अApnaFunda

UTSSAV CZ GOLD JEWELS LIMITED (UTSSAV)

Consumer Durables

Price #5
Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.53 / 100
Profitability 85Balance sheet 21
Momentum scoreHow strong the recent trend is: 3-month price change, 12-month improvement in earnings and the rise in FII + DII holding, among companies above ₹500 cr.73 / 100
Price 100Earnings 93FII/DII 25

Passes these screens: Quality Compounder · High Momentum · Little growth priced in

Share Price
₹935.05
P/E
38.2x
ROCE
29.0%
Market Cap
₹2337 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹1155 cr
P/S
2.0x
P/B
11.8x
ROE
30.9%
Debt / Equity
0.9x
Promoter Holding
70.3%
12M Momentum
261.4%
P/E vs its own history100th percentilesince Aug '24
P/E vs Consumer Durables1.6xthe sector median

52-week range

₹176.50₹1046.05
87% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
53.4%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
0.82

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
7.2x
Cash from profit, 3Y
operating cash flow ÷ net profit
-1.47x
low
Share count, 1Y
unchanged

Was the rally earned?

+261%share price, 1 yearEarnings and multiple

Both mattered.

  • Per-share earnings added 172 points and the multiple added 90 points (P/E 24.6x to 38.2x).
  • The share count barely moved.
1 year Net profit growth: +175 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+175 ptsP/E change: +90 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.+90 ptsShare count change: -3 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. +261% 1 year Net profit growth: +175 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+175 ptsP/E change: +90 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.+90 ptsShare count change: -3 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. +261%
Net profit growth+175 ptsNet profit rose about 136%, which lifts the price.
P/E change+90 ptsThe P/E rose from 24.6x to 38.2x, which lifts the price.
Share count change-3 ptsShare count was little changed. More shares would count against the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Not shown for 3 years and 5 years: earnings were negative at one end, or there is not enough history.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare this with TITAN COMPANY

Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?

38.2xP/E todayNear its historic high
Against its own history100th percentileMedian 23.6x; usual range 18.1x to 32.3x since 2024-08.
Against Consumer Durables38.2x vs 24.7xAbove the Consumer Durables median.
16.6x25.2x33.7x42.3xAug '24Feb '25Aug '25Feb '26Aug '26Oct '2616.6x25.2x33.7x42.3xAug '24May '25Feb '26Oct '26
P/E (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianConsumer Durables median

The chart loads when you open this tab.

P/B (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianConsumer Durables median

The chart loads when you open this tab.

P/S (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianConsumer Durables median
How to read this

Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dashed line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).

Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.

All terms explained in the glossary →

How Consumer Durables is valued

What is the price implying?

~36%annual earnings growth implied by the priceBelow delivered growth

At normalised P/E (five-year average earnings) of 105.4x, a holder earning 12%/yr needs earnings to grow about 36.1%/yr for 10 years, then trade at 15x.

Delivered78.7%/yrEPS, last 7 fiscal years · 3-yr avg to 3-yr avg
Gap−23.9 ptsimplied minus delivered
Rank779thmost demanding of 843

Over time

Implied growth by month (solid) and delivered growth (dashed).

0%39%79% Aug 2024Oct 2026 0%39%79% Aug 2024Oct 2026

Change the assumptions

Exit P/E / return11%12%13%
12x37.9%39.2%40.4%
15x34.9%36.1%37.3%
20x31.1%32.3%33.4%
Implied: 36.1%/yr

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect. How this is calculated and the market-wide lists.

What prices imply across Consumer Durables The market-wide Expectations lists

What changed?

  1. Oct '26Volume reached 5.8x its 50-day median on 2026-10-05; price +10.0% that day.
  2. Sep '26P/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (30.7x).
  3. Sep '26Volume reached 12.4x its 50-day median on 2026-09-15; price +13.0% that day.
  4. Jun '26Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹1,155 cr.
  5. Jun '26Regained the 2024-12 peak, 15 months after the low.
  6. Jun '26Debt / equity fell below 1.0x (0.94x).
  7. Apr '26Volume reached 10.3x its 50-day median on 2026-04-17; price +0.1% that day.
  8. Mar '26Debt / equity halved over 12 months to 1.02x.
Show 8 earlier events
  1. Mar '26Volume reached 5.7x its 50-day median on 2026-03-18; price +17.2% that day.
  2. Oct '25Volume reached 26.6x its 50-day median on 2025-10-30; price +7.7% that day.
  3. Aug '25Debt / equity halved over 12 months to 1.02x.
  4. Aug '25Share count is up 41.2% over 12 months.
  5. Aug '25Volume reached 6.7x its 50-day median on 2025-08-18; price +5.0% that day.
  6. Jun '25FII + DII holding fell 3.2 pts over 1 quarter to 1.3%.
  7. Mar '25Fell 51% from the Dec 2024 peak to the Mar 2025 low.
  8. Jan '25Volume reached 5.9x its 50-day median on 2025-01-28; price -3.4% that day.

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Are profits backed by cash?

4 of 6 checks are within range, 2 beyond a threshold.
Tap a check to see how it is measured.

Other income reliance4%Within range

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 3.8%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Cash conversion-1.47xBeyond threshold

Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: -1.47x (cash from operations ₹-143 cr, net profit ₹97 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.

Free cash flow1 of 5 yrsBeyond threshold

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 1. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history-8 daysWithin range

Debtor days are below the median of the previous three fiscal years by 8 days (54 vs 62). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.

Capital work in progress0% of fixed assetsWithin range

Capital work-in-progress is 0% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days0 days / 2 yrsWithin range

Days payable changed by 0 over two years. Bands: rise of up to 30 days; more than 30 days.

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Over 2 years, FIIs trimmed 2.6 pts; DIIs trimmed 1.6 pts.
  • The number of shareholders rose from 1,762 to 2,301 (+31%) between Sep 2024 and Mar 2026.

Holdings, Mar '26

How each group changed

GroupSep '24Mar '26Change
Promoters70.5%70.3%-0.2 pts
FIIs3.0%0.4%-2.6 pts
DIIs1.6%0.0%-1.6 pts
Public and others24.9%29.3%+4.4 pts

Number of shareholders

2,301shareholders+31% since Sep '24
2k2k2k2k Sep '24Mar '25Sep '25Mar '26
Sep '24: 1,762
Mar '25: 2,414
Sep '25: 2,321
Mar '26: 2,301
2k2k2k2k Sep '24Mar '25Sep '25Mar '26
Sep '24: 1,762
Mar '25: 2,414
Sep '25: 2,321
Mar '26: 2,301

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-51.0%recovered 2026-06
1-year volatility53.4%annualised
Beta vs sector index0.873-year daily, correlation 0.26
Volume spikes8last 90 sessions, 5x the 50-day median

Monthly share price

₹174₹428₹681₹935 Aug '24Feb '25Aug '25Feb '26Aug '26Oct '26
2024-08: ₹193.70
2024-09: ₹194.60
2024-10: ₹198.15
2024-11: ₹217.70
2024-12: ₹291.10
2025-01: ₹231.75
2025-02: ₹173.75
2025-03: ₹200.05
2025-04: ₹225.75
2025-05: ₹265.20
2025-06: ₹237.30
2025-07: ₹220.00
2025-08: ₹195.00
2025-09: ₹175.05
2025-10: ₹258.70
2025-11: ₹247.75
2025-12: ₹221.10
2026-01: ₹215.10
2026-02: ₹203.15
2026-03: ₹185.45
2026-04: ₹246.95
2026-05: ₹289.15
2026-06: ₹440.00
2026-07: ₹518.00
2026-08: ₹445.00
2026-09: ₹750.20
2026-10: ₹935.05
₹174₹428₹681₹935 Aug '24May '25Feb '26Oct '26
2024-08: ₹193.70
2024-09: ₹194.60
2024-10: ₹198.15
2024-11: ₹217.70
2024-12: ₹291.10
2025-01: ₹231.75
2025-02: ₹173.75
2025-03: ₹200.05
2025-04: ₹225.75
2025-05: ₹265.20
2025-06: ₹237.30
2025-07: ₹220.00
2025-08: ₹195.00
2025-09: ₹175.05
2025-10: ₹258.70
2025-11: ₹247.75
2025-12: ₹221.10
2026-01: ₹215.10
2026-02: ₹203.15
2026-03: ₹185.45
2026-04: ₹246.95
2026-05: ₹289.15
2026-06: ₹440.00
2026-07: ₹518.00
2026-08: ₹445.00
2026-09: ₹750.20
2026-10: ₹935.05

Last 90 trading days

₹421₹620₹820₹1,020 Jun 23Jul 20Aug 13Sep 8Oct 6Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹420.75
2026-06-25: ₹429.65
2026-06-30: ₹440.00
2026-07-02: ₹485.10
2026-07-06: ₹479.65
2026-07-08: ₹432.95
2026-07-10: ₹454.25
2026-07-14: ₹500.75
2026-07-16: ₹551.15
2026-07-20: ₹537.85
2026-07-22: ₹537.00
2026-07-24: ₹517.00
2026-07-28: ₹514.95
2026-07-30: ₹510.50
2026-08-03: ₹516.15
2026-08-05: ₹510.00
2026-08-07: ₹515.00
2026-08-11: ₹520.50
2026-08-13: ₹514.80
2026-08-17: ₹505.00
2026-08-19: ₹478.05
2026-08-21: ₹482.25
2026-08-25: ₹467.00
2026-08-27: ₹448.60
2026-08-31: ₹445.00
2026-09-02: ₹445.00
2026-09-04: ₹468.30
2026-09-08: ₹470.00
2026-09-10: ₹515.20
2026-09-15: ₹600.45
2026-09-17: ₹649.30
2026-09-21: ₹653.00
2026-09-23: ₹653.25
2026-09-25: ₹722.10
2026-09-29: ₹731.45
2026-10-01: ₹766.80
2026-10-06: ₹860.75
2026-10-08: ₹841.05
2026-10-12: ₹829.60
2026-10-14: ₹935.00
2026-10-16: ₹1005.60
2026-10-21: ₹973.15
2026-10-23: ₹1014.25
2026-10-27: ₹933.00
2026-10-29: ₹951.00
2026-10-30: ₹935.05
₹421₹620₹820₹1,020 Jun 23Aug 5Sep 17Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹420.75
2026-06-25: ₹429.65
2026-06-30: ₹440.00
2026-07-02: ₹485.10
2026-07-06: ₹479.65
2026-07-08: ₹432.95
2026-07-10: ₹454.25
2026-07-14: ₹500.75
2026-07-16: ₹551.15
2026-07-20: ₹537.85
2026-07-22: ₹537.00
2026-07-24: ₹517.00
2026-07-28: ₹514.95
2026-07-30: ₹510.50
2026-08-03: ₹516.15
2026-08-05: ₹510.00
2026-08-07: ₹515.00
2026-08-11: ₹520.50
2026-08-13: ₹514.80
2026-08-17: ₹505.00
2026-08-19: ₹478.05
2026-08-21: ₹482.25
2026-08-25: ₹467.00
2026-08-27: ₹448.60
2026-08-31: ₹445.00
2026-09-02: ₹445.00
2026-09-04: ₹468.30
2026-09-08: ₹470.00
2026-09-10: ₹515.20
2026-09-15: ₹600.45
2026-09-17: ₹649.30
2026-09-21: ₹653.00
2026-09-23: ₹653.25
2026-09-25: ₹722.10
2026-09-29: ₹731.45
2026-10-01: ₹766.80
2026-10-06: ₹860.75
2026-10-08: ₹841.05
2026-10-12: ₹829.60
2026-10-14: ₹935.00
2026-10-16: ₹1005.60
2026-10-21: ₹973.15
2026-10-23: ₹1014.25
2026-10-27: ₹933.00
2026-10-29: ₹951.00
2026-10-30: ₹935.05

Drawdown from peak

0% -23% -46% Aug '24Sep '25Oct '26 0% -23% -46% Aug '24Sep '25Oct '26
Largest drawdowns

-51.0% (2024-12 peak to 2025-03 low, recovered 2026-06)

-23.1% (2024-09 peak to 2024-10 low, recovered 2024-11)

-20.7% (2026-07 peak to 2026-09 low, recovered 2026-09)

Most recent volume spikes

2026-10-22: 5.6x the 50-day median, price +4.8% that day

2026-10-15: 5x the 50-day median, price +6.2% that day

2026-10-05: 5.8x the 50-day median, price +10.0% that day

Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).

Where does it rank among Consumer Durables peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Consumer Durables peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

ROCE
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Nov '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Oct '26
Lower rank Higher rank

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Consumer Durables sector page Watch it move against Consumer Durables in the Observatory

What else looks like this?

Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.

CompanySectorSimilarityClosest on
V MARC INDIA (VMARCIND)Producer Manufacturing52%debt/equity, P/E
BHARAT SEATS (BHARATSE)Producer Manufacturing50%volatility, promoter holding
ADVANCE AGROLIFE (ADVANCE)Process Industries47%ROCE, promoter holding
SEJAL GLASS (SEJALLTD)Process Industries46%promoter holding, debt/equity
OBSC PERFECTION (OBSCP)Producer Manufacturing45%volatility, promoter holding
SHRINGAR HOUSE OF MANGALSUTRA (SHRINGARMS)Consumer Durables28%ROCE, market cap
GOODYEAR INDIA (GOODYEAR)Consumer Durables5%market cap, promoter holding
CELLECOR GADGETS (CELLECOR)Consumer Durables0%revenue, debt/equity

Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.

What happened next to similar setups

−2.2%typical 12-month return vs the marketNot meaningfully different from the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like UTSSAV CZ GOLD JEWELS LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −28% to +37% vs the market, against −3% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The gap against the base rate (+1.2%, 80% range −14.8% to +14.6%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
RAJMET · Jun 2022: −70.9% vs market
APRAMEYA · Sep 2025: −61.8% vs market
SOLEX · Sep 2025: −59.8% vs market
ABCIND · Apr 2025: −54.2% vs market
DECCANCE · Sep 2025: −49.0% vs market
GSMFOILS · Aug 2025: −47.8% vs market
JAIBALAJI · Feb 2024: −46.8% vs market
FSL · Jun 2021: −44.9% vs market
SDBL · Jul 2023: −42.6% vs market
PUNJABCHEM · Aug 2021: −33.6% vs market
KEI · Jan 2020: −31.2% vs market
VIVIANA · Sep 2025: −30.2% vs market
GPECO · Sep 2025: −28.7% vs market
CANTABIL · Jul 2022: −27.3% vs market
KDDL · Nov 2023: −26.8% vs market
VADILALIND · Dec 2022: −24.3% vs market
VISHNU · Aug 2022: −24.0% vs market
HINDWAREAP · Oct 2021: −21.6% vs market
BCONCEPTS · Oct 2023: −19.1% vs market
BBTCL · Jun 2022: −18.3% vs market
BIGBLOC · Nov 2022: −16.0% vs market
POWERMECH · Jul 2023: −9.0% vs market
RKFORGE · Nov 2023: −6.7% vs market
SAFARI · Jun 2023: −6.3% vs market
RAMASTEEL · Oct 2022: −5.1% vs market
KECL · Jun 2023: +0.8% vs market
BHARATRAS · Feb 2020: +1.6% vs market
SKYGOLD · Oct 2024: +3.3% vs market
TEMBO · Nov 2024: +3.4% vs market
THANGAMAYL · Oct 2023: +14.6% vs market
LGHL · Dec 2024: +15.3% vs market
MBAPL · Sep 2022: +15.9% vs market
NEOGEN · May 2020: +17.1% vs market
THOMASCOTT · Jan 2024: +19.6% vs market
GRAVITA · May 2023: +21.8% vs market
V2RETAIL · Jun 2025: +24.9% vs market
AARTIDRUGS · Jun 2020: +36.3% vs market
THEJO · Oct 2020: +36.5% vs market
GREENPANEL · Sep 2021: +37.2% vs market
KPIGREEN · Dec 2023: +41.6% vs market
KRISHANA · Aug 2025: +53.7% vs market
LUMAXTECH · Sep 2025: +65.5% vs market
SHAREINDIA · Oct 2021: +68.8% vs market
APLAPOLLO · Jan 2020: +93.5% vs market
DEEPAKNTR · Feb 2020: +117.7% vs market
RAJRATAN · Jun 2021: +125.7% vs market
ALKYLAMINE · Feb 2020: +145.6% vs market
TITAGARH · Jun 2023: +152.0% vs market
JWL · Jun 2023: +170.8% vs market
VMARCIND · Jul 2025: +245.8% vs market
Similar setups −2.2%All companies −3.4%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 6 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
−2.2%
All companies' median
−3.4%
Beat the market
50% vs 46%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 32 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
KRISHANA
Process Industries
Aug 2025 41x22% +134%−4% +54%
MBAPL
Process Industries
Sep 2022 35x30% +356%−1% +16%
VISHNU
Process Industries
Aug 2022 29x24% +209%−2% −24%
RAJRATAN
Producer Manufacturing
Jun 2021 30x23% +618%0% +126%
LUMAXTECH
Producer Manufacturing
Sep 2025 45x19% +122%−6% +66%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
AARTIDRUGS
Health Technology
Jun 2020 21x21% +140%−1% +36%
DECCANCE
Non-Energy Minerals
Sep 2025 77x— +85%−3% −49%
HINDWAREAP
Producer Manufacturing
Oct 2021 66x21% +504%−3% −22%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: drawdown from 12-month high, P/E and P/S. Not used (unavailable for this company): operating margin. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 5 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to UTSSAV CZ GOLD JEWELS LIMITED. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-10-30. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 97,430 company-months from 2000 companies; financial: 5,632 company-months from 106 companies. 2240 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.
Monthly history (27 months)
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-1038.2x₹1155 cr30.9%29.0%0.9x
2026-0930.7x₹1155 cr30.9%29.0%0.9x
2026-0818.2x₹1155 cr30.9%29.0%0.9x
2026-0721.2x₹1155 cr30.9%29.0%0.9x
2026-0618.0x₹1155 cr30.9%29.0%0.9x
2026-0527.5x₹646 cr20.4%22.0%1.0x
2026-0423.5x₹646 cr20.4%22.0%1.0x
2026-0317.6x₹646 cr20.4%22.0%1.0x
2026-0219.3x₹646 cr20.4%22.0%1.0x
2026-0120.4x₹646 cr20.4%22.0%1.0x
2025-1221.0x₹646 cr20.4%22.0%1.0x
2025-1123.6x₹646 cr20.4%22.0%1.0x
2025-1024.6x₹646 cr20.4%22.0%1.0x
2025-0916.6x₹646 cr20.4%22.0%1.0x
2025-0818.5x₹646 cr20.4%22.0%1.0x
2025-0720.9x₹646 cr20.4%22.0%1.0x
2025-0622.6x₹646 cr20.4%22.0%1.0x
2025-0534.7x₹340 cr38.5%24.0%2.1x
2025-0429.5x₹340 cr38.5%24.0%2.1x
2025-0326.2x₹340 cr38.5%24.0%2.1x
2025-0222.7x₹340 cr38.5%24.0%2.1x
2025-0130.3x₹340 cr38.5%24.0%2.1x
2024-1238.1x₹340 cr38.5%24.0%2.1x
2024-1128.5x₹340 cr38.5%24.0%2.1x
2024-1025.9x₹340 cr38.5%24.0%2.1x
2024-0925.4x₹340 cr38.5%24.0%2.1x
2024-0825.3x₹340 cr38.5%24.0%2.1x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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