Share price
₹323.8 latest close · +36.5% over the last 90 sessions
₹323.8 month-end · +19.4% over 12 months
₹323.8 month-end · −8.7% over 3 years
₹323.8 month-end · +136.8% since Jan '19
52-week range ₹225.00 to ₹348.25 · 1-year volatility 34.4%
Was the rally earned?
Mostly yes, with a catch.
- Per-share earnings added 21 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 21.6x to 21.2x), which took 2 points back.
- The share count barely moved.
Mostly earnings.
- Per-share earnings took off 17 points, while the multiple moved less (P/E 19.4x to 21.2x).
- The share count barely moved.
Mostly yes, with a catch.
- Per-share earnings added 215 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 89.1x to 21.2x), which took 172 points back.
- The share count barely moved.
What do "pts" mean?
"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.
Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.
Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.
How rough has the ride been?
Drawdown from peak
Largest drawdowns
-57.0% (2019-05 peak to 2020-03 low, recovered 2021-07)
-44.4% (2023-12 peak to 2025-01 low, not yet recovered)
-28.7% (2022-07 peak to 2023-02 low, recovered 2023-05)
Most recent volume spikes
2026-11-09: 43.8x the 50-day median, price +1.8% that day
2026-11-06: 28.2x the 50-day median, price +8.5% that day
2026-11-05: 18.7x the 50-day median, price -5.6% that day
Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).
Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?
Usual range 16.3x to 71.8x since 2019-01.
33% above the Transportation median.
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How to read this
Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dotted line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).
Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.
Where does it rank among Transportation peers?
Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Transportation peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).
Where it ranks today
- ROCE80th▲ 12 pts vs a year ago
- Op. margin68th▲ 5 pts vs a year ago
- Revenue growth34th▼ 13 pts vs a year ago
- EPS growth64th▼ 34 pts vs a year ago
- Debt/equity ↓29th▲ 7 pts vs a year ago
- Cash cycle ↓93rd▲ 4 pts vs a year ago
- P/E ↓42nd▼ 5 pts vs a year ago
- 12M momentum84th▲ 10 pts vs a year ago
Rank history
Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.
The Transportation sector page Watch it move against Transportation in the Observatory
What is the price implying?
At normalised P/E (five-year average earnings) of 28.6x, a holder earning 12%/yr needs earnings to grow about 17.3%/yr for 10 years, then trade at 15x.
Over time
Implied growth by month (solid) and delivered growth (dashed).
Change the assumptions
| Exit P/E / return | 11% | 12% | 13% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12x | 18.6% | 19.6% | 20.7% |
| 15x | 16.3% | 17.3% | 18.4% |
| 20x | 13.3% | 14.3% | 15.3% |
Drag a slider to test other assumptions
Implied: 17.3%/yrLooking back
- Jan 2020Price implied 17%/yr; EPS has since grown 15%/yr (7.0 yrs)
- Jan 2021Price implied 12%/yr; EPS has since grown 18%/yr (6.0 yrs)
- Jan 2022Price implied 24%/yr; EPS has since grown 40%/yr (5.0 yrs)
Past comparisons cover only companies listed today (survivorship bias) and say nothing about future outcomes.
“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect. How this is calculated and the market-wide lists.
What prices imply across Transportation The market-wide Expectations lists
Key figures
- Share Priceclose 9 Nov
- ₹323.80
- P/E
- 21.2x
- ROCE
- 18.0%
- Market Cap
- ₹5663 cr
- Revenue (TTM)
- ₹3356 cr
- P/S
- 1.7x
- P/B
- 5.0x
- ROE
- 23.4%
- Operating Margin
- 21.0%
- Debt / Equity
- 1.0x
- Promoter Holding
- 60.2%
- 12M Momentum
- 19.4%
52-week range
Price risk
Balance sheet & cash
Are profits backed by cash?
Other income reliance6%Within range
Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 6.4%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.
Tax rate26%Within range
Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 26.0%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.
Cash conversion3.21xWithin range
Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 3.21x (cash from operations ₹1,633 cr, net profit ₹509 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.
Free cash flow4 of 5 yrsWithin range
Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 4. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.
Receivable days vs history-1 daysWithin range
Debtor days are below the median of the previous three fiscal years by 1 days (10 vs 11). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.
Capital work in progress1% of fixed assetsWithin range
Capital work-in-progress is 1% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.
Payable days—Not enough data
Not enough reported data to compute this.
Tap a check to see how it is measured
How to read this
Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.
Who has been buying and selling?
- Over 2 years, DIIs trimmed 3.2 pts.
- The number of shareholders rose from 58,744 to 80,971 (+38%) between Dec 2023 and Jun 2026.
Holdings, Jun '26
How each group changed
Number of shareholders
Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.
What happened next to similar setups
- We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like VRL LOGISTICS LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
- Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −22% to +23% vs the market, against −4% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
- The gap against the base rate (−7.7%, 80% range −14.8% to +2.2%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.
Where the 50 outcomes landed
Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 2 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge
50 past situations · 50 companies · 36 months · 2020–2025
The closest matches
| Company | When | P/E | ROCE | 12M mom. | Drawdown | Next 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCPLPACK Commercial Services |
Aug 2024 | 30x | 19% | +74% | 0% | +9% |
| JKLAKSHMI Non-Energy Minerals |
Dec 2022 | 21x | 19% | +41% | −7% | −13% |
| CESC Utilities |
Apr 2020 | 7x | 14% | −6% | −22% | −42% |
| ROHLTD Consumer Services |
Jul 2025 | 25x | 17% | +18% | −3% | −30% |
| PNCINFRA Industrial Services |
Sep 2021 | 20x | 17% | +145% | 0% | −31% |
Show the other 3 matches
How reliable is this?
Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: 12-month momentum, P/S and interest cover. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.
Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.
What else looks like this?
Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.
Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.
What changed?
30 events since May '23
- NovPriceVolume reached 119.6x its 50-day median on 2026-11-03; price +6.0% that day.
- SepPeer rankSlipped to the 2nd quartile of Transportation on EPS growth (from the top quartile).
- AugPriceVolume reached 41.3x its 50-day median on 2026-08-04; price +3.0% that day.
- JunResultsRevenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹3,221 cr.
- JunPeer rankMoved into the top quartile of Transportation on ROCE (from the 2nd quartile).
- FebPriceVolume reached 12.7x its 50-day median on 2026-02-27; price -3.6% that day.
- NovPriceVolume reached 10.5x its 50-day median on 2025-11-04; price -3.8% that day.
- AugPeer rankSlipped to the 2nd quartile of Transportation on operating margin (from the top quartile).
Show 22 earlier events
- AugPriceVolume reached 8.7x its 50-day median on 2025-08-06; price -5.5% that day.
- JunResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned positive.
- JunPeer rankMoved into the 2nd quartile of Transportation on ROCE (from the 3rd quartile).
- JunDividendStarted paying a dividend (payout 72% of profit).
- MayPriceVolume reached 80.1x its 50-day median on 2025-05-22; price +5.3% that day.
- FebPriceVolume reached 65.7x its 50-day median on 2025-02-06; price +11.4% that day.
- JanPriceFell 44% from the Dec 2023 peak to the Jan 2025 low.
- NovPriceVolume reached 9.7x its 50-day median on 2024-11-14; price -3.3% that day.
- SepPriceVolume reached 41.1x its 50-day median on 2024-09-03; price +15.7% that day.
- JunResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
- JunPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Transportation on ROCE (from the 2nd quartile).
- JunDebtDebt / equity rose above 1.0x (1.10x).
- JunDividendDividend payout cut from 14% to 0% of profit.
- JunPriceVolume reached 14.2x its 50-day median on 2024-06-26; price +0.4% that day.
- MarPriceVolume reached 7.0x its 50-day median on 2024-03-07; price -1.9% that day.
- FebValuationP/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (15.9x).
- OctPriceVolume reached 5.9x its 50-day median on 2023-10-12; price -1.6% that day.
- JulPriceVolume reached 7.9x its 50-day median on 2023-07-14; price +4.6% that day.
- JunResultsRevenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹2,649 cr.
- JunPeer rankSlipped to the 2nd quartile of Transportation on ROCE (from the top quartile).
- JunDividendDividend payout cut from 44% to 14% of profit.
- MayPriceRegained the 2022-07 peak, 3 months after the low.
Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.
Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month
Monthly history60 months · 2021-12 to 2026-11
| Month | P/E | Revenue (TTM) | ROE | ROCE | Debt / Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 21.2x | ₹3356 cr | 23.4% | 18.0% | 1.0x |
| 2026-10 | 17.0x | ₹3356 cr | 23.4% | 18.0% | 1.0x |
| 2026-09 | 18.8x | ₹3356 cr | 23.4% | 18.0% | 1.0x |
| 2026-08 | 22.4x | ₹3221 cr | 20.7% | 18.0% | 1.0x |
| 2026-07 | 19.6x | ₹3221 cr | 20.7% | 18.0% | 1.0x |
| 2026-06 | 17.4x | ₹3221 cr | 20.7% | 18.0% | 1.0x |
| 2026-05 | 17.1x | ₹3177 cr | 22.0% | 16.0% | 1.1x |
| 2026-04 | 18.5x | ₹3177 cr | 22.0% | 16.0% | 1.1x |
| 2026-03 | 17.1x | ₹3177 cr | 22.0% | 16.0% | 1.1x |
| 2026-02 | 20.8x | ₹3175 cr | 21.5% | 16.0% | 1.1x |
| 2026-01 | 20.2x | ₹3175 cr | 21.5% | 16.0% | 1.1x |
| 2025-12 | 20.1x | ₹3175 cr | 21.5% | 16.0% | 1.1x |
| 2025-11 | 21.6x | ₹3177 cr | 20.2% | 16.0% | 1.1x |
| 2025-10 | 22.3x | ₹3177 cr | 20.2% | 16.0% | 1.1x |
| 2025-09 | 21.8x | ₹3177 cr | 20.2% | 16.0% | 1.1x |
| 2025-08 | 25.2x | ₹3160 cr | 16.8% | 16.0% | 1.1x |
| 2025-07 | 29.7x | ₹3160 cr | 16.8% | 16.0% | 1.1x |
| 2025-06 | 27.6x | ₹3160 cr | 16.8% | 16.0% | 1.1x |
| 2025-05 | 38.2x | ₹3119 cr | 13.8% | 11.0% | 1.1x |
| 2025-04 | 30.8x | ₹3119 cr | 13.8% | 11.0% | 1.1x |
| 2025-03 | 31.8x | ₹3119 cr | 13.8% | 11.0% | 1.1x |
| 2025-02 | 46.7x | ₹3031 cr | 9.0% | 11.0% | 1.1x |
| 2025-01 | 48.8x | ₹3031 cr | 9.0% | 11.0% | 1.1x |
| 2024-12 | 52.3x | ₹3031 cr | 9.0% | 11.0% | 1.1x |
| 2024-11 | 69.4x | ₹2941 cr | 7.3% | 11.0% | 1.1x |
| 2024-10 | 71.4x | ₹2941 cr | 7.3% | 11.0% | 1.1x |
| 2024-09 | 72.1x | ₹2941 cr | 7.3% | 11.0% | 1.1x |
| 2024-08 | 52.1x | ₹2888 cr | 9.5% | 11.0% | 1.1x |
| 2024-07 | 56.7x | ₹2888 cr | 9.5% | 11.0% | 1.1x |
| 2024-06 | 55.5x | ₹2888 cr | 9.5% | 11.0% | 1.1x |
| 2024-05 | 15.0x | ₹2649 cr | 33.1% | 18.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-04 | 15.3x | ₹2649 cr | 33.1% | 18.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-03 | 15.0x | ₹2649 cr | 33.1% | 18.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-02 | 15.9x | ₹2649 cr | 33.1% | 18.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-01 | 20.4x | ₹2649 cr | 33.1% | 18.0% | 0.7x |
| 2023-12 | 21.1x | ₹2649 cr | 33.1% | 18.0% | 0.7x |
| 2023-11 | 19.4x | ₹2649 cr | 33.1% | 18.0% | 0.7x |
| 2023-10 | 18.2x | ₹2649 cr | 33.1% | 18.0% | 0.7x |
| 2023-09 | 19.7x | ₹2649 cr | 33.1% | 18.0% | 0.7x |
| 2023-08 | 18.4x | ₹2649 cr | 33.1% | 18.0% | 0.7x |
| 2023-07 | 20.1x | ₹2649 cr | 33.1% | 18.0% | 0.7x |
| 2023-06 | 19.5x | ₹2649 cr | 33.1% | 18.0% | 0.7x |
| 2023-05 | 41.1x | ₹2164 cr | 24.6% | 22.0% | 0.8x |
| 2023-04 | 34.8x | ₹2164 cr | 24.6% | 22.0% | 0.8x |
| 2023-03 | 34.9x | ₹2164 cr | 24.6% | 22.0% | 0.8x |
| 2023-02 | 30.2x | ₹2164 cr | 24.6% | 22.0% | 0.8x |
| 2023-01 | 29.6x | ₹2164 cr | 24.6% | 22.0% | 0.8x |
| 2022-12 | 29.9x | ₹2164 cr | 24.6% | 22.0% | 0.8x |
| 2022-11 | 30.8x | ₹2164 cr | 24.6% | 22.0% | 0.8x |
| 2022-10 | 33.5x | ₹2164 cr | 24.6% | 22.0% | 0.8x |
| 2022-09 | 33.7x | ₹2164 cr | 24.6% | 22.0% | 0.8x |
| 2022-08 | 34.3x | ₹2164 cr | 24.6% | 22.0% | 0.8x |
| 2022-07 | 34.5x | ₹2164 cr | 24.6% | 22.0% | 0.8x |
| 2022-06 | 34.5x | ₹2164 cr | 24.6% | 22.0% | 0.8x |
| 2022-05 | 126.7x | ₹1763 cr | 7.5% | 10.0% | 0.7x |
| 2022-04 | 111.6x | ₹1763 cr | 7.5% | 10.0% | 0.7x |
| 2022-03 | 96.9x | ₹1763 cr | 7.5% | 10.0% | 0.7x |
| 2022-02 | 89.8x | ₹1763 cr | 7.5% | 10.0% | 0.7x |
| 2022-01 | 87.1x | ₹1763 cr | 7.5% | 10.0% | 0.7x |
| 2021-12 | 84.0x | ₹1763 cr | 7.5% | 10.0% | 0.7x |
Older months are in the live observatory.