Share price
₹316 latest close · +2.5% over the last 90 sessions
₹316 month-end · −9.5% over 12 months
₹316 month-end · +65.1% over 3 years
₹316 month-end · +111.2% since Jan '19
52-week range ₹266.60 to ₹391.65 · 1-year volatility 30.0%
Was the rally earned?
Mostly the multiple.
- Most of the fall came from investors paying a lower multiple (P/E 8.7x to 8.0x); per-share earnings took off 1 point.
- The share count barely moved.
Mostly yes, with a catch.
- Per-share earnings added 271 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 39.0x to 8.0x), which took 206 points back.
- The share count barely moved.
Partly.
- Most of the rise came from investors paying a higher multiple (P/E 4.3x to 8.0x); per-share earnings added 8 points.
- The share count fell 7%.
What do "pts" mean?
"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.
Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.
Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.
How rough has the ride been?
Drawdown from peak
Largest drawdowns
-53.8% (2019-11 peak to 2020-03 low, recovered 2024-02)
-35.9% (2024-09 peak to 2025-02 low, recovered 2025-11)
-30.1% (2026-02 peak to 2026-03 low, not yet recovered)
Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).
Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?
Usual range 4.9x to 30.7x since 2019-01.
37% below the Energy Minerals median.
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How to read this
Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dotted line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).
Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.
Where does it rank among Energy Minerals peers?
Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Energy Minerals peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).
Where it ranks today
- ROCE90th▲ 24 pts vs a year ago
- Op. margin12th▼ 17 pts vs a year ago
- Revenue growth46th▲ 11 pts vs a year ago
- EPS growth38th▼ 12 pts vs a year ago
- Debt/equity ↓25thflat vs a year ago
- Cash cycle ↓87th▲ 22 pts vs a year ago
- P/E ↓72nd▼ 9 pts vs a year ago
- 12M momentum46th▼ 40 pts vs a year ago
Rank history
Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.
The Energy Minerals sector page Watch it move against Energy Minerals in the Observatory
What is the price implying?
At normalised P/E (five-year average earnings) of 8.6x, a holder earning 12%/yr needs earnings to grow about 3.0%/yr for 10 years, then trade at 15x.
Over time
Implied growth by month (solid) and delivered growth (dashed).
Change the assumptions
| Exit P/E / return | 11% | 12% | 13% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12x | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% |
| 15x | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% |
| 20x | −0.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% |
Drag a slider to test other assumptions
Implied: 3.0%/yrLooking back
- Jan 2020Price implied 6%/yr; EPS has since grown 19%/yr (7.0 yrs)
- Jan 2021Price implied 5%/yr; EPS has since grown 43%/yr (6.0 yrs)
- Jan 2022Price implied 1%/yr; EPS has since grown 10%/yr (5.0 yrs)
Past comparisons cover only companies listed today (survivorship bias) and say nothing about future outcomes.
“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect. How this is calculated and the market-wide lists.
What prices imply across Energy Minerals The market-wide Expectations lists
Key figures
- Share Priceclose 9 Nov
- ₹316.00
- P/E
- 8.0x
- ROCE
- 26.0%
- Market Cap
- ₹1.37L cr
- Revenue (TTM)
- ₹4.94L cr
- P/S
- 0.3x
- P/B
- 1.4x
- ROE
- 17.1%
- Operating Margin
- -2.7%
- Debt / Equity
- 0.5x
- Promoter Holding
- 53.0%
- 12M Momentum
- -9.5%
52-week range
Price risk
Balance sheet & cash
Are profits backed by cash?
Other income reliance29%Near threshold
Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 28.8%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.
Tax rate26%Within range
Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 26.0%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.
Cash conversion1.67xWithin range
Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 1.67x (cash from operations ₹1,10,383 cr, net profit ₹66,039 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.
Free cash flow5 of 5 yrsWithin range
Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 5. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.
Receivable days vs history-3 daysWithin range
Debtor days are below the median of the previous three fiscal years by 3 days (4 vs 7). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.
Capital work in progress35% of fixed assetsNear threshold
Capital work-in-progress is 35% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.
Payable days+14 days / 2 yrsWithin range
Days payable changed by +14 over two years. Bands: rise of up to 30 days; more than 30 days.
Tap a check to see how it is measured
How to read this
Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.
Who has been buying and selling?
- Over 3 years, FIIs added 3.8 pts; DIIs trimmed 1.5 pts.
- The number of shareholders rose from 8.2 lakh to 10.5 lakh (+29%) between Sep 2023 and Jun 2026.
Holdings, Jun '26
How each group changed
Number of shareholders
Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.
What happened next to similar setups
- We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like BHARAT PETROLEUM CORPN LTD today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
- Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −21% to +37% vs the market, against −2% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
- The gap against the base rate (+4.3%, 80% range −0.6% to +19.0%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.
Where the 50 outcomes landed
Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 4 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge
50 past situations · 50 companies · 31 months · 2021–2025
The closest matches
| Company | When | P/E | ROCE | 12M mom. | Drawdown | Next 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REDINGTON Distribution Services |
Jun 2023 | 10x | 25% | +48% | −7% | −21% |
| SAIL Non-Energy Minerals |
May 2023 | 3x | 24% | +9% | −11% | +34% |
| TATASTEEL Non-Energy Minerals |
May 2023 | 3x | 31% | 0% | −15% | +12% |
| IOC Energy Minerals |
Feb 2025 | 9x | 21% | −28% | −38% | +47% |
| PETRONET Utilities |
Sep 2023 | 10x | 26% | +20% | −4% | +2% |
Show the other 3 matches
How reliable is this?
Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high and interest cover. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.
Independent periods: the matches fall in 5 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.
What else looks like this?
Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.
Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.
What changed?
30 events since Jun '21
- SepResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
- SepPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Energy Minerals on EPS growth (from the top quartile).
- JunPeer rankMoved into the top quartile of Energy Minerals on ROCE (from the 2nd quartile).
- MarPriceFell 30% from the Feb 2026 peak to the Mar 2026 low.
- MarPeer rankSlipped to the bottom quartile of Energy Minerals on operating margin (from the 3rd quartile).
- MarPriceVolume reached 5.3x its 50-day median on 2026-03-09; price -6.1% that day.
- DecResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned positive.
- DecPeer rankMoved into the top quartile of Energy Minerals on EPS growth (from the 2nd quartile).
Show 22 earlier events
- NovPriceRegained the 2024-09 peak, 9 months after the low.
- SepPeer rankMoved into the 2nd quartile of Energy Minerals on EPS growth (from the 3rd quartile).
- JunResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
- JunPeer rankSlipped to the 2nd quartile of Energy Minerals on ROCE (from the top quartile).
- MarPriceVolume reached 11.9x its 50-day median on 2025-03-27; price +1.1% that day.
- FebPriceFell 36% from the Sep 2024 peak to the Feb 2025 low.
- JunResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned positive.
- JunValuationP/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (4.5x).
- JunPeer rankMoved into the top quartile of Energy Minerals on ROCE (from the bottom quartile).
- JunDebtDebt / equity fell below 1.0x (0.72x).
- FebPriceRegained the 2019-11 peak, 47 months after the low.
- DecPriceVolume reached 5.0x its 50-day median on 2023-12-04; price +5.6% that day.
- JunResultsRevenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹473,187 cr.
- JunValuationP/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (32.3x).
- JunPeer rankSlipped to the bottom quartile of Energy Minerals on ROCE (from the 2nd quartile).
- MarPriceVolume reached 7.7x its 50-day median on 2023-03-16; price +6.7% that day.
- JunResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
- JunPeer rankSlipped to the bottom quartile of Energy Minerals on EPS growth (from the top quartile).
- JunDividendDividend payout cut from 102% to 29% of profit.
- DecPeer rankSlipped to the 2nd quartile of Energy Minerals on ROCE (from the top quartile).
- JunResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned positive.
- JunValuationP/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (5.5x).
Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.
Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month
Monthly history60 months · 2021-12 to 2026-11
| Month | P/E | Revenue (TTM) | ROE | ROCE | Debt / Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 8.0x | ₹4.94L cr | 17.1% | 26.0% | 0.5x |
| 2026-10 | 7.2x | ₹4.94L cr | 17.1% | 26.0% | 0.5x |
| 2026-09 | 7.7x | ₹4.94L cr | 17.1% | 26.0% | 0.5x |
| 2026-08 | 5.4x | ₹4.55L cr | 25.8% | 26.0% | 0.5x |
| 2026-07 | 5.4x | ₹4.55L cr | 25.8% | 26.0% | 0.5x |
| 2026-06 | 5.1x | ₹4.55L cr | 25.8% | 26.0% | 0.5x |
| 2026-05 | 5.3x | ₹4.48L cr | 30.2% | 16.0% | 0.8x |
| 2026-04 | 5.3x | ₹4.48L cr | 30.2% | 16.0% | 0.8x |
| 2026-03 | 5.0x | ₹4.48L cr | 30.2% | 16.0% | 0.8x |
| 2026-02 | 7.9x | ₹4.42L cr | 26.1% | 16.0% | 0.8x |
| 2026-01 | 7.2x | ₹4.42L cr | 26.1% | 16.0% | 0.8x |
| 2025-12 | 7.6x | ₹4.42L cr | 26.1% | 16.0% | 0.8x |
| 2025-11 | 8.7x | ₹4.40L cr | 21.3% | 16.0% | 0.8x |
| 2025-10 | 8.5x | ₹4.40L cr | 21.3% | 16.0% | 0.8x |
| 2025-09 | 8.1x | ₹4.40L cr | 21.3% | 16.0% | 0.8x |
| 2025-08 | 9.6x | ₹4.40L cr | 16.4% | 16.0% | 0.8x |
| 2025-07 | 10.2x | ₹4.40L cr | 16.4% | 16.0% | 0.8x |
| 2025-06 | 10.3x | ₹4.40L cr | 16.4% | 16.0% | 0.8x |
| 2025-05 | 9.6x | ₹4.46L cr | 18.2% | 32.0% | 0.7x |
| 2025-04 | 9.3x | ₹4.46L cr | 18.2% | 32.0% | 0.7x |
| 2025-03 | 8.4x | ₹4.46L cr | 18.2% | 32.0% | 0.7x |
| 2025-02 | 7.5x | ₹4.48L cr | 17.3% | 32.0% | 0.7x |
| 2025-01 | 8.2x | ₹4.48L cr | 17.3% | 32.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-12 | 9.2x | ₹4.48L cr | 17.3% | 32.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-11 | 6.3x | ₹4.48L cr | 25.2% | 32.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-10 | 6.7x | ₹4.48L cr | 25.2% | 32.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-09 | 8.0x | ₹4.48L cr | 25.2% | 32.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-08 | 5.5x | ₹4.48L cr | 35.5% | 32.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-07 | 5.2x | ₹4.48L cr | 35.5% | 32.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-06 | 4.5x | ₹4.48L cr | 35.5% | 32.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-05 | 59.0x | ₹4.73L cr | 4.0% | 7.0% | 1.3x |
| 2024-04 | 57.1x | ₹4.73L cr | 4.0% | 7.0% | 1.3x |
| 2024-03 | 56.6x | ₹4.73L cr | 4.0% | 7.0% | 1.3x |
| 2024-02 | 56.8x | ₹4.73L cr | 4.0% | 7.0% | 1.3x |
| 2024-01 | 47.2x | ₹4.73L cr | 4.0% | 7.0% | 1.3x |
| 2023-12 | 42.3x | ₹4.73L cr | 4.0% | 7.0% | 1.3x |
| 2023-11 | 39.0x | ₹4.73L cr | 4.0% | 7.0% | 1.3x |
| 2023-10 | 30.8x | ₹4.73L cr | 4.0% | 7.0% | 1.3x |
| 2023-09 | 30.6x | ₹4.73L cr | 4.0% | 7.0% | 1.3x |
| 2023-08 | 30.0x | ₹4.73L cr | 4.0% | 7.0% | 1.3x |
| 2023-07 | 33.5x | ₹4.73L cr | 4.0% | 7.0% | 1.3x |
| 2023-06 | 32.3x | ₹4.73L cr | 4.0% | 7.0% | 1.3x |
| 2023-05 | 5.9x | ₹3.47L cr | 22.5% | 16.0% | 1.2x |
| 2023-04 | 5.8x | ₹3.47L cr | 22.5% | 16.0% | 1.2x |
| 2023-03 | 5.5x | ₹3.47L cr | 22.5% | 16.0% | 1.2x |
| 2023-02 | 5.1x | ₹3.47L cr | 22.5% | 16.0% | 1.2x |
| 2023-01 | 5.5x | ₹3.47L cr | 22.5% | 16.0% | 1.2x |
| 2022-12 | 5.3x | ₹3.47L cr | 22.5% | 16.0% | 1.2x |
| 2022-11 | 5.5x | ₹3.47L cr | 22.5% | 16.0% | 1.2x |
| 2022-10 | 4.8x | ₹3.47L cr | 22.5% | 16.0% | 1.2x |
| 2022-09 | 4.9x | ₹3.47L cr | 22.5% | 16.0% | 1.2x |
| 2022-08 | 5.3x | ₹3.47L cr | 22.5% | 16.0% | 1.2x |
| 2022-07 | 5.3x | ₹3.47L cr | 22.5% | 16.0% | 1.2x |
| 2022-06 | 4.9x | ₹3.47L cr | 22.5% | 16.0% | 1.2x |
| 2022-05 | 3.8x | ₹2.30L cr | 32.3% | 18.0% | 1.0x |
| 2022-04 | 4.2x | ₹2.30L cr | 32.3% | 18.0% | 1.0x |
| 2022-03 | 4.2x | ₹2.30L cr | 32.3% | 18.0% | 1.0x |
| 2022-02 | 4.1x | ₹2.30L cr | 32.3% | 18.0% | 1.0x |
| 2022-01 | 4.7x | ₹2.30L cr | 32.3% | 18.0% | 1.0x |
| 2021-12 | 4.5x | ₹2.30L cr | 32.3% | 18.0% | 1.0x |
Older months are in the live observatory.