अApnaFunda

TATA MOTORS LIMITED (TMCV)

Consumer Durables · Motor Vehicles · figures to Nov '26

Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.61 / 100
Profitability 73Balance sheet 49

Passes these screensQuality CompounderDebt-light & profitable

Share price

Closing priceAdjusted for splits and bonus issues.

₹436.65 latest close · +1.1% over the last 90 sessions

₹400₹450Jul 3Jul 29Aug 24Sep 17Oct 14Nov 9 ₹400₹450Jul 3Sep 4Nov 9

₹436.65 month-end · +24.0% over 12 months

₹350₹400₹450₹500Nov '25Jan '26Apr '26Jun '26Sep '26Nov '26 ₹350₹400₹450₹500Nov '25May '26Nov '26

52-week range ₹306.30 to ₹509.00 · 1-year volatility 37.7%

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-29.1%not yet recovered
1-year volatility37.7%annualised
Volume spikes0last 90 sessions, 5x the 50-day median

Drawdown from peak

0%−10%−20%2026−26.9% 0%−10%−20%2026−26.9%
Largest drawdowns

-29.1% (2026-02 peak to 2026-06 low, not yet recovered)

Where does it rank among Consumer Durables peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Consumer Durables peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

Where it ranks today

  • ROCE94th
  • Op. margin53rd▼ 5 pts vs a year ago
  • Revenue growth49th
  • Debt/equity ↓39th▲ 22 pts vs a year ago
  • Cash cycle ↓93rdflat vs a year ago
  • P/E ↓15th
  • 12M momentum82nd

Rank history

ROCE
Op. margin
Revenue growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Dec '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Jul '26Nov '26
Lower rank Higher rank Not enough data

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Consumer Durables sector page Watch it move against Consumer Durables in the Observatory

What is the price implying?

~26%annual earnings growth implied by the price

At a P/E of 53.1x, the price would imply about 25.9%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.

Fewer than six years of annual earnings are available, which is too little to measure delivered growth.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Consumer Durables The market-wide Expectations lists

Key figures

Share Priceclose 9 Nov
₹436.65
P/E
53.1x
ROCE
36.0%
Market Cap
₹1.61L cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹87197 cr
P/S
1.8x
P/B
12.6x
ROE
23.8%
Operating Margin
10.0%
Debt / Equity
0.4x
Promoter Holding
42.6%
12M Momentum
24.1%

52-week range

₹306.30₹509.00
64% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
37.7%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
1.26

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
8.9x

Are profits backed by cash?

2 of 2checks within rangeAll clear
Other income reliance-23%Within range

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): -23.5%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate24%Within range

Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 24.0%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.

Cash conversion—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Free cash flow—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Receivable days vs history—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Capital work in progress—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Payable days—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Tap a check to see how it is measured

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

What happened next to similar setups

−7.9%typical 12-month return vs the marketBelow the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like TATA MOTORS LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −21% to +19% vs the market, against −3% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The analogs' median sat below that base rate (gap −4.9%, 80% range −12.4% to −1.3%), but the matches cluster in only 6 distinct 12-month windows.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−60%−40%−20%0%+20%+40%+60%+80%
SONATSOFTW · Feb 2024: −53.6% vs market
PETRONET · Jun 2020: −46.5% vs market
REDTAPE · Dec 2024: −46.3% vs market
BBTC · Aug 2020: −44.6% vs market
MPHASIS · Dec 2021: −44.6% vs market
APLAPOLLO · Aug 2023: −40.8% vs market
BECTORFOOD · Apr 2025: −38.3% vs market
THERMAX · Jun 2024: −37.4% vs market
BLUEDART · Aug 2022: −32.8% vs market
COROMANDEL · Oct 2020: −32.3% vs market
UNITDSPR · Jun 2020: −31.7% vs market
BLUESTARCO · Aug 2025: −27.8% vs market
MSUMI · Oct 2025: −21.3% vs market
NH · Nov 2023: −20.1% vs market
HAL · Jul 2020: −18.3% vs market
KPRMILL · May 2022: −16.3% vs market
DEEPAKNTR · Sep 2021: −15.7% vs market
SRF · Jun 2022: −15.3% vs market
VBL · Apr 2024: −13.1% vs market
APARINDS · Nov 2024: −12.7% vs market
BIKAJI · Apr 2025: −9.4% vs market
LUXIND · Feb 2020: −9.4% vs market
TIINDIA · Jun 2023: −8.4% vs market
HEIDELBERG · Mar 2020: −8.4% vs market
SUNDRMFAST · Jan 2020: −8.4% vs market
UNOMINDA · Oct 2025: −7.4% vs market
CENTURYPLY · Aug 2022: −6.8% vs market
KEI · Jan 2025: −5.8% vs market
SUPREMEIND · Nov 2020: −5.8% vs market
COFORGE · Jan 2025: −5.7% vs market
AEGISLOG · Feb 2020: +1.5% vs market
KEC · Feb 2020: +2.0% vs market
ORIENTELEC · May 2020: +3.4% vs market
LTTS · Jun 2021: +4.3% vs market
ENDURANCE · Jan 2020: +6.7% vs market
CROMPTON · Apr 2020: +8.4% vs market
TECHM · Jul 2020: +15.4% vs market
GLENMARK · Aug 2025: +19.7% vs market
SOLARINDS · Jul 2022: +20.8% vs market
ESCORTS · Feb 2020: +23.4% vs market
ASKAUTOLTD · Oct 2025: +23.7% vs market
POWERINDIA · Dec 2022: +23.8% vs market
GALAXYSURF · May 2020: +25.7% vs market
POLYCAB · Apr 2020: +26.9% vs market
PERSISTENT · Sep 2023: +29.6% vs market
ABDL · Sep 2025: +40.8% vs market
SCHNEIDER · Sep 2025: +45.8% vs market
RRKABEL · Oct 2025: +53.9% vs market
CEMPRO · Oct 2025: +65.0% vs market
DIXON · Feb 2024: +117.3% vs market
Similar setups −7.9%All companies −3.0%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 1 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
−7.9%
All companies' median
−3.0%
Beat the market
40% vs 47%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 32 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
APLAPOLLO
Non-Energy Minerals
Aug 2023 72x27% +77%−1% −41%
TIINDIA
Non-Energy Minerals
Jun 2023 64x32% +72%−1% −8%
APARINDS
Electronic Technology
Nov 2024 48x44% +81%−8% −13%
BLUESTARCO
Producer Manufacturing
Aug 2025 65x26% +10%−20% −28%
COFORGE
Technology Services
Jan 2025 66x29% +32%−16% −6%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
SONATSOFTW
Technology Services
Feb 2024 50x39% +123%−5% −54%
UNOMINDA
Producer Manufacturing
Oct 2025 69x19% +26%−10% −7%
DIXON
Electronic Technology
Feb 2024 156x24% +131%−4% +117%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high and revenue growth. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to TATA MOTORS LIMITED. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-11-09. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 98,395 company-months from 2019 companies; financial: 5,659 company-months from 108 companies. 2349 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

What else looks like this?

Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.

Electronic Technology
62%similar
revenuemarket cap
BLUE STARBLUESTARCO
Producer Manufacturing
61%similar
P/Epromoter holding
TRENTTRENT
Retail Trade
58%similar
market capdebt/equity
Energy Minerals
54%similar
revenueP/E
Non-Energy Minerals
51%similar
P/EROCE
CEATCEATLTD
Consumer Durables
44%similar
volatilitypromoter holding
Consumer Durables
42%similar
operating marginP/E
Consumer Durables
42%similar
revenuemarket cap

Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.

What changed?

6 events since Dec '25

  1. NovDebtDebt / equity halved over 12 months to 0.44x.
  2. JunPriceFell 29% from the Feb 2026 peak to the Jun 2026 low.
  3. JunDividendStarted paying a dividend (payout 49% of profit).
  4. MarPeer rankMoved into the 2nd quartile of Consumer Durables on operating margin (from the 3rd quartile).
  5. MarPriceVolume reached 6.4x its 50-day median on 2026-03-27; price -1.0% that day.
  6. DecPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Consumer Durables on operating margin (from the 2nd quartile).

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Monthly history13 months · 2025-11 to 2026-11
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-1153.1x₹87197 cr23.8%36.0%0.4x
2026-1048.2x₹87197 cr32.9%36.0%0.4x
2026-0951.2x₹87197 cr32.9%36.0%0.4x
2026-0857.2x₹83854 cr23.8%36.0%0.4x
2026-0753.1x₹83854 cr23.8%36.0%0.4x
2026-0651.4x₹83854 cr23.8%36.0%0.4x
2026-05—₹79619 cr24.4%—0.9x
2026-04—₹79619 cr24.4%—0.9x
2026-03—₹79619 cr24.4%—0.9x
2026-02—₹76591 cr30.6%—0.9x
2026-01—₹76591 cr30.6%—0.9x
2025-12—₹76591 cr30.6%—0.9x
2025-11—₹75541 cr43.6%—0.9x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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