Share price
₹439.5 latest close · −15.3% over the last 90 sessions
₹439.5 month-end · −31.0% over 12 months
₹439.5 month-end · −18.6% since Dec '24
52-week range ₹400.65 to ₹725.65 · 1-year volatility 42.2%
Was the rally earned?
Earnings helped, the multiple did not.
- Per-share earnings added 4 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 22.2x to 14.6x), which took 35 points back.
- The share count barely moved.
What do "pts" mean?
"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.
Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.
Not shown for 3 years and 5 years: earnings were negative at one end, or there is not enough history.
Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.
How rough has the ride been?
Drawdown from peak
Largest drawdowns
-49.7% (2025-08 peak to 2026-09 low, not yet recovered)
-34.8% (2025-01 peak to 2025-04 low, recovered 2025-06)
Most recent volume spikes
2026-10-21: 22.4x the 50-day median, price +4.0% that day
2026-10-06: 5.9x the 50-day median, price +4.2% that day
2026-10-01: 5.3x the 50-day median, price -0.3% that day
Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).
Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?
Usual range 14.6x to 26.8x since 2024-12.
51% below the Producer Manufacturing median.
The chart loads when you open this tab.
The chart loads when you open this tab.
How to read this
Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dotted line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).
Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.
Where does it rank among Producer Manufacturing peers?
Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Producer Manufacturing peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).
Where it ranks today
- ROCE92ndflat vs a year ago
- Op. margin53rdflat vs a year ago
- Revenue growth52nd
- EPS growth46th
- Debt/equity ↓45th▲ 5 pts vs a year ago
- Cash cycle ↓99thflat vs a year ago
- P/E ↓84th▲ 13 pts vs a year ago
- 12M momentum18th
Rank history
Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.
The Producer Manufacturing sector page Watch it move against Producer Manufacturing in the Observatory
What is the price implying?
At a P/E of 14.6x, the price would imply about 11.4%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.
Fewer than six years of annual earnings are available, which is too little to measure delivered growth.
“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.
What prices imply across Producer Manufacturing The market-wide Expectations lists
Key figures
- Share Priceclose 9 Nov
- ₹439.50
- P/E
- 14.6x
- ROCE
- 34.0%
- Market Cap
- ₹5917 cr
- Revenue (TTM)
- ₹6956 cr
- P/S
- 0.9x
- P/B
- 2.6x
- ROE
- 17.8%
- Operating Margin
- 12.0%
- Debt / Equity
- 0.3x
- Promoter Holding
- 71.1%
- 12M Momentum
- -31.0%
52-week range
Price risk
Balance sheet & cash
Are profits backed by cash?
Other income reliance7%Within range
Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 7.1%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.
Tax rate28%Within range
Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 27.5%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.
Cash conversion1.00xWithin range
Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 1.00x (cash from operations ₹965 cr, net profit ₹966 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.
Free cash flow4 of 5 yrsWithin range
Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 4. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.
Receivable days vs history—Not enough data
Not enough reported data to compute this.
Capital work in progress11% of fixed assetsWithin range
Capital work-in-progress is 11% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.
Payable days—Not enough data
Not enough reported data to compute this.
Tap a check to see how it is measured
How to read this
Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.
Who has been buying and selling?
- Over 2 years, DIIs trimmed 8.6 pts; FIIs added 1.5 pts.
- The number of shareholders rose from 1.4 lakh to 1.6 lakh (+9%) between Dec 2024 and Jun 2026.
Holdings, Jun '26
How each group changed
Number of shareholders
Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.
What happened next to similar setups
- We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like TRANSRAIL LIGHTING LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
- Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −20% to +27% vs the market, against −5% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
- The gap against the base rate (−1.6%, 80% range −9.4% to +3.4%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.
Where the 50 outcomes landed
Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 1 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge
50 past situations · 50 companies · 34 months · 2020–2025
The closest matches
| Company | When | P/E | ROCE | 12M mom. | Drawdown | Next 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GVT&D Producer Manufacturing |
Apr 2021 | 15x | — | +35% | −20% | −11% |
| POWERMECH Industrial Services |
Jan 2025 | 25x | 24% | −19% | −39% | −9% |
| VENKEYS Process Industries |
Feb 2020 | 10x | 28% | −41% | −47% | −5% |
| CHEMPLASTS Process Industries |
Apr 2023 | 11x | 50% | −28% | −31% | −21% |
| HUHTAMAKI Process Industries |
Jun 2021 | 25x | — | +44% | −14% | −44% |
Show the other 3 matches
| Company | When | P/E | ROCE | 12M mom. | Drawdown | Next 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PUNJABCHEM Process Industries |
Jan 2024 | 23x | 31% | +20% | −14% | −34% |
| NCC Consumer Durables |
Jun 2025 | 18x | 22% | −27% | −36% | −36% |
| SONATSOFTW Technology Services |
Jun 2025 | 27x | 29% | −31% | −46% | −35% |
How reliable is this?
Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high and P/E. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.
Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.
What else looks like this?
Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.
Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.
What changed?
13 events since Apr '25
- OctPriceVolume reached 22.4x its 50-day median on 2026-10-21; price +4.0% that day.
- SepPriceFell 50% from the Aug 2025 peak to the Sep 2026 low.
- SepPeer rankMoved into the 2nd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on operating margin (from the 3rd quartile).
- SepPriceVolume reached 83.4x its 50-day median on 2026-09-22; price +15.2% that day.
- JunPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on operating margin (from the 2nd quartile).
- DecInstitutionsFII + DII holding fell 5.1 pts over 2 quarters to 9.6%.
- DecSharesShare count is up 8.0% over 12 months.
- NovPriceVolume reached 8.5x its 50-day median on 2025-11-10; price -9.4% that day.
Show 5 earlier events
- AugPriceVolume reached 21.2x its 50-day median on 2025-08-06; price +12.6% that day.
- JunPriceRegained the 2025-01 peak, 2 months after the low.
- JunDividendDividend payout cut from 8% to 3% of profit.
- MayPriceVolume reached 7.1x its 50-day median on 2025-05-26; price +4.5% that day.
- AprPriceFell 35% from the Jan 2025 peak to the Apr 2025 low.
Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.
Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month
Monthly history24 months · 2024-12 to 2026-11
| Month | P/E | Revenue (TTM) | ROE | ROCE | Debt / Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 14.6x | ₹6956 cr | 17.8% | 34.0% | 0.3x |
| 2026-10 | 14.0x | ₹6956 cr | 17.8% | 34.0% | 0.3x |
| 2026-09 | 15.8x | ₹6956 cr | 17.8% | 34.0% | 0.3x |
| 2026-08 | 14.6x | ₹6880 cr | 17.7% | 34.0% | 0.3x |
| 2026-07 | 16.8x | ₹6880 cr | 17.7% | 34.0% | 0.3x |
| 2026-06 | 17.1x | ₹6880 cr | 17.7% | 34.0% | 0.3x |
| 2026-05 | 14.9x | ₹6963 cr | 23.1% | 35.0% | 0.4x |
| 2026-04 | 18.6x | ₹6963 cr | 23.1% | 35.0% | 0.4x |
| 2026-03 | 14.0x | ₹6963 cr | 23.1% | 35.0% | 0.4x |
| 2026-02 | 18.2x | ₹6525 cr | 22.2% | 35.0% | 0.4x |
| 2026-01 | 16.0x | ₹6525 cr | 22.2% | 35.0% | 0.4x |
| 2025-12 | 18.0x | ₹6525 cr | 22.2% | 35.0% | 0.4x |
| 2025-11 | 22.2x | ₹6052 cr | 20.3% | 35.0% | 0.4x |
| 2025-10 | 25.4x | ₹6052 cr | 20.3% | 35.0% | 0.4x |
| 2025-09 | 25.2x | ₹6052 cr | 20.3% | 35.0% | 0.4x |
| 2025-08 | 29.7x | ₹5308 cr | 17.4% | 35.0% | 0.4x |
| 2025-07 | 29.3x | ₹5308 cr | 17.4% | 35.0% | 0.4x |
| 2025-06 | 26.0x | ₹5308 cr | 17.4% | 35.0% | 0.4x |
| 2025-05 | 25.8x | ₹4754 cr | 26.3% | 35.0% | 0.6x |
| 2025-04 | 19.6x | ₹4754 cr | 26.3% | 35.0% | 0.6x |
| 2025-03 | 19.6x | ₹4754 cr | 26.3% | 35.0% | 0.6x |
| 2025-02 | 25.4x | ₹4373 cr | 22.2% | 35.0% | 0.6x |
| 2025-01 | 26.9x | ₹4373 cr | 22.2% | 35.0% | 0.6x |
| 2024-12 | 26.5x | ₹4373 cr | 22.2% | 35.0% | 0.6x |