Share price
₹861.45 latest close · −7.5% over the last 90 sessions
₹861.45 month-end · −21.2% over 12 months
₹861.45 month-end · +0.3% over 3 years
₹861.45 month-end · +210.2% since Jan '19
52-week range ₹797.00 to ₹1224.00 · 1-year volatility 29.9%
Was the rally earned?
Earnings helped, the multiple did not.
- Per-share earnings added 6 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 19.6x to 14.5x), which took 27 points back.
- The share count barely moved.
- The share price was roughly flat over 3 years (+0%).
- The share count fell 2%.
Mostly yes, with a catch.
- Per-share earnings added 128 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 36.0x to 14.5x), which took 102 points back.
- The share count fell 2%.
What do "pts" mean?
"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.
Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.
Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.
How rough has the ride been?
Drawdown from peak
Largest drawdowns
-58.3% (2019-03 peak to 2020-03 low, recovered 2021-05)
-36.3% (2024-12 peak to 2026-09 low, not yet recovered)
-36.0% (2022-01 peak to 2022-03 low, recovered 2023-11)
Most recent volume spikes
2026-10-27: 5.2x the 50-day median, price +0.2% that day
2026-09-30: 6.8x the 50-day median, price +0.4% that day
2026-09-29: 19.6x the 50-day median, price +0.4% that day
Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).
Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?
Usual range 13.2x to 23.8x since 2019-01.
9% below the Transportation median.
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How to read this
Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dotted line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).
Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.
Where does it rank among Transportation peers?
Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Transportation peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).
Where it ranks today
- ROCE85th▲ 4 pts vs a year ago
- Op. margin47thflat vs a year ago
- Revenue growth42nd▼ 14 pts vs a year ago
- EPS growth50th▼ 20 pts vs a year ago
- Debt/equity ↓82nd▼ 3 pts vs a year ago
- Cash cycle ↓60th▲ 8 pts vs a year ago
- P/E ↓60th▲ 4 pts vs a year ago
- 12M momentum28th▼ 52 pts vs a year ago
Rank history
Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.
The Transportation sector page Watch it move against Transportation in the Observatory
What is the price implying?
At normalised P/E (five-year average earnings) of 18.1x, a holder earning 12%/yr needs earnings to grow about 13.0%/yr for 10 years, then trade at 15x.
Over time
Implied growth by month (solid) and delivered growth (dashed).
Change the assumptions
| Exit P/E / return | 11% | 12% | 13% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12x | 14.4% | 15.4% | 16.4% |
| 15x | 12.0% | 13.0% | 14.0% |
| 20x | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.9% |
Drag a slider to test other assumptions
Implied: 13.0%/yrLooking back
- Jan 2020Price implied 15%/yr; EPS has since grown 18%/yr (7.0 yrs)
- Jan 2021Price implied 12%/yr; EPS has since grown 22%/yr (6.0 yrs)
- Jan 2022Price implied 24%/yr; EPS has since grown 25%/yr (5.0 yrs)
Past comparisons cover only companies listed today (survivorship bias) and say nothing about future outcomes.
“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect. How this is calculated and the market-wide lists.
What prices imply across Transportation The market-wide Expectations lists
Key figures
- Share Priceclose 9 Nov
- ₹861.45
- P/E
- 14.5x
- ROCE
- 19.0%
- Market Cap
- ₹6618 cr
- Revenue (TTM)
- ₹5026 cr
- P/S
- 1.3x
- P/B
- 2.6x
- ROE
- 17.8%
- Operating Margin
- 11.0%
- Debt / Equity
- 0.1x
- Promoter Holding
- 68.7%
- 12M Momentum
- -21.2%
52-week range
Price risk
Balance sheet & cash
Are profits backed by cash?
Other income reliance26%Near threshold
Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 25.6%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.
Tax rate9%Near threshold
Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 9.0%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.
Cash conversion0.90xWithin range
Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 0.90x (cash from operations ₹1,102 cr, net profit ₹1,230 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.
Free cash flow5 of 5 yrsWithin range
Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 5. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.
Receivable days vs history+7 daysWithin range
Debtor days are above the median of the previous three fiscal years by 7 days (61 vs 54). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.
Capital work in progress29% of fixed assetsWithin range
Capital work-in-progress is 29% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.
Payable days—Not enough data
Not enough reported data to compute this.
Tap a check to see how it is measured
How to read this
Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.
Who has been buying and selling?
- Over 3 years, institutional and promoter holdings were broadly unchanged.
- The number of shareholders rose from 42,383 to 48,535 (+15%) between Sep 2023 and Jun 2026.
Holdings, Jun '26
How each group changed
Number of shareholders
Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.
What happened next to similar setups
- We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like TRANSPORT CORPORATION OF INDIA today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
- Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −22% to +31% vs the market, against −4% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
- The gap against the base rate (−2.1%, 80% range −7.5% to +5.2%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.
Where the 50 outcomes landed
Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 3 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge
50 past situations · 50 companies · 33 months · 2020–2025
The closest matches
| Company | When | P/E | ROCE | 12M mom. | Drawdown | Next 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHRIPISTON Producer Manufacturing |
May 2020 | 8x | 20% | −48% | −51% | −15% |
| CYIENT Technology Services |
Aug 2020 | 13x | 17% | −8% | −21% | +58% |
| GALAXYSURF Consumer Non-Durables |
Aug 2025 | 26x | 16% | −23% | −32% | −8% |
| GODFRYPHLP Consumer Non-Durables |
Feb 2022 | 14x | 15% | +14% | −25% | +75% |
| ARE&M Producer Manufacturing |
Sep 2025 | 21x | 16% | −31% | −31% | −24% |
Show the other 3 matches
How reliable is this?
Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: 12-month momentum, ROCE and P/S. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.
Independent periods: the matches fall in 5 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.
What else looks like this?
Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.
Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.
What changed?
30 events since Jan '22
- OctPriceVolume reached 5.2x its 50-day median on 2026-10-27; price +0.2% that day.
- SepPriceFell 36% from the Dec 2024 peak to the Sep 2026 low.
- SepPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Transportation on operating margin (from the 2nd quartile).
- SepPriceVolume reached 265.7x its 50-day median on 2026-09-25; price +6.0% that day.
- JunPeer rankMoved into the 2nd quartile of Transportation on operating margin (from the 3rd quartile).
- AprPriceVolume reached 46.7x its 50-day median on 2026-04-02; price +11.9% that day.
- JulPriceVolume reached 17.3x its 50-day median on 2025-07-10; price +7.4% that day.
- JunPeer rankMoved into the top quartile of Transportation on ROCE (from the 2nd quartile).
Show 22 earlier events
- MarPeer rankSlipped to the 2nd quartile of Transportation on ROCE (from the top quartile).
- JanPriceVolume reached 7.4x its 50-day median on 2025-01-27; price -2.0% that day.
- NovPeer rankMoved into the 2nd quartile of Transportation on operating margin (from the 3rd quartile).
- NovPriceVolume reached 24.8x its 50-day median on 2024-11-04; price +8.7% that day.
- AugPriceVolume reached 28.0x its 50-day median on 2024-08-22; price +11.6% that day.
- JunResultsRevenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹4,024 cr.
- AprPriceVolume reached 7.3x its 50-day median on 2024-04-03; price +0.7% that day.
- JanPriceVolume reached 76.5x its 50-day median on 2024-01-31; price +11.7% that day.
- NovPriceRegained the 2022-01 peak, 20 months after the low.
- NovPriceVolume reached 13.7x its 50-day median on 2023-11-06; price +7.7% that day.
- SepPriceVolume reached 14.9x its 50-day median on 2023-09-21; price +1.6% that day.
- JunResultsRevenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹3,783 cr.
- JunSharesShare count is up 6.7% over 12 months.
- MayPriceVolume reached 20.3x its 50-day median on 2023-05-11; price +6.0% that day.
- MarPriceVolume reached 17.4x its 50-day median on 2023-03-16; price +1.7% that day.
- OctPriceVolume reached 8.4x its 50-day median on 2022-10-20; price +3.8% that day.
- AugPriceVolume reached 14.9x its 50-day median on 2022-08-02; price +3.0% that day.
- JunResultsRevenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹3,259 cr.
- MayPriceVolume reached 6.4x its 50-day median on 2022-05-05; price +4.2% that day.
- AprValuationP/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (36.8x).
- MarPriceFell 36% from the Jan 2022 peak to the Mar 2022 low.
- JanPeer rankSlipped to the 2nd quartile of Transportation on EPS growth (from the top quartile).
Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.
Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month
Monthly history60 months · 2021-12 to 2026-11
| Month | P/E | Revenue (TTM) | ROE | ROCE | Debt / Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 14.5x | ₹5026 cr | 17.8% | 19.0% | 0.1x |
| 2026-10 | 14.8x | ₹5026 cr | 18.0% | 19.0% | 0.1x |
| 2026-09 | 14.7x | ₹5026 cr | 18.0% | 19.0% | 0.1x |
| 2026-08 | 14.6x | ₹4917 cr | 18.0% | 19.0% | 0.1x |
| 2026-07 | 15.6x | ₹4917 cr | 18.0% | 19.0% | 0.1x |
| 2026-06 | 15.5x | ₹4917 cr | 18.0% | 19.0% | 0.1x |
| 2026-05 | 15.7x | ₹4772 cr | 21.0% | 21.0% | 0.1x |
| 2026-04 | 15.9x | ₹4772 cr | 21.0% | 21.0% | 0.1x |
| 2026-03 | 15.8x | ₹4772 cr | 21.0% | 21.0% | 0.1x |
| 2026-02 | 17.7x | ₹4670 cr | 20.3% | 21.0% | 0.1x |
| 2026-01 | 18.8x | ₹4670 cr | 20.3% | 21.0% | 0.1x |
| 2025-12 | 19.0x | ₹4670 cr | 20.3% | 21.0% | 0.1x |
| 2025-11 | 19.6x | ₹4586 cr | 20.0% | 21.0% | 0.1x |
| 2025-10 | 21.5x | ₹4586 cr | 20.0% | 21.0% | 0.1x |
| 2025-09 | 21.1x | ₹4586 cr | 20.0% | 21.0% | 0.1x |
| 2025-08 | 21.2x | ₹4492 cr | 19.3% | 21.0% | 0.1x |
| 2025-07 | 21.9x | ₹4492 cr | 19.3% | 21.0% | 0.1x |
| 2025-06 | 21.1x | ₹4492 cr | 19.3% | 21.0% | 0.1x |
| 2025-05 | 21.7x | ₹4392 cr | 20.2% | 20.0% | 0.1x |
| 2025-04 | 20.1x | ₹4392 cr | 20.2% | 20.0% | 0.1x |
| 2025-03 | 21.2x | ₹4392 cr | 20.2% | 20.0% | 0.1x |
| 2025-02 | 18.4x | ₹4247 cr | 19.1% | 20.0% | 0.1x |
| 2025-01 | 21.7x | ₹4247 cr | 19.1% | 20.0% | 0.1x |
| 2024-12 | 23.5x | ₹4247 cr | 19.1% | 20.0% | 0.1x |
| 2024-11 | 23.1x | ₹4120 cr | 18.1% | 20.0% | 0.1x |
| 2024-10 | 23.3x | ₹4120 cr | 18.1% | 20.0% | 0.1x |
| 2024-09 | 23.1x | ₹4120 cr | 18.1% | 20.0% | 0.1x |
| 2024-08 | 24.1x | ₹4024 cr | 17.7% | 20.0% | 0.1x |
| 2024-07 | 22.5x | ₹4024 cr | 17.7% | 20.0% | 0.1x |
| 2024-06 | 20.0x | ₹4024 cr | 17.7% | 20.0% | 0.1x |
| 2024-05 | 20.5x | ₹3783 cr | 18.9% | 22.0% | 0.1x |
| 2024-04 | 21.4x | ₹3783 cr | 18.9% | 22.0% | 0.1x |
| 2024-03 | 19.8x | ₹3783 cr | 18.9% | 22.0% | 0.1x |
| 2024-02 | 20.3x | ₹3783 cr | 18.9% | 22.0% | 0.1x |
| 2024-01 | 22.9x | ₹3783 cr | 18.9% | 22.0% | 0.1x |
| 2023-12 | 20.1x | ₹3783 cr | 18.9% | 22.0% | 0.1x |
| 2023-11 | 21.0x | ₹3783 cr | 18.9% | 22.0% | 0.1x |
| 2023-10 | 20.0x | ₹3783 cr | 18.9% | 22.0% | 0.1x |
| 2023-09 | 19.2x | ₹3783 cr | 18.9% | 22.0% | 0.1x |
| 2023-08 | 19.8x | ₹3783 cr | 18.9% | 22.0% | 0.1x |
| 2023-07 | 18.4x | ₹3783 cr | 18.9% | 22.0% | 0.1x |
| 2023-06 | 17.5x | ₹3783 cr | 18.9% | 22.0% | 0.1x |
| 2023-05 | 18.9x | ₹3259 cr | 20.5% | 23.0% | 0.1x |
| 2023-04 | 16.9x | ₹3259 cr | 20.5% | 23.0% | 0.1x |
| 2023-03 | 16.7x | ₹3259 cr | 20.5% | 23.0% | 0.1x |
| 2023-02 | 17.4x | ₹3259 cr | 20.5% | 23.0% | 0.1x |
| 2023-01 | 16.8x | ₹3259 cr | 20.5% | 23.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-12 | 16.5x | ₹3259 cr | 20.5% | 23.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-11 | 18.5x | ₹3259 cr | 20.5% | 23.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-10 | 19.1x | ₹3259 cr | 20.5% | 23.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-09 | 20.5x | ₹3259 cr | 20.5% | 23.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-08 | 19.1x | ₹3259 cr | 20.5% | 23.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-07 | 18.5x | ₹3259 cr | 20.5% | 23.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-06 | 18.0x | ₹3259 cr | 20.5% | 23.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-05 | 38.7x | ₹2802 cr | 12.8% | 15.0% | 0.3x |
| 2022-04 | 36.8x | ₹2802 cr | 12.8% | 15.0% | 0.3x |
| 2022-03 | 31.4x | ₹2802 cr | 12.8% | 15.0% | 0.3x |
| 2022-02 | 32.5x | ₹2802 cr | 12.8% | 15.0% | 0.3x |
| 2022-01 | 36.7x | ₹2802 cr | 12.8% | 15.0% | 0.3x |
| 2021-12 | 39.1x | ₹2802 cr | 12.8% | 15.0% | 0.3x |
Older months are in the live observatory.