52-week range
Price risk
Balance sheet & cash
Was the rally earned?
Mostly yes, with a catch.
- Per-share earnings added 292 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 78.2x to 20.5x), which took 193 points back.
- The share count rose 22%.
- The share price was roughly flat over 3 years (+3%).
- The share count barely moved.
What do "pts" mean?
"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.
Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.
Not shown for 5 years: earnings were negative at one end, or there is not enough history.
Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.
Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?
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How to read this
Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dashed line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).
Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.
What is the price implying?
At a P/E of 50.0x, the price would imply about 25.1%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.
Fewer than six years of annual earnings are available, which is too little to measure delivered growth.
“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.
What prices imply across Producer Manufacturing The market-wide Expectations lists
What changed?
- Oct '26P/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (20.5x).
- Sep '26Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹862 cr.
- Sep '26Moved into the top quartile of Producer Manufacturing on operating margin (from the 3rd quartile).
- Sep '26Volume reached 20.8x its 50-day median on 2026-09-09; price +5.0% that day.
- Jun '26Moved into the 3rd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on operating margin (from the bottom quartile).
- Jun '26Dividend payout cut from 107% to 22% of profit.
- Apr '26Volume reached 15.9x its 50-day median on 2026-04-13; price +12.0% that day.
- Mar '26Year-on-year EPS growth turned positive.
Show 22 earlier events
- Mar '26Fell 75% from the Sep 2023 peak to the Mar 2026 low.
- Mar '26Moved into the top quartile of Producer Manufacturing on EPS growth (from the bottom quartile).
- Feb '26Volume reached 8.0x its 50-day median on 2026-02-09; price +15.4% that day.
- Oct '25Volume reached 14.9x its 50-day median on 2025-10-29; price +6.8% that day.
- Sep '25Volume reached 8.7x its 50-day median on 2025-09-22; price -0.5% that day.
- Jun '25P/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (111.5x).
- Apr '25Volume reached 55.0x its 50-day median on 2025-04-01; price +18.2% that day.
- Mar '25Volume reached 17.7x its 50-day median on 2025-03-19; price +12.8% that day.
- Dec '24Volume reached 5.9x its 50-day median on 2024-12-10; price +1.8% that day.
- Jul '24Volume reached 72.3x its 50-day median on 2024-07-16; price +2.6% that day.
- Feb '24Volume reached 38.8x its 50-day median on 2024-02-07; price +13.3% that day.
- Dec '23Volume reached 5.1x its 50-day median on 2023-12-19; price +2.9% that day.
- Aug '23Regained the 2019-01 peak, 41 months after the low.
- Aug '23Volume reached 37.2x its 50-day median on 2023-08-09; price +17.3% that day.
- May '23Volume reached 33.0x its 50-day median on 2023-05-22; price +6.8% that day.
- Jan '23Volume reached 7.2x its 50-day median on 2023-01-02; price +17.2% that day.
- Nov '22Volume reached 16.0x its 50-day median on 2022-11-09; price +6.6% that day.
- Sep '22Volume reached 26.2x its 50-day median on 2022-09-06; price +4.5% that day.
- Feb '22Volume reached 48.4x its 50-day median on 2022-02-10; price +11.6% that day.
- Dec '21Volume reached 11.4x its 50-day median on 2021-12-30; price +3.0% that day.
- May '21Volume reached 37.4x its 50-day median on 2021-05-18; price +8.6% that day.
- Jan '21Volume reached 35.0x its 50-day median on 2021-01-05; price +16.5% that day.
Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.
Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month
Are profits backed by cash?
6 of 7 checks are within range, 1 beyond a threshold.
Tap a check to see how it is measured.
Other income reliance5%Within range
Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 4.9%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.
Tax rate27%Within range
Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 26.5%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.
Cash conversion2.43xWithin range
Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 2.43x (cash from operations ₹107 cr, net profit ₹44 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.
Free cash flow1 of 4 yrsBeyond threshold
Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 4: 1. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.
Receivable days vs history-4 daysWithin range
Debtor days are below the median of the previous three fiscal years by 4 days (96 vs 100). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.
Capital work in progress0% of fixed assetsWithin range
Capital work-in-progress is 0% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.
Payable days+1 days / 2 yrsWithin range
Days payable changed by +1 over two years. Bands: rise of up to 30 days; more than 30 days.
How to read this
Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.
Who has been buying and selling?
- Over 2 years, institutional and promoter holdings were broadly unchanged.
- The number of shareholders fell from 51,587 to 48,220 (-7%) between Dec 2023 and Jun 2026.
Holdings, Jun '26
How each group changed
Number of shareholders
Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.
How rough has the ride been?
Monthly share price
Last 90 trading days
Drawdown from peak
Largest drawdowns
-87.1% (2019-01 peak to 2020-03 low, recovered 2023-08)
-75.4% (2023-09 peak to 2026-03 low, not yet recovered)
Most recent volume spikes
2026-09-18: 7.2x the 50-day median, price +2.0% that day
2026-09-17: 5.6x the 50-day median, price +5.0% that day
2026-09-16: 10.3x the 50-day median, price +1.2% that day
Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).
Where does it rank among Producer Manufacturing peers?
Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Producer Manufacturing peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).
Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.
The Producer Manufacturing sector page Watch it move against Producer Manufacturing in the Observatory
What else looks like this?
Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.
| Company | Sector | Similarity | Closest on |
|---|---|---|---|
| PRECOT (PRECOT) | Process Industries | 74% | volatility, revenue |
| ALLCARGO TERMINALS (ATL) | Transportation | 62% | revenue, promoter holding |
| REGAAL RESOURCES (REGAAL) | Process Industries | 59% | market cap, revenue |
| JAI CORP (JAICORPLTD) | Process Industries | 56% | P/E, operating margin |
| S.P. APPARELS (SPAL) | Consumer Non-Durables | 56% | P/E, debt/equity |
| INDO FARM EQUIPMENT (INDOFARM) | Producer Manufacturing | 62% | ROCE, P/E |
| MMFORGINGS (MMFL) | Producer Manufacturing | 59% | ROCE, operating margin |
| EVEREST KANTO CYLINDERS (EKC) | Producer Manufacturing | 58% | promoter holding, revenue growth |
Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.
What happened next to similar setups
- We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like BIRLA CABLE LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
- Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −21% to +33% vs the market, against −4% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
- The gap against the base rate (+0.4%, 80% range −8.4% to +16.1%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.
Where the 50 outcomes landed
Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 6 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge
50 past situations · 50 companies · 35 months · 2020–2025
The closest matches
| Company | When | P/E | ROCE | 12M mom. | Drawdown | Next 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GALLANTT Non-Energy Minerals |
Mar 2024 | 33x | 10% | +245% | −17% | +92% |
| UNIVCABLES Electronic Technology |
May 2023 | 17x | 9% | +156% | −11% | +15% |
| PARACABLES Producer Manufacturing |
Dec 2023 | 36x | 13% | +153% | −5% | −20% |
| SALZERELEC Producer Manufacturing |
Dec 2024 | 36x | 13% | +240% | −14% | −53% |
| ARTEMISMED Health Services |
Feb 2023 | 27x | 10% | +67% | −20% | +75% |
Show the other 3 matches
How reliable is this?
Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: drawdown from 12-month high, P/E and P/S. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.
Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.
Monthly history (41 months)
| Month | P/E | Revenue (TTM) | ROE | ROCE | Debt / Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10 | 20.5x | ₹862 cr | 16.4% | 9.0% | 0.5x |
| 2026-09 | 24.7x | ₹862 cr | 16.7% | 9.0% | 0.5x |
| 2026-08 | 55.0x | ₹771 cr | 6.0% | 9.0% | 0.5x |
| 2026-07 | 36.2x | ₹771 cr | 6.0% | 9.0% | 0.5x |
| 2026-06 | 35.9x | ₹771 cr | 6.0% | 9.0% | 0.5x |
| 2026-05 | 76.9x | ₹713 cr | 2.8% | 5.0% | 0.4x |
| 2026-04 | 61.8x | ₹713 cr | 2.8% | 5.0% | 0.4x |
| 2026-03 | 41.4x | ₹713 cr | 2.8% | 5.0% | 0.4x |
| 2026-02 | 88.6x | ₹666 cr | 2.0% | 5.0% | 0.4x |
| 2026-01 | 81.6x | ₹666 cr | 2.0% | 5.0% | 0.4x |
| 2025-12 | 82.5x | ₹666 cr | 2.0% | 5.0% | 0.4x |
| 2025-11 | 72.8x | ₹672 cr | 2.0% | 5.0% | 0.4x |
| 2025-10 | 78.2x | ₹672 cr | 2.0% | 5.0% | 0.4x |
| 2025-09 | 78.3x | ₹672 cr | 2.0% | 5.0% | 0.4x |
| 2025-08 | 96.5x | ₹662 cr | 1.9% | 5.0% | 0.4x |
| 2025-07 | 103.7x | ₹662 cr | 1.9% | 5.0% | 0.4x |
| 2025-06 | 111.5x | ₹662 cr | 1.9% | 5.0% | 0.4x |
| 2025-05 | 109.0x | ₹681 cr | 2.0% | 10.0% | 0.7x |
| 2025-04 | 88.4x | ₹681 cr | 2.0% | 10.0% | 0.7x |
| 2025-03 | 80.2x | ₹681 cr | 2.0% | 10.0% | 0.7x |
| 2025-02 | 56.7x | ₹685 cr | 3.2% | 10.0% | 0.7x |
| 2025-01 | 74.0x | ₹685 cr | 3.2% | 10.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-12 | 86.3x | ₹685 cr | 3.2% | 10.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-11 | 61.9x | ₹678 cr | 4.4% | 10.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-10 | 63.0x | ₹678 cr | 4.4% | 10.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-09 | 71.6x | ₹678 cr | 4.4% | 10.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-08 | 36.8x | ₹686 cr | 9.2% | 10.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-07 | 40.4x | ₹686 cr | 9.2% | 10.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-06 | 32.7x | ₹686 cr | 9.2% | 10.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-05 | 21.1x | ₹792 cr | 14.4% | — | 0.6x |
| 2024-04 | 24.7x | ₹792 cr | 14.4% | — | 0.6x |
| 2024-03 | 20.5x | ₹792 cr | 14.4% | — | 0.6x |
| 2024-02 | 26.2x | ₹792 cr | 14.4% | — | 0.6x |
| 2024-01 | 25.6x | ₹792 cr | 14.4% | — | 0.6x |
| 2023-12 | 26.0x | ₹792 cr | 14.4% | — | 0.6x |
| 2023-11 | 23.9x | ₹792 cr | 14.4% | — | 0.6x |
| 2023-10 | 28.0x | ₹792 cr | 14.4% | — | 0.6x |
| 2023-09 | 30.7x | ₹792 cr | 14.4% | — | 0.6x |
| 2023-08 | 27.4x | ₹792 cr | 14.4% | — | 0.6x |
| 2023-07 | 17.3x | ₹792 cr | 14.4% | — | 0.6x |
| 2023-06 | 15.4x | ₹792 cr | 14.4% | — | 0.6x |