Share price
₹4,481.7 latest close · −7.6% over the last 90 sessions
₹4,481.7 month-end · −21.6% over 12 months
₹4,481.7 month-end · −36.9% over 3 years
₹4,481.7 month-end · +40.5% since Jan '19
52-week range ₹4141.00 to ₹6540.00 · 1-year volatility 24.2%
Was the rally earned?
Earnings helped, the multiple did not.
- Per-share earnings added 13 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 54.8x to 37.0x), which took 35 points back.
- The share count barely moved.
Both mattered.
- Per-share earnings took off 20 points and the multiple took off 16 points (P/E 45.5x to 37.0x).
- The share count barely moved.
Earnings helped, the multiple did not.
- Per-share earnings added 86 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 152.7x to 37.0x), which took 118 points back.
- The share count barely moved.
What do "pts" mean?
"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.
Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.
Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.
How rough has the ride been?
Drawdown from peak
Largest drawdowns
-55.5% (2022-10 peak to 2026-10 low, not yet recovered)
-47.5% (2019-03 peak to 2020-08 low, recovered 2020-10)
-25.3% (2022-01 peak to 2022-03 low, recovered 2022-05)
Most recent volume spikes
2026-10-16: 7.1x the 50-day median, price -1.7% that day
2026-10-09: 6.3x the 50-day median, price +0.1% that day
2026-10-01: 6.9x the 50-day median, price -2.9% that day
Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).
Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?
Usual range 39.3x to 139.2x since 2019-01.
132% above the Transportation median.
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The chart loads when you open this tab.
How to read this
Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dotted line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).
Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.
Where does it rank among Transportation peers?
Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Transportation peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).
Where it ranks today
- ROCE75th▲ 7 pts vs a year ago
- Op. margin60th▲ 10 pts vs a year ago
- Revenue growth38th▼ 11 pts vs a year ago
- EPS growth57th▲ 24 pts vs a year ago
- Debt/equity ↓47thflat vs a year ago
- Cash cycle ↓67th▲ 5 pts vs a year ago
- P/E ↓26th▲ 11 pts vs a year ago
- 12M momentum27th▼ 22 pts vs a year ago
Rank history
Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.
The Transportation sector page Watch it move against Transportation in the Observatory
What is the price implying?
At normalised P/E (five-year average earnings) of 34.1x, a holder earning 12%/yr needs earnings to grow about 20.2%/yr for 10 years, then trade at 15x.
Over time
Implied growth by month (solid) and delivered growth (dashed).
Change the assumptions
| Exit P/E / return | 11% | 12% | 13% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12x | 21.7% | 22.7% | 23.8% |
| 15x | 19.2% | 20.2% | 21.3% |
| 20x | 16.0% | 17.0% | 18.1% |
Drag a slider to test other assumptions
Implied: 20.2%/yrLooking back
- Jan 2020Price implied 24%/yr; EPS has since grown 16%/yr (7.0 yrs)
- Jan 2022Price implied 43%/yr; EPS has since grown 19%/yr (5.0 yrs)
Past comparisons cover only companies listed today (survivorship bias) and say nothing about future outcomes.
“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect. How this is calculated and the market-wide lists.
What prices imply across Transportation The market-wide Expectations lists
Key figures
- Share Priceclose 9 Nov
- ₹4481.70
- P/E
- 37.0x
- ROCE
- 16.0%
- Market Cap
- ₹10634 cr
- Revenue (TTM)
- ₹6356 cr
- P/S
- 1.7x
- P/B
- 6.0x
- ROE
- 16.2%
- Operating Margin
- 16.0%
- Debt / Equity
- 0.6x
- Promoter Holding
- 75.0%
- 12M Momentum
- -21.6%
52-week range
Price risk
Balance sheet & cash
Are profits backed by cash?
Other income reliance1%Within range
Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 1.1%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.
Tax rate26%Within range
Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 26.0%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.
Cash conversion2.99xWithin range
Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 2.99x (cash from operations ₹2,392 cr, net profit ₹800 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.
Free cash flow5 of 5 yrsWithin range
Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 5. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.
Receivable days vs history+9 daysWithin range
Debtor days are above the median of the previous three fiscal years by 9 days (55 vs 46). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.
Capital work in progress1% of fixed assetsWithin range
Capital work-in-progress is 1% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.
Payable days—Not enough data
Not enough reported data to compute this.
Tap a check to see how it is measured
How to read this
Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.
Who has been buying and selling?
- Over 3 years, DIIs added 2.7 pts; FIIs trimmed 1.4 pts.
- The number of shareholders rose from 35,019 to 37,650 (+8%) between Sep 2023 and Jun 2026.
Holdings, Jun '26
How each group changed
Number of shareholders
Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.
What happened next to similar setups
- We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like BLUE DART EXPRESS LTD today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
- Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −13% to +16% vs the market, against −5% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
- The gap against the base rate (+2.6%, 80% range −3.1% to +7.8%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.
Where the 50 outcomes landed
Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months
50 past situations · 50 companies · 35 months · 2020–2025
The closest matches
| Company | When | P/E | ROCE | 12M mom. | Drawdown | Next 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GODREJAGRO Process Industries |
Apr 2023 | 21x | 16% | −20% | −24% | −16% |
| SANSERA Producer Manufacturing |
Nov 2023 | 30x | 14% | +7% | −13% | +46% |
| GODREJIND Process Industries |
Oct 2020 | 22x | 10% | −12% | −21% | −1% |
| CEATLTD Consumer Durables |
Apr 2021 | 24x | 10% | +72% | −17% | −34% |
| VGUARD Producer Manufacturing |
Jan 2024 | 67x | 15% | +19% | −8% | +15% |
Show the other 3 matches
| Company | When | P/E | ROCE | 12M mom. | Drawdown | Next 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BATAINDIA Consumer Non-Durables |
Oct 2025 | 64x | 15% | −21% | −27% | −36% |
| CENTURYPLY Producer Manufacturing |
Nov 2024 | 59x | 18% | +12% | −21% | +6% |
| SUPRAJIT Producer Manufacturing |
Aug 2024 | 43x | 12% | +24% | −16% | −6% |
How reliable is this?
Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high and ROCE. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.
Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.
What else looks like this?
Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.
Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.
What changed?
30 events since Dec '22
- OctPriceFell 56% from the Oct 2022 peak to the Oct 2026 low.
- OctPriceVolume reached 7.1x its 50-day median on 2026-10-16; price -1.7% that day.
- SepResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned positive.
- SepValuationP/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (38.3x).
- SepPeer rankMoved into the 2nd quartile of Transportation on EPS growth (from the 3rd quartile).
- AugPriceVolume reached 69.4x its 50-day median on 2026-08-03; price +5.2% that day.
- MayPriceVolume reached 7.8x its 50-day median on 2026-05-11; price -7.5% that day.
- JanPriceVolume reached 28.3x its 50-day median on 2026-01-01; price +2.8% that day.
Show 22 earlier events
- OctPriceVolume reached 313.7x its 50-day median on 2025-10-29; price +18.7% that day.
- SepPriceVolume reached 95.8x its 50-day median on 2025-09-30; price +2.2% that day.
- AugPeer rankMoved into the 3rd quartile of Transportation on EPS growth (from the bottom quartile).
- JunPeer rankSlipped to the bottom quartile of Transportation on EPS growth (from the 3rd quartile).
- MayPriceVolume reached 5.4x its 50-day median on 2025-05-27; price -5.2% that day.
- MarPriceVolume reached 56.8x its 50-day median on 2025-03-25; price +8.5% that day.
- OctPriceVolume reached 32.8x its 50-day median on 2024-10-01; price +5.3% that day.
- SepPriceVolume reached 117.6x its 50-day median on 2024-09-17; price +12.4% that day.
- AugPeer rankSlipped to the 2nd quartile of Transportation on ROCE (from the top quartile).
- JunResultsRevenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹5,268 cr.
- MayPriceVolume reached 17.0x its 50-day median on 2024-05-06; price +7.0% that day.
- MarPriceVolume reached 17.9x its 50-day median on 2024-03-19; price -1.6% that day.
- FebValuationP/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (38.6x).
- OctPriceVolume reached 5.2x its 50-day median on 2023-10-12; price +0.8% that day.
- AugPriceVolume reached 7.3x its 50-day median on 2023-08-01; price -1.7% that day.
- JunResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
- JunPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Transportation on EPS growth (from the top quartile).
- JunDebtDebt / equity fell below 1.0x (0.95x).
- JunPriceVolume reached 13.0x its 50-day median on 2023-06-21; price +7.2% that day.
- FebPriceVolume reached 7.1x its 50-day median on 2023-02-02; price +1.6% that day.
- JanDebtDebt / equity halved over 12 months to 1.22x.
- DecPriceVolume reached 5.8x its 50-day median on 2022-12-01; price -0.8% that day.
Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.
Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month
Monthly history60 months · 2021-12 to 2026-11
| Month | P/E | Revenue (TTM) | ROE | ROCE | Debt / Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 37.0x | ₹6356 cr | 16.2% | 16.0% | 0.6x |
| 2026-10 | 34.5x | ₹6356 cr | 16.1% | 16.0% | 0.6x |
| 2026-09 | 38.3x | ₹6356 cr | 16.1% | 16.0% | 0.6x |
| 2026-08 | 47.2x | ₹6140 cr | 13.9% | 16.0% | 0.6x |
| 2026-07 | 49.5x | ₹6140 cr | 13.9% | 16.0% | 0.6x |
| 2026-06 | 46.7x | ₹6140 cr | 13.9% | 16.0% | 0.6x |
| 2026-05 | 44.3x | ₹6024 cr | 16.2% | 16.0% | 0.6x |
| 2026-04 | 51.1x | ₹6024 cr | 16.2% | 16.0% | 0.6x |
| 2026-03 | 44.4x | ₹6024 cr | 16.2% | 16.0% | 0.6x |
| 2026-02 | 50.6x | ₹5920 cr | 17.1% | 16.0% | 0.6x |
| 2026-01 | 48.9x | ₹5920 cr | 17.1% | 16.0% | 0.6x |
| 2025-12 | 49.2x | ₹5920 cr | 17.1% | 16.0% | 0.6x |
| 2025-11 | 54.8x | ₹5819 cr | 15.9% | 16.0% | 0.6x |
| 2025-10 | 62.9x | ₹5819 cr | 15.9% | 16.0% | 0.6x |
| 2025-09 | 54.6x | ₹5819 cr | 15.9% | 16.0% | 0.6x |
| 2025-08 | 52.7x | ₹5720 cr | 16.2% | 16.0% | 0.6x |
| 2025-07 | 56.4x | ₹5720 cr | 16.2% | 16.0% | 0.6x |
| 2025-06 | 60.1x | ₹5720 cr | 16.2% | 16.0% | 0.6x |
| 2025-05 | 57.1x | ₹5626 cr | 20.1% | 19.0% | 0.8x |
| 2025-04 | 53.5x | ₹5626 cr | 20.1% | 19.0% | 0.8x |
| 2025-03 | 52.9x | ₹5626 cr | 20.1% | 19.0% | 0.8x |
| 2025-02 | 50.3x | ₹5497 cr | 20.7% | 19.0% | 0.8x |
| 2025-01 | 55.2x | ₹5497 cr | 20.7% | 19.0% | 0.8x |
| 2024-12 | 58.4x | ₹5497 cr | 20.7% | 19.0% | 0.8x |
| 2024-11 | 60.8x | ₹5373 cr | 21.4% | 19.0% | 0.8x |
| 2024-10 | 65.9x | ₹5373 cr | 21.4% | 19.0% | 0.8x |
| 2024-09 | 66.4x | ₹5373 cr | 21.4% | 19.0% | 0.8x |
| 2024-08 | 63.4x | ₹5268 cr | 22.0% | 19.0% | 0.8x |
| 2024-07 | 64.4x | ₹5268 cr | 22.0% | 19.0% | 0.8x |
| 2024-06 | 62.8x | ₹5268 cr | 22.0% | 19.0% | 0.8x |
| 2024-05 | 46.1x | ₹5172 cr | 31.4% | 26.0% | 0.9x |
| 2024-04 | 40.4x | ₹5172 cr | 31.4% | 26.0% | 0.9x |
| 2024-03 | 39.6x | ₹5172 cr | 31.4% | 26.0% | 0.9x |
| 2024-02 | 38.6x | ₹5172 cr | 31.4% | 26.0% | 0.9x |
| 2024-01 | 41.7x | ₹5172 cr | 31.4% | 26.0% | 0.9x |
| 2023-12 | 47.1x | ₹5172 cr | 31.4% | 26.0% | 0.9x |
| 2023-11 | 45.5x | ₹5172 cr | 31.4% | 26.0% | 0.9x |
| 2023-10 | 42.1x | ₹5172 cr | 31.4% | 26.0% | 0.9x |
| 2023-09 | 42.8x | ₹5172 cr | 31.4% | 26.0% | 0.9x |
| 2023-08 | 40.2x | ₹5172 cr | 31.4% | 26.0% | 0.9x |
| 2023-07 | 43.1x | ₹5172 cr | 31.4% | 26.0% | 0.9x |
| 2023-06 | 46.4x | ₹5172 cr | 31.4% | 26.0% | 0.9x |
| 2023-05 | 38.7x | ₹4410 cr | 43.8% | 31.0% | 1.2x |
| 2023-04 | 36.9x | ₹4410 cr | 43.8% | 31.0% | 1.2x |
| 2023-03 | 38.6x | ₹4410 cr | 43.8% | 31.0% | 1.2x |
| 2023-02 | 38.5x | ₹4410 cr | 43.8% | 31.0% | 1.2x |
| 2023-01 | 39.2x | ₹4410 cr | 43.8% | 31.0% | 1.2x |
| 2022-12 | 47.8x | ₹4410 cr | 43.8% | 31.0% | 1.2x |
| 2022-11 | 47.2x | ₹4410 cr | 43.8% | 31.0% | 1.2x |
| 2022-10 | 47.1x | ₹4410 cr | 43.8% | 31.0% | 1.2x |
| 2022-09 | 55.0x | ₹4410 cr | 43.8% | 31.0% | 1.2x |
| 2022-08 | 53.1x | ₹4410 cr | 43.8% | 31.0% | 1.2x |
| 2022-07 | 53.3x | ₹4410 cr | 43.8% | 31.0% | 1.2x |
| 2022-06 | 48.4x | ₹4410 cr | 43.8% | 31.0% | 1.2x |
| 2022-05 | 174.6x | ₹3288 cr | 17.2% | 17.0% | 2.6x |
| 2022-04 | 159.3x | ₹3288 cr | 17.2% | 17.0% | 2.6x |
| 2022-03 | 159.9x | ₹3288 cr | 17.2% | 17.0% | 2.6x |
| 2022-02 | 139.9x | ₹3288 cr | 17.2% | 17.0% | 2.6x |
| 2022-01 | 161.4x | ₹3288 cr | 17.2% | 17.0% | 2.6x |
| 2021-12 | 147.4x | ₹3288 cr | 17.2% | 17.0% | 2.6x |
Older months are in the live observatory.