ₹858.85
2026-10-14: ₹969.00
2026-10-16: ₹938.85
2026-10-21: ₹924.55
2026-10-23: ₹874.05
2026-10-27: ₹873.20
2026-10-29: ₹900.95
2026-10-30: ₹924.90
₹697₹788₹879₹970 Jun 23Aug 5Sep 17Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹783.30
2026-06-25: ₹767.70
2026-06-30: ₹742.25
2026-07-02: ₹753.05
2026-07-06: ₹736.10
2026-07-08: ₹697.15
2026-07-10: ₹710.10
2026-07-14: ₹777.40
2026-07-16: ₹770.40
2026-07-20: ₹773.25
2026-07-22: ₹738.35
2026-07-24: ₹744.85
2026-07-28: ₹786.20
2026-07-30: ₹783.70
2026-08-03: ₹831.60
2026-08-05: ₹809.65
2026-08-07: ₹812.05
2026-08-11: ₹801.25
2026-08-13: ₹785.30
2026-08-17: ₹785.85
2026-08-19: ₹839.65
2026-08-21: ₹853.05
2026-08-25: ₹920.35
2026-08-27: ₹924.50
2026-08-31: ₹928.15
2026-09-02: ₹916.90
2026-09-04: ₹920.30
2026-09-08: ₹887.85
2026-09-10: ₹905.35
2026-09-15: ₹899.00
2026-09-17: ₹849.10
2026-09-21: ₹841.10
2026-09-23: ₹863.05
2026-09-25: ₹861.30
2026-09-29: ₹806.00
2026-10-01: ₹794.55
2026-10-06: ₹926.60
2026-10-08: ₹884.65
2026-10-12: ₹858.85
2026-10-14: ₹969.00
2026-10-16: ₹938.85
2026-10-21: ₹924.55
2026-10-23: ₹874.05
2026-10-27: ₹873.20
2026-10-29: ₹900.95
2026-10-30: ₹924.90

Drawdown from peak

0% -32% -64% Jun '23Feb '25Oct '26 0% -32% -64% Jun '23Feb '25Oct '26
Largest drawdowns

-66.5% (2024-12 peak to 2026-01 low, not yet recovered)

-39.4% (2024-01 peak to 2024-03 low, recovered 2024-05)

-33.5% (2024-07 peak to 2024-10 low, recovered 2024-12)

Most recent volume spikes

2026-07-27: 26.1x the 50-day median, price +2.9% that day

Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).

Where does it rank among Technology Services peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Technology Services peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

ROCE
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Nov '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Oct '26
Lower rank Higher rank

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Technology Services sector page Watch it move against Technology Services in the Observatory

What else looks like this?

Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.

CompanySectorSimilarityClosest on
ARROW GREENTECH (ARROWGREEN)Process Industries70%market cap, EPS growth
MONARCH NETWORTH CAPITAL (MONARCH)Finance68%revenue, P/E
SYNCOM FORMULATIONS (INDIA) LT (SYNCOMF)Health Technology66%volatility, EPS growth
ASSOCIATED ALCOHOLS & BREWERIE (ASALCBR)Consumer Non-Durables59%EPS growth, market cap
LINC (LINC)Consumer Non-Durables58%debt/equity, P/E
RNFI SERVICES (RNFI)Technology Services45%market cap, volatility
INFOBEANS TECHNOLOGIES (INFOBEAN)Technology Services37%P/E, debt/equity
SAKSOFT (SAKSOFT)Technology Services33%debt/equity, P/E

Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.

What happened next to similar setups

+5.9%typical 12-month return vs the marketNot meaningfully different from the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like SAHANA SYSTEM LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −25% to +30% vs the market, against −2% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The gap against the base rate (+7.9%, 80% range −8.2% to +12.2%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
APS · Jul 2025: −53.3% vs market
EMSLIMITED · Nov 2024: −47.7% vs market
EXPLEOSOL · May 2023: −44.8% vs market
MENONBE · Aug 2023: −44.6% vs market
IOLCP · May 2023: −44.5% vs market
MANALIPETC · Apr 2022: −43.3% vs market
KOPRAN · Nov 2021: −41.4% vs market
ALANKIT · Dec 2020: −40.9% vs market
STEELCAS · Aug 2023: −33.9% vs market
RUPA · Jul 2021: −33.5% vs market
GANDHITUBE · Jul 2021: −30.4% vs market
THOMASCOTT · Feb 2025: −28.2% vs market
NATCOPHARM · Jul 2024: −25.7% vs market
STYLAMIND · Aug 2023: −22.1% vs market
ALLDIGI · Mar 2025: −20.8% vs market
PSPPROJECT · Mar 2020: −20.7% vs market
EXCELINDUS · Apr 2020: −17.0% vs market
PANAMAPET · Apr 2022: −15.3% vs market
VSTTILLERS · Nov 2023: −9.8% vs market
VINSYS · May 2025: −9.1% vs market
ANUP · Sep 2020: −8.7% vs market
GANECOS · Dec 2020: −5.7% vs market
LUXIND · Apr 2021: −1.7% vs market
SJS · Dec 2022: −1.2% vs market
FOSECOIND · May 2025: +5.6% vs market
DHARMAJ · Aug 2024: +6.2% vs market
MANINFRA · Jul 2023: +6.4% vs market
MONTECARLO · Dec 2021: +10.9% vs market
CIGNITITEC · Mar 2024: +11.2% vs market
SKFINDIA · Nov 2021: +11.3% vs market
BHAGERIA · Jan 2021: +12.7% vs market
MGL · Jul 2023: +13.3% vs market
MONARCH · Jul 2024: +13.6% vs market
ICEMAKE · May 2024: +17.4% vs market
SONATSOFTW · Mar 2021: +17.6% vs market
THEMISMED · Dec 2022: +24.1% vs market
BETA · Aug 2024: +26.0% vs market
CAPLIPOINT · Jul 2020: +30.8% vs market
SAKAR · Aug 2020: +36.4% vs market
YATHARTH · Sep 2024: +41.3% vs market
MPSLTD · May 2022: +53.0% vs market
RHIM · Apr 2021: +55.6% vs market
NEULANDLAB · Jun 2024: +56.9% vs market
GAEL · Apr 2021: +78.6% vs market
SEAMECLTD · Feb 2021: +80.2% vs market
ADFFOODS · Jun 2020: +89.2% vs market
GABRIEL · Jan 2025: +91.0% vs market
VIDHIING · Jun 2020: +95.9% vs market
THEJO · Aug 2020: +131.9% vs market
UNIHEALTH · Jun 2025: +263.5% vs market
Similar setups +5.9%All companies −2.0%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 2 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
+5.9%
All companies' median
−2.0%
Beat the market
52% vs 48%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 34 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
STEELCAS
Non-Energy Minerals
Aug 2023 20x42% +60%0% −34%
VIDHIING
Consumer Non-Durables
Jun 2020 10x— −1%−8% +96%
BHAGERIA
Process Industries
Jan 2021 10x— +39%−8% +13%
ADFFOODS
Consumer Non-Durables
Jun 2020 14x28% +7%−8% +89%
EXPLEOSOL
Technology Services
May 2023 20x36% +16%0% −45%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
SJS
Producer Manufacturing
Dec 2022 27x— +29%−7% −1%
RUPA
Consumer Non-Durables
Jul 2021 23x30% +243%0% −34%
MENONBE
Producer Manufacturing
Aug 2023 27x— +67%0% −45%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: 12-month momentum, P/S and debt/equity. Not used (unavailable for this company): operating margin. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to SAHANA SYSTEM LIMITED. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-10-30. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 97,430 company-months from 2000 companies; financial: 5,632 company-months from 106 companies. 2240 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.
Monthly history (41 months)
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-1014.4x₹331 cr26.9%40.0%0.1x
2026-0912.7x₹331 cr26.9%40.0%0.1x
2026-0814.5x₹331 cr26.9%40.0%0.1x
2026-0713.2x₹331 cr26.9%40.0%0.1x
2026-0611.6x₹331 cr26.9%40.0%0.1x
2026-0520.5x₹167 cr20.1%42.0%0.1x
2026-0421.1x₹167 cr20.1%42.0%0.1x
2026-0319.2x₹167 cr20.1%42.0%0.1x
2026-0225.1x₹167 cr20.1%42.0%0.1x
2026-0122.7x₹167 cr20.1%42.0%0.1x
2025-1221.0x₹167 cr20.1%42.0%0.1x
2025-1124.0x₹167 cr20.1%42.0%0.1x
2025-1026.2x₹167 cr20.1%42.0%0.1x
2025-0926.8x₹167 cr20.1%42.0%0.1x
2025-0830.3x₹167 cr20.1%42.0%0.1x
2025-0731.4x₹167 cr20.1%42.0%0.1x
2025-0635.6x₹167 cr20.1%42.0%0.1x
2025-0574.8x₹69 cr29.1%55.0%0.2x
2025-0461.8x₹69 cr29.1%55.0%0.2x
2025-0356.2x₹69 cr29.1%55.0%0.2x
2025-0259.4x₹69 cr29.1%55.0%0.2x
2025-0179.0x₹69 cr29.1%55.0%0.2x
2024-1281.3x₹69 cr29.1%55.0%0.2x
2024-1167.8x₹69 cr29.1%55.0%0.2x
2024-1061.4x₹69 cr29.1%55.0%0.2x
2024-0961.3x₹69 cr29.1%55.0%0.2x
2024-0863.2x₹69 cr29.1%55.0%0.2x
2024-0769.0x₹69 cr29.1%55.0%0.2x
2024-0669.8x₹69 cr29.1%55.0%0.2x
2024-05116.8x₹24 cr49.4%—0.5x
2024-0488.0x₹24 cr49.4%—0.5x
2024-0379.0x₹24 cr49.4%—0.5x
2024-0284.5x₹24 cr49.4%—0.5x
2024-0187.5x₹24 cr49.4%—0.5x
2023-1261.0x₹24 cr49.4%—0.5x
2023-1153.9x₹24 cr49.4%—0.5x
2023-1035.8x₹24 cr49.4%—0.5x
2023-0924.4x₹24 cr49.4%—0.5x
2023-0824.7x₹24 cr49.4%—0.5x
2023-0715.5x₹24 cr49.4%—0.5x
2023-0613.6x₹24 cr49.4%—0.5x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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