अApnaFunda

BAJEL PROJECTS LIMITED (BAJEL)

Utilities

Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.48 / 100
Profitability 35Balance sheet 61
Momentum scoreHow strong the recent trend is: 3-month price change, 12-month improvement in earnings and the rise in FII + DII holding, among companies above ₹500 cr.45 / 100
Price 49Earnings 60FII/DII 26
Share Price
₹160.84
P/E
84.7x
ROCE
11.0%
Market Cap
₹1859 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹2751 cr
P/S
0.7x
P/B
2.5x
ROE
2.9%
Operating Margin
3.3%
Debt / Equity
0.5x
Promoter Holding
62.5%
12M Momentum
-16.0%
P/E vs its own history3rd percentilesince Jun '24
P/E vs Utilities3.3xthe sector median

52-week range

₹135.10₹215.50
32% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
43.4%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
0.71

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
1.5x
Cash from profit, 3Y
operating cash flow ÷ net profit
5.00x
Share count, 1Y
unchanged

Was the rally earned?

-16%share price, 1 yearLower P/E held it back

Earnings helped, the multiple did not.

  • Per-share earnings added 48 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 169.4x to 84.7x), which took 64 points back.
  • The share count barely moved.
1 year Net profit growth: +49 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+49 ptsP/E change: -64 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-64 ptsShare count change: -1 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. -16% 1 year Net profit growth: +49 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+49 ptsP/E change: -64 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-64 ptsShare count change: -1 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. -16%
Net profit growth+49 ptsNet profit rose about 70%, which lifts the price.
P/E change-64 ptsThe P/E fell from 169.4x to 84.7x, which lowers the price.
Share count change-1 ptsShare count was little changed. More shares would count against the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Not shown for 3 years and 5 years: earnings were negative at one end, or there is not enough history.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare this with POWER GRID CORPORATION OF INDI

Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?

84.7xP/E todayNear its historic low
Against its own history3rd percentileMedian 169.4x; usual range 105.4x to 733.8x since 2024-06.
Against Utilities84.7x vs 25.5xAbove the Utilities median.
22.6x282.9x543.2x803.5xJun '24Dec '24Jun '25Dec '25Jun '26Oct '2622.6x282.9x543.2x803.5xJun '24Apr '25Feb '26Oct '26
P/E (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianUtilities median

The chart loads when you open this tab.

P/B (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianUtilities median

The chart loads when you open this tab.

P/S (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianUtilities median
How to read this

Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dashed line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).

Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.

All terms explained in the glossary →

How Utilities is valued

What is the price implying?

~40%annual earnings growth implied by the price

At a P/E of 143.6x, the price would imply about 40.4%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.

Fewer than six years of annual earnings are available, which is too little to measure delivered growth.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Utilities The market-wide Expectations lists

What changed?

  1. Oct '26Volume reached 34.7x its 50-day median on 2026-10-27; price +7.9% that day.
  2. Sep '26Moved into the top quartile of Utilities on EPS growth (from the 2nd quartile).
  3. Jul '26Volume reached 8.0x its 50-day median on 2026-07-22; price +4.2% that day.
  4. Jun '26Year-on-year EPS growth turned positive.
  5. Jun '26P/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (110.3x).
  6. Jun '26Moved into the 2nd quartile of Utilities on EPS growth (from the bottom quartile).
  7. Jun '26Started paying a dividend (payout 34% of profit).
  8. May '26Volume reached 43.4x its 50-day median on 2026-05-14; price +7.3% that day.
Show 12 earlier events
  1. Mar '26Year-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
  2. Mar '26Fell 57% from the Jul 2024 peak to the Mar 2026 low.
  3. Mar '26Slipped to the bottom quartile of Utilities on EPS growth (from the top quartile).
  4. Mar '26Volume reached 371.4x its 50-day median on 2026-03-17; price +4.5% that day.
  5. Dec '25Volume reached 32.4x its 50-day median on 2025-12-26; price +1.0% that day.
  6. Sep '25Volume reached 54.6x its 50-day median on 2025-09-16; price +2.4% that day.
  7. Dec '24Volume reached 43.6x its 50-day median on 2024-12-13; price +20.0% that day.
  8. Jul '24Volume reached 5.5x its 50-day median on 2024-07-05; price +6.9% that day.
  9. Jun '24FII + DII holding fell 13.9 pts over 1 quarter to 8.6%.
  10. Apr '24Volume reached 8.7x its 50-day median on 2024-04-19; price +10.0% that day.
  11. Feb '24Regained the 2023-12 peak, 1 month after the low.
  12. Jan '24Fell 42% from the Dec 2023 peak to the Jan 2024 low.

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Are profits backed by cash?

4 of 7 checks are within range, 1 near a threshold, 2 beyond a threshold.
Tap a check to see how it is measured.

Other income reliance54%Beyond threshold

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 53.5%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate33%Within range

Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 33.0%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.

Cash conversion7.31xWithin range

Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 7.31x (cash from operations ₹285 cr, net profit ₹39 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.

Free cash flow2 of 3 yrsNear threshold

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 3: 2. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history+51 daysBeyond threshold

Debtor days are above the median of the previous three fiscal years by 51 days (214 vs 163). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.

Capital work in progress6% of fixed assetsWithin range

Capital work-in-progress is 6% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days-35 days / 2 yrsWithin range

Days payable changed by -35 over two years. Bands: rise of up to 30 days; more than 30 days.

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Over 2 years, FIIs trimmed 9.9 pts; DIIs trimmed 2.8 pts.
  • The number of shareholders rose from 62,796 to 83,063 (+32%) between Dec 2023 and Jun 2026.

Holdings, Jun '26

How each group changed

GroupDec '23Jun '26Change
Promoters62.9%62.5%-0.3 pts
FIIs10.5%0.5%-9.9 pts
DIIs12.0%9.2%-2.8 pts
Public and others14.7%27.7%+13.1 pts

Number of shareholders

83,063shareholders+32% since Dec '23
63k72k81k91k Dec '23Jun '24Dec '24Jun '25Dec '25Jun '26
Dec '23: 62,796
Mar '24: 83,268
Jun '24: 90,106
Sep '24: 90,725
Dec '24: 89,929
Mar '25: 88,561
Jun '25: 85,939
Sep '25: 85,013
Dec '25: 83,991
Mar '26: 83,533
Jun '26: 83,063
63k72k81k91k Dec '23Dec '24Dec '25Jun '26
Dec '23: 62,796
Mar '24: 83,268
Jun '24: 90,106
Sep '24: 90,725
Dec '24: 89,929
Mar '25: 88,561
Jun '25: 85,939
Sep '25: 85,013
Dec '25: 83,991
Mar '26: 83,533
Jun '26: 83,063

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-57.2%not yet recovered
1-year volatility43.4%annualised
Beta vs sector index0.773-year daily, correlation 0.36
Volume spikes7last 90 sessions, 5x the 50-day median

Monthly share price

₹137₹191₹244₹297 Jun '24Dec '24Jun '25Dec '25Jun '26Oct '26
2024-06: ₹297.28
2024-07: ₹291.35
2024-08: ₹268.85
2024-09: ₹271.10
2024-10: ₹257.85
2024-11: ₹250.70
2024-12: ₹273.05
2025-01: ₹242.55
2025-02: ₹163.11
2025-03: ₹163.94
2025-04: ₹171.51
2025-05: ₹211.88
2025-06: ₹238.37
2025-07: ₹236.82
2025-08: ₹201.65
2025-09: ₹202.93
2025-10: ₹191.39
2025-11: ₹177.76
2025-12: ₹173.26
2026-01: ₹154.71
2026-02: ₹161.53
2026-03: ₹137.27
2026-04: ₹188.32
2026-05: ₹195.47
2026-06: ₹193.02
2026-07: ₹176.80
2026-08: ₹194.12
2026-09: ₹164.90
2026-10: ₹160.84
₹137₹191₹244₹297 Jun '24Apr '25Feb '26Oct '26
2024-06: ₹297.28
2024-07: ₹291.35
2024-08: ₹268.85
2024-09: ₹271.10
2024-10: ₹257.85
2024-11: ₹250.70
2024-12: ₹273.05
2025-01: ₹242.55
2025-02: ₹163.11
2025-03: ₹163.94
2025-04: ₹171.51
2025-05: ₹211.88
2025-06: ₹238.37
2025-07: ₹236.82
2025-08: ₹201.65
2025-09: ₹202.93
2025-10: ₹191.39
2025-11: ₹177.76
2025-12: ₹173.26
2026-01: ₹154.71
2026-02: ₹161.53
2026-03: ₹137.27
2026-04: ₹188.32
2026-05: ₹195.47
2026-06: ₹193.02
2026-07: ₹176.80
2026-08: ₹194.12
2026-09: ₹164.90
2026-10: ₹160.84

Last 90 trading days

₹153₹170₹187₹204 Jun 23Jul 20Aug 13Sep 8Oct 6Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹204.27
2026-06-25: ₹195.73
2026-06-30: ₹193.02
2026-07-02: ₹193.08
2026-07-06: ₹188.28
2026-07-08: ₹186.48
2026-07-10: ₹189.36
2026-07-14: ₹182.15
2026-07-16: ₹179.99
2026-07-20: ₹179.33
2026-07-22: ₹184.57
2026-07-24: ₹178.90
2026-07-28: ₹175.49
2026-07-30: ₹175.97
2026-08-03: ₹177.35
2026-08-05: ₹183.80
2026-08-07: ₹191.78
2026-08-11: ₹189.07
2026-08-13: ₹194.15
2026-08-17: ₹185.87
2026-08-19: ₹180.22
2026-08-21: ₹191.78
2026-08-25: ₹188.00
2026-08-27: ₹194.53
2026-08-31: ₹194.12
2026-09-02: ₹185.30
2026-09-04: ₹183.82
2026-09-08: ₹183.62
2026-09-10: ₹177.42
2026-09-15: ₹168.87
2026-09-17: ₹173.08
2026-09-21: ₹172.11
2026-09-23: ₹174.06
2026-09-25: ₹173.14
2026-09-29: ₹170.20
2026-10-01: ₹163.63
2026-10-06: ₹164.08
2026-10-08: ₹156.63
2026-10-12: ₹156.27
2026-10-14: ₹158.41
2026-10-16: ₹167.75
2026-10-21: ₹157.58
2026-10-23: ₹153.48
2026-10-27: ₹168.34
2026-10-29: ₹163.11
2026-10-30: ₹160.84
₹153₹170₹187₹204 Jun 23Aug 5Sep 17Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹204.27
2026-06-25: ₹195.73
2026-06-30: ₹193.02
2026-07-02: ₹193.08
2026-07-06: ₹188.28
2026-07-08: ₹186.48
2026-07-10: ₹189.36
2026-07-14: ₹182.15
2026-07-16: ₹179.99
2026-07-20: ₹179.33
2026-07-22: ₹184.57
2026-07-24: ₹178.90
2026-07-28: ₹175.49
2026-07-30: ₹175.97
2026-08-03: ₹177.35
2026-08-05: ₹183.80
2026-08-07: ₹191.78
2026-08-11: ₹189.07
2026-08-13: ₹194.15
2026-08-17: ₹185.87
2026-08-19: ₹180.22
2026-08-21: ₹191.78
2026-08-25: ₹188.00
2026-08-27: ₹194.53
2026-08-31: ₹194.12
2026-09-02: ₹185.30
2026-09-04: ₹183.82
2026-09-08: ₹183.62
2026-09-10: ₹177.42
2026-09-15: ₹168.87
2026-09-17: ₹173.08
2026-09-21: ₹172.11
2026-09-23: ₹174.06
2026-09-25: ₹173.14
2026-09-29: ₹170.20
2026-10-01: ₹163.63
2026-10-06: ₹164.08
2026-10-08: ₹156.63
2026-10-12: ₹156.27
2026-10-14: ₹158.41
2026-10-16: ₹167.75
2026-10-21: ₹157.58
2026-10-23: ₹153.48
2026-10-27: ₹168.34
2026-10-29: ₹163.11
2026-10-30: ₹160.84

Drawdown from peak

0% -28% -56% Dec '23May '25Oct '26 0% -28% -56% Dec '23May '25Oct '26
Largest drawdowns

-57.2% (2024-07 peak to 2026-03 low, not yet recovered)

-42.4% (2023-12 peak to 2024-01 low, recovered 2024-02)

-23.2% (2024-02 peak to 2024-03 low, recovered 2024-04)

Most recent volume spikes

2026-10-27: 34.7x the 50-day median, price +7.9% that day

2026-10-12: 6.8x the 50-day median, price -0.6% that day

2026-08-27: 5x the 50-day median, price +2.6% that day

Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).

Where does it rank among Utilities peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Utilities peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

ROCE
Op. margin
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Nov '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Oct '26
Lower rank Higher rank

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Utilities sector page Watch it move against Utilities in the Observatory

What else looks like this?

Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.

CompanySectorSimilarityClosest on
GODAVARI BIOREFINERIES (GODAVARIB)Process Industries70%promoter holding, operating margin
HLE GLASCOAT (HLEGLAS)Producer Manufacturing68%P/E, ROCE
JINDAL WORLDWIDE (JINDWORLD)Process Industries65%promoter holding, operating margin
B L KASHYAP AND SONS (BLKASHYAP)Industrial Services64%promoter holding, debt/equity
MAHINDRA LOGISTICS (MAHLOG)Transportation57%debt/equity, P/E
SG MART (SGMART)Utilities44%P/E, operating margin
SWAN CORP (SWANCORP)Utilities25%operating margin, revenue
INOX GREEN ENERGY SERVICES (INOXGREEN)Utilities10%operating margin, ROCE

Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.

What happened next to similar setups

+18.5%typical 12-month return vs the marketNot meaningfully different from the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like BAJEL PROJECTS LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −25% to +55% vs the market, against −5% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The gap against the base rate (+23.1%, 80% range 0% to +30.2%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
CAMLINFINE · Aug 2023: −57.6% vs market
QUESS · Dec 2021: −53.6% vs market
EVERESTIND · Jun 2024: −53.4% vs market
PARAGMILK · Jul 2021: −38.7% vs market
BLKASHYAP · Jul 2025: −34.5% vs market
KOTARISUG · Jan 2024: −34.1% vs market
INDOCO · Dec 2024: −33.1% vs market
IGPL · Aug 2024: −31.1% vs market
SOMANYCERA · Jul 2023: −29.5% vs market
TVSSCS · Feb 2025: −29.3% vs market
BIRLACORPN · Sep 2023: −29.0% vs market
MAHLOG · Dec 2021: −28.8% vs market
GLOBUSSPR · Sep 2025: −25.0% vs market
ASIANTILES · Oct 2025: −23.3% vs market
ORIENTELEC · Jan 2025: −23.0% vs market
ALICON · Dec 2022: −22.9% vs market
EVEREADY · Sep 2023: −19.2% vs market
IFBIND · Feb 2024: −19.0% vs market
GMMPFAUDLR · Aug 2025: −17.7% vs market
PRSMJOHNSN · Sep 2022: −14.3% vs market
SHANKARA · Sep 2022: −11.3% vs market
INDIACEM · Feb 2021: +3.7% vs market
MEGASTAR · May 2025: +6.5% vs market
YUKEN · Feb 2024: +8.7% vs market
KEC · Jan 2024: +18.2% vs market
PSPPROJECT · Aug 2025: +18.8% vs market
JKLAKSHMI · Mar 2020: +22.9% vs market
CEATLTD · Oct 2022: +24.5% vs market
SIS · Oct 2025: +24.7% vs market
LUMAXIND · Oct 2022: +28.4% vs market
TVSSRICHAK · Sep 2025: +39.2% vs market
CEMPRO · Oct 2021: +43.8% vs market
TEXRAIL · Oct 2021: +47.8% vs market
MINDACORP · Jul 2021: +49.0% vs market
HCG · Apr 2024: +51.1% vs market
AYMSYNTEX · Sep 2025: +51.3% vs market
ISGEC · Apr 2023: +52.5% vs market
STYRENIX · Sep 2023: +55.7% vs market
SUDARSCHEM · Oct 2023: +58.2% vs market
DYNAMATECH · Dec 2022: +65.7% vs market
KOKUYOCMLN · Sep 2022: +68.7% vs market
ARTEMISMED · Aug 2021: +69.7% vs market
THANGAMAYL · Sep 2022: +71.5% vs market
SAGCEM · Sep 2020: +74.5% vs market
AMBER · Aug 2024: +76.4% vs market
MANGLMCEM · Jun 2023: +90.3% vs market
VRLLOG · Jul 2021: +91.0% vs market
VADILALIND · Aug 2021: +115.0% vs market
ESTER · Mar 2020: +170.1% vs market
HPL · Aug 2022: +181.8% vs market
Similar setups +18.5%All companies −4.6%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 3 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
+18.5%
All companies' median
−4.6%
Beat the market
58% vs 45%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 30 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
STYRENIX
Process Industries
Sep 2023 101x— +24%−10% +56%
PRSMJOHNSN
Non-Energy Minerals
Sep 2022 72x8% +5%−14% −14%
SUDARSCHEM
Process Industries
Oct 2023 73x6% +15%−12% +58%
CEATLTD
Consumer Durables
Oct 2022 88x6% +24%−9% +25%
TVSSRICHAK
Consumer Durables
Sep 2025 91x5% −25%−25% +39%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
AMBER
Producer Manufacturing
Aug 2024 113x10% +54%−5% +76%
VADILALIND
Consumer Non-Durables
Aug 2021 169x7% +55%−12% +115%
VRLLOG
Transportation
Jul 2021 60x10% +106%−5% +91%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: drawdown from 12-month high, 12-month momentum and ROCE. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to BAJEL PROJECTS LIMITED. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-10-30. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 97,430 company-months from 2000 companies; financial: 5,632 company-months from 106 companies. 2240 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.
Monthly history (29 months)
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-1084.7x₹2751 cr2.9%11.0%0.5x
2026-0986.8x₹2751 cr3.0%11.0%0.5x
2026-08110.9x₹2792 cr2.7%11.0%0.5x
2026-07101.0x₹2792 cr2.7%11.0%0.5x
2026-06110.3x₹2792 cr2.7%11.0%0.5x
2026-05205.8x₹2585 cr1.6%12.0%0.6x
2026-04198.2x₹2585 cr1.6%12.0%0.6x
2026-03144.5x₹2585 cr1.6%12.0%0.6x
2026-02144.2x₹2645 cr1.9%12.0%0.6x
2026-01138.1x₹2645 cr1.9%12.0%0.6x
2025-12154.7x₹2645 cr1.9%12.0%0.6x
2025-11157.3x₹2694 cr1.9%12.0%0.6x
2025-10169.4x₹2694 cr1.9%12.0%0.6x
2025-09179.6x₹2694 cr1.9%12.0%0.6x
2025-08149.4x₹2598 cr2.3%12.0%0.6x
2025-07175.4x₹2598 cr2.3%12.0%0.6x
2025-06176.6x₹2598 cr2.3%12.0%0.6x
2025-05137.6x₹2286 cr3.1%—0.0x
2025-04111.4x₹2286 cr3.1%—0.0x
2025-03106.5x₹2286 cr3.1%—0.0x
2025-02440.8x₹1169 cr0.8%—0.0x
2025-01655.5x₹1169 cr0.8%—0.0x
2024-12738.0x₹1169 cr0.8%—0.0x
2024-11677.6x₹1169 cr0.8%—0.0x
2024-10696.9x₹1169 cr0.8%—0.0x
2024-09732.7x₹1169 cr0.8%—0.0x
2024-08726.6x₹1169 cr0.8%—0.0x
2024-07787.4x₹1169 cr0.8%—0.0x
2024-06803.5x₹1169 cr0.8%—0.0x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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