Share price
₹328.75 latest close · −7.8% over the last 90 sessions
₹328.75 month-end · +0.7% over 12 months
₹328.75 month-end · +25.8% over 3 years
₹328.75 month-end · +182.4% since Jan '19
52-week range ₹292.05 to ₹414.40 · 1-year volatility 19.8%
Was the rally earned?
- The share price was roughly flat over 1 year (+1%).
- The share count fell 2%.
Mostly yes, with a catch.
- Per-share earnings added 56 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 15.0x to 11.5x), which took 30 points back.
- The share count barely moved.
Mostly yes.
- Per-share earnings added 107 points to the rise, while the multiple moved less (P/E 8.4x to 11.5x).
- The share count fell 2%.
What do "pts" mean?
"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.
Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.
Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.
How rough has the ride been?
Drawdown from peak
Largest drawdowns
-46.7% (2019-07 peak to 2020-03 low, recovered 2021-10)
-32.8% (2024-09 peak to 2026-10 low, not yet recovered)
-19.0% (2021-10 peak to 2021-12 low, recovered 2022-04)
Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).
Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?
Usual range 7.8x to 17.8x since 2019-01.
58% below the Utilities median.
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How to read this
Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dotted line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).
Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.
Where does it rank among Utilities peers?
Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Utilities peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).
Where it ranks today
- ROCE47th▼ 10 pts vs a year ago
- Op. margin66th▲ 3 pts vs a year ago
- Revenue growth28th▼ 10 pts vs a year ago
- EPS growth69th▲ 3 pts vs a year ago
- Debt/equity ↓33rd▲ 7 pts vs a year ago
- Cash cycle ↓43rd▼ 5 pts vs a year ago
- P/E ↓85thflat vs a year ago
- 12M momentum70th▲ 7 pts vs a year ago
Rank history
Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.
The Utilities sector page Watch it move against Utilities in the Observatory
What is the price implying?
At P/E of 11.5x, a holder earning 12%/yr needs earnings to grow about 6.1%/yr for 10 years, then trade at 15x.
Over time
Implied growth by month (solid) and delivered growth (dashed).
Change the assumptions
| Exit P/E / return | 11% | 12% | 13% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12x | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% |
| 15x | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% |
| 20x | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% |
Drag a slider to test other assumptions
Implied: 6.1%/yrLooking back
- Jan 2020Price implied 2%/yr; EPS has since grown 10%/yr (7.0 yrs)
- Jan 2021Price implied 1%/yr; EPS has since grown 15%/yr (6.0 yrs)
- Jan 2022Price implied 3%/yr; EPS has since grown 13%/yr (5.0 yrs)
Past comparisons cover only companies listed today (survivorship bias) and say nothing about future outcomes.
“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect. How this is calculated and the market-wide lists.
What prices imply across Utilities The market-wide Expectations lists
Key figures
- Share Priceclose 9 Nov
- ₹328.75
- P/E
- 11.5x
- ROCE
- 9.0%
- Market Cap
- ₹3.19L cr
- Revenue (TTM)
- ₹1.91L cr
- P/S
- 1.7x
- P/B
- 1.6x
- ROE
- 13.7%
- Operating Margin
- 32.0%
- Debt / Equity
- 1.3x
- Promoter Holding
- 51.1%
- 12M Momentum
- 0.7%
52-week range
Price risk
Balance sheet & cash
Are profits backed by cash?
Other income reliance30%Near threshold
Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 30.5%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.
Tax rate25%Within range
Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 25.0%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.
Cash conversion1.94xWithin range
Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 1.94x (cash from operations ₹1,41,489 cr, net profit ₹72,831 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.
Free cash flow5 of 5 yrsWithin range
Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 5. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.
Receivable days vs history+4 daysWithin range
Debtor days are above the median of the previous three fiscal years by 4 days (71 vs 67). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.
Capital work in progress27% of fixed assetsWithin range
Capital work-in-progress is 27% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.
Payable days—Not enough data
Not enough reported data to compute this.
Tap a check to see how it is measured
How to read this
Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.
Who has been buying and selling?
- Over 3 years, institutional and promoter holdings were broadly unchanged.
- The number of shareholders rose from 10.7 lakh to 32.0 lakh (+200%) between Sep 2023 and Jun 2026.
Holdings, Jun '26
How each group changed
Number of shareholders
Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.
What happened next to similar setups
- We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like NTPC LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
- Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −21% to +22% vs the market, against −7% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
- The gap against the base rate (+5.7%, 80% range −0.3% to +18.0%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.
Where the 50 outcomes landed
Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 3 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge
50 past situations · 50 companies · 30 months · 2020–2025
The closest matches
| Company | When | P/E | ROCE | 12M mom. | Drawdown | Next 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POWERGRID Utilities |
Dec 2022 | 9x | 11% | +5% | −13% | +19% |
| LT Industrial Services |
May 2022 | 20x | 10% | +13% | −20% | +22% |
| GRASIM Non-Energy Minerals |
May 2023 | 15x | 9% | +20% | −6% | −6% |
| M&M Consumer Durables |
Apr 2023 | 23x | 11% | +33% | −12% | +19% |
| TATAPOWER Utilities |
Aug 2025 | 30x | 11% | −14% | −23% | −14% |
Show the other 3 matches
How reliable is this?
Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: drawdown from 12-month high, 12-month momentum and P/S. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.
Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.
What else looks like this?
Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.
Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.
What changed?
30 events since Feb '19
- OctPriceFell 33% from the Sep 2024 peak to the Oct 2026 low.
- SepResultsRevenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹191,057 cr.
- AugPeer rankMoved into the 2nd quartile of Utilities on operating margin (from the 3rd quartile).
- JunPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Utilities on ROCE (from the 2nd quartile).
- JunPriceVolume reached 8.9x its 50-day median on 2025-06-24; price -0.8% that day.
- MarResultsRevenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹185,932 cr.
- DecPeer rankMoved into the 2nd quartile of Utilities on operating margin (from the 3rd quartile).
- JunResultsRevenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹178,525 cr.
Show 22 earlier events
- JunPriceVolume reached 6.2x its 50-day median on 2024-06-04; price -15.5% that day.
- AugPriceVolume reached 6.4x its 50-day median on 2023-08-01; price +3.1% that day.
- JunResultsRevenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹176,207 cr.
- JunValuationP/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (10.8x).
- AugPeer rankMoved into the 2nd quartile of Utilities on ROCE (from the 3rd quartile).
- JunResultsRevenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹132,669 cr.
- JunPeer rankSlipped to the 2nd quartile of Utilities on EPS growth (from the top quartile).
- MayPriceVolume reached 7.3x its 50-day median on 2022-05-31; price +3.4% that day.
- OctPriceRegained the 2019-07 peak, 19 months after the low.
- OctPriceVolume reached 6.2x its 50-day median on 2021-10-04; price +4.0% that day.
- SepPriceVolume reached 8.0x its 50-day median on 2021-09-29; price +6.6% that day.
- JunResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned positive.
- JunPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Utilities on ROCE (from the 2nd quartile).
- NovPriceVolume reached 6.7x its 50-day median on 2020-11-27; price +0.6% that day.
- AugPriceVolume reached 8.3x its 50-day median on 2020-08-17; price +7.8% that day.
- JunResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
- JunPeer rankMoved into the 2nd quartile of Utilities on ROCE (from the 3rd quartile).
- MarPriceFell 47% from the Jul 2019 peak to the Mar 2020 low.
- JanSharesShare count is up 20.0% over 12 months.
- JanPriceVolume reached 8.2x its 50-day median on 2020-01-31; price -0.7% that day.
- JunPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Utilities on ROCE (from the 2nd quartile).
- FebPriceVolume reached 5.7x its 50-day median on 2019-02-28; price +1.8% that day.
Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.
Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month
Monthly history60 months · 2021-12 to 2026-11
| Month | P/E | Revenue (TTM) | ROE | ROCE | Debt / Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 11.5x | ₹1.91L cr | 13.7% | 9.0% | 1.3x |
| 2026-10 | 11.0x | ₹1.91L cr | 13.9% | 9.0% | 1.3x |
| 2026-09 | 11.3x | ₹1.91L cr | 13.9% | 9.0% | 1.3x |
| 2026-08 | 11.7x | ₹1.87L cr | 13.6% | 9.0% | 1.3x |
| 2026-07 | 12.4x | ₹1.87L cr | 13.6% | 9.0% | 1.3x |
| 2026-06 | 12.8x | ₹1.87L cr | 13.6% | 9.0% | 1.3x |
| 2026-05 | 15.5x | ₹1.88L cr | 13.5% | 11.0% | 1.4x |
| 2026-04 | 16.0x | ₹1.88L cr | 13.5% | 11.0% | 1.4x |
| 2026-03 | 14.9x | ₹1.88L cr | 13.5% | 11.0% | 1.4x |
| 2026-02 | 15.6x | ₹1.87L cr | 13.3% | 11.0% | 1.4x |
| 2026-01 | 14.5x | ₹1.87L cr | 13.3% | 11.0% | 1.4x |
| 2025-12 | 13.5x | ₹1.87L cr | 13.3% | 11.0% | 1.4x |
| 2025-11 | 13.2x | ₹1.87L cr | 13.3% | 11.0% | 1.4x |
| 2025-10 | 13.6x | ₹1.87L cr | 13.3% | 11.0% | 1.4x |
| 2025-09 | 13.8x | ₹1.87L cr | 13.3% | 11.0% | 1.4x |
| 2025-08 | 13.6x | ₹1.88L cr | 13.0% | 11.0% | 1.4x |
| 2025-07 | 13.8x | ₹1.88L cr | 13.0% | 11.0% | 1.4x |
| 2025-06 | 13.9x | ₹1.88L cr | 13.0% | 11.0% | 1.4x |
| 2025-05 | 14.7x | ₹1.86L cr | 14.0% | 10.0% | 1.5x |
| 2025-04 | 15.6x | ₹1.86L cr | 14.0% | 10.0% | 1.5x |
| 2025-03 | 15.8x | ₹1.86L cr | 14.0% | 10.0% | 1.5x |
| 2025-02 | 13.7x | ₹1.84L cr | 14.1% | 10.0% | 1.5x |
| 2025-01 | 14.2x | ₹1.84L cr | 14.1% | 10.0% | 1.5x |
| 2024-12 | 14.6x | ₹1.84L cr | 14.1% | 10.0% | 1.5x |
| 2024-11 | 16.5x | ₹1.84L cr | 13.6% | 10.0% | 1.5x |
| 2024-10 | 18.5x | ₹1.84L cr | 13.6% | 10.0% | 1.5x |
| 2024-09 | 20.1x | ₹1.84L cr | 13.6% | 10.0% | 1.5x |
| 2024-08 | 19.4x | ₹1.79L cr | 13.3% | 10.0% | 1.5x |
| 2024-07 | 19.4x | ₹1.79L cr | 13.3% | 10.0% | 1.5x |
| 2024-06 | 17.6x | ₹1.79L cr | 13.3% | 10.0% | 1.5x |
| 2024-05 | 20.6x | ₹1.76L cr | 11.6% | 10.0% | 1.5x |
| 2024-04 | 20.8x | ₹1.76L cr | 11.6% | 10.0% | 1.5x |
| 2024-03 | 19.3x | ₹1.76L cr | 11.6% | 10.0% | 1.5x |
| 2024-02 | 19.2x | ₹1.76L cr | 11.6% | 10.0% | 1.5x |
| 2024-01 | 18.2x | ₹1.76L cr | 11.6% | 10.0% | 1.5x |
| 2023-12 | 17.8x | ₹1.76L cr | 11.6% | 10.0% | 1.5x |
| 2023-11 | 15.0x | ₹1.76L cr | 11.6% | 10.0% | 1.5x |
| 2023-10 | 13.5x | ₹1.76L cr | 11.6% | 10.0% | 1.5x |
| 2023-09 | 14.1x | ₹1.76L cr | 11.6% | 10.0% | 1.5x |
| 2023-08 | 12.6x | ₹1.76L cr | 11.6% | 10.0% | 1.5x |
| 2023-07 | 12.5x | ₹1.76L cr | 11.6% | 10.0% | 1.5x |
| 2023-06 | 10.8x | ₹1.76L cr | 11.6% | 10.0% | 1.5x |
| 2023-05 | 10.1x | ₹1.33L cr | 12.5% | 9.0% | 1.6x |
| 2023-04 | 10.0x | ₹1.33L cr | 12.5% | 9.0% | 1.6x |
| 2023-03 | 10.2x | ₹1.33L cr | 12.5% | 9.0% | 1.6x |
| 2023-02 | 9.9x | ₹1.33L cr | 12.5% | 9.0% | 1.6x |
| 2023-01 | 10.0x | ₹1.33L cr | 12.5% | 9.0% | 1.6x |
| 2022-12 | 9.7x | ₹1.33L cr | 12.5% | 9.0% | 1.6x |
| 2022-11 | 10.0x | ₹1.33L cr | 12.5% | 9.0% | 1.6x |
| 2022-10 | 10.1x | ₹1.33L cr | 12.5% | 9.0% | 1.6x |
| 2022-09 | 9.3x | ₹1.33L cr | 12.5% | 9.0% | 1.6x |
| 2022-08 | 9.5x | ₹1.33L cr | 12.5% | 9.0% | 1.6x |
| 2022-07 | 8.9x | ₹1.33L cr | 12.5% | 9.0% | 1.6x |
| 2022-06 | 8.3x | ₹1.33L cr | 12.5% | 9.0% | 1.6x |
| 2022-05 | 10.3x | ₹1.12L cr | 11.9% | 9.0% | 1.7x |
| 2022-04 | 10.4x | ₹1.12L cr | 11.9% | 9.0% | 1.7x |
| 2022-03 | 8.9x | ₹1.12L cr | 11.9% | 9.0% | 1.7x |
| 2022-02 | 8.8x | ₹1.12L cr | 11.9% | 9.0% | 1.7x |
| 2022-01 | 9.4x | ₹1.12L cr | 11.9% | 9.0% | 1.7x |
| 2021-12 | 8.2x | ₹1.12L cr | 11.9% | 9.0% | 1.7x |
Older months are in the live observatory.