अApnaFunda

CAPITAL SMALL FINANCE BANK LTD (CAPITALSFB)

Finance · Regional Banks · figures to Nov '26

Momentum scoreHow strong the recent trend is: 3-month price change, 12-month improvement in earnings and the rise in FII + DII holding, among companies above ₹500 cr.35 / 100
Price 51Earnings 48FII/DII 5

Passes these screensValue Pick

Share price

Closing priceAdjusted for splits and bonus issues.

₹272.85 latest close · −6.3% over the last 90 sessions

₹260₹280₹300Jul 3Jul 29Aug 24Sep 17Oct 14Nov 9 ₹260₹280₹300Jul 3Sep 4Nov 9

₹272.85 month-end · −1.6% over 12 months

₹225₹250₹275Nov '25Jan '26Apr '26Jun '26Sep '26Nov '26 ₹225₹250₹275Nov '25May '26Nov '26

₹272.85 month-end · −28.8% since Feb '24

₹250₹300₹350Feb '24Sep '24Mar '25Oct '25Apr '26Nov '26 ₹250₹300₹350Feb '24Jul '25Nov '26

52-week range ₹206.55 to ₹323.70 · 1-year volatility 27.2%

Was the rally earned?

-2%share price, 1 yearRoughly flat
  • The share price was roughly flat over 1 year (-2%).
  • The share count barely moved.
Net profit growth: +12 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+12 ptsNet profit growthP/E change: −13 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.−13 ptsP/E changeShare count change: −1 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price.−1 ptsShare count changeShare price: −2%−2%Share priceNet profit growth: +12 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+12ProfitP/E change: −13 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.−13P/EShare count change: −1 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price.−1SharesShare price: −2%−2%Share price
Net profit growth+12 ptsNet profit rose about 13%, which lifts the price.
P/E change-13 ptsThe P/E fell from 9.4x to 8.2x, which lowers the price.
Share count change-1 ptsShare count was little changed. More shares would count against the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Not shown for 3 years and 5 years: earnings were negative at one end, or there is not enough history.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare this with ICICI BANK

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-51.9%not yet recovered
1-year volatility27.2%annualised
Beta vs sector index0.603-year daily, correlation 0.38
Volume spikes6last 90 sessions, 5x the 50-day median

Drawdown from peak

0%−20%−40%20252026−51.6% 0%−20%−40%20252026−51.6%
Largest drawdowns

-51.9% (2024-02 peak to 2026-03 low, not yet recovered)

Most recent volume spikes

2026-10-30: 6.8x the 50-day median, price +3.1% that day

2026-10-06: 7.9x the 50-day median, price -5.6% that day

2026-09-30: 6.5x the 50-day median, price +3.2% that day

Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).

Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?

0.8xP/B todayNear its historic low
Against its own history9th percentile
CheapestMedian 1.0xDearest

Usual range 0.9x to 1.7x since 2024-02.

Against Finance0.8x vs 1.5x
This company
0.8x
Sector median
1.5x

44% below the Finance median.

0.7x1.3x1.8x2.4xFeb '24Sep '24Apr '25Nov '25Jun '26Nov '260.7x1.3x1.8x2.4xFeb '24Jan '25Dec '25Nov '26
P/B (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianFinance median

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P/E (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianFinance median

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P/S (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianFinance median
How to read this

Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/B history; dotted line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).

Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.

All terms explained in the glossary →

How Finance is valued

Where does it rank among Finance peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Finance peers (banks and financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

Where it ranks today

  • ROE (approx.)40thflat vs a year ago
  • EPS growth46th▼ 25 pts vs a year ago
  • P/B ↓78thflat vs a year ago
  • 12M momentum59th▲ 15 pts vs a year ago
  • FII + DII64th▼ 3 pts vs a year ago

Rank history

ROE (approx.)
EPS growth
P/B ↓
12M momentum
FII + DII
Dec '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Jul '26Nov '26
Lower rank Higher rank Not enough data

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Finance sector page Watch it move against Finance in the Observatory

What is the price implying?

~9%annual earnings growth implied by the priceBelow delivered growth

At normalised P/E (five-year average earnings) of 11.4x, a holder earning 12%/yr needs earnings to grow about 8.5%/yr for 10 years, then trade at 15x.

Delivered26.5%/yrEPS, last 9 fiscal years · 3-yr avg to 3-yr avg
Gap−17.9 ptsimplied minus delivered
Rank49thmost demanding of 63 financials

Over time

Implied growth by month (solid) and delivered growth (dashed).

0%20%41% Jun 2023Nov 2026 0%20%41% Jun 2023Nov 2026

Change the assumptions

Exit P/E / return11%12%13%
12x9.9%10.9%11.9%
15x7.6%8.5%9.5%
20x4.6%5.5%6.5%

Drag a slider to test other assumptions

Implied: 8.5%/yr

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect. How this is calculated and the market-wide lists.

What prices imply across Finance The market-wide Expectations lists

Key figures

Share Priceclose 9 Nov
₹272.85
P/E
8.2x
Market Cap
₹1240 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹1089 cr
P/S
1.1x
P/B
0.8x
ROE
10.0%
Debt / Equity
0.3x
Promoter Holding
18.3%
12M Momentum
-1.6%

52-week range

₹206.55₹323.70
57% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
27.2%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
0.59

Balance sheet & cash

Share count, 1Y
unchanged

Are profits backed by cash?

1 of 1checks within rangeAll clear
Tax rate25%Within range

Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 25.0%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.

Tap a check to see how it is measured

Cash conversion and receivable days are not meaningful for banks and NBFCs, so only the other-income and tax-rate checks are shown.

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Over 2 years, DIIs trimmed 5.6 pts; FIIs trimmed 0.8 pts; promoters trimmed 0.6 pts.
  • The number of shareholders fell from 89,964 to 63,826 (-29%) between Mar 2024 and Jun 2026.

Holdings, Jun '26

How each group changed

GroupMar '24Jun '26Change
Promoters18.9%18.3%-0.6 pts
FIIs1.4%0.6%-0.8 pts
DIIs33.1%27.5%-5.6 pts
Public and others46.7%53.6%+6.9 pts

Number of shareholders

63,826shareholders-29% since Mar '24
63k72k81k90k Mar '24Sep '24Mar '25Sep '25Mar '26Jun '26
Mar '24: 89,964
Jun '24: 82,280
Sep '24: 76,543
Dec '24: 73,880
Mar '25: 70,112
Jun '25: 68,325
Sep '25: 67,317
Dec '25: 65,504
Mar '26: 63,242
Jun '26: 63,826
63k72k81k90k Mar '24Dec '24Sep '25Jun '26
Mar '24: 89,964
Jun '24: 82,280
Sep '24: 76,543
Dec '24: 73,880
Mar '25: 70,112
Jun '25: 68,325
Sep '25: 67,317
Dec '25: 65,504
Mar '26: 63,242
Jun '26: 63,826

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

What happened next to similar setups

+21.0%typical 12-month return vs the marketAbove the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a bank, NBFC or insurer looked like CAPITAL SMALL FINANCE BANK LTD today on valuation, return on capital, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −10% to +37% vs the market, against +2% for all financial companies in the same months.
  • The analogs' median sat above that base rate (gap +18.9%, 80% range +15.0% to +23.8%), but the matches cluster in only 6 distinct 12-month windows.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−50%0%+50%+100%
MUTHOOTCAP · Jun 2025: −37.0% vs market
LTF · Mar 2021: −31.9% vs market
SURYODAY · Aug 2024: −30.9% vs market
INDOSTAR · Apr 2020: −28.4% vs market
TFCILTD · May 2021: −25.3% vs market
RECLTD · Jan 2021: −23.1% vs market
KTKBANK · Jan 2021: −21.6% vs market
REPCOHOME · Nov 2024: −18.5% vs market
PNBHOUSING · Apr 2021: −18.0% vs market
UNIONBANK · Apr 2024: −17.8% vs market
JSFB · Oct 2025: −15.2% vs market
LICHSGFIN · Jan 2024: −11.6% vs market
DHANBANK · Jul 2020: −11.0% vs market
BANKBARODA · May 2024: −7.7% vs market
RBLBANK · Jun 2024: −7.5% vs market
NORTHARC · Oct 2025: −1.8% vs market
GICHSGFIN · Aug 2022: +11.1% vs market
MASFIN · Dec 2024: +11.3% vs market
BANDHANBNK · Apr 2025: +13.0% vs market
CANFINHOME · Apr 2025: +13.4% vs market
M&MFIN · May 2025: +16.6% vs market
FEDERALBNK · Jun 2024: +17.8% vs market
FEDFINA · Feb 2025: +18.5% vs market
CSBBANK · Feb 2025: +19.1% vs market
BANKINDIA · May 2025: +20.1% vs market
HUDCO · Mar 2020: +22.0% vs market
CPCAP · Nov 2022: +22.6% vs market
IDFCFIRSTB · Jan 2025: +24.6% vs market
PFS · May 2020: +24.9% vs market
DCBBANK · Jun 2025: +27.3% vs market
SHRIRAMFIN · Apr 2023: +29.6% vs market
PNB · Jan 2022: +29.7% vs market
CUB · May 2024: +30.1% vs market
INDIANB · Jan 2021: +30.2% vs market
MANAPPURAM · May 2024: +34.6% vs market
CANBK · May 2023: +36.1% vs market
CHOLAHLDNG · Jun 2020: +37.2% vs market
EQUITASBNK · Jan 2023: +37.4% vs market
IRFC · Apr 2022: +44.3% vs market
SOUTHBANK · Feb 2025: +46.5% vs market
UJJIVANSFB · Jul 2025: +53.8% vs market
SATIN · Oct 2025: +61.2% vs market
TMB · Oct 2025: +69.6% vs market
PSB · Nov 2022: +72.2% vs market
MAHABANK · Oct 2022: +87.3% vs market
J&KBANK · Nov 2022: +109.5% vs market
UCOBANK · Jul 2022: +117.9% vs market
CENTRALBK · Sep 2022: +119.9% vs market
PAISALO · Apr 2020: +124.1% vs market
KARURVYSYA · Jun 2022: +131.1% vs market
Similar setups +21.0%All companies +2.1%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 5 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
+21.0%
All companies' median
+2.1%
Beat the market
68% vs 52%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 34 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EP/B12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
DCBBANK
Finance
Jun 2025 7x0.8x +5%−3% +27%
PFS
Finance
May 2020 3x0.3x −47%−51% +25%
HUDCO
Finance
Mar 2020 3x0.4x −56%−56% +22%
KTKBANK
Finance
Jan 2021 4x0.3x −11%−17% −22%
PSB
Finance
Nov 2022 14x1.0x +26%−4% +72%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EP/B12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
KARURVYSYA
Finance
Jun 2022 5x0.5x −13%−25% +131%
MAHABANK
Finance
Oct 2022 12x1.0x −2%−7% +87%
SATIN
Finance
Oct 2025 14x0.7x −3%−10% +61%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/B, ROE, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high and ROE. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to CAPITAL SMALL FINANCE BANK LTD. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-11-09. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 98,395 company-months from 2019 companies; financial: 5,659 company-months from 108 companies. 2349 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

What else looks like this?

Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.

Finance
68%similar
ROEmarket cap
Finance
55%similar
market capP/B
Finance
42%similar
market capP/B

Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.

What changed?

21 events since May '24

  1. OctValuationP/B fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (0.8x).
  2. OctPriceVolume reached 7.9x its 50-day median on 2026-10-06; price -5.6% that day.
  3. JulPriceVolume reached 7.4x its 50-day median on 2026-07-08; price -4.6% that day.
  4. JunValuationP/B fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (0.9x).
  5. JunPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Finance on EPS growth (from the 2nd quartile).
  6. MayPriceVolume reached 19.2x its 50-day median on 2026-05-08; price +7.0% that day.
  7. MarPriceFell 52% from the Feb 2024 peak to the Mar 2026 low.
  8. MarPeer rankMoved into the 2nd quartile of Finance on EPS growth (from the 3rd quartile).
Show 13 earlier events
  1. MarPriceVolume reached 19.6x its 50-day median on 2026-03-30; price -0.7% that day.
  2. FebValuationP/B fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (0.9x).
  3. DecInstitutionsFII + DII holding fell 3.9 pts over 2 quarters to 29.2%.
  4. DecPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Finance on EPS growth (from the 2nd quartile).
  5. OctPriceVolume reached 5.8x its 50-day median on 2025-10-27; price +0.3% that day.
  6. JulPriceVolume reached 34.4x its 50-day median on 2025-07-18; price +8.5% that day.
  7. AprPriceVolume reached 6.0x its 50-day median on 2025-04-29; price -3.5% that day.
  8. MarPriceVolume reached 11.5x its 50-day median on 2025-03-17; price -0.8% that day.
  9. FebDebtDebt / equity halved over 12 months to 0.39x.
  10. FebSharesShare count is up 32.4% over 12 months.
  11. JunPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Finance on ROE (from the top quartile).
  12. JunDebtDebt / equity fell below 1.0x (0.39x).
  13. MayPriceVolume reached 10.8x its 50-day median on 2024-05-03; price +6.6% that day.

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Monthly history34 months · 2024-02 to 2026-11
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEDebt / Equity
2026-118.2x₹1089 cr10.0%0.3x
2026-108.2x₹1089 cr10.0%0.3x
2026-098.7x₹1089 cr10.0%0.3x
2026-089.1x₹1048 cr10.0%0.3x
2026-079.4x₹1048 cr10.0%0.3x
2026-068.9x₹1048 cr10.0%0.3x
2026-059.2x₹1006 cr10.0%0.2x
2026-049.3x₹1006 cr10.0%0.2x
2026-037.3x₹1006 cr10.0%0.2x
2026-028.8x₹969 cr10.0%0.2x
2026-018.6x₹969 cr10.0%0.2x
2025-128.8x₹969 cr10.0%0.2x
2025-119.4x₹937 cr10.0%0.2x
2025-109.6x₹937 cr10.0%0.2x
2025-099.3x₹937 cr10.0%0.2x
2025-089.9x₹908 cr10.0%0.2x
2025-0710.4x₹908 cr10.0%0.2x
2025-0610.0x₹908 cr10.0%0.2x
2025-0510.7x₹881 cr12.0%0.4x
2025-0410.6x₹881 cr12.0%0.4x
2025-039.3x₹881 cr12.0%0.4x
2025-029.4x₹850 cr12.0%0.4x
2025-0110.6x₹850 cr12.0%0.4x
2024-1210.3x₹850 cr12.0%0.4x
2024-1111.3x₹823 cr12.0%0.4x
2024-1011.8x₹823 cr12.0%0.4x
2024-0912.3x₹823 cr12.0%0.4x
2024-0811.8x₹794 cr12.0%0.4x
2024-0713.7x₹794 cr12.0%0.4x
2024-0614.1x₹794 cr12.0%0.4x
2024-05—₹676 cr17.0%1.2x
2024-04—₹676 cr17.0%1.2x
2024-03—₹676 cr17.0%1.2x
2024-02—₹676 cr17.0%1.2x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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