52-week range
Price risk
Balance sheet & cash
Was the rally earned?
Earnings helped, the multiple did not.
- Per-share earnings added 48 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 169.4x to 84.7x), which took 64 points back.
- The share count barely moved.
What do "pts" mean?
"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.
Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.
Not shown for 3 years and 5 years: earnings were negative at one end, or there is not enough history.
Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.
Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?
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How to read this
Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dashed line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).
Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.
What is the price implying?
At a P/E of 143.6x, the price would imply about 40.4%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.
Fewer than six years of annual earnings are available, which is too little to measure delivered growth.
“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.
What prices imply across Utilities The market-wide Expectations lists
What changed?
- Oct '26Volume reached 34.7x its 50-day median on 2026-10-27; price +7.9% that day.
- Sep '26Moved into the top quartile of Utilities on EPS growth (from the 2nd quartile).
- Jul '26Volume reached 8.0x its 50-day median on 2026-07-22; price +4.2% that day.
- Jun '26Year-on-year EPS growth turned positive.
- Jun '26P/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (110.3x).
- Jun '26Moved into the 2nd quartile of Utilities on EPS growth (from the bottom quartile).
- Jun '26Started paying a dividend (payout 34% of profit).
- May '26Volume reached 43.4x its 50-day median on 2026-05-14; price +7.3% that day.
Show 12 earlier events
- Mar '26Year-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
- Mar '26Fell 57% from the Jul 2024 peak to the Mar 2026 low.
- Mar '26Slipped to the bottom quartile of Utilities on EPS growth (from the top quartile).
- Mar '26Volume reached 371.4x its 50-day median on 2026-03-17; price +4.5% that day.
- Dec '25Volume reached 32.4x its 50-day median on 2025-12-26; price +1.0% that day.
- Sep '25Volume reached 54.6x its 50-day median on 2025-09-16; price +2.4% that day.
- Dec '24Volume reached 43.6x its 50-day median on 2024-12-13; price +20.0% that day.
- Jul '24Volume reached 5.5x its 50-day median on 2024-07-05; price +6.9% that day.
- Jun '24FII + DII holding fell 13.9 pts over 1 quarter to 8.6%.
- Apr '24Volume reached 8.7x its 50-day median on 2024-04-19; price +10.0% that day.
- Feb '24Regained the 2023-12 peak, 1 month after the low.
- Jan '24Fell 42% from the Dec 2023 peak to the Jan 2024 low.
Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.
Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month
Are profits backed by cash?
4 of 7 checks are within range, 1 near a threshold, 2 beyond a threshold.
Tap a check to see how it is measured.
Other income reliance54%Beyond threshold
Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 53.5%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.
Tax rate33%Within range
Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 33.0%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.
Cash conversion7.31xWithin range
Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 7.31x (cash from operations ₹285 cr, net profit ₹39 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.
Free cash flow2 of 3 yrsNear threshold
Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 3: 2. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.
Receivable days vs history+51 daysBeyond threshold
Debtor days are above the median of the previous three fiscal years by 51 days (214 vs 163). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.
Capital work in progress6% of fixed assetsWithin range
Capital work-in-progress is 6% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.
Payable days-35 days / 2 yrsWithin range
Days payable changed by -35 over two years. Bands: rise of up to 30 days; more than 30 days.
How to read this
Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.
Who has been buying and selling?
- Over 2 years, FIIs trimmed 9.9 pts; DIIs trimmed 2.8 pts.
- The number of shareholders rose from 62,796 to 83,063 (+32%) between Dec 2023 and Jun 2026.
Holdings, Jun '26
How each group changed
Number of shareholders
Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.
How rough has the ride been?
Monthly share price
Last 90 trading days
Drawdown from peak
Largest drawdowns
-57.2% (2024-07 peak to 2026-03 low, not yet recovered)
-42.4% (2023-12 peak to 2024-01 low, recovered 2024-02)
-23.2% (2024-02 peak to 2024-03 low, recovered 2024-04)
Most recent volume spikes
2026-10-27: 34.7x the 50-day median, price +7.9% that day
2026-10-12: 6.8x the 50-day median, price -0.6% that day
2026-08-27: 5x the 50-day median, price +2.6% that day
Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).
Where does it rank among Utilities peers?
Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Utilities peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).
Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.
The Utilities sector page Watch it move against Utilities in the Observatory
What else looks like this?
Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.
| Company | Sector | Similarity | Closest on |
|---|---|---|---|
| GODAVARI BIOREFINERIES (GODAVARIB) | Process Industries | 70% | promoter holding, operating margin |
| HLE GLASCOAT (HLEGLAS) | Producer Manufacturing | 68% | P/E, ROCE |
| JINDAL WORLDWIDE (JINDWORLD) | Process Industries | 65% | promoter holding, operating margin |
| B L KASHYAP AND SONS (BLKASHYAP) | Industrial Services | 64% | promoter holding, debt/equity |
| MAHINDRA LOGISTICS (MAHLOG) | Transportation | 57% | debt/equity, P/E |
| SG MART (SGMART) | Utilities | 44% | P/E, operating margin |
| SWAN CORP (SWANCORP) | Utilities | 25% | operating margin, revenue |
| INOX GREEN ENERGY SERVICES (INOXGREEN) | Utilities | 10% | operating margin, ROCE |
Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.
What happened next to similar setups
- We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like BAJEL PROJECTS LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
- Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −25% to +55% vs the market, against −5% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
- The gap against the base rate (+23.1%, 80% range 0% to +30.2%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.
Where the 50 outcomes landed
Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 3 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge
50 past situations · 50 companies · 30 months · 2020–2025
The closest matches
| Company | When | P/E | ROCE | 12M mom. | Drawdown | Next 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STYRENIX Process Industries |
Sep 2023 | 101x | — | +24% | −10% | +56% |
| PRSMJOHNSN Non-Energy Minerals |
Sep 2022 | 72x | 8% | +5% | −14% | −14% |
| SUDARSCHEM Process Industries |
Oct 2023 | 73x | 6% | +15% | −12% | +58% |
| CEATLTD Consumer Durables |
Oct 2022 | 88x | 6% | +24% | −9% | +25% |
| TVSSRICHAK Consumer Durables |
Sep 2025 | 91x | 5% | −25% | −25% | +39% |
Show the other 3 matches
| Company | When | P/E | ROCE | 12M mom. | Drawdown | Next 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMBER Producer Manufacturing |
Aug 2024 | 113x | 10% | +54% | −5% | +76% |
| VADILALIND Consumer Non-Durables |
Aug 2021 | 169x | 7% | +55% | −12% | +115% |
| VRLLOG Transportation |
Jul 2021 | 60x | 10% | +106% | −5% | +91% |
How reliable is this?
Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: drawdown from 12-month high, 12-month momentum and ROCE. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.
Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.
Monthly history (29 months)
| Month | P/E | Revenue (TTM) | ROE | ROCE | Debt / Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10 | 84.7x | ₹2751 cr | 2.9% | 11.0% | 0.5x |
| 2026-09 | 86.8x | ₹2751 cr | 3.0% | 11.0% | 0.5x |
| 2026-08 | 110.9x | ₹2792 cr | 2.7% | 11.0% | 0.5x |
| 2026-07 | 101.0x | ₹2792 cr | 2.7% | 11.0% | 0.5x |
| 2026-06 | 110.3x | ₹2792 cr | 2.7% | 11.0% | 0.5x |
| 2026-05 | 205.8x | ₹2585 cr | 1.6% | 12.0% | 0.6x |
| 2026-04 | 198.2x | ₹2585 cr | 1.6% | 12.0% | 0.6x |
| 2026-03 | 144.5x | ₹2585 cr | 1.6% | 12.0% | 0.6x |
| 2026-02 | 144.2x | ₹2645 cr | 1.9% | 12.0% | 0.6x |
| 2026-01 | 138.1x | ₹2645 cr | 1.9% | 12.0% | 0.6x |
| 2025-12 | 154.7x | ₹2645 cr | 1.9% | 12.0% | 0.6x |
| 2025-11 | 157.3x | ₹2694 cr | 1.9% | 12.0% | 0.6x |
| 2025-10 | 169.4x | ₹2694 cr | 1.9% | 12.0% | 0.6x |
| 2025-09 | 179.6x | ₹2694 cr | 1.9% | 12.0% | 0.6x |
| 2025-08 | 149.4x | ₹2598 cr | 2.3% | 12.0% | 0.6x |
| 2025-07 | 175.4x | ₹2598 cr | 2.3% | 12.0% | 0.6x |
| 2025-06 | 176.6x | ₹2598 cr | 2.3% | 12.0% | 0.6x |
| 2025-05 | 137.6x | ₹2286 cr | 3.1% | — | 0.0x |
| 2025-04 | 111.4x | ₹2286 cr | 3.1% | — | 0.0x |
| 2025-03 | 106.5x | ₹2286 cr | 3.1% | — | 0.0x |
| 2025-02 | 440.8x | ₹1169 cr | 0.8% | — | 0.0x |
| 2025-01 | 655.5x | ₹1169 cr | 0.8% | — | 0.0x |
| 2024-12 | 738.0x | ₹1169 cr | 0.8% | — | 0.0x |
| 2024-11 | 677.6x | ₹1169 cr | 0.8% | — | 0.0x |
| 2024-10 | 696.9x | ₹1169 cr | 0.8% | — | 0.0x |
| 2024-09 | 732.7x | ₹1169 cr | 0.8% | — | 0.0x |
| 2024-08 | 726.6x | ₹1169 cr | 0.8% | — | 0.0x |
| 2024-07 | 787.4x | ₹1169 cr | 0.8% | — | 0.0x |
| 2024-06 | 803.5x | ₹1169 cr | 0.8% | — | 0.0x |