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PASHUPATI COTSPIN LIMITED (PASHUPATI)

Process Industries

Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.42 / 100
Profitability 43Balance sheet 42
Momentum scoreHow strong the recent trend is: 3-month price change, 12-month improvement in earnings and the rise in FII + DII holding, among companies above ₹500 cr.73 / 100
Price 99Earnings 54FII/DII 67

Passes these screens: High Momentum · Near 52-week high

Share Price
₹134.60
P/E
134.6x
ROCE
10.0%
Market Cap
₹2119 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹699 cr
P/S
3.0x
P/B
12.9x
ROE
9.6%
Operating Margin
9.5%
Debt / Equity
0.6x
Promoter Holding
66.0%
12M Momentum
66.9%
P/E vs its own history100th percentilesince Jun '23
P/E vs Process Industries7.5xthe sector median

52-week range

₹67.50₹136.49
97% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
46.7%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
-0.13

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
3.0x
Cash from profit, 3Y
operating cash flow ÷ net profit
3.28x
Share count, 1Y
unchanged

Was the rally earned?

+67%share price, 1 yearMultiple-driven

Partly.

  • Most of the rise came from investors paying a higher multiple (P/E 80.7x to 134.6x); per-share earnings added 0 points.
  • The share count rose 2%.
1 year Net profit growth: +3 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).P/E change: +67 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.+67 ptsShare count change: -3 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. +67% 1 year Net profit growth: +3 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).P/E change: +67 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.+67 ptsShare count change: -3 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. +67%
Net profit growth+3 ptsNet profit rose about 2%, which lifts the price.
P/E change+67 ptsThe P/E rose from 80.7x to 134.6x, which lifts the price.
Share count change-3 ptsShare count rose 2%, which lowers the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Not shown for 3 years and 5 years: earnings were negative at one end, or there is not enough history.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare this with VARDHMAN TEXTILES LIMTED

Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?

134.6xP/E todayNear its historic high
Against its own history100th percentileMedian 88.9x; usual range 45.6x to 122.2x since 2023-06.
Against Process Industries134.6x vs 18.0xAbove the Process Industries median.
16.0x55.5x95.1x134.6xJun '23Feb '24Oct '24Jun '25Feb '26Oct '2616.0x55.5x95.1x134.6xJun '23Aug '24Oct '25Oct '26
P/E (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianProcess Industries median

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P/B (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianProcess Industries median

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P/S (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianProcess Industries median
How to read this

Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dashed line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).

Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.

All terms explained in the glossary →

How Process Industries is valued

What is the price implying?

~47%annual earnings growth implied by the price

At a P/E of 235.6x, the price would imply about 47.2%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.

Fewer than six years of annual earnings are available, which is too little to measure delivered growth.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Process Industries The market-wide Expectations lists

What changed?

  1. Oct '26Regained the 2026-03 peak, 0 months after the low.
  2. Oct '26Fell 32% from the Mar 2026 peak to the Oct 2026 low.
  3. Oct '26P/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (134.6x).
  4. Oct '26Volume reached 66.9x its 50-day median on 2026-10-27; price +5.2% that day.
  5. Sep '26Moved into the 3rd quartile of Process Industries on operating margin (from the bottom quartile).
  6. Sep '26Volume reached 93.1x its 50-day median on 2026-09-30; price -18.7% that day.
  7. Jun '26Year-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
  8. Jun '26P/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (131.7x).
Show 22 earlier events
  1. Jun '26Slipped to the bottom quartile of Process Industries on EPS growth (from the top quartile).
  2. Jun '26Started paying a dividend (payout 1% of profit).
  3. Apr '26Volume reached 64.4x its 50-day median on 2026-04-22; price +6.8% that day.
  4. Feb '26Volume reached 35.8x its 50-day median on 2026-02-12; price +3.4% that day.
  5. Nov '25Volume reached 8.6x its 50-day median on 2025-11-26; price -0.4% that day.
  6. Oct '25Slipped to the 3rd quartile of Process Industries on ROCE (from the 2nd quartile).
  7. Aug '25Slipped to the bottom quartile of Process Industries on operating margin (from the 3rd quartile).
  8. Aug '25Volume reached 54.5x its 50-day median on 2025-08-28; price -0.8% that day.
  9. Jun '25Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹793 cr.
  10. Jun '25Moved into the 2nd quartile of Process Industries on ROCE (from the 3rd quartile).
  11. Jun '25Debt / equity fell below 1.0x (0.74x).
  12. Jun '25Dividend payout cut from 14% to 0% of profit.
  13. Jun '25Share count is up 6.7% over 12 months.
  14. Jun '25Volume reached 13.6x its 50-day median on 2025-06-17; price +0.2% that day.
  15. Mar '25Promoter holding fell 2.2 pts to 67.8% (largest drop since 2024-12).
  16. Jan '25Volume reached 11.8x its 50-day median on 2025-01-01; price +0.4% that day.
  17. Dec '24Promoter holding fell 3.0 pts to 70.0%.
  18. Dec '24FII + DII holding rose 8.1 pts over 1 quarter to 8.5%.
  19. Nov '24Volume reached 40.1x its 50-day median on 2024-11-07; price -4.3% that day.
  20. Jun '24Dividend payout cut from 30% to 14% of profit.
  21. May '24Regained the 2022-05 peak, 1 month after the low.
  22. Apr '24Fell 50% from the May 2022 peak to the Apr 2024 low.

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Are profits backed by cash?

5 of 7 checks are within range, 1 near a threshold, 1 beyond a threshold.
Tap a check to see how it is measured.

Other income reliance37%Beyond threshold

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 36.5%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate26%Within range

Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 26.0%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.

Cash conversion3.28xWithin range

Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 3.28x (cash from operations ₹105 cr, net profit ₹32 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.

Free cash flow3 of 4 yrsNear threshold

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 4: 3. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history-4 daysWithin range

Debtor days are below the median of the previous three fiscal years by 4 days (28 vs 32). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.

Capital work in progress0% of fixed assetsWithin range

Capital work-in-progress is 0% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days+10 days / 2 yrsWithin range

Days payable changed by +10 over two years. Bands: rise of up to 30 days; more than 30 days.

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Over 3 years, FIIs added 12.5 pts; promoters trimmed 7.0 pts.
  • The number of shareholders rose from 129 to 2,038 (+1480%) between Mar 2023 and Jun 2026.

Holdings, Jun '26

How each group changed

GroupMar '23Jun '26Change
Promoters73.0%66.0%-7.1 pts
FIIs0.4%12.9%+12.5 pts
DIIs0.0%0.2%+0.2 pts
Public and others26.5%20.9%-5.6 pts

Number of shareholders

2,038shareholders+1480% since Mar '23
1297651k2k Mar '23Sep '24Mar '25Sep '25Mar '26Jun '26
Mar '23: 129
Sep '23: 131
Sep '24: 203
Dec '24: 212
Mar '25: 1,045
Jun '25: 756
Sep '25: 777
Dec '25: 794
Mar '26: 699
Jun '26: 2,038
1297651k2k Mar '23Dec '24Sep '25Jun '26
Mar '23: 129
Sep '23: 131
Sep '24: 203
Dec '24: 212
Mar '25: 1,045
Jun '25: 756
Sep '25: 777
Dec '25: 794
Mar '26: 699
Jun '26: 2,038

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-49.7%recovered 2024-05
1-year volatility46.7%annualised
Beta vs sector index-0.033-year daily, correlation -0.01
Volume spikes29last 90 sessions, 5x the 50-day median

Monthly share price

₹9₹51₹93₹135 Jun '23Feb '24Oct '24Jun '25Feb '26Oct '26
2023-06: ₹10.70
2023-08: ₹12.80
2023-11: ₹12.80
2023-12: ₹11.80
2024-01: ₹11.70
2024-02: ₹9.15
2024-03: ₹8.60
2024-04: ₹10.60
2024-05: ₹25.10
2024-06: ₹50.00
2024-07: ₹42.45
2024-08: ₹48.00
2024-09: ₹49.60
2024-10: ₹55.65
2024-11: ₹50.50
2024-12: ₹53.50
2025-01: ₹60.00
2025-02: ₹60.20
2025-03: ₹62.50
2025-04: ₹65.50
2025-05: ₹65.10
2025-06: ₹66.15
2025-07: ₹69.10
2025-08: ₹67.25
2025-09: ₹70.75
2025-10: ₹80.65
2025-11: ₹81.05
2025-12: ₹80.95
2026-01: ₹79.95
2026-02: ₹99.95
2026-03: ₹97.70
2026-04: ₹88.15
2026-05: ₹95.84
2026-06: ₹88.22
2026-07: ₹85.55
2026-08: ₹83.34
2026-09: ₹75.40
2026-10: ₹134.60
₹9₹51₹93₹135 Jun '23Aug '24Oct '25Oct '26
2023-06: ₹10.70
2023-08: ₹12.80
2023-11: ₹12.80
2023-12: ₹11.80
2024-01: ₹11.70
2024-02: ₹9.15
2024-03: ₹8.60
2024-04: ₹10.60
2024-05: ₹25.10
2024-06: ₹50.00
2024-07: ₹42.45
2024-08: ₹48.00
2024-09: ₹49.60
2024-10: ₹55.65
2024-11: ₹50.50
2024-12: ₹53.50
2025-01: ₹60.00
2025-02: ₹60.20
2025-03: ₹62.50
2025-04: ₹65.50
2025-05: ₹65.10
2025-06: ₹66.15
2025-07: ₹69.10
2025-08: ₹67.25
2025-09: ₹70.75
2025-10: ₹80.65
2025-11: ₹81.05
2025-12: ₹80.95
2026-01: ₹79.95
2026-02: ₹99.95
2026-03: ₹97.70
2026-04: ₹88.15
2026-05: ₹95.84
2026-06: ₹88.22
2026-07: ₹85.55
2026-08: ₹83.34
2026-09: ₹75.40
2026-10: ₹134.60

Last 90 trading days

₹69₹91₹113₹135 Jun 23Jul 20Aug 13Sep 8Oct 6Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹86.97
2026-06-25: ₹86.95
2026-06-30: ₹88.22
2026-07-02: ₹87.72
2026-07-06: ₹87.55
2026-07-08: ₹88.17
2026-07-10: ₹87.48
2026-07-14: ₹87.52
2026-07-16: ₹87.07
2026-07-20: ₹87.22
2026-07-22: ₹86.69
2026-07-24: ₹87.09
2026-07-28: ₹86.48
2026-07-30: ₹86.24
2026-08-03: ₹85.32
2026-08-05: ₹84.63
2026-08-07: ₹83.97
2026-08-11: ₹84.15
2026-08-13: ₹84.23
2026-08-17: ₹84.79
2026-08-19: ₹86.31
2026-08-21: ₹87.26
2026-08-25: ₹86.34
2026-08-27: ₹84.17
2026-08-31: ₹83.34
2026-09-02: ₹83.06
2026-09-04: ₹81.94
2026-09-08: ₹81.02
2026-09-10: ₹80.24
2026-09-15: ₹80.04
2026-09-17: ₹81.37
2026-09-21: ₹80.19
2026-09-23: ₹80.39
2026-09-25: ₹79.69
2026-09-29: ₹92.72
2026-10-01: ₹78.99
2026-10-06: ₹69.91
2026-10-08: ₹69.68
2026-10-12: ₹68.57
2026-10-14: ₹76.48
2026-10-16: ₹85.09
2026-10-21: ₹94.17
2026-10-23: ₹104.31
2026-10-27: ₹115.58
2026-10-29: ₹127.83
2026-10-30: ₹134.60
₹69₹91₹113₹135 Jun 23Aug 5Sep 17Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹86.97
2026-06-25: ₹86.95
2026-06-30: ₹88.22
2026-07-02: ₹87.72
2026-07-06: ₹87.55
2026-07-08: ₹88.17
2026-07-10: ₹87.48
2026-07-14: ₹87.52
2026-07-16: ₹87.07
2026-07-20: ₹87.22
2026-07-22: ₹86.69
2026-07-24: ₹87.09
2026-07-28: ₹86.48
2026-07-30: ₹86.24
2026-08-03: ₹85.32
2026-08-05: ₹84.63
2026-08-07: ₹83.97
2026-08-11: ₹84.15
2026-08-13: ₹84.23
2026-08-17: ₹84.79
2026-08-19: ₹86.31
2026-08-21: ₹87.26
2026-08-25: ₹86.34
2026-08-27: ₹84.17
2026-08-31: ₹83.34
2026-09-02: ₹83.06
2026-09-04: ₹81.94
2026-09-08: ₹81.02
2026-09-10: ₹80.24
2026-09-15: ₹80.04
2026-09-17: ₹81.37
2026-09-21: ₹80.19
2026-09-23: ₹80.39
2026-09-25: ₹79.69
2026-09-29: ₹92.72
2026-10-01: ₹78.99
2026-10-06: ₹69.91
2026-10-08: ₹69.68
2026-10-12: ₹68.57
2026-10-14: ₹76.48
2026-10-16: ₹85.09
2026-10-21: ₹94.17
2026-10-23: ₹104.31
2026-10-27: ₹115.58
2026-10-29: ₹127.83
2026-10-30: ₹134.60

Drawdown from peak

0% -25% -49% Mar '19Jan '23Oct '26 0% -25% -49% Mar '19Jan '23Oct '26
Largest drawdowns

-49.7% (2022-05 peak to 2024-04 low, recovered 2024-05)

-43.1% (2019-09 peak to 2020-03 low, recovered 2020-07)

-32.4% (2026-03 peak to 2026-10 low, recovered 2026-10)

Most recent volume spikes

2026-10-30: 47.4x the 50-day median, price +5.3% that day

2026-10-29: 41.6x the 50-day median, price +5.1% that day

2026-10-28: 33.7x the 50-day median, price +5.2% that day

Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).

Where does it rank among Process Industries peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Process Industries peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

ROCE
Op. margin
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Nov '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Oct '26
Lower rank Higher rank

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Process Industries sector page Watch it move against Process Industries in the Observatory

What else looks like this?

Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.

CompanySectorSimilarityClosest on
HLE GLASCOAT (HLEGLAS)Producer Manufacturing69%promoter holding, debt/equity
B L KASHYAP AND SONS (BLKASHYAP)Industrial Services64%debt/equity, P/E
YUKEN INDIA (YUKEN)Producer Manufacturing63%P/E, market cap
ARFIN INDIA (ARFIN)Non-Energy Minerals61%revenue, P/E
FISCHER MEDICAL VENTURES (FISCHER)Health Services60%market cap, ROCE
AYM SYNTEX (AYMSYNTEX)Process Industries60%promoter holding, operating margin
ORIENTAL AROMATICS (OAL)Process Industries60%debt/equity, market cap
GODAVARI BIOREFINERIES (GODAVARIB)Process Industries54%debt/equity, P/E

Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.

What happened next to similar setups

−2.5%typical 12-month return vs the marketNot meaningfully different from the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like PASHUPATI COTSPIN LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −32% to +33% vs the market, against −5% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The gap against the base rate (+2.7%, 80% range −9.5% to +15.0%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
GANECOS · Nov 2024: −63.2% vs market
HIKAL · Mar 2025: −62.2% vs market
ORIENTCEM · Apr 2025: −61.5% vs market
SAGARDEEP · May 2020: −54.0% vs market
POKARNA · Jan 2022: −52.8% vs market
IRISDOREME · Jun 2023: −46.8% vs market
ASIANTILES · Feb 2020: −44.4% vs market
ATALREAL · Oct 2025: −43.3% vs market
ASALCBR · Jan 2025: −38.7% vs market
BUTTERFLY · Sep 2022: −35.4% vs market
DECCANCE · Jun 2025: −34.9% vs market
ORIENTHOT · Oct 2024: −34.0% vs market
TDPOWERSYS · Feb 2020: −32.6% vs market
GRMOVER · Oct 2025: −31.8% vs market
SIYSIL · Apr 2022: −25.0% vs market
DYNAMATECH · Mar 2024: −19.6% vs market
KOKUYOCMLN · Jul 2023: −19.3% vs market
INDIACEM · Nov 2020: −17.7% vs market
PSPPROJECT · Oct 2025: −15.8% vs market
BANARISUG · Apr 2025: −15.0% vs market
CANTABIL · Apr 2022: −14.7% vs market
SANGAMIND · Oct 2021: −6.2% vs market
PRECWIRE · Sep 2023: −3.5% vs market
AVALON · Nov 2024: −3.4% vs market
STYRENIX · Jan 2020: −2.6% vs market
ARVSMART · Mar 2024: −2.4% vs market
MINDACORP · Feb 2022: −1.5% vs market
BLKASHYAP · Sep 2023: +2.0% vs market
EIFFL · Apr 2025: +3.0% vs market
VRLLOG · May 2022: +5.7% vs market
ABREL · Mar 2024: +16.0% vs market
PRICOLLTD · Apr 2023: +17.0% vs market
SOMANYCERA · May 2021: +19.0% vs market
JINDWORLD · Jan 2022: +21.8% vs market
PREMEXPLN · Oct 2023: +23.0% vs market
GLENMARK · Jun 2023: +24.3% vs market
RKFORGE · Apr 2021: +31.1% vs market
PUNJABCHEM · Jan 2021: +33.6% vs market
VADILALIND · May 2022: +39.1% vs market
BECTORFOOD · Apr 2023: +39.8% vs market
AKASH · May 2020: +43.9% vs market
POWERINDIA · Apr 2024: +49.2% vs market
MBAPL · May 2025: +52.7% vs market
LAURUSLABS · Jan 2025: +55.7% vs market
PARIN · Mar 2025: +59.2% vs market
ESTER · Jun 2020: +61.1% vs market
SCHNEIDER · Sep 2022: +69.9% vs market
BSHSL · Sep 2022: +86.3% vs market
SHAILY · Apr 2024: +137.1% vs market
SHAKTIPUMP · Apr 2024: +150.4% vs market
Similar setups −2.5%All companies −5.2%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 2 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
−2.5%
All companies' median
−5.2%
Beat the market
46% vs 44%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 29 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
EIFFL
Consumer Non-Durables
Apr 2025 192x6% +66%0% +3%
VRLLOG
Transportation
May 2022 127x10% +151%0% +6%
CANTABIL
Consumer Non-Durables
Apr 2022 204x10% +224%−1% −15%
MBAPL
Process Industries
May 2025 67x12% +47%0% +53%
SOMANYCERA
Producer Manufacturing
May 2021 133x7% +354%0% +19%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
INDIACEM
Non-Energy Minerals
Nov 2020 98x4% +97%0% −18%
GANECOS
Process Industries
Nov 2024 98x8% +140%0% −63%
PSPPROJECT
Industrial Services
Oct 2025 166x9% +54%−1% −16%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: interest cover, ROCE and P/S. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to PASHUPATI COTSPIN LIMITED. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-10-30. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 97,430 company-months from 2000 companies; financial: 5,632 company-months from 106 companies. 2240 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.
Monthly history (41 months)
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-10134.6x₹699 cr9.6%10.0%0.6x
2026-0975.4x₹699 cr9.6%10.0%0.6x
2026-08124.4x₹688 cr6.4%10.0%0.6x
2026-07127.7x₹688 cr6.4%10.0%0.6x
2026-06131.7x₹688 cr6.4%10.0%0.6x
2026-0594.0x₹646 cr10.3%11.0%0.7x
2026-0486.4x₹646 cr10.3%11.0%0.7x
2026-0395.8x₹646 cr10.3%11.0%0.7x
2026-02109.8x₹652 cr9.1%11.0%0.7x
2026-0187.9x₹652 cr9.1%11.0%0.7x
2025-1289.0x₹652 cr9.1%11.0%0.7x
2025-1181.0x₹756 cr9.9%11.0%0.7x
2025-1080.7x₹756 cr9.9%11.0%0.7x
2025-0970.8x₹756 cr9.9%11.0%0.7x
2025-0865.9x₹793 cr10.2%11.0%0.7x
2025-0767.7x₹793 cr10.2%11.0%0.7x
2025-0664.9x₹793 cr10.2%11.0%0.7x
2025-05120.6x₹661 cr6.8%10.0%1.3x
2025-04121.3x₹661 cr6.8%10.0%1.3x
2025-03115.7x₹661 cr6.8%10.0%1.3x
2025-02111.5x₹661 cr6.8%10.0%1.3x
2025-01111.1x₹661 cr6.8%10.0%1.3x
2024-1299.1x₹661 cr6.8%10.0%1.3x
2024-1193.5x₹661 cr6.8%10.0%1.3x
2024-10103.1x₹661 cr6.8%10.0%1.3x
2024-0991.9x₹661 cr6.8%10.0%1.3x
2024-0888.9x₹661 cr6.8%10.0%1.3x
2024-0778.6x₹661 cr6.8%10.0%1.3x
2024-0692.6x₹661 cr6.8%10.0%1.3x
2024-05100.4x₹443 cr3.3%—1.6x
2024-0442.4x₹443 cr3.3%—1.6x
2024-0334.4x₹443 cr3.3%—1.6x
2024-0236.6x₹443 cr3.3%—1.6x
2024-0146.8x₹443 cr3.3%—1.6x
2023-1247.2x₹443 cr3.3%—1.6x
2023-1151.2x₹443 cr3.3%—1.6x
2023-10—————
2023-09—————
2023-0851.2x₹443 cr3.3%—1.6x
2023-07—————
2023-0642.8x₹443 cr3.3%—1.6x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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