अApnaFunda

DECCAN CEMENTS LTD (DECCANCE)

Non-Energy Minerals · Construction Materials · figures to Nov '26

Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.22 / 100
Profitability 27Balance sheet 16
Momentum scoreHow strong the recent trend is: 3-month price change, 12-month improvement in earnings and the rise in FII + DII holding, among companies above ₹500 cr.44 / 100
Price 27Earnings 7FII/DII 97

Share price

Closing priceAdjusted for splits and bonus issues.

₹482.6 latest close · −16.0% over the last 90 sessions

₹500₹550Jul 3Jul 29Aug 24Sep 17Oct 14Nov 9 ₹500₹550Jul 3Sep 4Nov 9

₹482.6 month-end · −38.1% over 12 months

₹500₹600₹700₹800Nov '25Jan '26Apr '26Jun '26Sep '26Nov '26 ₹500₹600₹700₹800Nov '25May '26Nov '26

₹482.6 month-end · −47.4% since Jun '25

₹600₹800₹1,000Jun '25Sep '25Jan '26Apr '26Aug '26Nov '26 ₹600₹800₹1,000Jun '25Mar '26Nov '26

52-week range ₹465.00 to ₹1055.00 · 1-year volatility 36.2%

Was the rally earned?

-38%share price, 1 yearEarnings-driven

Mostly earnings.

  • Per-share earnings took off 52 points, while the multiple moved less (P/E 54.4x to 65.0x).
  • The share count barely moved.
Net profit growth: −52 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).−52 ptsNet profit growthP/E change: +14 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.+14 ptsP/E changeShare price: −38%−38%Share priceNet profit growth: −52 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).−52ProfitP/E change: +14 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.+14P/EShare price: −38%−38%Share price
Net profit growth-52 ptsNet profit fell about 48%, which lowers the price.
P/E change+14 ptsThe P/E rose from 54.4x to 65.0x, which lifts the price.
Share count change0 ptsShare count was little changed. More shares would count against the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Not shown for 3 years and 5 years: earnings were negative at one end, or there is not enough history.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare this with ULTRATECH CEMENT

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-62.7%recovered 2021-05
1-year volatility36.2%annualised
Beta vs sector index0.823-year daily, correlation 0.43
Volume spikes7last 90 sessions, 5x the 50-day median

Drawdown from peak

0%−20%−40%−60%2020202120222023202420252026−60.2% 0%−20%−40%−60%2020202220242026−60.2%
Largest drawdowns

-62.7% (2019-05 peak to 2020-03 low, recovered 2021-05)

-59.0% (2025-09 peak to 2026-10 low, not yet recovered)

-51.1% (2021-08 peak to 2023-03 low, recovered 2025-02)

Most recent volume spikes

2026-09-30: 7.6x the 50-day median, price +4.9% that day

2026-09-21: 5.5x the 50-day median, price 0.0% that day

2026-09-15: 6.7x the 50-day median, price -1.3% that day

Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).

Where does it rank among Non-Energy Minerals peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Non-Energy Minerals peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

Where it ranks today

  • ROCE18th
  • Op. margin36th▼ 37 pts vs a year ago
  • Revenue growth88th
  • EPS growth14th
  • Debt/equity ↓14th▼ 5 pts vs a year ago
  • Cash cycle ↓19th▲ 14 pts vs a year ago
  • P/E ↓13thflat vs a year ago
  • 12M momentum11th▼ 81 pts vs a year ago

Rank history

ROCE
Op. margin
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Dec '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Jul '26Nov '26
Lower rank Higher rank Not enough data

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Non-Energy Minerals sector page Watch it move against Non-Energy Minerals in the Observatory

What is the price implying?

~29%annual earnings growth implied by the price

At a P/E of 65.0x, the price would imply about 29.4%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.

Fewer than six years of annual earnings are available, which is too little to measure delivered growth.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Non-Energy Minerals The market-wide Expectations lists

Key figures

Share Priceclose 9 Nov
₹482.60
P/E
65.0x
ROCE
3.0%
Market Cap
₹676 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹704 cr
P/S
1.0x
P/B
0.9x
ROE
1.4%
Operating Margin
7.7%
Debt / Equity
1.0x
Promoter Holding
56.2%
12M Momentum
-38.1%

52-week range

₹465.00₹1055.00
3% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
36.2%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
0.72

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
1.2x
Share count, 1Y
unchanged

Are profits backed by cash?

0 of 2checks within range2 beyond a threshold
Other income reliance300%Beyond threshold

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 300.0%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate2%Beyond threshold

Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 1.7%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.

Cash conversion—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Free cash flow—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Receivable days vs history—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Capital work in progress—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Payable days—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Tap a check to see how it is measured

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Over 3 years, FIIs added 5.4 pts.
  • The number of shareholders fell from 15,807 to 10,778 (-32%) between Sep 2023 and Jun 2026.

Holdings, Jun '26

How each group changed

GroupSep '23Jun '26Change
Promoters56.2%56.2%0.0 pts
FIIs9.2%14.7%+5.4 pts
DIIs0.5%0.8%+0.4 pts
Public and others34.0%28.3%-5.8 pts

Number of shareholders

10,778shareholders-32% since Sep '23
11k12k14k16k Sep '23Jun '24Mar '25Dec '25Jun '26
Sep '23: 15,807
Dec '23: 14,876
Mar '24: 14,118
Jun '24: 13,911
Sep '24: 13,420
Dec '24: 12,679
Mar '25: 11,935
Jun '25: 11,529
Sep '25: 11,952
Dec '25: 11,314
Mar '26: 10,857
Jun '26: 10,778
11k12k14k16k Sep '23Sep '24Sep '25Jun '26
Sep '23: 15,807
Dec '23: 14,876
Mar '24: 14,118
Jun '24: 13,911
Sep '24: 13,420
Dec '24: 12,679
Mar '25: 11,935
Jun '25: 11,529
Sep '25: 11,952
Dec '25: 11,314
Mar '26: 10,857
Jun '26: 10,778

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

What happened next to similar setups

+0.7%typical 12-month return vs the marketNot meaningfully different from the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like DECCAN CEMENTS LTD today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −18% to +41% vs the market, against −7% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The gap against the base rate (+7.7%, 80% range −0.2% to +18.6%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
RACE · Aug 2025: −60.1% vs market
HILTON · Apr 2025: −59.0% vs market
VISHWARAJ · Nov 2021: −48.6% vs market
SARVESHWAR · Feb 2025: −46.6% vs market
BCONCEPTS · Jul 2025: −46.3% vs market
GSLSU · Dec 2024: −43.5% vs market
CAMLINFINE · Nov 2023: −30.0% vs market
VMART · May 2023: −28.2% vs market
SNOWMAN · Feb 2025: −27.6% vs market
COASTCORP · Sep 2024: −22.8% vs market
STYRENIX · Mar 2022: −22.8% vs market
DMCC · Nov 2023: −20.6% vs market
SHEMAROO · Oct 2023: −18.5% vs market
VIPCLOTHNG · Jan 2024: −17.2% vs market
REPRO · Jul 2024: −14.8% vs market
INDOCO · Feb 2025: −12.8% vs market
GULPOLY · Jun 2024: −11.9% vs market
MSPL · Jun 2021: −10.0% vs market
HTMEDIA · Jul 2022: −9.4% vs market
ESTER · Sep 2025: −7.2% vs market
SHALBY · Jun 2025: −5.5% vs market
KANORICHEM · Apr 2022: −5.4% vs market
MAHLOG · Jul 2023: −2.7% vs market
VRLLOG · Oct 2024: −2.3% vs market
LANDMARK · Mar 2025: −0.9% vs market
VIPIND · Jul 2024: +2.3% vs market
TVSSCS · Sep 2025: +4.4% vs market
ATULAUTO · Jun 2025: +4.6% vs market
PLAZACABLE · Oct 2025: +9.2% vs market
TEMBO · Jul 2022: +17.6% vs market
JINDWORLD · May 2020: +17.6% vs market
AERONEU · Jun 2024: +26.3% vs market
EIFFL · Jan 2024: +26.4% vs market
MEDPLUS · Jun 2024: +29.8% vs market
BYKE · Aug 2023: +34.0% vs market
AMBER · Mar 2023: +34.9% vs market
TVSSRICHAK · Jun 2025: +35.8% vs market
YATRA · Dec 2024: +42.0% vs market
PROZONER · Aug 2024: +42.4% vs market
IFBIND · Jul 2023: +44.6% vs market
NELCAST · Mar 2022: +58.5% vs market
ORIENTCEM · Apr 2020: +61.3% vs market
OAL · Oct 2025: +62.8% vs market
BASML · Nov 2020: +63.8% vs market
SANGHIIND · Jun 2022: +66.0% vs market
PATELENG · Apr 2021: +71.0% vs market
SAGCEM · May 2020: +82.1% vs market
JPPOWER · Jul 2023: +120.6% vs market
SOBHA · Jun 2023: +155.5% vs market
NEULANDLAB · Feb 2020: +260.5% vs market
Similar setups +0.7%All companies −7.0%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 3 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
+0.7%
All companies' median
−7.0%
Beat the market
50% vs 42%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 33 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
COASTCORP
Transportation
Sep 2024 76x5% −6%−26% −23%
SAGCEM
Non-Energy Minerals
May 2020 42x7% −60%−61% +82%
MAHLOG
Transportation
Jul 2023 123x7% −23%−35% −3%
RACE
Process Industries
Aug 2025 104x10% −45%−47% −60%
TVSSRICHAK
Consumer Durables
Jun 2025 112x5% −29%−37% +36%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
GULPOLY
Consumer Non-Durables
Jun 2024 70x3% −21%−25% −12%
NELCAST
Non-Energy Minerals
Mar 2022 57x5% −8%−39% +59%
SNOWMAN
Commercial Services
Feb 2025 87x7% −40%−49% −28%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: 12-month momentum, P/S and size. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to DECCAN CEMENTS LTD. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-11-09. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 98,395 company-months from 2019 companies; financial: 5,659 company-months from 108 companies. 2349 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

What else looks like this?

Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.

Process Industries
56%similar
ROCEP/E
Commercial Services
56%similar
volatilityROCE
GRPGRPLTD
Producer Manufacturing
55%similar
debt/equityrevenue
Producer Manufacturing
54%similar
operating marginmarket cap
Producer Manufacturing
53%similar
promoter holdingrevenue
Non-Energy Minerals
75%similar
volatilityrevenue
Non-Energy Minerals
41%similar
operating marginmarket cap
Non-Energy Minerals
40%similar
debt/equityROCE

Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.

What changed?

30 events since Jan '20

  1. OctPriceFell 59% from the Sep 2025 peak to the Oct 2026 low.
  2. SepResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
  3. SepPeer rankSlipped to the bottom quartile of Non-Energy Minerals on EPS growth (from the top quartile).
  4. SepPriceVolume reached 13.2x its 50-day median on 2026-09-11; price +0.3% that day.
  5. JunInstitutionsFII + DII holding rose 4.2 pts over 2 quarters to 15.1%.
  6. JunDebtDebt / equity rose above 1.0x (1.00x).
  7. JunDividendDividend payout cut from 11% to 2% of profit.
  8. MarPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Non-Energy Minerals on operating margin (from the 2nd quartile).
Show 22 earlier events
  1. FebPriceVolume reached 12.3x its 50-day median on 2026-02-26; price +6.1% that day.
  2. NovPriceVolume reached 6.4x its 50-day median on 2025-11-17; price -11.8% that day.
  3. JulPriceVolume reached 38.2x its 50-day median on 2025-07-16; price +20.0% that day.
  4. JunPriceVolume reached 18.0x its 50-day median on 2025-06-23; price +8.4% that day.
  5. FebPriceRegained the 2021-08 peak, 23 months after the low.
  6. FebPriceVolume reached 39.4x its 50-day median on 2025-02-21; price +12.2% that day.
  7. JunPriceVolume reached 17.2x its 50-day median on 2024-06-14; price +2.4% that day.
  8. JanPriceVolume reached 6.4x its 50-day median on 2024-01-03; price +3.4% that day.
  9. DecPriceVolume reached 7.7x its 50-day median on 2023-12-19; price -1.3% that day.
  10. SepPriceVolume reached 7.2x its 50-day median on 2023-09-08; price +2.6% that day.
  11. AprPriceVolume reached 9.2x its 50-day median on 2023-04-20; price +1.0% that day.
  12. MarPriceFell 51% from the Aug 2021 peak to the Mar 2023 low.
  13. NovPriceVolume reached 15.2x its 50-day median on 2022-11-30; price +4.7% that day.
  14. AugPriceVolume reached 12.2x its 50-day median on 2022-08-11; price +3.6% that day.
  15. JunPriceVolume reached 17.9x its 50-day median on 2021-06-11; price -5.9% that day.
  16. MayPriceRegained the 2019-05 peak, 14 months after the low.
  17. FebPriceVolume reached 5.9x its 50-day median on 2021-02-12; price +1.9% that day.
  18. OctPriceVolume reached 10.4x its 50-day median on 2020-10-22; price +11.5% that day.
  19. JulPriceVolume reached 95.7x its 50-day median on 2020-07-06; price +14.8% that day.
  20. JunPriceVolume reached 39.6x its 50-day median on 2020-06-17; price +19.9% that day.
  21. MarPriceFell 63% from the May 2019 peak to the Mar 2020 low.
  22. JanPriceVolume reached 9.4x its 50-day median on 2020-01-08; price +6.8% that day.

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Monthly history18 months · 2025-06 to 2026-11
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-1165.0x₹704 cr1.4%3.0%1.0x
2026-1062.9x₹704 cr1.4%3.0%1.0x
2026-0976.3x₹704 cr1.4%3.0%1.0x
2026-0828.1x₹636 cr3.8%3.0%1.0x
2026-0727.1x₹636 cr3.8%3.0%1.0x
2026-0629.3x₹636 cr3.8%3.0%1.0x
2026-0527.1x₹541 cr4.4%—1.0x
2026-0428.8x₹541 cr4.4%—1.0x
2026-0324.0x₹541 cr4.4%—1.0x
2026-0231.1x₹525 cr4.6%—1.0x
2026-0126.6x₹525 cr4.6%—1.0x
2025-1231.4x₹525 cr4.6%—1.0x
2025-1154.4x₹505 cr2.8%—1.0x
2025-1072.2x₹505 cr2.8%—1.0x
2025-0977.2x₹505 cr2.8%—1.0x
2025-08187.8x₹527 cr1.0%—1.0x
2025-07196.3x₹527 cr1.0%—1.0x
2025-06170.5x₹527 cr1.0%—1.0x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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